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AHELO - the OECD Assessment of
      Higher Education Learning Outcomes
      - and student achievement: progress
      to date!



      Richard Yelland (OECD)!

CHEA International Seminar!
Washington 27 January 2010!
2!
The new online collaborative platform set up to help governments and
      other stakeholders respond to the global economic crisis


                     Officially launched by OECD Secretary General at the
                     Meeting of the Council at Ministerial Level:
                     "The Crisis and Beyond: building a stronger, cleaner,
                     fairer world economy“
                                   Paris , 24-25 June 2009.



•  Up-to-the-minute information, evidence and analysis on the impact
   of the crisis on education, with concrete examples of how
   governments and institutions in different countries are coping with
   the crisis.
•  An opportunity for information sharing with other members of the
   fast-growing OECD social network.

            www.oecd.org/edu/lighthouse
Change in the demand for skills in the
                                                knowledge economy


                                         Economy-wide measures of routine and non-routine task input (US)!

                                                                         Accelerating trend !
                                                                         since 1990s!
Mean task input as percentiles of the
1960 task distribution#




                                                                                            Levy and Murnane!
4!
What new skills are in demand?!

 Collaborators and orchestrators!
     The more complex the globalised world becomes, the more individuals and
     companies need various forms of coordination and management#

 Synthesisers!
     Advent of multidisciplinarity. We no longer solve problems by breaking them
     down in manageable bits, but rather by synthesising disparate bits together #

 Versatilists!
     Specialists: deep skills and expertise, but narrow scope beyond their domain#
     Generalists: shallow skills but broader scope#
     Versatilists: apply depth of skills to a progressively widening scope of situations
     and experiences, gaining new competences, assuming new roles#
     Ability to constantly adapt, learn and grow…#


5!
What new skills are in demand?!

 Explainers!
     Age of over-information (Internet). Filters and explainers become more
     important as the content we can search and access becomes larger#

 Personalisers!
     Revival of interpersonal skills which had atrophied due to industrial age and
     the Internet#

 Localisers!
     Localising the global#


               Over time, higher education is to become the reference level for
               success in the knowledge economy and society!


6!
Trends in the supply of global
       talent pool: OECD evidence !




7!
8!
                   0!
                        5!
                             10!
                                   15!
                                         20!
                                               25!
                                                     30!
                                                           35!
                                                                 40!
                                                                       45!
                                                                             50!
                                                                             %
          Canada!
    United States!
    New Zealand!
          Estonia!
          Finland!
        Australia!
          Norway!
          Sweden!
     Netherlands!
      Switzerland!
                                                                                   2000's#




 United Kingdom!
        Denmark!
            Japan!
        Germany!
          Iceland!
                                                                                   1990's#




         Belgium!
  OECD average!
     Luxembourg!
   EU19 average!
           Ireland!
                                                                                   1980's#




           France!
             Spain!
         Hungary!
         Slovenia!
           Greece!
                                                                                   1970's#




   EAG 2009 !
  Table A1.3a !
          Austria!
           Poland!
            Korea!
 Slovak Republic!
 Czech Republic!
              Italy!
           Mexico!
             Chile!
             Brazil!
           Turkey!
         Portugal!
                                                                                                                                                                               
         Growth in university-level qualifications
                                                                                                                                                                                     !
                                                                                              education in the age groups 25-34 years, 35-44 years, 45-54 years and 55-64 years (2007)
                                                                                             Approximated by the percentage of the population that has attained tertiary-type A
Average annual growth in the population
           with tertiary education (1998-2006)!
          %#




     EAG 2009!
       A1.1!
9!
Entry rates into tertiary-type A education!




  EAG 2009!
    A2.3!
10!
So do higher education systems
                   deliver?!

           Access vs. success:!
      Available quantitative evidence!


11!
12!
                                                                                 %




                         0!
                              10!
                                    20!
                                          30!
                                                40!
                                                      50!
                                                            60!
                                                                  70!




    A2.3!
                 Iceland!




 EAG 2009!
              Australia1!
                 Poland!
                 Finland!
         New Zealand!
                Denmark!
                Ireland2!
                 Norway!
             Netherlands!
                Portugal!
                Sweden!
    Slovak Republic!
                                                                            (first-time graduation)!




                 Japan2!
       OECD average!
    United Kingdom!
                   Israel!
        EU19 average!
       United States2!
                                                                        2007 !




                    Italy!
     Czech Republic!
                 Spain2!
                                                                        1995 !




             Switzerland!
              Canada1,2!
                                                                        2000 !




               Hungary2!
               Germany!
                 Austria!
                                                                            Tertiary-type A graduation rates in 1995, 2000 and 2007 !




                Slovenia!
                                                                                                                                         University graduation doubled in the




                Greece2!
                                                                                                                                        OECD from 20% in 1995 to 39% in 2007  !
But failure remains a problem…!
             Proportion of students who enter a tertiary programme
      %      but leave without at least a first tertiary degree (2005)!




 EAG 2009!
    A3.4!
13!
So what is the evidence in
          qualitative terms?!




14!
What we know…!
           The massification of participation in higher education has meant
           much more heterogeneous abilities and expectations of students
           than in the past!

           In most countries, financing has kept pace with the increase in
           participation, limiting the impact on spending per student!

           Proxies of higher education quality exist, but none are perfect!
              !- Rankings often biased towards input factors and research!
              !- Subjectivity of reputation factor!
              !- Cultural sensitivity of satisfaction factor!
              !- Labour market outcomes sensitive to conjoncture and local
              ! economic conditions!

           Learning outcomes as a promising direction!
   So         !- Defining them (Tuning process in Bologna area)!
  what?!      !- Incorporating them in quality assurance processes!
              !- Measuring them (AHELO)!


15!
Changes in student numbers and
                  expenditure for tertiary education!
         Index of change between 2000 and 2006 (2000=100, 2006 constant prices)
                                                                              !




      EAG 2009!
       B1.7b!
16!
The AHELO initiative!

What is AHELO?!
      A ground-breaking initiative to assess HE learning outcomes on an
      international scale, by creating measures that would be valid:#
           •  For all cultures and languages;#
           •  And also for the diversity of HE institutions.#

Why undertake the study?!
      After decades of quantitative growth in HE, consensus on the need to ensure
      quality for all (Athens, 2006)… but information gap on learning outcomes#
           Carry out a feasibility study to provide a proof of concept (Tokyo, 2008)#

Why is AHELO important?!
      •  Employs a wide range of measures#
      •  Provides faculties, students and government agencies with a more
      balanced assessment of HE quality – not just research-driven rankings!#
      •  No sacrifice of HEIsʼ missions or autonomy in their subsequent efforts to
      improve performance.#
17!
A multi-dimensional definition of quality!

Addressing the needs of various users and uses!

•  “Bottom line” of performance#
•  “Value-added” to assess the quality of services #
•  Contextual data to reveal best practices and problems, and to identify teaching and
   learning practices leading to better outcomes#


Both in discipline-related competencies …!
•  Easily interpretable in the context of departments and faculties ... #
•  But require highly differentiated instruments#

And in generic skills!
•  Less dependent on occupational and cultural contexts, applicable across HEIs … #
•  But reflect cumulative learning outcomes and less relevant to the subject-matter
      competencies that are familiar to HEIs, departments or faculties#


18!
A study with great potential…!

… Diagnosis is the basis of any improvement!
      Better information on student learning outcomes is the first step to #
      improve teaching and learning for all:#
          #Provide evidence for national and institutional policy and practice#
          #Equip institutions with the method and tools to improve teaching#

… Shaping the future of higher education to address key challenges!
      Equity:#
          #Build fairer higher education systems, promoting success for all#
      Responsiveness:#
          #Better connect higher education and society#
      Effectiveness:#
          #Help students make informed choices to ensure success for all#
      Impact:#
          #Foster international transparency and mobility#

19!
AHELO at a glance!
           To assess whether reliable cross-national comparisons of HE
  Goal?!   learning outcomes are scientifically possible and whether their
           implementation is feasible.!

           Not a pilot, but rather a research approach to provide a proof of
  What?!
           concept and proof of practicality.!

           The outcomes will be used to assist countries to decide on the
  Why?!
           next steps. No pre-determined conclusion.!


 When?!    Testing window: late 2010-early 2011.!


           Target population of students who are near, but before, the end of
  Who?!
           their first 3-4 year degree. !


  How?!    OECD guiding international expert committees!
           Contractors in charge of developing the assessment instruments.!
20!
AHELO tests of instruments!
            3 assessment instruments!
       Assessment            Assessment          Assessment
       generic skills!        discipline-         discipline-
                           specific skills in   specific skills in
                             engineering!        economics!
      Including Finland,      Including        Including Belgium
            Korea, #       Australia, Japan,       (Fl.), Italy,
       Mexico, Norway,         Sweden#              Mexico,
             USA#                                 Netherlands#

               Contextual instruments!
       Contextual indicators and indirect proxies of quality!
      To analyse determinants of LO and their development!



                         3 groups of countries!
21!
AHELO: 4 strands of work!

       Discipline strand !             Discipline strand !
        in Economics!                   in Engineering!




                                 Research-based “Value-
      Generic skills strand!    added” or “Learning gain”
                                  measurement strand!
                                 Several perspectives to
                               explore the issue of value-
                                  added (conceptually,
                               psychometrics), building on
                                  recent OECD work at
                                      school level.#

22!
Current status!
           Institutional framework in place!
                   Next meeting March
           Substantive work
                Contextual dimension analytical framework
                Tuning-AHELO reports
           Communication & dissemination
                Stakeholders’ Consultative Group
           Participating countries
                14 confirmed participants allocated to
                 various strands of work to ensure
                 geographical, language & cultural diversity
           First contract awarded
           Fundraising continues
           Main contractor selected


23!
AHELO is managed by the OECD 

            IMHE Programme 

      Institutional Management in Higher Education!

           A network of 246 members from 48
           countries

           HEIs, government and agencies


           Policy analyses and services to members


           An institutional voice within OECD

24!
What are the concrete benefits of
       becoming a member of IMHE?!




       Higher education in a world changed utterly?
                  Doing more with less

             Paris, France 13-15 September 2010
25!
Thank you!

                   Thank you!

          Time for questions and
                 comments!
        richard.yelland@oecd.org!

       For more information, visit!
        www.oecd.org/edu/ahelo !
26!

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OECDaheloCHEA2010b

  • 1. AHELO - the OECD Assessment of Higher Education Learning Outcomes - and student achievement: progress to date! Richard Yelland (OECD)! CHEA International Seminar! Washington 27 January 2010!
  • 2. 2!
  • 3. The new online collaborative platform set up to help governments and other stakeholders respond to the global economic crisis
 Officially launched by OECD Secretary General at the Meeting of the Council at Ministerial Level: "The Crisis and Beyond: building a stronger, cleaner, fairer world economy“ Paris , 24-25 June 2009. •  Up-to-the-minute information, evidence and analysis on the impact of the crisis on education, with concrete examples of how governments and institutions in different countries are coping with the crisis. •  An opportunity for information sharing with other members of the fast-growing OECD social network. www.oecd.org/edu/lighthouse
  • 4. Change in the demand for skills in the knowledge economy
 Economy-wide measures of routine and non-routine task input (US)! Accelerating trend ! since 1990s! Mean task input as percentiles of the 1960 task distribution# Levy and Murnane! 4!
  • 5. What new skills are in demand?! Collaborators and orchestrators! The more complex the globalised world becomes, the more individuals and companies need various forms of coordination and management# Synthesisers! Advent of multidisciplinarity. We no longer solve problems by breaking them down in manageable bits, but rather by synthesising disparate bits together # Versatilists! Specialists: deep skills and expertise, but narrow scope beyond their domain# Generalists: shallow skills but broader scope# Versatilists: apply depth of skills to a progressively widening scope of situations and experiences, gaining new competences, assuming new roles# Ability to constantly adapt, learn and grow…# 5!
  • 6. What new skills are in demand?! Explainers! Age of over-information (Internet). Filters and explainers become more important as the content we can search and access becomes larger# Personalisers! Revival of interpersonal skills which had atrophied due to industrial age and the Internet# Localisers! Localising the global# Over time, higher education is to become the reference level for success in the knowledge economy and society! 6!
  • 7. Trends in the supply of global talent pool: OECD evidence ! 7!
  • 8. 8! 0! 5! 10! 15! 20! 25! 30! 35! 40! 45! 50! % Canada! United States! New Zealand! Estonia! Finland! Australia! Norway! Sweden! Netherlands! Switzerland! 2000's# United Kingdom! Denmark! Japan! Germany! Iceland! 1990's# Belgium! OECD average! Luxembourg! EU19 average! Ireland! 1980's# France! Spain! Hungary! Slovenia! Greece! 1970's# EAG 2009 ! Table A1.3a ! Austria! Poland! Korea! Slovak Republic! Czech Republic! Italy! Mexico! Chile! Brazil! Turkey! Portugal! 
 Growth in university-level qualifications ! education in the age groups 25-34 years, 35-44 years, 45-54 years and 55-64 years (2007) Approximated by the percentage of the population that has attained tertiary-type A
  • 9. Average annual growth in the population with tertiary education (1998-2006)! %# EAG 2009! A1.1! 9!
  • 10. Entry rates into tertiary-type A education! EAG 2009! A2.3! 10!
  • 11. So do higher education systems deliver?! Access vs. success:! Available quantitative evidence! 11!
  • 12. 12! % 0! 10! 20! 30! 40! 50! 60! 70! A2.3! Iceland! EAG 2009! Australia1! Poland! Finland! New Zealand! Denmark! Ireland2! Norway! Netherlands! Portugal! Sweden! Slovak Republic! (first-time graduation)! Japan2! OECD average! United Kingdom! Israel! EU19 average! United States2! 2007 ! Italy! Czech Republic! Spain2! 1995 ! Switzerland! Canada1,2! 2000 ! Hungary2! Germany! Austria! Tertiary-type A graduation rates in 1995, 2000 and 2007 ! Slovenia! University graduation doubled in the Greece2! OECD from 20% in 1995 to 39% in 2007 !
  • 13. But failure remains a problem…! Proportion of students who enter a tertiary programme % but leave without at least a first tertiary degree (2005)! EAG 2009! A3.4! 13!
  • 14. So what is the evidence in qualitative terms?! 14!
  • 15. What we know…! The massification of participation in higher education has meant much more heterogeneous abilities and expectations of students than in the past! In most countries, financing has kept pace with the increase in participation, limiting the impact on spending per student! Proxies of higher education quality exist, but none are perfect! !- Rankings often biased towards input factors and research! !- Subjectivity of reputation factor! !- Cultural sensitivity of satisfaction factor! !- Labour market outcomes sensitive to conjoncture and local ! economic conditions! Learning outcomes as a promising direction! So !- Defining them (Tuning process in Bologna area)! what?! !- Incorporating them in quality assurance processes! !- Measuring them (AHELO)! 15!
  • 16. Changes in student numbers and expenditure for tertiary education! Index of change between 2000 and 2006 (2000=100, 2006 constant prices) ! EAG 2009! B1.7b! 16!
  • 17. The AHELO initiative! What is AHELO?! A ground-breaking initiative to assess HE learning outcomes on an international scale, by creating measures that would be valid:# •  For all cultures and languages;# •  And also for the diversity of HE institutions.# Why undertake the study?! After decades of quantitative growth in HE, consensus on the need to ensure quality for all (Athens, 2006)… but information gap on learning outcomes# Carry out a feasibility study to provide a proof of concept (Tokyo, 2008)# Why is AHELO important?! •  Employs a wide range of measures# •  Provides faculties, students and government agencies with a more balanced assessment of HE quality – not just research-driven rankings!# •  No sacrifice of HEIsʼ missions or autonomy in their subsequent efforts to improve performance.# 17!
  • 18. A multi-dimensional definition of quality! Addressing the needs of various users and uses! •  “Bottom line” of performance# •  “Value-added” to assess the quality of services # •  Contextual data to reveal best practices and problems, and to identify teaching and learning practices leading to better outcomes# Both in discipline-related competencies …! •  Easily interpretable in the context of departments and faculties ... # •  But require highly differentiated instruments# And in generic skills! •  Less dependent on occupational and cultural contexts, applicable across HEIs … # •  But reflect cumulative learning outcomes and less relevant to the subject-matter competencies that are familiar to HEIs, departments or faculties# 18!
  • 19. A study with great potential…! … Diagnosis is the basis of any improvement! Better information on student learning outcomes is the first step to # improve teaching and learning for all:# #Provide evidence for national and institutional policy and practice# #Equip institutions with the method and tools to improve teaching# … Shaping the future of higher education to address key challenges! Equity:# #Build fairer higher education systems, promoting success for all# Responsiveness:# #Better connect higher education and society# Effectiveness:# #Help students make informed choices to ensure success for all# Impact:# #Foster international transparency and mobility# 19!
  • 20. AHELO at a glance! To assess whether reliable cross-national comparisons of HE Goal?! learning outcomes are scientifically possible and whether their implementation is feasible.! Not a pilot, but rather a research approach to provide a proof of What?! concept and proof of practicality.! The outcomes will be used to assist countries to decide on the Why?! next steps. No pre-determined conclusion.! When?! Testing window: late 2010-early 2011.! Target population of students who are near, but before, the end of Who?! their first 3-4 year degree. ! How?! OECD guiding international expert committees! Contractors in charge of developing the assessment instruments.! 20!
  • 21. AHELO tests of instruments! 3 assessment instruments! Assessment Assessment Assessment generic skills! discipline- discipline- specific skills in specific skills in engineering! economics! Including Finland, Including Including Belgium Korea, # Australia, Japan, (Fl.), Italy, Mexico, Norway, Sweden# Mexico, USA# Netherlands# Contextual instruments! Contextual indicators and indirect proxies of quality! To analyse determinants of LO and their development! 3 groups of countries! 21!
  • 22. AHELO: 4 strands of work! Discipline strand ! Discipline strand ! in Economics! in Engineering! Research-based “Value- Generic skills strand! added” or “Learning gain” measurement strand! Several perspectives to explore the issue of value- added (conceptually, psychometrics), building on recent OECD work at school level.# 22!
  • 23. Current status!   Institutional framework in place!   Next meeting March   Substantive work   Contextual dimension analytical framework   Tuning-AHELO reports   Communication & dissemination   Stakeholders’ Consultative Group   Participating countries   14 confirmed participants allocated to various strands of work to ensure geographical, language & cultural diversity   First contract awarded   Fundraising continues   Main contractor selected 23!
  • 24. AHELO is managed by the OECD 
 IMHE Programme 
 Institutional Management in Higher Education! A network of 246 members from 48 countries HEIs, government and agencies Policy analyses and services to members An institutional voice within OECD 24!
  • 25. What are the concrete benefits of becoming a member of IMHE?! Higher education in a world changed utterly? Doing more with less Paris, France 13-15 September 2010 25!
  • 26. Thank you! Thank you! Time for questions and comments! richard.yelland@oecd.org! For more information, visit! www.oecd.org/edu/ahelo ! 26!