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Making	
  Money	
  From	
  Free	
  
  Konstantin	
  Kalabin,	
  Top	
  Internet	
  Consulting	
  
                                   	
  
                  ICMA	
  Conference,	
  Nice,	
  April	
  2011	
  
Contents	
  

!   Media	
  business	
  model	
  disruption	
  

!   Freemium	
  model	
  in	
  classifieds	
  

!   The	
  Magic	
  Formula	
  

!   Applying	
  the	
  Magic	
  Formula	
  

!   Customer	
  segmentation	
  
Media	
  Business	
  Models	
  Disruption	
  


                                          Technology	
  
                                          step-­‐change	
  


     Multi-­‐     Pay	
  for	
                                               Multi-­‐
     Sided	
      Access	
                                                   Sided	
  
                                                                            Markets	
  
    Markets	
  
                                                                                          Freemium	
  


                                         Digital	
  access	
  
                                           costs	
  -­‐>	
  0	
  
                                     Digital	
  production	
  
                                   costs	
  reduced,	
  but	
  ≠	
  0	
  
       Profits	
  $$$	
                                                              Profits	
  ?	
  
What	
  is	
  a	
  Multi-­‐Sided	
  Market?	
  
!   “Multi-­‐Sided	
  Market”	
  is	
  	
  a	
  business	
  model	
  in	
  which	
  several	
  different	
  
    types	
  of	
  users	
  exchange	
  goods,	
  services	
  or	
  information.	
  

!   Network	
  effects	
  are	
  an	
  integral	
  characteristic	
  
     !     Cross-­‐side	
  (buyers/sellers)	
  is	
  most	
  common,	
  must	
  be	
  +	
  
     !     Same	
  side	
  (users/users),	
  can	
  be	
  +	
  or	
  -­‐	
  

!   Tend	
  to	
  be	
  “winner	
  takes	
  all”	
  markets	
  

!   Usually	
  one	
  side	
  is	
  subsidized	
  by	
  others	
  to	
  achieve	
  wide	
  adoption	
  

!   Multi-­‐sided	
  markets	
  examples	
  
     !     Telephone	
  Networks,	
  All	
  Newspapers,	
  Visa,	
  Game	
  Consoles,	
  Google	
  
Classifieds	
  as	
  a	
  Multi-­‐Sided	
  Market:	
  
                        Print	
  


              Prod	
  
                                     Sellers	
                   Fees	
  
                                                                                                      Advertisers	
  	
  
                                                                                        Sales	
                           Display	
  
              &	
  CS	
      	
  (Free	
  |	
  Paying	
  )	
                            Force	
        (Display)	
         Ads	
  
                                             	
  
                                 Strongly	
  Negative	
                                                    	
  
                                                                                                        Negative	
  



                                  Very	
  Strong	
                               Very	
  Strong	
  
                                                                                                                 Legend:	
  

                                                                                                                        Revenues	
  
   Circ	
                   Buyers	
  (Readers)	
                           Copy	
                                      Costs	
  
    &	
  
   Mark	
                                  	
                               Sales	
  
                                       Neutral	
                                                                  Network	
  Effects	
  
Classifieds	
  as	
  a	
  Multi-­‐Sided	
  Market:	
  
                     Online	
  
                            Freemium	
  principles	
  



              Prod	
  
                                     Sellers	
                                                   Advertisers	
  	
  
                                                                 Fees	
  
              &	
  CS	
                                                                                                    Online	
  
                             	
  (Free	
  |	
  Paying	
  )	
                                      (Display)	
  
                                                                                  Sales	
  
                                                                                                                            Ads	
  

                                             	
  
                                 Strongly	
  Negative	
                                               	
  
                                                                                                   Negative	
  



                                  Very	
  Strong	
                          Very	
  Strong	
  
                                                                                                             Legend:	
  

                                                                                                                    Revenues	
  

                            Buyers	
  (Visitors)	
                                                                  Costs	
  
   Mark	
  
                                           	
  
                                       Neutral	
                                                              Network	
  Effects	
  
What	
  is	
  Freemium?	
  
!     “Freemium”	
  is	
  	
  a	
  business	
  model	
  in	
  which	
  one	
  segment	
  of	
  users	
  can	
  receive	
  
      service	
  for	
  free	
  permanently,	
  while	
  other	
  customer	
  segments	
  subsidize	
  the	
  
      cost	
  of	
  providing	
  the	
  service	
  to	
  free	
  users	
  

!     Demand	
  is	
  maximum	
  at	
  the	
  point	
  of	
  “Free”.	
  The	
  difference	
  between	
  1p	
  vs	
  
      free	
  is	
  the	
  difference	
  between	
  having	
  to	
  make	
  a	
  decision	
  vs	
  just	
  do	
  it	
  

!     Usually	
  free	
  and	
  paying	
  customers	
  have	
  same	
  needs,	
  but	
  of	
  different	
  
      importance	
  and/or	
  scale	
  

!     Subsidy	
  happens	
  within	
  the	
  same	
  type	
  of	
  customers	
  –	
  key	
  difference	
  to	
  
      multi-­‐sided	
  markets	
  

!     Free	
  samples,	
  shareware	
  are	
  not	
  freemium	
  models	
  

!     Freemium	
  examples	
  
      !     Skype,	
  Evernote,	
  LinkedIn,	
  Google	
  Apps,	
  Zynga	
  etc	
  
Freemium	
  in	
  Classifieds	
  Business	
  
                                 We	
  need	
  to	
  get	
  scale	
  
                                  to	
  improve	
  profits!	
  
                                 Invest	
  in	
  marketing	
  
                                   and	
  drive	
  traffic!	
  	
  




                                                                             Hmmm…,	
  
                                                                        	
  you	
  make	
  an	
  
                                                                             interesting	
  
                                                                               point…	
  
Little	
  Experiment	
  
Original	
  situation	
                                           Double	
  revenue	
  per	
  paying	
  user	
  




                                    Negative	
  Correlation	
  
Double	
  conversion	
  rate	
                                              Halve	
  costs	
  per	
  free	
  user	
  
The	
  Magic	
  Formula	
  
The	
  3	
  Levers	
  of	
  Freemium	
  Model	
  

!   Cost	
  per	
  free	
  user	
  (CFU)	
  

!   Revenue	
  per	
  paying	
  user	
  (RPU)	
  

!   Conversion	
  rate	
  (CR)	
  
                                                          CR	
  
	
  
                                                RPU	
  

                                                                   CFU	
  
Cost	
  /	
  Free	
  User:	
  Minimize	
  

                    Most	
  of	
  freemium	
  businesses	
  fail	
  
                  because	
  of	
  prohibitively	
  high	
  costs	
  of	
  
                                     free	
  users	
  




   User	
                               User	
  
                                                                              Total	
  Cost	
  /	
  
Acquisition	
                         Servicing	
  
                                                                               Free	
  User	
  
  Costs	
                              Costs	
  
Cost	
  /	
  Free	
  User:	
  Acquisition	
  

Will	
  I	
  use	
  this	
     Do	
  I	
  recommend	
                                   • Can	
  be	
  cheaper	
  than	
  SEM	
  	
  
                               it	
  to	
  my	
  friends?	
                   TV	
      • Good	
  for	
  very	
  large	
  scale	
  
service	
  again?	
                                                                     • Super	
  fast	
  


                                                                                                • Expensive	
  	
  (CPA	
  =	
  $0.5-­‐1.2)	
  
                                                                            SEM	
               • ROI	
  constant	
  
                                                                                                • Fast	
  


                                                                                                         • Ideally	
  no	
  cash	
  involved	
  
                                                                      Partnerships	
                     • Time	
  &	
  effort	
  to	
  establish	
  
                                                                                                          and	
  manage	
  


                                                                                                                  • Very	
  Cheap	
  (CPA	
  =	
  
                                                                                                                   $0.01)	
  
                                                                            SEO	
                                 • ROI	
  grows	
  over	
  time	
  
                                                                                                                  • Slow	
  

                                                                                                                           • Free	
  (CPA	
  =	
  0)	
  
                                                                Repeat	
  Visitors	
  (Core)	
                             • Organic	
  
                                                                        x	
  WoM	
                                          growth	
  
                                                                                                                           • Greatest	
  asset	
  
Cost	
  /	
  Free	
  User:	
  Servicing	
  
Will	
  they	
  enjoy	
          Do	
  they	
  still	
  
  using	
  our	
              recommend	
  us	
  to	
  
service	
  again?	
             their	
  friends?	
               	
          • Outsource	
  all	
  non-­‐critical	
  
                                                                               functions	
  
                                                                 Out-­‐	
     • Leverage	
  specialist	
  technologies	
  
                                                                source	
  




                                                                                         • Sharp	
  focus	
  on	
  80/20	
  	
  
                                                                                         • Pass	
  costs	
  onto	
  users	
  
                                                             Eliminate	
                 • Use	
  open-­‐source	
  &	
  free	
  	
  
                                                                                          technology	
  
                                                                                         • Self-­‐service	
  everywhere	
  



                                                                                                        • Digitize	
  all	
  
                                                                                                         processes	
  

                                                           Automate	
                                   • Balance	
  
                                                                                                         performance,	
  
                                                                                                         complexity,	
  
                                                                                                         reliability	
  
Conversion	
  Rate:	
  Maximize	
  
                                                           Dominate	
  niche	
                               Charge	
  for	
  really	
  
                                                             demand	
                                       important	
  features	
  


                                                                                                                                                 Page	
  views	
  go	
  
                  Ouch!	
                                                                                                                        up	
  after	
  paying	
  
                                                                                                       Demonstrate	
  
                                                                                                          Value	
  
                                                                        Make	
  It	
  Easy	
  
           Hmmm?…	
  
                                                                                                                                 !        Analyze	
  response	
  from	
  each	
  upsell	
  
                                                                                                     Be	
  
                                                                                                 Reasonable	
  
                    Easy	
                                                                                                       !        Communicate	
  the	
  effects	
  to	
  user	
  in	
  
                                                                                                                                           their	
  terms	
  (“sell	
  twice	
  faster”)	
  


!    Never	
  more	
  than	
  3	
  options	
  at	
  a	
  time	
  
!    Provide	
  all	
  popular	
  payment	
  methods	
  
                                                                                                                                           10	
  mins	
  of	
  time	
  vs	
  £5?	
  
!    Know	
  which	
  option	
  you	
  want	
  the	
  user	
  
      to	
  choose	
  and	
  make	
  it	
  clear	
  why	
  
                                                                              Conversion	
  
                                                                                                                         !    Charge	
  for	
  things	
  that	
  have	
  obvious	
  costs	
  
                                                                                  Typically	
  2	
  to	
  8%	
                 (print	
  ads,	
  private	
  numbers,	
  larger	
  photos)	
  
                                                                                                                         !    Price	
  proportionate	
  to	
  value	
  to	
  customer	
  
Revenue	
  /	
  Paying	
  User:	
  Increase	
  

                  Sell	
  benefits	
  not	
  features	
      Manage	
  limited	
  
                                                           capacity	
  –	
  charge	
  
                                                            per	
  time	
  period	
  




                                                             Vary	
  prices	
  by	
  
                                                           category	
  based	
  on	
  
                                                            avg	
  item	
  price	
  or	
  
                                                           category	
  demand	
  




                                                             Increased	
  reach	
  




                                                             Play	
  on	
  urgency	
  
Cost	
  /	
  Paying	
  User:	
  Optimize	
  

!   CPU	
  can	
  be	
  several	
  times	
  CFU,	
  but	
  usually	
  2x-­‐3x	
  
!   Acquisition	
  Costs	
  
    !   SEM	
  optimized	
  based	
  on	
  lifetime	
  value	
  just	
  like	
  in	
  
        eCommerce	
  

!   Servicing	
  Costs	
  
    !        Hosting	
  costs	
  much	
  higher	
  due	
  to	
  volumes	
  
    !        Support	
  includes	
  higher	
  human	
  involvement	
  
    !        Payment	
  processing	
  costs	
  (incl.	
  fraud)	
  
    !        Refunds	
  
User	
  Segments	
  &	
  Strategies	
  
                                                           Max	
     Likelihood	
  of	
  paying	
  


       Delight:	
                    Convenience-­‐	
                       Trade	
  &	
                                    Harvest	
  &	
  Learn	
  
    Win	
  trust	
                                                                                                             Analyze	
  
                                     &	
  Time-­‐Savvy	
                  Professional	
                                       Segment	
  
       Support	
  
Beat	
  expectations	
  
                                           Sellers	
                         Sellers	
                 80%	
  of	
             Optimize	
  
                                   • 5%	
  of	
  customers	
           • 10%	
  of	
  customers	
     Revenue	
                 Service	
  
                                   • 2%	
  of	
  ads	
                 • 40%	
  of	
  ads	
  

                                                                                                                       Volume	
  or	
  
                                                                                                                       Frequency	
  
                         Min	
                                                                          Max	
  
                                    Cost-­‐Sensitive	
                      Spammers	
  
                                     Occasional	
                      • 10%	
  of	
  users	
  
      Impress:	
                                                                                                            Minimize	
  impact:	
  
            Fast	
                     Sellers	
                       • 40%	
  of	
  ads	
                                 Delete	
  at	
  source	
  
       Simple	
                    • 75%	
  of	
  customers	
                                                                 No	
  refunds	
  
      It	
  works!	
               • 18%	
  of	
  ads	
                                                                       Block	
  access	
  



                                                           Min	
          80%	
  of	
  Costs	
  
Making	
  money	
  from	
  free	
  	
  
 is	
  not	
  rocket	
  science!	
  
         But	
  it’s	
  not	
  far	
  off…	
  
Your	
  Questions	
  
konstantin@topinternetprojects.com	
  
   www.linkedin.com/in/kalabin	
  
     Skype:	
  konstantin.kalabin	
  

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How to Make Money From Free Content

  • 1. Making  Money  From  Free   Konstantin  Kalabin,  Top  Internet  Consulting     ICMA  Conference,  Nice,  April  2011  
  • 2. Contents   !   Media  business  model  disruption   ! Freemium  model  in  classifieds   !   The  Magic  Formula   !   Applying  the  Magic  Formula   !   Customer  segmentation  
  • 3. Media  Business  Models  Disruption   Technology   step-­‐change   Multi-­‐ Pay  for   Multi-­‐ Sided   Access   Sided   Markets   Markets   Freemium   Digital  access   costs  -­‐>  0   Digital  production   costs  reduced,  but  ≠  0   Profits  $$$   Profits  ?  
  • 4. What  is  a  Multi-­‐Sided  Market?   !   “Multi-­‐Sided  Market”  is    a  business  model  in  which  several  different   types  of  users  exchange  goods,  services  or  information.   !   Network  effects  are  an  integral  characteristic   !   Cross-­‐side  (buyers/sellers)  is  most  common,  must  be  +   !   Same  side  (users/users),  can  be  +  or  -­‐   !   Tend  to  be  “winner  takes  all”  markets   !   Usually  one  side  is  subsidized  by  others  to  achieve  wide  adoption   !   Multi-­‐sided  markets  examples   !   Telephone  Networks,  All  Newspapers,  Visa,  Game  Consoles,  Google  
  • 5. Classifieds  as  a  Multi-­‐Sided  Market:   Print   Prod   Sellers   Fees   Advertisers     Sales   Display   &  CS    (Free  |  Paying  )   Force   (Display)   Ads     Strongly  Negative     Negative   Very  Strong   Very  Strong   Legend:   Revenues   Circ   Buyers  (Readers)   Copy   Costs   &   Mark     Sales   Neutral   Network  Effects  
  • 6. Classifieds  as  a  Multi-­‐Sided  Market:   Online   Freemium  principles   Prod   Sellers   Advertisers     Fees   &  CS   Online    (Free  |  Paying  )   (Display)   Sales   Ads     Strongly  Negative     Negative   Very  Strong   Very  Strong   Legend:   Revenues   Buyers  (Visitors)   Costs   Mark     Neutral   Network  Effects  
  • 7. What  is  Freemium?   !   “Freemium”  is    a  business  model  in  which  one  segment  of  users  can  receive   service  for  free  permanently,  while  other  customer  segments  subsidize  the   cost  of  providing  the  service  to  free  users   !   Demand  is  maximum  at  the  point  of  “Free”.  The  difference  between  1p  vs   free  is  the  difference  between  having  to  make  a  decision  vs  just  do  it   !   Usually  free  and  paying  customers  have  same  needs,  but  of  different   importance  and/or  scale   !   Subsidy  happens  within  the  same  type  of  customers  –  key  difference  to   multi-­‐sided  markets   !   Free  samples,  shareware  are  not  freemium  models   ! Freemium  examples   !   Skype,  Evernote,  LinkedIn,  Google  Apps,  Zynga  etc  
  • 8. Freemium  in  Classifieds  Business   We  need  to  get  scale   to  improve  profits!   Invest  in  marketing   and  drive  traffic!     Hmmm…,    you  make  an   interesting   point…  
  • 9. Little  Experiment   Original  situation   Double  revenue  per  paying  user   Negative  Correlation   Double  conversion  rate   Halve  costs  per  free  user  
  • 11. The  3  Levers  of  Freemium  Model   !   Cost  per  free  user  (CFU)   !   Revenue  per  paying  user  (RPU)   !   Conversion  rate  (CR)   CR     RPU   CFU  
  • 12. Cost  /  Free  User:  Minimize   Most  of  freemium  businesses  fail   because  of  prohibitively  high  costs  of   free  users   User   User   Total  Cost  /   Acquisition   Servicing   Free  User   Costs   Costs  
  • 13. Cost  /  Free  User:  Acquisition   Will  I  use  this   Do  I  recommend   • Can  be  cheaper  than  SEM     it  to  my  friends?   TV   • Good  for  very  large  scale   service  again?   • Super  fast   • Expensive    (CPA  =  $0.5-­‐1.2)   SEM   • ROI  constant   • Fast   • Ideally  no  cash  involved   Partnerships   • Time  &  effort  to  establish   and  manage   • Very  Cheap  (CPA  =   $0.01)   SEO   • ROI  grows  over  time   • Slow   • Free  (CPA  =  0)   Repeat  Visitors  (Core)   • Organic   x  WoM   growth   • Greatest  asset  
  • 14. Cost  /  Free  User:  Servicing   Will  they  enjoy   Do  they  still   using  our   recommend  us  to   service  again?   their  friends?     • Outsource  all  non-­‐critical   functions   Out-­‐   • Leverage  specialist  technologies   source   • Sharp  focus  on  80/20     • Pass  costs  onto  users   Eliminate   • Use  open-­‐source  &  free     technology   • Self-­‐service  everywhere   • Digitize  all   processes   Automate   • Balance   performance,   complexity,   reliability  
  • 15. Conversion  Rate:  Maximize   Dominate  niche   Charge  for  really   demand   important  features   Page  views  go   Ouch!   up  after  paying   Demonstrate   Value   Make  It  Easy   Hmmm?…   !  Analyze  response  from  each  upsell   Be   Reasonable   Easy   !  Communicate  the  effects  to  user  in   their  terms  (“sell  twice  faster”)   ! Never  more  than  3  options  at  a  time   !  Provide  all  popular  payment  methods   10  mins  of  time  vs  £5?   !  Know  which  option  you  want  the  user   to  choose  and  make  it  clear  why   Conversion   !  Charge  for  things  that  have  obvious  costs   Typically  2  to  8%   (print  ads,  private  numbers,  larger  photos)   !  Price  proportionate  to  value  to  customer  
  • 16. Revenue  /  Paying  User:  Increase   Sell  benefits  not  features   Manage  limited   capacity  –  charge   per  time  period   Vary  prices  by   category  based  on   avg  item  price  or   category  demand   Increased  reach   Play  on  urgency  
  • 17. Cost  /  Paying  User:  Optimize   !   CPU  can  be  several  times  CFU,  but  usually  2x-­‐3x   !   Acquisition  Costs   !   SEM  optimized  based  on  lifetime  value  just  like  in   eCommerce   !   Servicing  Costs   !   Hosting  costs  much  higher  due  to  volumes   !   Support  includes  higher  human  involvement   !   Payment  processing  costs  (incl.  fraud)   !   Refunds  
  • 18. User  Segments  &  Strategies   Max   Likelihood  of  paying   Delight:   Convenience-­‐   Trade  &   Harvest  &  Learn   Win  trust   Analyze   &  Time-­‐Savvy   Professional   Segment   Support   Beat  expectations   Sellers   Sellers   80%  of   Optimize   • 5%  of  customers   • 10%  of  customers   Revenue   Service   • 2%  of  ads   • 40%  of  ads   Volume  or   Frequency   Min   Max   Cost-­‐Sensitive   Spammers   Occasional   • 10%  of  users   Impress:   Minimize  impact:   Fast   Sellers   • 40%  of  ads   Delete  at  source   Simple   • 75%  of  customers   No  refunds   It  works!   • 18%  of  ads   Block  access   Min   80%  of  Costs  
  • 19. Making  money  from  free     is  not  rocket  science!   But  it’s  not  far  off…  
  • 20. Your  Questions   konstantin@topinternetprojects.com   www.linkedin.com/in/kalabin   Skype:  konstantin.kalabin