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Pathway to Peace
through the

Digital Divide
Laura Mueller-Soppart
Capstone Fall 2013
Economic Stability & Peace

John Maynard Keynes, Economic Consequences of Peace, 1920
What is the Digital Divide?
gap between individuals, households, businesses and
geographic areas at different socio-economic levels with
regard both to their opportunities to access information
and communication technologies (ICTs) and to their use
of the Internet for a wide variety of activities
Why the Internet Matters
• 3.4% of GDP in top 70% global economy
stimulated by Internet activity
• 2.9% of global GDP
• $1.7 trillion economic contribution
• If the Internet were a sector it would outweigh
agriculture and utilities
• Internet contribution to GDP growth has been an
average 21% in mature countries over the past 5
years
• SMEs with high web index have experienced
2.1x growth over the last 3 years
• Less than 1/3 of surveyed SMEs have high
web index
Bridging the Digital Divide
Internet maturity correlates with a rising standard of living
Economic Impact of Electrification
Economic Impact of Electrification
Importance of Standardization
• Universal standards allow the electric grid to act
as one machine
• Increases economies of scale
• Keeps prices low
• Allows quicker global adoption
• International and national associations created
• Negotiate standards
• Share patents
• Learn best practices
• Engage with government agencies
• Standardization stops at regulating consumption
Energy Poverty ≠ Peace
Only ½ of primary students in Abu Hasheem, a small
south-eastern state in Sudan, received passing grades
on their exams in 2007. That number increased to 100
percent after the Sudan Multi Donor Fund-National
sponsored a project to provide solar power to the
community
Demand for Internet
In Sri Lanka, 76.6 percent of the population has
electricity access; yet, there are 81 active mobile
phones per 100 people
Demand for Internet
Risks of Unmet Demand
• Unmet economic potential
• 10% broadband penetration increase add
0.9 to 1.5 percentage points to per capita
GDP growth
• Education & Health gap continues to grow
• Online education
• Disease outbreak maps
• Information is powerful
• Amount of data produced in one day in 2013
is greater than all data stored before 2012
• Economic decisions are based on
information on a micro and macro level
Abundance  Peace
Literature Review
•

John Maynard Keynes, Economic
Consequences of Peace, 1920

•

Nicholas Carr, The Big Switch, 2008

•

Future Authors of the early 1900s

•

Vinton Cerf, Internet Freedom Declaration

•

OECD, Understanding the Digital Divide, 2001

•

McKinsey Global Institute, Why the Internet
Matters, 2011

•

Google, Digital Summit, 2013
Conclusions
• The digital divide is not sustainable because of the
importance of the Internet in modern society
• Electrification efforts are continuously unhinged, the
world operates on the assumption that energy will
always be available
• Information power will eclipse in importance, and all
deserve to assume that information will always be
available
• As witnesses with electricity, economies of scale and
standardization are key lowering pricing and expanding
networks
• Next steps are to develop policy recommendations that
also analyze the other components of peace and the
Internet

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Pathway to Peace through the Digital Divide

  • 1. Pathway to Peace through the Digital Divide Laura Mueller-Soppart Capstone Fall 2013
  • 2. Economic Stability & Peace John Maynard Keynes, Economic Consequences of Peace, 1920
  • 3. What is the Digital Divide? gap between individuals, households, businesses and geographic areas at different socio-economic levels with regard both to their opportunities to access information and communication technologies (ICTs) and to their use of the Internet for a wide variety of activities
  • 4. Why the Internet Matters • 3.4% of GDP in top 70% global economy stimulated by Internet activity • 2.9% of global GDP • $1.7 trillion economic contribution • If the Internet were a sector it would outweigh agriculture and utilities • Internet contribution to GDP growth has been an average 21% in mature countries over the past 5 years • SMEs with high web index have experienced 2.1x growth over the last 3 years • Less than 1/3 of surveyed SMEs have high web index
  • 5. Bridging the Digital Divide Internet maturity correlates with a rising standard of living
  • 6. Economic Impact of Electrification
  • 7. Economic Impact of Electrification
  • 8. Importance of Standardization • Universal standards allow the electric grid to act as one machine • Increases economies of scale • Keeps prices low • Allows quicker global adoption • International and national associations created • Negotiate standards • Share patents • Learn best practices • Engage with government agencies • Standardization stops at regulating consumption
  • 9. Energy Poverty ≠ Peace Only ½ of primary students in Abu Hasheem, a small south-eastern state in Sudan, received passing grades on their exams in 2007. That number increased to 100 percent after the Sudan Multi Donor Fund-National sponsored a project to provide solar power to the community
  • 10. Demand for Internet In Sri Lanka, 76.6 percent of the population has electricity access; yet, there are 81 active mobile phones per 100 people
  • 12. Risks of Unmet Demand • Unmet economic potential • 10% broadband penetration increase add 0.9 to 1.5 percentage points to per capita GDP growth • Education & Health gap continues to grow • Online education • Disease outbreak maps • Information is powerful • Amount of data produced in one day in 2013 is greater than all data stored before 2012 • Economic decisions are based on information on a micro and macro level
  • 14. Literature Review • John Maynard Keynes, Economic Consequences of Peace, 1920 • Nicholas Carr, The Big Switch, 2008 • Future Authors of the early 1900s • Vinton Cerf, Internet Freedom Declaration • OECD, Understanding the Digital Divide, 2001 • McKinsey Global Institute, Why the Internet Matters, 2011 • Google, Digital Summit, 2013
  • 15. Conclusions • The digital divide is not sustainable because of the importance of the Internet in modern society • Electrification efforts are continuously unhinged, the world operates on the assumption that energy will always be available • Information power will eclipse in importance, and all deserve to assume that information will always be available • As witnesses with electricity, economies of scale and standardization are key lowering pricing and expanding networks • Next steps are to develop policy recommendations that also analyze the other components of peace and the Internet