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O c t o b e r 
2 0 1 4 
or prior academic achievement. And while 
this study occurred during a period when 
the State of New York raised its high school 
graduation standards and New York City was 
taking steps to meet those standards — and 
thus graduation rates were rising across 
the city — students who enrolled in SSCs 
consistently outperformed their control group 
counterparts in each of the years studied. 
Furthermore, SSCs achieve these gains at a 
lower cost per graduate than that of the high 
schools attended by their control group 
counterparts, in large part because more 
SSC enrollees successfully graduate from 
high school and fewer SSC enrollees need to 
attend a fifth year of high school.3 
Using college enrollment and degree 
attainment data from the National Student 
Clearinghouse, this policy brief provides 
evidence that the positive academic effects 
of attending an SSC continue beyond high 
school. Specifically, findings indicate that 
attending an SSC in high school substantially 
increases students’ enrollment and 
persistence in postsecondary education — a 
finding that holds true for students of a wide 
range of abilities entering colleges across the 
spectrum of selectivity. 
What A r e S S C s ? 
The impetus for small school creation 
by the New York City Department of 
Education (NYCDOE) began in the 1990s. 
In 2002, the NYCDOE instituted a district- 
Since 2010, MDRC has released 
three research reports on the 
New York City Department of Education’s 
multiyear initiative to create small public 
high schools that are open to any student 
who wants to attend. This brief adds 
evidence from a fourth cohort on high school 
graduation and presents MDRC’s first results 
with respect to these schools’ effects on 
postsecondary enrollment.1 
MDRC’s rigorous assessment has 
demonstrated that these schools have 
markedly increased graduation rates for 
disadvantaged students of color, many of 
whom start high school below grade level.2 
Yet it is no longer enough to improve high 
school graduation rates. In an economy that 
is increasingly characterized by technological 
change and globalization, it is widely accepted 
that enrollment and success in postsecondary 
education is necessary for young people to be 
prepared for the world of work. 
New York City’s new small public high schools of 
choice (“SSCs” for short) are well positioned 
to meet this challenge because of their focus 
on providing academically rigorous curricula 
and personalized learning environments 
for their students. As noted above, this 
approach has led to success: SSC enrollees 
have experienced large, positive effects on 
high school graduation rates compared with 
their control group counterparts, regardless 
of students’ family income, race/ethnicity, 
p o l icy b rief 
Headed to College 
The Effects of New York City’s Small High Schools 
of Choice on Postsecondary Enrollment 
By Rebecca Unterman
M D R C P o l i c y B r i e f 
2 
Since June 2010, MDRC has used the lottery 
procedure embedded in the NYCDOE 
high school admissions process, which 
determines placement when a given school 
has more applicants than seats, to identify 
a sample of over 100 SSCs and over 21,000 
students. These lotteries provide a random-assignment- 
like experimental condition that 
allows researchers to estimate the effects of 
attending an SSC (as opposed to some other 
type of New York City public high school). 
The resulting findings demonstrate that 
attending an SSC substantially improves 
students’ academic transition into high 
school and markedly increases their high 
school graduation rates. Students of all 
backgrounds experience these effects.7 
What I s This P o l icy 
B r i e f About? 
This policy brief updates MDRC’s research 
on SSCs by (1) updating high school 
graduation effects with an additional (fourth) 
student cohort and (2) following four student 
cohorts into postsecondary education.8 On 
the second point, it addresses the following 
questions: 
• What is the effect of attending an SSC on 
students’ rates of enrollment in 
postsecondary education? 
• To what extent does this effect differ for 
postsecondary institutions of varying 
selectivity? 
• To what extent does this effect differ by 
students’ background characteristics, such 
as their race, income, or prior academic 
achievement? 
• What is the effect of attending an SSC on 
students’ persistence over time in the 
pursuit of a postsecondary degree? 
wide high school admissions process that 
emphasized student choice and began 
establishing over 100 new academically 
nonselective small public schools. Because 
these new small schools were intended to be 
accessible options for students with widely 
varying backgrounds, MDRC researchers 
call them “small schools of choice.” The 
NYCDOE created SSCs in partnership with 
a consortium of funders as well as with the 
United Federation of Teachers, the Council of 
School Supervisors and Administrators, New 
Visions for Public Schools, and a number 
of other intermediary organizations.4 About 
94 percent of students attending SSCs are 
black or Hispanic, 84 percent qualify for free 
or reduced-price lunch, and 75 percent enter 
high school performing below grade level in 
reading or mathematics.5 
The staff, structure, and mission of each 
SSC were built “from scratch” as part of 
a competitive application process that 
solicited proposals from parents, community 
members, teachers, and administrators with 
a commitment to educational excellence. 
Each SSC planning team had the authority 
to choose a school theme and a community 
or business partner. However, all teams 
were required to propose curricula and 
school structures that promoted academic 
rigor, real-world relevance, and personalized 
relationships. In addition, each SSC planning 
team was encouraged to partner with an 
outside intermediary organization that could 
provide additional supports. These supports 
ranged from funding to assisting with the 
hiring of new teachers and staff to providing 
students with opportunities to connect their 
schoolwork with the world of work.6
all four cohorts — that is, students entering 
ninth grade in the four school years 2005- 
2006 through 2008-2009 — even though, as 
noted above, the benchmark graduation rate 
of students attending other New York City 
high schools, against which SSCs are judged, 
was also rising during this period.10 Equally 
impressive results evident through the fourth 
cohort include: 
• The higher graduation rate of SSC enrollees 
was driven by students earning Regents 
diplomas (50.2 percent among target SSC 
enrollees, compared with 43.5 percent of 
their control group counterparts). 
• A higher percentage of SSC enrollees 
achieved a score of 75 or above on the 
English Regents exam, a measure of 
3 
O c t o b e r 2 0 1 4 
Hav e S S C E f f e c t s on 
High S chool 
Graduat ion B e en 
S u s ta ine d? 
Results for the new student cohort confirm 
previous findings that SSCs appreciably 
increase high school graduation rates; 
graduation is defined in this brief as “on 
time” if it occurs at the end of a student’s 
fourth year of high school.9 Findings in 
Table 1 indicate that, for the four student 
cohorts in the present analysis, attending an 
SSC increased average on-time high school 
graduation rates by 9.4 percentage points 
(to 71.6 percent for target SSC enrollees 
from 62.2 percent for their control group 
counterparts). This effect is consistent across 
Table 1. SSC Effects on Four-Year High School Graduation Rates, College Readiness, and 
Postsecondary Enrollment: Cohorts 1-4 
Outcome (%) Target SSC 
Enrollees 
control 
Group 
Counterparts 
estimated 
Effect 
P-Value for 
estimated 
Effect 
Graduation 
Graduated from high school 71.6 62.2 9.4 ** 0.000 
Local diploma granted 13.2 11.4 1.8 0.160 
Regents diploma granted 50.2 43.5 6.7 ** 0.001 
Advanced Regents diploma granted 8.2 7.3 0.9 0.514 
College readiness 
Passed English Regents at 75 or higher 42.1 35.8 6.3 ** 0.001 
Passed Math A Regents at 75 or higher 25.1 24.5 0.5 0.760 
Postsecondary enrollment 
Enrolled in postsecondary education 49.0 40.7 8.4 ** 0.000 
NOTES: Findings in this table are based on four-year follow-up data for 14,608 participants. Estimates of the effect of enrolling in an SSC 
were obtained by comparing mean outcomes for winners and losers of students’ first SSC lottery while accounting for which lottery 
participants enrolled in an SSC and which did not, using the lottery outcome interacted with a binary lottery indicator as an instrumental 
variable for SSC enrollment and adjusting estimated standard errors for student clustering by the first school they attended. Some findings 
may not sum exactly due to rounding error. 
A two-tailed t-test was used to assess the statistical significance of each SSC estimated effect with significance levels indicated as 
** = 1 percent and * = 5 percent.
M D R C P o l i c y B r i e f 
4 
graduation rates and on college enrollment 
after on-time graduation (Table 1), the study 
found that, of the students who graduated from 
high school on time, 68.4 percent of target SSC 
students enrolled in a postsecondary institution 
the year after they graduated from high school, 
while 65.4 percent of their control group 
counterparts did so.14 Thus the overall increase 
in college enrollment caused by SSC attendance 
has two drivers: (1) a higher percentage of 
SSC graduates who enroll in college, and (2) a 
higher percentage of SSC attendees graduating 
from high school in four years. 
These findings indicate that SSCs increase 
the likelihood of postsecondary education 
for those who graduate on time. One might 
suppose, however, that within five or six years 
after entering high school, control group 
members in the present analysis “catch up” 
with their treatment group counterparts. They 
do not. After six years, students who attended 
an SSC are 8.2 percentage points more likely 
than their control group counterparts to have 
graduated from high school. Thus the positive 
SSC effect on students’ high school graduation 
rates is almost fully sustained. Furthermore, 
very few students graduate from high school 
in five or six years and enroll the next year in 
a postsecondary institution, so the positive 
SSC effect on students’ college enrollment is 
also sustained. (See Supplementary Table 3, 
available online, for more information.) 
SSCs Boost Enrollment in Colleges of All Kinds 
Given how many SSC enrollees enter high school 
with weak academic skills, one might suppose 
that the effect of SSCs on college enrollment 
might be driven mainly by students who attend 
nonselective postsecondary institutions. Using 
Barron’s college selectivity ratings, which rank 
four-year degree-granting institutions on such 
college readiness used by the City 
University of New York (42.1 percent, 
compared with 35.8 percent among the 
control group counterparts). 
• The positive effects of SSC enrollment held 
up for different subgroups, including black 
males, whose graduation rate from SSC 
schools is now 12.2 percentage points higher 
than that of their control group counterparts. 
• The graduation rate for SSC students 
eligible for special education services has 
reached statistical significance and is 13.4 
percentage points higher than that of their 
control group counterparts. 
For more details, see Supplementary Tables 1 
and 2, available online.11 
What Are the Effects 
of SSCs on Enrollment 
in Postsecondary 
Education? 
SSCs Boost Enrollment in Postsecondary Education 
As shown in Table 1, SSCs not only turned 
out a higher percentage of graduates but also 
markedly increased the percentage of students 
going on to college. Attending an SSC increased 
the percentage of students who graduated 
from high school in four years and enrolled the 
next year in a postsecondary institution by 8.4 
percentage points (to 49.0 percent for target 
SSC enrollees).12 This effect is highly statistically 
significant and is consistent across the four 
annual student cohorts that were studied.13 
Even among on-time graduates, the study 
found that SSC attendance increased the 
percentage who then enrolled in postsecondary 
education, compared with on-time graduates 
among the control group members. Specifically, 
looking at SSC effects on four-year high school
5 
O c t o b e r 2 0 1 4 
factors as student acceptance rates, graduation 
rates, and ACT and SAT scores, the study found 
that this is not the case.15 
Table 2 indicates that target SSC enrollees 
who graduate from high school on time and 
enter college enroll in four-year institutions 
representing a range of selectivity levels, the 
most predominant being “very competitive,” 
“competitive,” and “noncompetitive” schools 
(with respective enrollment rates of 6.0 
percent, 8.3 percent, and 9.3 percent). In 
addition, almost 20 percent of target SSC 
enrollees select a two-year community college 
or technical school. In terms of SSC effects 
on these enrollment rates, Table 2 indicates 
that attending an SSC modestly increased 
enrollment rates in postsecondary schools at 
every selectivity level, with three of these seven 
estimated effects being statistically significant. 
In total, 29.7 percent of target SSC enrollees 
attend a four-year degree-granting institution 
versus 19.3 percent for all other types of 
institutions, including community colleges.16 
However, these proportions give a rough 
indication at best of enrollment in a four-year 
degree program, because the National Student 
Clearinghouse database does not indicate the 
type of program that students are enrolled in. 
Most of the four-year institutions attended 
by students in this sample also offer two-year 
degree programs, meaning that some students 
may be seeking two-year degrees within a four-year 
institution. Some may transfer to four-year 
degree programs within the institution, while 
Table 2. SSC Effects on Enrollment in Postsecondary Education After Graduating from 
High School in Four Years, by Barron’s Selectivity Level: Cohorts 1-4 
Outcome (%) Target SSC 
Enrollees 
control 
Group 
Counterparts 
estimated 
Effect 
P-Value for 
estimated 
Effect 
Enrolled in postsecondary education 49.0 40.7 8.4 ** 0.000 
by Barron’s S e l ectivity Level, for Cohorts 1 - 4 
Four-year colleges 
Most competitive 1.2 0.5 0.7 ** 0.003 
Highly competitive 1.6 0.4 1.2 ** 0.001 
Very competitive 6.0 4.7 1.2 0.091 
Competitive 8.3 7.2 1.1 0.188 
Less competitive 3.3 2.1 1.2 * 0.019 
Noncompetitive 9.3 8.3 1.0 0.312 
Two-year colleges 
Special/unranked/two-year 19.3 17.4 1.9 0.117 
NOTES: Findings in this table are based on data for 14,608 participants. See notes to Table 1 for an explanation of how SSC effects were 
determined. Some findings may not sum exactly due to rounding error. 
A two-tailed t-test was used to assess the statistical significance of each SSC estimated effect with significance levels indicated as 
** = 1 percent and * = 5 percent.
M D R C P o l i c y B r i e f 
6 
postsecondary enrollment rates for students 
who were eligible for free or reduced-price 
lunch by 9.6 percentage points.17 Perhaps 
most notably, SSCs increased postsecondary 
enrollment by 11.3 percentage points for 
black males, a 36 percent increase relative 
to the enrollment rate of their control 
group counterparts.18 Black females, 
Hispanic males, and Hispanic females 
also experienced positive SSC effects on 
postsecondary enrollment that ranged from 
5.6 to 7.0 percentage points. Three of these 
five estimated effects are highly statistically 
others might graduate with two-year degrees. 
A future report will provide more complete 
information on this issue by examining SSC 
effects on students’ attainment of two-year 
and four-year degrees. 
SSCs Raise Postsecondary Enrollment 
for Most Subgroups 
Table 3 illustrates that SSCs have a consistent 
pattern of positive effects on college 
enrollment for most student subgroups, 
including low-income students and students 
of color. For example, SSCs boosted 
Table 3. SSC Effects on Enrollment in Postsecondary Education After Graduating 
from High School in Four Years, by Student Subgroups: Cohorts 1-4 
student characteristics (%) Target SSC 
Enrollees 
control 
Group 
Counterparts 
estimated 
Effect 
P-Value for 
estimated 
Effect 
Sample 
Size 
Low-income status 
Eligible for free/reduced-price lunch 47.7 38.1 9.6 ** 0.000 9,182 
Not eligible for free/reduced-price lunch 51.3 46.1 5.2 * 0.049 5,426 
Race/ethnicity, by gender 
Black male 42.3 31.0 11.3 ** 0.002 2,727 
Black female 53.4 46.4 7.0 * 0.028 3,490 
Hispanic male 43.4 36.8 6.6 0.068 3,571 
Hispanic female 48.9 43.3 5.6 0.084 3,528 
Other male 63.7 62.3 1.4 0.783 666 
Other female 70.5 58.0 12.6 * 0.046 626 
8th-grade reading proficiency 
Did not meet standards (level 1) 26.2 22.9 3.3 0.476 1,288 
Partially met standards (level 2) 42.7 34.1 8.5 ** 0.000 8,221 
Fully met standards (level 3) 62.8 52.1 10.7 ** 0.000 4,551 
Met standards with distinction (level 4) 71.1 69.2 1.9 0.848 548 
NOTES: Findings in this table are based on data for 14,608 participants. See notes to Table 1 for an explanation of how SSC effects were 
determined. Some findings may not sum exactly due to rounding error. 
A two-tailed t-test was used to assess the statistical significance of each SSC estimated effect with significance levels indicated as 
** = 1 percent and * = 5 percent.
7 
O c t o b e r 2 0 1 4 
significant. (See Supplementary Table 4, 
available online, for further details.) 
SSCs also distinctly increased rates of 
postsecondary enrollment for students 
who had performed somewhat below or at 
grade level on their eighth-grade reading 
exam.19 For students who had performed 
somewhat below grade level, SSCs increased 
postsecondary enrollment by 8.5 percentage 
points; for students who had performed 
at grade level, SSCs increased it by 10.7 
percentage points. 
SSCs exhibited much smaller effects for 
students who had performed far above or far 
below grade level on their eighth-grade reading 
exam.20 Very few students who perform far 
above grade level apply to SSCs, and, because 
the majority of these students graduate from 
high school whether or not they attend an SSC, 
they experience virtually no SSC effect on high 
school graduation. And, in turn, SSCs had 
virtually no effect on the probability of college 
enrollment for this subgroup. 
For students who had performed far below 
grade level in eighth grade, SSCs increased 
on-time high school graduation rates by 7 
percentage points but increased postsecondary 
enrollment rates by only 3.3 percentage 
points. This estimated effect is not statistically 
significant, however, so one cannot be sure that 
it represents a real effect. The postsecondary 
prospects for students who performed far below 
grade level in eighth grade are extremely low 
(the control group counterpart postsecondary 
enrollment rate is only 22.9 percent), and the 
small and non-statistically significant estimated 
effect on college ascension by these students 
suggests that more is needed to increase their 
postsecondary enrollment rates. 
What A r e t h e E f f e c t s 
on P e r sist ence in 
Pos t s e cond a ry 
Educ at ion? 
Table 4 reports findings for the one student 
cohort whose yearly postsecondary enrollment 
can be followed through the fall of their fourth 
year after on-time graduation from high 
school.21 Not surprisingly, postsecondary 
enrollment levels decrease consistently and 
substantially over time for both the target SSC 
enrollees and their control group counterparts. 
However, even as the absolute levels of 
persistence decline, target SSC enrollees 
maintain a consistent advantage. For example, 
during their first year after on-time high 
school graduation, 44.4 percent of target SSC 
enrollees attended a postsecondary education 
program, while 37.6 percent of their control 
group counterparts did so — for an impact 
of 6.8 percentage points. Two years later, this 
effect remains a similar 5.8 percentage points. 
Three of the four yearly estimated effects are 
statistically significant. 
The follow-up period for this first cohort of 
students is limited to three and a half years 
after on-time high school graduation, so it 
is too early to examine effects on four-year 
degree attainment. However, if enrolled in 
postsecondary school full time, students may 
have had time to complete a two-year degree 
or certificate (depending on their remedial 
coursework requirements). Findings in Table 
4 suggest that three and a half years after 
on-time high school graduation (fall of year 
four), having attended an SSC increased 
degree or certificate attainment by 1.4 
percentage points (to 3.7 percent for target 
SSC enrollees from 2.3 percent for their 
control group counterparts).22 This SSC effect 
is statistically significant at the 0.10 level, but
M D R C P o l i c y B r i e f 
8 
Table 4. SSC Effects on Persistence in Postsecondary Education After Graduating 
from High School in Four Years: Cohort 1 
points. It is rare to find such large positive 
effects for a rigorously evaluated large-scale 
education reform and rarer still to see such 
effects continue into college. Hence, the 
present findings are unusually promising. 
Remarkably, SSCs achieve these gains 
for enrollees at a lower average total cost 
per graduate than that for their control 
group counterparts — roughly 14 percent 
to 16 percent lower. Interestingly, both 
SSC enrollees and control group enrollees 
attend high schools that turn out to have 
per-pupil costs somewhat higher than 
those of the average New York City high 
school and substantially higher than 
those of the largest high schools, which 
have significant economies of scale. Yet 
the per-pupil costs for the specific high 
schools that SSC enrollees and their control 
group counterparts attended are roughly 
similar. And, because more SSC students 
successfully graduate and fewer require 
an expensive fifth year of high school, the 
Outcome in Follow-Up Period (%) Target SSC 
Enrollees 
it does not reach the 0.05 standard applied 
in this brief. Thus while the SSC effect on 
degree or certificate attainment after three 
and a half years of postsecondary education 
is promising, the study will have to wait for a 
larger follow-up sample and a longer follow-up 
period for definitive evidence about the 
effects of SSCs on their students’ completion 
of college. 
Concl u sions 
On average, attending an SSC increased 
on-time high school graduation rates for 
the four student cohorts in the present 
analysis by 9.4 percentage points, an effect 
that is equivalent in magnitude to roughly 
44 percent of the gap in graduation rates 
between white students and students of 
color in New York City during the same 
period.23 For these student cohorts, attending 
an SSC also increased the probability of 
graduating from high school in four years 
and attending a postsecondary education 
program the following year by 8.4 percentage 
control 
Group 
Counterparts 
estimated 
Effect 
P-Value for 
estimated 
Effect 
Postsecondary enrollment 
Year 1a 44.4 37.6 6.8b * 0.011 
Year 2 37.6 31.3 6.4 * 0.040 
Year 3 31.7 25.8 5.8 * 0.046 
Fall of year 4 25.1 19.5 5.7 0.064 
Postsecondary degree completion 
Fall of year 4 3.7 2.3 1.4 0.096 
NOTES: Findings in this table are based on data for 4,473 participants. See notes to Table 1 for an explanation of how SSC effects were 
determined. Some findings may not sum exactly due to rounding error. 
A two-tailed t-test was used to assess the statistical significance of each SSC estimated effect with significance levels indicated as 
** = 1 percent and * = 5 percent. 
aYear 1 includes students who enrolled in a postsecondary institution at any point in the first year after four-year high school graduation. 
bWhile the overall effect for students in all four cohorts who graduated from high school in four years and enrolled in a postsecondary institution 
the next year is 8.4 percentage points (see Table 1), this table looks only at students in cohort 1, where the effect is 6.8 percentage points.
9 
O c t o b e r 2 0 1 4 
cost per graduate is significantly lower for 
SSC students than for their control group 
counterparts. These findings are consistent 
regardless of the approach used to estimate 
teacher costs, student composition, 
facility usage, start-up costs, or partner 
contributions to the schools.24 
Still, there is more work to be done. Roughly 
30 percent of target SSC enrollees do not 
graduate from high school on time and, even 
among those who do, roughly 31 percent 
do not go on to postsecondary education.25 
In addition, the very small postsecondary 
effects reported for students who enter high 
school performing far below grade level 
suggest that additional investment will be 
required to help these students obtain the 
skills they need to make at least some form 
of postsecondary education a viable option, 
a transition that will become increasingly 
important in the twenty-first-century labor 
market. 
Future MDRC reports will examine whether 
the present SSC effect on postsecondary 
enrollment translates into a corresponding 
effect on college degree attainment. Also, in 
an effort to understand the key components 
of SSCs that are responsible for their effects, 
these reports will explore SSC characteristics 
that might predict variation in their effects. 
In summary, the present findings provide 
strong evidence that a large-scale high 
school reform for youths who are far 
along in the K-12 pipeline, many of whom 
are academically below grade level when 
they enter high school, can have sizable 
positive effects on high school graduation, 
attainment of a Regents diploma, and 
postsecondary enrollment. 
Not e s 
1 The present findings are consistent with those 
reported by Abdulkadiroglu, Hu, and Pathak (2013), 
although the two analyses are based on different 
samples. 
2 Bloom and Unterman (2014). 
3 Bloom and Unterman (2014); Bifulco, Unterman, 
and Bloom (2014). 
4 The consortium of funders was led by the Bill & 
Melinda Gates Foundation, the Carnegie Corporation 
of New York, and the Open Society Institute. 
5 These figures describe students who entered 
SSCs between the fall of 2002 and the fall of 2008. 
6 For more detailed descriptions of New York City’s SSCs, 
see Quint, Smith, Unterman, and Moedano (2010) and 
Bloom, Levy Thompson, and Unterman (2010). 
7 For a description of MDRC’s analytic approach 
and a more detailed discussion of these findings, 
see Bloom and Unterman (2014). 
8 The four student cohorts included in this analysis 
are defined by the school year in which students 
participated as eighth-graders in the New York 
City high school application process: cohort one 
(2004-2005), cohort two (2005-2006), cohort three 
(2006-2007), and cohort four (2007-2008). 
9 Since June 2010 MDRC has released a series of 
reports using data for students who were in lotteries 
produced by the New York City high school application 
processing system in order to document the positive 
effects of SSCs on students’ academic attainment 
(Bloom, Levy Thompson, and Unterman 2010; Bloom 
and Unterman 2012; Bloom and Unterman 2013; Bloom 
and Unterman 2014). Abdulkadiroglu, Hu, and Pathak 
(2013) used some of these lotteries to study the effects 
of SSCs and, in so doing, confirmed MDRC’s findings. 
10 The improvements in SSC enrollees’ other high school 
options is evident in the control group counterparts’ 
increasing high school graduation rate, which rose 
by 6.5 percentage points between the first cohort and 
the fourth. Using district-wide NYCDOE data, Kemple 
(2013) also documents that New York City’s high 
school graduation rate rose during this period. 
Students who entered high school before the 
2008-2009 school year could graduate high school 
with a local diploma if they did not meet the statewide 
criteria for a Regents or Advanced Regents diploma. 
Beginning with the 2008-2009 ninth-grade cohort, 
the local diploma was no longer an option for general 
education students. More information on the Regents 
examination and course credit requirements for each 
diploma type can be found in Bloom, Levy Thompson, 
and Unterman (2010).
M D R C P o l i c y B r i e f 
10 
21 Table 4 reports yearly postsecondary enrollment 
rates for students in the sample. It does not report 
on continuous postsecondary enrollment. 
22 Roughly 3.7 percent of target SSC enrollees attained 
a degree or certificate within three and a half years 
after their on-time graduation from high school. This 
percentage may appear surprisingly low, but it is 
consistent with what is known about the attainment 
of associate of arts degrees from the City University 
of New York (CUNY) community college system. 
For example, a weighted average of three-year rates 
of attainment of associate’s degrees for first-time 
full-time freshmen in the six CUNY community 
colleges attended by 83 percent of target SSC enrollees 
attending community colleges is 12.3 percent (City 
University of New York Office of Institutional Research 
2014). Assuming that 12.3 percent of the 19.3 percent 
of the target SSC enrollees attending a community 
college (reported in Table 2) attained a degree would 
amount to 2.4 percent of target SSC enrollees attaining 
a degree in three years. In addition, if one assumed 
that a third of the 29.7 percent of target SSC enrollees 
who attended four-year postsecondary institutions 
(Table 2) were, in fact, pursuing a two-year degree and 
12.3 percent of them graduated within three years, this 
would add another 1.2 percent of target SSC enrollees 
who obtained a degree, producing a total of 3.6 percent. 
23 On average, across cohorts that entered high 
school in 2005-2006 through 2008-2009, the 
graduation gap between white students and students 
of color was approximately 21.18 percentage points 
(New York City Department of Education 2014). 
24 See Bifulco, Unterman, and Bloom (2014). 
25 The percentage of SSC graduates who do not 
go on to postsecondary institutions was calculated 
as follows ((71.6 – 49.0)/71.6) * 100) using the 
findings from Table 1. 
R e f e r ence s 
For all analyses in this brief, MDRC’s calculations 
use High School Application Processing System data 
from eighth-graders from 2004-2005 to 2007-2008, 
as well as data from New York City Department of 
Education course credits, Regents exam, enrollment, 
and National Student Clearinghouse files from the 
2005-2006 school year through the fall of 2012. 
Abdulkadiroglu, Atila, Weiwei Hu, and Parag A. 
Pathak. 2013. “Small High Schools and Student 
Achievement: Lottery-Based Evidence from New York 
City.” NBER Working Paper 19576. Cambridge, MA: 
National Bureau of Economic Research. 
Bifulco, Robert, Rebecca Unterman, and Howard 
S. Bloom. 2014. The Relative Costs of New York City’s 
Small Public High Schools of Choice. Working paper. 
New York: MDRC. 
11 For more detail, see Supplementary Tables 1 
and 2. Supplementary Tables 1-4 can be found in 
Rebecca Unterman, “Headed to College: The Effects 
of New York City’s Small High Schools of Choice on 
Postsecondary Enrollment — Supplementary Tables,” 
October 2014, on MDRC’s website (www.mdrc.org). 
12 In this brief “target SSC enrollees” refers 
to students who won a lottery for an SSC and 
subsequently enrolled. See Bloom and Unterman 
(2014) for a more detailed explanation. The 
postsecondary enrollment data used in this report 
were obtained from the National Clearinghouse 
by the NYCDOE, which had requested data only 
for students who graduated from an NYCDOE 
school. Therefore postsecondary enrollment data for 
students who did not graduate from an NYCDOE 
school are not available. 
13 See Supplementary Table 1 for cohort-by-cohort 
findings. 
14 These findings were obtained for each group by 
dividing its percentage of postsecondary enrollees 
by its percentage of four-year high school graduates, 
as reported in Table 1, and converting the result to 
a percentage (49/71.6 = 0.684 or 68.4 percent for 
target SSC enrollees and 40.7/62.2 = 0.654 or 65.4 
percent for their control group counterparts). 
15 No such ratings exist for postsecondary 
institutions other than four-year degree-granting 
institutions. 
16 The proportion of target SSC enrollees attending 
a four-year degree-granting institution was calculated 
by summing the proportion of target SSC enrollees 
in four-year colleges reported in Table 2 (1.2 + 1.6 + 
6.0 + 8.3 + 3.3 + 9.3 = 29.7). 
17 In New York State, students qualify for free or 
reduced-price lunch if their annual family income 
is less than the equivalent of $43,568 for a family of 
four. 
18 The 36 percent increase for black males is 
calculated by dividing the 11.3 percentage point effect 
for this subgroup by its control group counterpart 
enrollment rate (31.0 percent). 
19 New York State reports students’ eighth-grade 
reading test scores in four levels: did not meet 
standards (level 1), partially met standards (level 2), 
fully met standards (level 3), and met standards with 
distinction (level 4). Levels 1 and 2 represent student 
performance that is below grade level and levels 3 
and 4 represent student performance that is at or 
above grade level. 
20 The SSC effects across prior reading achievement 
subgroups are statistically significantly different from 
each other (p-value < 0.001).
11 
Ac knowledgment s 
This report and the study upon which it is based are 
funded by the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation. The author 
thanks the foundation leaders who supported this work — 
Allan Golston, Vicki Phillips, and James Shelton (formerly 
of Gates) — and the foundation staff who provided helpful 
guidance and feedback: David Silver and Fannie Tseng (my 
project officers), Adam Tucker, Sara Allan, Steve Cantrell, 
and all other members of the Strategy, Research, Data 
team. 
The study would not have been possible without continued 
support and cooperation from so many people at the 
New York City Department of Education that they are 
too numerous to name. In addition, the study benefited 
from discussions with Alvin Roth, Parag Pathak, Atila 
Abdulkadiroglu, and Neil Dorosin, creators of New York’s 
High School Application Processing System, who shared 
their insights about our study design. Furthermore, the 
study received much helpful advice from Jennifer Hill, 
Brian Jacob, Thomas Kane, Jeffrey Kling, Sean Reardon, 
and Richard Murnane, and from current and former 
colleagues at MDRC: Gordon Berlin, Fred Doolittle, John 
Hutchins, Rob Ivry, James Kemple (formerly of MDRC), 
Saskia Levy Thompson (formerly of MDRC), Pei Zhu, 
Micah DeLaurentis, Rebecca Coven, Gary Reynolds, and 
Luis Lopez Vivas. Finally, I would like to thank my MDRC 
colleague Howard Bloom for his help with this policy brief. 
Dissemination of MDRC publications is supported by 
the following funders that help finance MDRC’s public 
policy outreach and expanding efforts to communicate 
the results and implications of our work to policymakers, 
practitioners, and others: The Annie E. Casey Foundation, 
The Harry and Jeanette Weinberg Foundation, Inc., The 
Kresge Foundation, Laura and John Arnold Foundation, 
Sandler Foundation, and The Starr Foundation. 
In addition, earnings from the MDRC Endowment 
help sustain our dissemination efforts. Contributors 
to the MDRC Endowment include Alcoa Foundation, 
The Ambrose Monell Foundation, Anheuser-Busch 
Foundation, Bristol-Myers Squibb Foundation, Charles 
Stewart Mott Foundation, Ford Foundation, The George 
Gund Foundation, The Grable Foundation, The Lizabeth 
and Frank Newman Charitable Foundation, The New 
York Times Company Foundation, Jan Nicholson, Paul 
H. O’Neill Charitable Foundation, John S. Reed, Sandler 
Foundation, and The Stupski Family Fund, as well as other 
individual contributors. 
The findings and conclusions in this report do not necessarily 
represent the official positions or policies of the funders. 
For information about MDRC and copies of our 
publications, see our website: www.mdrc.org. 
Copyright © 2014 by MDRC®. All rights reserved. 
O c t o b e r 2 0 1 4 
Bloom, Howard S., Saskia Levy Thompson, and 
Rebecca Unterman, with Corinne Herlihy and 
Collin F. Payne. 2010. Transforming the High School 
Experience: How New York City’s New Small Schools 
Are Boosting Student Achievement and Graduation 
Rates. New York: MDRC. 
Bloom, Howard S., and Rebecca Unterman. 2012. 
Sustained Positive Effects on Graduation Rates 
Produced by New York City’s Small Public High Schools 
of Choice. New York: MDRC. 
Bloom, Howard S., and Rebecca Unterman. 
2013. Sustained Progress: New Findings About the 
Effectiveness and Operation of Small Public High 
Schools of Choice in New York City. New York: MDRC. 
Bloom, Howard S., and Rebecca Unterman. 2014. “Can 
Small High Schools of Choice Improve Educational 
Prospects for Disadvantaged Students?” Journal of 
Policy Analysis and Management 33, 2: 290-319. 
City University of New York Office of Institutional 
Research. 2014. “Institution Retention and 
Graduation Rates.” Website: http://cuny.edu/about/ 
administration/offices/ira/ir/data-book/current/ 
retention-graduation/institution.html. 
Kemple, James. 2013. “The Condition of New York 
City High Schools: Examining Trends and Looking 
Towards the Future.” New York: Research Alliance for 
New York City Schools. 
New York City Department of Education. 2014. 
“Cohorts of 2001 through 2009 (Classes of 2005 
through 2013) Graduation Outcomes.” Website: 
http://schools.nyc.gov/accountability/data/ 
graduationdropoutreports/default.htm. 
Quint, Janet, Janell Smith, Rebecca Unterman, and 
Alma Moedano. 2010. New York City’s Changing 
High School Landscape: High Schools and Their 
Characteristics, 2002-2008. New York: MDRC.
NONPROFIT 
ORGANIZATION 
US POSTAGE 
PAID 
ABR 
20602 
CHANGE SERVICE REQUESTED 
16 East 34th Street 
New York, NY 10016-4326 
Headed to College 
The Effects of New York City’s Small High Schools of Choice 
on Postsecondary Enrollment 
By Rebecca Unterman 
aking advantage of lottery-like features in New York City’s high school admissions process, 
previous MDRC reports have provided rigorous evidence that new small public high 
T 
schools are narrowing the educational attainment gap and markedly improving high school graduation 
prospects, particularly for disadvantaged students. The new findings in this policy brief demonstrate 
that these schools are also having a sustained effect on students’ enrollment and persistence in 
postsecondary education, with positive impacts for many different subgroups, including male and female 
students of color, students who partially or fully met their eighth-grade proficiency standards in math 
or English, and students eligible for free or reduced-price lunch. These gains involve postsecondary 
institutions representing a broad range of selectivity. Given available data, it is too early to determine the 
resulting effect on college degree attainment.

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Salient Features of India constitution especially power and functions
Salient Features of India constitution especially power and functionsSalient Features of India constitution especially power and functions
Salient Features of India constitution especially power and functions
 

HEADED TO COLLEGE

  • 1. O c t o b e r 2 0 1 4 or prior academic achievement. And while this study occurred during a period when the State of New York raised its high school graduation standards and New York City was taking steps to meet those standards — and thus graduation rates were rising across the city — students who enrolled in SSCs consistently outperformed their control group counterparts in each of the years studied. Furthermore, SSCs achieve these gains at a lower cost per graduate than that of the high schools attended by their control group counterparts, in large part because more SSC enrollees successfully graduate from high school and fewer SSC enrollees need to attend a fifth year of high school.3 Using college enrollment and degree attainment data from the National Student Clearinghouse, this policy brief provides evidence that the positive academic effects of attending an SSC continue beyond high school. Specifically, findings indicate that attending an SSC in high school substantially increases students’ enrollment and persistence in postsecondary education — a finding that holds true for students of a wide range of abilities entering colleges across the spectrum of selectivity. What A r e S S C s ? The impetus for small school creation by the New York City Department of Education (NYCDOE) began in the 1990s. In 2002, the NYCDOE instituted a district- Since 2010, MDRC has released three research reports on the New York City Department of Education’s multiyear initiative to create small public high schools that are open to any student who wants to attend. This brief adds evidence from a fourth cohort on high school graduation and presents MDRC’s first results with respect to these schools’ effects on postsecondary enrollment.1 MDRC’s rigorous assessment has demonstrated that these schools have markedly increased graduation rates for disadvantaged students of color, many of whom start high school below grade level.2 Yet it is no longer enough to improve high school graduation rates. In an economy that is increasingly characterized by technological change and globalization, it is widely accepted that enrollment and success in postsecondary education is necessary for young people to be prepared for the world of work. New York City’s new small public high schools of choice (“SSCs” for short) are well positioned to meet this challenge because of their focus on providing academically rigorous curricula and personalized learning environments for their students. As noted above, this approach has led to success: SSC enrollees have experienced large, positive effects on high school graduation rates compared with their control group counterparts, regardless of students’ family income, race/ethnicity, p o l icy b rief Headed to College The Effects of New York City’s Small High Schools of Choice on Postsecondary Enrollment By Rebecca Unterman
  • 2. M D R C P o l i c y B r i e f 2 Since June 2010, MDRC has used the lottery procedure embedded in the NYCDOE high school admissions process, which determines placement when a given school has more applicants than seats, to identify a sample of over 100 SSCs and over 21,000 students. These lotteries provide a random-assignment- like experimental condition that allows researchers to estimate the effects of attending an SSC (as opposed to some other type of New York City public high school). The resulting findings demonstrate that attending an SSC substantially improves students’ academic transition into high school and markedly increases their high school graduation rates. Students of all backgrounds experience these effects.7 What I s This P o l icy B r i e f About? This policy brief updates MDRC’s research on SSCs by (1) updating high school graduation effects with an additional (fourth) student cohort and (2) following four student cohorts into postsecondary education.8 On the second point, it addresses the following questions: • What is the effect of attending an SSC on students’ rates of enrollment in postsecondary education? • To what extent does this effect differ for postsecondary institutions of varying selectivity? • To what extent does this effect differ by students’ background characteristics, such as their race, income, or prior academic achievement? • What is the effect of attending an SSC on students’ persistence over time in the pursuit of a postsecondary degree? wide high school admissions process that emphasized student choice and began establishing over 100 new academically nonselective small public schools. Because these new small schools were intended to be accessible options for students with widely varying backgrounds, MDRC researchers call them “small schools of choice.” The NYCDOE created SSCs in partnership with a consortium of funders as well as with the United Federation of Teachers, the Council of School Supervisors and Administrators, New Visions for Public Schools, and a number of other intermediary organizations.4 About 94 percent of students attending SSCs are black or Hispanic, 84 percent qualify for free or reduced-price lunch, and 75 percent enter high school performing below grade level in reading or mathematics.5 The staff, structure, and mission of each SSC were built “from scratch” as part of a competitive application process that solicited proposals from parents, community members, teachers, and administrators with a commitment to educational excellence. Each SSC planning team had the authority to choose a school theme and a community or business partner. However, all teams were required to propose curricula and school structures that promoted academic rigor, real-world relevance, and personalized relationships. In addition, each SSC planning team was encouraged to partner with an outside intermediary organization that could provide additional supports. These supports ranged from funding to assisting with the hiring of new teachers and staff to providing students with opportunities to connect their schoolwork with the world of work.6
  • 3. all four cohorts — that is, students entering ninth grade in the four school years 2005- 2006 through 2008-2009 — even though, as noted above, the benchmark graduation rate of students attending other New York City high schools, against which SSCs are judged, was also rising during this period.10 Equally impressive results evident through the fourth cohort include: • The higher graduation rate of SSC enrollees was driven by students earning Regents diplomas (50.2 percent among target SSC enrollees, compared with 43.5 percent of their control group counterparts). • A higher percentage of SSC enrollees achieved a score of 75 or above on the English Regents exam, a measure of 3 O c t o b e r 2 0 1 4 Hav e S S C E f f e c t s on High S chool Graduat ion B e en S u s ta ine d? Results for the new student cohort confirm previous findings that SSCs appreciably increase high school graduation rates; graduation is defined in this brief as “on time” if it occurs at the end of a student’s fourth year of high school.9 Findings in Table 1 indicate that, for the four student cohorts in the present analysis, attending an SSC increased average on-time high school graduation rates by 9.4 percentage points (to 71.6 percent for target SSC enrollees from 62.2 percent for their control group counterparts). This effect is consistent across Table 1. SSC Effects on Four-Year High School Graduation Rates, College Readiness, and Postsecondary Enrollment: Cohorts 1-4 Outcome (%) Target SSC Enrollees control Group Counterparts estimated Effect P-Value for estimated Effect Graduation Graduated from high school 71.6 62.2 9.4 ** 0.000 Local diploma granted 13.2 11.4 1.8 0.160 Regents diploma granted 50.2 43.5 6.7 ** 0.001 Advanced Regents diploma granted 8.2 7.3 0.9 0.514 College readiness Passed English Regents at 75 or higher 42.1 35.8 6.3 ** 0.001 Passed Math A Regents at 75 or higher 25.1 24.5 0.5 0.760 Postsecondary enrollment Enrolled in postsecondary education 49.0 40.7 8.4 ** 0.000 NOTES: Findings in this table are based on four-year follow-up data for 14,608 participants. Estimates of the effect of enrolling in an SSC were obtained by comparing mean outcomes for winners and losers of students’ first SSC lottery while accounting for which lottery participants enrolled in an SSC and which did not, using the lottery outcome interacted with a binary lottery indicator as an instrumental variable for SSC enrollment and adjusting estimated standard errors for student clustering by the first school they attended. Some findings may not sum exactly due to rounding error. A two-tailed t-test was used to assess the statistical significance of each SSC estimated effect with significance levels indicated as ** = 1 percent and * = 5 percent.
  • 4. M D R C P o l i c y B r i e f 4 graduation rates and on college enrollment after on-time graduation (Table 1), the study found that, of the students who graduated from high school on time, 68.4 percent of target SSC students enrolled in a postsecondary institution the year after they graduated from high school, while 65.4 percent of their control group counterparts did so.14 Thus the overall increase in college enrollment caused by SSC attendance has two drivers: (1) a higher percentage of SSC graduates who enroll in college, and (2) a higher percentage of SSC attendees graduating from high school in four years. These findings indicate that SSCs increase the likelihood of postsecondary education for those who graduate on time. One might suppose, however, that within five or six years after entering high school, control group members in the present analysis “catch up” with their treatment group counterparts. They do not. After six years, students who attended an SSC are 8.2 percentage points more likely than their control group counterparts to have graduated from high school. Thus the positive SSC effect on students’ high school graduation rates is almost fully sustained. Furthermore, very few students graduate from high school in five or six years and enroll the next year in a postsecondary institution, so the positive SSC effect on students’ college enrollment is also sustained. (See Supplementary Table 3, available online, for more information.) SSCs Boost Enrollment in Colleges of All Kinds Given how many SSC enrollees enter high school with weak academic skills, one might suppose that the effect of SSCs on college enrollment might be driven mainly by students who attend nonselective postsecondary institutions. Using Barron’s college selectivity ratings, which rank four-year degree-granting institutions on such college readiness used by the City University of New York (42.1 percent, compared with 35.8 percent among the control group counterparts). • The positive effects of SSC enrollment held up for different subgroups, including black males, whose graduation rate from SSC schools is now 12.2 percentage points higher than that of their control group counterparts. • The graduation rate for SSC students eligible for special education services has reached statistical significance and is 13.4 percentage points higher than that of their control group counterparts. For more details, see Supplementary Tables 1 and 2, available online.11 What Are the Effects of SSCs on Enrollment in Postsecondary Education? SSCs Boost Enrollment in Postsecondary Education As shown in Table 1, SSCs not only turned out a higher percentage of graduates but also markedly increased the percentage of students going on to college. Attending an SSC increased the percentage of students who graduated from high school in four years and enrolled the next year in a postsecondary institution by 8.4 percentage points (to 49.0 percent for target SSC enrollees).12 This effect is highly statistically significant and is consistent across the four annual student cohorts that were studied.13 Even among on-time graduates, the study found that SSC attendance increased the percentage who then enrolled in postsecondary education, compared with on-time graduates among the control group members. Specifically, looking at SSC effects on four-year high school
  • 5. 5 O c t o b e r 2 0 1 4 factors as student acceptance rates, graduation rates, and ACT and SAT scores, the study found that this is not the case.15 Table 2 indicates that target SSC enrollees who graduate from high school on time and enter college enroll in four-year institutions representing a range of selectivity levels, the most predominant being “very competitive,” “competitive,” and “noncompetitive” schools (with respective enrollment rates of 6.0 percent, 8.3 percent, and 9.3 percent). In addition, almost 20 percent of target SSC enrollees select a two-year community college or technical school. In terms of SSC effects on these enrollment rates, Table 2 indicates that attending an SSC modestly increased enrollment rates in postsecondary schools at every selectivity level, with three of these seven estimated effects being statistically significant. In total, 29.7 percent of target SSC enrollees attend a four-year degree-granting institution versus 19.3 percent for all other types of institutions, including community colleges.16 However, these proportions give a rough indication at best of enrollment in a four-year degree program, because the National Student Clearinghouse database does not indicate the type of program that students are enrolled in. Most of the four-year institutions attended by students in this sample also offer two-year degree programs, meaning that some students may be seeking two-year degrees within a four-year institution. Some may transfer to four-year degree programs within the institution, while Table 2. SSC Effects on Enrollment in Postsecondary Education After Graduating from High School in Four Years, by Barron’s Selectivity Level: Cohorts 1-4 Outcome (%) Target SSC Enrollees control Group Counterparts estimated Effect P-Value for estimated Effect Enrolled in postsecondary education 49.0 40.7 8.4 ** 0.000 by Barron’s S e l ectivity Level, for Cohorts 1 - 4 Four-year colleges Most competitive 1.2 0.5 0.7 ** 0.003 Highly competitive 1.6 0.4 1.2 ** 0.001 Very competitive 6.0 4.7 1.2 0.091 Competitive 8.3 7.2 1.1 0.188 Less competitive 3.3 2.1 1.2 * 0.019 Noncompetitive 9.3 8.3 1.0 0.312 Two-year colleges Special/unranked/two-year 19.3 17.4 1.9 0.117 NOTES: Findings in this table are based on data for 14,608 participants. See notes to Table 1 for an explanation of how SSC effects were determined. Some findings may not sum exactly due to rounding error. A two-tailed t-test was used to assess the statistical significance of each SSC estimated effect with significance levels indicated as ** = 1 percent and * = 5 percent.
  • 6. M D R C P o l i c y B r i e f 6 postsecondary enrollment rates for students who were eligible for free or reduced-price lunch by 9.6 percentage points.17 Perhaps most notably, SSCs increased postsecondary enrollment by 11.3 percentage points for black males, a 36 percent increase relative to the enrollment rate of their control group counterparts.18 Black females, Hispanic males, and Hispanic females also experienced positive SSC effects on postsecondary enrollment that ranged from 5.6 to 7.0 percentage points. Three of these five estimated effects are highly statistically others might graduate with two-year degrees. A future report will provide more complete information on this issue by examining SSC effects on students’ attainment of two-year and four-year degrees. SSCs Raise Postsecondary Enrollment for Most Subgroups Table 3 illustrates that SSCs have a consistent pattern of positive effects on college enrollment for most student subgroups, including low-income students and students of color. For example, SSCs boosted Table 3. SSC Effects on Enrollment in Postsecondary Education After Graduating from High School in Four Years, by Student Subgroups: Cohorts 1-4 student characteristics (%) Target SSC Enrollees control Group Counterparts estimated Effect P-Value for estimated Effect Sample Size Low-income status Eligible for free/reduced-price lunch 47.7 38.1 9.6 ** 0.000 9,182 Not eligible for free/reduced-price lunch 51.3 46.1 5.2 * 0.049 5,426 Race/ethnicity, by gender Black male 42.3 31.0 11.3 ** 0.002 2,727 Black female 53.4 46.4 7.0 * 0.028 3,490 Hispanic male 43.4 36.8 6.6 0.068 3,571 Hispanic female 48.9 43.3 5.6 0.084 3,528 Other male 63.7 62.3 1.4 0.783 666 Other female 70.5 58.0 12.6 * 0.046 626 8th-grade reading proficiency Did not meet standards (level 1) 26.2 22.9 3.3 0.476 1,288 Partially met standards (level 2) 42.7 34.1 8.5 ** 0.000 8,221 Fully met standards (level 3) 62.8 52.1 10.7 ** 0.000 4,551 Met standards with distinction (level 4) 71.1 69.2 1.9 0.848 548 NOTES: Findings in this table are based on data for 14,608 participants. See notes to Table 1 for an explanation of how SSC effects were determined. Some findings may not sum exactly due to rounding error. A two-tailed t-test was used to assess the statistical significance of each SSC estimated effect with significance levels indicated as ** = 1 percent and * = 5 percent.
  • 7. 7 O c t o b e r 2 0 1 4 significant. (See Supplementary Table 4, available online, for further details.) SSCs also distinctly increased rates of postsecondary enrollment for students who had performed somewhat below or at grade level on their eighth-grade reading exam.19 For students who had performed somewhat below grade level, SSCs increased postsecondary enrollment by 8.5 percentage points; for students who had performed at grade level, SSCs increased it by 10.7 percentage points. SSCs exhibited much smaller effects for students who had performed far above or far below grade level on their eighth-grade reading exam.20 Very few students who perform far above grade level apply to SSCs, and, because the majority of these students graduate from high school whether or not they attend an SSC, they experience virtually no SSC effect on high school graduation. And, in turn, SSCs had virtually no effect on the probability of college enrollment for this subgroup. For students who had performed far below grade level in eighth grade, SSCs increased on-time high school graduation rates by 7 percentage points but increased postsecondary enrollment rates by only 3.3 percentage points. This estimated effect is not statistically significant, however, so one cannot be sure that it represents a real effect. The postsecondary prospects for students who performed far below grade level in eighth grade are extremely low (the control group counterpart postsecondary enrollment rate is only 22.9 percent), and the small and non-statistically significant estimated effect on college ascension by these students suggests that more is needed to increase their postsecondary enrollment rates. What A r e t h e E f f e c t s on P e r sist ence in Pos t s e cond a ry Educ at ion? Table 4 reports findings for the one student cohort whose yearly postsecondary enrollment can be followed through the fall of their fourth year after on-time graduation from high school.21 Not surprisingly, postsecondary enrollment levels decrease consistently and substantially over time for both the target SSC enrollees and their control group counterparts. However, even as the absolute levels of persistence decline, target SSC enrollees maintain a consistent advantage. For example, during their first year after on-time high school graduation, 44.4 percent of target SSC enrollees attended a postsecondary education program, while 37.6 percent of their control group counterparts did so — for an impact of 6.8 percentage points. Two years later, this effect remains a similar 5.8 percentage points. Three of the four yearly estimated effects are statistically significant. The follow-up period for this first cohort of students is limited to three and a half years after on-time high school graduation, so it is too early to examine effects on four-year degree attainment. However, if enrolled in postsecondary school full time, students may have had time to complete a two-year degree or certificate (depending on their remedial coursework requirements). Findings in Table 4 suggest that three and a half years after on-time high school graduation (fall of year four), having attended an SSC increased degree or certificate attainment by 1.4 percentage points (to 3.7 percent for target SSC enrollees from 2.3 percent for their control group counterparts).22 This SSC effect is statistically significant at the 0.10 level, but
  • 8. M D R C P o l i c y B r i e f 8 Table 4. SSC Effects on Persistence in Postsecondary Education After Graduating from High School in Four Years: Cohort 1 points. It is rare to find such large positive effects for a rigorously evaluated large-scale education reform and rarer still to see such effects continue into college. Hence, the present findings are unusually promising. Remarkably, SSCs achieve these gains for enrollees at a lower average total cost per graduate than that for their control group counterparts — roughly 14 percent to 16 percent lower. Interestingly, both SSC enrollees and control group enrollees attend high schools that turn out to have per-pupil costs somewhat higher than those of the average New York City high school and substantially higher than those of the largest high schools, which have significant economies of scale. Yet the per-pupil costs for the specific high schools that SSC enrollees and their control group counterparts attended are roughly similar. And, because more SSC students successfully graduate and fewer require an expensive fifth year of high school, the Outcome in Follow-Up Period (%) Target SSC Enrollees it does not reach the 0.05 standard applied in this brief. Thus while the SSC effect on degree or certificate attainment after three and a half years of postsecondary education is promising, the study will have to wait for a larger follow-up sample and a longer follow-up period for definitive evidence about the effects of SSCs on their students’ completion of college. Concl u sions On average, attending an SSC increased on-time high school graduation rates for the four student cohorts in the present analysis by 9.4 percentage points, an effect that is equivalent in magnitude to roughly 44 percent of the gap in graduation rates between white students and students of color in New York City during the same period.23 For these student cohorts, attending an SSC also increased the probability of graduating from high school in four years and attending a postsecondary education program the following year by 8.4 percentage control Group Counterparts estimated Effect P-Value for estimated Effect Postsecondary enrollment Year 1a 44.4 37.6 6.8b * 0.011 Year 2 37.6 31.3 6.4 * 0.040 Year 3 31.7 25.8 5.8 * 0.046 Fall of year 4 25.1 19.5 5.7 0.064 Postsecondary degree completion Fall of year 4 3.7 2.3 1.4 0.096 NOTES: Findings in this table are based on data for 4,473 participants. See notes to Table 1 for an explanation of how SSC effects were determined. Some findings may not sum exactly due to rounding error. A two-tailed t-test was used to assess the statistical significance of each SSC estimated effect with significance levels indicated as ** = 1 percent and * = 5 percent. aYear 1 includes students who enrolled in a postsecondary institution at any point in the first year after four-year high school graduation. bWhile the overall effect for students in all four cohorts who graduated from high school in four years and enrolled in a postsecondary institution the next year is 8.4 percentage points (see Table 1), this table looks only at students in cohort 1, where the effect is 6.8 percentage points.
  • 9. 9 O c t o b e r 2 0 1 4 cost per graduate is significantly lower for SSC students than for their control group counterparts. These findings are consistent regardless of the approach used to estimate teacher costs, student composition, facility usage, start-up costs, or partner contributions to the schools.24 Still, there is more work to be done. Roughly 30 percent of target SSC enrollees do not graduate from high school on time and, even among those who do, roughly 31 percent do not go on to postsecondary education.25 In addition, the very small postsecondary effects reported for students who enter high school performing far below grade level suggest that additional investment will be required to help these students obtain the skills they need to make at least some form of postsecondary education a viable option, a transition that will become increasingly important in the twenty-first-century labor market. Future MDRC reports will examine whether the present SSC effect on postsecondary enrollment translates into a corresponding effect on college degree attainment. Also, in an effort to understand the key components of SSCs that are responsible for their effects, these reports will explore SSC characteristics that might predict variation in their effects. In summary, the present findings provide strong evidence that a large-scale high school reform for youths who are far along in the K-12 pipeline, many of whom are academically below grade level when they enter high school, can have sizable positive effects on high school graduation, attainment of a Regents diploma, and postsecondary enrollment. Not e s 1 The present findings are consistent with those reported by Abdulkadiroglu, Hu, and Pathak (2013), although the two analyses are based on different samples. 2 Bloom and Unterman (2014). 3 Bloom and Unterman (2014); Bifulco, Unterman, and Bloom (2014). 4 The consortium of funders was led by the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, the Carnegie Corporation of New York, and the Open Society Institute. 5 These figures describe students who entered SSCs between the fall of 2002 and the fall of 2008. 6 For more detailed descriptions of New York City’s SSCs, see Quint, Smith, Unterman, and Moedano (2010) and Bloom, Levy Thompson, and Unterman (2010). 7 For a description of MDRC’s analytic approach and a more detailed discussion of these findings, see Bloom and Unterman (2014). 8 The four student cohorts included in this analysis are defined by the school year in which students participated as eighth-graders in the New York City high school application process: cohort one (2004-2005), cohort two (2005-2006), cohort three (2006-2007), and cohort four (2007-2008). 9 Since June 2010 MDRC has released a series of reports using data for students who were in lotteries produced by the New York City high school application processing system in order to document the positive effects of SSCs on students’ academic attainment (Bloom, Levy Thompson, and Unterman 2010; Bloom and Unterman 2012; Bloom and Unterman 2013; Bloom and Unterman 2014). Abdulkadiroglu, Hu, and Pathak (2013) used some of these lotteries to study the effects of SSCs and, in so doing, confirmed MDRC’s findings. 10 The improvements in SSC enrollees’ other high school options is evident in the control group counterparts’ increasing high school graduation rate, which rose by 6.5 percentage points between the first cohort and the fourth. Using district-wide NYCDOE data, Kemple (2013) also documents that New York City’s high school graduation rate rose during this period. Students who entered high school before the 2008-2009 school year could graduate high school with a local diploma if they did not meet the statewide criteria for a Regents or Advanced Regents diploma. Beginning with the 2008-2009 ninth-grade cohort, the local diploma was no longer an option for general education students. More information on the Regents examination and course credit requirements for each diploma type can be found in Bloom, Levy Thompson, and Unterman (2010).
  • 10. M D R C P o l i c y B r i e f 10 21 Table 4 reports yearly postsecondary enrollment rates for students in the sample. It does not report on continuous postsecondary enrollment. 22 Roughly 3.7 percent of target SSC enrollees attained a degree or certificate within three and a half years after their on-time graduation from high school. This percentage may appear surprisingly low, but it is consistent with what is known about the attainment of associate of arts degrees from the City University of New York (CUNY) community college system. For example, a weighted average of three-year rates of attainment of associate’s degrees for first-time full-time freshmen in the six CUNY community colleges attended by 83 percent of target SSC enrollees attending community colleges is 12.3 percent (City University of New York Office of Institutional Research 2014). Assuming that 12.3 percent of the 19.3 percent of the target SSC enrollees attending a community college (reported in Table 2) attained a degree would amount to 2.4 percent of target SSC enrollees attaining a degree in three years. In addition, if one assumed that a third of the 29.7 percent of target SSC enrollees who attended four-year postsecondary institutions (Table 2) were, in fact, pursuing a two-year degree and 12.3 percent of them graduated within three years, this would add another 1.2 percent of target SSC enrollees who obtained a degree, producing a total of 3.6 percent. 23 On average, across cohorts that entered high school in 2005-2006 through 2008-2009, the graduation gap between white students and students of color was approximately 21.18 percentage points (New York City Department of Education 2014). 24 See Bifulco, Unterman, and Bloom (2014). 25 The percentage of SSC graduates who do not go on to postsecondary institutions was calculated as follows ((71.6 – 49.0)/71.6) * 100) using the findings from Table 1. R e f e r ence s For all analyses in this brief, MDRC’s calculations use High School Application Processing System data from eighth-graders from 2004-2005 to 2007-2008, as well as data from New York City Department of Education course credits, Regents exam, enrollment, and National Student Clearinghouse files from the 2005-2006 school year through the fall of 2012. Abdulkadiroglu, Atila, Weiwei Hu, and Parag A. Pathak. 2013. “Small High Schools and Student Achievement: Lottery-Based Evidence from New York City.” NBER Working Paper 19576. Cambridge, MA: National Bureau of Economic Research. Bifulco, Robert, Rebecca Unterman, and Howard S. Bloom. 2014. The Relative Costs of New York City’s Small Public High Schools of Choice. Working paper. New York: MDRC. 11 For more detail, see Supplementary Tables 1 and 2. Supplementary Tables 1-4 can be found in Rebecca Unterman, “Headed to College: The Effects of New York City’s Small High Schools of Choice on Postsecondary Enrollment — Supplementary Tables,” October 2014, on MDRC’s website (www.mdrc.org). 12 In this brief “target SSC enrollees” refers to students who won a lottery for an SSC and subsequently enrolled. See Bloom and Unterman (2014) for a more detailed explanation. The postsecondary enrollment data used in this report were obtained from the National Clearinghouse by the NYCDOE, which had requested data only for students who graduated from an NYCDOE school. Therefore postsecondary enrollment data for students who did not graduate from an NYCDOE school are not available. 13 See Supplementary Table 1 for cohort-by-cohort findings. 14 These findings were obtained for each group by dividing its percentage of postsecondary enrollees by its percentage of four-year high school graduates, as reported in Table 1, and converting the result to a percentage (49/71.6 = 0.684 or 68.4 percent for target SSC enrollees and 40.7/62.2 = 0.654 or 65.4 percent for their control group counterparts). 15 No such ratings exist for postsecondary institutions other than four-year degree-granting institutions. 16 The proportion of target SSC enrollees attending a four-year degree-granting institution was calculated by summing the proportion of target SSC enrollees in four-year colleges reported in Table 2 (1.2 + 1.6 + 6.0 + 8.3 + 3.3 + 9.3 = 29.7). 17 In New York State, students qualify for free or reduced-price lunch if their annual family income is less than the equivalent of $43,568 for a family of four. 18 The 36 percent increase for black males is calculated by dividing the 11.3 percentage point effect for this subgroup by its control group counterpart enrollment rate (31.0 percent). 19 New York State reports students’ eighth-grade reading test scores in four levels: did not meet standards (level 1), partially met standards (level 2), fully met standards (level 3), and met standards with distinction (level 4). Levels 1 and 2 represent student performance that is below grade level and levels 3 and 4 represent student performance that is at or above grade level. 20 The SSC effects across prior reading achievement subgroups are statistically significantly different from each other (p-value < 0.001).
  • 11. 11 Ac knowledgment s This report and the study upon which it is based are funded by the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation. The author thanks the foundation leaders who supported this work — Allan Golston, Vicki Phillips, and James Shelton (formerly of Gates) — and the foundation staff who provided helpful guidance and feedback: David Silver and Fannie Tseng (my project officers), Adam Tucker, Sara Allan, Steve Cantrell, and all other members of the Strategy, Research, Data team. The study would not have been possible without continued support and cooperation from so many people at the New York City Department of Education that they are too numerous to name. In addition, the study benefited from discussions with Alvin Roth, Parag Pathak, Atila Abdulkadiroglu, and Neil Dorosin, creators of New York’s High School Application Processing System, who shared their insights about our study design. Furthermore, the study received much helpful advice from Jennifer Hill, Brian Jacob, Thomas Kane, Jeffrey Kling, Sean Reardon, and Richard Murnane, and from current and former colleagues at MDRC: Gordon Berlin, Fred Doolittle, John Hutchins, Rob Ivry, James Kemple (formerly of MDRC), Saskia Levy Thompson (formerly of MDRC), Pei Zhu, Micah DeLaurentis, Rebecca Coven, Gary Reynolds, and Luis Lopez Vivas. Finally, I would like to thank my MDRC colleague Howard Bloom for his help with this policy brief. Dissemination of MDRC publications is supported by the following funders that help finance MDRC’s public policy outreach and expanding efforts to communicate the results and implications of our work to policymakers, practitioners, and others: The Annie E. Casey Foundation, The Harry and Jeanette Weinberg Foundation, Inc., The Kresge Foundation, Laura and John Arnold Foundation, Sandler Foundation, and The Starr Foundation. In addition, earnings from the MDRC Endowment help sustain our dissemination efforts. Contributors to the MDRC Endowment include Alcoa Foundation, The Ambrose Monell Foundation, Anheuser-Busch Foundation, Bristol-Myers Squibb Foundation, Charles Stewart Mott Foundation, Ford Foundation, The George Gund Foundation, The Grable Foundation, The Lizabeth and Frank Newman Charitable Foundation, The New York Times Company Foundation, Jan Nicholson, Paul H. O’Neill Charitable Foundation, John S. Reed, Sandler Foundation, and The Stupski Family Fund, as well as other individual contributors. The findings and conclusions in this report do not necessarily represent the official positions or policies of the funders. For information about MDRC and copies of our publications, see our website: www.mdrc.org. Copyright © 2014 by MDRC®. All rights reserved. O c t o b e r 2 0 1 4 Bloom, Howard S., Saskia Levy Thompson, and Rebecca Unterman, with Corinne Herlihy and Collin F. Payne. 2010. Transforming the High School Experience: How New York City’s New Small Schools Are Boosting Student Achievement and Graduation Rates. New York: MDRC. Bloom, Howard S., and Rebecca Unterman. 2012. Sustained Positive Effects on Graduation Rates Produced by New York City’s Small Public High Schools of Choice. New York: MDRC. Bloom, Howard S., and Rebecca Unterman. 2013. Sustained Progress: New Findings About the Effectiveness and Operation of Small Public High Schools of Choice in New York City. New York: MDRC. Bloom, Howard S., and Rebecca Unterman. 2014. “Can Small High Schools of Choice Improve Educational Prospects for Disadvantaged Students?” Journal of Policy Analysis and Management 33, 2: 290-319. City University of New York Office of Institutional Research. 2014. “Institution Retention and Graduation Rates.” Website: http://cuny.edu/about/ administration/offices/ira/ir/data-book/current/ retention-graduation/institution.html. Kemple, James. 2013. “The Condition of New York City High Schools: Examining Trends and Looking Towards the Future.” New York: Research Alliance for New York City Schools. New York City Department of Education. 2014. “Cohorts of 2001 through 2009 (Classes of 2005 through 2013) Graduation Outcomes.” Website: http://schools.nyc.gov/accountability/data/ graduationdropoutreports/default.htm. Quint, Janet, Janell Smith, Rebecca Unterman, and Alma Moedano. 2010. New York City’s Changing High School Landscape: High Schools and Their Characteristics, 2002-2008. New York: MDRC.
  • 12. NONPROFIT ORGANIZATION US POSTAGE PAID ABR 20602 CHANGE SERVICE REQUESTED 16 East 34th Street New York, NY 10016-4326 Headed to College The Effects of New York City’s Small High Schools of Choice on Postsecondary Enrollment By Rebecca Unterman aking advantage of lottery-like features in New York City’s high school admissions process, previous MDRC reports have provided rigorous evidence that new small public high T schools are narrowing the educational attainment gap and markedly improving high school graduation prospects, particularly for disadvantaged students. The new findings in this policy brief demonstrate that these schools are also having a sustained effect on students’ enrollment and persistence in postsecondary education, with positive impacts for many different subgroups, including male and female students of color, students who partially or fully met their eighth-grade proficiency standards in math or English, and students eligible for free or reduced-price lunch. These gains involve postsecondary institutions representing a broad range of selectivity. Given available data, it is too early to determine the resulting effect on college degree attainment.