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August 2012
Preliminary Data
Learning Meeting


         August 2012
    Orting School District
       Marci Shepard
“Be Present”



    Orting School District  Teaching, Learning and Assessment August 2012  M. Shepard
 I can lead analysis of data using
 a data-driven dialog protocol.
 •   Summarize best practices for data analysis
 •   Predict what we may see
 •   Make literal observations
 •   Draw inferences and ask questions
 •   Identify possible next steps



 I can explain AMOs to my staff.
 • Describe what AMOs are and how they are
   calculated
 • Interpret AMO calculations
                         Orting School District  Teaching, Learning and Assessment August 2012  M. Shepard
 I can lead analysis of data using
a data-driven dialog protocol.
•   Summarize best practices for data analysis
•   Predict what we may see
•   Make literal observations
•   Draw inferences and ask questions
•   Identify possible next steps




                        Orting School District  Teaching, Learning and Assessment August 2012  M. Shepard
 I can lead analysis of data using
a data-driven dialog protocol.
•   Summarize best practices for data analysis
•   Predict what we may see
•   Make literal observations
•   Draw inferences and ask questions
•   Identify possible next steps




                         Orting School District  Teaching, Learning and Assessment August 2012  M. Shepard
 I can lead analysis of data using
a data-driven dialog protocol.
•   Summarize best practices for data analysis
•   Predict what we may see
•   Make literal observations
•   Draw inferences and ask questions
•   Identify possible next steps




                        Orting School District  Teaching, Learning and Assessment August 2012  M. Shepard
Update from the State
   Online versus Paper and Pencil




             Orting School District  Teaching, Learning and Assessment August 2012  M. Shepard
More technology difficulties
          this year
• Technology glitches are reported as irregularities and may
  have had a negative impact on scores.
   o We have been analyzing differences between students with
     reported irregularities and those in schools that did not have
     irregularities, and cannot detect that this had a negative effect.
   o When students were unable to enter an answer or had another
     technology failure that precluded measuring their skill, a modified
     scoring table will be applied.


• There are already many plans in place to fix the technology
  difficulties.
   o Districts will have more time with the test engine so students are not
     unfamiliar with the tools and functionality.
   o Test vendor (DRC) will develop a mechanism for verifying that each
     district has proper set-up for online testing a month prior to testing.


                                  Orting School District  Teaching, Learning and Assessment August 2012  M. Shepard
Online Testing –
     Mode Comparability
• Equating, which compares performance on items
  common to last year’s test, shows the raw score
  needed to be at Level 2, Level 3, and Level 4 are
  the same in each mode – but when we apply those
  cut scores, the percent of students meeting
  standard on the paper tests is higher than the
  percent meeting standard on the online tests in
  nearly all grades and all content areas.




                      Orting School District  Teaching, Learning and Assessment August 2012  M. Shepard
Online Testing – Mode
       Comparability
• Districts had concerns in the past two years about online
  being harder, but the psychometrics showed no
  difference.

• If we gave identical paper tests, or identical online tests
  to two groups of people one group might do better than
  the other, and we would conclude that the groups had
  different abilities (maybe one had more high performing
  students). That is what we have attributed the minor
  mode differences to in previous years.

• But this year brought larger differences, all in favor of
  paper/pencil tests…
                            Orting School District  Teaching, Learning and Assessment August 2012  M. Shepard
Online Testing –
        Mode Comparability
Table below shows 2012 percent meeting standard (based only on equating
samples):
Grade   % Testing           Math                         Reading                          Science
         Online
                    Online     Paper              Online            Paper           Online          Paper
  3       ~15%       64.5          65.2             57.8             67.8
  4       ~25%       57.9          58.7             64.7             71.8
  5       ~35%       62.8          63.6             67.6             71.7             59.2           67.0
  6       ~50%       61.6          62.3             63.0             70.6
  7       ~50%       55.0          58.4             64.9             71.0
  8       ~50%       52.9          58.7             64.6             68.9             61.5           70.9


                                          Orting School District  Teaching, Learning and Assessment August 2012  M. Shepard
Online Testing –
      Mode Comparability
• This year the differences between modes are
  bigger than in first two years of online testing.

• The biggest differences are in the text-based
  subjects, where student read passages online
  (reading and science).

• The differences tend to be smaller in the upper
  grades, but not always.

• Technology irregularities did not explain the
  differences.
                         Orting School District  Teaching, Learning and Assessment August 2012  M. Shepard
Online Testing –
     Mode Comparability
• In consultation with our assessment vendors,
  psychometrics experts and national technical
  advisory committee, we made an adjustment to
  online scores as part of our equating process.




                      Orting School District  Teaching, Learning and Assessment August 2012  M. Shepard
Online Testing –
         Mode Comparability
Table below shows 2012 adjusted percent meeting standard (based only on
equating samples):

 Grade   % Testing           Math                         Reading                          Science
          Online
                     Online     Paper              Online            Paper           Online          Paper
   3       ~15%       69.0          65.2             71.8             67.8
   4       ~25%       65.6          58.7             69.2             71.8
   5       ~35%       66.2          63.6             72.0             71.7             68.6           67.0
   6       ~50%       61.6          62.3             67.3             70.6
   7       ~50%       61.5          58.4             72.7             71.0
   8       ~50%       56.8          58.7             68.7             68.9             65.4           70.9


                                           Orting School District  Teaching, Learning and Assessment August 2012  M. Shepard
This means……
• Any systematic differences in difficulty between
  modes have already been adjusted in scores
  reported to districts.

• OSPI will continue to examine mode effects during
  equating to determine if an adjustment is
  warranted in future years.




                       Orting School District  Teaching, Learning and Assessment August 2012  M. Shepard
 I can lead analysis of data using
a data-driven dialog protocol.
•   Summarize best practices for data analysis
•   Predict what we may see
•   Make literal observations
•   Draw inferences and ask questions
•   Identify possible next steps




                         Orting School District  Teaching, Learning and Assessment August 2012  M. Shepard
 I can lead analysis of data using
a data-driven dialog protocol.
•   Summarize best practices for data analysis
•   Predict what we may see
•   Make literal observations
•   Draw inferences and ask questions
•   Identify possible next steps




                         Orting School District  Teaching, Learning and Assessment August 2012  M. Shepard
 I can lead analysis of data using
a data-driven dialog protocol.
•   Summarize best practices for data analysis
•   Predict what we may see
•   Make literal observations
•   Draw inferences and ask questions
•   Identify possible next steps




                         Orting School District  Teaching, Learning and Assessment August 2012  M. Shepard
 I can lead analysis of data using
         a data-driven dialog protocol.
         •    Summarize best practices for data analysis
         •    Predict what we may see
         •    Make literal observations
         •    Draw inferences and ask questions
         •    Identify possible next steps




Orting School District  Teaching, Learning and Assessment August 2012  M. Shepard
 I can explain AMOs to
my staff.
• Describe what AMOs are and how they are
  calculated
• Interpret AMO calculations




                     Orting School District  Teaching, Learning and Assessment August 2012  M. Shepard
 I can explain AMOs to
my staff.
• Describe what AMOs are and how they are
  calculated
• Interpret AMO calculations




                     Orting School District  Teaching, Learning and Assessment August 2012  M. Shepard
nnual Measurable                              bjectives

          Orting School District  Teaching, Learning and Assessment August 2012  M. Shepard
Testing in ESEA Flexibility Waiver
• AYP rules and procedures are replaced by
  Annual Measureable Objectives.
• Lowest performing schools in reading and
  math need to revise their school
  improvement plan using up to 20% of district
  Title I monies.
• Participation in assessments and
  performance of sub-groups (including
  English language learners, special
  education, poverty) still key.

                    Orting School District  Teaching, Learning and Assessment August 2012  M. Shepard
State-developed differentiated recognition

             accountability and support
o Reward Schools
   • Highest performing schools
   • High-progress schools

o Priority Schools
   • 5% lowest performing Title I and Title 1-eligible schools with less than
     60% graduation rate

o Focus Schools
   • 10% of Title I schools with highest proficiency gaps

o Emerging Schools
   • The next lowest 10% of schools on the Focus list, and the next 5% of
     schools on the Priority list




                               Orting School District  Teaching, Learning and Assessment August 2012  M. Shepard
Accountability Evolution with ESEA Waiver
       Up to 2011-12                         2012-13 and 2013-14                             2014-15 and beyond


AYP Determinations                      AMO Calculations                               AMO Calculations
Sanctions                               No Sanctions (letters, transportation,         No Sanctions (letters, transportation,
Set-asides                              etc.)                                          etc.)

                                        Up to 20% Set-asides for Priority, Focus,      Up to 20% Set-asides for Priority, Focus,
                                        and Emerging Schools                           and Emerging Schools
School Improvement
Uses AYP calculations to identify
schools and districts in a step of
improvement (Title I)

Uses AYP calculations to generate
list of Persistently Lowest Achieving
Schools                                 ESEA Waiver Application                       ESEA New Accountability
                                        Accountability System                         System
                                        Used to identify Reward, Focus and            Used to identify Reward, Focus
SBE/OSPI Achievement                    Priority and Emerging schools                 and Priority and Emerging
Index                                                                                 schools

Used to identify Award Schools




                                                   Orting School District  Teaching, Learning and Assessment August 2012  M. Shepard
Accountability Evolution with ESEA Waiver
      Up to 2011-12                    2012-13 and 2013-14                             2014-15 and beyond


AYP Determinations              AMO Calculations                               AMO Calculations
Determinations based on         Annual targets to close proficiency gaps       Annual targets to close proficiency gaps
current status of % meeting     by ½ by 2017; uses 2011 as baseline and        by ½ by 2017; uses 2011 as baseline and
standard compared to Uniform    adds equal annual increments (1/6 of           adds equal annual increments (1/6 of
Bar (100% by 2014)              proficiency gap) to get to 2017 target;        proficiency gap) to get to 2017 target;
                                each subgroup, school, district, and           each subgroup, school, district, and
AYP determinations reported     state, have unique annual targets.             state, have unique annual targets.
on Report Card
                                Calculations reported on Report Card           Calculations reported on Report Card
Not making AYP results in
sanctions for Title 1 schools   No sanctions                                   No sanctions

$$$ set-asides                  Up to 20% Set-asides for Priority, Focus,      Up to 20% Set-asides for Priority, Focus,
                                and Emerging Schools                           and Emerging Schools




                                             Orting School District  Teaching, Learning and Assessment August 2012  M. Shepard
State-developed differentiated recognition

           accountability and support


o Annual Measurable Objectives
  • Using 2011 as a baseline, OSPI set benchmarks that will cut
    proficiency gaps in half by 2017 for every WA school.
  • No sanctions required, but the expectation is that SIPs would
    include strategies to close gaps.
  • N size = 20




                          Orting School District  Teaching, Learning and Assessment August 2012  M. Shepard
Annual Measurable
          Objectives (AMOs)
WA has opted to establish AMOs as equal increments set toward the goal of
reducing by half the percent of students who are not proficient in all AYP sub
categories by fall 2017 (within six years)




                                   Orting School District  Teaching, Learning and Assessment August 2012  M. Shepard
2012–13 Waiver Tasks

• Office of Student and School Success will work with
  Priority, Focus and Emerging schools to address gaps.
• The State Board of Education (SBE) and OSPI are
  required to submit a revised accountability system
  request, which is likely to include growth data.
• Legislature must pass a law to require ‘focused
  evaluations’ to use student growth as a significant
  factor.
• State must establish rules regarding use of student
  growth as a significant factor in teacher and principal
  evaluation and support systems.


                          Orting School District  Teaching, Learning and Assessment August 2012  M. Shepard
 I can explain AMOs to
my staff.
• Describe what AMOs are and how they are
  calculated
• Interpret AMO calculations




                     Orting School District  Teaching, Learning and Assessment August 2012  M. Shepard
CDs with Resources to
      Use with your Staff
•   This PowerPoint
•   Preliminary data from the state
•   OSD data comparisons
•   How to calculate AMOs
•   OSD AMO calculations
•   Data driven dialog protocol




                         Orting School District  Teaching, Learning and Assessment August 2012  M. Shepard
Questions?




   Orting School District  Teaching, Learning and Assessment August 2012  M. Shepard

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State Assessment Data Meeting for Admin

  • 1. August 2012 Preliminary Data Learning Meeting August 2012 Orting School District Marci Shepard
  • 2. “Be Present” Orting School District  Teaching, Learning and Assessment August 2012  M. Shepard
  • 3.  I can lead analysis of data using a data-driven dialog protocol. • Summarize best practices for data analysis • Predict what we may see • Make literal observations • Draw inferences and ask questions • Identify possible next steps  I can explain AMOs to my staff. • Describe what AMOs are and how they are calculated • Interpret AMO calculations Orting School District  Teaching, Learning and Assessment August 2012  M. Shepard
  • 4.  I can lead analysis of data using a data-driven dialog protocol. • Summarize best practices for data analysis • Predict what we may see • Make literal observations • Draw inferences and ask questions • Identify possible next steps Orting School District  Teaching, Learning and Assessment August 2012  M. Shepard
  • 5.  I can lead analysis of data using a data-driven dialog protocol. • Summarize best practices for data analysis • Predict what we may see • Make literal observations • Draw inferences and ask questions • Identify possible next steps Orting School District  Teaching, Learning and Assessment August 2012  M. Shepard
  • 6.  I can lead analysis of data using a data-driven dialog protocol. • Summarize best practices for data analysis • Predict what we may see • Make literal observations • Draw inferences and ask questions • Identify possible next steps Orting School District  Teaching, Learning and Assessment August 2012  M. Shepard
  • 7. Update from the State Online versus Paper and Pencil Orting School District  Teaching, Learning and Assessment August 2012  M. Shepard
  • 8. More technology difficulties this year • Technology glitches are reported as irregularities and may have had a negative impact on scores. o We have been analyzing differences between students with reported irregularities and those in schools that did not have irregularities, and cannot detect that this had a negative effect. o When students were unable to enter an answer or had another technology failure that precluded measuring their skill, a modified scoring table will be applied. • There are already many plans in place to fix the technology difficulties. o Districts will have more time with the test engine so students are not unfamiliar with the tools and functionality. o Test vendor (DRC) will develop a mechanism for verifying that each district has proper set-up for online testing a month prior to testing. Orting School District  Teaching, Learning and Assessment August 2012  M. Shepard
  • 9. Online Testing – Mode Comparability • Equating, which compares performance on items common to last year’s test, shows the raw score needed to be at Level 2, Level 3, and Level 4 are the same in each mode – but when we apply those cut scores, the percent of students meeting standard on the paper tests is higher than the percent meeting standard on the online tests in nearly all grades and all content areas. Orting School District  Teaching, Learning and Assessment August 2012  M. Shepard
  • 10. Online Testing – Mode Comparability • Districts had concerns in the past two years about online being harder, but the psychometrics showed no difference. • If we gave identical paper tests, or identical online tests to two groups of people one group might do better than the other, and we would conclude that the groups had different abilities (maybe one had more high performing students). That is what we have attributed the minor mode differences to in previous years. • But this year brought larger differences, all in favor of paper/pencil tests… Orting School District  Teaching, Learning and Assessment August 2012  M. Shepard
  • 11. Online Testing – Mode Comparability Table below shows 2012 percent meeting standard (based only on equating samples): Grade % Testing Math Reading Science Online Online Paper Online Paper Online Paper 3 ~15% 64.5 65.2 57.8 67.8 4 ~25% 57.9 58.7 64.7 71.8 5 ~35% 62.8 63.6 67.6 71.7 59.2 67.0 6 ~50% 61.6 62.3 63.0 70.6 7 ~50% 55.0 58.4 64.9 71.0 8 ~50% 52.9 58.7 64.6 68.9 61.5 70.9 Orting School District  Teaching, Learning and Assessment August 2012  M. Shepard
  • 12. Online Testing – Mode Comparability • This year the differences between modes are bigger than in first two years of online testing. • The biggest differences are in the text-based subjects, where student read passages online (reading and science). • The differences tend to be smaller in the upper grades, but not always. • Technology irregularities did not explain the differences. Orting School District  Teaching, Learning and Assessment August 2012  M. Shepard
  • 13. Online Testing – Mode Comparability • In consultation with our assessment vendors, psychometrics experts and national technical advisory committee, we made an adjustment to online scores as part of our equating process. Orting School District  Teaching, Learning and Assessment August 2012  M. Shepard
  • 14. Online Testing – Mode Comparability Table below shows 2012 adjusted percent meeting standard (based only on equating samples): Grade % Testing Math Reading Science Online Online Paper Online Paper Online Paper 3 ~15% 69.0 65.2 71.8 67.8 4 ~25% 65.6 58.7 69.2 71.8 5 ~35% 66.2 63.6 72.0 71.7 68.6 67.0 6 ~50% 61.6 62.3 67.3 70.6 7 ~50% 61.5 58.4 72.7 71.0 8 ~50% 56.8 58.7 68.7 68.9 65.4 70.9 Orting School District  Teaching, Learning and Assessment August 2012  M. Shepard
  • 15. This means…… • Any systematic differences in difficulty between modes have already been adjusted in scores reported to districts. • OSPI will continue to examine mode effects during equating to determine if an adjustment is warranted in future years. Orting School District  Teaching, Learning and Assessment August 2012  M. Shepard
  • 16.  I can lead analysis of data using a data-driven dialog protocol. • Summarize best practices for data analysis • Predict what we may see • Make literal observations • Draw inferences and ask questions • Identify possible next steps Orting School District  Teaching, Learning and Assessment August 2012  M. Shepard
  • 17.  I can lead analysis of data using a data-driven dialog protocol. • Summarize best practices for data analysis • Predict what we may see • Make literal observations • Draw inferences and ask questions • Identify possible next steps Orting School District  Teaching, Learning and Assessment August 2012  M. Shepard
  • 18.  I can lead analysis of data using a data-driven dialog protocol. • Summarize best practices for data analysis • Predict what we may see • Make literal observations • Draw inferences and ask questions • Identify possible next steps Orting School District  Teaching, Learning and Assessment August 2012  M. Shepard
  • 19.  I can lead analysis of data using a data-driven dialog protocol. • Summarize best practices for data analysis • Predict what we may see • Make literal observations • Draw inferences and ask questions • Identify possible next steps Orting School District  Teaching, Learning and Assessment August 2012  M. Shepard
  • 20.  I can explain AMOs to my staff. • Describe what AMOs are and how they are calculated • Interpret AMO calculations Orting School District  Teaching, Learning and Assessment August 2012  M. Shepard
  • 21.  I can explain AMOs to my staff. • Describe what AMOs are and how they are calculated • Interpret AMO calculations Orting School District  Teaching, Learning and Assessment August 2012  M. Shepard
  • 22. nnual Measurable bjectives Orting School District  Teaching, Learning and Assessment August 2012  M. Shepard
  • 23. Testing in ESEA Flexibility Waiver • AYP rules and procedures are replaced by Annual Measureable Objectives. • Lowest performing schools in reading and math need to revise their school improvement plan using up to 20% of district Title I monies. • Participation in assessments and performance of sub-groups (including English language learners, special education, poverty) still key. Orting School District  Teaching, Learning and Assessment August 2012  M. Shepard
  • 24. State-developed differentiated recognition accountability and support o Reward Schools • Highest performing schools • High-progress schools o Priority Schools • 5% lowest performing Title I and Title 1-eligible schools with less than 60% graduation rate o Focus Schools • 10% of Title I schools with highest proficiency gaps o Emerging Schools • The next lowest 10% of schools on the Focus list, and the next 5% of schools on the Priority list Orting School District  Teaching, Learning and Assessment August 2012  M. Shepard
  • 25. Accountability Evolution with ESEA Waiver Up to 2011-12 2012-13 and 2013-14 2014-15 and beyond AYP Determinations AMO Calculations AMO Calculations Sanctions No Sanctions (letters, transportation, No Sanctions (letters, transportation, Set-asides etc.) etc.) Up to 20% Set-asides for Priority, Focus, Up to 20% Set-asides for Priority, Focus, and Emerging Schools and Emerging Schools School Improvement Uses AYP calculations to identify schools and districts in a step of improvement (Title I) Uses AYP calculations to generate list of Persistently Lowest Achieving Schools ESEA Waiver Application ESEA New Accountability Accountability System System Used to identify Reward, Focus and Used to identify Reward, Focus SBE/OSPI Achievement Priority and Emerging schools and Priority and Emerging Index schools Used to identify Award Schools Orting School District  Teaching, Learning and Assessment August 2012  M. Shepard
  • 26. Accountability Evolution with ESEA Waiver Up to 2011-12 2012-13 and 2013-14 2014-15 and beyond AYP Determinations AMO Calculations AMO Calculations Determinations based on Annual targets to close proficiency gaps Annual targets to close proficiency gaps current status of % meeting by ½ by 2017; uses 2011 as baseline and by ½ by 2017; uses 2011 as baseline and standard compared to Uniform adds equal annual increments (1/6 of adds equal annual increments (1/6 of Bar (100% by 2014) proficiency gap) to get to 2017 target; proficiency gap) to get to 2017 target; each subgroup, school, district, and each subgroup, school, district, and AYP determinations reported state, have unique annual targets. state, have unique annual targets. on Report Card Calculations reported on Report Card Calculations reported on Report Card Not making AYP results in sanctions for Title 1 schools No sanctions No sanctions $$$ set-asides Up to 20% Set-asides for Priority, Focus, Up to 20% Set-asides for Priority, Focus, and Emerging Schools and Emerging Schools Orting School District  Teaching, Learning and Assessment August 2012  M. Shepard
  • 27. State-developed differentiated recognition accountability and support o Annual Measurable Objectives • Using 2011 as a baseline, OSPI set benchmarks that will cut proficiency gaps in half by 2017 for every WA school. • No sanctions required, but the expectation is that SIPs would include strategies to close gaps. • N size = 20 Orting School District  Teaching, Learning and Assessment August 2012  M. Shepard
  • 28. Annual Measurable Objectives (AMOs) WA has opted to establish AMOs as equal increments set toward the goal of reducing by half the percent of students who are not proficient in all AYP sub categories by fall 2017 (within six years) Orting School District  Teaching, Learning and Assessment August 2012  M. Shepard
  • 29. 2012–13 Waiver Tasks • Office of Student and School Success will work with Priority, Focus and Emerging schools to address gaps. • The State Board of Education (SBE) and OSPI are required to submit a revised accountability system request, which is likely to include growth data. • Legislature must pass a law to require ‘focused evaluations’ to use student growth as a significant factor. • State must establish rules regarding use of student growth as a significant factor in teacher and principal evaluation and support systems. Orting School District  Teaching, Learning and Assessment August 2012  M. Shepard
  • 30.  I can explain AMOs to my staff. • Describe what AMOs are and how they are calculated • Interpret AMO calculations Orting School District  Teaching, Learning and Assessment August 2012  M. Shepard
  • 31. CDs with Resources to Use with your Staff • This PowerPoint • Preliminary data from the state • OSD data comparisons • How to calculate AMOs • OSD AMO calculations • Data driven dialog protocol Orting School District  Teaching, Learning and Assessment August 2012  M. Shepard
  • 32. Questions? Orting School District  Teaching, Learning and Assessment August 2012  M. Shepard