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Progress in Lupus Trial Design
Contact: Mark.Abrahams@ig-b.com
Patients
Trial design
Interventions Endpoints
⏏
⏏
3 key design factors
determine the fate of clinical trials
Challenges in SLE trial design
We are learning as we go
Patients
• Lupus is a heterogenous
disease
• Patients must be sick
enough to see treatment
effect
• Active disease vs inactive
disease?
• Impact on endpoint
(index vs flare)
• Trial length: flare trials
(in inactive dz pts) take
several years longer;
Difficult to keep pts on
same background
Interventions
• Unethical to randomize
patients with active disese
to placebo alone
• Background treatments
muddy the picture
Endpoints
• Disease activity indices a
work in progress
• Difficult to correlate
biomarkers with clinical
outcome (in nonrenal SLE)
• Length of study: longer
trials may be needed to
see efficacy in joint/organ
damage
Some nomenclature: BILAGBasedontheprincipleofphysician’sintentiontotreat
BILAG B: Moderate disease activity requiring any of the below:
• Systemic low dose oral glucocorticoids (equivalent to prednisolone ≤ 20 mg/day
• Intramuscular or intra-articular or soft tissue glucocorticoids injection (equivalent to
methylprednisolone < 500mg)
• Topical glucocorticoids
• Topical immunomodulators
• Antimalarials or thalidomide or prasterone or acitretin
• Symptomatic therapy (eg: NSAIDs for inflammatory arthritis)
BILAG A: Severe disease activity requiring any of the below:
• Systemic high dose oral glucocorticoids (equivalent to prednisolone > 20 mg/day)
• Intravenous pulse glucocorticoids (equivalent to pulse methylprednisolone ≥ 500 mg)
• Systemic immunomodulators (biologics, immunoglobulins and plasmapheresis)
• Therapeutic high dose anticoagulation in the presence of high dose steroids or
immunomodulators (eg: warfarin with target INR 3 – 4)
BILAG C: Mild disease
BILAG E: System never involved
BILAG D: Inactive disease but previously affected
Some nomenclature: SLEDAI
Rituximab failed P3 trials
Much literature documents rituximab efficacy in severe refractory SLE
A review in 188 SLE patients from 35 studies (mostly open-label) reported efficacy rates ~90%
However, two large randomized trials were unexpectedly negative
EXPLORER: RTX for non-renal SLE
•Patients: moderate-to-severe active disease (at least one BILAG A or two BILAG B)
•Intervention: background of single immunosuppressant, (AZT, MMF, or MTX), plus steroids
•Endpoint: Major clinical response (MCR) - BILAG C in all organ systems without new flares
•Results: No significant difference between groups, however, sub-group analysis showed benefit in African
Americans, hispanics, anti-dsDNA and complement
LUNAR: RTX in lupus nephritis
•Intervention: Background of steroids, Cytoxan and/or MMF.
•Endpoint: Creatinine, proteinuria, and urine sediment
•Results: no significant difference between groups, however,
• African American and Hispanic subgroups with better response (not statistically significant)
Why might a beneficial effect have been missed?
• Easy-fo-fail endpoint: BILAG (mild flare)
• Most EXPLORER patients had mild disease; patients with severe disease were under represented
• Patients received high doses of background steroids and immunosuppressants
• EXPLORER lasted 52 weeks. Open-label studies have shown maximal benefit out to 18 months
An easy-to-fail endpoint and aggressive background meds
Abatacept failed P2 trial
An easy-to-fail endpoint and aggressive background meds
Belimumab failed P2 trial
Design
• Patients: Clinically active disease as defined by SLE-DAI≥4; no serologic requirements
• Intervention: Standard of care (steroids and immunosuppressants) in addition to
belimumab
• Endpoint: Co-primary endpoints included percentage change in the SELENA SLEDAI,
and time to flare [defined by SELENA–SLEDAI flare index (SFI)]
• Results: No significant difference between groups, however, Benefits were seen in the
seropositive sub-group. Significant improvements in B cell counts, immunoglobulin levels,
anti-dsDNA antibody levels, and complement
Why might a beneficial effect have been missed?
• Seronegative patients included in the study (some chronic disease features may have
been misinterpreted as active inflammation)
• Unlimited changes in corticosteroid doses and immunosuppressants, confounding the
disease activity assessments.
• Disease indices perhaps not sensitive enough
An easy-to-fail endpoint and aggressive background meds
What would’ve happened had
they used different endpoints?
BILAG A flares are a more sensitive endpoint than BILAG B or C flares
• Significant benefit for both
rituximab and abatacept
patients (post hoc reanalysis)
• Using BILAG A (severe flare)
as the primary endpoint
• Vs the mild-moderate C or B
flare definitions used in the
actual P2 studies
• Use caution interpreting post
hoc analyses
Reduced
risk of
BILAG A
flare
HR=0.61
P=0.052
Reduced
risk of
BILAG A
flare
HR=0.61
P=0.052
Rituximab results - different flare definitions
Abatacept results - different flare definitions
BLISS (belimumab-P3) trial design
incorporated learnings from previous studies
Success
Epratuzumab P2 trials also used
novel/refined trial design approaches
Success
BICLA: BILAG-based Combined Lupus Assessment
• Measuring efficacy in terms of joint/organ protection or steroid sparing
effects will require substantially longer trials (3-5 years)
Evolution of trial design in SLE
Ongoing late stage trials
All are baking the same cake, but each recipe is slightly different
Patients Intervention Endpoints
LY2127399
(ILLUMINATE)
P3
Active disease:
SLEDAI≥6,
ANA+
SOC (“with some
restrictions in dose
adjustments”)
SRI
epratuzumab
(EMBODY2)
P3
Active mod-severe
SLE via BILAG
and SLEDAI
SOC
BICLA and no 
in background
meds
atacicept
(APRIL SLE)
P3
BILAG A or B SOC BILAG A or B flare
abatacept
(ACCESS)
P2
Lupus nephritis
Abatacept +
Cytoxan + AZT vs
Cytoxan + AZT
GFR, proteinuria,
creatinine
Thank You

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Progress in Lupus Trial Design

  • 1. Progress in Lupus Trial Design Contact: Mark.Abrahams@ig-b.com
  • 2. Patients Trial design Interventions Endpoints ⏏ ⏏ 3 key design factors determine the fate of clinical trials
  • 3. Challenges in SLE trial design We are learning as we go Patients • Lupus is a heterogenous disease • Patients must be sick enough to see treatment effect • Active disease vs inactive disease? • Impact on endpoint (index vs flare) • Trial length: flare trials (in inactive dz pts) take several years longer; Difficult to keep pts on same background Interventions • Unethical to randomize patients with active disese to placebo alone • Background treatments muddy the picture Endpoints • Disease activity indices a work in progress • Difficult to correlate biomarkers with clinical outcome (in nonrenal SLE) • Length of study: longer trials may be needed to see efficacy in joint/organ damage
  • 4. Some nomenclature: BILAGBasedontheprincipleofphysician’sintentiontotreat BILAG B: Moderate disease activity requiring any of the below: • Systemic low dose oral glucocorticoids (equivalent to prednisolone ≤ 20 mg/day • Intramuscular or intra-articular or soft tissue glucocorticoids injection (equivalent to methylprednisolone < 500mg) • Topical glucocorticoids • Topical immunomodulators • Antimalarials or thalidomide or prasterone or acitretin • Symptomatic therapy (eg: NSAIDs for inflammatory arthritis) BILAG A: Severe disease activity requiring any of the below: • Systemic high dose oral glucocorticoids (equivalent to prednisolone > 20 mg/day) • Intravenous pulse glucocorticoids (equivalent to pulse methylprednisolone ≥ 500 mg) • Systemic immunomodulators (biologics, immunoglobulins and plasmapheresis) • Therapeutic high dose anticoagulation in the presence of high dose steroids or immunomodulators (eg: warfarin with target INR 3 – 4) BILAG C: Mild disease BILAG E: System never involved BILAG D: Inactive disease but previously affected
  • 6. Rituximab failed P3 trials Much literature documents rituximab efficacy in severe refractory SLE A review in 188 SLE patients from 35 studies (mostly open-label) reported efficacy rates ~90% However, two large randomized trials were unexpectedly negative EXPLORER: RTX for non-renal SLE •Patients: moderate-to-severe active disease (at least one BILAG A or two BILAG B) •Intervention: background of single immunosuppressant, (AZT, MMF, or MTX), plus steroids •Endpoint: Major clinical response (MCR) - BILAG C in all organ systems without new flares •Results: No significant difference between groups, however, sub-group analysis showed benefit in African Americans, hispanics, anti-dsDNA and complement LUNAR: RTX in lupus nephritis •Intervention: Background of steroids, Cytoxan and/or MMF. •Endpoint: Creatinine, proteinuria, and urine sediment •Results: no significant difference between groups, however, • African American and Hispanic subgroups with better response (not statistically significant) Why might a beneficial effect have been missed? • Easy-fo-fail endpoint: BILAG (mild flare) • Most EXPLORER patients had mild disease; patients with severe disease were under represented • Patients received high doses of background steroids and immunosuppressants • EXPLORER lasted 52 weeks. Open-label studies have shown maximal benefit out to 18 months An easy-to-fail endpoint and aggressive background meds
  • 7. Abatacept failed P2 trial An easy-to-fail endpoint and aggressive background meds
  • 8. Belimumab failed P2 trial Design • Patients: Clinically active disease as defined by SLE-DAI≥4; no serologic requirements • Intervention: Standard of care (steroids and immunosuppressants) in addition to belimumab • Endpoint: Co-primary endpoints included percentage change in the SELENA SLEDAI, and time to flare [defined by SELENA–SLEDAI flare index (SFI)] • Results: No significant difference between groups, however, Benefits were seen in the seropositive sub-group. Significant improvements in B cell counts, immunoglobulin levels, anti-dsDNA antibody levels, and complement Why might a beneficial effect have been missed? • Seronegative patients included in the study (some chronic disease features may have been misinterpreted as active inflammation) • Unlimited changes in corticosteroid doses and immunosuppressants, confounding the disease activity assessments. • Disease indices perhaps not sensitive enough An easy-to-fail endpoint and aggressive background meds
  • 9. What would’ve happened had they used different endpoints? BILAG A flares are a more sensitive endpoint than BILAG B or C flares • Significant benefit for both rituximab and abatacept patients (post hoc reanalysis) • Using BILAG A (severe flare) as the primary endpoint • Vs the mild-moderate C or B flare definitions used in the actual P2 studies • Use caution interpreting post hoc analyses Reduced risk of BILAG A flare HR=0.61 P=0.052 Reduced risk of BILAG A flare HR=0.61 P=0.052 Rituximab results - different flare definitions Abatacept results - different flare definitions
  • 10. BLISS (belimumab-P3) trial design incorporated learnings from previous studies Success
  • 11. Epratuzumab P2 trials also used novel/refined trial design approaches Success BICLA: BILAG-based Combined Lupus Assessment
  • 12. • Measuring efficacy in terms of joint/organ protection or steroid sparing effects will require substantially longer trials (3-5 years) Evolution of trial design in SLE
  • 13. Ongoing late stage trials All are baking the same cake, but each recipe is slightly different Patients Intervention Endpoints LY2127399 (ILLUMINATE) P3 Active disease: SLEDAI≥6, ANA+ SOC (“with some restrictions in dose adjustments”) SRI epratuzumab (EMBODY2) P3 Active mod-severe SLE via BILAG and SLEDAI SOC BICLA and no  in background meds atacicept (APRIL SLE) P3 BILAG A or B SOC BILAG A or B flare abatacept (ACCESS) P2 Lupus nephritis Abatacept + Cytoxan + AZT vs Cytoxan + AZT GFR, proteinuria, creatinine