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Land Use, Housing and
     Government
          Lecture #6:
Firm Location, Market Areas and
      Market Competition

      Samuel R. Staley, Ph.D.
Fall 2011, Florida State University
Recall the economist’s view
             of cities…
• “Urban economics is designed as the study
  of cities. A city, in turn is defined as a spatial
  agglomeration of people. Hence, the spatial
  location of production and consumption is
  inherent in all urban economic analysis.”
  William T. Bogart, The Economics of Cities
  and Suburbs, p. 39.
• The economics of cities is the economics of
  space and spatial relationships in an
  economic context
Dr. Staley, Fall 2012   ECP3617: Housing, Land Use     2
                             and Government
Where
                                                     should a
                                                     business
                                                       locate
                                                      within a
                                                      region?




Dr. Staley, Fall 2012   ECP3617: Housing, Land Use        3
                             and Government
Why Do Businesses Cluster?
• Economies of scale are not spatial
      They are internal to the firm (no other firms benefit)
• Agglomeration economies: Efficiencies and
  increases in productivity that result from clustering
  activity in a certain area (proximity).
      Urbanization economies: Efficiencies and increases and
       productivity that result from density, or being in a city.
      Localization economies: Efficiencies and increases and
       productivity that result from locating near other related
       firms.
• Agglomeration economies are external
      Firms cluster
• Transportation costs are critical factors

Dr. Staley, Fall 2012    ECP3617: Housing, Land Use                 4
                              and Government
Location is Driven by the
    Firm’s Production Function
• Natural resources
      Weight “losing” firms locate near resource
       base
• Production, manufacturing & assembly
      Transportation costs for assembly &
       production
      Logistics
• Labor

Dr. Staley, Fall 2012   ECP3617: Housing, Land Use   5
                             and Government
Why Do Firms Locate Where
           They Do?




Dr. Staley, Fall 2012   ECP3617: Housing, Land Use   6
                             and Government
Dr. Staley, Fall 2012   ECP3617: Housing, Land Use   7
                             and Government
Firms Compete for Land
     Key is Rent Gradient                    Hierarchy of Place




Dr. Staley, Fall 2012   ECP3617: Housing, Land Use                8
                             and Government
What Happens When
Firms Decentralize?

•   Commuting costs still
    determine location
•   Now, wage rates reflect
    differences in commuting to
    CBD vs. a firm located closer
    to the edge
      •   Firms are no longer
          homogenous
•   Add a wage gradient to the
    land gradient
•   Firms now compete for
    workers between the
    locations
•   NOTE: workers bid up land
    closer to their employment
    based on compensating
    differentials in commuting vs.
    wage rates.




Dr. Staley, Fall 2012                ECP3617: Housing, Land Use   9
                                          and Government
The Fully Decentralized City
• Decentralized firms
  have important
  advantages over
  centralized firms
• They can offer lower
  wages (and lower
  their cost of
  production)
• They can better
  match the labor force
  to needs
• They minimize
  commuting costs




Dr. Staley, Fall 2012     ECP3617: Housing, Land Use   10
                               and Government
Dr. Staley, Fall 2012   ECP3617: Housing, Land Use   11
                             and Government
Share of Employment
in US Urbanized Areas




Dr. Staley, Fall 2012   ECP3617: Housing, Land Use   12
                             and Government
Changes in US Urban Areas




Dr. Staley, Fall 2012   ECP3617: Housing, Land Use   13
                             and Government
Change in US Urban Densities




Dr. Staley, Fall 2012   ECP3617: Housing, Land Use   14
                             and Government
Market Areas and Urban
                     Hierarchy
• Conventional economics:
      price (P)
      quantity (Q)
      Qd = A + b(P)
• Now, add a distance term
      Quantified by looking at transportation
       costs (dr)
      Now Qd = A + b(P + dr)

Dr. Staley, Fall 2012   ECP3617: Housing, Land Use   15
                             and Government
Effects of Transportation Costs
        on the Demand Curve




Dr. Staley, Fall 2012   ECP3617: Housing, Land Use   16
                             and Government
Further Analysis:
                   Price, Cost & Distance




Dr. Staley, Fall 2012   ECP3617: Housing, Land Use   17
                             and Government
Dr. Staley, Fall 2012   ECP3617: Housing, Land Use   18
                             and Government
• Derive the
  distance demand
  curve
• Translate
  conventional price
  quantity
  relationships
• Derive quantity-
  distance
  relationship
• If price changes,
  demand curve
  shifts
 Dr. Staley, Fall 2012   ECP3617: Housing, Land Use   19
                              and Government
Multiple Firms, Multiple Market
                    Areas




Dr. Staley, Fall 2012   ECP3617: Housing, Land Use   20
                             and Government
Making
                                                     Demand
                                                      3-D:

                                                       The
                                                     Demand
                                                      Cone



Dr. Staley, Fall 2012   ECP3617: Housing, Land Use        21
                             and Government
Examples of market areas
Product/Service                               Radius (miles)
Soft drinks (soda)                                    68
Concrete production                                  144
Ice cream                                            158
Bolts, nuts, screws                                  167
Fertilizers                                          828
Cigarettes                                           1,108
Dr. Staley, Fall 2012   ECP3617: Housing, Land Use             22
                             and Government
Economic Function                       Minimum Population
General merchandise                                  6,859
Restaurant                                            460
Candy store                                          35,000
Health care service                                   637
General grocery store                                2,570
Dentist                                               426
Drug Store                                            458
Bank                                                  616
Hospital                                             1,159
Dr. Staley, Fall 2012   ECP3617: Housing, Land Use            23
                             and Government
What will increase the size of a
            market area?

• Fixed costs increase
      requiring higher prices to be competitive
• Costs per trip fall
      Allowing customers to travel farther
• Frequency of trips fall
• Density falls

Dr. Staley, Fall 2012   ECP3617: Housing, Land Use   24
                             and Government
Other factors that could influence
the size of a market area over time:
• Inflation
• Changes in technology (e.g., big box
  retailing)
• Development of other cities & locations
• Propensity for industry clustering
• Interdependencies among people and
  businesses
• Location specific attributes
Dr. Staley, Fall 2012   ECP3617: Housing, Land Use   25
                             and Government
Optimal output for the
                   Individual Firm
• Profit maximizing
  firm
      MR = MC
      Economic profits
       >0
• Output < market
  optimum
• Price > market
  optimum
Dr. Staley, Fall 2012   ECP3617: Housing, Land Use   26
                             and Government
The ability to maximize profits will
   determine the size of the market area




Dr. Staley, Fall 2012   ECP3617: Housing, Land Use   27
                             and Government
Market areas will expand until
     competition limits further growth




Dr. Staley, Fall 2012   ECP3617: Housing, Land Use   28
                             and Government
• Monopolistic
                                            competition
                                                Free entry and exit
                                                Homogeneous
                                                 product
                                          • Allows normal
                                            profits
                                                Economic profits =
                                                 0
                                          • Optimum output
Dr. Staley, Fall 2012   ECP3617: Housing, Land Use                 29
                             and Government
In a perfect market, all areas would
             be served




Dr. Staley, Fall 2012   ECP3617: Housing, Land Use   30
                             and Government
The size of market areas will be
    determined by competition




Dr. Staley, Fall 2012   ECP3617: Housing, Land Use   31
                             and Government
Determining the Size of
                Market Areas
• Basic Parameters
        v: frequency of trips (consumption)
        k: trip cost per mile
        mc: marginal cost of goods to retailers
        C: fixed cost for retail facility
        F: Buyer density

• Key Variables
        P: unit price of a good
        D: distance between retail stores
        T: market area boundary
        S: individual store sales


Dr. Staley, Fall 2012       ECP3617: Housing, Land Use   32
                                 and Government
Market Area Boundary
• P + kT = P0 + k(D-T), or
     P + kT = P0 + kD – kT
     P + 2kT = P0 + kD
     2kT = P0 – P + kD
     T = (P0 – P + kD)/2k
• Thus,
      ↑k≈↓T
      ↑D≈↑T
       ↑ P0 or ↑ P ≈ ↑ECP3617: Housing, Land Use
Dr. Staley, Fall 2012
                        T                           33
                               and Government
Annual sales per store…

• Depends on frequency trips and
  density of buyers, so S = 2TvF, or
• S = vF[(P0 – P + kD)/k]




Dr. Staley, Fall 2012   ECP3617: Housing, Land Use   34
                             and Government
Entry and Store Density
• Long-run Equilibrium:
    D = [(C/kvF)1/2;
    P = mc + (kC/vF)1/2;
• Thus, goods purchased more frequently (↑v)
  increases store density (↓D) and lowers profit
  margins (↓P) (neighborhood pharmacy).
• Higher fixed costs will lower store density
  (↑D) and increase profit margins (↑P) (mall
  stores)
Dr. Staley, Fall 2012   ECP3617: Housing, Land Use   35
                             and Government
Real World Retail
• On-line retailing
      Amazon.com
      Ipad
      Dell Computer
• Life-style centers
        Spending patterns
        Income
        Versus strip shopping centers
        Versus conventional shopping malls
Dr. Staley, Fall 2012       ECP3617: Housing, Land Use   36
                                 and Government
Market Areas and Agglomeration




Dr. Staley, Fall 2012   ECP3617: Housing, Land Use   37
                             and Government
Hierarchy of
                                                 Place
                                           • Some cities serve
                                             larger markets
                                             than others
                                           • Primary services
                                           • Secondary &
                                             tertiary services




Dr. Staley, Fall 2012   ECP3617: Housing, Land Use               38
                             and Government
From:

                                                     John P.
                                                     Blair, Local
                                                     Economic
                                                     Development
                                                     , p. 76




Dr. Staley, Fall 2012   ECP3617: Housing, Land Use              39
                             and Government
Dr. Staley, Fall 2012   ECP3617: Housing, Land Use   40
                             and Government
Rank Size Rule
• A cities rank in the urban hierarchy may be related
  consistently to population
      Second rank city is 0.5 * population of largest city
      Third city is 1/3 size of the largest city
• Formula: Rank = C/Nb
      C = constant
      N = population
      B = estimated from data on rank & population where b = 1 if the
       rank size rule holds
• Study of 29 cities
      Two-thirds, 0.80 < b < 1.20
      Median = 1.09, slightly higher than the rank size rule implies
• Studies using economic definitions estimate b = 1.02

Dr. Staley, Fall 2012      ECP3617: Housing, Land Use                   41
                                and Government

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firmlocation

  • 1. Land Use, Housing and Government Lecture #6: Firm Location, Market Areas and Market Competition Samuel R. Staley, Ph.D. Fall 2011, Florida State University
  • 2. Recall the economist’s view of cities… • “Urban economics is designed as the study of cities. A city, in turn is defined as a spatial agglomeration of people. Hence, the spatial location of production and consumption is inherent in all urban economic analysis.” William T. Bogart, The Economics of Cities and Suburbs, p. 39. • The economics of cities is the economics of space and spatial relationships in an economic context Dr. Staley, Fall 2012 ECP3617: Housing, Land Use 2 and Government
  • 3. Where should a business locate within a region? Dr. Staley, Fall 2012 ECP3617: Housing, Land Use 3 and Government
  • 4. Why Do Businesses Cluster? • Economies of scale are not spatial  They are internal to the firm (no other firms benefit) • Agglomeration economies: Efficiencies and increases in productivity that result from clustering activity in a certain area (proximity).  Urbanization economies: Efficiencies and increases and productivity that result from density, or being in a city.  Localization economies: Efficiencies and increases and productivity that result from locating near other related firms. • Agglomeration economies are external  Firms cluster • Transportation costs are critical factors Dr. Staley, Fall 2012 ECP3617: Housing, Land Use 4 and Government
  • 5. Location is Driven by the Firm’s Production Function • Natural resources  Weight “losing” firms locate near resource base • Production, manufacturing & assembly  Transportation costs for assembly & production  Logistics • Labor Dr. Staley, Fall 2012 ECP3617: Housing, Land Use 5 and Government
  • 6. Why Do Firms Locate Where They Do? Dr. Staley, Fall 2012 ECP3617: Housing, Land Use 6 and Government
  • 7. Dr. Staley, Fall 2012 ECP3617: Housing, Land Use 7 and Government
  • 8. Firms Compete for Land Key is Rent Gradient Hierarchy of Place Dr. Staley, Fall 2012 ECP3617: Housing, Land Use 8 and Government
  • 9. What Happens When Firms Decentralize? • Commuting costs still determine location • Now, wage rates reflect differences in commuting to CBD vs. a firm located closer to the edge • Firms are no longer homogenous • Add a wage gradient to the land gradient • Firms now compete for workers between the locations • NOTE: workers bid up land closer to their employment based on compensating differentials in commuting vs. wage rates. Dr. Staley, Fall 2012 ECP3617: Housing, Land Use 9 and Government
  • 10. The Fully Decentralized City • Decentralized firms have important advantages over centralized firms • They can offer lower wages (and lower their cost of production) • They can better match the labor force to needs • They minimize commuting costs Dr. Staley, Fall 2012 ECP3617: Housing, Land Use 10 and Government
  • 11. Dr. Staley, Fall 2012 ECP3617: Housing, Land Use 11 and Government
  • 12. Share of Employment in US Urbanized Areas Dr. Staley, Fall 2012 ECP3617: Housing, Land Use 12 and Government
  • 13. Changes in US Urban Areas Dr. Staley, Fall 2012 ECP3617: Housing, Land Use 13 and Government
  • 14. Change in US Urban Densities Dr. Staley, Fall 2012 ECP3617: Housing, Land Use 14 and Government
  • 15. Market Areas and Urban Hierarchy • Conventional economics:  price (P)  quantity (Q)  Qd = A + b(P) • Now, add a distance term  Quantified by looking at transportation costs (dr)  Now Qd = A + b(P + dr) Dr. Staley, Fall 2012 ECP3617: Housing, Land Use 15 and Government
  • 16. Effects of Transportation Costs on the Demand Curve Dr. Staley, Fall 2012 ECP3617: Housing, Land Use 16 and Government
  • 17. Further Analysis: Price, Cost & Distance Dr. Staley, Fall 2012 ECP3617: Housing, Land Use 17 and Government
  • 18. Dr. Staley, Fall 2012 ECP3617: Housing, Land Use 18 and Government
  • 19. • Derive the distance demand curve • Translate conventional price quantity relationships • Derive quantity- distance relationship • If price changes, demand curve shifts Dr. Staley, Fall 2012 ECP3617: Housing, Land Use 19 and Government
  • 20. Multiple Firms, Multiple Market Areas Dr. Staley, Fall 2012 ECP3617: Housing, Land Use 20 and Government
  • 21. Making Demand 3-D: The Demand Cone Dr. Staley, Fall 2012 ECP3617: Housing, Land Use 21 and Government
  • 22. Examples of market areas Product/Service Radius (miles) Soft drinks (soda) 68 Concrete production 144 Ice cream 158 Bolts, nuts, screws 167 Fertilizers 828 Cigarettes 1,108 Dr. Staley, Fall 2012 ECP3617: Housing, Land Use 22 and Government
  • 23. Economic Function Minimum Population General merchandise 6,859 Restaurant 460 Candy store 35,000 Health care service 637 General grocery store 2,570 Dentist 426 Drug Store 458 Bank 616 Hospital 1,159 Dr. Staley, Fall 2012 ECP3617: Housing, Land Use 23 and Government
  • 24. What will increase the size of a market area? • Fixed costs increase  requiring higher prices to be competitive • Costs per trip fall  Allowing customers to travel farther • Frequency of trips fall • Density falls Dr. Staley, Fall 2012 ECP3617: Housing, Land Use 24 and Government
  • 25. Other factors that could influence the size of a market area over time: • Inflation • Changes in technology (e.g., big box retailing) • Development of other cities & locations • Propensity for industry clustering • Interdependencies among people and businesses • Location specific attributes Dr. Staley, Fall 2012 ECP3617: Housing, Land Use 25 and Government
  • 26. Optimal output for the Individual Firm • Profit maximizing firm  MR = MC  Economic profits >0 • Output < market optimum • Price > market optimum Dr. Staley, Fall 2012 ECP3617: Housing, Land Use 26 and Government
  • 27. The ability to maximize profits will determine the size of the market area Dr. Staley, Fall 2012 ECP3617: Housing, Land Use 27 and Government
  • 28. Market areas will expand until competition limits further growth Dr. Staley, Fall 2012 ECP3617: Housing, Land Use 28 and Government
  • 29. • Monopolistic competition  Free entry and exit  Homogeneous product • Allows normal profits  Economic profits = 0 • Optimum output Dr. Staley, Fall 2012 ECP3617: Housing, Land Use 29 and Government
  • 30. In a perfect market, all areas would be served Dr. Staley, Fall 2012 ECP3617: Housing, Land Use 30 and Government
  • 31. The size of market areas will be determined by competition Dr. Staley, Fall 2012 ECP3617: Housing, Land Use 31 and Government
  • 32. Determining the Size of Market Areas • Basic Parameters  v: frequency of trips (consumption)  k: trip cost per mile  mc: marginal cost of goods to retailers  C: fixed cost for retail facility  F: Buyer density • Key Variables  P: unit price of a good  D: distance between retail stores  T: market area boundary  S: individual store sales Dr. Staley, Fall 2012 ECP3617: Housing, Land Use 32 and Government
  • 33. Market Area Boundary • P + kT = P0 + k(D-T), or  P + kT = P0 + kD – kT  P + 2kT = P0 + kD  2kT = P0 – P + kD  T = (P0 – P + kD)/2k • Thus, ↑k≈↓T ↑D≈↑T  ↑ P0 or ↑ P ≈ ↑ECP3617: Housing, Land Use Dr. Staley, Fall 2012 T 33 and Government
  • 34. Annual sales per store… • Depends on frequency trips and density of buyers, so S = 2TvF, or • S = vF[(P0 – P + kD)/k] Dr. Staley, Fall 2012 ECP3617: Housing, Land Use 34 and Government
  • 35. Entry and Store Density • Long-run Equilibrium:  D = [(C/kvF)1/2;  P = mc + (kC/vF)1/2; • Thus, goods purchased more frequently (↑v) increases store density (↓D) and lowers profit margins (↓P) (neighborhood pharmacy). • Higher fixed costs will lower store density (↑D) and increase profit margins (↑P) (mall stores) Dr. Staley, Fall 2012 ECP3617: Housing, Land Use 35 and Government
  • 36. Real World Retail • On-line retailing  Amazon.com  Ipad  Dell Computer • Life-style centers  Spending patterns  Income  Versus strip shopping centers  Versus conventional shopping malls Dr. Staley, Fall 2012 ECP3617: Housing, Land Use 36 and Government
  • 37. Market Areas and Agglomeration Dr. Staley, Fall 2012 ECP3617: Housing, Land Use 37 and Government
  • 38. Hierarchy of Place • Some cities serve larger markets than others • Primary services • Secondary & tertiary services Dr. Staley, Fall 2012 ECP3617: Housing, Land Use 38 and Government
  • 39. From: John P. Blair, Local Economic Development , p. 76 Dr. Staley, Fall 2012 ECP3617: Housing, Land Use 39 and Government
  • 40. Dr. Staley, Fall 2012 ECP3617: Housing, Land Use 40 and Government
  • 41. Rank Size Rule • A cities rank in the urban hierarchy may be related consistently to population  Second rank city is 0.5 * population of largest city  Third city is 1/3 size of the largest city • Formula: Rank = C/Nb  C = constant  N = population  B = estimated from data on rank & population where b = 1 if the rank size rule holds • Study of 29 cities  Two-thirds, 0.80 < b < 1.20  Median = 1.09, slightly higher than the rank size rule implies • Studies using economic definitions estimate b = 1.02 Dr. Staley, Fall 2012 ECP3617: Housing, Land Use 41 and Government