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12   SHORT-RUN ECONOMIC FLUCTUATIONS
33 Aggregate Demand and Aggregate Supply
Short-Run Economic Fluctuations ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Short-Run Economic Fluctuations ,[object Object],[object Object]
THREE KEY FACTS ABOUT ECONOMIC FLUCTUATIONS ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Figure 1 A Look At Short-Run Economic Fluctuations Billions of 1996 Dollars Real GDP (a) Real GDP $10,000 9,000 8,000 7,000 6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 Copyright © 2004  South-Western
THREE KEY FACTS ABOUT ECONOMIC FLUCTUATIONS ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Figure 1 A Look At Short-Run Economic Fluctuations Billions of 1996 Dollars (b) Investment Spending $1,800 1,600 1,400 1,200 1,000 800 600 400 200 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 Investment spending Copyright © 2004  South-Western
THREE KEY FACTS ABOUT ECONOMIC FLUCTUATIONS ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Figure 1 A Look At Short-Run Economic Fluctuations Percent of Labor Force (c) Unemployment Rate 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 Unemployment rate Copyright © 2004  South-Western
EXPLAINING SHORT-RUN ECONOMIC FLUCTUATIONS ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The Basic Model of Economic Fluctuations ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The Basic Model of Economic Fluctuations  ,[object Object],[object Object]
The Basic Model of Economic Fluctuations  ,[object Object],[object Object]
The Basic Model of Economic Fluctuations  ,[object Object],[object Object]
Figure 2 Aggregate Demand and Aggregate Supply... Quantity of Output Price Level 0 Copyright © 2004  South-Western Aggregate supply Aggregate demand Equilibrium output Equilibrium price level
THE AGGREGATE-DEMAND CURVE ,[object Object],[object Object]
Figure 3 The Aggregate-Demand Curve... Quantity of Output Price Level 0 Copyright © 2004  South-Western Aggregate demand P Y Y 2 P 2 1. A decrease in the price level . . . 2. . . . increases the quantity of goods and services demanded.
Why the Aggregate-Demand Curve Is Downward Sloping ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Why the Aggregate-Demand Curve Is Downward Sloping ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Why the Aggregate-Demand Curve Is Downward Sloping ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Why the Aggregate-Demand Curve Is Downward Sloping ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Why the Aggregate-Demand Curve Might Shift ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Why the Aggregate-Demand Curve Might Shift ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Shifts in the Aggregate Demand Curve 0 P 1 Y 1 Quantity of Output Price Level Aggregate demand,  D 1 D 2 Y 2
THE AGGREGATE-SUPPLY CURVE ,[object Object],[object Object]
THE AGGREGATE-SUPPLY CURVE ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Figure 4 The Long-Run Aggregate-Supply Curve Quantity of Output Natural rate of output Price Level 0 Copyright © 2004  South-Western Long-run aggregate supply P 2 1. A change in the price level . . . 2.  . . . does not affect  the quantity of goods  and services supplied  in the long run. P
THE AGGREGATE-SUPPLY CURVE ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Why the Long-Run Aggregate-Supply Curve Might Shift ,[object Object],[object Object]
Why the Long-Run Aggregate-Supply Curve Might Shift ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Figure 5 Long-Run Growth and Inflation Quantity of Output Price Level 0 Copyright © 2004  South-Western Y 1980 AD 1980 AD 1990 Aggregate  Demand,  AD 2000 Long-run aggregate supply, LRAS 1980 Y 1990 LRAS 1990 Y 2000 LRAS 2000 P 1980 1. In the long run, technological  progress shifts  long-run aggregate  supply . . . 4. . . . and ongoing inflation. 3. . . . leading to growth in output . . . P 1990 P 2000 2. . . . and growth in the  money supply shifts  aggregate demand . . .
A New Way to Depict Long-Run Growth and Inflation ,[object Object]
Why the Aggregate-Supply Curve Slopes Upward in the Short Run ,[object Object],[object Object]
Figure 6 The Short-Run Aggregate-Supply Curve Quantity of Output Price Level 0 Copyright © 2004  South-Western Short-run aggregate supply 1. A decrease in the price level . . . 2. . . . reduces the quantity of goods and services supplied in the short run. Y P Y 2 P 2
Why the Aggregate-Supply Curve Slopes Upward in the Short Run ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Why the Aggregate-Supply Curve Slopes Upward in the Short Run ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Why the Aggregate-Supply Curve Slopes Upward in the Short Run ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The Sticky-Price Theory ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Why the Short-Run Aggregate-Supply Curve Might Shift ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Why the Aggregate Supply Curve Might Shift ,[object Object],[object Object]
Figure 7 The Long-Run Equilibrium Quantity of Output Price Level 0 Copyright © 2004  South-Western Natural rate of output Short-run aggregate supply Long-run aggregate supply Aggregate demand A Equilibrium price
Figure 8 A Contraction in Aggregate Demand Quantity of Output Price Level 0 Long-run aggregate supply Copyright © 2004  South-Western Short-run aggregate supply,  AS Aggregate demand,  AD A P Y AD 2 AS 2 1. A decrease in aggregate demand . . . 2. . . . causes output to fall in the short run . . . 3. . . . but over  time, the short-run aggregate-supply curve shifts . . . 4. . . . and output returns to its natural rate. C P 3 B P 2 Y 2
TWO CAUSES OF ECONOMIC FLUCTUATIONS ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
TWO CAUSES OF ECONOMIC FLUCTUATIONS  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Figure 10 An   Adverse Shift in Aggregate Supply Quantity of Output Price Level 0 Long-run aggregate supply Copyright © 2004  South-Western Aggregate demand 3. . . . and  the price  level to rise. 2. . . . causes output to fall . . . 1. An adverse shift in the short- run aggregate-supply curve . . . Short-run aggregate supply,  AS Y A P AS 2 B Y 2 P 2
The Effects of a Shift in Aggregate Supply ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The Effects of a Shift in Aggregate Supply ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Figure 11 Accommodating an Adverse Shift in Aggregate Supply Quantity of Output Natural rate of output Price Level 0 Long-run aggregate supply Aggregate demand,  AD Copyright © 2004  South-Western Short-run aggregate supply,  AS P 2 A P AS 2 3. . . . which causes the price level  to rise  further . . . 4. . . . but keeps output at its natural rate. 2. . . . policymakers can accommodate the shift by expanding aggregate demand . . . 1. When short-run aggregate supply falls . . . AD 2 C P 3
Summary ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Summary ,[object Object],[object Object]
Summary ,[object Object],[object Object]
Summary ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Summary ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Summary ,[object Object],[object Object]

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33

  • 1. 12 SHORT-RUN ECONOMIC FLUCTUATIONS
  • 2. 33 Aggregate Demand and Aggregate Supply
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  • 6. Figure 1 A Look At Short-Run Economic Fluctuations Billions of 1996 Dollars Real GDP (a) Real GDP $10,000 9,000 8,000 7,000 6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 Copyright © 2004 South-Western
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  • 8. Figure 1 A Look At Short-Run Economic Fluctuations Billions of 1996 Dollars (b) Investment Spending $1,800 1,600 1,400 1,200 1,000 800 600 400 200 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 Investment spending Copyright © 2004 South-Western
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  • 10. Figure 1 A Look At Short-Run Economic Fluctuations Percent of Labor Force (c) Unemployment Rate 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 Unemployment rate Copyright © 2004 South-Western
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  • 16. Figure 2 Aggregate Demand and Aggregate Supply... Quantity of Output Price Level 0 Copyright © 2004 South-Western Aggregate supply Aggregate demand Equilibrium output Equilibrium price level
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  • 18. Figure 3 The Aggregate-Demand Curve... Quantity of Output Price Level 0 Copyright © 2004 South-Western Aggregate demand P Y Y 2 P 2 1. A decrease in the price level . . . 2. . . . increases the quantity of goods and services demanded.
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  • 25. Shifts in the Aggregate Demand Curve 0 P 1 Y 1 Quantity of Output Price Level Aggregate demand, D 1 D 2 Y 2
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  • 28. Figure 4 The Long-Run Aggregate-Supply Curve Quantity of Output Natural rate of output Price Level 0 Copyright © 2004 South-Western Long-run aggregate supply P 2 1. A change in the price level . . . 2. . . . does not affect the quantity of goods and services supplied in the long run. P
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  • 32. Figure 5 Long-Run Growth and Inflation Quantity of Output Price Level 0 Copyright © 2004 South-Western Y 1980 AD 1980 AD 1990 Aggregate Demand, AD 2000 Long-run aggregate supply, LRAS 1980 Y 1990 LRAS 1990 Y 2000 LRAS 2000 P 1980 1. In the long run, technological progress shifts long-run aggregate supply . . . 4. . . . and ongoing inflation. 3. . . . leading to growth in output . . . P 1990 P 2000 2. . . . and growth in the money supply shifts aggregate demand . . .
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  • 35. Figure 6 The Short-Run Aggregate-Supply Curve Quantity of Output Price Level 0 Copyright © 2004 South-Western Short-run aggregate supply 1. A decrease in the price level . . . 2. . . . reduces the quantity of goods and services supplied in the short run. Y P Y 2 P 2
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  • 42. Figure 7 The Long-Run Equilibrium Quantity of Output Price Level 0 Copyright © 2004 South-Western Natural rate of output Short-run aggregate supply Long-run aggregate supply Aggregate demand A Equilibrium price
  • 43. Figure 8 A Contraction in Aggregate Demand Quantity of Output Price Level 0 Long-run aggregate supply Copyright © 2004 South-Western Short-run aggregate supply, AS Aggregate demand, AD A P Y AD 2 AS 2 1. A decrease in aggregate demand . . . 2. . . . causes output to fall in the short run . . . 3. . . . but over time, the short-run aggregate-supply curve shifts . . . 4. . . . and output returns to its natural rate. C P 3 B P 2 Y 2
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  • 46. Figure 10 An Adverse Shift in Aggregate Supply Quantity of Output Price Level 0 Long-run aggregate supply Copyright © 2004 South-Western Aggregate demand 3. . . . and the price level to rise. 2. . . . causes output to fall . . . 1. An adverse shift in the short- run aggregate-supply curve . . . Short-run aggregate supply, AS Y A P AS 2 B Y 2 P 2
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  • 49. Figure 11 Accommodating an Adverse Shift in Aggregate Supply Quantity of Output Natural rate of output Price Level 0 Long-run aggregate supply Aggregate demand, AD Copyright © 2004 South-Western Short-run aggregate supply, AS P 2 A P AS 2 3. . . . which causes the price level to rise further . . . 4. . . . but keeps output at its natural rate. 2. . . . policymakers can accommodate the shift by expanding aggregate demand . . . 1. When short-run aggregate supply falls . . . AD 2 C P 3
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Notas del editor

  1. Remove bullet in graph – graph needs no additional title???
  2. The order of discussion in Mankiw has been changed. The “misperceptions theory” must be moved to the bottom of the list. (This may affect the entire order of presentation following this slide.)
  3. Move this slide so that it follows the next two slides. That puts the discussion in the new order of the text.
  4. For consistency, title this slide, “Why the Aggregate supply curves slopes upward in the short run” like the previous two slides. Then move “The sticky-price theory” in large print to the top bullet (like the previous two slides).
  5. Should title be, “Why the short-run aggregate supply…”
  6. Bullet three, move the misperceptions theory to the end.