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SMALL	DEVICES,	BIG	DATA	AND	DECISION	MAKING	
Big	Data,	Metro	Toronto	Conven;on	Centre	
June	15,	2016	
Mircea	Baldean
-Daniel	Kahneman	
Author	of	Thinking	Fast	and	Slow						
“	
”	
You	can	look	at	a	pain;ng	all	
you	want,	but	asking	about	its	
provenience	is	usually	a	good	
guide	whether	the	pain;ng	is	
genuine	or	not.
THE	MAP	AND	THE	TERRITORY	
A	Primer	in	Decision	Making	
	
Small	Devices,	Big	Data	
	
Understanding	Data	
1	
2	
3
A	PRIMER	IN	DECISION	MAKING	
1
A	PRIMER	
Before	We	Start	
We	tend	to	be	op;mis;c	about	the	
things	that	are	important	to	us...
A	PRIMER	
Noise	vs.	Signal:	Law	of	Small	Numbers	
Source:	Michael	J.	Mauboussin,	“Capital	Ideas	Revisited-Part	2,”	Mauboussin	on	Strategy,	2005.	
Heads	or	Tails?	
Short-term	results	show	mostly	noise:	
50/50	normalized	results
A	PRIMER	
Inside	View	vs.	Outside	View	
The	Inside	view	is	based	on	intui;on.	
	
	The	Outside	view	will,	at	least,	gives	us	
a	ballpark.		
	
Which	one	will	you	act	upon?
A	PRIMER	
Why	is	Change	so	Hard	to	Implement?	
Big	data	implies	changes	within	most	
ins;tu;ons.	In	the	context	of	changes	
or	reforms,	there	will	be	losers	and	
there	will	be	winners.		
	
You	can	know	ahead	of	;me	that	the	
poten;al	losers	will	fight	harder	than	
the	winners.
A	PRIMER	
Why	is	Change	so	Hard	to	Implement?	
Losses	hurt	roughly	twice	as	much	
as	gains	feel	good!	
Source:	A.	Tversky	and	D.	Kahneman,	“Prospect	Theory”,	1979.	Chart:	SSgA,	“The	Exchange”,	2011.
A	PRIMER	
Why	is	Change	so	Hard	to	Implement?	
Unlike	Google,	most	organiza;ons	do	
not	experiment.	Few	employees	agree	
with	each	other,	and	in	fact	their	views	
can	differ	by	as	much	as	45-50%.		
	
And	many	organiza;ons	don't	even	
know	that!	
Source:	D.	Kahneman,	“Big	data,	intuiPon	and	decision-making	in	finance”,	Santa	Fe	InsPtute,	2015.
A	PRIMER	
Inside	View	vs.	Outside	View	
Experience	does	not	bring	Convergence,	
it	increases	Confidence.	
	
	Focus	on	beder	insights	and		
fewer	blind	spots.			
Source:	D.	Kahneman,	“Big	data,	intuiPon	and	decision-making	in	finance”,	Santa	Fe	InsPtute,	2015.
A	PRIMER	
Inside	View	vs.	Outside	View	
In	the	knowledge	economy	making		
beder	decisions	is	key.		
	
The	rest	is	increasingly	becoming		
automated	anyways.
SMALL	DEVICES,	BIG	DATA	
2
SMALL	DEVICES,	BIG	DATA	
Small	Devices,	Big	Data	
“Big	Data”	represents	techniques	and	
technologies	that	make	handling	data	at	
extreme	scale	affordable.	
Source:	Forrester	Research,	Inc.	The	PaSerns	Of	Big	Data,	June	2013.
SMALL	DEVICES,	BIG	DATA	
Small	Devices,	Big	Data	
Mobile	is	all	about	opportunity.		
Technology	and	social	connec;vity	
should	be	seamless.
SMALL	DEVICES,	BIG	DATA	
Mobile	Web	vs.	Apps	
Mobile	Web	is		
transac;onal.			
	
	
Apps	have	a		
specific	intent		
and	a	much	richer		
experience.
SMALL	DEVICES,	BIG	DATA	
Mobile	Web	vs.	Apps	
Mobile	is	mul;-dimensional:		
	
Loca;on,	Proximity,	Immediacy
SMALL	DEVICES,	BIG	DATA	
Value	of	Big	Data	
Web	and	Mobile	sta;s;cs	are	by	far	
the	most	measurable	and	accurate	
source	of	marke;ng	data	available.
SMALL	DEVICES,	BIG	DATA	
Value	of	Big	Data	
However,	the	most	common	obstacle	to	
successful	analy;cs	is	not	technology,	
but	rather	cross-team	integra;on.
SMALL	DEVICES,	BIG	DATA	
Handling	Big	Data	
Data	doesn't	age	well.		
Don't	make	bad	decisions	using	bad	data.
SMALL	DEVICES,	BIG	DATA	
Handling	Big	Data	
Invest	in		
tracking	
Leverage	
the	data
UNDERSTANDING	DATA	AT	MEETVIBE	
3
UNDERSTANDING	DATA	
MeetVibe	is	about	connec;ng	people	
																				and	ideas.		
	
	
	
	
	
	
We	give	them	access	to	the	world	
around	them:	people,	places,	
rela;onships,	interac;ons	and	
meaningful	connec;ons.
More	importantly,	people	choose	
MeetVibe	because	they	trust	us	with	
their	privacy.		
	
	
	
	
	
	
To	simplify	scheduling,	we	provide	a	
convenient	and	safe	way	of	viewing	the	
available	;mes.			
UNDERSTANDING	DATA
UNDERSTANDING	DATA	
Understanding	Data	at	MeetVibe	
Proprietary	Real-Time	BI	Dashboard	
App	Store	Analy;cs	
Google	Analy;cs	
Proximity	/	Loca;on-based	CMS	Social	Analy;cs	
Email	Analy;cs	
SalesForce.com	
Project	Management	Analy;cs	
Hub-and-Spoke	Model
UNDERSTANDING	DATA	
Understanding	Data	at	MeetVibe	
Proprietary	Real-Time	BI	Dashboard
UNDERSTANDING	DATA	
Understanding	Data	at	MeetVibe	
Footprint,	App	Versions
UNDERSTANDING	DATA	
Understanding	Data	at	MeetVibe	
Proximity	InteracTons
In	analy;cs,	success	is	dependent	upon	
asking	the	right	ques;ons.	
	
Some;mes	thinking	fast	can	lead	to	
false	posi;ves.						
THE	END
THANK	#YOU!	
Thank	#You!	
Mircea	Baldean	
			
meetvibe.com/baldean	
@baldean	
	
Surprise..	No	Test!

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Small Devices, Big Data and Decision Making