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The Policy and Regulatory Framework
Pedro Sanchez
World Bank Group Energy & Extractives
What has worked?
Outline
• Who is doing what: Global policy landscape
• What is an “enabling” policy and regulatory
framework: preconditions for successful PSP
• How have policies worked?
• Where does Uzbekistan stand?
Who is doing what: Global policy landscape
Global policy landscape
Some countries have
launched auctions without
specific RE policies.
Global policy landscape
• Nearly all countries directly supported RE development and deployment through
some mix of policies as of 2016. 176 countries have renewable energy targets,
some of which are included in their NDCs.
• Countries also have a mix of policies aimed at attracting investment, driving
deployment, fostering innovation and encouraging greater flexibility in energy
infrastructure (such as energy storage).
176
110
100
34
Countries with POLICY TARGETS
States/provinces/countries with FEED-IN policies
States/provinces/countries with RPS/QUOTA policies
Countries with tendering/public COMPETITIVE BIDDING
What is an “enabling” policy and regulatory
framework: preconditions for successful PSP
Enabling Environment for RE Development
• Adequate policy and regulatory instruments:
o Permit procedures
o Connection procedures (grid codes, rules to allow access to the grid, etc.)
o Support mechanisms for RE
o Tailored to the target sector (eg, solar, wind, biomass, etc)
• Government capacity for efficient and transparent public
procurement of private power generation and for contractual
negotiations
• Financially viability of utilities – reduce off-taker risk
• Allocation of responsibilities and accountabilities
• Coordination of generation and transmission expansion planning
• Government and utility capacity for RE deployment
What is a “good” framework?
Key principle Examples
Legal consistency Consistency of regulatory requirements with primary
legislation; no retroactive changes
Transparency Availability and reliability of information consistently
applied to all cases
Institutional capacity Clear division of responsibilities; adequate technical
capacity in approving agencies ; independence of
the regulator
Public consultation Mandatory stakeholder consultation on key decisions
Monitoring and
evaluation
Regular evaluation; external reviews of the
regulatory regime; adjustments if necessary
Enforcement Provisions to enforce compliance with
laws/regulations and deadlines for authorities and
the project developers.
Procedures should reflect goals
• Well-designed, investor-friendly procedures can:
o drastically reduce transaction costs (which can be up to 36% of the
generation cost for small off-grid projects!)
o lower uncertainty and shorten development time: allow for better
returns on investment
o reduce conflicts with different stakeholders
o allow public authorities to make sure that RE resources are
developed within an expected timeframe and in a sustainable and
responsible way
• Strong government commitment and institutional capacity
are essential to support sustainable renewable energy
deployment
Institutional structuring options for RE projects
Public Project State (state entity, utility, public enterprise)
Public-Private Partnership (PPP)
State (state entity, utility) and a private entity
(Independent Power Producer - IPP)
Private Project IPP
PLAYERS (responsible for development of the project)
Institutional structuring options for RE projects
Public Project Simplified control over energy production
Public-Private Partnership (PPP)
(i) Mitigation of country-specific political risks
perceived by the private sector (ii) promotion of
development of a new/complex technology in
the country (e.g. CSP)
Private Project
(i) Introduction of experienced actors in the
market and (ii) price competition
ADVANTAGES
Institutional structuring options for RE projects
Public Project
(i) Capability to quickly increase solar capacity
is limited by the fiscal envelope of the country
and (ii) limited internal technical capacity of
public entities
Public-Private Partnership (PPP)
(i) Complex roles for government and IPP in the
project development and (ii) risk that project will
be more expensive for the IPP than in pure IPP
development
Private Project
(i) Long development of the project by the IPP
and (ii) extensive negotiations of the PPA
RISKS
Institutional structuring options for RE projects
Public Project
Internal costs for the Government (there is no
PPA)
Public-Private Partnership (PPP) Average price
Private Project Low price, if competition is well organized
PRICE OF PPA
Institutional structuring options for RE projects
Public Project
Project development following the pace of the
government
Public-Private Partnership (PPP)
Risks of delays in development due to the need
to establish guiding principles of the relationship
between the government and the IPP
Private Project
Risks of delays due to PPA negotiations and
time of development of IPP projects from
scratch
TIMELINES
How have policies worked?
PERU
2008 : Law Enacted
2009 : Regulations
2010: First Auction
2011: Second Auction
2013: Third Auction (hydro only)
2016: Fourth Auction
The
Auctions
Implementation: process
1
2
3
4
5
6
Renewables Auctions
17
Legal Framework Law adopted in 2008 (Legislative Decree 1002)
Authorities in charge
Ministry of Energy and Mines (MEN)
Energy and Mines Regulator (OSINERGMIN)
Eligible technologies Technology-specific: solar,wind,biomass,small hydroand geothermal
Target 5% of the energy production based on solar, wind, biomass and geothermal
Selection process
One round based on price and quota of energy;
Ceiling price defined by OSINERGMIN (undisclosed) and quota defined by MEN.
The bidder must submit:
• Technical requirements, including resource assessments for minimum one year
• A pre-feasibility study for each project
Agenda of auctions First: 2009-2010; Second: 2011; Third: 2013; Fourth: 2016
Duration of tariff 20 years PPA
Compliance
• Bid and Performance bonds to guarantee seriousness and construction
• Penalties for compliance with volume of energy generation contracted
• Extension can be granted subject to increasing performance bonds
• Contract is terminated if failure to complete.
Results: Prices
18
142
90
126
80
69
38
-
50
100
150
Feb-10 Aug-11 Feb-16
Wind
80
16
185
221
120
48
-
50
100
150
200
250
Feb-10 Aug-11 Feb-16
Auction Date
Solar
MW Price Linear (Price)
Plant Factor: 50%
Plant Factor: 28%
20
Results: Competition in Transactions
Feb-10 Aug-11 Feb-16
Wind
Bidders 6 1 34
Awarded 3 1 3
Solar
Bidders 6 1 48
Awarded 4 1 2
Critical Success Factors
20
Preparation Bidding Construction Operation
• Regulation
• Grid Capacity
• Bidding
conditions
• Timing
• Balanced Risk
assignment
State-Bidder
• Clear rules for
prequalification
• Provide enough
time for bid
preparation
• Competition
• Institutional
support
• Clear E&S
regulation
and
procedures
• Clarity on
sector
regulation
(Tariff and
Adjustments)
• Clear conflict
resolution
procedures
Legal and Regulatory Framework Stability
Non Discriminatory Treatment to Investors
Where does Uzbekistan stand?
Good progress but questions remain
 ?
Resource assessment Regulations and institutional set-up
Government commitment Support for RE
RE target Credit-worthiness of the off-taker
RE law (draft)
Currency exchange risk and inflation
risk
Possible grid connection and system
integration issues
Some issues for consideration under the RE law
• Land tenure defined for small and mini-hydro but not for others (solar,
wind, for example). It will be good to clarify this.
• Incentives include the formation of a price policy aimed at stimulating the
production of energy from RE. Tariffs for energy produced from RE are
also to be established in accordance with the legislation, taking into
account the return on investment. Is the idea to use FiTs? Auctions are
preferred these days.
• Draft law establishes a Foundation for the Development of Renewable
Energy Sources as well as an entity for RE development. This will play
an important role in bridging the gap between public stakeholders and
private investors. Under which arm of government will the new entity
perform?
• Levies on hydrocarbon fuels (natural gas, oil products, coal) and energy
(electric, thermal). It will be important for funds to the RE fund to be ring-
fenced from the cash flow of entities in charge of collection (for example
UE)
Key issues need to be progressively addressed
Issue Comments Possible solutions
Institutional
setup
- No clear institutions responsible
for RE policy and its deployment
- Finalize and pass RE law to set
up responsible institutions
Regulations - Secondary legislations and
regulations needed to translate
presidential decrees on RE to
actual implementation
- Finalize and pass RE law to
allow for follow up regulations
(for example, grid code,
preferred approach for private
sector participation, etc.)
Currency
exchange
risk and
inflation
risk
- Linking of official exchange rate
with the curb market rate and
established a framework to allow
it to flow is a step in right
direction.
- Inflation rate is currently at 10%.
PPA must contain provisions to
deal with inflation
- The offtake tariff under the new
PPA should include a formula
for regular adjustments of the
tariff in line with indexation to
FOREX fluctuations and
inflation.
Key issues need to be progressively addressed
Issue Comments Possible solutions
Sustainability
of support to
RE
- RE looks expensive against
the background of low input
prices in the energy sector (in
particular, gas)
- Tariff reforms; gradual move
towards cost-recovery in the
energy sector.
- Introduction of an RE Fund with
mechanism to allow the
recovery of the RE support
costs through the tariffs
Credit-
worthiness of
Uzbekenergo
if off-taker
- Uncertainty whether
Uzbekenergo will have the
financial robustness and
capacities to fulfil its payment
obligations during the whole
period of the PPAs if they are
mandated as off-takers.
- In the short term: government
guarantee or other
arrangements to make the PPAs
bankable (backing of the PPA by
a solid creditworthy institution)
- Implement financial recovery
plans of energy sector entities to
improve the financial health of
the sector.
Key issues need to be progressively addressed
Issue Comments Possible solutions
Possible
grid
connection
and system
integration
issues
- Information about the grid
capacity and possible
connection points is not readily
available.
- Technical regulations are
underdeveloped to address the
peculiarities of connecting
variable RE (solar and wind).
- Unknown exposure on risks to
the grid (balancing and
forecasting).
- Undertake studies to
understand gaps in
infrastructure and operations
- Develop a detailed Grid Code
addressing the specifics of grid
connection and system
integration (including balancing
and forecasting) of variable RE
plants when significant
saturation is reached
- Make information about grid
across the country (including
network development pans)
more transparent
- Power system modernization,
including rehabilitation, and
automation of the grid
operations using ICT

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The Policy and Regulatory Framework for Renewable Energy

  • 1. The Policy and Regulatory Framework Pedro Sanchez World Bank Group Energy & Extractives What has worked?
  • 2. Outline • Who is doing what: Global policy landscape • What is an “enabling” policy and regulatory framework: preconditions for successful PSP • How have policies worked? • Where does Uzbekistan stand?
  • 3. Who is doing what: Global policy landscape
  • 4. Global policy landscape Some countries have launched auctions without specific RE policies.
  • 5. Global policy landscape • Nearly all countries directly supported RE development and deployment through some mix of policies as of 2016. 176 countries have renewable energy targets, some of which are included in their NDCs. • Countries also have a mix of policies aimed at attracting investment, driving deployment, fostering innovation and encouraging greater flexibility in energy infrastructure (such as energy storage). 176 110 100 34 Countries with POLICY TARGETS States/provinces/countries with FEED-IN policies States/provinces/countries with RPS/QUOTA policies Countries with tendering/public COMPETITIVE BIDDING
  • 6. What is an “enabling” policy and regulatory framework: preconditions for successful PSP
  • 7. Enabling Environment for RE Development • Adequate policy and regulatory instruments: o Permit procedures o Connection procedures (grid codes, rules to allow access to the grid, etc.) o Support mechanisms for RE o Tailored to the target sector (eg, solar, wind, biomass, etc) • Government capacity for efficient and transparent public procurement of private power generation and for contractual negotiations • Financially viability of utilities – reduce off-taker risk • Allocation of responsibilities and accountabilities • Coordination of generation and transmission expansion planning • Government and utility capacity for RE deployment
  • 8. What is a “good” framework? Key principle Examples Legal consistency Consistency of regulatory requirements with primary legislation; no retroactive changes Transparency Availability and reliability of information consistently applied to all cases Institutional capacity Clear division of responsibilities; adequate technical capacity in approving agencies ; independence of the regulator Public consultation Mandatory stakeholder consultation on key decisions Monitoring and evaluation Regular evaluation; external reviews of the regulatory regime; adjustments if necessary Enforcement Provisions to enforce compliance with laws/regulations and deadlines for authorities and the project developers.
  • 9. Procedures should reflect goals • Well-designed, investor-friendly procedures can: o drastically reduce transaction costs (which can be up to 36% of the generation cost for small off-grid projects!) o lower uncertainty and shorten development time: allow for better returns on investment o reduce conflicts with different stakeholders o allow public authorities to make sure that RE resources are developed within an expected timeframe and in a sustainable and responsible way • Strong government commitment and institutional capacity are essential to support sustainable renewable energy deployment
  • 10. Institutional structuring options for RE projects Public Project State (state entity, utility, public enterprise) Public-Private Partnership (PPP) State (state entity, utility) and a private entity (Independent Power Producer - IPP) Private Project IPP PLAYERS (responsible for development of the project)
  • 11. Institutional structuring options for RE projects Public Project Simplified control over energy production Public-Private Partnership (PPP) (i) Mitigation of country-specific political risks perceived by the private sector (ii) promotion of development of a new/complex technology in the country (e.g. CSP) Private Project (i) Introduction of experienced actors in the market and (ii) price competition ADVANTAGES
  • 12. Institutional structuring options for RE projects Public Project (i) Capability to quickly increase solar capacity is limited by the fiscal envelope of the country and (ii) limited internal technical capacity of public entities Public-Private Partnership (PPP) (i) Complex roles for government and IPP in the project development and (ii) risk that project will be more expensive for the IPP than in pure IPP development Private Project (i) Long development of the project by the IPP and (ii) extensive negotiations of the PPA RISKS
  • 13. Institutional structuring options for RE projects Public Project Internal costs for the Government (there is no PPA) Public-Private Partnership (PPP) Average price Private Project Low price, if competition is well organized PRICE OF PPA
  • 14. Institutional structuring options for RE projects Public Project Project development following the pace of the government Public-Private Partnership (PPP) Risks of delays in development due to the need to establish guiding principles of the relationship between the government and the IPP Private Project Risks of delays due to PPA negotiations and time of development of IPP projects from scratch TIMELINES
  • 15. How have policies worked? PERU
  • 16. 2008 : Law Enacted 2009 : Regulations 2010: First Auction 2011: Second Auction 2013: Third Auction (hydro only) 2016: Fourth Auction The Auctions Implementation: process 1 2 3 4 5 6
  • 17. Renewables Auctions 17 Legal Framework Law adopted in 2008 (Legislative Decree 1002) Authorities in charge Ministry of Energy and Mines (MEN) Energy and Mines Regulator (OSINERGMIN) Eligible technologies Technology-specific: solar,wind,biomass,small hydroand geothermal Target 5% of the energy production based on solar, wind, biomass and geothermal Selection process One round based on price and quota of energy; Ceiling price defined by OSINERGMIN (undisclosed) and quota defined by MEN. The bidder must submit: • Technical requirements, including resource assessments for minimum one year • A pre-feasibility study for each project Agenda of auctions First: 2009-2010; Second: 2011; Third: 2013; Fourth: 2016 Duration of tariff 20 years PPA Compliance • Bid and Performance bonds to guarantee seriousness and construction • Penalties for compliance with volume of energy generation contracted • Extension can be granted subject to increasing performance bonds • Contract is terminated if failure to complete.
  • 18. Results: Prices 18 142 90 126 80 69 38 - 50 100 150 Feb-10 Aug-11 Feb-16 Wind 80 16 185 221 120 48 - 50 100 150 200 250 Feb-10 Aug-11 Feb-16 Auction Date Solar MW Price Linear (Price) Plant Factor: 50% Plant Factor: 28%
  • 19. 20 Results: Competition in Transactions Feb-10 Aug-11 Feb-16 Wind Bidders 6 1 34 Awarded 3 1 3 Solar Bidders 6 1 48 Awarded 4 1 2
  • 20. Critical Success Factors 20 Preparation Bidding Construction Operation • Regulation • Grid Capacity • Bidding conditions • Timing • Balanced Risk assignment State-Bidder • Clear rules for prequalification • Provide enough time for bid preparation • Competition • Institutional support • Clear E&S regulation and procedures • Clarity on sector regulation (Tariff and Adjustments) • Clear conflict resolution procedures Legal and Regulatory Framework Stability Non Discriminatory Treatment to Investors
  • 22. Good progress but questions remain  ? Resource assessment Regulations and institutional set-up Government commitment Support for RE RE target Credit-worthiness of the off-taker RE law (draft) Currency exchange risk and inflation risk Possible grid connection and system integration issues
  • 23. Some issues for consideration under the RE law • Land tenure defined for small and mini-hydro but not for others (solar, wind, for example). It will be good to clarify this. • Incentives include the formation of a price policy aimed at stimulating the production of energy from RE. Tariffs for energy produced from RE are also to be established in accordance with the legislation, taking into account the return on investment. Is the idea to use FiTs? Auctions are preferred these days. • Draft law establishes a Foundation for the Development of Renewable Energy Sources as well as an entity for RE development. This will play an important role in bridging the gap between public stakeholders and private investors. Under which arm of government will the new entity perform? • Levies on hydrocarbon fuels (natural gas, oil products, coal) and energy (electric, thermal). It will be important for funds to the RE fund to be ring- fenced from the cash flow of entities in charge of collection (for example UE)
  • 24. Key issues need to be progressively addressed Issue Comments Possible solutions Institutional setup - No clear institutions responsible for RE policy and its deployment - Finalize and pass RE law to set up responsible institutions Regulations - Secondary legislations and regulations needed to translate presidential decrees on RE to actual implementation - Finalize and pass RE law to allow for follow up regulations (for example, grid code, preferred approach for private sector participation, etc.) Currency exchange risk and inflation risk - Linking of official exchange rate with the curb market rate and established a framework to allow it to flow is a step in right direction. - Inflation rate is currently at 10%. PPA must contain provisions to deal with inflation - The offtake tariff under the new PPA should include a formula for regular adjustments of the tariff in line with indexation to FOREX fluctuations and inflation.
  • 25. Key issues need to be progressively addressed Issue Comments Possible solutions Sustainability of support to RE - RE looks expensive against the background of low input prices in the energy sector (in particular, gas) - Tariff reforms; gradual move towards cost-recovery in the energy sector. - Introduction of an RE Fund with mechanism to allow the recovery of the RE support costs through the tariffs Credit- worthiness of Uzbekenergo if off-taker - Uncertainty whether Uzbekenergo will have the financial robustness and capacities to fulfil its payment obligations during the whole period of the PPAs if they are mandated as off-takers. - In the short term: government guarantee or other arrangements to make the PPAs bankable (backing of the PPA by a solid creditworthy institution) - Implement financial recovery plans of energy sector entities to improve the financial health of the sector.
  • 26. Key issues need to be progressively addressed Issue Comments Possible solutions Possible grid connection and system integration issues - Information about the grid capacity and possible connection points is not readily available. - Technical regulations are underdeveloped to address the peculiarities of connecting variable RE (solar and wind). - Unknown exposure on risks to the grid (balancing and forecasting). - Undertake studies to understand gaps in infrastructure and operations - Develop a detailed Grid Code addressing the specifics of grid connection and system integration (including balancing and forecasting) of variable RE plants when significant saturation is reached - Make information about grid across the country (including network development pans) more transparent - Power system modernization, including rehabilitation, and automation of the grid operations using ICT

Notas del editor

  1. Figure shows countries with Renewable Portfolio Standards, feed-in tariffs/premium payments and net metering policies. Countries are considered to have policies when at least one national-level policy is in place; these countries may have state/provincial-level policies in place as well. Diagonal lines indicate that countries have no policies in place at the national level but have at least one policy at the state/provincial level. It is interesting to see that there are countries that have launched auctions without specific RE policies.
  2. Policies include: REGULATORY POLICIES Feed-in tariff/ premium payment Electric utility quota obligation/ Renewable Portfolio Standards (RPS) Net metering Tradable RE certificates Tendering FISCAL INCENTIVES AND PUBLIC FINANCING Investment or production tax credits Reductions in sales, energy, VAT or other taxes Energy production payment Public investment, loans, grants, capital subsidies or rebates
  3. Renewable energy targets and financing mechanisms must be backed by dedicated policies and regulatory frameworks. Strong government commitment and institutional capacity are essential to support sustainable renewable energy deployment
  4. Renewable energy targets and financing mechanisms must be backed by dedicated policies and regulatory frameworks. Strong government commitment and institutional capacity are essential to support sustainable renewable energy deployment