Leveraging NDCs to Advance Capacity for National Adaptation Planning

RYAN O’CONNOR, RESEARCH ANALYST, WORLD RESOURCES INSTITUTE
LEVERAGING NDCS TO ADVANCE
CAPACITY FOR NATIONAL
ADAPTATION PLANNING
March 29, 2023
• Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs):The State of Play for Adaptation
o Global context
o Inclusion of adaptation and development process
o Integration of gender equity
o Scope of priority actions
o Implementation and monitoring
• Aligning with other Instruments:Adaptation Communications and National
Adaptation Plans
o Linkages with adaptation communications
o Alignment with national adaptation plans
• Climate Watch:A Tool for Supporting NDC Knowledge and Capacity
Presentation Outline
Nationally Determined Contributions
(NDCs): The State of Play for Adaptation
• IPCC’s 2023 AR6 Report finds a
growing gap for adaptation action
• Current efforts remain too small-scale,
fragmented, incremental, and focused
on near-term climate impacts to build
systemic resilience
• Adaptation fully voluntary in NDCs,
limited guidance for its inclusion
• WRI’s State of NDCs: 2022 Report
examines adaptation components of
167 current NDCs, comparing content
with initial submission round
Global Context
• Majority (144) of current
NDCs include an adaptation
component
• Increasingly describe NDC
development process,
planning and coordination
for adaptation
• Understanding institutional
arrangements, coordinating
entity, and stakeholder
consultations helpful for
alignment with NAP
Inclusion of Adaptation and Development Process
• On paper, references to gender considerations significantly increased in current NDCs
• Need to ensure NDC gender approach aligned with considerations in NAP process
Improved Integration of Gender Equity
• 4,641 priority adaptation actions
communicated in current NDCs;
almost double that from initial NDCs
• High variance in specificity & scope
across priority actions
• Most prioritized sectors and systems:
Food and nutrition security, water, and
nature-based solutions
• Strong need for improved capacity
building
More Detailed Actions
“Capacity building and
knowledge transfer”
• Of all adaptation actions, 39% include a time frame and 13% include targets and
indicators. 62 current NDCs describe finance requirements for adaptation.
Gaps in Implementation and Monitoring
• Fewer than half (57) of current NDCs describe adaptation monitoring, evaluation,
and learning (MEL) approaches; only minor increase from initial NDCs
Gaps in Implementation and Monitoring
Aligning with other Instruments:
Adaptation Communications and
National Adaptation Plans
• NDCs serve as one potential vehicle for
documenting adaptation communications
• 16 of 38 countries (42%) analyzed designate
adaptation communication as current NDC
• Decision 9/CMA.1 as key guidance document
• “The guidance for adcoms in decision 9/CMA.1 is
relevant to preparing adcoms and adaptation
components of NDCs. No other guidance currently
exists for this purpose. Therefore, the guidance in
decision 9/CMA.1 can be understood as having a
double function: it guides (1) adcoms in general and
(2) adaptation components of NDCs specifically.”
–Adaptation Committee (AC), 2022
Linking NDCs with Adaptation Communications
• References to NAPs
more than doubled in
updated NDCs
• NAPs as a key driver of
adaptation in NDCs due
to more comprehensive
scope
• Context dependent:
NDCs can strategically
highlight country’s NAP,
or inform start of the
NAP process
Greater NDC Alignment with NAPs
Case Study: Fiji’s NAP (2018) comprehensively synthesized
existing strategies for adaptation, development, and long-
term planning. The goal of the updated NDC (2020) was to
increase international visibility for adaptation and the NAP,
and draws from the NAP document for priority actions.
Climate Watch: A Tool for Supporting
NDC Knowledge and Capacity
• “ClimateWatch is an open data platform that
brings together dozens of datasets to let users
easily search, analyze and compare countries’
climate progress and commitments under the
Paris Agreement. Users can use the platform to
access the latest historical greenhouse gas
emissions data, track net-zero targets and explore
nationally determined contributions (NDCs) and
long-term strategies to reduce GHG emissions.”
–wri.org
• Adaptation NDC analysis dataset recently
added to platform
• Access on www.climatewatchdata.org
What is Climate Watch?
Global Visualization of NDC Adaptation Content
Region and Country Filters for Refined Analysis
Country NDC Pages offer Detailed Analysis
THANK YOU
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Leveraging NDCs to Advance Capacity for National Adaptation Planning

  • 1. RYAN O’CONNOR, RESEARCH ANALYST, WORLD RESOURCES INSTITUTE LEVERAGING NDCS TO ADVANCE CAPACITY FOR NATIONAL ADAPTATION PLANNING March 29, 2023
  • 2. • Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs):The State of Play for Adaptation o Global context o Inclusion of adaptation and development process o Integration of gender equity o Scope of priority actions o Implementation and monitoring • Aligning with other Instruments:Adaptation Communications and National Adaptation Plans o Linkages with adaptation communications o Alignment with national adaptation plans • Climate Watch:A Tool for Supporting NDC Knowledge and Capacity Presentation Outline
  • 3. Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs): The State of Play for Adaptation
  • 4. • IPCC’s 2023 AR6 Report finds a growing gap for adaptation action • Current efforts remain too small-scale, fragmented, incremental, and focused on near-term climate impacts to build systemic resilience • Adaptation fully voluntary in NDCs, limited guidance for its inclusion • WRI’s State of NDCs: 2022 Report examines adaptation components of 167 current NDCs, comparing content with initial submission round Global Context
  • 5. • Majority (144) of current NDCs include an adaptation component • Increasingly describe NDC development process, planning and coordination for adaptation • Understanding institutional arrangements, coordinating entity, and stakeholder consultations helpful for alignment with NAP Inclusion of Adaptation and Development Process
  • 6. • On paper, references to gender considerations significantly increased in current NDCs • Need to ensure NDC gender approach aligned with considerations in NAP process Improved Integration of Gender Equity
  • 7. • 4,641 priority adaptation actions communicated in current NDCs; almost double that from initial NDCs • High variance in specificity & scope across priority actions • Most prioritized sectors and systems: Food and nutrition security, water, and nature-based solutions • Strong need for improved capacity building More Detailed Actions “Capacity building and knowledge transfer”
  • 8. • Of all adaptation actions, 39% include a time frame and 13% include targets and indicators. 62 current NDCs describe finance requirements for adaptation. Gaps in Implementation and Monitoring
  • 9. • Fewer than half (57) of current NDCs describe adaptation monitoring, evaluation, and learning (MEL) approaches; only minor increase from initial NDCs Gaps in Implementation and Monitoring
  • 10. Aligning with other Instruments: Adaptation Communications and National Adaptation Plans
  • 11. • NDCs serve as one potential vehicle for documenting adaptation communications • 16 of 38 countries (42%) analyzed designate adaptation communication as current NDC • Decision 9/CMA.1 as key guidance document • “The guidance for adcoms in decision 9/CMA.1 is relevant to preparing adcoms and adaptation components of NDCs. No other guidance currently exists for this purpose. Therefore, the guidance in decision 9/CMA.1 can be understood as having a double function: it guides (1) adcoms in general and (2) adaptation components of NDCs specifically.” –Adaptation Committee (AC), 2022 Linking NDCs with Adaptation Communications
  • 12. • References to NAPs more than doubled in updated NDCs • NAPs as a key driver of adaptation in NDCs due to more comprehensive scope • Context dependent: NDCs can strategically highlight country’s NAP, or inform start of the NAP process Greater NDC Alignment with NAPs Case Study: Fiji’s NAP (2018) comprehensively synthesized existing strategies for adaptation, development, and long- term planning. The goal of the updated NDC (2020) was to increase international visibility for adaptation and the NAP, and draws from the NAP document for priority actions.
  • 13. Climate Watch: A Tool for Supporting NDC Knowledge and Capacity
  • 14. • “ClimateWatch is an open data platform that brings together dozens of datasets to let users easily search, analyze and compare countries’ climate progress and commitments under the Paris Agreement. Users can use the platform to access the latest historical greenhouse gas emissions data, track net-zero targets and explore nationally determined contributions (NDCs) and long-term strategies to reduce GHG emissions.” –wri.org • Adaptation NDC analysis dataset recently added to platform • Access on www.climatewatchdata.org What is Climate Watch?
  • 15. Global Visualization of NDC Adaptation Content
  • 16. Region and Country Filters for Refined Analysis
  • 17. Country NDC Pages offer Detailed Analysis