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SETTING COURSE FOR THE
FUTURE: THE ROAD AHEAD
FOR CHARITIES AND
VOLUNTEERING?
SPEAKERS
KARL WILDING
DIRECTOR OF PUBLIC POLICY AND
VOLUNTEERING, NCVO
MATT HARDWICK
RISK CONSULTANT, ZURICH INSURANCE
VÉRONIQUE JOCHUM
HEAD OF RESEARCH, NCVO
Drinks sponsors:
Lead sponsor:
Co sponsor:
Media partner:
Digital partner:
KARL WILDING
NCVO
SETTING THE SCENE
THE UK VOLUNTARY SECTOR IS AT THE
HEART OF CIVIL SOCIETY
166,000voluntary organisations
65%are small and local
880,665employe
es
11.9mvolunteer
s (at least once
a month)
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Small &
Medium
Large
Major & Super-
major
HALF THE SECTOR’S INCOME IS GENERATED BY THE
LARGEST ORGANISATIONS…
£24.8b
n
£13.8b
n
£9.2b
n
£11.9b
n
£8.8bn
£10.9b
n
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
2000/01 2003/04 2006/07 2009/10 2012/13 2015/16
Income
Expenditure
£47.8bn
£46.5bn
INCREASES IN INCOME AND SPENDING HAVE CONTINUED
THE LARGEST PROPORTION OF THE SECTOR’S INCOME
COMES FROM INDIVIDUALS…
47%
32%
1%
9%
4%
7%
Government
£15.3bn
National
Lottery
£0.7bn
Voluntary sector
£4.1bn
Private
sector
£2.0bn
Investment
£3.4bn
Individuals
£22.3bn
0
5
10
15
20
25
2000/01 2003/04 2006/07 2009/10 2012/13 2015/16
Individual Government
INCOME FROM INDIVIDUALS HAS BEEN DRIVING THE
INCOME INCREASE FOR THE LAST FEW YEARS
0% 25% 50% 75% 100%
Micro & Small
Medium
Large
Major
Super-major
Individual
s
Governmen
t
Other
SMALLER ORGANISATIONS RELY MORE ON INCOME
FROM THE PUBLIC
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Contracts
Grants
MOST INCOME FROM GOVERNMENT IS GIVEN IN FORMS
OF CONTRACTS
£3.8bn
£11.5b
n
MATTHEW HARDWICK
ZURICH
The Dramatically shifting risk landscape
Matthew Hardwick
Strategic Risk Consultant
14
15
Any task, process or thing you can think of can
change
What is the 4th Industrial Revolution?
16
Facing up to risks in 4IR
Connecting machines, work pieces and systems, businesses are creating intelligent
networks along the entire value chain that can control each other autonomously
‘4IR in a nutshell’
‘4IR in a nutshell’
The technology revolution
‘4IR in a nutshell’
The technology revolution
‘4IR in a nutshell’
The technology revolution
§
‘4IR in a nutshell’
The technology revolution
‘4IR in a nutshell’
The technology revolution
‘4IR in a nutshell’
The technology revolution
The technology revolution
‘4IR in a nutshell’
Physical world risks
remain
Skills & Capacity
Who’s responsible
for failures?
Do decision
makers understand
the technology?
Impact on
employment levels
Impact on
employee
wellbeing & rights
Government
Regulation
Future of social
protection
Paradox of
Automation
‘Black Box’ 3rd
party technology
Ethical use of
algorithms & data
Impact on
inequality
Humans ability to
supervise
technology
Cyber risks, data
loss & fraud
Commercial risks
Over reliance on
‘Big Tech’
Business
interruption
Resilience when
failures happen
Democratic
oversight
Interdependencies
Possible Risk Implications
26
Key things for Trustees to consider in response to
the 4th Industrial Revolution
Future Governance Models /1
27
• How should Boards / Trustees bring in the right skills, expertise and
experience and be informed about the new technology agendas…
- Be informed – take personal interest; reading, seminars etc.
- Consider seeking input from professional advisors; independence is
important
- Consider the Board make-up; recruiting different skills and a different
Trustee mix
- Engagement with Senior Leaders – understanding what they are really
looking to achieve
- Learning from peers and other sectors – where and how is this done
well
- Invest the time!
Key things for Trustees to consider in response to
the 4th Industrial Revolution
Future Governance Models /2
28
• It’s easy to be distracted…
- When considering what “can be” done – ensure you are clear on how
this enables you to better deliver on your purpose and whether it
creates greater impact.
- If it doesn’t, and you can’t, then should you be doing it?
Key things for Trustees to consider in response to
the 4th Industrial Revolution
Future Governance Models /3
29
• Have a 360degree view on the impacts of your decisions…
- When considering what “can be” done – ensure you explore other
potential implications or consequences may be…
- If you are provide a technology and data enabled care service
(telecare) monitoring a dementia sufferer in their home, what do you
do if you learn they cross the threshold of the property and
03:00…nothing? Is that a dereliction of purpose, is that a neglect in
the service you’re meant to be providing, are you liable for anything?
- If you are using AI to inform decision making; how are you / who is
overseeing the decisions the Algorithm is making?
• Where appropriate build into your ERM process; if relevant for your
Charity you should have an explicit focus on this for your organisation and
also seeking to understand the approach others in your supply chains.
Key things for Trustees to consider in response to
the 4th Industrial Revolution
Future Governance Models /4
30
• Where appropriate build into your ERM process; if relevant for your
Charity you should have an explicit focus on this for your organisation
and also seeking to understand the approach others in your supply
chains.
Finally…how about paying with your face?
Not quite finally…
Just when you think we are all up the creek
33
VERONIQUE JOCHUM
NCVO
DRIVERS AND TRENDS SHAPING
THE FUTURE
HUGE
UNCERTAINTY
END OF AUSTERITY?
ONGOING DEMOGRAPHIC PRESSURES
INTERGENERATIONAL CONTRACT UNDER
STRAIN?
CHANGING COMMUNITIES
LONELINESS AND SOCIAL ISOLATION
CHANGING THE WORLD TOGETHER
GREATER SCRUTINY, GREATER TRANSPARENCY
THE POWER OF DIGITAL
46
Thank you!

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Setting course for the future the road ahead for charities and volunteering

  • 1. SETTING COURSE FOR THE FUTURE: THE ROAD AHEAD FOR CHARITIES AND VOLUNTEERING? SPEAKERS KARL WILDING DIRECTOR OF PUBLIC POLICY AND VOLUNTEERING, NCVO MATT HARDWICK RISK CONSULTANT, ZURICH INSURANCE VÉRONIQUE JOCHUM HEAD OF RESEARCH, NCVO Drinks sponsors: Lead sponsor: Co sponsor: Media partner: Digital partner:
  • 3.
  • 5. THE UK VOLUNTARY SECTOR IS AT THE HEART OF CIVIL SOCIETY 166,000voluntary organisations 65%are small and local 880,665employe es 11.9mvolunteer s (at least once a month)
  • 6. 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Small & Medium Large Major & Super- major HALF THE SECTOR’S INCOME IS GENERATED BY THE LARGEST ORGANISATIONS… £24.8b n £13.8b n £9.2b n £11.9b n £8.8bn £10.9b n
  • 7. 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 2000/01 2003/04 2006/07 2009/10 2012/13 2015/16 Income Expenditure £47.8bn £46.5bn INCREASES IN INCOME AND SPENDING HAVE CONTINUED
  • 8. THE LARGEST PROPORTION OF THE SECTOR’S INCOME COMES FROM INDIVIDUALS… 47% 32% 1% 9% 4% 7% Government £15.3bn National Lottery £0.7bn Voluntary sector £4.1bn Private sector £2.0bn Investment £3.4bn Individuals £22.3bn
  • 9. 0 5 10 15 20 25 2000/01 2003/04 2006/07 2009/10 2012/13 2015/16 Individual Government INCOME FROM INDIVIDUALS HAS BEEN DRIVING THE INCOME INCREASE FOR THE LAST FEW YEARS
  • 10. 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Micro & Small Medium Large Major Super-major Individual s Governmen t Other SMALLER ORGANISATIONS RELY MORE ON INCOME FROM THE PUBLIC
  • 11. 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Contracts Grants MOST INCOME FROM GOVERNMENT IS GIVEN IN FORMS OF CONTRACTS £3.8bn £11.5b n
  • 13. The Dramatically shifting risk landscape Matthew Hardwick Strategic Risk Consultant
  • 14. 14
  • 15. 15
  • 16. Any task, process or thing you can think of can change What is the 4th Industrial Revolution? 16
  • 17. Facing up to risks in 4IR Connecting machines, work pieces and systems, businesses are creating intelligent networks along the entire value chain that can control each other autonomously
  • 18. ‘4IR in a nutshell’
  • 19. ‘4IR in a nutshell’ The technology revolution
  • 20. ‘4IR in a nutshell’ The technology revolution
  • 21. ‘4IR in a nutshell’ The technology revolution
  • 22. § ‘4IR in a nutshell’ The technology revolution
  • 23. ‘4IR in a nutshell’ The technology revolution
  • 24. ‘4IR in a nutshell’ The technology revolution
  • 26. Physical world risks remain Skills & Capacity Who’s responsible for failures? Do decision makers understand the technology? Impact on employment levels Impact on employee wellbeing & rights Government Regulation Future of social protection Paradox of Automation ‘Black Box’ 3rd party technology Ethical use of algorithms & data Impact on inequality Humans ability to supervise technology Cyber risks, data loss & fraud Commercial risks Over reliance on ‘Big Tech’ Business interruption Resilience when failures happen Democratic oversight Interdependencies Possible Risk Implications 26
  • 27. Key things for Trustees to consider in response to the 4th Industrial Revolution Future Governance Models /1 27 • How should Boards / Trustees bring in the right skills, expertise and experience and be informed about the new technology agendas… - Be informed – take personal interest; reading, seminars etc. - Consider seeking input from professional advisors; independence is important - Consider the Board make-up; recruiting different skills and a different Trustee mix - Engagement with Senior Leaders – understanding what they are really looking to achieve - Learning from peers and other sectors – where and how is this done well - Invest the time!
  • 28. Key things for Trustees to consider in response to the 4th Industrial Revolution Future Governance Models /2 28 • It’s easy to be distracted… - When considering what “can be” done – ensure you are clear on how this enables you to better deliver on your purpose and whether it creates greater impact. - If it doesn’t, and you can’t, then should you be doing it?
  • 29. Key things for Trustees to consider in response to the 4th Industrial Revolution Future Governance Models /3 29 • Have a 360degree view on the impacts of your decisions… - When considering what “can be” done – ensure you explore other potential implications or consequences may be… - If you are provide a technology and data enabled care service (telecare) monitoring a dementia sufferer in their home, what do you do if you learn they cross the threshold of the property and 03:00…nothing? Is that a dereliction of purpose, is that a neglect in the service you’re meant to be providing, are you liable for anything? - If you are using AI to inform decision making; how are you / who is overseeing the decisions the Algorithm is making? • Where appropriate build into your ERM process; if relevant for your Charity you should have an explicit focus on this for your organisation and also seeking to understand the approach others in your supply chains.
  • 30. Key things for Trustees to consider in response to the 4th Industrial Revolution Future Governance Models /4 30 • Where appropriate build into your ERM process; if relevant for your Charity you should have an explicit focus on this for your organisation and also seeking to understand the approach others in your supply chains.
  • 31. Finally…how about paying with your face?
  • 33. Just when you think we are all up the creek 33
  • 35. DRIVERS AND TRENDS SHAPING THE FUTURE
  • 42. CHANGING THE WORLD TOGETHER
  • 44. THE POWER OF DIGITAL
  • 45.

Notas del editor

  1. United Kingdom Shared Prosperity Fund Long-term implications on the economy Funding, a particular concern for the sector Potential gaps in the workforce Not much political interest in the sector
  2. Need for higher taxes, extra borrowing or more growth Rising demand for services and shrinking resources set to continue Rising demand for services and shrinking resources set to continue Switch away from spending on preventive services
  3. UK population still growing Older population growing faster than younger age groups Increasing demand for health and social care services People working longer Social contract between generations under strain
  4. UK population still growing Older population growing faster than younger age groups Increasing demand for health and social care services People working longer Social contract between generations under strain
  5. Pressures of poverty, including in-work poverty Increasing housing insecurity Fragmentation within communities  More people feeling isolated and lonely
  6. Time poor citizens seeking out flexible opportunities to take part Thirst for meaningful, impactful and enjoyable engagement A mix of online and offline A mix of formal and informal
  7. Public trust under threat? Higher expectations of transparency and accountability Need for charities to increase trustworthiness Improving ways of talking about impact A more effective and secure use of data
  8. Big potential of open data Booming tech-for-good sector A fourth industrial revolution on its way Limitations of always-on technologies Filter bubbles and trolls