Presented Tuesday 14 November at the NCVO/BWB Trustee Conference 2017

1. Drinks
sponsors:
Partner
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Lead
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Media
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Tech
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PLANNING FOR BREXIT: ISSUES
YOUR CHARITY NEEDS TO
CONSIDER GOING FORWARD
CHAIR
BRENDAN COSTELLOE
SENIOR EXTERNAL RELATIONS OFFICER (EU), NCVO
SPEAKERS
DUNCAN SHRUBSOLE
DIRECTOR OF POLICY, PARTNERSHIPS AND
COMMUNICATIONS, LLOYDS BANK
FOUNDATION
JEMMA LEVENE
DEPUTY DIRECTOR, HOPE NOT HATE
PETER REEVE
HEAD OF HR, MND ASSOCIATION AND
HEAD OF CHARITIES HR NETWORK

2. Brexit – the HR implications
Exercises in politics and fortune telling!
Peter Reeve
Head of HR MND Association / Chair Charities HR Network

3. Brexit - HR implications
Currently we have clarity as to the nature of the
Brexit arrangements
Look at two areas:
1. Workforce Implications leading up to Brexit
2. Predictions and Implications

4. The run up to Brexit
• The non-UK workforce
– According to CIPD figures 27% on EU nationals in the
UK were considering leaving
– Applications from EU qualified nurses fallen 70%
– 17% fall in seasonal workers coming to the UK
EU nationals in the UK are worried and others are not
coming in the first place
How reliant is your organisation on EU labour and where
else it might come from?

5. The run up to Brexit
• Salary inflation and real incomes
– CPI is currently at 3.5%+
– Interest rates are back up to 0.5%
2018 is likely to see real earnings fall
- What increases in costs can you afford?
- How to support people who fall into hardship?

6. Brexit - Politics and employment law
The government has said that Brexit will not see
a wholescale degradation of workers rights
• They don’t have the seats to pass significant changes
• But where were the UK reluctant adopters – EWTD,
agency workers rules – watch this space
What capability/capacity does your organisation have to
monitor and respond to changes significant and sudden
changes in employment law?

7. Brexit - uncertainty and change
Your organisation has a number of employees
who are genuinely worried about the/their future
Employers have to play a much greater role in
managing social issues – retirement, vocational
education etc
What communication and engagement capacity
do you have to honestly and openly support and
engage your people?

8. Community Cohesion post-Brexit
HOPE not hate Charitable Trust
@hopenothate
http://charity.hopenothate.org.uk/
@jemma_levene

10. England
increasingly
tolerant and
open
39% occupy
two most
liberal tribes in
society
But 23% of
population =
active enmity
or latent
hostile

11. Attitudes towards immigration are softening, caused by
changing demographics and the belief among sceptics that
Brexit will partly solve the ‘problem’. Over 90% of Britons
believe immigration is essential, but economic need should
determine the level of future immigration.
The British public are not confident about multiculturalism
and most people fear that British values are in decline. The two
liberal tribes distance themselves from the majority of British
public in this respect

12. Brexit
Only 6% of people are very confident Theresa May will secure a good
deal for Britain in EU negotiations.
Brexit divides British society into two distinct groups. Little prospect that
a deal can be secured without angering and further alienating one or
both groups. Very little appetite for reversing Referendum result.
Cautious optimism remains about economy, but people are reporting
less disposable income than a year ago; increasing opposition to
austerity. Expectations for future economic well-being are divided along
Brexit lines, with Remain voters fearful and Leave voters more
optimistic.

16. Attitudes to the Grenfell Tower disaster shows
deep divide in the country
Londoners, Labour voters and BAME draw a wider
lesson about Britain’s unequal society where the
poor lose out
Those outside London, Conservatives and Nigel
Farage supporters view it as an isolated
unfortunate accident.

17. http://nationalconversation.uk/resources/
Aims:
to get people talking about difficult issues
to engage with anxious middle ground in
polarised immigration debate, specifically
about regaining trust after Brexit

18. The big challenges ahead
• Britain increasingly divided. Looking at tough period of
economic downturn after Brexit, which could trigger
resentment and an increased hatred toward others
• The ‘difficult conversations’ we need to have. We need
to engage with concerns around integration and
security
• How to fight active hostility? A constant hostile section
of society could easily be triggered to negative actions
by increased economic insecurity and sense of betrayal
through Brexit processes