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Crunched by the Numbers:
THE DIGITAL SKILLS GAP
IN THE WORKFORCE
March 2015
© Burning Glass Technologies
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
In the middle-skill job market, the world is increasingly divided between the jobs that demand
digital skills and those that don’t—and the ones that don’t are falling behind.
Much of the debate over technology in the workforce has focused on sophisticated skills, such as
writing code. But the more significant impact on the middle-skill job market is in the humbler world
of everyday software: spreadsheets and word processing, programs for medical billing and running
computerized drill presses. To a large extent, a job seeker without the ability to use this software
won’t even get in the door.
Middle-skill jobs, roughly defined as those that require more than a high school education but less
than a bachelor’s degree,1
comprise 39% of U.S. employment. These jobs matter because they have
long sustained a middle-class lifestyle for millions of Americans, and because they’re increasingly
pressured by changes to the economy. Two-thirds of Americans don’t have a college degree, and
these jobs represent important career opportunities for them.
A study of job postings by Burning Glass Technologies found that middle-skill jobs that require
digital skills are outpacing those that do not in a wide range of ways:
• Nearly eight in 10 middle-skill jobs require digital skills. Spreadsheet and word
processing proficiencies have become a baseline requirement for the majority of middle-
skill opportunities (78%).
• Digitally intensive middle-skill occupations are growing faster than other middle-skill
jobs. Digitally intensive jobs have grown 2.5 times more rapidly than middle-skill jobs that
do not require spreadsheets, word processing, or other digital skills (between 2003 and
2013, 4.7% growth for digitally intensive jobs compared to 1.9% growth for other positions).
• Digitally intensive middle-skill jobs pay more than middle-skill jobs that do not
require a digital component. Digitally intensive middle-skill occupations offer 18% higher
wages on average: $23.76 per hour compared to $20.14 per hour for all other middle-skill
jobs.
In fact, as the nation has recovered from the Great Recession, growth for digitally intensive middle-
skill jobs has been equivalent to the growth of high-skill positions over the same period (4.8% for
digital middle-skills and 4.7% for high-skill positions from 2010 through 2013). Since they are
growing more rapidly and pay more than other middle-skill jobs, these jobs offer a promising
career path for Americans who lack a bachelor’s degree.
By contrast, middle-skill jobs that are not digitally intensive have had the slowest growth of any
category, behind even low-skill positions (1.9% for non-digital middle-skill jobs between 2004 and
1
A specific definition of middle-skills as it pertains to this analysis is in the methodology.
©2015 BURNING GLASS TECHNOLOGIES MARCH 2015 | 1
2013, compared to 2.9% for low-skill jobs). These positions, primarily in transportation,
construction, and installation/repair, lag in pay, growth, and opportunity.
DEFINING THE TERMS: MIDDLE-SKILLS, DIGITAL SKILLS, AND A LIVING WAGE
The debate over the future of the American workforce tends to express itself in broad sweeps.
Middle-skill jobs play an essential role in the economy, but many economists worry they are being
squeezed out by the changes wrought by technology and globalization.2
Many economists worry
about “hollowing out” the labor force: losing middle-skill jobs and adding jobs only at the high and
low ends of the labor market.
Those trends are abstract to the job seeker scanning job boards or the employer posting an ad.
People don’t post or apply for jobs based on sweeping social changes; they act based on the skills
and options available to them. In this report, we take a more granular approach, attempting to
understand the impact of the demand for digital skills on specific occupations.
To conduct our analysis, we went to the source: the skills employers ask for in job postings. Burning
Glass scans close to 40,000 job boards, employer sites, and other sources of job postings daily,
using artificial intelligence technology to break down these postings into the specific skills and
qualifications employers demand.
As we examined these postings, certain clusters of digital skills became apparent:
Productivity Software Skills, such as using spreadsheets and word processing programs, are
required for the majority of middle-skill jobs. In addition, they often serve as a baseline skill level
for more advanced positions. For this report, “productivity software middle-skill occupations” are
occupations that require only productivity software skills and no other digital skill group.
Advanced Digital Skills, such as customer relationship management (CRM) software and higher-
end computer networking skills, are required in many middle-skill occupations in addition to a
baseline of productivity software skills.
Occupationally Specific Digital Skills, such as health technology and computer-controlled
machines, are required in specific technical occupations. For many machinist positions, for example,
the ability to physically operate machine tools isn’t as important as the ability to guide the robots
that operate the tools.
The definition of middle-skill jobs has itself become fuzzy, as degree inflation and other trends
make the traditional definition (more than a high school diploma, less than a bachelor’s degree)
2
See, for example, the report “Bridge the Gap: Rebuilding America’s Middle Skills,” produced by the U.S. Competitiveness Project at
Harvard Business School, Burning Glass, and Accenture, www.hbs.edu/competitiveness/research/Pages/middle-skills.aspx.
©2015 BURNING GLASS TECHNOLOGIES MARCH 2015 | 2
less accurate.3
For our purposes, we defined middle-skill occupations as those where fewer than
80% of job postings called for a bachelor’s degree and that also offer a median hourly wage above
that of the national living wage.4
THE TRIUMPH OF THE SPREADSHEET: PRODUCTIVITY SOFTWARE
To a remarkable extent, middle-skill jobs have moved from the factory to the office over the last
three decades. And office jobs have become defined by productivity software such as spreadsheets
and word processing.
Back at the dawn of the computer era, there were those who saw this coming. In fact, for many in
the business world, what turned the PC from a toy into a tool was, in the 1980s, the development of
spreadsheet programs like Lotus 1-2-3. This enabled workers to track and analyze numbers much
more quickly and efficiently.5
Since then, spreadsheets have become so central to business and government that spreadsheet
errors have become a high-stakes issue.6
Inaccurate spreadsheets have been implicated in major
trading losses7
and undermined a widely cited academic paper on government finance.8
So it is no surprise that 67% of all middle-skill job openings require, at a minimum, proficiency in
productivity software such as Microsoft Excel or Microsoft Word, or enterprise resource
management software like Oracle or SAP. Chief among these are Office and Administrative
Assistant roles, but this also includes positions like Retail Supervisors and Store Managers.
Perhaps more importantly, middle-skill jobs requiring productivity software skills— and no other
digital skills—pay 13% more than those that don’t ($22.66 per hour for jobs requiring productivity
software skills versus $20.14 for non-digitally intensive jobs). In addition, these skills are
foundational. More advanced positions require productivity software skills in addition to the extra
digital skills needed to advance.
Employers continue to demand other skills that would be helpful in an office environment, such as
communications skills, writing, and relationship building. But word processing and spreadsheets are
a basic requirement for nearly all office jobs.
3
Burning Glass Technologies, “Moving the Goalposts: How Demand for a Bachelor’s Degree is Reshaping the Workforce,” www.burning-
glass.com/research/credentials-gap/.
4
The living wage calculation is explained further in the methodology.
5
See, for example, Harpers, “A Spreadsheet Way of Thinking,” November 1984, https://files.nyu.edu/ap70/public/levyss.htm.
6
Powell, Stephen G.; Lawson, Barry; Baker, Kenneth R. “Impact of Errors in Operational Spreadsheets,” Tuck School of Business,
Dartmouth College, http://arxiv.org/abs/0801.0715.
7
The Baseline Scenario, “The Importance of Excel,” Feb. 9, 2013, http://baselinescenario.com/2013/02/09/the-importance-of-excel/.
8
Economix, The New York Times, “With Debt Study’s Errors Confirmed, Debate on Conclusion Goes On,” April 17, 2013,
http://economix.blogs.nytimes.com//2013/04/17/with-debt-studys-errors-confirmed-debate-on-conclusion-goes-on/.
©2015 BURNING GLASS TECHNOLOGIES MARCH 2015 | 3
Productivity
Software Skills
Top Occupations
• Microsoft Excel
• Microsoft Word
• Microsoft Outlook
• Microsoft
PowerPoint
• SAP
• Oracle
Office / Administrative
Assistant
Retail Supervisor
Store Manager
FROM GENERAL TO SPECIFIC: ADVANCED DIGITAL SKILLS
Advanced digital skills are needed in jobs where there is a direct connection between a specific
kind of software and the task at hand. These may or may not be entry-level positions, depending
on the occupation, but certainly workers can’t even begin a career path in many fields without
these skills. A Graphic Designer/Desktop Publisher needs to be familiar with word processing, but
also needs to be competent in specific products like Adobe’s Photoshop and InDesign. A Sales
Representative will need to use spreadsheets, but will probably also need to understand a CRM
program like Salesforce or SAP.
Employers pay a premium for this knowledge. Occupations that call for one or more advanced
digital skills pay an hourly wage 38% higher on average than non-digital middle-skill occupations
($27.73 vs. $20.14), and 22% more than occupations that call for only productivity software skills.
These occupations offer the strongest opportunity for middle-skill job seekers in terms of salary
and growth as well as career advancement. In fact, middle-skill occupations requiring CRM software
are the highest paying of all the digital middle-skill jobs, with a median hourly wage of $28.90.
©2015 BURNING GLASS TECHNOLOGIES MARCH 2015 | 4
Advanced
Digital Skills
Top Occupations Top Skills
Customer
Relationship
Management
Sales
Representative
Sales Manager
Account
Manager /
Representative
• Salesforce CRM
• SAP CRM
• Siebel CRM
Computer &
Network
Support
Computer
Support
Specialist
Network /
Systems
Administrator
Network /
Systems
Support
Specialist
• SQL
• Linux
• Cisco
Digital Media &
Design
Graphic
Designer /
Desktop
Publisher
Marketing
Coordinator /
Assistant
Multimedia
Designer
• Adobe Photoshop
• Adobe Acrobat
• InDesign
Social Media
Tools & Search
Engine Analysis
Recruiter
Graphic
Designer /
Desktop
Publisher
Search Engine
Optimization
Specialist
• Social Media
Platforms
• Blogging
• Google Analytics
OPERATING THE EQUIPMENT: OCCUPATIONALLY SPECIFIC DIGITAL SKILLS
Occupationally Specific Digital Skills are focused on technologies commonly used in Health Care,
Production, and Manufacturing occupations. Spreadsheets and word processing are less important
here, although they are still usually required. Instead, the core skills are specific to the machinery
and technology used by each occupation, for example, knowledge of radiology machines by
Radiology Technicians.
©2015 BURNING GLASS TECHNOLOGIES MARCH 2015 | 5
Occupationally
Specific Digital
Skills
Top Occupations Top Skills
Health Care
Technology
Registered
Nurses
Medical
Laboratory
Technician
Radiology
Technician
• Advanced Cardiac
Life Support (ACLS)
• Critical Care
• Vital Signs
Measurement
Health
Information
Technology
Medical
Secretary
Medical
Coder
Health
Information
Technician
• Medical Billing and
Coding
• Health Information
Management
• Health Information
Exchange (HIE)
Technology
Machining
Technology
Machinist
Mechanical
/ Electrical
Engineering
Technician
CNC Operator
• AutoCAD
• Computer
Numerical Control
(CNC)
• Computer Aided
Manufacturing
(CAM)
ENTIRE OCCUPATIONS HAVE SHIFTED
Overall, it seems clear that middle-skills work has shifted decisively and is now digitally intensive. As
noted, nearly eight in 10 middle-skill jobs now require digital skills. Put another way, the
percentage of middle-skill jobs in the U.S. workforce has stayed constant (39% of the workforce in
2004, and still 39% in 2013). But the number of those jobs that would be considered digitally
intensive has grown 12% over that same time.
It’s no surprise that all of the middle-skill occupations in the Computer and Mathematical family
require digital skills. But so do those within Office and Administrative Support, Business and
Financial Operations, and Management. The Sales and Related, as well as Health Care Practitioners
and Technical occupation families, are not far behind with 94% and 88% of opportunities,
respectively, demanding digital skills.
©2015 BURNING GLASS TECHNOLOGIES MARCH 2015 | 6
Effectively, entire segments of the U.S. economy are off-limits to people who don’t have basic
digital skills. Even for middle-skill Production jobs, such as machinists, eight in 10 job postings
require these skills at some level.
The occupations where digital skills aren’t commonly required are concentrated in just a few areas.
Hardly any job postings in Transportation and Materials Moving ask for digital skills. Only a small
number of jobs in Construction and Extraction (21%) and Installation, Maintenance, and Repair
(35%) seek such skills.
MAJOR CITIES: THE DIGITAL DIVIDE WORSENED
To get a sense of how the digital middle-skills dynamic plays out in different parts of the country,
we examined the middle-skills job market in five major metropolitan areas: Dallas-Fort Worth; New
York; Richmond, Va.; San Francisco; and Washington, D.C.
In these urban areas, the emphasis on digital skills is even higher than in the nation as a whole, with
the percentage of digitally intensive middle-skill jobs ranging from 79% in Richmond to 88% in
New York and San Francisco. Employers pay more for digital middle-skill jobs in these cities,
probably to compensate for the higher cost of living.
But notably, the same pay advantage doesn’t happen with non-digital jobs in those cities, such as
truckers, mechanics, and welders. That means the digital wage gap is wider. Digital positions in
these cities are twice as likely to pay a living wage as non-digital positions.
IMPLICATIONS
It has been clear for some time that technological illiteracy, much less technophobia, is no longer a
sustainable option for the modern worker. But this research documents the extent to which entire
sectors of the U.S. economy have no place for workers who do not at least have the basic digital
skills to undertake tasks like word processing and maintaining spreadsheets. The fact that, in major
cities, an even greater share of these occupations now require digital skills—and major cities have
long been regarded as bellwethers for trends that ultimately manifest nationwide—suggests that in
the future even more workers could be shut out of middle-skill opportunities.
Retail jobs and sales work, for example, are rightly viewed as occupations that demand good
communications and other “people skills.” They are also areas where workers without a bachelor’s
degree still have rich opportunities to advance. Yet even entering these fields, much less advancing,
has become increasingly difficult without at least some expertise in productivity software and
potentially advanced skills as well.
©2015 BURNING GLASS TECHNOLOGIES MARCH 2015 | 7
This also suggests that important challenges are being overlooked in the debate over how to invest
in education and training. That debate often centers on high-tech industries, sophisticated
computer skills (coding, for example), or specialized skill development for particular occupations.
To be sure, these more advanced skills also represent important areas for workforce investment,
but clearly a focus on the basics—such as widely used productivity applications and social media
tools—would pay significant dividends for many workers.9
The good news is that many training options already exist in these areas. The challenge may lie in
getting these skills the emphasis they deserve, and in letting students and job seekers know what
will be valuable to them in the workforce.
METHODOLOGY
Jobs data in this report are drawn from Burning Glass’s database of online job postings, which
includes nearly 100 million worldwide postings collected since 2007 and other publicly available
data sources. Each day, Burning Glass visits close to 40,000 online jobs sites to collect postings.
Using advanced text analytics, more than 70 data fields are extracted from each posting including
job title, occupation, employer, industry, required skills and credentials, and salary. Postings are
then deduplicated and placed in a database for further analysis.
For the purposes of this report, middle-skill jobs are defined as those with less than 80% of job
postings calling for a bachelor’s degree and with a median hourly wage above the national living
wage of $15.
The living wage is based on the Economic Policy Institute’s family budget calculator
(http://www.epi.org/publication/ib368-basic-family-budgets/). Calculating the living wage is
complex, because of the wide range of households. We used two-parent, two-child households as a
standard, which produces a median family income needed to provide a living wage of $63,364.
Based on this, we identified $15 per hour as a median national living wage.
For median living wages in specific cities, we made the same calculations based on household size
and utilizing the MIT Living Wage Calculator (http://livingwage.mit.edu/). The MIT calculator is built
using data from the Economic Policy Institute.
All job postings and data were collected nationwide from December 2013 to November 2014.
• Middle-Skill Occupations are defined as those occupations with more than 20% of postings
open to sub-baccalaureate job seekers and a median hourly wage above that of the
national living wage of $15.
9
This is not only true for middle-skill workers. See Burning Glass’ report on skills that enhance the value of a bachelor’s degree in liberal
arts at http://burning-glass.com/media/2950/BGTReportLiberalArts.pdf.
©2015 BURNING GLASS TECHNOLOGIES MARCH 2015 | 8
• Total postings reflect the number of jobs posted in the nation from December 2013 to
November 2014. Source: Burning Glass Technologies.
• Wage data consist of national median hourly wages for workers in each occupation. Source:
Bureau of Labor Statistics
• Employment data consist of the national employment for each occupation from 2004 to
2013. Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics
ABOUT BURNING GLASS
Burning Glass’s tools and data play a growing role in informing the global conversation on
education and the workforce by providing researchers, policy makers, educators, and employers
with detailed real-time awareness of skill gaps and labor market demand. Burning Glass’s tools let
analysts track job market trends and students plan their careers and find jobs.
With headquarters in Boston’s historic North End, Burning Glass is proud to serve a client base that
spans six continents, including education institutions, government workforce agencies, academic
research centers, global recruitment and staffing agencies, major employers, and leading job
boards.
ABOUT CAPITAL ONE
Capital One Financial Corporation, headquartered in McLean, Va., is a Fortune 500 company with
more than 900 branch locations primarily in New York, New Jersey, Texas, Louisiana, Maryland,
Virginia, and the District of Columbia. Its subsidiaries, Capital One, N.A. and Capital One Bank
(USA), N.A., offer a broad spectrum of financial products and services to consumers, small
businesses and commercial clients. We the principles of innovation, collaboration, and
empowerment in our commitment to our communities across the country that we do in our
business. We recognize that helping to build strong and healthy communities—good places to
work, good places to do business, and good places to raise families—benefits us all and we are
proud to support this and other community initiatives. www.capitaloneinvestingforgood.com
©2015 BURNING GLASS TECHNOLOGIES MARCH 2015 | 9
SUPPLEMENTARY TABLES: MIDDLE-SKILL OVERVIEW
Table A: Middle-Skill Overview – Salary and Demand
Middle-Skill
Occupations
Postings
Employment
(Source: BLS)
2004-2013
Employment
Growth
(Source: BLS)
2013 Median
Hourly Wage
(Source: BLS)
Digital 6,273,985 36,689,590 4.7% $23.76
Non-Digital 1,669,971 13,905,090 1.9% $20.14
Table B: Middle-Skill Overview – Employment Growth
Employment Growth
2004-2013 2007-2013 2010-2013
Low Skill 2.9% -1.3% 5.2%
Non-Digital Middle-Skill 1.9% -3.6% 4.1%
Digital Middle Skill 4.7% -0.1% 4.8%
High Skill 13.4% 5.8% 4.7%
Total 3.5% -1.3 4.3
* Non-digital middle-skill occupations were impacted the greatest of all occupation groups during the
recession years of 2007-2010, declining 7.4%.
©2015 BURNING GLASS TECHNOLOGIES MARCH 2015 | 10
Table C: Middle-Skill Overview – Occupation Family Breakdown
Occupation Family
Middle-
Skill
Postings
% of Total
Postings in
Middle-Skill
Occupations
Digitally
Intensive
Middle-Skill
Postings
% of Middle
Skill Postings
in Digitally
Intensive
Occupations
Health Care Practitioners
and Technical
1,310,069 55% 1,157,450 88%
Office and Administrative
Support
1,138,971 49% 1,137,935 100%
Sales and Related 1,084,020 51% 1,020,928 94%
Management 825,862 41% 825,862 100%
Transportation and Material
Moving
748,328 61% 18,599 2%
Business and Financial
Operations
644,695 46% 644,695 100%
Installation, Maintenance, and
Repair
600,420 97% 210,476 35%
Computer and Mathematical 538,969 23% 538,969 100%
Production 227,548 46% 181,465 80%
Construction and Extraction 180,093 82% 37,751 21%
All Other 644,981 15% 499,855 77%
Total 7,943,956 41% 6,222,207 78%
©2015 BURNING GLASS TECHNOLOGIES MARCH 2015 | 11
SUPPLEMENTARY TABLES: DEMAND
Table D: Distribution of Demand
Low Skill: Occupations that require less than a bachelor’s degree and pay an hourly median wage below the
national living wage.
Non-Digital Middle-Skill: Occupations where fewer than 80% of postings call for a bachelor’s degree,
hourly median wage is above the national living wage and job postings do not call for any digitally
intensive skills.
Digital Middle-Skill: Occupations where fewer than 80% of postings call for a bachelor’s degree and hourly
median wage is above the national living wage. These occupations also call for baseline, health care,
machining technology or advanced digital skill sets.
High Skill: Occupations where more than 80% of postings call for a bachelor’s degree or higher
28%
9%
32%
31%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Percentage of Total Demand
Low Skill Non Digital Middle-Skill
Digital Middle-Skill High Skill
Occupation Group Demand
High Skill 6,100,433
Digital Middle-Skill 6,273,785
Non Digital Middle Skill 1,669,971
Low Skill 5,498,466
Total 19,542,855
©2015 BURNING GLASS TECHNOLOGIES MARCH 2015 | 12
Table E: Detailed Distribution of Demand
Occupation Group Demand
% of Total
Demand
2013
Employment
(Source: BLS)
2013
Median
Wage
(Source:
BLS)
2004 –
2013
Salary
CAGR
(Source:
BLS)
High Skill 6,100,433 31.2% 24,143,010 $35.32 2.45%
Digital Middle-Skill 6,273,785 31.8% 37,396,550 $23.76 2.49%
Advanced Digital Middle-
Skill
1,777,612 9.1% 6,088,540 $27.73 2.46%
Health Care Technology 975,550 5.0% 4,606,590 $28.25 2.69%
Health Information
Technology
297,381 1.5% 2,708,120 $17.08 3.01%
Machining Technology 179,218 0.9% 1,750,630 $22.04 2.31%
Productivity Software 3,081,366 15.8% 22,213,910 $22.66 2.45%
Non Digital Middle-Skill 1,669,971 8.5% 13,966,120 $20.14 2.26%
Low Skill 5,498,466 28.1% 56,497,720 $11.33 1.65%
Total 19,542,855 100% 132,003,400 $16.87 2.01%
©2015 BURNING GLASS TECHNOLOGIES MARCH 2015 | 13
Table F: Skill Cluster Analysis
Digital
Skill
Cluster
Postings
% of all
Middle-
Skill
Demand
2004 – 2013
Employment
Growth
(Source: BLS)
2013
Median
Wage
(Source:
BLS)
Non-Digital
Middle-Skill
1,669,971 21% 1.9% $20.14
Top Occupations by Skill Cluster
Digital
Middle-
Skill
6,273,785 79% 4.7% $23.76
Productivity
Software
3,081,366 39% 5.2% $22.66
Office /
Administrative
Assistant
Retail
Supervisor
Store Manager
Health Care
Technology
975,550 12% 18.2% $28.25 Registered Nurse
Medical
Laboratory
Technician
Radiology
Technician
Customer
Relationship
Management
974,173 12% 16.20% $28.90
Sales
Representative
Sales
Manager
Account
Representative
Computer
& Network
Support
499,588 6% 34.6% $28.84
Computer
Support
Specialist
Network /
Systems
Administrator
Network
Support
Specialist
Social
Media &
326,547 4% 9.4% $25.74 Recruiter Graphic
Designer /
SEO Specialist
©2015 BURNING GLASS TECHNOLOGIES MARCH 2015 | 14
Search
Engine
Desktop
Publisher
Health
Information
Technology
260,039 3% 17.0% $17.08
Medical
Secretary
Medical
Coder
Health
Information
Technician
Machining
Technology
179,218 2% -5.9% $22.04 Machinist
Electrical
Engineering
Technician
Mechanical /
Electrical
Drafter
Digital
Media &
Design
132,692 2% 25.5% $26.06
Graphic
Designer
Marketing
Coordinator
Multimedia
Designer
©2015 BURNING GLASS TECHNOLOGIES MARCH 2015 | 15

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Digital Skills Gap

  • 1. Crunched by the Numbers: THE DIGITAL SKILLS GAP IN THE WORKFORCE March 2015 © Burning Glass Technologies
  • 2. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY In the middle-skill job market, the world is increasingly divided between the jobs that demand digital skills and those that don’t—and the ones that don’t are falling behind. Much of the debate over technology in the workforce has focused on sophisticated skills, such as writing code. But the more significant impact on the middle-skill job market is in the humbler world of everyday software: spreadsheets and word processing, programs for medical billing and running computerized drill presses. To a large extent, a job seeker without the ability to use this software won’t even get in the door. Middle-skill jobs, roughly defined as those that require more than a high school education but less than a bachelor’s degree,1 comprise 39% of U.S. employment. These jobs matter because they have long sustained a middle-class lifestyle for millions of Americans, and because they’re increasingly pressured by changes to the economy. Two-thirds of Americans don’t have a college degree, and these jobs represent important career opportunities for them. A study of job postings by Burning Glass Technologies found that middle-skill jobs that require digital skills are outpacing those that do not in a wide range of ways: • Nearly eight in 10 middle-skill jobs require digital skills. Spreadsheet and word processing proficiencies have become a baseline requirement for the majority of middle- skill opportunities (78%). • Digitally intensive middle-skill occupations are growing faster than other middle-skill jobs. Digitally intensive jobs have grown 2.5 times more rapidly than middle-skill jobs that do not require spreadsheets, word processing, or other digital skills (between 2003 and 2013, 4.7% growth for digitally intensive jobs compared to 1.9% growth for other positions). • Digitally intensive middle-skill jobs pay more than middle-skill jobs that do not require a digital component. Digitally intensive middle-skill occupations offer 18% higher wages on average: $23.76 per hour compared to $20.14 per hour for all other middle-skill jobs. In fact, as the nation has recovered from the Great Recession, growth for digitally intensive middle- skill jobs has been equivalent to the growth of high-skill positions over the same period (4.8% for digital middle-skills and 4.7% for high-skill positions from 2010 through 2013). Since they are growing more rapidly and pay more than other middle-skill jobs, these jobs offer a promising career path for Americans who lack a bachelor’s degree. By contrast, middle-skill jobs that are not digitally intensive have had the slowest growth of any category, behind even low-skill positions (1.9% for non-digital middle-skill jobs between 2004 and 1 A specific definition of middle-skills as it pertains to this analysis is in the methodology. ©2015 BURNING GLASS TECHNOLOGIES MARCH 2015 | 1
  • 3. 2013, compared to 2.9% for low-skill jobs). These positions, primarily in transportation, construction, and installation/repair, lag in pay, growth, and opportunity. DEFINING THE TERMS: MIDDLE-SKILLS, DIGITAL SKILLS, AND A LIVING WAGE The debate over the future of the American workforce tends to express itself in broad sweeps. Middle-skill jobs play an essential role in the economy, but many economists worry they are being squeezed out by the changes wrought by technology and globalization.2 Many economists worry about “hollowing out” the labor force: losing middle-skill jobs and adding jobs only at the high and low ends of the labor market. Those trends are abstract to the job seeker scanning job boards or the employer posting an ad. People don’t post or apply for jobs based on sweeping social changes; they act based on the skills and options available to them. In this report, we take a more granular approach, attempting to understand the impact of the demand for digital skills on specific occupations. To conduct our analysis, we went to the source: the skills employers ask for in job postings. Burning Glass scans close to 40,000 job boards, employer sites, and other sources of job postings daily, using artificial intelligence technology to break down these postings into the specific skills and qualifications employers demand. As we examined these postings, certain clusters of digital skills became apparent: Productivity Software Skills, such as using spreadsheets and word processing programs, are required for the majority of middle-skill jobs. In addition, they often serve as a baseline skill level for more advanced positions. For this report, “productivity software middle-skill occupations” are occupations that require only productivity software skills and no other digital skill group. Advanced Digital Skills, such as customer relationship management (CRM) software and higher- end computer networking skills, are required in many middle-skill occupations in addition to a baseline of productivity software skills. Occupationally Specific Digital Skills, such as health technology and computer-controlled machines, are required in specific technical occupations. For many machinist positions, for example, the ability to physically operate machine tools isn’t as important as the ability to guide the robots that operate the tools. The definition of middle-skill jobs has itself become fuzzy, as degree inflation and other trends make the traditional definition (more than a high school diploma, less than a bachelor’s degree) 2 See, for example, the report “Bridge the Gap: Rebuilding America’s Middle Skills,” produced by the U.S. Competitiveness Project at Harvard Business School, Burning Glass, and Accenture, www.hbs.edu/competitiveness/research/Pages/middle-skills.aspx. ©2015 BURNING GLASS TECHNOLOGIES MARCH 2015 | 2
  • 4. less accurate.3 For our purposes, we defined middle-skill occupations as those where fewer than 80% of job postings called for a bachelor’s degree and that also offer a median hourly wage above that of the national living wage.4 THE TRIUMPH OF THE SPREADSHEET: PRODUCTIVITY SOFTWARE To a remarkable extent, middle-skill jobs have moved from the factory to the office over the last three decades. And office jobs have become defined by productivity software such as spreadsheets and word processing. Back at the dawn of the computer era, there were those who saw this coming. In fact, for many in the business world, what turned the PC from a toy into a tool was, in the 1980s, the development of spreadsheet programs like Lotus 1-2-3. This enabled workers to track and analyze numbers much more quickly and efficiently.5 Since then, spreadsheets have become so central to business and government that spreadsheet errors have become a high-stakes issue.6 Inaccurate spreadsheets have been implicated in major trading losses7 and undermined a widely cited academic paper on government finance.8 So it is no surprise that 67% of all middle-skill job openings require, at a minimum, proficiency in productivity software such as Microsoft Excel or Microsoft Word, or enterprise resource management software like Oracle or SAP. Chief among these are Office and Administrative Assistant roles, but this also includes positions like Retail Supervisors and Store Managers. Perhaps more importantly, middle-skill jobs requiring productivity software skills— and no other digital skills—pay 13% more than those that don’t ($22.66 per hour for jobs requiring productivity software skills versus $20.14 for non-digitally intensive jobs). In addition, these skills are foundational. More advanced positions require productivity software skills in addition to the extra digital skills needed to advance. Employers continue to demand other skills that would be helpful in an office environment, such as communications skills, writing, and relationship building. But word processing and spreadsheets are a basic requirement for nearly all office jobs. 3 Burning Glass Technologies, “Moving the Goalposts: How Demand for a Bachelor’s Degree is Reshaping the Workforce,” www.burning- glass.com/research/credentials-gap/. 4 The living wage calculation is explained further in the methodology. 5 See, for example, Harpers, “A Spreadsheet Way of Thinking,” November 1984, https://files.nyu.edu/ap70/public/levyss.htm. 6 Powell, Stephen G.; Lawson, Barry; Baker, Kenneth R. “Impact of Errors in Operational Spreadsheets,” Tuck School of Business, Dartmouth College, http://arxiv.org/abs/0801.0715. 7 The Baseline Scenario, “The Importance of Excel,” Feb. 9, 2013, http://baselinescenario.com/2013/02/09/the-importance-of-excel/. 8 Economix, The New York Times, “With Debt Study’s Errors Confirmed, Debate on Conclusion Goes On,” April 17, 2013, http://economix.blogs.nytimes.com//2013/04/17/with-debt-studys-errors-confirmed-debate-on-conclusion-goes-on/. ©2015 BURNING GLASS TECHNOLOGIES MARCH 2015 | 3
  • 5. Productivity Software Skills Top Occupations • Microsoft Excel • Microsoft Word • Microsoft Outlook • Microsoft PowerPoint • SAP • Oracle Office / Administrative Assistant Retail Supervisor Store Manager FROM GENERAL TO SPECIFIC: ADVANCED DIGITAL SKILLS Advanced digital skills are needed in jobs where there is a direct connection between a specific kind of software and the task at hand. These may or may not be entry-level positions, depending on the occupation, but certainly workers can’t even begin a career path in many fields without these skills. A Graphic Designer/Desktop Publisher needs to be familiar with word processing, but also needs to be competent in specific products like Adobe’s Photoshop and InDesign. A Sales Representative will need to use spreadsheets, but will probably also need to understand a CRM program like Salesforce or SAP. Employers pay a premium for this knowledge. Occupations that call for one or more advanced digital skills pay an hourly wage 38% higher on average than non-digital middle-skill occupations ($27.73 vs. $20.14), and 22% more than occupations that call for only productivity software skills. These occupations offer the strongest opportunity for middle-skill job seekers in terms of salary and growth as well as career advancement. In fact, middle-skill occupations requiring CRM software are the highest paying of all the digital middle-skill jobs, with a median hourly wage of $28.90. ©2015 BURNING GLASS TECHNOLOGIES MARCH 2015 | 4
  • 6. Advanced Digital Skills Top Occupations Top Skills Customer Relationship Management Sales Representative Sales Manager Account Manager / Representative • Salesforce CRM • SAP CRM • Siebel CRM Computer & Network Support Computer Support Specialist Network / Systems Administrator Network / Systems Support Specialist • SQL • Linux • Cisco Digital Media & Design Graphic Designer / Desktop Publisher Marketing Coordinator / Assistant Multimedia Designer • Adobe Photoshop • Adobe Acrobat • InDesign Social Media Tools & Search Engine Analysis Recruiter Graphic Designer / Desktop Publisher Search Engine Optimization Specialist • Social Media Platforms • Blogging • Google Analytics OPERATING THE EQUIPMENT: OCCUPATIONALLY SPECIFIC DIGITAL SKILLS Occupationally Specific Digital Skills are focused on technologies commonly used in Health Care, Production, and Manufacturing occupations. Spreadsheets and word processing are less important here, although they are still usually required. Instead, the core skills are specific to the machinery and technology used by each occupation, for example, knowledge of radiology machines by Radiology Technicians. ©2015 BURNING GLASS TECHNOLOGIES MARCH 2015 | 5
  • 7. Occupationally Specific Digital Skills Top Occupations Top Skills Health Care Technology Registered Nurses Medical Laboratory Technician Radiology Technician • Advanced Cardiac Life Support (ACLS) • Critical Care • Vital Signs Measurement Health Information Technology Medical Secretary Medical Coder Health Information Technician • Medical Billing and Coding • Health Information Management • Health Information Exchange (HIE) Technology Machining Technology Machinist Mechanical / Electrical Engineering Technician CNC Operator • AutoCAD • Computer Numerical Control (CNC) • Computer Aided Manufacturing (CAM) ENTIRE OCCUPATIONS HAVE SHIFTED Overall, it seems clear that middle-skills work has shifted decisively and is now digitally intensive. As noted, nearly eight in 10 middle-skill jobs now require digital skills. Put another way, the percentage of middle-skill jobs in the U.S. workforce has stayed constant (39% of the workforce in 2004, and still 39% in 2013). But the number of those jobs that would be considered digitally intensive has grown 12% over that same time. It’s no surprise that all of the middle-skill occupations in the Computer and Mathematical family require digital skills. But so do those within Office and Administrative Support, Business and Financial Operations, and Management. The Sales and Related, as well as Health Care Practitioners and Technical occupation families, are not far behind with 94% and 88% of opportunities, respectively, demanding digital skills. ©2015 BURNING GLASS TECHNOLOGIES MARCH 2015 | 6
  • 8. Effectively, entire segments of the U.S. economy are off-limits to people who don’t have basic digital skills. Even for middle-skill Production jobs, such as machinists, eight in 10 job postings require these skills at some level. The occupations where digital skills aren’t commonly required are concentrated in just a few areas. Hardly any job postings in Transportation and Materials Moving ask for digital skills. Only a small number of jobs in Construction and Extraction (21%) and Installation, Maintenance, and Repair (35%) seek such skills. MAJOR CITIES: THE DIGITAL DIVIDE WORSENED To get a sense of how the digital middle-skills dynamic plays out in different parts of the country, we examined the middle-skills job market in five major metropolitan areas: Dallas-Fort Worth; New York; Richmond, Va.; San Francisco; and Washington, D.C. In these urban areas, the emphasis on digital skills is even higher than in the nation as a whole, with the percentage of digitally intensive middle-skill jobs ranging from 79% in Richmond to 88% in New York and San Francisco. Employers pay more for digital middle-skill jobs in these cities, probably to compensate for the higher cost of living. But notably, the same pay advantage doesn’t happen with non-digital jobs in those cities, such as truckers, mechanics, and welders. That means the digital wage gap is wider. Digital positions in these cities are twice as likely to pay a living wage as non-digital positions. IMPLICATIONS It has been clear for some time that technological illiteracy, much less technophobia, is no longer a sustainable option for the modern worker. But this research documents the extent to which entire sectors of the U.S. economy have no place for workers who do not at least have the basic digital skills to undertake tasks like word processing and maintaining spreadsheets. The fact that, in major cities, an even greater share of these occupations now require digital skills—and major cities have long been regarded as bellwethers for trends that ultimately manifest nationwide—suggests that in the future even more workers could be shut out of middle-skill opportunities. Retail jobs and sales work, for example, are rightly viewed as occupations that demand good communications and other “people skills.” They are also areas where workers without a bachelor’s degree still have rich opportunities to advance. Yet even entering these fields, much less advancing, has become increasingly difficult without at least some expertise in productivity software and potentially advanced skills as well. ©2015 BURNING GLASS TECHNOLOGIES MARCH 2015 | 7
  • 9. This also suggests that important challenges are being overlooked in the debate over how to invest in education and training. That debate often centers on high-tech industries, sophisticated computer skills (coding, for example), or specialized skill development for particular occupations. To be sure, these more advanced skills also represent important areas for workforce investment, but clearly a focus on the basics—such as widely used productivity applications and social media tools—would pay significant dividends for many workers.9 The good news is that many training options already exist in these areas. The challenge may lie in getting these skills the emphasis they deserve, and in letting students and job seekers know what will be valuable to them in the workforce. METHODOLOGY Jobs data in this report are drawn from Burning Glass’s database of online job postings, which includes nearly 100 million worldwide postings collected since 2007 and other publicly available data sources. Each day, Burning Glass visits close to 40,000 online jobs sites to collect postings. Using advanced text analytics, more than 70 data fields are extracted from each posting including job title, occupation, employer, industry, required skills and credentials, and salary. Postings are then deduplicated and placed in a database for further analysis. For the purposes of this report, middle-skill jobs are defined as those with less than 80% of job postings calling for a bachelor’s degree and with a median hourly wage above the national living wage of $15. The living wage is based on the Economic Policy Institute’s family budget calculator (http://www.epi.org/publication/ib368-basic-family-budgets/). Calculating the living wage is complex, because of the wide range of households. We used two-parent, two-child households as a standard, which produces a median family income needed to provide a living wage of $63,364. Based on this, we identified $15 per hour as a median national living wage. For median living wages in specific cities, we made the same calculations based on household size and utilizing the MIT Living Wage Calculator (http://livingwage.mit.edu/). The MIT calculator is built using data from the Economic Policy Institute. All job postings and data were collected nationwide from December 2013 to November 2014. • Middle-Skill Occupations are defined as those occupations with more than 20% of postings open to sub-baccalaureate job seekers and a median hourly wage above that of the national living wage of $15. 9 This is not only true for middle-skill workers. See Burning Glass’ report on skills that enhance the value of a bachelor’s degree in liberal arts at http://burning-glass.com/media/2950/BGTReportLiberalArts.pdf. ©2015 BURNING GLASS TECHNOLOGIES MARCH 2015 | 8
  • 10. • Total postings reflect the number of jobs posted in the nation from December 2013 to November 2014. Source: Burning Glass Technologies. • Wage data consist of national median hourly wages for workers in each occupation. Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics • Employment data consist of the national employment for each occupation from 2004 to 2013. Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics ABOUT BURNING GLASS Burning Glass’s tools and data play a growing role in informing the global conversation on education and the workforce by providing researchers, policy makers, educators, and employers with detailed real-time awareness of skill gaps and labor market demand. Burning Glass’s tools let analysts track job market trends and students plan their careers and find jobs. With headquarters in Boston’s historic North End, Burning Glass is proud to serve a client base that spans six continents, including education institutions, government workforce agencies, academic research centers, global recruitment and staffing agencies, major employers, and leading job boards. ABOUT CAPITAL ONE Capital One Financial Corporation, headquartered in McLean, Va., is a Fortune 500 company with more than 900 branch locations primarily in New York, New Jersey, Texas, Louisiana, Maryland, Virginia, and the District of Columbia. Its subsidiaries, Capital One, N.A. and Capital One Bank (USA), N.A., offer a broad spectrum of financial products and services to consumers, small businesses and commercial clients. We the principles of innovation, collaboration, and empowerment in our commitment to our communities across the country that we do in our business. We recognize that helping to build strong and healthy communities—good places to work, good places to do business, and good places to raise families—benefits us all and we are proud to support this and other community initiatives. www.capitaloneinvestingforgood.com ©2015 BURNING GLASS TECHNOLOGIES MARCH 2015 | 9
  • 11. SUPPLEMENTARY TABLES: MIDDLE-SKILL OVERVIEW Table A: Middle-Skill Overview – Salary and Demand Middle-Skill Occupations Postings Employment (Source: BLS) 2004-2013 Employment Growth (Source: BLS) 2013 Median Hourly Wage (Source: BLS) Digital 6,273,985 36,689,590 4.7% $23.76 Non-Digital 1,669,971 13,905,090 1.9% $20.14 Table B: Middle-Skill Overview – Employment Growth Employment Growth 2004-2013 2007-2013 2010-2013 Low Skill 2.9% -1.3% 5.2% Non-Digital Middle-Skill 1.9% -3.6% 4.1% Digital Middle Skill 4.7% -0.1% 4.8% High Skill 13.4% 5.8% 4.7% Total 3.5% -1.3 4.3 * Non-digital middle-skill occupations were impacted the greatest of all occupation groups during the recession years of 2007-2010, declining 7.4%. ©2015 BURNING GLASS TECHNOLOGIES MARCH 2015 | 10
  • 12. Table C: Middle-Skill Overview – Occupation Family Breakdown Occupation Family Middle- Skill Postings % of Total Postings in Middle-Skill Occupations Digitally Intensive Middle-Skill Postings % of Middle Skill Postings in Digitally Intensive Occupations Health Care Practitioners and Technical 1,310,069 55% 1,157,450 88% Office and Administrative Support 1,138,971 49% 1,137,935 100% Sales and Related 1,084,020 51% 1,020,928 94% Management 825,862 41% 825,862 100% Transportation and Material Moving 748,328 61% 18,599 2% Business and Financial Operations 644,695 46% 644,695 100% Installation, Maintenance, and Repair 600,420 97% 210,476 35% Computer and Mathematical 538,969 23% 538,969 100% Production 227,548 46% 181,465 80% Construction and Extraction 180,093 82% 37,751 21% All Other 644,981 15% 499,855 77% Total 7,943,956 41% 6,222,207 78% ©2015 BURNING GLASS TECHNOLOGIES MARCH 2015 | 11
  • 13. SUPPLEMENTARY TABLES: DEMAND Table D: Distribution of Demand Low Skill: Occupations that require less than a bachelor’s degree and pay an hourly median wage below the national living wage. Non-Digital Middle-Skill: Occupations where fewer than 80% of postings call for a bachelor’s degree, hourly median wage is above the national living wage and job postings do not call for any digitally intensive skills. Digital Middle-Skill: Occupations where fewer than 80% of postings call for a bachelor’s degree and hourly median wage is above the national living wage. These occupations also call for baseline, health care, machining technology or advanced digital skill sets. High Skill: Occupations where more than 80% of postings call for a bachelor’s degree or higher 28% 9% 32% 31% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Percentage of Total Demand Low Skill Non Digital Middle-Skill Digital Middle-Skill High Skill Occupation Group Demand High Skill 6,100,433 Digital Middle-Skill 6,273,785 Non Digital Middle Skill 1,669,971 Low Skill 5,498,466 Total 19,542,855 ©2015 BURNING GLASS TECHNOLOGIES MARCH 2015 | 12
  • 14. Table E: Detailed Distribution of Demand Occupation Group Demand % of Total Demand 2013 Employment (Source: BLS) 2013 Median Wage (Source: BLS) 2004 – 2013 Salary CAGR (Source: BLS) High Skill 6,100,433 31.2% 24,143,010 $35.32 2.45% Digital Middle-Skill 6,273,785 31.8% 37,396,550 $23.76 2.49% Advanced Digital Middle- Skill 1,777,612 9.1% 6,088,540 $27.73 2.46% Health Care Technology 975,550 5.0% 4,606,590 $28.25 2.69% Health Information Technology 297,381 1.5% 2,708,120 $17.08 3.01% Machining Technology 179,218 0.9% 1,750,630 $22.04 2.31% Productivity Software 3,081,366 15.8% 22,213,910 $22.66 2.45% Non Digital Middle-Skill 1,669,971 8.5% 13,966,120 $20.14 2.26% Low Skill 5,498,466 28.1% 56,497,720 $11.33 1.65% Total 19,542,855 100% 132,003,400 $16.87 2.01% ©2015 BURNING GLASS TECHNOLOGIES MARCH 2015 | 13
  • 15. Table F: Skill Cluster Analysis Digital Skill Cluster Postings % of all Middle- Skill Demand 2004 – 2013 Employment Growth (Source: BLS) 2013 Median Wage (Source: BLS) Non-Digital Middle-Skill 1,669,971 21% 1.9% $20.14 Top Occupations by Skill Cluster Digital Middle- Skill 6,273,785 79% 4.7% $23.76 Productivity Software 3,081,366 39% 5.2% $22.66 Office / Administrative Assistant Retail Supervisor Store Manager Health Care Technology 975,550 12% 18.2% $28.25 Registered Nurse Medical Laboratory Technician Radiology Technician Customer Relationship Management 974,173 12% 16.20% $28.90 Sales Representative Sales Manager Account Representative Computer & Network Support 499,588 6% 34.6% $28.84 Computer Support Specialist Network / Systems Administrator Network Support Specialist Social Media & 326,547 4% 9.4% $25.74 Recruiter Graphic Designer / SEO Specialist ©2015 BURNING GLASS TECHNOLOGIES MARCH 2015 | 14
  • 16. Search Engine Desktop Publisher Health Information Technology 260,039 3% 17.0% $17.08 Medical Secretary Medical Coder Health Information Technician Machining Technology 179,218 2% -5.9% $22.04 Machinist Electrical Engineering Technician Mechanical / Electrical Drafter Digital Media & Design 132,692 2% 25.5% $26.06 Graphic Designer Marketing Coordinator Multimedia Designer ©2015 BURNING GLASS TECHNOLOGIES MARCH 2015 | 15