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NE W F R O N T I E R A D V I S O R Y




              How To P                                    From Trading Carbon

 www.newfrontieradvisory.com • email: info@newfrontieradvisory.com • 45 Beech Street London EC2Y 8AD • +44 (0) 207 953 9860
Introduction
The task of helping the environment is now         100 global businesses are direct members              for growth, and there is already the Chicago
big business. Carbon credits are being             including Barclays, BP Newedge, E.ON UK,
                                                                          ,                              Climate Exchange (CCX), which trades
traded all around the world by companies           Fortis, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley and             voluntary credits from 400 members including
to meet environmental emissions targets,           Shell, in addition to several thousand traders        Ford, DuPont and Motorola, driving global
individuals looking to decrease their personal     around the world with access via clearing             growth further.
emissions, and investors looking to pro t from     members.
                                                                                                         The carbon credit trading system is often seen
the carbon market boom whilst helping the
                                                   As well as the ECX, the European Union                as a way of investing in something that helps
environment.
                                                   Emissions Trading Scheme (EU ETS) is the              the environment as well as generating a pro t.
According to the latest report from the World      largest multi-national emissions trading              Each carbon credit bought puts money into a
Bank, the global carbon trading market is          scheme in the world, and a major pillar of            project that is ve ed to reduce greenhouse
now worth a phenomenal US$144 billion, up          EU climate policy. The EU ETS is a scheme             gas emissions, and can then be sold to
6% from 2008 despite the global downturn.          which monitors European company’s carbon              companies who need to reduce emissions to
Marketplaces such as the European Climate          emissions, and creates a market for them to           comply with global targets, or to individuals
Exchange (ECX) have seen trading volumes           buy and sell credits to meet emissions targets.       who want to reduce their emissions. But what
soar, with 2009 seeing an 82% increase                                                                   are carbon credits exactly? Who buys them?
                                                   And it’s not just in Europe. The US is actively
year-on-year, surpassing 5 billion tones                                                                 And how can investors pro t?
                                                   setting up its own trading scheme, the US
of CO2e equivalent to €68 billion. Over
                                                   ETS, to create a more e cient marketplace




                               4.93%             Number of projects entering the CDM pipeline
140       Number of days



105



70



35



0
           Jan 2004           Jan 2005             Jan 2006              Jan 2007             Jan 2008             Jan 2009           Jan 2010

                                                                                                                     Source: unEP Risoe and World Bank




                                                                                                                                                 2
      www.newfrontieradvisory.com • email: info@newfrontieradvisory.com • 45 Beech Street London EC2Y 8AD • +44 (0) 207 953 9860
What are carbon credits?
The opportunity to trade carbon credits was
created by the United Nations’ Kyoto Protocol, a
                                                       CERs                                                VERs
legally binding document committing countries                             Reductions (CERs) were
                                                       created under the Kyoto Protocol’s Clean            third party, but without the costs associated with
(GHGs).                                                Development Mechanism (CDM) to allow                CERs, which are a type of carbon credit subject
                                                       industrialised countries to invest in emission      to much more stringent regulation, pushing
The treaty created a number of emission
                                                       reducing projects in developing nations. The        up the price. This means that individuals and
reduction targets that nations needed to meet
                                                       CDM projects generate CERs, credits which can       companies can reduce their emissions in a more
to safeguard the environment. Collectively,
                                                                                                      S.                                  y. Despite there
industrial nations agreed to reduce their GHGs
                                                       Once a CER has been issued it carries the same      being less regulation, VERs are still subject to a
by 5.2% from 1990 levels. On an individual
                                                       compliance value as an EUA.                         standard, and emissions reductions must be real,
country basis, this ranges from an 8% reduction
                                                                                                           measurable, permanent, additional to what is
in the European Union to 6% for Japan, 0%              CER credits are highly regulated and must meet
for Russia, and an increase permitted of 8% for
Australia and 10% for Iceland. These countries         the Kyoto Protocol. The emissions reductions        VERs trade over the counter and on some
are now responsible for ensuring that companies,       must be real, measurable, permanent, additional     exchanges such as the Chicago Climate
and the governments themselves, are reducing           to what is already being done, and independently    Exchange (CCX). This is giving structure to the
GHGs.                                                                                                      market, and helping it grow.
To facilitate this, the Kyoto Protocol gave GHGs                                                           The VER market is growing. In 2008, 123.4
a value, known as a carbon credit. Each carbon                                                             million metric tones of CO2 were transacted, a
credit is equivalent to one tonne of CO2. If a
company has emissions over its allowance, then
                                                       EUAs                                                near doubling of the 2007 volume. VER prices
                                                                                                           then increased by 20% in 2009, and the market
this entails a cost. Conversely, companies able        These are the emission allowances given to          was valued at US$705 million, with annual
to stay under this allowance receive credits which     participants in the EU ETS and are traded in        growth of 15% projected. General market
can be traded on exchanges for their value.            a secondary market on the European Climate          opinion is that the wider scope of the voluntary
Thirdly, projects in developing countries which        Exchange (ECX). One EUA gives the holder the        market, and growth led by the private sector,
actively reduce GHG emissions become eligible          right to emit one tonne of CO2. Approximately       not public policy, means that it has a strong
for these carbon credits, and by selling on an         2.3bn EUAs have been issued annually to             potential to outstrip the mature market size of the
exchange can raise funds.                              industries covered under the EU ETS.                compliance regime.
                                                                                                           By the end of 2013, the total value transacted in
                                                                                                           the carbon markets is projected to reach US$669
                                                                                                           billion, making it one of the biggest growth
                                                                                                           stories in investment (Carbon Emissions Trading
                                                                                                           Markets Worldwide, 2010).




       CDM Project Distribution by Type (%)
                                                                                                                    Each carbon
                                                                                                               credit is equivalent
                                 4.93%
                     Capture of fugitive
                              emission


                                                17.00%
                                                                                                                  to one tonne of
                                           Waste handling and
                                                disposal                Transport (0.11%)
                                                                                                                              CO 2
                                                                        Mining (0.96%)
                                                                        Metal production (0.29%)
           62.61%                                     4.54%             Af/Re-forestation (0.54%)
    Renewable energy sources                          Agriculture       Energy demand (0.96%)


                                                           2.39% Chemical industries

                                                       4.82%    Manufacturing




Source: United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change, 2010




                                                                                                                                                        3
       www.newfrontieradvisory.com • email: info@newfrontieradvisory.com • 45 Beech Street London EC2Y 8AD • +44 (0) 207 953 9860
Gold Standard and VCS
markets established by the Kyoto Protocol as well

by the Gold Standard F
organization that has trademarked the Gold
Standard Label, which is today internationally-
recognised as the leading indicator of quality in
carbon markets.
Supporters of the Gold Standard are committed
to promoting sustainable development through

by transparency and equality of access for all
market participants. It was designed to ensure
that emissions reductions that back up carbon

the project activities make a measurable impact
on sustainable and social development in local
communities.
The Gold Standard logo is a trademarked brand
that represents premium quality in the carbon
market.




           Each carbon
      credit is equivalent
         to one tonne of
                     CO 2




                                   4.93%                       EUA average prices (US$)
45




30


                                                                                                                                            Jan 2010
15




0
    Jan 2008   Mar 2008    May 2008     Jul 2008    Sep 2008   Nov 2008   Jan 2009   Jan 2009   Mar 2009   May 2009   Jul 2009   Nov 2009

                                                                                                                                   Source: World Bank




                                                                                                                                                4
        www.newfrontieradvisory.com • email: info@newfrontieradvisory.com • 45 Beech Street London EC2Y 8AD • +44 (0) 207 953 9860
Who’s buying credits?
The potential market for carbon credits is huge.    in Europe, followed by a Polish energy group.         The prices of the credits themselves vary and can
Under the Kyoto Protocol, not just companies but    Overall, European groups are spending £800            be volatile, creating the potential for large gains
                                                    million on carbon credits.                            as demand grows.
Even outside of the agreement, many companies
are buying up credits to help their corporate       Last year, Spain announced that in order to           As of the 30th September 2010, CER spot
image and to encourage their customers to go                  Kyoto Protocol, it would be purchasing      prices were €13.56 and EUA spot prices €15.60
green.                                              6 million tonnes of carbon credits, and is            as traded through the exchanges. Running
                                                    calculating that it will need to spend €1.2 billion   alongside this are the OTC markets, where
                                                    overall to comply. Most countries are spending        one of the largest companies charge £15.49
ability to purchase credits for a number of years   similar amounts or more. And in the voluntary         per credit, ranging to £10.90 for each credit
                          Westin resort and Spa     and over the counter (OTC) markets 94 million         from another supplier. British Airways charge
                                                    tonnes of CO2 were traded last year, with market
                y, and have reduced 800 tonnes      participants predicting that over 1 billion tonnes
of CO2 to date. The Swedish energy group            per annum will be traded by 2020.
Vattenfall is the largest single buyer of credits




This is where investors come in.


(also known as the spread) of OTC credits
bought from a company which either gets them
from an exchange or direct from a project can

ensuring that the investors money is going into
emissions reducing projects worldwide. This form

the communities where the projects are located,
                              r.
Through some credit trading companies, they
are available from as little as €5, creating the

trading company which preferably has access to
BlueNext, the world’s leading trading exchange
for credits. T
and high quality, which increases credit value,
buy only gold standard or VCS (Voluntary Carbon
Standard) credits.
The carbon market continues to grow, and
continues to provide further opportunities to




          Each carbon
     credit is equivalent
        to one tonne of
                    CO 2



                                                                                                                                                       5
       www.newfrontieradvisory.com • email: info@newfrontieradvisory.com • 45 Beech Street London EC2Y 8AD • +44 (0) 207 953 9860
NE W F R O N T I E R A D V I S O R Y
 360


                           Contact us for more information
+44 (0) 207 953 9860 • info@newfrontieradvisory.com • www.newfrontieradvisory.com
           New Frontier Advisory LTD, Centralpoint, 45 Beech Street, London EC2

Please remember that all investments carry risk.Whilst we undertake all due diligence and research to
present accurate scenarios and investment opportunities, the information presented is based on today’s
market value and predicted growth rates and as such cannot be guaranteed.

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How To Profit From Carbon Credit Trading

  • 1. NE W F R O N T I E R A D V I S O R Y How To P From Trading Carbon www.newfrontieradvisory.com • email: info@newfrontieradvisory.com • 45 Beech Street London EC2Y 8AD • +44 (0) 207 953 9860
  • 2. Introduction The task of helping the environment is now 100 global businesses are direct members for growth, and there is already the Chicago big business. Carbon credits are being including Barclays, BP Newedge, E.ON UK, , Climate Exchange (CCX), which trades traded all around the world by companies Fortis, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley and voluntary credits from 400 members including to meet environmental emissions targets, Shell, in addition to several thousand traders Ford, DuPont and Motorola, driving global individuals looking to decrease their personal around the world with access via clearing growth further. emissions, and investors looking to pro t from members. The carbon credit trading system is often seen the carbon market boom whilst helping the As well as the ECX, the European Union as a way of investing in something that helps environment. Emissions Trading Scheme (EU ETS) is the the environment as well as generating a pro t. According to the latest report from the World largest multi-national emissions trading Each carbon credit bought puts money into a Bank, the global carbon trading market is scheme in the world, and a major pillar of project that is ve ed to reduce greenhouse now worth a phenomenal US$144 billion, up EU climate policy. The EU ETS is a scheme gas emissions, and can then be sold to 6% from 2008 despite the global downturn. which monitors European company’s carbon companies who need to reduce emissions to Marketplaces such as the European Climate emissions, and creates a market for them to comply with global targets, or to individuals Exchange (ECX) have seen trading volumes buy and sell credits to meet emissions targets. who want to reduce their emissions. But what soar, with 2009 seeing an 82% increase are carbon credits exactly? Who buys them? And it’s not just in Europe. The US is actively year-on-year, surpassing 5 billion tones And how can investors pro t? setting up its own trading scheme, the US of CO2e equivalent to €68 billion. Over ETS, to create a more e cient marketplace 4.93% Number of projects entering the CDM pipeline 140 Number of days 105 70 35 0 Jan 2004 Jan 2005 Jan 2006 Jan 2007 Jan 2008 Jan 2009 Jan 2010 Source: unEP Risoe and World Bank 2 www.newfrontieradvisory.com • email: info@newfrontieradvisory.com • 45 Beech Street London EC2Y 8AD • +44 (0) 207 953 9860
  • 3. What are carbon credits? The opportunity to trade carbon credits was created by the United Nations’ Kyoto Protocol, a CERs VERs legally binding document committing countries Reductions (CERs) were created under the Kyoto Protocol’s Clean third party, but without the costs associated with (GHGs). Development Mechanism (CDM) to allow CERs, which are a type of carbon credit subject industrialised countries to invest in emission to much more stringent regulation, pushing The treaty created a number of emission reducing projects in developing nations. The up the price. This means that individuals and reduction targets that nations needed to meet CDM projects generate CERs, credits which can companies can reduce their emissions in a more to safeguard the environment. Collectively, S. y. Despite there industrial nations agreed to reduce their GHGs Once a CER has been issued it carries the same being less regulation, VERs are still subject to a by 5.2% from 1990 levels. On an individual compliance value as an EUA. standard, and emissions reductions must be real, country basis, this ranges from an 8% reduction measurable, permanent, additional to what is in the European Union to 6% for Japan, 0% CER credits are highly regulated and must meet for Russia, and an increase permitted of 8% for Australia and 10% for Iceland. These countries the Kyoto Protocol. The emissions reductions VERs trade over the counter and on some are now responsible for ensuring that companies, must be real, measurable, permanent, additional exchanges such as the Chicago Climate and the governments themselves, are reducing to what is already being done, and independently Exchange (CCX). This is giving structure to the GHGs. market, and helping it grow. To facilitate this, the Kyoto Protocol gave GHGs The VER market is growing. In 2008, 123.4 a value, known as a carbon credit. Each carbon million metric tones of CO2 were transacted, a credit is equivalent to one tonne of CO2. If a company has emissions over its allowance, then EUAs near doubling of the 2007 volume. VER prices then increased by 20% in 2009, and the market this entails a cost. Conversely, companies able These are the emission allowances given to was valued at US$705 million, with annual to stay under this allowance receive credits which participants in the EU ETS and are traded in growth of 15% projected. General market can be traded on exchanges for their value. a secondary market on the European Climate opinion is that the wider scope of the voluntary Thirdly, projects in developing countries which Exchange (ECX). One EUA gives the holder the market, and growth led by the private sector, actively reduce GHG emissions become eligible right to emit one tonne of CO2. Approximately not public policy, means that it has a strong for these carbon credits, and by selling on an 2.3bn EUAs have been issued annually to potential to outstrip the mature market size of the exchange can raise funds. industries covered under the EU ETS. compliance regime. By the end of 2013, the total value transacted in the carbon markets is projected to reach US$669 billion, making it one of the biggest growth stories in investment (Carbon Emissions Trading Markets Worldwide, 2010). CDM Project Distribution by Type (%) Each carbon credit is equivalent 4.93% Capture of fugitive emission 17.00% to one tonne of Waste handling and disposal Transport (0.11%) CO 2 Mining (0.96%) Metal production (0.29%) 62.61% 4.54% Af/Re-forestation (0.54%) Renewable energy sources Agriculture Energy demand (0.96%) 2.39% Chemical industries 4.82% Manufacturing Source: United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change, 2010 3 www.newfrontieradvisory.com • email: info@newfrontieradvisory.com • 45 Beech Street London EC2Y 8AD • +44 (0) 207 953 9860
  • 4. Gold Standard and VCS markets established by the Kyoto Protocol as well by the Gold Standard F organization that has trademarked the Gold Standard Label, which is today internationally- recognised as the leading indicator of quality in carbon markets. Supporters of the Gold Standard are committed to promoting sustainable development through by transparency and equality of access for all market participants. It was designed to ensure that emissions reductions that back up carbon the project activities make a measurable impact on sustainable and social development in local communities. The Gold Standard logo is a trademarked brand that represents premium quality in the carbon market. Each carbon credit is equivalent to one tonne of CO 2 4.93% EUA average prices (US$) 45 30 Jan 2010 15 0 Jan 2008 Mar 2008 May 2008 Jul 2008 Sep 2008 Nov 2008 Jan 2009 Jan 2009 Mar 2009 May 2009 Jul 2009 Nov 2009 Source: World Bank 4 www.newfrontieradvisory.com • email: info@newfrontieradvisory.com • 45 Beech Street London EC2Y 8AD • +44 (0) 207 953 9860
  • 5. Who’s buying credits? The potential market for carbon credits is huge. in Europe, followed by a Polish energy group. The prices of the credits themselves vary and can Under the Kyoto Protocol, not just companies but Overall, European groups are spending £800 be volatile, creating the potential for large gains million on carbon credits. as demand grows. Even outside of the agreement, many companies are buying up credits to help their corporate Last year, Spain announced that in order to As of the 30th September 2010, CER spot image and to encourage their customers to go Kyoto Protocol, it would be purchasing prices were €13.56 and EUA spot prices €15.60 green. 6 million tonnes of carbon credits, and is as traded through the exchanges. Running calculating that it will need to spend €1.2 billion alongside this are the OTC markets, where overall to comply. Most countries are spending one of the largest companies charge £15.49 ability to purchase credits for a number of years similar amounts or more. And in the voluntary per credit, ranging to £10.90 for each credit Westin resort and Spa and over the counter (OTC) markets 94 million from another supplier. British Airways charge tonnes of CO2 were traded last year, with market y, and have reduced 800 tonnes participants predicting that over 1 billion tonnes of CO2 to date. The Swedish energy group per annum will be traded by 2020. Vattenfall is the largest single buyer of credits This is where investors come in. (also known as the spread) of OTC credits bought from a company which either gets them from an exchange or direct from a project can ensuring that the investors money is going into emissions reducing projects worldwide. This form the communities where the projects are located, r. Through some credit trading companies, they are available from as little as €5, creating the trading company which preferably has access to BlueNext, the world’s leading trading exchange for credits. T and high quality, which increases credit value, buy only gold standard or VCS (Voluntary Carbon Standard) credits. The carbon market continues to grow, and continues to provide further opportunities to Each carbon credit is equivalent to one tonne of CO 2 5 www.newfrontieradvisory.com • email: info@newfrontieradvisory.com • 45 Beech Street London EC2Y 8AD • +44 (0) 207 953 9860
  • 6. NE W F R O N T I E R A D V I S O R Y 360 Contact us for more information +44 (0) 207 953 9860 • info@newfrontieradvisory.com • www.newfrontieradvisory.com New Frontier Advisory LTD, Centralpoint, 45 Beech Street, London EC2 Please remember that all investments carry risk.Whilst we undertake all due diligence and research to present accurate scenarios and investment opportunities, the information presented is based on today’s market value and predicted growth rates and as such cannot be guaranteed.