Nick Watkins
2014 tromso generalised and fractional Langevin equations implications for energy balance models
porNick Watkins
Cyprus 2011 complexity extreme bursts and volatility bunching in solar terrestrial physics
porNick Watkins
Hyderabad 2010 Distributions of extreme bursts above thresholds in a fractional Levy toy model of natural complexity
porNick Watkins
Venice 2012 Two topics in the history of complexity: Bunched Black Swans and the Mind's Eye
porNick Watkins
LSE 2012 Extremes, Bursts and Mandelbrot's Eyes ... and Five Ways to Mis-estimate Risk
porNick Watkins
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Organización/Lugar de trabajo
The London School of Economics and Political Science (LSE)Ubicación
Coventry, United Kingdom United KingdomOcupación
Visiting Professor in Centre for Analysis of Time Series at The London School of Economics and Political Science (LSE)Sector
Education
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My work confronts complexity science with real world problems and is centred on modelling uncertainty and risk in time series. A particular focus is models for processes that exhibit both heavy-tailed jumps and long ranged temporal memory, thus creating correlated extreme events (“bunched black swans”). My work, presentations and the conferences that I organise all aim to catalyse the two way dialogue between new ideas and paradigms drawn from complexity science, and the existing discipline-specific knowledge of more traditional disciplines and end users.