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From Chaos to Success: An Experience of a Lifetime on Citizen Registration Project in
                                    Pakistan.
                              Author: Sheikh Nisar Ahmed, CEO, MSCL

                                                Background


With a current population of 180 million, Pakistan has faced many challenges and problems since its birth in
1947. One of the key problems has been the influx of refugees and illegal immigrants . Whatever happened
around it, whether it’s war in Afghanistan, or revolution in Iran, or change of government in Burma, the
displaced population always found in Pakistan a safe heaven, got themselves registered as locals and acquired
Pakistani ID Cards and Passports. Many of them adopted Pakistan as permanent home. This has placed an
additional burden on Pakistan’s already weak economy and has created many social and security problems.
Realizing the seriousness of this problem, The Government of Pakistan (GoP) decided to launch a project of
electronic registration of the whole population of Pakistan.

In 1994, the Ministry of Interior (MoI), GoP visualized a project with a mission to eliminate forgery in the
issuance of National ID cards (NICs) and passports, and bring illegal immigration under control. The project
was conceptualized and scoped as the largest IT project to be handled in the history of Pakistan and was
perceived as a great technical and Project Management challenge. Many countries with better economies and
environments have still not ventured to take up such projects.

The project was initially awarded to IBM Pakistan in September 1996. However with the change of government
the contract with IBM was terminated in September 1997 and it was decided that MoI should deliver the project.
For this purpose the National Database & Registration Authority (NADRA) was established with the objective
of introducing a new, improved and modernized registration system for the entire population. Culminating,
among other things, was the issuance of secured National Identity Cards (NICs) to all adult citizens (70 million)
backed by the Citizens' National Data Warehouse (NDW).

Initially NADRA failed and the project turned into chaos. This chaotic phase lasted for more than two years. At
one stage the project was on the verge of collapse. However, NADRA was reorganized at the right time and the
right people were assigned right jobs. Dedicated work with commitment was put in to convert this RED project
to GREEN. The project is now out of chaos. The symptoms of success are visible. The project has become
highly visible both within and outside Pakistan.

This paper discusses project scope, goals and objectives. It also analyzes what went Wrong, what went
Right and Project Management principles that were violated. A discussion on Lessons learnt is also
included. Authentic registration of citizens is the need of the time, those interested in implementing
similar project in public sector can benefit from this paper.

                                     Project Goals and Objectives
The overall project goal was to eliminate illegal immigration by timely detection of errors and forgery in the
registration of citizens. To achieve this goal the following objectives were outlined.
     a. Redefine the processes for citizen registration and issuance of NICs to eliminate registration of aliens.
     b. Establish facilities and implement systems across the country to register the entire population.
     c. Create a National Data Warehouse (NDW) ensuring that this NDW can be used for future
          implementation of modern passport, border control, driving license, taxation and other related
          applications.
     d. Issue NICs that can not be tampered with, to all registered adult population.
     e. Establish nation wide networks that will enable access of NDW to authorized applications and users.
     f. Train government staff to ensure efficient use of new systems.
     g. Generate mass awareness among the population on the benefits and importance of getting themselves
          registered.

                                            The Project Scope
The project entailed logistics of information management and control that were unprecedented for IT projects
ever done in Pakistan. It required a complete range of services from voluminous historical data capture to

                                        © 2006, Sheikh Nisar Ahmed                                    1/7
intelligent data entry, scanning, image capture, software development, system integration, documentation, mass
training, procurement, process re-engineering to project management services.

Initially the project envisaged the establishment of Computer Centers at 113 districts for registration of citizens
and NIC distribution, Card Production Centers (CPCs) in 18 Divisional head quarters, Regional Computer
Centers (RCCs) in four Provincial Headquarters, National Computer Center in Islamabad for housing the NDW.
A project management approach, which will ensure timely and effective implementation of this project, was
required. The scope included implementation of networking and related systems across the country.

Figure -1 below depicts the infrastructure to be created.




Figure – 1: Infrastructure to be created across the country.


                                             The Project Stages
The whole project (i.e. work already done and work to be done) can be presented as three Staged project. See
figure 2 below.




                                    TIME
Figure - 2: The project lifecycle depicting three stages of the project


Stage 1: “Project definition”
In March 1996 GoP invited IBM Pakistan to define the project inline with defined goals and objectives and
present solution. IBM submitted the proposal in May 1996. The proposal was accepted as a proprietary solution.
After initial Project Assurance and Risk Assessment by IBM Global Services, IBM submitted the contract in
June 1996.The contract was accepted and signed on 12th September 1996 as a single sourced, without
following GoP’s tendering process. This was considered a big success for IBM Pakistan’s marketing unit.

IBM appointed the Project Manager who created a project organization within one month. We call this stage a
“Project Definition” Phase because during this stage detailed project plan including all subsidiary plans were
prepared, project framework was confirmed, most of the project management processes were defined,


                                         © 2006, Sheikh Nisar Ahmed                                      2/7
agreement was reached to use existing operational processes, responsibility metrics were finalized, complete
solution including process model, database model and network model were defined and pilot tested. In other
words all work necessary to define a project in detail was accomplished by IBM and accepted by the Client.

The IBM project team adopted its proven “Managing the Implementation of the Total Project
                                            M
(MITP)”methodology for managing this project. The project initiation was very well planned and effective. The
project was soon visible to all concerned and tremendous interest was generated among stakeholders.

The project sponsor was no less than the Prime Minister of the country. Her commitment was driving the client
(i.e. GoP) organization to support this project. The opponents of the project had no option but to keep quiet.
Initial milestones were achieved within schedule and within budget. It seemed the project was heading towards
great success.

The government changed in November 1997. The new government stalled most on-going projects, including
this project. IBM managed to meet new Interior Minister after great difficulty. In the first meeting it was
obvious that the project had lost the sponsorship. The IBM project manager reported the fact to IBM System
responsible for managing IBM Global Services projects worldwide. The System turned the project status from
GREEN to RED. The project assurance and risk assessment sessions were repeated. As a part of risk
containment, IBM requested GoP to reconfirm its commitment to this project. GoP first asked IBM to suspend
all work on this project and then started renegotiating the scope, terms and conditions. IBM Marketing (the same
team involved till contracting) took over the renegotiations from the project team. Fearing that refusal to accept
GoP’s position will result in the termination of the contract, IBM accepted almost all changes asked by the
Client without price increase. For almost two months there was a complete breakdown of communication
between the performing organization (i.e. IBM Project Team) and the Client (i.e. GoP Team). In the mean time
ministry of Legal Affairs started looking at the contract. Ultimately GoP terminated the contract in November
1997. The reasons given for termination were:
  a. The contract was awarded bypassing GoP tendering process without any valid reasons.
  b. The sensitive asset like the National Data Warehouse cannot be handed over to a foreign entity like IBM.
  c. The project as defined by IBM required new legislation and constitutional changes which were not
       possible within time allocated.
IBM, after legal review, accepted the termination without invoking the Dispute Resolution clause. With this
termination the Stage –1 of the project ended.

What went wrong:
IBM did not perform formal stakeholder analysis, primarily because the contracting phase was led by marketing.
The Project Manager’s appointment was delayed till signing of the contract. A tough delivery schedule and
other constraints did not allow the Project Manager to challenge and correct the over commitments. In spite of
very sound processes used, the risk assessment was conducted by experts coming from IBM headquarters with
no exposure to Pakistani public sector environment. The whole contracting process, including business case
preparation, project qualification, costing and budgeting were handled by the marketing team. Instead of using
them as a tool to develop a risk free plan; well-defined IBM Project Management processes were rushed through
to complete the formality. At that time IBM Pakistan was a small IBM unit. It was functionally organized with
marketing and finance controlling the whole business. The project organization, specially created to handle this
project was scattered. The Project Manager was not empowered to take all decisions. He was dependent on
decision makers in Headquarters in Dubai, Paris and Johannesburg.

At the Client end, no impact analysis was performed to assess what termination of the project contract would
mean in financial and business terms. Such an analysis would have saved the project from termination and thus
prevented loss to the taxpayers.

The termination of this project resulted in loss of significant revenue to IBM Pakistan. However actual loss was
restricted to less than half million US $, which was the spent cost of the project when terminated . The bigger
loser was the Client i.e. government and people of Pakistan. The project, which was to be completed in 2001,
would now be completed in 2006 at a much higher cost.

What went right?
The project offered a great learning opportunity to both IBM and the Client. The Client did not adopt any post
termination learning process and failed to gain benefits of experience. On the other hand, IBM Global Services
went through a major learning process, refined its business strategy for the Middle East region, and thus took

                                         © 2006, Sheikh Nisar Ahmed                                    3/7
full advantage of its experience on this project. The project team, which was built and developed on this project,
was used on other IBM projects and in Middle East, Europe and Australia. This resulted in cost reduction and,
thus, business gains for IBM Global services. Such timely actions by Project Management supported by well-
defined PM processes minimized the loss to IBM.

Another major benefit to emerge from the experience was that GoP was convinced that the project was needed
and was do-able. Although the contract with IBM had been terminated, the project was kept alive and was
reinitiated through NADRA. Without the experience gained in this Stage, clarity in the requirements of the
project would not have been possible.

Stage 2: “The Chaos”
GoP established National Database Organization (NDO) in March 1998 within MoI. This organization was later
named as National Database & Registration Authority (NADRA) in March 2000. NADRA was conceived as a
huge organization of more than 3000 personnel headed by a General from armed forces. The top management
also came from armed forces, most of them IT literate but with no experience of modern project management.

NADRA was a rigid functional organization. All work that was planned was to be carried out as operational
work. NADRA managers had no clue of project management. Project planning was restricted to schedule
preparation. Project baselines, even schedules were not protected, and Change Management was missing. No
quality plan was put in place. No accurate performance evaluation and progress measurement processes existed.

There was focus on procurement and infrastructure setup, but no proper budget allocation process was put in
place. Instead “Learning from Vendors Bids” approach was adopted. Thus each Request for Proposal (RFP) was
repeated several times. As a result key solution providers lost confidence in NADRA’s bidding process. Barring
initial bids, most of the bid responses were non serious. This chaotic phase lasted almost two years. The project
faced many upheavals; it faced budget overruns, schedule slippage and mismanagement in almost all project
activities.

As the project failed to deliver, stakeholders in the government lost interest and withdrew their support. The
project was labeled as “white elephant”. The project had high visibility. Approximately data for 64 million
citizens was received for registration and 20 million applications for issuance of NICs. When they were not
delivered what was promised, opposition to the project became more vocal. The project was almost on the
verge of collapse.

Pakistan once again experienced a change in the government. The new government decided to continue all
projects, which were in the national interest. In spite of its initial failure, the NADRA project was categorized as
a project of national importance. GoP decided to continue with the project but with new management.

 In October 2002, a major change in NADRA management was directed and a new chairman with full support
from GoP was appointed. With this appointment Stage 2 ended and project entered Stage 3.

What went wrong?
NADRA of Stage 2 was a Rigid Functional Organization; all powers were with the departmental head. There
was little emphasis on project management and the role of project manager was non-existent. NADRA
considered itself as a system integrator, not a project management body. Tasks involving large volumes were
initiated without pilots and without ensuring that quality control processes were in place.

Because of a lack of definition of roles and responsibilities and documentation, the accurate performance
evaluation and accountability was not possible. Progress measurement was not possible as no accurate process
was adopted for this. Nobody actually knew how much project has progressed. Whatever was achieved, failed
to meet even basic quality standards. There was no communication between IBM and NADRA. This deprived
NADRA of the advantage of IBM‘s experience on this project.

Because of NADRA’s inability to manage the project, the control fell in the hands of subcontractors and
external consultants, who had their own vested interests. This led to the division of a single well-defined project
into 5 ill-defined sub projects with no effective central organization to manage the integration of this complex
project. The stakeholders in GoP lost confidence in NADRA’s ability to deliver and the project became a bad
reference.



                                         © 2006, Sheikh Nisar Ahmed                                       4/7
What went right?
In spite of all the chaos, some achievement was made during Stage 2 in the area of infrastructure setup. The
National Center at Headquarters in Islamabad was setup. The completely automated central NIC production
facility was created, thanks to some good work done by a select group of subcontractors. NADRA offices were
setup in all four provincial capitals with modern facilities. Facilities for mass Data Entry and Scanning were
created. A nationwide physical network was established. This infrastructure was effectively used during Stage
3.

Stage 3: “The Turnaround”
The new chairman brought with him experience of managing complex projects. He understood both the
technical and management aspects of this huge project. Initially he spent time in understanding the past
mistakes, their causes and impacts. He changed the nature of NADRA organization from rigid functional to
balanced matrix. Project Management skills were acquired through re-hiring and training. New, strong project
teams with well-defined roles and responsibilities were built. Subcontractors with good record of delivering on
this project in the first two Stages were involved. Processes for team building and Project Human Resource
management were implemented with focus on performance evaluation. Efforts were made to ensure that only
good performers were rewarded.

A basic change in the overall project strategy was made. The Central Data Warehouse strategy was adopted in
stead of Distributed Databases. In stead of “Form Filling”, it was decided to facilitate applicants to directly
provide data to the system.

More importantly, the project got the sponsor no less than President, the most powerful person in the country.
For the first time the whole adult population of the country (i.e. approximately 70 million) was accepted as
stakeholder and project plan was adjusted accordingly. Swift Registration Centers (SRCs) were established
through out the country where applicants could personally come and provide the required information, including
their signatures, fingerprints and photographs directly to the system. A Customer Relationship Management
(CRM) system was implemented where the applicants could see the status of their applications including
reasons for which the processing could not be completed. The applicants could also register the complaints
using this system. The CRM was further supplemented by Call Centers in three major cities covering most of
the urban population. A MIS was implemented which took direct input from operational systems. This helped
the management in enforcing effective control over operations.

All these resulted in a great turnaround. The project is now on the road to success. The successful completion of
this project will result in the National Data Warehouse, which will be used by not only registration and
immigration authorities but also by the taxation department, police, issuance of driving licenses, land revenue,
election commission and other government departments. This development is likely to lead Pakistan towards
Good Governance. Though long journey but seems achievable now as a result of this Turnaround.

Current Status
The careful progress analysis based on initial scope, indicates that the project is 90% complete. Most of the
infrastructure is ready. Out of an adult population of around 70 million, around 50 million have been registered
digitally. Registration of the entire population is expected to be completed by the end of 2006. Errors in
citizens’ data have been corrected and the NDW can now be used for other applications like Passport (MRP),
Immigration, Taxation, and Driving License etc. The Complaint Management System supported by CRM is
now working and helping NADRA to regain the lost confidence of stakeholders. NICs are being delivered to
applicants on time. At the end of stage 2 no body in GoP wanted to own this project. Now many will feel proud
if their name is associated with this project.

Future Challenges:
The project is not over yet. It still faces unique challenges and risks. The project needs continuous support from
GoP. The greatest risk is continuity of sponsorship. A change in government or a change in priorities at the top
level will have an impact on this project. Riding on its success, NADRA is over committing and initiating new
projects, most of these are unaligned with NADRA’s original mission. This distracts management focus from
the core project.




                                         © 2006, Sheikh Nisar Ahmed                                     5/7
In addition, 60% of the population lives in rural areas, Out of which 25% lives in the areas with inadequate
communication facilities. Registering this population will be a daunting task. Another challenge would be to
register more than 3 million Pakistanis living overseas in more than 50 countries.

One of the basic aims of the project is to eliminate corruption. In a society riddled with the corrupt practices the
project is bound to face resistance. As use of NDW expands in departments like Taxation, Police and
Immigration this resistance will increase. NADRA must be prepared to face such challenges. Also, it must
ensure that the organization is protected from corrupt practices penetrating within its own ranks.

NADRA management is under tremendous pressure to recruit employees recommended by people in power. To
remain an effective organization NADRA must stick to its merit based HR practices.

Post Mortem and Lessons Learnt:
Different organizations have different views of the project. Since NADRA views this project from the day the
new NADRA management took over, for them it is a great success. The finance department in GoP is looking at
total cost incurred. So for them the project has overspent heavily. For IBM, the project could not be completed
successfully and it was terminated without any compensation paid, so it is a failed project. For many vendors
and subcontractors this was a profitable project as they managed to complete their part and got paid. However
as project managers, we will analyze project as a whole i.e. all three stages combined for the purpose of
post mortem and lesson learning. We will discuss the events and facts first and then lessons learnt are
summarized immediately after the discussion.

Stakeholders Analysis: A project of this size fails for multiple reasons. However, the most important
reason for the failure at stage 1 was poor stakeholder analysis by IBM. Too much attention was given to the
stakeholders who would award the contract and provide the budget. Just winning the support of the Prime
Minister in power was not enough. It was important to win support of those in opposition and the government
field staff to be involved in the implementation of the project. The Ministry of Legal Affairs and Armed Forces,
the key influencers, were not identified as stakeholders and ignored during contracting process. The reason for
this poor analysis was that whole contracting process was led by IBM Pakistan Marketing whose view of the
project did not go beyond contracting. When the government changed, all those not involved till now suddenly
occupied the positions of decision-making. The new decision makers in GoP had no interest in the project and
refused to provide support.

Lesson: Never ignore those who can negatively impact progress on the project. Turn resistance into support as
early in the lifecycle as possible.

The Project Manager - Appointment and Authority: In Stage 1, IBM Marketing led the project till the
contract was finalized. Formal project manager appointment was announced after signing of the contract. Very
tough schedule was committed. The project manager was required to act in rush and deliver, leaving no room
for reviewing initial work. The initial project risk assessment took almost all input from people involved in
marketing. The ownership of the project budget was with the CFO. The procurement was heavily dependent on
time consuming operational processes, which failed to address the uniqueness of this project. The IBM project
manager had to work within these processes, which were mostly tuned to handle routine operations.

In Stage 3 i.e. the Turnaround phase the new NADRA management reviewed all work done thus far on the
project, revised processes and defined a new organization suitable for project work. They could do this because
the previous NADRA management was a failure and was also perceived as a failure by key stakeholders as well
as project sponsor. In stage 1 i.e. the IBM Phase, work done prior to the appointment of the project manager
was rated and perceived as a great work. It was thus difficult for the project manager to challenge this “great
work”.

Lesson: The project manager must review the work already done before taking over project responsibility. Seek
clarifications and resolve issues. On large projects, operational processes must be customized to suit project
requirements. The Project Manager must be involved in initial risk assessment and agree to risk containment
strategy. If not, then Project Manager must perform an initial risk assessment, understand project risks and risk
category. This should be the precondition to accepting project responsibility. It is at this stage you could be
blamed as being bureaucratic, rigid and even a business killer. Don’t worry. If you are convinced what you are
doing is right, be firm. What is at stake at this stage is your assignment. But if you give in to pressure, you are
putting both your job and reputation at stake.


                                          © 2006, Sheikh Nisar Ahmed                                      6/7
Remember, just delivering good work is not enough, the work must be perceived as Good Work by the
stakeholders.

Managing Scope Change: In stage 1 IBM accepted demands for scope changes (increases) without
renegotiating the price. This created doubt about the fairness of the price quoted earlier and strengthened the
view of the opponents of the project. This was a fixed priced contract. With country’s average inflation rate of
10% at that time the project organization had less money for more work.

Lesson: Changes to all three baselines (Budget, Scope and Schedule) must be managed, negotiated and accepted
by the project organization. Project Manager must act as a custodian of project baselines especially budget. Any
undue concession given to the client must be supported through Management Reserve.”

Project Sponsorship: During Stage 1, IBM could achieve initial milestones with ease because the project
could find sponsor of right level. In spite of excellent initial project work, IBM failed later primarily because
project lost sponsor. During stage 3, one of the reasons for the turnaround was sponsor’s commitment and
support to the project.

Lesson: Every project must have a Sponsor who would own and defend the project. No fun in wasting time and
resources on the project, that fails to find the Sponsor.

Project Visibility: While it is advisable that your project is visible, but this may not be true in case of public
sector projects in countries like Pakistan. Almost all large projects have support and face resistance. As a project
progresses, it experiences schedule slippage and overspending and the resistance becomes stronger and vocal.
The higher is the project visibility the stronger is the resistance. This is exactly what happened with the NADRA
project in first two stages. This distracts project management from core project activities to expectation
management, issues handling and other non-performing activities. In Turnaround phase the new NADRA
management handled project visibility part intelligently. Only required information was shared outside project
organization. It was ensured that public announcements were made after achieving the key Milestones.

Lesson: While managing large public sector projects, avoid your temptation to be visible and media coverage.
Fame will automatically come with the success of the project.

Influence of the organizational culture and structure: In the 90s IBM Global Services in Europe and USA
was well organized to manage services business through projects. However in the Middle East and Africa most
of the business focus was on Product marketing and related after sales support services. The marketing and
finance functions enjoyed more power. The project management support for this project came from
headquarters mostly located in Europe. Most of the input to headquarter project management processes came
from Marketing and Finance functions of these countries. This resulted in poor contracting, and risk assessment
not only on this project but many others in this region. In Stage 3, NADRA organization came closer to
Balanced Matrix structure. This reorganization had significant role in turning around this failing project to
success.

Lesson: If you want to be successful in project based business, you must reorganize and move from a Functional
to a Projectized organization structure. The reorganization may be in stages. You must create the project culture
through implementation of project management processes.

Accuracy in performance evaluation of team members: One of the reasons for failure in Stage 2 was the
lack of a performance evaluation process. Annual PE was just a formality. Managers were casual while
performing evaluations. This gave employees the impression that their hard work will not help them in career
growth. Even during stage 1, in spite of very sound and accurate Career Planning and Performance Planning
processes in place, when the marketing team was awarded for closing the contract, the symptoms of unrest
amongst the project delivery team were clearly visible. This was because; by this time the team was aware of the
lapses and omissions in the contract. Project Manager had to make extra efforts to manage team morale.

Lesson: Performance Evaluation is a strong tool in the hands of the project managers. By using this tool with
accuracy, honesty and care, the success of a project can be ensured. When in doubt, postpone the award, but
never award a poor performer.




                                          © 2006, Sheikh Nisar Ahmed                                      7/7

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From chaos to success

  • 1. From Chaos to Success: An Experience of a Lifetime on Citizen Registration Project in Pakistan. Author: Sheikh Nisar Ahmed, CEO, MSCL Background With a current population of 180 million, Pakistan has faced many challenges and problems since its birth in 1947. One of the key problems has been the influx of refugees and illegal immigrants . Whatever happened around it, whether it’s war in Afghanistan, or revolution in Iran, or change of government in Burma, the displaced population always found in Pakistan a safe heaven, got themselves registered as locals and acquired Pakistani ID Cards and Passports. Many of them adopted Pakistan as permanent home. This has placed an additional burden on Pakistan’s already weak economy and has created many social and security problems. Realizing the seriousness of this problem, The Government of Pakistan (GoP) decided to launch a project of electronic registration of the whole population of Pakistan. In 1994, the Ministry of Interior (MoI), GoP visualized a project with a mission to eliminate forgery in the issuance of National ID cards (NICs) and passports, and bring illegal immigration under control. The project was conceptualized and scoped as the largest IT project to be handled in the history of Pakistan and was perceived as a great technical and Project Management challenge. Many countries with better economies and environments have still not ventured to take up such projects. The project was initially awarded to IBM Pakistan in September 1996. However with the change of government the contract with IBM was terminated in September 1997 and it was decided that MoI should deliver the project. For this purpose the National Database & Registration Authority (NADRA) was established with the objective of introducing a new, improved and modernized registration system for the entire population. Culminating, among other things, was the issuance of secured National Identity Cards (NICs) to all adult citizens (70 million) backed by the Citizens' National Data Warehouse (NDW). Initially NADRA failed and the project turned into chaos. This chaotic phase lasted for more than two years. At one stage the project was on the verge of collapse. However, NADRA was reorganized at the right time and the right people were assigned right jobs. Dedicated work with commitment was put in to convert this RED project to GREEN. The project is now out of chaos. The symptoms of success are visible. The project has become highly visible both within and outside Pakistan. This paper discusses project scope, goals and objectives. It also analyzes what went Wrong, what went Right and Project Management principles that were violated. A discussion on Lessons learnt is also included. Authentic registration of citizens is the need of the time, those interested in implementing similar project in public sector can benefit from this paper. Project Goals and Objectives The overall project goal was to eliminate illegal immigration by timely detection of errors and forgery in the registration of citizens. To achieve this goal the following objectives were outlined. a. Redefine the processes for citizen registration and issuance of NICs to eliminate registration of aliens. b. Establish facilities and implement systems across the country to register the entire population. c. Create a National Data Warehouse (NDW) ensuring that this NDW can be used for future implementation of modern passport, border control, driving license, taxation and other related applications. d. Issue NICs that can not be tampered with, to all registered adult population. e. Establish nation wide networks that will enable access of NDW to authorized applications and users. f. Train government staff to ensure efficient use of new systems. g. Generate mass awareness among the population on the benefits and importance of getting themselves registered. The Project Scope The project entailed logistics of information management and control that were unprecedented for IT projects ever done in Pakistan. It required a complete range of services from voluminous historical data capture to © 2006, Sheikh Nisar Ahmed 1/7
  • 2. intelligent data entry, scanning, image capture, software development, system integration, documentation, mass training, procurement, process re-engineering to project management services. Initially the project envisaged the establishment of Computer Centers at 113 districts for registration of citizens and NIC distribution, Card Production Centers (CPCs) in 18 Divisional head quarters, Regional Computer Centers (RCCs) in four Provincial Headquarters, National Computer Center in Islamabad for housing the NDW. A project management approach, which will ensure timely and effective implementation of this project, was required. The scope included implementation of networking and related systems across the country. Figure -1 below depicts the infrastructure to be created. Figure – 1: Infrastructure to be created across the country. The Project Stages The whole project (i.e. work already done and work to be done) can be presented as three Staged project. See figure 2 below. TIME Figure - 2: The project lifecycle depicting three stages of the project Stage 1: “Project definition” In March 1996 GoP invited IBM Pakistan to define the project inline with defined goals and objectives and present solution. IBM submitted the proposal in May 1996. The proposal was accepted as a proprietary solution. After initial Project Assurance and Risk Assessment by IBM Global Services, IBM submitted the contract in June 1996.The contract was accepted and signed on 12th September 1996 as a single sourced, without following GoP’s tendering process. This was considered a big success for IBM Pakistan’s marketing unit. IBM appointed the Project Manager who created a project organization within one month. We call this stage a “Project Definition” Phase because during this stage detailed project plan including all subsidiary plans were prepared, project framework was confirmed, most of the project management processes were defined, © 2006, Sheikh Nisar Ahmed 2/7
  • 3. agreement was reached to use existing operational processes, responsibility metrics were finalized, complete solution including process model, database model and network model were defined and pilot tested. In other words all work necessary to define a project in detail was accomplished by IBM and accepted by the Client. The IBM project team adopted its proven “Managing the Implementation of the Total Project M (MITP)”methodology for managing this project. The project initiation was very well planned and effective. The project was soon visible to all concerned and tremendous interest was generated among stakeholders. The project sponsor was no less than the Prime Minister of the country. Her commitment was driving the client (i.e. GoP) organization to support this project. The opponents of the project had no option but to keep quiet. Initial milestones were achieved within schedule and within budget. It seemed the project was heading towards great success. The government changed in November 1997. The new government stalled most on-going projects, including this project. IBM managed to meet new Interior Minister after great difficulty. In the first meeting it was obvious that the project had lost the sponsorship. The IBM project manager reported the fact to IBM System responsible for managing IBM Global Services projects worldwide. The System turned the project status from GREEN to RED. The project assurance and risk assessment sessions were repeated. As a part of risk containment, IBM requested GoP to reconfirm its commitment to this project. GoP first asked IBM to suspend all work on this project and then started renegotiating the scope, terms and conditions. IBM Marketing (the same team involved till contracting) took over the renegotiations from the project team. Fearing that refusal to accept GoP’s position will result in the termination of the contract, IBM accepted almost all changes asked by the Client without price increase. For almost two months there was a complete breakdown of communication between the performing organization (i.e. IBM Project Team) and the Client (i.e. GoP Team). In the mean time ministry of Legal Affairs started looking at the contract. Ultimately GoP terminated the contract in November 1997. The reasons given for termination were: a. The contract was awarded bypassing GoP tendering process without any valid reasons. b. The sensitive asset like the National Data Warehouse cannot be handed over to a foreign entity like IBM. c. The project as defined by IBM required new legislation and constitutional changes which were not possible within time allocated. IBM, after legal review, accepted the termination without invoking the Dispute Resolution clause. With this termination the Stage –1 of the project ended. What went wrong: IBM did not perform formal stakeholder analysis, primarily because the contracting phase was led by marketing. The Project Manager’s appointment was delayed till signing of the contract. A tough delivery schedule and other constraints did not allow the Project Manager to challenge and correct the over commitments. In spite of very sound processes used, the risk assessment was conducted by experts coming from IBM headquarters with no exposure to Pakistani public sector environment. The whole contracting process, including business case preparation, project qualification, costing and budgeting were handled by the marketing team. Instead of using them as a tool to develop a risk free plan; well-defined IBM Project Management processes were rushed through to complete the formality. At that time IBM Pakistan was a small IBM unit. It was functionally organized with marketing and finance controlling the whole business. The project organization, specially created to handle this project was scattered. The Project Manager was not empowered to take all decisions. He was dependent on decision makers in Headquarters in Dubai, Paris and Johannesburg. At the Client end, no impact analysis was performed to assess what termination of the project contract would mean in financial and business terms. Such an analysis would have saved the project from termination and thus prevented loss to the taxpayers. The termination of this project resulted in loss of significant revenue to IBM Pakistan. However actual loss was restricted to less than half million US $, which was the spent cost of the project when terminated . The bigger loser was the Client i.e. government and people of Pakistan. The project, which was to be completed in 2001, would now be completed in 2006 at a much higher cost. What went right? The project offered a great learning opportunity to both IBM and the Client. The Client did not adopt any post termination learning process and failed to gain benefits of experience. On the other hand, IBM Global Services went through a major learning process, refined its business strategy for the Middle East region, and thus took © 2006, Sheikh Nisar Ahmed 3/7
  • 4. full advantage of its experience on this project. The project team, which was built and developed on this project, was used on other IBM projects and in Middle East, Europe and Australia. This resulted in cost reduction and, thus, business gains for IBM Global services. Such timely actions by Project Management supported by well- defined PM processes minimized the loss to IBM. Another major benefit to emerge from the experience was that GoP was convinced that the project was needed and was do-able. Although the contract with IBM had been terminated, the project was kept alive and was reinitiated through NADRA. Without the experience gained in this Stage, clarity in the requirements of the project would not have been possible. Stage 2: “The Chaos” GoP established National Database Organization (NDO) in March 1998 within MoI. This organization was later named as National Database & Registration Authority (NADRA) in March 2000. NADRA was conceived as a huge organization of more than 3000 personnel headed by a General from armed forces. The top management also came from armed forces, most of them IT literate but with no experience of modern project management. NADRA was a rigid functional organization. All work that was planned was to be carried out as operational work. NADRA managers had no clue of project management. Project planning was restricted to schedule preparation. Project baselines, even schedules were not protected, and Change Management was missing. No quality plan was put in place. No accurate performance evaluation and progress measurement processes existed. There was focus on procurement and infrastructure setup, but no proper budget allocation process was put in place. Instead “Learning from Vendors Bids” approach was adopted. Thus each Request for Proposal (RFP) was repeated several times. As a result key solution providers lost confidence in NADRA’s bidding process. Barring initial bids, most of the bid responses were non serious. This chaotic phase lasted almost two years. The project faced many upheavals; it faced budget overruns, schedule slippage and mismanagement in almost all project activities. As the project failed to deliver, stakeholders in the government lost interest and withdrew their support. The project was labeled as “white elephant”. The project had high visibility. Approximately data for 64 million citizens was received for registration and 20 million applications for issuance of NICs. When they were not delivered what was promised, opposition to the project became more vocal. The project was almost on the verge of collapse. Pakistan once again experienced a change in the government. The new government decided to continue all projects, which were in the national interest. In spite of its initial failure, the NADRA project was categorized as a project of national importance. GoP decided to continue with the project but with new management. In October 2002, a major change in NADRA management was directed and a new chairman with full support from GoP was appointed. With this appointment Stage 2 ended and project entered Stage 3. What went wrong? NADRA of Stage 2 was a Rigid Functional Organization; all powers were with the departmental head. There was little emphasis on project management and the role of project manager was non-existent. NADRA considered itself as a system integrator, not a project management body. Tasks involving large volumes were initiated without pilots and without ensuring that quality control processes were in place. Because of a lack of definition of roles and responsibilities and documentation, the accurate performance evaluation and accountability was not possible. Progress measurement was not possible as no accurate process was adopted for this. Nobody actually knew how much project has progressed. Whatever was achieved, failed to meet even basic quality standards. There was no communication between IBM and NADRA. This deprived NADRA of the advantage of IBM‘s experience on this project. Because of NADRA’s inability to manage the project, the control fell in the hands of subcontractors and external consultants, who had their own vested interests. This led to the division of a single well-defined project into 5 ill-defined sub projects with no effective central organization to manage the integration of this complex project. The stakeholders in GoP lost confidence in NADRA’s ability to deliver and the project became a bad reference. © 2006, Sheikh Nisar Ahmed 4/7
  • 5. What went right? In spite of all the chaos, some achievement was made during Stage 2 in the area of infrastructure setup. The National Center at Headquarters in Islamabad was setup. The completely automated central NIC production facility was created, thanks to some good work done by a select group of subcontractors. NADRA offices were setup in all four provincial capitals with modern facilities. Facilities for mass Data Entry and Scanning were created. A nationwide physical network was established. This infrastructure was effectively used during Stage 3. Stage 3: “The Turnaround” The new chairman brought with him experience of managing complex projects. He understood both the technical and management aspects of this huge project. Initially he spent time in understanding the past mistakes, their causes and impacts. He changed the nature of NADRA organization from rigid functional to balanced matrix. Project Management skills were acquired through re-hiring and training. New, strong project teams with well-defined roles and responsibilities were built. Subcontractors with good record of delivering on this project in the first two Stages were involved. Processes for team building and Project Human Resource management were implemented with focus on performance evaluation. Efforts were made to ensure that only good performers were rewarded. A basic change in the overall project strategy was made. The Central Data Warehouse strategy was adopted in stead of Distributed Databases. In stead of “Form Filling”, it was decided to facilitate applicants to directly provide data to the system. More importantly, the project got the sponsor no less than President, the most powerful person in the country. For the first time the whole adult population of the country (i.e. approximately 70 million) was accepted as stakeholder and project plan was adjusted accordingly. Swift Registration Centers (SRCs) were established through out the country where applicants could personally come and provide the required information, including their signatures, fingerprints and photographs directly to the system. A Customer Relationship Management (CRM) system was implemented where the applicants could see the status of their applications including reasons for which the processing could not be completed. The applicants could also register the complaints using this system. The CRM was further supplemented by Call Centers in three major cities covering most of the urban population. A MIS was implemented which took direct input from operational systems. This helped the management in enforcing effective control over operations. All these resulted in a great turnaround. The project is now on the road to success. The successful completion of this project will result in the National Data Warehouse, which will be used by not only registration and immigration authorities but also by the taxation department, police, issuance of driving licenses, land revenue, election commission and other government departments. This development is likely to lead Pakistan towards Good Governance. Though long journey but seems achievable now as a result of this Turnaround. Current Status The careful progress analysis based on initial scope, indicates that the project is 90% complete. Most of the infrastructure is ready. Out of an adult population of around 70 million, around 50 million have been registered digitally. Registration of the entire population is expected to be completed by the end of 2006. Errors in citizens’ data have been corrected and the NDW can now be used for other applications like Passport (MRP), Immigration, Taxation, and Driving License etc. The Complaint Management System supported by CRM is now working and helping NADRA to regain the lost confidence of stakeholders. NICs are being delivered to applicants on time. At the end of stage 2 no body in GoP wanted to own this project. Now many will feel proud if their name is associated with this project. Future Challenges: The project is not over yet. It still faces unique challenges and risks. The project needs continuous support from GoP. The greatest risk is continuity of sponsorship. A change in government or a change in priorities at the top level will have an impact on this project. Riding on its success, NADRA is over committing and initiating new projects, most of these are unaligned with NADRA’s original mission. This distracts management focus from the core project. © 2006, Sheikh Nisar Ahmed 5/7
  • 6. In addition, 60% of the population lives in rural areas, Out of which 25% lives in the areas with inadequate communication facilities. Registering this population will be a daunting task. Another challenge would be to register more than 3 million Pakistanis living overseas in more than 50 countries. One of the basic aims of the project is to eliminate corruption. In a society riddled with the corrupt practices the project is bound to face resistance. As use of NDW expands in departments like Taxation, Police and Immigration this resistance will increase. NADRA must be prepared to face such challenges. Also, it must ensure that the organization is protected from corrupt practices penetrating within its own ranks. NADRA management is under tremendous pressure to recruit employees recommended by people in power. To remain an effective organization NADRA must stick to its merit based HR practices. Post Mortem and Lessons Learnt: Different organizations have different views of the project. Since NADRA views this project from the day the new NADRA management took over, for them it is a great success. The finance department in GoP is looking at total cost incurred. So for them the project has overspent heavily. For IBM, the project could not be completed successfully and it was terminated without any compensation paid, so it is a failed project. For many vendors and subcontractors this was a profitable project as they managed to complete their part and got paid. However as project managers, we will analyze project as a whole i.e. all three stages combined for the purpose of post mortem and lesson learning. We will discuss the events and facts first and then lessons learnt are summarized immediately after the discussion. Stakeholders Analysis: A project of this size fails for multiple reasons. However, the most important reason for the failure at stage 1 was poor stakeholder analysis by IBM. Too much attention was given to the stakeholders who would award the contract and provide the budget. Just winning the support of the Prime Minister in power was not enough. It was important to win support of those in opposition and the government field staff to be involved in the implementation of the project. The Ministry of Legal Affairs and Armed Forces, the key influencers, were not identified as stakeholders and ignored during contracting process. The reason for this poor analysis was that whole contracting process was led by IBM Pakistan Marketing whose view of the project did not go beyond contracting. When the government changed, all those not involved till now suddenly occupied the positions of decision-making. The new decision makers in GoP had no interest in the project and refused to provide support. Lesson: Never ignore those who can negatively impact progress on the project. Turn resistance into support as early in the lifecycle as possible. The Project Manager - Appointment and Authority: In Stage 1, IBM Marketing led the project till the contract was finalized. Formal project manager appointment was announced after signing of the contract. Very tough schedule was committed. The project manager was required to act in rush and deliver, leaving no room for reviewing initial work. The initial project risk assessment took almost all input from people involved in marketing. The ownership of the project budget was with the CFO. The procurement was heavily dependent on time consuming operational processes, which failed to address the uniqueness of this project. The IBM project manager had to work within these processes, which were mostly tuned to handle routine operations. In Stage 3 i.e. the Turnaround phase the new NADRA management reviewed all work done thus far on the project, revised processes and defined a new organization suitable for project work. They could do this because the previous NADRA management was a failure and was also perceived as a failure by key stakeholders as well as project sponsor. In stage 1 i.e. the IBM Phase, work done prior to the appointment of the project manager was rated and perceived as a great work. It was thus difficult for the project manager to challenge this “great work”. Lesson: The project manager must review the work already done before taking over project responsibility. Seek clarifications and resolve issues. On large projects, operational processes must be customized to suit project requirements. The Project Manager must be involved in initial risk assessment and agree to risk containment strategy. If not, then Project Manager must perform an initial risk assessment, understand project risks and risk category. This should be the precondition to accepting project responsibility. It is at this stage you could be blamed as being bureaucratic, rigid and even a business killer. Don’t worry. If you are convinced what you are doing is right, be firm. What is at stake at this stage is your assignment. But if you give in to pressure, you are putting both your job and reputation at stake. © 2006, Sheikh Nisar Ahmed 6/7
  • 7. Remember, just delivering good work is not enough, the work must be perceived as Good Work by the stakeholders. Managing Scope Change: In stage 1 IBM accepted demands for scope changes (increases) without renegotiating the price. This created doubt about the fairness of the price quoted earlier and strengthened the view of the opponents of the project. This was a fixed priced contract. With country’s average inflation rate of 10% at that time the project organization had less money for more work. Lesson: Changes to all three baselines (Budget, Scope and Schedule) must be managed, negotiated and accepted by the project organization. Project Manager must act as a custodian of project baselines especially budget. Any undue concession given to the client must be supported through Management Reserve.” Project Sponsorship: During Stage 1, IBM could achieve initial milestones with ease because the project could find sponsor of right level. In spite of excellent initial project work, IBM failed later primarily because project lost sponsor. During stage 3, one of the reasons for the turnaround was sponsor’s commitment and support to the project. Lesson: Every project must have a Sponsor who would own and defend the project. No fun in wasting time and resources on the project, that fails to find the Sponsor. Project Visibility: While it is advisable that your project is visible, but this may not be true in case of public sector projects in countries like Pakistan. Almost all large projects have support and face resistance. As a project progresses, it experiences schedule slippage and overspending and the resistance becomes stronger and vocal. The higher is the project visibility the stronger is the resistance. This is exactly what happened with the NADRA project in first two stages. This distracts project management from core project activities to expectation management, issues handling and other non-performing activities. In Turnaround phase the new NADRA management handled project visibility part intelligently. Only required information was shared outside project organization. It was ensured that public announcements were made after achieving the key Milestones. Lesson: While managing large public sector projects, avoid your temptation to be visible and media coverage. Fame will automatically come with the success of the project. Influence of the organizational culture and structure: In the 90s IBM Global Services in Europe and USA was well organized to manage services business through projects. However in the Middle East and Africa most of the business focus was on Product marketing and related after sales support services. The marketing and finance functions enjoyed more power. The project management support for this project came from headquarters mostly located in Europe. Most of the input to headquarter project management processes came from Marketing and Finance functions of these countries. This resulted in poor contracting, and risk assessment not only on this project but many others in this region. In Stage 3, NADRA organization came closer to Balanced Matrix structure. This reorganization had significant role in turning around this failing project to success. Lesson: If you want to be successful in project based business, you must reorganize and move from a Functional to a Projectized organization structure. The reorganization may be in stages. You must create the project culture through implementation of project management processes. Accuracy in performance evaluation of team members: One of the reasons for failure in Stage 2 was the lack of a performance evaluation process. Annual PE was just a formality. Managers were casual while performing evaluations. This gave employees the impression that their hard work will not help them in career growth. Even during stage 1, in spite of very sound and accurate Career Planning and Performance Planning processes in place, when the marketing team was awarded for closing the contract, the symptoms of unrest amongst the project delivery team were clearly visible. This was because; by this time the team was aware of the lapses and omissions in the contract. Project Manager had to make extra efforts to manage team morale. Lesson: Performance Evaluation is a strong tool in the hands of the project managers. By using this tool with accuracy, honesty and care, the success of a project can be ensured. When in doubt, postpone the award, but never award a poor performer. © 2006, Sheikh Nisar Ahmed 7/7