Presentation by Dr. Tom de Groeve at the OECD Workshop on Improving the Evidence Base on the Costs of Disasters (21 November 2014). Find more information at http://www.oecd.org/governance/risk/workshoponimprovingtheevidencebaseonthecostsofdisasters.htm.
2. 213 January 2015
Contributors
Country
1 Austria
2 Belgium
3 Bulgaria
4 Croatia
5 France
6 Germany
7 Greece
8 Italy
9 Netherlands
10 Portugal
11 Romania
12 Slovenia
13 Spain
14 Sweden
15
United
Kingdom
3. WHY DO WE NEED LOSS DATA ?
313 January 2015
27-28 July 2013
Hailstorm
Germany
Source: SIGMA 1/2014
Natural catastrophes and man-made disasters 2013
4. 413 January 2015
APPLICATION AREAS
Compensation Accounting
Forensics Risk modeling
LOSS
DATA
Avoiding sovereign
insolvency
Balance prevention
budget and loss
compensation
Fair and efficient
solidarity
mechanism
and/or insurance
market
Evaluate
prevention
measures
Improve
prevention policy
Accurate risk
assessment based on
locally relevant loss
exceedance curves
5. 513 January 2015
International
level
European Level
National level
Post-2015 Framework for
Disaster Risk Reduction
National process involving a
number of stakeholders:
decision makers, scientists,
practioners…
Strong legal basis: EUSF,
Green paper on Insurance,
Floods & INSPIRE Directives...
LOSS DATA SERVING SEVERAL PURPOSES
7. 713 January 2015
AT THE EUROPEAN LEVEL
STRONG LEGAL BASIS
• Solidarity clause of the European Treaty
• European Union Solidarity Fund
• Council conclusions: Further Developing
Risk Assessment for Disaster Management
• Revised Union civil protection legislation
• Floods and INSPIRE Directives
• Green Paper on Insurance of Natural and
Man-made Disasters
• EU Strategy on adaptation to climate
change
• ….
10. Conceptual loss data model
10
13 January 2015
Event ID
Hazard event
identification
Affected
elements
Loss
indicators
Version
Metadata
Directly
affected
population
Direct
damages/
losses
Aggregated loss
data
Killed
Missing
Evacuated
Direct
economic
loss
Sector
Owner
Location
Population
Occupancy
Event
classification
Year
Location
14. 1413 January 2015
Main findings
• 12 out of 15 participating Member States have
established and maintained a loss database,
• Large differences in the processes of loss data collection
and recording,
• Lack of standards (e.g. for human and economic losses)
that prevent aggregation at EU or global levels,
• Differences in IT systems,
• Differences in terminologies for peril classification,
• Drivers for loss data recording mainly linked to:
i) (semi) public national compensation schemes, ii)
existing national and EU legislations and iii) for
improving prevention and response mechanisms.
15. Gaps and aspirations
13 January 2015
Need for national and European legal frameworks:
Austria, Belgium, Bulgaria, Romania, Slovenia, Spain and Sweden
have binding legislation.
Public Private Partnership (PPP) or Public Public
partnership (PuP)
Mission Risques Naturels in France is a PPP (and to a certain extent
a PuP) and an example of a good practice, reinforcing the insurance
strategic role in disaster loss recording and data sharing.
16. Standardization/Classification
1613 January 2015
Agreed Terminologies/Definitions
Family Main event Peril
Earthquake Ash Fall
Mass Movement Fire following EQ
Volcanic Activity Ground Movement
Landslide following EQ
Lahar
Lava Flow
Liquefaction
Pyroclastic Flow
Tsunami
Flood Avalanche: Snow, Debris
Landslide Coastal Flood
Wave Action Coastal Erosion
Debris/Mud Flow/Rockfall
Expansive Soil
Flash Flood
Ice Jam Flood
Riverine Flood
Rogue Wave
Seiche
Sinkhole
Convective Storm Cold Wave
Extratropical Storm Derecho
Extreme Temperature Frost/Freeze
Fog Hail
Tropical Cyclone Heat Wave
Lightning
Rain
Sandstorm/Dust storm
Snow/Ice
Storm Surge
Tornado
Wind
Winter Storm/Blizzard
Drought Forest Fire
Glacial Lake Outburst Land fire: Brush, Bush, Pasture
Wildfire Subsidence
Animal Incident Bacterial Disease
Disease Fungal Disease
Insect Infestation Parasitic Disease
Prion Disease
Viral Disease
Impact Airburst
Space Weather Collision
Energetic Particles
Geomagnetic Storm
Radio Disturbance
Shockwave
Climatological
Biological
Extraterrestrial
Geophysical
Hydrological
Meteorological
IRDR peril classification: unified terminology
- for events classification
- for operating loss databases
MAIN EVENT:
A minimum requirement for shared loss data
Gaps and aspirations
17. 1713 January 2015
Data Collection/Recording Methodologies
• Systematic approach for recording loss data,
• Assessment forms tailored to the type of damage and customized
by sector,
• Staff training,
• Strict division of duties,
• Clear documentation,
• Use of new technologies for
damage assessments :
Remote Sensing data
mobile mapping
crowd-sourcing, etc.
(Ajmar et al., 2010)
Gaps and aspirations
18. 1813 January 2015
Framework For Human Impact Loss Indicators
Need for clear and unambiguous definitions for human losses
Main fields Definitions
Killed
Missing
Injured/disease/in need of medical assistance
EARLY WARNING RESPONSE CAPACITY RECOVERY
Pre-event Sheltered by emergency services Permanently homeless
Post-event Sheltered by private arrangements Temporarily homeless
Relocated Not homeless
Without shelter
Isolated
Increasingpriorityofneeds
DIRECTLYAFFECTED
primarylevelbyECLAC
INDIRECTLY
AFFECTED
Evacuated
People that are removed from
a place of danger to a safer
place. Breaking down that field
is related to the management
of different disaster phases.
People that suffer physical damage of infrastructure which threatens their basic livelihood conditions (limited access
to water, food, electricity, ….) but they have not been evacuated
PEOPLEINNEED
Tertiary level - outside affected area (by ECLAC)
Fatalities
Victims
Secondary level - within affected area (by ECLAC)
Breaking down the fields
(general options: by gender, by age, by vulnerable groups, ...)
People that are in need of immediate medical assistance as a direct result of the disaster
People that suffer of a disaster's indirect effects (e.g., loss of flow, deficiencies in public service)
People that suffer physical damage of their property but are not in need
Total mortality
1. level 2. level 3. level
Similar to direct and
indirect losses
(ECLAC)
• Rule of priority of needs
• Temporal component
Specific requirements of
different disaster stages
… of disaggregation
Disaggregation/
summation
Gaps and aspirations
19. 19
Framework For Damage/Economic Loss Indicators
Direct tangible losses in national currency
Tangible Intangible
Direct
loss/damage
Physical damage to property
converted to monetary value
People
directly affected
Cultural heritage
Natural environment
Indirect loss Loss of flow
People
indirectly affected
Loss of future usage
(agriculture, forestry, tourism, ...)
Total loss Economic loss Affected people
Economic loss/number-size of
assets
Common
denominator
Monetary value Number of persons -
ECLAC
Direct losses
Gaps and aspirations
21. 2113 January 2015
Guidelines
Loss data sharing among Member States and with the EU
• Publicly accessible and interoperable national loss databases are
encouraged to allow for easy data exchange and information
sharing between different systems (e.g. the Shared
Environmental Information System (SEIS), EU open data portal)
• For better understanding the trans-boundary effects of disasters
• For a better comparison of progress towards increased resilience
across countries
• For a common EU framework that allows monitoring of progress
in the Post-2015 Framework for DRR
22. 2213 January 2015
Data model
Loss
accounting
Data-sharing
HFA-2
DesInventar
Hazard event identification
Geographical location
National unit (NUTS1)
Subnational units (NUTS2) To be
defined
by the
MS
Subnational units (NUTS3)
Lat/Lon (points, footprints)
Temporal information
Year
Duration (in days)
Month (beginning/ending)
Event type specific attributes
Severity key data
Reference to external
database
Hazard event ID
Hazard event classification
(Main
event)
Affected elements
Geographical location
Subnational units
Data model
Loss
accounting
Data-sharing
HFA-2
DesInventar
Loss Indicators
Directly affected population
Killed
Missing
Evacuated
Isolated
Victims
Direct damage/loss
Physical damage
Direct economic loss
(Total
% of
GDP)
Sector
(Total)
Owner (private, business,
public, etc.)
(Total)
Who bears the loss
(Total)
Quality assurance
Sources
Data collection
methodology
Data recording
methodology
Guidelines Minimum Requirements
23. Guidelines
2313 January 2015
Totals per ownership
Insurer
Individual
Business
NGO
Government
Totals over all sectors
sectors
Social sector • Residential
• Education/research
• Culture/recreation
• Health sector
• Public administration
Infrastructure • Energy
• Drinking water and sanitation
• Transport
• Communication
Economic sector • Agriculture/forestry
• Trade/industry
• Tourism
Other • Clean-up costs
• Emergency relief costs
Possible divisions of sectors
Minimum requirements
For Loss data sharing
24. 2413 January 2015
RECOMMENDATIONS
Data collection at Local level
• Engage municipalities and civil protection
Building a process at National level
• Considering the best practices in Member States and
the presented guidelines
Design of an advanced IT system
• Including a data model linked to other government
databases
• Expand with GIS platforms
25. 2513 January 2015
RECOMMENDATIONS
Supporting legislation and active
involvement of local governments
• Political commitment
• Dedicated budget for loss databases
Encouraging PuP and PPP
• Ensure participation and ownership of all stakeholders
Information sharing
• Data-sharing of summary or aggregated statistics
• Open and interoperable databases