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GLOBAL FORUM ON THE ENVIRONMENT
AND CLIMATE CHANGE, 4 JUNE 2020
A SUSTAINABLE RECOVERY –
THE BUILDING BLOCKS
Dr Simon Buckle
Head of Climate, Biodiversity and Water Division
Environment Directorate, OECD
ECONOMIC AND FINANCIAL CRISIS:
Projections and latest G20 trade data
G20 international merchandise trade
% change qoq (s.a.)
Source: OECD
Change in activity by sector during
confinement affecting all but key
workers
Source: Le Quéré, Corinne, et al. "Temporary reduction in daily global CO2 emissions during the
COVID-19 forced confinement." Nature Climate Change (2020): 1-7.
Change in global daily fossil CO2
emissions by sector (MtCO2 d−1)
At the same time, major risks continue to grow….
Atmospheric concentrations of carbon
dioxide continue to grow rapidly, despite
a sharp fall in emission rates
The global rate of species extinction is already at
least tens to hundreds of times higher than the
average rate over the past 10 million years and is
accelerating.. IPBES (2019)
Photo thanks to Aslihan Gedik
and Wild@life
“SARS, Ebola, HIV,
Monkeypox, Marburg, Bubonic
Plague, MERS, Influenza,
COVID-19 & many other
highly contagious diseases
are closely linked to bushmeat
& wet markets where wild,
farm & domestic animals are
sold alive & slaughtered on
the spot for human
consumption.”
Source: Wild@life
Policy responses to consequences
of containment measures
• Actions: income support, bailouts,
fiscal and monetary stimulus
• Actors: governments, CBs, DFIs
and IFIs (IMF, WBG)
Policy
response to
health crisis
• Travel
restrictions
• Confinement &
closures
Demand
and supply
shock
• Financial stress on companies
• Unemployment, loss of income
and consumption
• Fall in remittances
• Commodity prices
Liquidity
and risk
• Capital outflows
• Equities, asset prices
• Refinancing costs
• Trade finance
The transmission channel and policy response
6 Climate Change Expert Group
Long-term strategies and NDCs
Long-term climate mitigation strategies represent an opportunity for
countries to identify and set a long-term vision and/or target that allows for
the deep, economy-wide transformations needed to achieve a low-
emissions development.
LT-LEDS
(Art. 4.19 of PA)
Other long-term
strategies
Climate/Carbon
Neutrality goals
NDC
process
Voluntary
Mandatory UNFCCC
Context
Outside of
UNFCCC
Context
7
Accelerating
climate action
By systematically
capturing multiple benefits
and managing trade-offs,
a well-being approach
can increase the case for
low-emissions solutions
that align multiple goals
and combine action
across different sectors
and scales of action
Policy
Integrate climate-action
into recovery
Focus on climate and
income, jobs, housing,
inequality and quality of
life (e.g. health)
Align near-term actions
with long-term
strategies, reinforce
NDCs before COP26
Cross-government
approach
Avoid further lock-in of
emissions
Public spending
Emergency support &
recovery aligns with
climate goals
Constraints on public
finances in medium-
term increase need for
blended finance
Tax emissions not jobs;
reform FF subsidies
Conditionality on
support for carbon-
intensive industries
Transparency &
accountability – green &
sustainable budgeting
Investment
Restore macro-stability,
strengthen resilience
Climate policy certainty
and carbon price
Capital intensity, low
marginal costs of RE
Use risk-mitigants to
mobilise private finance
Green not just grey
infrastructures
Use emerging
taxonomies to select
investments and shape
support
Systemic change
Change from mobility to
accessibility, limit private
vehicles, redesign cities
Large-scale “deep”
retrofits (e.g. passive
house design)
Embed positive
behavioural changes
(e.g. teleworking)
Upgrade skills for digital,
low-carbon economy
Resilience, Nature based
Solutions & land
restoration
Implications for climate action?
Thank you!
https://www.oecd-ilibrary.org/environment/accelerating-climate-action_2f4c8c9a-en
By better capturing multiple
benefits, a well-being approach
can make a stronger case for
implementing and funding
solutions that align multiple goals
and combine different scales of
action.

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CCXG Forum, June 2020, Simon Buckle

  • 1. GLOBAL FORUM ON THE ENVIRONMENT AND CLIMATE CHANGE, 4 JUNE 2020 A SUSTAINABLE RECOVERY – THE BUILDING BLOCKS Dr Simon Buckle Head of Climate, Biodiversity and Water Division Environment Directorate, OECD
  • 2. ECONOMIC AND FINANCIAL CRISIS: Projections and latest G20 trade data G20 international merchandise trade % change qoq (s.a.) Source: OECD
  • 3. Change in activity by sector during confinement affecting all but key workers Source: Le Quéré, Corinne, et al. "Temporary reduction in daily global CO2 emissions during the COVID-19 forced confinement." Nature Climate Change (2020): 1-7. Change in global daily fossil CO2 emissions by sector (MtCO2 d−1)
  • 4. At the same time, major risks continue to grow…. Atmospheric concentrations of carbon dioxide continue to grow rapidly, despite a sharp fall in emission rates The global rate of species extinction is already at least tens to hundreds of times higher than the average rate over the past 10 million years and is accelerating.. IPBES (2019) Photo thanks to Aslihan Gedik and Wild@life “SARS, Ebola, HIV, Monkeypox, Marburg, Bubonic Plague, MERS, Influenza, COVID-19 & many other highly contagious diseases are closely linked to bushmeat & wet markets where wild, farm & domestic animals are sold alive & slaughtered on the spot for human consumption.” Source: Wild@life
  • 5. Policy responses to consequences of containment measures • Actions: income support, bailouts, fiscal and monetary stimulus • Actors: governments, CBs, DFIs and IFIs (IMF, WBG) Policy response to health crisis • Travel restrictions • Confinement & closures Demand and supply shock • Financial stress on companies • Unemployment, loss of income and consumption • Fall in remittances • Commodity prices Liquidity and risk • Capital outflows • Equities, asset prices • Refinancing costs • Trade finance The transmission channel and policy response
  • 6. 6 Climate Change Expert Group Long-term strategies and NDCs Long-term climate mitigation strategies represent an opportunity for countries to identify and set a long-term vision and/or target that allows for the deep, economy-wide transformations needed to achieve a low- emissions development. LT-LEDS (Art. 4.19 of PA) Other long-term strategies Climate/Carbon Neutrality goals NDC process Voluntary Mandatory UNFCCC Context Outside of UNFCCC Context
  • 7. 7 Accelerating climate action By systematically capturing multiple benefits and managing trade-offs, a well-being approach can increase the case for low-emissions solutions that align multiple goals and combine action across different sectors and scales of action
  • 8. Policy Integrate climate-action into recovery Focus on climate and income, jobs, housing, inequality and quality of life (e.g. health) Align near-term actions with long-term strategies, reinforce NDCs before COP26 Cross-government approach Avoid further lock-in of emissions Public spending Emergency support & recovery aligns with climate goals Constraints on public finances in medium- term increase need for blended finance Tax emissions not jobs; reform FF subsidies Conditionality on support for carbon- intensive industries Transparency & accountability – green & sustainable budgeting Investment Restore macro-stability, strengthen resilience Climate policy certainty and carbon price Capital intensity, low marginal costs of RE Use risk-mitigants to mobilise private finance Green not just grey infrastructures Use emerging taxonomies to select investments and shape support Systemic change Change from mobility to accessibility, limit private vehicles, redesign cities Large-scale “deep” retrofits (e.g. passive house design) Embed positive behavioural changes (e.g. teleworking) Upgrade skills for digital, low-carbon economy Resilience, Nature based Solutions & land restoration Implications for climate action?
  • 9. Thank you! https://www.oecd-ilibrary.org/environment/accelerating-climate-action_2f4c8c9a-en By better capturing multiple benefits, a well-being approach can make a stronger case for implementing and funding solutions that align multiple goals and combine different scales of action.