Presentation given by OW2 CEO Cédric Thomas as introduction of the Open Source Community Summit.

1. Cedric Thomas, 2019
On FOSS Models and Upcoming Challenges
Cedric Thomas, OW2 CEO
Paris Open Source Summit
Paris December 10, 2019

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Non-Profit Open Source Organization
European and Global
Governance Members Code Base
Community Activities

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7. 72019 Cedric Thomashttps://pixabay.com/fr/cadre-cadre-photo-remplage-1534814/

8. 8Cedric Thomas, 2019
DeveloperDeveloper EntrepreneurEntrepreneur EcosystemEcosystem IndustryIndustry
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Opportunistic disruption
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Organic response
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Strategic commoditization
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Collaborative innovation
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Concentration
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Expansion
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Individualistic intention
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Ethical sharing
Combined
Proprietary & OSS
Innovation
OSS Innovation
Proprietary Innovation

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Uncontrolled Reuse 80 to 90% of an application is composed of
components
Recent failure: leftpad, equifax, evenstream
FUD from compliance and vulnerability war
stories may slow adoption
Way forward:
Automatic license management (SPDX)
Development best practices (OpenChain)
Advanced dependency management
(FASTEN)
Source: Sonatype, DevSecOps Comunity Survey, 2018
Original
code

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SaaS vs OSS OSS
Value proposition
= functional code +
freedom
OSS four
freedoms based on
access to code
Users bring in their
technology efforts
Users receive free
code and community
support
Labour intensive
SaaS
Value proposition
= consumable
service
Access to code
not part of the deal
Users register and
provide data. Usage
data is collected
Users settle their on-
demand billings
Capital intensive
Capital
Labour
Code Service
GNU Logo:https://www.gnu.org/graphics/gnu-30.html
Programmer
Datacenter

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IA and OSS Conventional
programming
Input x Program
→ Output
Knowledge is in
the program
Program quality is
important
Developer is central
to the creation process
Machine learning
programming
Input x Output →
Program
Knowledge is is
the data
Data quality is
important
Developer is lateral
to the creation process
Prof. Vogelsang, TU Berlin, 2nd Hamburg Requirements Engineering Symposium

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IoT and Verticalisation Beyond enterprise software
Pervasiveness of the open source model
Propagated with the software defined
everything paradigm in IoT, Telco, etc.
Diversity and fragmentation
Reduced mutualisation across silos
Proprietary implementations

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Deviations Opportunistic
Foundations
Open innovation
vs open source
innovation:
Market positioning
Technology
ecosystems
Information
sharing
“Market power
over Community”
https://fr.wikipedia.org/wiki/Les_Tricheurs_(Le_Caravage)#/media/Fichier:Cardsharps-Caravaggio_(c.1597).jpg
Code usage control
Deviations from
fundamental OSS
freedoms
Variations on
licenses
Re free riders
Variations on code
usage intentions
Code = law?

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Free Riders A tragedy of the commons
Consumer attitude drains the ecosystem
OSS maintainer burnout
OSS vendors struggling
How to reconnect users with develop
communities?
Supply-push + Demand-pull
The role of the Open Source Programme
Office (OSPO)
Compliance → Vulnerability
OSS ecosystem engagement

15. 15Cedric Thomas, 2019
OSS Innovation Reflects Market
Structure
Can EU SW industry envision extraordinary
profits and monopoly positions?
Outsider in SW industry → Outsider in next
market (platforms, AI, etc.)
Open source software is an avatar of
proprietary software industry.
Dominant positions in global software industry
are reflected in open source.
OSS innovation most efficient choice where no
dominant position is expected.
Proprietary IP innovations only where dominant
positions can be expected.
Source: P. Evans, Global Platform Database, Center for Global Enterpsies, 2015

16. 162019 Cedric Thomas
Won? Really? Healthy and growing market
Average 2015-2020 growth: 11.6%
The bulk of the market is still elsewhere
OSS market penetration rate goes toward 14%
A monetization issue?
But mostly invisible for conventional investors
OSS-centric vision of the world
Fish don’t know they’re in water2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Open Source Software and Services Market in Europe
OW2 estimates based on published data by PAC and Gartner

17. 172019 Cedric Thomas
The 1% Industry? Multi-ecosystem players
Keystone players
e.g. IBM, Microsoft, Cisco, Huawei
Followers
e.g. Orange, Adobe
Single-ecosystem players
Significant investment and commitment in a selected
ecosystem
e.g. Rackspace and Fujitsu in OpenStack, Bosch in
Eclipse, Telefonica in FIware, Yahoo in Apache
Niche players
Contributors (sometimes, temporarily key) and
followers in single-ecosystem strategies
e.g. Mirantis, Docker, Obeo.

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www.ow2.org
For more details please contact Cedric Thomas, OW2 CEO, cedric.thomas@ow2.org
Q&A
Feedback
Complements
Disagreements
etc.
Thank You