The biggest force for social change since the first industrial revolution has been adjusting to, and taking advantage of, the new and accelerating capabilities of our advancing technologies. And in our entire history, the dominant technology driver has been silicon-based electronics. It has prompted revolutions in Computing, Telecoms, Automation, AI, and Robotics that radically changed the human condition. Today, that same exponential revolution is accelerating us into Industry 4.0 and onto Industry 5.0. The consequential transformation of medicine, industrial design and production, farming, food, processing, supply and demand has seen living standards improve and life expectancy widen. Many of our institutions have also seen tech-driven transformations in line with industry. If there has been a down-side to this progression, it has been our inability to transform the workforce ahead of new demands. Unemployment has persisted whilst reeducation and retraining have been on the back foot, whilst, the net creation of new jobs has always exceeded the demise of the old. As a result, leading countries in the first world now have labour shortages at all levels right across the spectrum. Recently, COVID-19 has demonstrated that we have the technology and we can rapidly reorganise and change society if we have to. So in this presentation, we examine ‘the force functions’ and changes engineered to date, and then peer over the horizon to sample what is to come in terms of technologies and working practices…

1. N
The
f U T U R E
WorkSCAPE
TEC
Professor Peter Cochrane OB
E
https://petercochrane.com
“The influence of new technologies on trajectories of work”

2. Mechanisatio
n
Steam Powe
r
Weaving Looms
Cyber Physica
l
Nano-Bio Tec
h
AI, Robotics, IoT
Mass Productio
n
Assembly Lin
e
Electric Power
Automatio
n
Compute
r
Control
Water Power
T H E F O R C E
F U N C T I O N
INDUSTRY 5.0
Smart Material
s
Programme
d
Form & Functio
n
Evolvin
g
Sentien
t
Living
?
Acceleratin
g
Huma
n
Progress
Sentient/Evolutionar
y
Intelligent/Adaptabl
e
Electronic
Mechatroni
c
Electro-Mechanica
l
Mechanical

3. BIO-TECH nano-TECH
AI
Robotics
An Eco-System of fixed/mobile,
wired and wireless things…
IoT
Envelope
Orchestrating the life cycle of all
materials; the production, supply,
support, through reuse, repurpose,
recycling…all at very high efficiency
DRIVING FORCE
I 4 . 0 : K e r n e l
New materials, sciences, technology,
engineering, automation, robotics,
and intelligences…
Hot
Spot

4. Q u a n t u m
Computing
Analogue not digital
Probabalistic not deterministic
Require cryogenics & digital control
Need digital computing to confirm results
We will never fully understand chemistry,
biology, physics, life, intelligence, weather
systems et al sans Quantum Computers!
This is on the horizon
- but~5,~10,~15 years
in the future?
“The universe is not a simple linear place. It is governed by quantum
mechanics to its core - ie complexity & non-linearity rule”
Peter Cochrane 2002

5. A S O C I E Ta l
Perspective
Many of our institutions grew
from the needs of a ‘slow to
change world’ of disconnected
people, things and companies
New Styles
New Locations
New Technologies
New Methodologies
….we have repeatedly sought
and adopted in relatively short times!
Changes in technology, the
workspace, home, and
society can only accelerate!

6. PRIMARY DRIVER
SO VERY FAST!
From no PC to a super computer in every
pocket (in < a human lifetime!) accelerating
all industries, institutions, and disciplines
iPhone 13
20Bn Transistors
730GFlops
Same performance as a
1997 supercomputer

7. C O N N EC T E D
EVERYTHING
A sociology of things is gradually emerging

8. From no PC to a super computer in
every pocket in < a human lifetime!
https://www.statista.com/chart/17727/global-data-creation-forecasts/
Exponential
E VE R Y T H I N G
Data overload is now a
disabling epidemic for
all professionals…
“From no PC to a super
computer in every pocket
in < a human lifetime”

9. In < 2 weeks the much debated and
decided impracticable/impossible
became the new norm!
New Styles
New Modes
New Locations
New Technologies
New Methodologies
New Working Practices
….were accepted & adopted!
BIGGEST EVER
CHANGE AGENT

10. > 40 YEARS of
B l a h , b l a h …

11. From Do It For Me to DIY; Of
fl
ine to
Online; Your Data to My Data; We Control
to You Decide…in < 2 weeks/years
New Styles
New Locations
New Technologies
New Methodologies
….were accepted & adopted!
HEALTHCARE
STREAMLINED

12. D I F M t o D I Y
H E A LT H C A R E
From Do It For Me to DIY;
Of
fl
ine to Online; Your Data
to My Data; We Control to
You Decide…in < 2 weeks
Temperature
Blood Pressure
Blood Glucose
Sample kits
Online +++
….all accepted & now expected
Domestic low cost monitoring
devices, wearables, and test
packs in the mail,
video conference
consultations,
self medication
+++

13. ATTITUDE
What you do
NOT
Somewhere you go!
EDUCATION
DISPERSED
Student free universities, with
everyone needing broadband
access, their own PC/Laptop/
Tablet… and skills

14. What you do
NOT
Somewhere you go!
EDUCATION
A T H O M E
Every child and teacher need good
broadband access, their own PC/
Laptop/Tablet…
In the UK there was
a national scheme
for donations of ££
and old/unused
devices + online
volunteer tutors

15. ATTITUDE
What you do
NOT
Somewhere you go!
A b a n d o n e d
O f f i c e s &
B U I L D I N G S
London footfall still <35% and people
are very reluctant to return…

16. W O R K I N G
New methods and
new styles…

17. O U TC O M E S
Zero Footfall: Crashed the
service industry, accelerated on-line
sales, trading, entertainment , gambling, food,
goods buying and the logistics of home deliveries
+++

18. REALISATION
WORK is what you do
NOT
Somewhere you go!

19. Work is not a 9 to 5
activity, it is more a
c o m p o n e n t o f a n
integrated lifestyle
REALISATION

20. ATTITUDE
What you do
NOT
Somewhere you go!
My OS
MY Apps
My Cloud
MY Software
MY D e v i c e s
REALISATION
Personal and NOT Corporate,
Institutional or Educational!
Personal
P
e
r
s
o
n
a
l

21. D E F I N I N G
PERSONAL
You keep (your tech) close & you don’t share it
with anyone - it is where you live and work!

22. Its no longer about age
and retirement, it is about
need, ability, contribution,
and a mindset that says I
can, so I will… we have a
skills gap and a big people
shortage across the planet…
REALISATION

23. “You gotta be joking”
I’m not an automaton…
I suggest you employ
a robot!
Attitudes

24. ATTITUDE
What you do
NOT
Somewhere you go!
“I don’t want a job, I want a project !
If it’s boring and I’m not learning,
challenged, excited…then I’m not
hanging around”!
Attitudes

25. A V E R Y B I G
REALISATION
We are continually short of people because
new technologies create more jobs than they
destroy!
Don’t retire, retrain!
Don’t take just any job, go for what you enjoy
Don’t think that education is for life - it is continuous
Be prepared to resell, adopt, adapt and move fast!
Serial job changers are becoming the new norm
IT IS A SELLERS MARKET !

26. Cities are seeing resistance to
a return to the old ways and
…a real estate crisis might
just be looming!
GOING BACK MAY
BE IMPOSSIBLE!

27. What you do
NOT
Somewhere you go!
Technology induced change is like a ratchet
- it only goes one way!
No Going Back?
“Societies advance
at a pace dictated
by their willingness to
adopt the new, and not
their ability to discover,
invent, and innovate”

28. T E C H N O L O G Y
EVOLUTION OR
REVOLUTION ?
Evolution offers the best
RoI; least OPEX, APEX; and
minimises disruption to the
organisation whilst also
minimising operational risk
Failure
Cure
Revolution
Steps
Evolution
Continuum
Success
Index
“Digitalisation is a good
example of how not to
do it”
“Management must have
been asleep at the wheel”

29. SURVIVAL
Not the Fittest
Not the Biggest
Not the Strongest
Not the most Intelligent
The most Adaptable survive and prosper
‘With apologies to Charles Darwin for
modifying his actual words to fit our case’

30. A N E W A G E O F
AUGME NTATION
AI, AR, VR, IoT, QC
Industry 4.0/5.0
Networks
Robotics
Sensors
IoT= Internet of Things
AI = Arti
fi
cial Intelligence
AR = Augmented Reality
VR = Virtual Reality
QC = Quantum Computing
Pure Logic
&
Intuition
Bonded

31. PARTNERS
T O C O M E
AI & Robotics are
with us already…
soon they will
be as one…
autonomous
agents of a
new world…
Not thinking /
doing as humans,
but affording a
different / much
needed
perspective !

32. R o b o t s P r o d u c e
almost everything

33. R o b o t I C
D E L I V E R Y

34. R o B O T i c
S O R T E R S

35. E F F E C T I v e N E S S
BOOST - RADIOLOGISTS

36. THE RIGHT STUFF
AND JOB Losses

37. PREDICTIONS
& FORECASTS
Technology: Relatively easy to say what & when
Market: Adoption time & volume much harder
People: Demand & usage pretty much impossible
Never utter the following:
“But there is no proven demand”
lest you wish to be thought a fool!

38. M I N D S E T
C H A N G E S
“I never let my education interfere with my learning”
Mark Twain 1835 - 1910

39. s e g u e : s i m p l e m i n d e d
Climate
State
Good
Stable
Bad
Unstable
Average
Temperature
State 1
State 2
Tundra Methane Release
Amazon Destruction
Ocean Temp Rise
CO2 Forest Fires
Ice Melt CO2
Pollution
++++

40. s e g u e : S I M P L E i l l u s i o n
Simpl
e
Linear
Problems
Har
d
Linear
Problems
Nast
y
Problems
“Where, and how, we are educated
affords the illusion of a largely linear
and well behaved universe that can be
well characterised mathematically and
modelled by computer programs”

41. s e g u e : C O M P L E X r e a l i t y
Har
d
Non-Linear
Problems
Linea
r
Problems
“But, the universe is a fundamentally
complex and non-linear place where
the illusion of simplicity is transitory
and short lived - and we face many
problems beyond our human and
digital computing abilities”
Nast
y
Non-Linear
Problems

42. “The universe and all therein are fundamentally non-linear, but we are
limited linear thinkers ”
Peter Cochrane
M I N D S E T s w i l l
h av e T O C H A N G E
“We have no general mathematical or systems modelling methods or
frameworks to call upon; and therefore we are wholly dependent upon
computers and AI”
Peter Cochrane

43. I N S T A N T A R
E D U C A T I O N

44. I N S T A N T A R
T R A I N I N G

45. E X P O N E N T I A L
E D U C A T I O N

46. R o b o t s P r o d u c e
almost everything
C Y B O R G
S o c i e t y

47. c o n n e c t e d
C Y B O R G S
& M a c h i n e s
This is but one small step
toward directly connecting
man and machine as one

48. A I C R E AT I V I T Y
Rocket Engine
Designed by AI
Printed by Robot

49. A I C R E AT I V I T Y
Designed by AI
Printed by Robots
Doing More With Less
Energy, Materials, Waste,
Shipping, and Time
To Realise Better
Performance
Resilience
Reliability
Reuse
Recovery
Recycling

50. H O L O G R A P H I C
P R E S E N C E

51. PARTNERSHIP
Novel Problem Solution
Combinatorially Simple
Low Volume Accuracy
Emotional Intelligence
Intuitive Deductions
Limited Networking
_ _ _ _ _ _ _
Frequent/Repetitive Tasks
Combinatorially Complex
High Volume Precision
Pattern Recognition
Logical Deductions
Vast Networking
+++++++

52. What you do
NOT
Somewhere you go!
TECHnology ADVANCE
D E s T R O Y S o l d J O B S
Lost in my lifetime:
Typists
Dockers
Milkman
Blacksmith
Secretaries
Drawing Of
fi
ce
Xerox Operator
Elevator Operator
Computer Operator
Telephone Operator
Comptometer Operator
Financial Report writers ++++
Losses yet to come:
Testers
Tasters
Analysts
Advisors
Educators
Reporters
Strategists
Call Centres
Report Writers
Personal Bankers
Personal Assistants
Answering Services
Investment bankers
Warehouse People
Personal Assistant
Tech Support
Stock Trader
Receptionist
Forecasters
Train Driver
Researcher
Journalist
Drivers
Pilots
++++

53. What you do
NOT
Somewhere you go!
Jobs to come:
Material Programmer
Recycling Designers
Interface Designers
Machine Mediators
Wisdom Archivists
Genome Designer
Material Designer
Wisdom Monitors
Trouble Shooters
Robot Designer
s
Nano-Engineers
Bio-Engineer
s
++++
AI Designers
3D Designer
Risk Pro
fi
lers
Cyborg Engineer
Protein Designer
Crime Predictor
Digital Historian
Information Caretaker
Truth Engine Mediator
N-D geometry Analyst
Component Repurpose
r
Genome-Protein Activator
s
++++
Jobs to be enhanced:
Leader
Mento
r
Fabricato
r
Geneticis
t
Generalis
t
Proteomis
t
Multi-Designe
r
Problem Solvers
Longevity Adviso
r
Big Data Analys
t
Small Data Analys
t
Cellular Programme
r
Material programme
Complexity Analys
t
Security Exper
t
Entrepreneur
s
Technologist
s
Educationalis
t
Consultant
s
Architect
s
Detective
s
Designer
s
Engineer
s
Modeller
s
Scientist
s
Medic
s
++++
T E C H c r e a t e d
& / o r e n h a n c e d

54. • Old technologies cannot sustain todays population ~8Bn
• Industries of the past cannot realise sustainable futures
• Yesterdays management practices need updating
• Our economic models/frameworks are inadequate
• Ancient political models are unfit for purpose
N O G O I N G B A C K
The arrow of technology goes one way

55. B I G H I D D E N
CHALLENGES
“In a world of in creativity and transient specialisms - the generalist will be king”
Time, energy, complexity, knowledge, resources,
capability and the stamina of the human brain and
body are prime limiters to progress - the 5 day, 9 to
5 working week is long gone - and we need help!
- International organisations with of
fi
ces around the planet never sleep
- Complex creativity and problem solving have no time schedule
- Resources (technical & people) may not be available 24 x 7
- Team dispersion and video calls are creativity limiting
- Time availability for keeping up to date is tight
- Continuous education/up is a challenge
- The machines might just save us ?

56. B I G H I D D E N
CHALLENGES
“In a world of in creativity and transient specialisms - the generalist will be king”
Time, energy, complexity, knowledge, resources,
capability and the stamina of the human brain and
body are prime limiters to progress - the 5 day, 9 to
5 working week is long gone - and we need help!
- International organisations with of
fi
ces around the planet never sleep
- Complex creativity and problem solving have no time schedule
- Resources (technical & people) may not be available 24 x 7
- Team dispersion and video calls are creativity limiting
- Time availability for keeping up to date is tight
- Continuous education/up is a challenge
- The machines might just save us ?
A
P
o
s
s
i b
l e
s
t
a
r
t
i n
g
p
o
i n
t
f
o
r
T
H
E
C
F
o
W
?
!

57. ATTITUDE
What you do
NOT
Somewhere you go!
A NEW BREED
I come ready and capable - so
I don’t need an ITC blended
learning course!
And by the way I am my own
support…and this kit is mine!
NOW where are the robots….
J u s t l e t m e a t i t !

58. Robots and Humans
have a lot to learn from
each other
P O R T E N T /
M Y G U E SS

59. IT REALLY IS
U P T O U S !
Thank You
https://petercochrane.com