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RESEARCH DESIGN
Intervention/ Experimental Design
Prabesh Ghimire
Interventional Research
• Studies in which investigator assigns the exposure
• Often used to determine the effectiveness of an intervention or
effectiveness of a health service delivery.
• Can also be used to establish the safety, cost-effectiveness and
acceptability of an intervention.
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 2
Types
• Pre-Experimental
• Quasi-Experimental
• True Experimental
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 3
Before we begin…
Experimental designs involve:
• Groups: Intervention and Control
• One-group design: only intervention group, no controls
• Two-group design: both intervention group and control group
• Four-groups design
• Tests/Assessments: Pre-test and Post-test
• Post-test only design
• Pre-test post-test design
• Randomization: Randomized and Non-randomized
• Equivalent design: groups are randomly allocated
• Non-equivalent design: groups are not allocated randomly
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 4
Before we begin…
Baseline/ Pre-test Intervention Endline/Post-test
Intervention Group
(I1)
X Intervention Group
(I2)
Control Group (C1) Control Group (C2)
Randomization
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 5
Before we begin…
Understanding the notations used in this presentation:
• I1 – Pre-test in the intervention group
• I2 – Post-test in the intervention group
• C1 – Pre-test in the control group
• C2 – Post-test in the control group
• X – Intervention
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 6
Pre-Experimental Study Design
• In a pre-experiment, either a single group or multiple groups are
observed subsequent to some agent or treatment presumed to
cause change.
• Pre-experimental designs either fail to include a pretest, a
control or comparison group, or both
• In addition, no randomization procedures are used to control for
extraneous variables.
• When true experiments and quasi-experiments are not possible,
researchers may turn to a pre-experimental design
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 7
Pre-Experimental Study Design
• Useful in cases where a researcher cannot control or predict
whether, when, or how the stimulus is administered, as in the case of
natural disasters (chemical poisoning, earthquake)
• They are considered “pre-,” indicating they are preparatory or
prerequisite to true experimental designs.
• Often, researchers want to see if their interventions will have an effect on a
small group of people before they seek funding and dedicate time to conduct
a true experiment.
• Usually conducted as a first step towards establishing the evidence
for or against an intervention.
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 8
Types of Pre-Experimental Design
1. One-Shot Case Study (One group post-test design)
2. Static Group Comparison (Post-test only non-equivalent
group design)
3. One-group pre-test/ post-test design
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 9
Types of Pre-Experimental Design
1. One-Shot Case Study (Ex post facto design)
• One group only post-test design
• A single group of people is measured on some dependent variable after
intervention has taken place.
• A group is administered a covid-19 vaccine and then followed up for
certain period to check if they present a COVID infection.
• Useful in cases where the administration of the stimulus is quite costly or
otherwise not possible (example disaster)
• In this instance, no pretest is administered, nor is a control group present.
X  O2
(Intervention) (Post-Test)
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 10
Types of Pre-Experimental Design
1. One-Shot Case Study
• In the study of the impact of earthquake (natural intervention),
• Researcher using this design would test the impact of earthquake only among
a community that was hit by earthquake
• Would not seek a comparison group from a community that did not
experience the earthquake.
I1  X  I2 (earthquake hit)
(No pre-test) (Earthquake) (Post-Test)
• Researchers using a one-shot case study design must be extremely
cautious when making claims about the effect of the stimulus,
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 11
Types of Pre-Experimental Design
2. Static Group Comparison (Post-test only non-equivalent group design)
• In the study of the impact of earthquake, researcher using this
design
• Identifies an experimental group from a community that experienced the
earthquake; and
• Control group from a similar community that had not been hit by the
earthquake
I1  X  I2 (hit by earthquake)
C1   C2 (not hit by earthquake)
(No pre-test) (Earthquake) (Post-Test)
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 12
Types of Pre-Experimental Design
3. Static Group Comparison
• Has the advantage of including a comparison group that did not
experience the stimulus (earthquake)
• It is difficult to be sure that the groups are truly comparable
because the experimental and control groups were determined
by factors other than random assignment.
• The design would only allow for posttests
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 13
Types of Pre-Experimental Design
3. One-group pre-test/ post-test design
• Research designs in which
• a single group of research participants or subjects is pretested,
• given some treatment/ intervention,
• then post-tested.
• In this instance, pre- and posttests are both taken, but there is no
control group to compare the experimental group to.
I1 (Pre-test)  X  I2 (vaccinated)- Post-test
C1 (No pre-test)   C2 (no control/ no post-test)
(COVID Vaccine)
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 14
Types of Pre-Experimental Design
3. One-group pre-test/ post-test design
• If the pretest and posttest scores differ significantly, then the
difference may be attributed to the intervention.
• But because the research design is not strictly experimental and
there is no control group, this inference is uncertain,
• Useful when
• a researcher cannot identify a sample that is large enough to split into
control and experimental groups
• Researcher do not have access to a control group
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 15
Pre-Experimental Study Design
Strengths
• Pre-experiments can be a cost-effective way to discern whether
a potential explanation is worthy of further investigation.
• Useful in cases where a researcher cannot control or predict
whether, when, or how the stimulus is administered, as in the
case of natural disasters
Limitations
• Subject to numerous threats to their validity.
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 16
Quasi-Experimental Design
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 17
Quasi-Experimental Design
• Experimental studies that lack random assignment to
experimental and control groups.
• Useful in the cases where experimental and control groups
already exist. For example:
• a researcher might conduct research at two different agency sites, one
of which receives the intervention and the other does not.
• The researcher does not need to assigned participants to treatment or
comparison groups because the groupings already existed prior to the
study.
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 18
Quasi-Experimental Design
• Quasi-experiments are most likely to be conducted in field settings in
which random assignment is difficult or impossible.
• While this method is more convenient for real-world research, researchers
cannot be sure that the groups are comparable.
• Often used to evaluate the effectiveness of a treatment (psychotherapy) or
an educational intervention.
• Useful tool in situations where true experiments cannot be used for ethical
or practical reasons.
• Example: it would be unethical to randomly provide some people with covid vaccine
but purposely prevent others from receiving it solely for the purpose of research.
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 19
Types of Quasi-Experimental Design
• Pre-test post-test non-equivalent control group design
• Interrupted time series design
• Regression discontinuity analysis
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 20
Types of Quasi-Experimental Design
• Pre-Test Post-test Non-equivalent Control Group Design
Group Baseline/ Pre-
test
Intervention Endline/Post-
test
Intervention
Group
Pre-Test X Post-Test
Control Group Pre-Test Post-Test
No
Randomization
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 21
TIMES SERIES DESIGN
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 22
Time Series Design
• Type of quasi experimental design
• Time series: set of measurements taken at intervals over a
period of time.
• In this design, a series of periodic measurements is taken from
one group of study units, followed by treatment, then another
series of measurements.
• Time Series Design collects data on the same variable at
regular intervals (weeks, months, years, etc.) in the form of
aggregate measures of a population.
• Example: Unemployment rates, accident rates, fatality rate
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 23
Time Series Design
March (T-3) April (T-2) May (T-1) Intervention July (T+1) August (T+2) September
(T+3)
Fatality rate Fatality rate Fatality rate Crackdown Fatality rate Fatality rate Fatality rate
Province March (T-
3)
April (T-2) May (T-1) Interventi
on
July (T+1) August
(T+2)
Septembe
r (T+3)
Lumbini Fatality
rate
Fatality
rate
Fatality
rate
Crackdow
n
Fatality
rate
Fatality
rate
Fatality
rate
Bagmati Fatality
rate
Fatality
rate
Fatality
rate
Fatality
rate
Fatality
rate
Fatality
rate
One group - Interrupted Time Series Design
Interrupted Time Series Design with comparison group
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 24
Time Series Design
Time Series Design are useful for:
• Establishing a baseline measure
• Describing changes over time
• Keeping track of trends
• Forecasting future trends
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 25
• Time series data are nearly always presented in the form of a
chart or graph.
• The horizontal (or x) axis is divided into time intervals
• The vertical (y) axis shows the values of the dependent variable
as they fluctuate over time.
Time Series Design
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 26
Time Series
Design Example
https://open.lib.umn.edu/psychologyresearchmethods/
chapter/7-3-quasi-experimental-research/
• The dependent variable is the number of
student absences per week in a research
methods course.
• The treatment is that the instructor begins
publicly taking attendance each day so that
students know that the instructor is aware of
who is present and who is absent.
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 27
True Experimental Design
• Design used to refer to any randomized experiments
• Carried out with or without a pretest/ baseline on at least 2
randomly assigned subjects.
• For the true experimental design, following criteria should be
met:
• Control group must be present
• A variable that can be manipulated by the researcher (e.g. dose)
• Randomization
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 28
Techniques of random selection and
participant assignment
• Referring to a random number table
• Computer generated random number
• Coin tossing
• Shuffling cards or envelopes
• Throwing dice
• Sequentially numbered drug containers of identical appearance
• Sequentially numbered, opaque, sealed envelopes
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 29
Techniques of random selection and
participant assignment
High risk of bias if
• Sequence generated by odd or even date of birth, day of visit,
etc.
• Allocation by judgment of clinician, participant
• Allocation based on results of laboratory test
• Case record number
• Unsealed or non-opaque envelopes
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 30
Types of True Experimental Design
1. Post-test only control group design
2. Pre-test Post-test control group design
3. Solomon four group design
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 31
Types of True Experimental Design
1. Post-Test Only Control Group Design
• Study participants are randomly selected and assigned to the 2
groups (control and experimental), and only the experimental group
is treated/intervened.
• Neither group is assessed/ pre-tested before intervention
• After close observation, both groups are post-tested, and a
conclusion is drawn from the difference between these group.
I1  X  I2
C1   C2
(No pre-test) (Dexamethasone) (Post-test)
Randomization
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 32
Types of True Experimental Design
2. Pre-Test Post-Test Control Group Design
• Subjects are randomly assigned to the 2 groups
• Both are pre-tested
• Only the intervention group is treated.
• After close observation, both groups are post-tested to measure
the degree of change in each group.
I1  X  I2
C1   C2
(Pre-test) (Dexamethasone) (Post-test)
Randomization
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 33
Types of True Experimental Design
3. Solomon Four Group Design
• In this design, the sample is divided into two treatment groups
and two control groups.
• One treatment group and one control group receive the pretest,
and the other two groups do not.
• This design represents a combination of posttest-only and
pretest-posttest control group design, and is intended to test for
the potential biasing effect of pretest measurement on posttest
measures that tends to occur in pretest-posttest designs but not
in posttest only designs.
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 34
Types of True Experimental Design
3. Solomon Four Group Design
I1 (No pre-test)  X  I2 (Post-test)
C1 (No pre-test)   C2 (Post-test)
I1 (Pre-test)  X  I2 (Post-test)
C1 Pre-test)   C2 (Post-test)
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 35
Assignment
Review each of the following study designs:
• One-shot case study (one-group post-test only design)
• Static group comparison (post-test only, non-equivalent group
design)
• One group pre-test post-test design
• Non-equivalent group, pre-test post-test design
• Post-test only, control group design (equivalent group)
• Pre-test Post-test control group design (non-equivalent group)
• Pre-test post-test control group design
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 36
CLINICAL TRIAL/ RCT
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 37
Clinical Trial
• Research design that studies new tests/therapies and
treatments and evaluates their effects on human health
outcomes.
• The purpose of the clinical trial is assessment of efficacy, safety,
or risk benefit ratio.
• Clinical trials are carefully designed, reviewed and completed,
and need to be approved before they can start.
• Interventions may be prophylactic, therapeutic or diagnostic:
• Novel vaccines, drugs, dietary choices, dietary supplements, medical
devices
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 38
Research Question in Clinical Trial
• Types of questions
• Assessing efficacy of an intervention
• Assessing the effectiveness of an intervention
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 39
Phases in Clinical Trial
• There are 4 phases of biomedical clinical trials:
• Phase I studies usually test new drugs for the first time in a small
group of people to evaluate a safe dosage range and identify side effects.
• Phase II studies test treatments that have been found to be safe in phase I
but now need a larger group of human subjects to monitor for any
adverse effects.
• Phase III studies are conducted on larger populations and in different
regions and countries, and are often the step right before a new
treatment is approved.
• Phase IV studies take place after country approval and there is a need for
further testing in a wide population over a longer timeframe.
Click here for further reading
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 40
Design of Clinical Trial
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 41
Types of Clinical Trial
• Uncontrolled Trials
• Controlled Trials
• Non-randomized controlled trial
• Randomized controlled trial/ Randomized clinical trial
Control arm options in controlled trials
• Placebo concurrent control
• “No treatment” concurrent control
• Active treatment concurrent control
• Dose-comparison concurrent control
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 42
Uncontrolled Trial
• This design incorporates no control arm.
• This design is usually utilized to determine pharmacokinetic
properties of a new drug (Phase 1 trials).
• Uncontrolled trials are known to produce greater mean effect
estimates than a controlled trial, thereby inflating the
expectations from the intervention.
• There is a threat of inherent bias and results are considered
less valid than RCT.
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 43
Uncontrolled Trial
Nair B. (2019). Clinical Trial Designs. Indian dermatology online journal, 10(2), 193–201.
https://doi.org/10.4103/idoj.IDOJ_475_18
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 44
Randomized Controlled Trial
• A part of clinical trial
• In RCTs the patients are randomly assigned to the different
study groups.
• This is intended to ensure that all potential confounding factors
are divided equally among the groups that will later be
compared
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 45
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 46
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 47
Strengths and Limitations
Strengths
• Often provides the strongest evidence in support of cause-effect
relationships
• Basis for clinical and public health policy
• Excellent internal validity; removes validity threats
• Provides precise measures of efficacy and acute toxicity of new
therapies under ideal conditions.
• Because of randomization, measurement of effect size is less
prone to bias.
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 48
Strengths and Limitations
Limitations
• Limited external validity
• Patients with co-morbidity are under-represented in RCTs.
• Have limited ability to detect rare and chronic toxicities, especially
those that occur in patients after the completion of the trial.
• Chances of experimental mortality (attrition) cannot be ruled out.
• Might be costly
• Some research problems cannot be studied using an experiment
because of ethical or technical reasons.
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 49
Types of RCT Designs
• Parallel group trial design
• Cross-over design
• Cluster Randomized Controlled Trial
• Factorial Randomized Controlled Trial
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 50
Parallel Group Trial Design
• Most commonly used study design/ classical RCT
• Study participants are randomized to one of two groups
• The two group, usually comprise an interventional group and a
comparator group, which are followed forward in time.
• The comparator group may receive placebo or standard of care
• After randomization each participant will stay in their assigned
treatment arm throughout the study.
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 51
Parallel Group Trial Design
Group
A
Group
B
Tinmouth A, Hebert P. Interventional trials: an overview of design alternatives. Transfusion. 2007
Apr;47(4):565-7. doi: 10.1111/j.1537-2995.2007.01202.x. PMID: 17381612.
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 52
Parallel Groups
• Multiple concurrent experimental arms
• Different treatments
• Different doses
• Control arms
• Placebo
• Active control (known effective treatment)
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 53
Parallel Group Design
Strengths
• Can be applied to many diseases and allows running
experiments simultaneously in a number of groups, and groups
can be in separate locations.
• Simplest design to plan, implement, analyze, and interpret
Limitations
• People dislike the possibility of receiving placebo, so it could be
a deterrent for them to sign up to participate.
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 54
Cross-Over Design
• This approach randomly assigns participants to one group, who
then “crossover" to another treatment arm during the course of
the trial.
• Uses individual as their own controls
• This means that even if they are initially put into a placebo
group, they will also eventually receive the study drug or
standard of care during the trial.
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 55
Cross-Over Design
Group
A
Group
B
Group
B
Group
A
Tinmouth A, Hebert P. Interventional trials: an overview of design alternatives. Transfusion. 2007
Apr;47(4):565-7. doi: 10.1111/j.1537-2995.2007.01202.x. PMID: 17381612.
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 56
Cross-Over Design
• Patients are assigned to receive two treatments in a random
order.
• Each treatment is given a defined period of time with a washout
period between the two treatments
• The washout period between the two intervention phases is
included to reduce carryover effects from the previous
treatments
• helps researchers determine whether the outcome of the study is due
to the effects of the study drug.
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 57
Cross-Over Design
• In this design, some participants start with drug A and then
switch to drug B (AB sequence) in one trial arm,
• While participants in other trial arm start with drug B and then
switch to drug A (BA sequence).
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 58
Cross-Over Design
Strengths
• Require fewer patients than a parallel study since each patient acts as his or her
own control.
• Minimizes between subject variability
• Ethical- opportunity to receive both treatments
• Best suited to patients with chronic conditions with stable symptoms.
Limitations
• Take longer to complete since patients will receive multiple treatments during the
trial.
• Many patients may withdraw due to longer study period
• Carryover effects from treatments may impact results
• Period effects are likely (progression of disease, dropouts)
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 59
Other Designs
• Factorial Design
• Evaluates different interventions alone and in combination.
• In 2*2 factorial design four groups are compared
• Therapy A
• Therapy B
• Therapy A+B in combination
• No therapy
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 60
Other Designs
• Cluster Design (Cluster RCT)
• Groups or clusters are randomly assigned, not individuals E.g. classes,
hospital wards, quarantine centers, platoons….
• Useful in educational research.
Ward
A
Ward
B
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 61
For further reading
• Tinmouth A, Hebert P. Interventional trials: an overview of design
alternatives. Transfusion. 2007 Apr;47(4):565-7. doi: 10.1111/j.1537-
2995.2007.01202.x. PMID: 17381612.
• Kabisch, M., Ruckes, C., Seibert-Grafe, M., & Blettner, M. (2011).
Randomized controlled trials: part 17 of a series on evaluation of scientific
publications. Deutsches Arzteblatt international, 108(39), 663–668.
https://doi.org/10.3238/arztebl.2011.0663
• Nair B. (2019). Clinical Trial Designs. Indian dermatology online
journal, 10(2), 193–201. https://doi.org/10.4103/idoj.IDOJ_475_18
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 62
Community Trial
• Community trials, also called community intervention studies,
are (mostly preventive) experimental studies with whole
communities (such as cities or states) as experimental units
• Interventions are assigned to all members in each of a number
of communities.
• Carried out “on the ground”.
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 63
COMMUNITY TRIAL
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 64
Community Trial
• Use to measure the effect of community level interventions
• Vaccine effectiveness studies
• Nutritional interventions (micro-nutrient supplementation)
• Educational campaign
• Measures to control vector (Indoor residual spray)
• Prophylaxis
• Subsidies (cash transfers, vouchers)
• Screening
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 65
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 66
Rationale for community trial
• Environmental change may be easier that voluntary behaviour
(cigarette tax vs. stop smoking)
• Some interventions are not selective (e.g. water fluoridation,
IRS)
• Individual randomization may not be feasible because all
members of group are treated same.
• Individual randomization, although feasible, may result in
substantial contamination.
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 67
Community Trial Designs
• Single community
• Before-after: O1 X O2
• Single (interrupted) time series: O1 O2 O3 X O4 O5 O6
• One intervention and one control community
O x O
O O
• One intervention and multiple control communities
• Multiple intervention and control communities
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 68
BLINDING
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 69
Concept of Blinding
• Concealment of group allocation from one or more individuals
involved in a research study
• Most commonly a RCT
• Also called masking
• Blinding is used in combination with randomization to limit the
occurrence of conscious and unconscious bias
• in the conduct of clinical trials (performance bias) and
• interpretation of outcomes (ascertainment bias).
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 70
Concept of Blinding
• This is important because bias can affect recruitment and
allocation, care, attitudes, assessments, etc.
• Minimizes the likelihood of differential treatment or assessments
of outcomes
• Used to ensure the objectivity of trial results
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 71
Whom to Blind?
1. Study Participants
2. Data Collectors and Outcome Assessors
3. Clinicians administering the treatment
4. Data Analyst
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 72
Whom to Blind?
1. Study Participants
• If participants are not blinded, knowledge of group assignment
may affect their behaviour in the trial and their responses to
subjective outcome measures.
• Blinded patients may report symptoms differently from
unblinded patients
• For example, a participant who is aware that he is not receiving
active treatment may be
• less likely to comply with the trial protocol,
• more likely to seek additional treatment outside of the trial and
• more likely to leave the trial without providing outcome data.
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 73
Whom to Blind?
2. Data collectors/ Outcome assessors
• Crucial to ensure unbiased ascertainment of outcomes.
• Helps to reduce detection bias.
• Outcome assessors (study nurses or investigators) who are
aware of the actual treatment may unconsciously or
intentionally alter their assessment.
• Particularly, in case of soft endpoints, e.g. pain blinding of
outcome assessors is important.
• For hard comparators like mortality detection bias is irrelevant
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 74
Whom to Blind?
3. Clinicians administering the treatment
• Blinded clinicians are much less likely to transfer their attitudes
to participants or to provide differential treatment to the active
and placebo groups than are unblinded clinicians
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 75
Whom to Blind?
4. Data analyst
• Bias may also be introduced during the statistical analysis of the
trial through the selective use and reporting of statistical tests.
• This may be a subconscious process spurred by investigators
eager to see a positive result.
• The best method to avoid this potential bias is blinding of the
data analyst until the entire analysis has been completed.
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 76
Biases due to lack of blinding
• Performance bias
• Detection/ bias
• Participant’s expectation bias
• Data analysts
• Observer bias
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 77
Types of Blinding
• Unblinded
• All parties are aware of the treatment the participant receives
• Single blind
• Only the participant is unaware of the treatment they receive
• Double blind
• The participant and the clinicians / data collectors are unaware of the
treatment the participant receives
• Triple blind
• Participant, clinicians and data collectors / outcome assessors / data analysts
are all unaware of the treatment the participant receives
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 78
How to blind?
• Drug trial: matching the placebo in color, taste and dosing
schedule.
• Not informing patients of what group they are in
• Using independent outcome assessors
• Not disclosing allocation to data analysts:
• Example using variable names as GrpA, GrpB instead of EXP & CTRL
groups
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 79
For further reading
• Karanicolas, P. J., Farrokhyar, F., & Bhandari, M. (2010). Practical tips for
surgical research: blinding: who, what, when, why, how?. Canadian journal
of surgery. Journal canadien de chirurgie, 53(5), 345–348.
• Boutron, I., Estellat, C., Guittet, L., Dechartres, A., Sackett, D. L.,
Hróbjartsson, A., & Ravaud, P. (2006). Methods of blinding in reports of
randomized controlled trials assessing pharmacologic treatments: a
systematic review. PLoS medicine, 3(10), e425.
https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pmed.0030425
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 80
THANK YOU
Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 81

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Experimental designs

  • 2. Interventional Research • Studies in which investigator assigns the exposure • Often used to determine the effectiveness of an intervention or effectiveness of a health service delivery. • Can also be used to establish the safety, cost-effectiveness and acceptability of an intervention. Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 2
  • 3. Types • Pre-Experimental • Quasi-Experimental • True Experimental Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 3
  • 4. Before we begin… Experimental designs involve: • Groups: Intervention and Control • One-group design: only intervention group, no controls • Two-group design: both intervention group and control group • Four-groups design • Tests/Assessments: Pre-test and Post-test • Post-test only design • Pre-test post-test design • Randomization: Randomized and Non-randomized • Equivalent design: groups are randomly allocated • Non-equivalent design: groups are not allocated randomly Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 4
  • 5. Before we begin… Baseline/ Pre-test Intervention Endline/Post-test Intervention Group (I1) X Intervention Group (I2) Control Group (C1) Control Group (C2) Randomization Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 5
  • 6. Before we begin… Understanding the notations used in this presentation: • I1 – Pre-test in the intervention group • I2 – Post-test in the intervention group • C1 – Pre-test in the control group • C2 – Post-test in the control group • X – Intervention Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 6
  • 7. Pre-Experimental Study Design • In a pre-experiment, either a single group or multiple groups are observed subsequent to some agent or treatment presumed to cause change. • Pre-experimental designs either fail to include a pretest, a control or comparison group, or both • In addition, no randomization procedures are used to control for extraneous variables. • When true experiments and quasi-experiments are not possible, researchers may turn to a pre-experimental design Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 7
  • 8. Pre-Experimental Study Design • Useful in cases where a researcher cannot control or predict whether, when, or how the stimulus is administered, as in the case of natural disasters (chemical poisoning, earthquake) • They are considered “pre-,” indicating they are preparatory or prerequisite to true experimental designs. • Often, researchers want to see if their interventions will have an effect on a small group of people before they seek funding and dedicate time to conduct a true experiment. • Usually conducted as a first step towards establishing the evidence for or against an intervention. Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 8
  • 9. Types of Pre-Experimental Design 1. One-Shot Case Study (One group post-test design) 2. Static Group Comparison (Post-test only non-equivalent group design) 3. One-group pre-test/ post-test design Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 9
  • 10. Types of Pre-Experimental Design 1. One-Shot Case Study (Ex post facto design) • One group only post-test design • A single group of people is measured on some dependent variable after intervention has taken place. • A group is administered a covid-19 vaccine and then followed up for certain period to check if they present a COVID infection. • Useful in cases where the administration of the stimulus is quite costly or otherwise not possible (example disaster) • In this instance, no pretest is administered, nor is a control group present. X  O2 (Intervention) (Post-Test) Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 10
  • 11. Types of Pre-Experimental Design 1. One-Shot Case Study • In the study of the impact of earthquake (natural intervention), • Researcher using this design would test the impact of earthquake only among a community that was hit by earthquake • Would not seek a comparison group from a community that did not experience the earthquake. I1  X  I2 (earthquake hit) (No pre-test) (Earthquake) (Post-Test) • Researchers using a one-shot case study design must be extremely cautious when making claims about the effect of the stimulus, Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 11
  • 12. Types of Pre-Experimental Design 2. Static Group Comparison (Post-test only non-equivalent group design) • In the study of the impact of earthquake, researcher using this design • Identifies an experimental group from a community that experienced the earthquake; and • Control group from a similar community that had not been hit by the earthquake I1  X  I2 (hit by earthquake) C1   C2 (not hit by earthquake) (No pre-test) (Earthquake) (Post-Test) Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 12
  • 13. Types of Pre-Experimental Design 3. Static Group Comparison • Has the advantage of including a comparison group that did not experience the stimulus (earthquake) • It is difficult to be sure that the groups are truly comparable because the experimental and control groups were determined by factors other than random assignment. • The design would only allow for posttests Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 13
  • 14. Types of Pre-Experimental Design 3. One-group pre-test/ post-test design • Research designs in which • a single group of research participants or subjects is pretested, • given some treatment/ intervention, • then post-tested. • In this instance, pre- and posttests are both taken, but there is no control group to compare the experimental group to. I1 (Pre-test)  X  I2 (vaccinated)- Post-test C1 (No pre-test)   C2 (no control/ no post-test) (COVID Vaccine) Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 14
  • 15. Types of Pre-Experimental Design 3. One-group pre-test/ post-test design • If the pretest and posttest scores differ significantly, then the difference may be attributed to the intervention. • But because the research design is not strictly experimental and there is no control group, this inference is uncertain, • Useful when • a researcher cannot identify a sample that is large enough to split into control and experimental groups • Researcher do not have access to a control group Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 15
  • 16. Pre-Experimental Study Design Strengths • Pre-experiments can be a cost-effective way to discern whether a potential explanation is worthy of further investigation. • Useful in cases where a researcher cannot control or predict whether, when, or how the stimulus is administered, as in the case of natural disasters Limitations • Subject to numerous threats to their validity. Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 16
  • 18. Quasi-Experimental Design • Experimental studies that lack random assignment to experimental and control groups. • Useful in the cases where experimental and control groups already exist. For example: • a researcher might conduct research at two different agency sites, one of which receives the intervention and the other does not. • The researcher does not need to assigned participants to treatment or comparison groups because the groupings already existed prior to the study. Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 18
  • 19. Quasi-Experimental Design • Quasi-experiments are most likely to be conducted in field settings in which random assignment is difficult or impossible. • While this method is more convenient for real-world research, researchers cannot be sure that the groups are comparable. • Often used to evaluate the effectiveness of a treatment (psychotherapy) or an educational intervention. • Useful tool in situations where true experiments cannot be used for ethical or practical reasons. • Example: it would be unethical to randomly provide some people with covid vaccine but purposely prevent others from receiving it solely for the purpose of research. Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 19
  • 20. Types of Quasi-Experimental Design • Pre-test post-test non-equivalent control group design • Interrupted time series design • Regression discontinuity analysis Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 20
  • 21. Types of Quasi-Experimental Design • Pre-Test Post-test Non-equivalent Control Group Design Group Baseline/ Pre- test Intervention Endline/Post- test Intervention Group Pre-Test X Post-Test Control Group Pre-Test Post-Test No Randomization Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 21
  • 22. TIMES SERIES DESIGN Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 22
  • 23. Time Series Design • Type of quasi experimental design • Time series: set of measurements taken at intervals over a period of time. • In this design, a series of periodic measurements is taken from one group of study units, followed by treatment, then another series of measurements. • Time Series Design collects data on the same variable at regular intervals (weeks, months, years, etc.) in the form of aggregate measures of a population. • Example: Unemployment rates, accident rates, fatality rate Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 23
  • 24. Time Series Design March (T-3) April (T-2) May (T-1) Intervention July (T+1) August (T+2) September (T+3) Fatality rate Fatality rate Fatality rate Crackdown Fatality rate Fatality rate Fatality rate Province March (T- 3) April (T-2) May (T-1) Interventi on July (T+1) August (T+2) Septembe r (T+3) Lumbini Fatality rate Fatality rate Fatality rate Crackdow n Fatality rate Fatality rate Fatality rate Bagmati Fatality rate Fatality rate Fatality rate Fatality rate Fatality rate Fatality rate One group - Interrupted Time Series Design Interrupted Time Series Design with comparison group Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 24
  • 25. Time Series Design Time Series Design are useful for: • Establishing a baseline measure • Describing changes over time • Keeping track of trends • Forecasting future trends Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 25
  • 26. • Time series data are nearly always presented in the form of a chart or graph. • The horizontal (or x) axis is divided into time intervals • The vertical (y) axis shows the values of the dependent variable as they fluctuate over time. Time Series Design Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 26
  • 27. Time Series Design Example https://open.lib.umn.edu/psychologyresearchmethods/ chapter/7-3-quasi-experimental-research/ • The dependent variable is the number of student absences per week in a research methods course. • The treatment is that the instructor begins publicly taking attendance each day so that students know that the instructor is aware of who is present and who is absent. Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 27
  • 28. True Experimental Design • Design used to refer to any randomized experiments • Carried out with or without a pretest/ baseline on at least 2 randomly assigned subjects. • For the true experimental design, following criteria should be met: • Control group must be present • A variable that can be manipulated by the researcher (e.g. dose) • Randomization Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 28
  • 29. Techniques of random selection and participant assignment • Referring to a random number table • Computer generated random number • Coin tossing • Shuffling cards or envelopes • Throwing dice • Sequentially numbered drug containers of identical appearance • Sequentially numbered, opaque, sealed envelopes Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 29
  • 30. Techniques of random selection and participant assignment High risk of bias if • Sequence generated by odd or even date of birth, day of visit, etc. • Allocation by judgment of clinician, participant • Allocation based on results of laboratory test • Case record number • Unsealed or non-opaque envelopes Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 30
  • 31. Types of True Experimental Design 1. Post-test only control group design 2. Pre-test Post-test control group design 3. Solomon four group design Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 31
  • 32. Types of True Experimental Design 1. Post-Test Only Control Group Design • Study participants are randomly selected and assigned to the 2 groups (control and experimental), and only the experimental group is treated/intervened. • Neither group is assessed/ pre-tested before intervention • After close observation, both groups are post-tested, and a conclusion is drawn from the difference between these group. I1  X  I2 C1   C2 (No pre-test) (Dexamethasone) (Post-test) Randomization Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 32
  • 33. Types of True Experimental Design 2. Pre-Test Post-Test Control Group Design • Subjects are randomly assigned to the 2 groups • Both are pre-tested • Only the intervention group is treated. • After close observation, both groups are post-tested to measure the degree of change in each group. I1  X  I2 C1   C2 (Pre-test) (Dexamethasone) (Post-test) Randomization Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 33
  • 34. Types of True Experimental Design 3. Solomon Four Group Design • In this design, the sample is divided into two treatment groups and two control groups. • One treatment group and one control group receive the pretest, and the other two groups do not. • This design represents a combination of posttest-only and pretest-posttest control group design, and is intended to test for the potential biasing effect of pretest measurement on posttest measures that tends to occur in pretest-posttest designs but not in posttest only designs. Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 34
  • 35. Types of True Experimental Design 3. Solomon Four Group Design I1 (No pre-test)  X  I2 (Post-test) C1 (No pre-test)   C2 (Post-test) I1 (Pre-test)  X  I2 (Post-test) C1 Pre-test)   C2 (Post-test) Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 35
  • 36. Assignment Review each of the following study designs: • One-shot case study (one-group post-test only design) • Static group comparison (post-test only, non-equivalent group design) • One group pre-test post-test design • Non-equivalent group, pre-test post-test design • Post-test only, control group design (equivalent group) • Pre-test Post-test control group design (non-equivalent group) • Pre-test post-test control group design Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 36
  • 37. CLINICAL TRIAL/ RCT Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 37
  • 38. Clinical Trial • Research design that studies new tests/therapies and treatments and evaluates their effects on human health outcomes. • The purpose of the clinical trial is assessment of efficacy, safety, or risk benefit ratio. • Clinical trials are carefully designed, reviewed and completed, and need to be approved before they can start. • Interventions may be prophylactic, therapeutic or diagnostic: • Novel vaccines, drugs, dietary choices, dietary supplements, medical devices Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 38
  • 39. Research Question in Clinical Trial • Types of questions • Assessing efficacy of an intervention • Assessing the effectiveness of an intervention Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 39
  • 40. Phases in Clinical Trial • There are 4 phases of biomedical clinical trials: • Phase I studies usually test new drugs for the first time in a small group of people to evaluate a safe dosage range and identify side effects. • Phase II studies test treatments that have been found to be safe in phase I but now need a larger group of human subjects to monitor for any adverse effects. • Phase III studies are conducted on larger populations and in different regions and countries, and are often the step right before a new treatment is approved. • Phase IV studies take place after country approval and there is a need for further testing in a wide population over a longer timeframe. Click here for further reading Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 40
  • 41. Design of Clinical Trial Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 41
  • 42. Types of Clinical Trial • Uncontrolled Trials • Controlled Trials • Non-randomized controlled trial • Randomized controlled trial/ Randomized clinical trial Control arm options in controlled trials • Placebo concurrent control • “No treatment” concurrent control • Active treatment concurrent control • Dose-comparison concurrent control Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 42
  • 43. Uncontrolled Trial • This design incorporates no control arm. • This design is usually utilized to determine pharmacokinetic properties of a new drug (Phase 1 trials). • Uncontrolled trials are known to produce greater mean effect estimates than a controlled trial, thereby inflating the expectations from the intervention. • There is a threat of inherent bias and results are considered less valid than RCT. Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 43
  • 44. Uncontrolled Trial Nair B. (2019). Clinical Trial Designs. Indian dermatology online journal, 10(2), 193–201. https://doi.org/10.4103/idoj.IDOJ_475_18 Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 44
  • 45. Randomized Controlled Trial • A part of clinical trial • In RCTs the patients are randomly assigned to the different study groups. • This is intended to ensure that all potential confounding factors are divided equally among the groups that will later be compared Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 45
  • 48. Strengths and Limitations Strengths • Often provides the strongest evidence in support of cause-effect relationships • Basis for clinical and public health policy • Excellent internal validity; removes validity threats • Provides precise measures of efficacy and acute toxicity of new therapies under ideal conditions. • Because of randomization, measurement of effect size is less prone to bias. Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 48
  • 49. Strengths and Limitations Limitations • Limited external validity • Patients with co-morbidity are under-represented in RCTs. • Have limited ability to detect rare and chronic toxicities, especially those that occur in patients after the completion of the trial. • Chances of experimental mortality (attrition) cannot be ruled out. • Might be costly • Some research problems cannot be studied using an experiment because of ethical or technical reasons. Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 49
  • 50. Types of RCT Designs • Parallel group trial design • Cross-over design • Cluster Randomized Controlled Trial • Factorial Randomized Controlled Trial Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 50
  • 51. Parallel Group Trial Design • Most commonly used study design/ classical RCT • Study participants are randomized to one of two groups • The two group, usually comprise an interventional group and a comparator group, which are followed forward in time. • The comparator group may receive placebo or standard of care • After randomization each participant will stay in their assigned treatment arm throughout the study. Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 51
  • 52. Parallel Group Trial Design Group A Group B Tinmouth A, Hebert P. Interventional trials: an overview of design alternatives. Transfusion. 2007 Apr;47(4):565-7. doi: 10.1111/j.1537-2995.2007.01202.x. PMID: 17381612. Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 52
  • 53. Parallel Groups • Multiple concurrent experimental arms • Different treatments • Different doses • Control arms • Placebo • Active control (known effective treatment) Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 53
  • 54. Parallel Group Design Strengths • Can be applied to many diseases and allows running experiments simultaneously in a number of groups, and groups can be in separate locations. • Simplest design to plan, implement, analyze, and interpret Limitations • People dislike the possibility of receiving placebo, so it could be a deterrent for them to sign up to participate. Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 54
  • 55. Cross-Over Design • This approach randomly assigns participants to one group, who then “crossover" to another treatment arm during the course of the trial. • Uses individual as their own controls • This means that even if they are initially put into a placebo group, they will also eventually receive the study drug or standard of care during the trial. Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 55
  • 56. Cross-Over Design Group A Group B Group B Group A Tinmouth A, Hebert P. Interventional trials: an overview of design alternatives. Transfusion. 2007 Apr;47(4):565-7. doi: 10.1111/j.1537-2995.2007.01202.x. PMID: 17381612. Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 56
  • 57. Cross-Over Design • Patients are assigned to receive two treatments in a random order. • Each treatment is given a defined period of time with a washout period between the two treatments • The washout period between the two intervention phases is included to reduce carryover effects from the previous treatments • helps researchers determine whether the outcome of the study is due to the effects of the study drug. Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 57
  • 58. Cross-Over Design • In this design, some participants start with drug A and then switch to drug B (AB sequence) in one trial arm, • While participants in other trial arm start with drug B and then switch to drug A (BA sequence). Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 58
  • 59. Cross-Over Design Strengths • Require fewer patients than a parallel study since each patient acts as his or her own control. • Minimizes between subject variability • Ethical- opportunity to receive both treatments • Best suited to patients with chronic conditions with stable symptoms. Limitations • Take longer to complete since patients will receive multiple treatments during the trial. • Many patients may withdraw due to longer study period • Carryover effects from treatments may impact results • Period effects are likely (progression of disease, dropouts) Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 59
  • 60. Other Designs • Factorial Design • Evaluates different interventions alone and in combination. • In 2*2 factorial design four groups are compared • Therapy A • Therapy B • Therapy A+B in combination • No therapy Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 60
  • 61. Other Designs • Cluster Design (Cluster RCT) • Groups or clusters are randomly assigned, not individuals E.g. classes, hospital wards, quarantine centers, platoons…. • Useful in educational research. Ward A Ward B Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 61
  • 62. For further reading • Tinmouth A, Hebert P. Interventional trials: an overview of design alternatives. Transfusion. 2007 Apr;47(4):565-7. doi: 10.1111/j.1537- 2995.2007.01202.x. PMID: 17381612. • Kabisch, M., Ruckes, C., Seibert-Grafe, M., & Blettner, M. (2011). Randomized controlled trials: part 17 of a series on evaluation of scientific publications. Deutsches Arzteblatt international, 108(39), 663–668. https://doi.org/10.3238/arztebl.2011.0663 • Nair B. (2019). Clinical Trial Designs. Indian dermatology online journal, 10(2), 193–201. https://doi.org/10.4103/idoj.IDOJ_475_18 Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 62
  • 63. Community Trial • Community trials, also called community intervention studies, are (mostly preventive) experimental studies with whole communities (such as cities or states) as experimental units • Interventions are assigned to all members in each of a number of communities. • Carried out “on the ground”. Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 63
  • 65. Community Trial • Use to measure the effect of community level interventions • Vaccine effectiveness studies • Nutritional interventions (micro-nutrient supplementation) • Educational campaign • Measures to control vector (Indoor residual spray) • Prophylaxis • Subsidies (cash transfers, vouchers) • Screening Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 65
  • 67. Rationale for community trial • Environmental change may be easier that voluntary behaviour (cigarette tax vs. stop smoking) • Some interventions are not selective (e.g. water fluoridation, IRS) • Individual randomization may not be feasible because all members of group are treated same. • Individual randomization, although feasible, may result in substantial contamination. Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 67
  • 68. Community Trial Designs • Single community • Before-after: O1 X O2 • Single (interrupted) time series: O1 O2 O3 X O4 O5 O6 • One intervention and one control community O x O O O • One intervention and multiple control communities • Multiple intervention and control communities Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 68
  • 70. Concept of Blinding • Concealment of group allocation from one or more individuals involved in a research study • Most commonly a RCT • Also called masking • Blinding is used in combination with randomization to limit the occurrence of conscious and unconscious bias • in the conduct of clinical trials (performance bias) and • interpretation of outcomes (ascertainment bias). Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 70
  • 71. Concept of Blinding • This is important because bias can affect recruitment and allocation, care, attitudes, assessments, etc. • Minimizes the likelihood of differential treatment or assessments of outcomes • Used to ensure the objectivity of trial results Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 71
  • 72. Whom to Blind? 1. Study Participants 2. Data Collectors and Outcome Assessors 3. Clinicians administering the treatment 4. Data Analyst Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 72
  • 73. Whom to Blind? 1. Study Participants • If participants are not blinded, knowledge of group assignment may affect their behaviour in the trial and their responses to subjective outcome measures. • Blinded patients may report symptoms differently from unblinded patients • For example, a participant who is aware that he is not receiving active treatment may be • less likely to comply with the trial protocol, • more likely to seek additional treatment outside of the trial and • more likely to leave the trial without providing outcome data. Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 73
  • 74. Whom to Blind? 2. Data collectors/ Outcome assessors • Crucial to ensure unbiased ascertainment of outcomes. • Helps to reduce detection bias. • Outcome assessors (study nurses or investigators) who are aware of the actual treatment may unconsciously or intentionally alter their assessment. • Particularly, in case of soft endpoints, e.g. pain blinding of outcome assessors is important. • For hard comparators like mortality detection bias is irrelevant Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 74
  • 75. Whom to Blind? 3. Clinicians administering the treatment • Blinded clinicians are much less likely to transfer their attitudes to participants or to provide differential treatment to the active and placebo groups than are unblinded clinicians Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 75
  • 76. Whom to Blind? 4. Data analyst • Bias may also be introduced during the statistical analysis of the trial through the selective use and reporting of statistical tests. • This may be a subconscious process spurred by investigators eager to see a positive result. • The best method to avoid this potential bias is blinding of the data analyst until the entire analysis has been completed. Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 76
  • 77. Biases due to lack of blinding • Performance bias • Detection/ bias • Participant’s expectation bias • Data analysts • Observer bias Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 77
  • 78. Types of Blinding • Unblinded • All parties are aware of the treatment the participant receives • Single blind • Only the participant is unaware of the treatment they receive • Double blind • The participant and the clinicians / data collectors are unaware of the treatment the participant receives • Triple blind • Participant, clinicians and data collectors / outcome assessors / data analysts are all unaware of the treatment the participant receives Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 78
  • 79. How to blind? • Drug trial: matching the placebo in color, taste and dosing schedule. • Not informing patients of what group they are in • Using independent outcome assessors • Not disclosing allocation to data analysts: • Example using variable names as GrpA, GrpB instead of EXP & CTRL groups Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 79
  • 80. For further reading • Karanicolas, P. J., Farrokhyar, F., & Bhandari, M. (2010). Practical tips for surgical research: blinding: who, what, when, why, how?. Canadian journal of surgery. Journal canadien de chirurgie, 53(5), 345–348. • Boutron, I., Estellat, C., Guittet, L., Dechartres, A., Sackett, D. L., Hróbjartsson, A., & Ravaud, P. (2006). Methods of blinding in reports of randomized controlled trials assessing pharmacologic treatments: a systematic review. PLoS medicine, 3(10), e425. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pmed.0030425 Prabesh Ghimire, MPH 80