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1December 2015 HEAT training Twitter @ecfHEALTH
Welcome!
The HEAT training
session will begin
shortly.
Valuing Cycling:
€ 100,000,000,000 Today
Randy Rzewnicki, Ph.D.
HEAT Training
December 2015
Contents
•  Who are we and what do we do?
•  What is HEAT?
•  Applications & examples
•  Valuing cycling
•  The New Cycling Economy
•  More cycling
•  Q & A
December 2015 HEAT training Twitter @ecfHEALTH 3
Introducing the ECF
•  Founded 1983
•  World’s largest, best known
international cyclists’
advocacy & umbrella group
•  Based in Brussels
•  Representing
> 80 organisations
> 40 countries
> 500,000 individuals
December 2015 HEAT training Twitter @ecfHEALTH 4
ECF mission
Ensure bicycle use achieves fullest potential, ...
… sustainable mobility and public well-being.
ECF goals
Ø 2 X cycling modal split (trips)=15% 2020
Ø 50% fewer serious casualties
Ø Increasing funding for cycling to 10%
December 2015 HEAT training Twitter @ecfHEALTH 5
What is HEAT for Cycling?
•  Online tool www.heatwalkingcycling.org
•  Economic assessment of health benefits
of cycling (& walking)
•  Reduced mortality ‘only’
HEAT approach
•  Practical tool intended for transport planners
•  cost-benefit ratio :
•  economic analysis in transport: Evidence-based
•  Transparent
•  Adaptable
•  ‘Do once and share’
“what is the economic value of the health benefits
for a specific amount of cycling in a certain
population?”
•  Modelling; interventions; ‘steady state’
•  Method adopted by UK and Austrian
governments
Applications
•  over 3 million users
•  over 2 million more
physically active
•  cycling trips health
benefit £286 million
•  walking trips health
benefit £156 million
calculated using WHO HEAT
www.heatwalkingcycling.org
Sustrans infrastructure programme
public health outcomes 2011
December 2015 HEAT training Twitter @ecfHEALTH 9
December 2015 HEAT training Twitter @ecfHEALTH 10
Economic Effects of
UK Cycling Delivery Plan
Goal: double cycling trips
⇒ cycling modal share in 2025 2.5%
⇒  & 2050 => 5%
FACTORS
•  Increased physical fitness (HEAT)
•  decongestion
•  casualties from car usage
•  workplace absenteeism due to improved health
•  greenhouse gas emissions
•  noise
•  air quality
•  improvements in journey quality
Benefits
•  £ 7.6 billion (2025) & £ 46.5 billion (2050)
(Fiona Crawford &Robin Lovelace, U Leeds) http://www.ctc.org.uk/economic-cycle
Economic
Benefits
of Cycling
England
Increasing cycling modal share to 25% by 2050
ca £ 250 billion in economic benefits due to cycling
- CTC (Cyclists’ Touring Club)
December 2015 HEAT training Twitter @ecfHEALTH 11
NL: Health benefits > 5%
GDP
€ 31 bn/yr
Infrastructure for cycling cost
€0.5 bn/yr
27% of all trips by cycle
Dutch adults 20 -90 yrs
74 minutes per week
Ca 50% the total life expectancy
increase in those aged 65 +
December 2015 HEAT training Twitter @ecfHEALTH 12
Fishman, Schepers & Kamphuis 2015
Dutch Cycling: Quantifying the Health and Related Economic
Benefits” online, AmJ Pub Heal June 11, 2015
13
All internal and external benefits of cycling together
7.4% bicycle use (Eurobarometer 2010) + turnover of related industries
> € 200 bn annually
> € 400/person EU
The New Cycling Economy: € 200 bn /
year
December 2015 HEAT training Twitter @ecfHEALTH
14December 2015 HEAT training Twitter @ecfHEALTH
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
Health benefits Congestion-easing Fuel savings Reduced CO2
emissions
Reduced air
pollution
Reduced noise
pollution
Minimum Maximum
Economic benefits of cycling in the EU-27 (2010, in bn €)
December 2015 HEAT training Twitter @ecfHEALTH 15
114
24.2
2,7
1,4 0,9
0,3
Economic benefits of cycling in the EU-27
(2010, minimum values in bn €)
Health benefits
Congestion-easing
Fuel savings
Reduced CO2 emissions
Reduced air pollution
Reduced noise pollution
December 2015 HEAT training Twitter @ecfHEALTH 16
17
08 OCT 2015, Istanbul,
HEPA
Twitter @ecfHEALTH
What can you use it for?
•  Project Evaluation: new or old projects
– Value of health benefits of increased use
•  Assess current use
– What is cycling worth in my city, region,
country?
•  Modelling
– Projected future cycling
What data do I need to start?
•  Number of people affected
•  Data on levels of walking/cycling
•  Average duration or distance walked/
cycled
Read the user guide!
•  http://www.euro.who.int/__data/assets/pdf_file/
0003/155631/E96097.pdf
•  www.heatwalkingcycling.org
•  Background
•  Methods
•  Assumptions
•  Tips
3. More cycling is a realistic option
© Rob Huibers
December 2015 HEAT training Twitter @ecfHEALTH 21
WHO/Europe & ECF webinar
08 OCT 2015, Istanbul,
HEPA
Twitter @ecfHEALTH 23
Many thanks to
- Nick Cavill, Cavill Associates
- to you for listening
randy@ecf.com
www.ecf.com
@ecfHEALTH
25December 2015 HEAT training Twitter @ecfHEALTH

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Heat – Valuing Cycling

  • 1. 1December 2015 HEAT training Twitter @ecfHEALTH Welcome! The HEAT training session will begin shortly.
  • 2. Valuing Cycling: € 100,000,000,000 Today Randy Rzewnicki, Ph.D. HEAT Training December 2015
  • 3. Contents •  Who are we and what do we do? •  What is HEAT? •  Applications & examples •  Valuing cycling •  The New Cycling Economy •  More cycling •  Q & A December 2015 HEAT training Twitter @ecfHEALTH 3
  • 4. Introducing the ECF •  Founded 1983 •  World’s largest, best known international cyclists’ advocacy & umbrella group •  Based in Brussels •  Representing > 80 organisations > 40 countries > 500,000 individuals December 2015 HEAT training Twitter @ecfHEALTH 4
  • 5. ECF mission Ensure bicycle use achieves fullest potential, ... … sustainable mobility and public well-being. ECF goals Ø 2 X cycling modal split (trips)=15% 2020 Ø 50% fewer serious casualties Ø Increasing funding for cycling to 10% December 2015 HEAT training Twitter @ecfHEALTH 5
  • 6. What is HEAT for Cycling? •  Online tool www.heatwalkingcycling.org •  Economic assessment of health benefits of cycling (& walking) •  Reduced mortality ‘only’
  • 7. HEAT approach •  Practical tool intended for transport planners •  cost-benefit ratio : •  economic analysis in transport: Evidence-based •  Transparent •  Adaptable •  ‘Do once and share’ “what is the economic value of the health benefits for a specific amount of cycling in a certain population?”
  • 8. •  Modelling; interventions; ‘steady state’ •  Method adopted by UK and Austrian governments Applications
  • 9. •  over 3 million users •  over 2 million more physically active •  cycling trips health benefit £286 million •  walking trips health benefit £156 million calculated using WHO HEAT www.heatwalkingcycling.org Sustrans infrastructure programme public health outcomes 2011 December 2015 HEAT training Twitter @ecfHEALTH 9
  • 10. December 2015 HEAT training Twitter @ecfHEALTH 10 Economic Effects of UK Cycling Delivery Plan Goal: double cycling trips ⇒ cycling modal share in 2025 2.5% ⇒  & 2050 => 5% FACTORS •  Increased physical fitness (HEAT) •  decongestion •  casualties from car usage •  workplace absenteeism due to improved health •  greenhouse gas emissions •  noise •  air quality •  improvements in journey quality Benefits •  £ 7.6 billion (2025) & £ 46.5 billion (2050) (Fiona Crawford &Robin Lovelace, U Leeds) http://www.ctc.org.uk/economic-cycle
  • 11. Economic Benefits of Cycling England Increasing cycling modal share to 25% by 2050 ca £ 250 billion in economic benefits due to cycling - CTC (Cyclists’ Touring Club) December 2015 HEAT training Twitter @ecfHEALTH 11
  • 12. NL: Health benefits > 5% GDP € 31 bn/yr Infrastructure for cycling cost €0.5 bn/yr 27% of all trips by cycle Dutch adults 20 -90 yrs 74 minutes per week Ca 50% the total life expectancy increase in those aged 65 + December 2015 HEAT training Twitter @ecfHEALTH 12 Fishman, Schepers & Kamphuis 2015 Dutch Cycling: Quantifying the Health and Related Economic Benefits” online, AmJ Pub Heal June 11, 2015
  • 13. 13 All internal and external benefits of cycling together 7.4% bicycle use (Eurobarometer 2010) + turnover of related industries > € 200 bn annually > € 400/person EU The New Cycling Economy: € 200 bn / year December 2015 HEAT training Twitter @ecfHEALTH
  • 14. 14December 2015 HEAT training Twitter @ecfHEALTH
  • 15. 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 Health benefits Congestion-easing Fuel savings Reduced CO2 emissions Reduced air pollution Reduced noise pollution Minimum Maximum Economic benefits of cycling in the EU-27 (2010, in bn €) December 2015 HEAT training Twitter @ecfHEALTH 15
  • 16. 114 24.2 2,7 1,4 0,9 0,3 Economic benefits of cycling in the EU-27 (2010, minimum values in bn €) Health benefits Congestion-easing Fuel savings Reduced CO2 emissions Reduced air pollution Reduced noise pollution December 2015 HEAT training Twitter @ecfHEALTH 16
  • 17. 17 08 OCT 2015, Istanbul, HEPA Twitter @ecfHEALTH
  • 18. What can you use it for? •  Project Evaluation: new or old projects – Value of health benefits of increased use •  Assess current use – What is cycling worth in my city, region, country? •  Modelling – Projected future cycling
  • 19. What data do I need to start? •  Number of people affected •  Data on levels of walking/cycling •  Average duration or distance walked/ cycled
  • 20. Read the user guide! •  http://www.euro.who.int/__data/assets/pdf_file/ 0003/155631/E96097.pdf •  www.heatwalkingcycling.org •  Background •  Methods •  Assumptions •  Tips
  • 21. 3. More cycling is a realistic option © Rob Huibers December 2015 HEAT training Twitter @ecfHEALTH 21
  • 22. WHO/Europe & ECF webinar
  • 23. 08 OCT 2015, Istanbul, HEPA Twitter @ecfHEALTH 23
  • 24. Many thanks to - Nick Cavill, Cavill Associates - to you for listening randy@ecf.com www.ecf.com @ecfHEALTH
  • 25. 25December 2015 HEAT training Twitter @ecfHEALTH