What is HEAT for Cycling? HEAT (Health Economic Assessment Tool) is a tool developed for calculating the economic value of health benefits gained through regular cycling (and walking).
This training session was presented by Dr. Randy Rzewnicki, the ECF policy expert on topics of health and physical activity in Helsinki, Finland, on 2 December, 2015.
3. Contents
• Who are we and what do we do?
• What is HEAT?
• Applications & examples
• Valuing cycling
• The New Cycling Economy
• More cycling
• Q & A
December 2015 HEAT training Twitter @ecfHEALTH 3
4. Introducing the ECF
• Founded 1983
• World’s largest, best known
international cyclists’
advocacy & umbrella group
• Based in Brussels
• Representing
> 80 organisations
> 40 countries
> 500,000 individuals
December 2015 HEAT training Twitter @ecfHEALTH 4
5. ECF mission
Ensure bicycle use achieves fullest potential, ...
… sustainable mobility and public well-being.
ECF goals
Ø 2 X cycling modal split (trips)=15% 2020
Ø 50% fewer serious casualties
Ø Increasing funding for cycling to 10%
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6. What is HEAT for Cycling?
• Online tool www.heatwalkingcycling.org
• Economic assessment of health benefits
of cycling (& walking)
• Reduced mortality ‘only’
7. HEAT approach
• Practical tool intended for transport planners
• cost-benefit ratio :
• economic analysis in transport: Evidence-based
• Transparent
• Adaptable
• ‘Do once and share’
“what is the economic value of the health benefits
for a specific amount of cycling in a certain
population?”
9. • over 3 million users
• over 2 million more
physically active
• cycling trips health
benefit £286 million
• walking trips health
benefit £156 million
calculated using WHO HEAT
www.heatwalkingcycling.org
Sustrans infrastructure programme
public health outcomes 2011
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10. December 2015 HEAT training Twitter @ecfHEALTH 10
Economic Effects of
UK Cycling Delivery Plan
Goal: double cycling trips
⇒ cycling modal share in 2025 2.5%
⇒ & 2050 => 5%
FACTORS
• Increased physical fitness (HEAT)
• decongestion
• casualties from car usage
• workplace absenteeism due to improved health
• greenhouse gas emissions
• noise
• air quality
• improvements in journey quality
Benefits
• £ 7.6 billion (2025) & £ 46.5 billion (2050)
(Fiona Crawford &Robin Lovelace, U Leeds) http://www.ctc.org.uk/economic-cycle
12. NL: Health benefits > 5%
GDP
€ 31 bn/yr
Infrastructure for cycling cost
€0.5 bn/yr
27% of all trips by cycle
Dutch adults 20 -90 yrs
74 minutes per week
Ca 50% the total life expectancy
increase in those aged 65 +
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Fishman, Schepers & Kamphuis 2015
Dutch Cycling: Quantifying the Health and Related Economic
Benefits” online, AmJ Pub Heal June 11, 2015
13. 13
All internal and external benefits of cycling together
7.4% bicycle use (Eurobarometer 2010) + turnover of related industries
> € 200 bn annually
> € 400/person EU
The New Cycling Economy: € 200 bn /
year
December 2015 HEAT training Twitter @ecfHEALTH
15. 0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
Health benefits Congestion-easing Fuel savings Reduced CO2
emissions
Reduced air
pollution
Reduced noise
pollution
Minimum Maximum
Economic benefits of cycling in the EU-27 (2010, in bn €)
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16. 114
24.2
2,7
1,4 0,9
0,3
Economic benefits of cycling in the EU-27
(2010, minimum values in bn €)
Health benefits
Congestion-easing
Fuel savings
Reduced CO2 emissions
Reduced air pollution
Reduced noise pollution
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18. What can you use it for?
• Project Evaluation: new or old projects
– Value of health benefits of increased use
• Assess current use
– What is cycling worth in my city, region,
country?
• Modelling
– Projected future cycling
19. What data do I need to start?
• Number of people affected
• Data on levels of walking/cycling
• Average duration or distance walked/
cycled
20. Read the user guide!
• http://www.euro.who.int/__data/assets/pdf_file/
0003/155631/E96097.pdf
• www.heatwalkingcycling.org
• Background
• Methods
• Assumptions
• Tips