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QE Intra-Day Movement
Qatar Commentary
The QE index declined marginally to close at 13,075.4. Losses were led by the
Banking & Financial Services and Telecoms indices, declining 0.6% and 0.5%,
respectively. Top losers were Widam Food Co. and Qatar German Co. for Med.
Dev., falling 2.3% and 2.1%, respectively. Among the top gainers, Medicare
Group rose 5.5%, while Mannai Corp. was up 3.0%.
GCC Commentary
Saudi Arabia: The TASI index rose 0.3% to close at 10,579.1. Gains were led
by the Industrial Investment and Real Estate Dev. indices, rising 0.9% and
0.8%, respectively. Al Khodari gained 9.6%, while Al Hammadi was up 7.5%.
Dubai: The DFM index gained 0.1% to close at 4,740.0. The Transportation
index gained 1.1%, while the Investment & Financial Serv. index rose 0.7%.
Ekttitab Holding Co. rose 7.7%, while Hits Telecom Holding Co. was up 4.9%.
Abu Dhabi: The ADX benchmark index rose 0.4% to close at 4,943.2. The
Industrial index gained 1.3%, while the Consumer index was up 0.9%. Int. Fish
Farming Holding surged 14.9%, while Ras Al Khaimah Nat. Ins. gained 7.3%.
Kuwait: The KSE index gained 0.1% to close at 7,192.7. The Oil & Gas index
rose 2.6%, while Consumer Services index was up 1.2%. Zima Holding Co.
gained 9.3%, while National Petroleum Services Co. was up 7.0%.
Oman: The MSM index declined 0.1% to close at 7,328.9. Losses were led by
the Financial and Services indices declining 0.4% and 0.2%, respectively.
Oman Fisheries fell 5.2%, while Oman And Emirates Inv. was down 4.9%.
Bahrain: The BHB index declined 0.4% to close at 1,488.2. The Services
index fell 1.3%, while the Com. Banking index was down 0.5%. Bahrain Middle
East Bank declined 19.6%, while Bahrain Telecom. Co. was down 2.6%.
Qatar Exchange Top Gainers Close* 1D% Vol. ‘000 YTD%
Medicare Group 125.20 5.5 158.5 138.5
Mannai Corp. 117.70 3.0 269.0 30.9
Zad Holding Co. 89.00 2.3 2.0 28.1
Mazaya Qatar Real Estate Dev. 22.50 2.1 2,777.0 101.3
Qatar Islamic Insurance Co. 86.00 2.0 27.8 48.5
Qatar Exchange Top Vol. Trades Close* 1D% Vol. ‘000 YTD%
Mazaya Qatar Real Estate Dev. 22.50 2.1 2,777.0 101.3
Ezdan Holding Group 19.80 (0.5) 1,501.9 16.5
Masraf Al Rayan 53.90 0.2 813.5 72.2
Salam International Investment Co. 20.10 0.0 595.8 54.5
Qatari Investors Group 57.20 1.4 572.3 30.9
Market Indicators 10 Aug 14 07 Aug 14 %Chg.
Value Traded (QR mn) 614.9 630.5 (2.5)
Exch. Market Cap. (QR mn) 693,699.4 695,561.8 (0.3)
Volume (mn) 12.8 13.7 (6.2)
Number of Transactions 6,908 7,177 (3.7)
Companies Traded 42 42 0.0
Market Breadth 18:19 24:14 –
Market Indices Close 1D% WTD% YTD% TTM P/E
Total Return 19,501.88 (0.0) (0.0) 31.5 N/A
All Share Index 3,302.52 (0.1) (0.1) 27.6 16.0
Banks 3,148.28 (0.6) (0.6) 28.8 15.4
Industrials 4,302.39 0.3 0.3 22.9 16.6
Transportation 2,337.58 0.4 0.4 25.8 15.0
Real Estate 2,843.65 0.4 0.4 45.6 15.3
Insurance 3,864.68 0.5 0.5 65.4 12.2
Telecoms 1,590.23 (0.5) (0.5) 9.4 22.5
Consumer 7,401.78 0.8 0.8 24.4 27.8
Al Rayan Islamic Index 4,500.20 0.5 0.5 48.2 19.3
GCC Top Gainers##
Exchange Close#
1D% Vol. ‘000 YTD%
Al Abdullatif Industrial Saudi Arabia 47.96 4.4 2,415.3 17.0
Mannai Corp. Qatar 117.70 3.0 269.0 30.9
Herfy Food Services Saudi Arabia 108.55 2.8 288.6 36.9
National Real Estate Kuwait 0.15 2.7 1,124.5 5.0
Saudi British Bank Saudi Arabia 60.00 2.3 410.3 36.4
GCC Top Losers##
Exchange Close#
1D% Vol. ‘000 YTD%
Drake & Skull Int. Dubai 1.37 (4.2) 13,626.3 (4.9)
Jazeera Airways Kuwait 0.45 (3.3) 25.9 (10.1)
Bahrain Telecom Co. Bahrain 0.37 (2.6) 16.0 29.5
Boubyan Petrochem.Co. Kuwait 0.75 (2.6) 68.7 21.2
Sahara Petrochem. Co. Saudi Arabia 25.05 (2.1) 4,366.8 26.5
Source: Bloomberg (
#
in Local Currency) (
##
GCC Top gainers/losers derived from the Bloomberg GCC
200 Index comprising of the top 200 regional equities based on market capitalization and liquidity)
Qatar Exchange Top Losers Close* 1D% Vol. ‘000 YTD%
Widam Food Co. 56.40 (2.3) 391.6 9.1
Qatar German Co. for Med. Dev. 13.80 (2.1) 231.4 (0.4)
QNB Group 178.10 (1.8) 127.0 3.5
Vodafone Qatar 19.50 (1.4) 501.9 82.1
Qatar National Cement Co. 134.50 (1.4) 1.5 13.0
Qatar Exchange Top Val. Trades Close* 1D% Val. ‘000 YTD%
Mazaya Qatar Real Estate Dev. 22.50 2.1 62,668.9 101.3
Qatar Electricity & Water Co. 184.00 (0.3) 56,085.8 11.3
Masraf Al Rayan 53.90 0.2 43,665.9 72.2
Industries Qatar 170.20 0.4 35,769.5 0.8
Qatari Investors Group 57.20 1.4 32,774.7 30.9
Source: Bloomberg (* in QR)
Regional Indices Close 1D% WTD% MTD% YTD%
Exch. Val. Traded
($ mn)
Exchange Mkt.
Cap. ($ mn)
P/E** P/B**
Dividend
Yield
Qatar* 13,075.43 (0.0) (0.0) 1.5 26.0 168.87 190,489.9 16.1 2.2 3.8
Dubai 4,739.95 0.1 0.1 (1.9) 40.7 79.01 92,858.6 20.9 1.8 2.2
Abu Dhabi 4,943.20 0.4 0.4 (2.2) 15.2 29.47 136,028.1 14.0 1.7 3.4
Saudi Arabia 10,579.12 0.3 0.3 3.6 23.9 2,350.55 576,728.8 20.3 2.6 2.7
Kuwait 7,192.70 0.1 0.1 0.9 (4.7) 43.50 112,569.2 17.1 1.1 3.8
Oman 7,328.91 (0.1) (0.1) 1.8 7.2 13.90 26,929.4 11.4 1.8 3.8
Bahrain 1,488.21 (0.4) (0.4) 1.1 19.2 0.42 54,494.1 11.7 1.0 4.6
Source: Bloomberg, Qatar Exchange, Tadawul, Muscat Securities Exchange, Dubai Financial Market and Zawya (** TTM; * Value traded ($ mn) do not include special trades, if any)
13,000
13,020
13,040
13,060
13,080
13,100
9:30 10:00 10:30 11:00 11:30 12:00 12:30 13:00
Page 2 of 6
Qatar Market Commentary
 The QE index declined marginally to close at 13,075.4. The
Banking & Fin. Ser. and Tele. indices led the losses. The index
fell on the back of selling pressure from Qatari shareholders
despite buying support from non-Qatari shareholders.
 Widam Food Co. and Qatar German Co. for Med. Dev. were the
top losers, falling 2.3% and 2.1%, respectively. Among the top
gainers, Medicare Group rose 5.5%, while Mannai Corp. was up
3.0%.
 Volume of shares traded on Sunday fell by 6.2% to 12.8mn from
13.7mn on Thursday. Further, as compared to the 30-day
moving average of 15.0mn, volume for the day was 14.2% lower.
Mazaya Qatar Real Estate Dev. and Ezdan Holding Group were
the most active stocks, contributing 21.6% and 11.7% to the total
volume respectively.
Source: Qatar Exchange (* as a % of traded value)
Earnings
Earnings Releases
Company Market Currency
Revenue
(mn)2Q2014
% Change
YoY
Operating Profit
(mn) 2Q2014
% Change
YoY
Net Profit (mn)
2Q2014
% Change
YoY
Gulf Pharmaceutical
Industries (Julphar)
Abu Dhabi AED 368.3 0.6% – – 48.8 -10.4%
Oman Insurance Co. (OIC) Dubai AED 789.3 12.9% -9.2 NA 63.9 29.1%
Drake & Scull International
(DSI)
Dubai AED 1,101.4 -17.8% 24.9 -69.5% 25.9 -41.1%
Agility Logistics (Agility) Dubai KD – – – – 12.9 11.8%
Oman & Emirates
Investment Holding Co. *
Oman OMR – – – – 1.0 4.2%
Al Madina Investment** Oman OMR – – – – -0.7 NA
Ominvest* Oman OMR – – – – 9.4 20.1%
Source: Company data, DFM, ADX, MSM (* 1H2014 results, ** 1Q2015 results)
News
Qatar
 IQCD posts weak 2Q2014 results – We expect to lower our
estimates post discussion with management; maintain
Accumulate rating given solid dividend yield and IQCD’s status
as a core long-term holding. With QR2.84bn posted in 1H2014
net income, our QR7.94bn estimate for FY2014 net income
(Bloomberg consensus: QR7.98bn) is clearly at risk. On the plus
side, a significant portion of planned shutdowns are behind us
(3Q2014 planned schedule – LLDPE: 5 days; steel: 86 days
[less than 10% of total production days]) and urea prices have
strengthened sequentially in 3Q2014. Moreover, IQCD stock
continues to provide a solid dividend yield (6.5% at QR11 a
share [in line with 2013] and 5.9% at QR10/share) and we
believe a significant dividend cut remains unlikely; IQCD’s
liquidity position remains solid at QR6.3bn. We recommend
investors Accumulate the stock on dips. Reported 2Q2014 net
profit misses estimates significantly due to prolonged
fertilizer shutdowns and lower-than-expected steel
profitability. IQCD posted 2Q2014 net income of QR1.25bn (-
21% QoQ, -38% YoY) vs. our estimate/Bloomberg consensus
of QR1.77bn/QR1.71bn. Share of results of JVs, which includes
the company’s share of profits from petrochemicals and
fertilizers, came in at QR857mn (-28% QoQ, -45% YoY) and
was also below our expectation significantly. 2Q2014 profitability
was impacted by significant planned/unplanned fertilizer
shutdowns, while steel margins also declined. Group EBITDA
came in at QR1.31bn (-20% QoQ, -37% YoY). Petrochemicals
(incl. fuel additives) performance was modestly lower vs.
our expectations. Revenue of QR1.47bn (+1% QoQ, +29%
YoY) was marginally lower than our model, while net income of
QR627mn (-8% QoQ, -26% YoY) also modestly fell short of our
estimate. PE prices gained QoQ and YoY, while sales volumes
improved sequentially given maintenance-related shutdowns in
1Q2014; in terms of 1H2014 shutdowns, the company’s
ethylene plants lost an average 36 days per plant (all in
1Q2014), LDPE lost 41 days per plant (12 days in 2Q2014) and
LLDPE lost 32 days (14 days in 2Q), following the general
shutdown. LDPE and LLDPE prices increased 11.3% YoY and
7.3% YoY, respectively. In terms of fuel additives, methanol
prices gained 27.7% YoY to $421/MT but came off more than
30% , on average, vs. 1Q2014 according to IQCD; Methanol
and MTBE lost a further 83 days in 2Q2014 (following 27 days in
1Q2014) following routine, planned maintenance. Overall,
2Q2014 utilization rate dropped further to 75.5% vs. 82% in 1Q
(prior historical average range of 95%-110%.) Net margins
dipped to 43% vs. 47% in 1Q2014 given lower fuel additive
(primarily Methanol) pricing and increased opex. Fertilizer
profitability bear the brunt of weak urea realizations and
longer-than-anticipated shutdowns. Revenue of QR1.15bn (-
17% QoQ, -30% YoY) modestly disappointed; urea price
realizations dropped 22.7% to $295/MT vs. $382/MT in 1Q2014
offsetting a marginal sequential increase in sales volume.
However, much higher-than-expected shutdowns, along with
increased opex, hurt profits, sending net margins to 20% in
2Q2014 vs. 37% in 1Q2014. Specifically on shutdowns, IQCD
reported that QAFCO’s ammonia trains 1-4 experienced
unplanned shutdowns. In 2Q2014, the company recorded an
additional 149 days of downtime (vs. 76 days in 1Q2014).
Overall, IQCD faced 225 lost days in 1H2014 vs. a budget of
160 days due to planned and unplanned shutdowns sending its
segment utilization to 88.5% for 1H2014 vs. 97.5% in 1H2013.
Launch and initial ramp-up of the new steel melt shop (1.1
MTPA billet-capacity) aided steel revenue growth but
profitability fell below estimates. For 2Q2014, QASCO
Overall Activity Buy %* Sell %* Net (QR)
Qatari 70.19% 72.53% (14,433,288.55)
Non-Qatari 29.81% 27.47% 14,433,288.55
Page 3 of 6
recorded revenue of QR1.82bn (+38% QoQ, +28% YoY) that
handily beat our estimate. While rebar price declined modestly
to QR2,389/MT vs. QR2,427/MT in 1Q2014, production from the
new EF-5 facility aided revenue. In 1H2014, a significant portion
of EF-5’s billet to date production of 336,000 MT was sold to the
100%-owned Dubai subsidiary Qatar Steel FZE to boost its wire
rod and rolling mill utilization rates; IQCD expects EF-5
production levels to gradually improve over the year. Overall, the
steel segment sold an additional 167,000 MT of billets and
91,000 MT of DRI/HBI in 2Q2014 vs. 1Q2014 to drive
sequential revenue growth. Net income of QR370mn (+3%
QoQ, -17% YoY) implied that net margins deteriorated
sequentially to 20% vs. 27% in 1Q2014 due to increased raw
material costs primarily associated with the EF-5 launch despite
a QoQ decline in iron ore prices. Catalysts: Future capacity
expansions and dividend growth. Access to incremental
feedstock supply could reignite earnings growth in the future. In
the interim, investors should benefit from IQCD’s industry-
leading dividend yield. Moreover, startup of commercial
production from the Al Sejeel Petrochemical project in early
2019 should boost petrochemical production capacity by around
25%; we will incorporate this project into our model as more
details become available. (QNBFS Research, IQCD Press
Release)
 WDAM reports QR14.5 net profit in 2Q2014 – Widam Food
Company (WDAM) reported a net profit of QR14.5mn in 2Q2014
as compared to QR19.4mn in 1Q2014 (net profit of QR33.9mn
in 1H2014 compared to QR32.4mn in 1H2013). The Company’s
EPS amounted to QR1.88 in 1H2014 versus QR1.80 in 1H2013.
The company reported impairment on projects of QR4mn in
1H2014 which adversely impacted its bottom-line. WDAM’s
revenue increased 30.8% YoY to QR98.9mn in 2Q2014. For
1H2014, the company’s revenue grew 27.8% YoY to
QR195.4mn. (QE)
 ORDS names Uber global Nojoom partner – Ooredoo
(ORDS) has announced Uber, a smartphone application
evolving the way the world moves, as the newest international
partner to join the 150+ Nojoom partner network. Nojoom
members can now earn and redeem Nojoom Points with Uber
rides in over 140 cities across 40 countries. (Peninsula Qatar)
International
 Europe’s growth engine stutters as Spain beats Germany –
Germany probably underperformed Spain last quarter for the
first time in more than five years as the Euro area recovery
almost ground to a halt. According to a Bloomberg News survey,
after leading the currency bloc out of its longest-ever recession
last year, Europe’s largest economy contracted in the three
months through June. The downturn in the region’s powerhouse
highlights the fragility of a revival that European Central Bank
(ECB) President Mario Draghi has described as modest and
uneven. The 18-nation Euro area is struggling to boost growth
and inflation (ECCPEMUY) even amid unprecedented ECB
stimulus, with Draghi citing inadequate structural reforms as a
key reason. While the German data is distorted by mild winter
weather that front-loaded output earlier in the year, Bundesbank
President Jens Weidmann has warned that the country must
also adjust or risk losing its role as a growth engine. According
to the median estimate in the Bloomberg survey, German GDP
shrank 0.1% in the three months through June, the first
contraction since 2012. Separate surveys show the economies
of the Euro area and France grew 0.1%. (Bloomberg)
 UK record-low interest rate is justified – According to a
Bloomberg survey, Mark Carney’s justification for keeping the
Bank of England’s(BoE) benchmark interest rate at a record low
has the backing of economists. Sixty-seven percent of 33
respondents said there is still enough slack in the economy to
justify holding the key rate at 0.5%, where it has been since
March 2009. The BoE has put spare capacity at about 1% to
1.5% of GDP. As Carney prepares to publish new forecasts in
two days and update investors on his views, the level of slack
remains a pivotal issue. Conflicting signals from wage and
employment data are dividing the Monetary Policy Committee
over how the pick-up in the economy will feed through to
inflation and when rate increases need to start. Eleven of the 21
economists in the Bloomberg survey agree with the BoE’s
assessment that the slack in the economy is within its estimated
range. Nine said it is less than 1%, and one said it was more
than 1.5% of GDP. Carney said last month that while there may
be more labor supply than previously thought, it is also true that
the spare capacity is being used up a bit more rapidly than BoE
had expected. (Bloomberg)
 China loosens monetary conditions in test of credit power –
According to Bloomberg LP gauge, China loosened monetary
conditions last quarter at the fastest pace in almost two years,
testing the waning effectiveness of credit in supporting economic
growth. Bloomberg’s new China Monetary Conditions Index – a
weighted average of loan growth, real interest rates and China’s
real effective exchange rate – rose 6.71 points to 82.81 in the
second quarter from the previous three months. That’s the
biggest jump since the July-September period of 2012, with May
and June’s numbers the first back-to-back readings above 80
since January 2012. According to a Bloomberg News survey of
analysts, New Yuan loans in July will be a record high for that
month, suggesting officials are keeping the credit spigot open
even as debt risks mount. While consumer inflation below the
government’s goal allows room for more easing, economic data
will determine how far policy makers go. (Bloomberg)
Regional
 Korea, GCC to diversify economic ties to boost growth –
The Head of the Middle East and Africa Team, Korea Institute
for International Economic Policy has called for diversification of
economic cooperation between South Korea and the GCC
countries. The GCC countries are Korea’s major trading
partners in the Middle East (Mideast). Exports from Korea to the
GCC reached $17.8bn in 2013, accounting for 3.2% of the
country’s exports. Major export products include automobiles,
steel products, machinery, and electronics. Korea’s imports from
the GCC were valued at $105.8bn in 2013, making up a fifth of
all imports. The reason for this wide trade imbalance is that
Korea imports large amounts of oil & gas from the GCC; indeed,
the GCC supplied 71.2% of Korea’s crude oil imports and 52.4%
of its natural gas imports in 2013. (GulfBase.com)
 NCB: Saudi Arabia expands ethylene output capacity –
According to a report released by NCB’s Economics Department
Research Team, Saudi Arabia is maintaining its leading position
as the region’s largest petrochemical producer with an annual
86.4mn tons of capacity. The majority of capacity additions
within the GCC region during the 2007-2012 period took place in
Saudi Arabia, which accounted for 64% of the region’s capacity
additions. With 17.5mn tons per year, Saudi Arabia is the largest
ethylene producer in the region, representing 72% of the
regional ethylene capacity, up by 7.7mn tons per year as
compared to five years ago. This expansion in ethylene
production capacity has resulted in Saudi Arabia becoming the
third-largest producer worldwide, constituting 11% of global
ethylene capacity. (GulfBase.com)
 Maaden submits capital increase request to Saudi CMA –
Saudi Arabian Mining Company (Maaden) has submitted a
Page 4 of 6
capital increase request to the Saudi Capital Market Authority
(CMA). The announcement is in reference with its previous
announcement about the board’s recommendation on increasing
capital through a rights issue. (Tadawul)
 Saudi PetroRabigh restarts units after Saturday shutdown –
Saudi Arabia’s PetroRabigh is gradually resuming production
after a technical failure at one of its units forced a shutdown of
some operations on Saturday. The unit, which handles air
supply for control systems, has now restarted and other units
are gradually coming back online, with normal operations
expected to resume by this Friday. The disruption will cause
PetroRabigh’s 3Q2014 profit to fall by nearly SR30mn.
(Bloomberg)
 Tiger Properties launches Al Manara Tower – UAE-based
Tiger Properties has launched Al Manara Tower in Jumeirah
Village Circle at a cost of over AED200mn. The construction
work on Al Manara Tower has already reached 20% and once
finished, the premium lifestyle development will be home to 300
residential units comprising studio and one & two-bedroom
apartments. The project is expected to be completed in 24
months. (GulfBase.com)
 AGT: UAE lighting industry to grow by 15% in 2015 – Al
Yousuf GreenTech (AGT) is planning to launch more energy-
efficient lighting products in the UAE. AGT’s General Manager
Mohamed Al Rashed said that the UAE lighting industry is now
worth AED1bn and is estimated to grow by 15% in 2015.
Energy-efficient lighting products make about 20% of that, but
will grow at a much higher annual growth rate of 300% in 2015,
due to new regulations on use of conventional lighting. This
enables the Dubai government to build a sustainable and eco-
friendly emirate. (GulfBase.com)
 Dubai Customs processes 4.5mn transactions in 1H2014 –
According to Dubai Customs, it processed 4.5mn transactions in
1H2014 as compared to 4.1mn in 1H2013. Dubai Customs has
seen a leap of 10% in the transactions processed in 1H2014,
reflecting the UAE’s strong economy, growing business and
investment appeal. (GulfBase.com)
 Emicool secures $245mn financing for expansion – Dubai-
based Emirates District Cooling (Emicool) has signed a
AEDh900mn 12-year facility with Dubai Islamic Bank (DIB), to
refinance its existing debt and also fund the company’s
expansion plans. Emicool – a venture between Dubai
Investments and Union Properties – offers cooling services in
some areas of the emirate and has an installed capacity of
330,000 tons of refrigerant. (Reuters)
 Mobily signs agreement with Al-Yasra – Etihad Etisalat
Company (Mobily) has signed an agreement to add Al-Yasra
Group to its exclusive list of Neqaty program partners. The
agreement allows Mobily’s subscribers to collect and also
redeem Neqaty points at global brand outlets of Al-Yasra in
Saudi Arabia. This agreement further strengthens the Neqaty
program’s position as the leading rewards program in Saudi
Arabia’s telecom industry, a program which not just allows
subscribers to earn points for their usage for Mobily services but
also collect points at select partner stores. (GulfBase.com)
 UAE's Dana Gas says tribunal gives favorable ruling on Iran
deal – UAE-based energy firm Dana Gas said an international
tribunal had issued a favorable ruling in the dispute over a
natural gas supply contract between its affiliate Crescent
Petroleum and Iran. Dana said that the tribunal issued a ruling
that a 25-year contract for National Iranian Oil Company (NIOC)
to supply gas to Crescent was valid and binding on both parties,
and that NIOC has been obligated to deliver gas since
December 2005. NIOC and Crescent signed the 25-year
contract in 2001, with the price linked to oil. But deliveries were
delayed as oil prices rose and some officials and politicians in
Iran called for a revision in the gas pricing formula. According to
sources, supplies would not begin in the near-term, since
subsidiary agreements needed to be reached and infrastructure
work completed. Sources said that the contract provides for the
UAE to import some 600mn cubic feet per day of Iranian gas,
though the actual amount will depend on many factors and may
only become clear in the coming months.(Reuters)
 $20bn Kuwait Metro to have 61 stations – The $20bn planned
Kuwait Metro Project will have 61 stations on three railway lines
covering all areas and governorates of the country. The work on
the project is expected to start in 2017, and will be implemented
on a public-private partnership basis. (GulfBase.com)
 KIPCO rejects $3.2bn offer for OSN – Kuwait Projects
Company (KIPCO) announced that it rejected a $3.2bn offer
from a US private equity firm for a majority stake in pay-
television company OSN. KIPCO owns 60.5% of OSN, while
Saudi Arabia-based Mawarid Group holds the remainder. The
offer comprised $2.4bn in cash and a further $800mn subject to
certain conditions. (Bloomberg)
 DNO Oman plans exploratory wells in Block 36 – Norwegian
oil & gas company, DNO International is planning to drill two
exploratory wells in Block 36 onshore Oman. Block 36 is a
roughly 18,000 square kilometer frontier exploration block
located in the prolific Rub Al Khali basin. According to DNO, two
of the three exploration wells drilled previously on the block have
pointed to the presence of source rock found in a majority of the
oil & gas fields discovered elsewhere around the Arabian
Peninsula. All three exploration wells had hydrocarbon shows.
(GulfBase.com)
 Oman’s MoTC awards project management contract to Hill
International – Oman’s Ministry of Transport and
Communications (MoTC) has awarded a contract to Hill
International to provide project management services in
connection with the construction of Sections 1 and 2 of the
Bidbid Sur Road. The three-year contract has an estimated
value of approximately OMR1.5mn. The OMR432mn project
includes nine interchanges, two underpasses, two overpasses,
associated retaining wall structures and approximately 171
reinforced concrete culverts. (GulfBase.com)
 NCSI: Salalah Port and SPQ cargo volumes surge –
According to a vessel movement report by National Centre for
Statistics and Information (NCSI), vessel activities at Port Sultan
Qaboos (SPQ) and Salalah Port witnessed growth in terms of
unloaded and loaded (export) cargo in 1H2014 as compared to
the same period in 2013. The total volume of cargo handled in
both ports increased by 2.5% and 34.9%, respectively, as
compared to the same period in 2013. The total volume of
unloaded cargo and loaded export cargo at Port Sultan Qaboos
during the January 2014-June 2014 period reached 2.81mn
tons, as compared to 2.75mn tons handled over the same
period in 2013. The increase is attributed to the growth of total
unloaded cargo over the same period by 0.5%, totaling 2.27mn
tons by the end of June 2014, as compared to 2.26mn tons by
the end of June 2013. Loaded cargo exports from SPQ totaled
540,000 tons in 1H2014 as compared to 496,000 tons in
1H2013, representing a growth of 8.8%. (GulfBase.com)
 BMI Bank reports loss of BHD3.1mn for 1H2014 – BMI Bank
reported a loss after provisions of BHD3.1mn for 1H2014 as
compared to a net profit of BHD540,000 in 1H2013. Total assets
at the end of 1H2014 stood at BHD760mn as against
BHD730mn a year earlier. Total loans & advances stood at the
Page 5 of 6
same level of BHD370mn at the end of 1H2014 as compared to
the figure recorded in 1H2013. Customer deposits grew from
BHD530mn at the end of 2013 to BHD550mn at the end of the
2Q204 at an annualized growth rate of 9.5%. (GulfBase.com)
 KHCB 2Q2014 net profit up 166.9% YoY – Khaleeji
Commercial Bank (KHCB) recorded a net profit of BHD1.2mn
reflecting an increase of 166.9% as compared to BHD0.45mn in
2Q2013, an increase of BHD0.865 from 1Q2014. The bank’s
financial position remains strong with a liquid asset ratio of 27.2
% and a capital adequacy ratio of 24.2 %. (GulfBase.com)
 Investcorp completes sale of SourceMedia – Investcorp has
completed the sale of SourceMedia to Observer Capital. The
sale of SourceMedia follows an active year for Investcorp’s
corporate investment group, which deployed $609mn across five
acquisitions in the fiscal year ending June 30, 2014.
(GulfBase.com)
 Al Baraka Bank posts 3.8% rise in 2Q2014 net profit –
Bahrain-based Al Baraka Banking Group posted a 3.8%
increase in 2Q2014 net income. The bank, which has operations
in the Middle East, Asia and Africa, made a net attributable profit
of $43.8mn in 2Q2014 as compared to $42.2mn in 2Q2013.
Total assets stood at $22.1bn in 1H2014, up from $19.5bn a
year earlier. (Reuters)
Contacts
Saugata Sarkar Abdullah Amin, CFA Shahan Keushgerian
Head of Research Senior Research Analyst Senior Research Analyst
Tel: (+974) 4476 6534 Tel: (+974) 4476 6569 Tel: (+974) 4476 6509
saugata.sarkar@qnbfs.com.qa abdullah.amin@qnbfs.com.qa shahan.keushgerian@qnbfs.com.qa
Sahbi Kasraoui Ahmed Al-Khoudary QNB Financial Services SPC
Manager – HNWI Head of Sales Trading – Institutional Contact Center: (+974) 4476 6666
Tel: (+974) 4476 6544 Tel: (+974) 4476 6548 PO Box 24025
sahbi.alkasraoui@qnbfs.com.qa ahmed.alkhoudary@qnbfs.com.qa Doha, Qatar
DISCLAIMER: This publication has been prepared by QNB Financial Services SPC (“QNBFS”) a wholly-owned subsidiary of Qatar National Bank (“QNB”). QNBFS is regulated by the Qatar
Financial Markets Authority and the Qatar Exchange; QNB is regulated by the Qatar Central Bank. This publication expresses the views and opinions of QNBFS at a given time only. It is not an
offer, promotion or recommendation to buy or sell securities or other investments, nor is it intended to constitute legal, tax, accounting, or financial advice. We therefore strongly advise potential
investors to seek independent professional advice before making any investment decision. Although the information in this report has been obtained from sources that QNBFS believes to be
reliable, we have not independently verified such information and it may not be accurate or complete. While this publication has been prepared with the utmost degree of care by our analysts,
QNBFS does not make any representations or warranties as to the accuracy and completeness of the information it may contain, and declines any liability in that respect. QNBFS reserves the
right to amend the views and opinions expressed in this publication at any time. It may also express viewpoints or make investment decisions that differ significantly from, or even contradict, the
views and opinions included in this report.
COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS.
Page 6 of 6
Rebased Performance Daily Index Performance
Source: Bloomberg Source: Bloomberg
Source: Bloomberg Source: Bloomberg
80.0
90.0
100.0
110.0
120.0
130.0
140.0
150.0
160.0
170.0
180.0
190.0
200.0
210.0
Jul-10 Jul-11 Jul-12 Jul-13 Jul-14
QE Index S&P Pan Arab S&P GCC
0.3%
(0.0%)
0.1%
(0.4%)
(0.1%)
0.4%
0.1%
(0.6%)
(0.4%)
(0.2%)
0.0%
0.2%
0.4%
0.6%
SaudiArabia
Qatar
Kuwait
Bahrain
Oman
AbuDhabi
Dubai
Asset/Currency Performance Close ($) 1D% WTD% YTD% Global Indices Performance Close 1D% WTD% YTD%
Gold/Ounce 1,310.95 0.0 0.0 8.7 DJ Industrial 16,553.93 0.0 0.0 (0.1)
Silver/Ounce 19.89 0.0 0.0 2.2 S&P 500 1,931.59 0.0 0.0 4.5
Crude Oil (Brent)/Barrel (FM
Future)
105.02 0.0 0.0 (5.2) NASDAQ 100 4,370.90 0.0 0.0 4.7
Natural Gas (Henry
Hub)/MMBtu
3.91 0.0 0.0 (9.9) STOXX 600 324.91 0.0 0.0 (1.0)
LPG Propane (Arab Gulf)/Ton 102.50 0.0 0.0 (18.8) DAX 9,009.32 0.0 0.0 (5.7)
LPG Butane (Arab Gulf)/Ton 118.63 0.0 0.0 (13.1) FTSE 100 6,567.36 0.0 0.0 (2.7)
Euro 1.34 0.0 0.0 (2.4) CAC 40 4,147.81 0.0 0.0 (3.4)
Yen 102.04 0.0 0.0 (3.1) Nikkei 14,778.37 0.0 0.0 (9.3)
GBP 1.68 0.0 0.0 1.3 MSCI EM 1,045.51 0.0 0.0 4.3
CHF 1.10 0.0 0.0 (1.4) SHANGHAI SE Composite 2,194.43 0.0 0.0 3.7
AUD 0.93 0.0 0.0 4.0 HANG SENG 24,331.41 0.0 0.0 4.4
USD Index 81.39 0.0 0.0 1.7 BSE SENSEX 25,329.14 0.0 0.0 19.6
RUB 36.18 0.0 0.0 10.1 Bovespa 55,572.93 0.0 0.0 7.9
BRL 0.44 0.0 0.0 3.5 RTS 1,170.60 0.0 0.0 (18.9)
187.9
161.3
145.4

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10 August Daily market report

  • 1. Page 1 of 6 QE Intra-Day Movement Qatar Commentary The QE index declined marginally to close at 13,075.4. Losses were led by the Banking & Financial Services and Telecoms indices, declining 0.6% and 0.5%, respectively. Top losers were Widam Food Co. and Qatar German Co. for Med. Dev., falling 2.3% and 2.1%, respectively. Among the top gainers, Medicare Group rose 5.5%, while Mannai Corp. was up 3.0%. GCC Commentary Saudi Arabia: The TASI index rose 0.3% to close at 10,579.1. Gains were led by the Industrial Investment and Real Estate Dev. indices, rising 0.9% and 0.8%, respectively. Al Khodari gained 9.6%, while Al Hammadi was up 7.5%. Dubai: The DFM index gained 0.1% to close at 4,740.0. The Transportation index gained 1.1%, while the Investment & Financial Serv. index rose 0.7%. Ekttitab Holding Co. rose 7.7%, while Hits Telecom Holding Co. was up 4.9%. Abu Dhabi: The ADX benchmark index rose 0.4% to close at 4,943.2. The Industrial index gained 1.3%, while the Consumer index was up 0.9%. Int. Fish Farming Holding surged 14.9%, while Ras Al Khaimah Nat. Ins. gained 7.3%. Kuwait: The KSE index gained 0.1% to close at 7,192.7. The Oil & Gas index rose 2.6%, while Consumer Services index was up 1.2%. Zima Holding Co. gained 9.3%, while National Petroleum Services Co. was up 7.0%. Oman: The MSM index declined 0.1% to close at 7,328.9. Losses were led by the Financial and Services indices declining 0.4% and 0.2%, respectively. Oman Fisheries fell 5.2%, while Oman And Emirates Inv. was down 4.9%. Bahrain: The BHB index declined 0.4% to close at 1,488.2. The Services index fell 1.3%, while the Com. Banking index was down 0.5%. Bahrain Middle East Bank declined 19.6%, while Bahrain Telecom. Co. was down 2.6%. Qatar Exchange Top Gainers Close* 1D% Vol. ‘000 YTD% Medicare Group 125.20 5.5 158.5 138.5 Mannai Corp. 117.70 3.0 269.0 30.9 Zad Holding Co. 89.00 2.3 2.0 28.1 Mazaya Qatar Real Estate Dev. 22.50 2.1 2,777.0 101.3 Qatar Islamic Insurance Co. 86.00 2.0 27.8 48.5 Qatar Exchange Top Vol. Trades Close* 1D% Vol. ‘000 YTD% Mazaya Qatar Real Estate Dev. 22.50 2.1 2,777.0 101.3 Ezdan Holding Group 19.80 (0.5) 1,501.9 16.5 Masraf Al Rayan 53.90 0.2 813.5 72.2 Salam International Investment Co. 20.10 0.0 595.8 54.5 Qatari Investors Group 57.20 1.4 572.3 30.9 Market Indicators 10 Aug 14 07 Aug 14 %Chg. Value Traded (QR mn) 614.9 630.5 (2.5) Exch. Market Cap. (QR mn) 693,699.4 695,561.8 (0.3) Volume (mn) 12.8 13.7 (6.2) Number of Transactions 6,908 7,177 (3.7) Companies Traded 42 42 0.0 Market Breadth 18:19 24:14 – Market Indices Close 1D% WTD% YTD% TTM P/E Total Return 19,501.88 (0.0) (0.0) 31.5 N/A All Share Index 3,302.52 (0.1) (0.1) 27.6 16.0 Banks 3,148.28 (0.6) (0.6) 28.8 15.4 Industrials 4,302.39 0.3 0.3 22.9 16.6 Transportation 2,337.58 0.4 0.4 25.8 15.0 Real Estate 2,843.65 0.4 0.4 45.6 15.3 Insurance 3,864.68 0.5 0.5 65.4 12.2 Telecoms 1,590.23 (0.5) (0.5) 9.4 22.5 Consumer 7,401.78 0.8 0.8 24.4 27.8 Al Rayan Islamic Index 4,500.20 0.5 0.5 48.2 19.3 GCC Top Gainers## Exchange Close# 1D% Vol. ‘000 YTD% Al Abdullatif Industrial Saudi Arabia 47.96 4.4 2,415.3 17.0 Mannai Corp. Qatar 117.70 3.0 269.0 30.9 Herfy Food Services Saudi Arabia 108.55 2.8 288.6 36.9 National Real Estate Kuwait 0.15 2.7 1,124.5 5.0 Saudi British Bank Saudi Arabia 60.00 2.3 410.3 36.4 GCC Top Losers## Exchange Close# 1D% Vol. ‘000 YTD% Drake & Skull Int. Dubai 1.37 (4.2) 13,626.3 (4.9) Jazeera Airways Kuwait 0.45 (3.3) 25.9 (10.1) Bahrain Telecom Co. Bahrain 0.37 (2.6) 16.0 29.5 Boubyan Petrochem.Co. Kuwait 0.75 (2.6) 68.7 21.2 Sahara Petrochem. Co. Saudi Arabia 25.05 (2.1) 4,366.8 26.5 Source: Bloomberg ( # in Local Currency) ( ## GCC Top gainers/losers derived from the Bloomberg GCC 200 Index comprising of the top 200 regional equities based on market capitalization and liquidity) Qatar Exchange Top Losers Close* 1D% Vol. ‘000 YTD% Widam Food Co. 56.40 (2.3) 391.6 9.1 Qatar German Co. for Med. Dev. 13.80 (2.1) 231.4 (0.4) QNB Group 178.10 (1.8) 127.0 3.5 Vodafone Qatar 19.50 (1.4) 501.9 82.1 Qatar National Cement Co. 134.50 (1.4) 1.5 13.0 Qatar Exchange Top Val. Trades Close* 1D% Val. ‘000 YTD% Mazaya Qatar Real Estate Dev. 22.50 2.1 62,668.9 101.3 Qatar Electricity & Water Co. 184.00 (0.3) 56,085.8 11.3 Masraf Al Rayan 53.90 0.2 43,665.9 72.2 Industries Qatar 170.20 0.4 35,769.5 0.8 Qatari Investors Group 57.20 1.4 32,774.7 30.9 Source: Bloomberg (* in QR) Regional Indices Close 1D% WTD% MTD% YTD% Exch. Val. Traded ($ mn) Exchange Mkt. Cap. ($ mn) P/E** P/B** Dividend Yield Qatar* 13,075.43 (0.0) (0.0) 1.5 26.0 168.87 190,489.9 16.1 2.2 3.8 Dubai 4,739.95 0.1 0.1 (1.9) 40.7 79.01 92,858.6 20.9 1.8 2.2 Abu Dhabi 4,943.20 0.4 0.4 (2.2) 15.2 29.47 136,028.1 14.0 1.7 3.4 Saudi Arabia 10,579.12 0.3 0.3 3.6 23.9 2,350.55 576,728.8 20.3 2.6 2.7 Kuwait 7,192.70 0.1 0.1 0.9 (4.7) 43.50 112,569.2 17.1 1.1 3.8 Oman 7,328.91 (0.1) (0.1) 1.8 7.2 13.90 26,929.4 11.4 1.8 3.8 Bahrain 1,488.21 (0.4) (0.4) 1.1 19.2 0.42 54,494.1 11.7 1.0 4.6 Source: Bloomberg, Qatar Exchange, Tadawul, Muscat Securities Exchange, Dubai Financial Market and Zawya (** TTM; * Value traded ($ mn) do not include special trades, if any) 13,000 13,020 13,040 13,060 13,080 13,100 9:30 10:00 10:30 11:00 11:30 12:00 12:30 13:00
  • 2. Page 2 of 6 Qatar Market Commentary  The QE index declined marginally to close at 13,075.4. The Banking & Fin. Ser. and Tele. indices led the losses. The index fell on the back of selling pressure from Qatari shareholders despite buying support from non-Qatari shareholders.  Widam Food Co. and Qatar German Co. for Med. Dev. were the top losers, falling 2.3% and 2.1%, respectively. Among the top gainers, Medicare Group rose 5.5%, while Mannai Corp. was up 3.0%.  Volume of shares traded on Sunday fell by 6.2% to 12.8mn from 13.7mn on Thursday. Further, as compared to the 30-day moving average of 15.0mn, volume for the day was 14.2% lower. Mazaya Qatar Real Estate Dev. and Ezdan Holding Group were the most active stocks, contributing 21.6% and 11.7% to the total volume respectively. Source: Qatar Exchange (* as a % of traded value) Earnings Earnings Releases Company Market Currency Revenue (mn)2Q2014 % Change YoY Operating Profit (mn) 2Q2014 % Change YoY Net Profit (mn) 2Q2014 % Change YoY Gulf Pharmaceutical Industries (Julphar) Abu Dhabi AED 368.3 0.6% – – 48.8 -10.4% Oman Insurance Co. (OIC) Dubai AED 789.3 12.9% -9.2 NA 63.9 29.1% Drake & Scull International (DSI) Dubai AED 1,101.4 -17.8% 24.9 -69.5% 25.9 -41.1% Agility Logistics (Agility) Dubai KD – – – – 12.9 11.8% Oman & Emirates Investment Holding Co. * Oman OMR – – – – 1.0 4.2% Al Madina Investment** Oman OMR – – – – -0.7 NA Ominvest* Oman OMR – – – – 9.4 20.1% Source: Company data, DFM, ADX, MSM (* 1H2014 results, ** 1Q2015 results) News Qatar  IQCD posts weak 2Q2014 results – We expect to lower our estimates post discussion with management; maintain Accumulate rating given solid dividend yield and IQCD’s status as a core long-term holding. With QR2.84bn posted in 1H2014 net income, our QR7.94bn estimate for FY2014 net income (Bloomberg consensus: QR7.98bn) is clearly at risk. On the plus side, a significant portion of planned shutdowns are behind us (3Q2014 planned schedule – LLDPE: 5 days; steel: 86 days [less than 10% of total production days]) and urea prices have strengthened sequentially in 3Q2014. Moreover, IQCD stock continues to provide a solid dividend yield (6.5% at QR11 a share [in line with 2013] and 5.9% at QR10/share) and we believe a significant dividend cut remains unlikely; IQCD’s liquidity position remains solid at QR6.3bn. We recommend investors Accumulate the stock on dips. Reported 2Q2014 net profit misses estimates significantly due to prolonged fertilizer shutdowns and lower-than-expected steel profitability. IQCD posted 2Q2014 net income of QR1.25bn (- 21% QoQ, -38% YoY) vs. our estimate/Bloomberg consensus of QR1.77bn/QR1.71bn. Share of results of JVs, which includes the company’s share of profits from petrochemicals and fertilizers, came in at QR857mn (-28% QoQ, -45% YoY) and was also below our expectation significantly. 2Q2014 profitability was impacted by significant planned/unplanned fertilizer shutdowns, while steel margins also declined. Group EBITDA came in at QR1.31bn (-20% QoQ, -37% YoY). Petrochemicals (incl. fuel additives) performance was modestly lower vs. our expectations. Revenue of QR1.47bn (+1% QoQ, +29% YoY) was marginally lower than our model, while net income of QR627mn (-8% QoQ, -26% YoY) also modestly fell short of our estimate. PE prices gained QoQ and YoY, while sales volumes improved sequentially given maintenance-related shutdowns in 1Q2014; in terms of 1H2014 shutdowns, the company’s ethylene plants lost an average 36 days per plant (all in 1Q2014), LDPE lost 41 days per plant (12 days in 2Q2014) and LLDPE lost 32 days (14 days in 2Q), following the general shutdown. LDPE and LLDPE prices increased 11.3% YoY and 7.3% YoY, respectively. In terms of fuel additives, methanol prices gained 27.7% YoY to $421/MT but came off more than 30% , on average, vs. 1Q2014 according to IQCD; Methanol and MTBE lost a further 83 days in 2Q2014 (following 27 days in 1Q2014) following routine, planned maintenance. Overall, 2Q2014 utilization rate dropped further to 75.5% vs. 82% in 1Q (prior historical average range of 95%-110%.) Net margins dipped to 43% vs. 47% in 1Q2014 given lower fuel additive (primarily Methanol) pricing and increased opex. Fertilizer profitability bear the brunt of weak urea realizations and longer-than-anticipated shutdowns. Revenue of QR1.15bn (- 17% QoQ, -30% YoY) modestly disappointed; urea price realizations dropped 22.7% to $295/MT vs. $382/MT in 1Q2014 offsetting a marginal sequential increase in sales volume. However, much higher-than-expected shutdowns, along with increased opex, hurt profits, sending net margins to 20% in 2Q2014 vs. 37% in 1Q2014. Specifically on shutdowns, IQCD reported that QAFCO’s ammonia trains 1-4 experienced unplanned shutdowns. In 2Q2014, the company recorded an additional 149 days of downtime (vs. 76 days in 1Q2014). Overall, IQCD faced 225 lost days in 1H2014 vs. a budget of 160 days due to planned and unplanned shutdowns sending its segment utilization to 88.5% for 1H2014 vs. 97.5% in 1H2013. Launch and initial ramp-up of the new steel melt shop (1.1 MTPA billet-capacity) aided steel revenue growth but profitability fell below estimates. For 2Q2014, QASCO Overall Activity Buy %* Sell %* Net (QR) Qatari 70.19% 72.53% (14,433,288.55) Non-Qatari 29.81% 27.47% 14,433,288.55
  • 3. Page 3 of 6 recorded revenue of QR1.82bn (+38% QoQ, +28% YoY) that handily beat our estimate. While rebar price declined modestly to QR2,389/MT vs. QR2,427/MT in 1Q2014, production from the new EF-5 facility aided revenue. In 1H2014, a significant portion of EF-5’s billet to date production of 336,000 MT was sold to the 100%-owned Dubai subsidiary Qatar Steel FZE to boost its wire rod and rolling mill utilization rates; IQCD expects EF-5 production levels to gradually improve over the year. Overall, the steel segment sold an additional 167,000 MT of billets and 91,000 MT of DRI/HBI in 2Q2014 vs. 1Q2014 to drive sequential revenue growth. Net income of QR370mn (+3% QoQ, -17% YoY) implied that net margins deteriorated sequentially to 20% vs. 27% in 1Q2014 due to increased raw material costs primarily associated with the EF-5 launch despite a QoQ decline in iron ore prices. Catalysts: Future capacity expansions and dividend growth. Access to incremental feedstock supply could reignite earnings growth in the future. In the interim, investors should benefit from IQCD’s industry- leading dividend yield. Moreover, startup of commercial production from the Al Sejeel Petrochemical project in early 2019 should boost petrochemical production capacity by around 25%; we will incorporate this project into our model as more details become available. (QNBFS Research, IQCD Press Release)  WDAM reports QR14.5 net profit in 2Q2014 – Widam Food Company (WDAM) reported a net profit of QR14.5mn in 2Q2014 as compared to QR19.4mn in 1Q2014 (net profit of QR33.9mn in 1H2014 compared to QR32.4mn in 1H2013). The Company’s EPS amounted to QR1.88 in 1H2014 versus QR1.80 in 1H2013. The company reported impairment on projects of QR4mn in 1H2014 which adversely impacted its bottom-line. WDAM’s revenue increased 30.8% YoY to QR98.9mn in 2Q2014. For 1H2014, the company’s revenue grew 27.8% YoY to QR195.4mn. (QE)  ORDS names Uber global Nojoom partner – Ooredoo (ORDS) has announced Uber, a smartphone application evolving the way the world moves, as the newest international partner to join the 150+ Nojoom partner network. Nojoom members can now earn and redeem Nojoom Points with Uber rides in over 140 cities across 40 countries. (Peninsula Qatar) International  Europe’s growth engine stutters as Spain beats Germany – Germany probably underperformed Spain last quarter for the first time in more than five years as the Euro area recovery almost ground to a halt. According to a Bloomberg News survey, after leading the currency bloc out of its longest-ever recession last year, Europe’s largest economy contracted in the three months through June. The downturn in the region’s powerhouse highlights the fragility of a revival that European Central Bank (ECB) President Mario Draghi has described as modest and uneven. The 18-nation Euro area is struggling to boost growth and inflation (ECCPEMUY) even amid unprecedented ECB stimulus, with Draghi citing inadequate structural reforms as a key reason. While the German data is distorted by mild winter weather that front-loaded output earlier in the year, Bundesbank President Jens Weidmann has warned that the country must also adjust or risk losing its role as a growth engine. According to the median estimate in the Bloomberg survey, German GDP shrank 0.1% in the three months through June, the first contraction since 2012. Separate surveys show the economies of the Euro area and France grew 0.1%. (Bloomberg)  UK record-low interest rate is justified – According to a Bloomberg survey, Mark Carney’s justification for keeping the Bank of England’s(BoE) benchmark interest rate at a record low has the backing of economists. Sixty-seven percent of 33 respondents said there is still enough slack in the economy to justify holding the key rate at 0.5%, where it has been since March 2009. The BoE has put spare capacity at about 1% to 1.5% of GDP. As Carney prepares to publish new forecasts in two days and update investors on his views, the level of slack remains a pivotal issue. Conflicting signals from wage and employment data are dividing the Monetary Policy Committee over how the pick-up in the economy will feed through to inflation and when rate increases need to start. Eleven of the 21 economists in the Bloomberg survey agree with the BoE’s assessment that the slack in the economy is within its estimated range. Nine said it is less than 1%, and one said it was more than 1.5% of GDP. Carney said last month that while there may be more labor supply than previously thought, it is also true that the spare capacity is being used up a bit more rapidly than BoE had expected. (Bloomberg)  China loosens monetary conditions in test of credit power – According to Bloomberg LP gauge, China loosened monetary conditions last quarter at the fastest pace in almost two years, testing the waning effectiveness of credit in supporting economic growth. Bloomberg’s new China Monetary Conditions Index – a weighted average of loan growth, real interest rates and China’s real effective exchange rate – rose 6.71 points to 82.81 in the second quarter from the previous three months. That’s the biggest jump since the July-September period of 2012, with May and June’s numbers the first back-to-back readings above 80 since January 2012. According to a Bloomberg News survey of analysts, New Yuan loans in July will be a record high for that month, suggesting officials are keeping the credit spigot open even as debt risks mount. While consumer inflation below the government’s goal allows room for more easing, economic data will determine how far policy makers go. (Bloomberg) Regional  Korea, GCC to diversify economic ties to boost growth – The Head of the Middle East and Africa Team, Korea Institute for International Economic Policy has called for diversification of economic cooperation between South Korea and the GCC countries. The GCC countries are Korea’s major trading partners in the Middle East (Mideast). Exports from Korea to the GCC reached $17.8bn in 2013, accounting for 3.2% of the country’s exports. Major export products include automobiles, steel products, machinery, and electronics. Korea’s imports from the GCC were valued at $105.8bn in 2013, making up a fifth of all imports. The reason for this wide trade imbalance is that Korea imports large amounts of oil & gas from the GCC; indeed, the GCC supplied 71.2% of Korea’s crude oil imports and 52.4% of its natural gas imports in 2013. (GulfBase.com)  NCB: Saudi Arabia expands ethylene output capacity – According to a report released by NCB’s Economics Department Research Team, Saudi Arabia is maintaining its leading position as the region’s largest petrochemical producer with an annual 86.4mn tons of capacity. The majority of capacity additions within the GCC region during the 2007-2012 period took place in Saudi Arabia, which accounted for 64% of the region’s capacity additions. With 17.5mn tons per year, Saudi Arabia is the largest ethylene producer in the region, representing 72% of the regional ethylene capacity, up by 7.7mn tons per year as compared to five years ago. This expansion in ethylene production capacity has resulted in Saudi Arabia becoming the third-largest producer worldwide, constituting 11% of global ethylene capacity. (GulfBase.com)  Maaden submits capital increase request to Saudi CMA – Saudi Arabian Mining Company (Maaden) has submitted a
  • 4. Page 4 of 6 capital increase request to the Saudi Capital Market Authority (CMA). The announcement is in reference with its previous announcement about the board’s recommendation on increasing capital through a rights issue. (Tadawul)  Saudi PetroRabigh restarts units after Saturday shutdown – Saudi Arabia’s PetroRabigh is gradually resuming production after a technical failure at one of its units forced a shutdown of some operations on Saturday. The unit, which handles air supply for control systems, has now restarted and other units are gradually coming back online, with normal operations expected to resume by this Friday. The disruption will cause PetroRabigh’s 3Q2014 profit to fall by nearly SR30mn. (Bloomberg)  Tiger Properties launches Al Manara Tower – UAE-based Tiger Properties has launched Al Manara Tower in Jumeirah Village Circle at a cost of over AED200mn. The construction work on Al Manara Tower has already reached 20% and once finished, the premium lifestyle development will be home to 300 residential units comprising studio and one & two-bedroom apartments. The project is expected to be completed in 24 months. (GulfBase.com)  AGT: UAE lighting industry to grow by 15% in 2015 – Al Yousuf GreenTech (AGT) is planning to launch more energy- efficient lighting products in the UAE. AGT’s General Manager Mohamed Al Rashed said that the UAE lighting industry is now worth AED1bn and is estimated to grow by 15% in 2015. Energy-efficient lighting products make about 20% of that, but will grow at a much higher annual growth rate of 300% in 2015, due to new regulations on use of conventional lighting. This enables the Dubai government to build a sustainable and eco- friendly emirate. (GulfBase.com)  Dubai Customs processes 4.5mn transactions in 1H2014 – According to Dubai Customs, it processed 4.5mn transactions in 1H2014 as compared to 4.1mn in 1H2013. Dubai Customs has seen a leap of 10% in the transactions processed in 1H2014, reflecting the UAE’s strong economy, growing business and investment appeal. (GulfBase.com)  Emicool secures $245mn financing for expansion – Dubai- based Emirates District Cooling (Emicool) has signed a AEDh900mn 12-year facility with Dubai Islamic Bank (DIB), to refinance its existing debt and also fund the company’s expansion plans. Emicool – a venture between Dubai Investments and Union Properties – offers cooling services in some areas of the emirate and has an installed capacity of 330,000 tons of refrigerant. (Reuters)  Mobily signs agreement with Al-Yasra – Etihad Etisalat Company (Mobily) has signed an agreement to add Al-Yasra Group to its exclusive list of Neqaty program partners. The agreement allows Mobily’s subscribers to collect and also redeem Neqaty points at global brand outlets of Al-Yasra in Saudi Arabia. This agreement further strengthens the Neqaty program’s position as the leading rewards program in Saudi Arabia’s telecom industry, a program which not just allows subscribers to earn points for their usage for Mobily services but also collect points at select partner stores. (GulfBase.com)  UAE's Dana Gas says tribunal gives favorable ruling on Iran deal – UAE-based energy firm Dana Gas said an international tribunal had issued a favorable ruling in the dispute over a natural gas supply contract between its affiliate Crescent Petroleum and Iran. Dana said that the tribunal issued a ruling that a 25-year contract for National Iranian Oil Company (NIOC) to supply gas to Crescent was valid and binding on both parties, and that NIOC has been obligated to deliver gas since December 2005. NIOC and Crescent signed the 25-year contract in 2001, with the price linked to oil. But deliveries were delayed as oil prices rose and some officials and politicians in Iran called for a revision in the gas pricing formula. According to sources, supplies would not begin in the near-term, since subsidiary agreements needed to be reached and infrastructure work completed. Sources said that the contract provides for the UAE to import some 600mn cubic feet per day of Iranian gas, though the actual amount will depend on many factors and may only become clear in the coming months.(Reuters)  $20bn Kuwait Metro to have 61 stations – The $20bn planned Kuwait Metro Project will have 61 stations on three railway lines covering all areas and governorates of the country. The work on the project is expected to start in 2017, and will be implemented on a public-private partnership basis. (GulfBase.com)  KIPCO rejects $3.2bn offer for OSN – Kuwait Projects Company (KIPCO) announced that it rejected a $3.2bn offer from a US private equity firm for a majority stake in pay- television company OSN. KIPCO owns 60.5% of OSN, while Saudi Arabia-based Mawarid Group holds the remainder. The offer comprised $2.4bn in cash and a further $800mn subject to certain conditions. (Bloomberg)  DNO Oman plans exploratory wells in Block 36 – Norwegian oil & gas company, DNO International is planning to drill two exploratory wells in Block 36 onshore Oman. Block 36 is a roughly 18,000 square kilometer frontier exploration block located in the prolific Rub Al Khali basin. According to DNO, two of the three exploration wells drilled previously on the block have pointed to the presence of source rock found in a majority of the oil & gas fields discovered elsewhere around the Arabian Peninsula. All three exploration wells had hydrocarbon shows. (GulfBase.com)  Oman’s MoTC awards project management contract to Hill International – Oman’s Ministry of Transport and Communications (MoTC) has awarded a contract to Hill International to provide project management services in connection with the construction of Sections 1 and 2 of the Bidbid Sur Road. The three-year contract has an estimated value of approximately OMR1.5mn. The OMR432mn project includes nine interchanges, two underpasses, two overpasses, associated retaining wall structures and approximately 171 reinforced concrete culverts. (GulfBase.com)  NCSI: Salalah Port and SPQ cargo volumes surge – According to a vessel movement report by National Centre for Statistics and Information (NCSI), vessel activities at Port Sultan Qaboos (SPQ) and Salalah Port witnessed growth in terms of unloaded and loaded (export) cargo in 1H2014 as compared to the same period in 2013. The total volume of cargo handled in both ports increased by 2.5% and 34.9%, respectively, as compared to the same period in 2013. The total volume of unloaded cargo and loaded export cargo at Port Sultan Qaboos during the January 2014-June 2014 period reached 2.81mn tons, as compared to 2.75mn tons handled over the same period in 2013. The increase is attributed to the growth of total unloaded cargo over the same period by 0.5%, totaling 2.27mn tons by the end of June 2014, as compared to 2.26mn tons by the end of June 2013. Loaded cargo exports from SPQ totaled 540,000 tons in 1H2014 as compared to 496,000 tons in 1H2013, representing a growth of 8.8%. (GulfBase.com)  BMI Bank reports loss of BHD3.1mn for 1H2014 – BMI Bank reported a loss after provisions of BHD3.1mn for 1H2014 as compared to a net profit of BHD540,000 in 1H2013. Total assets at the end of 1H2014 stood at BHD760mn as against BHD730mn a year earlier. Total loans & advances stood at the
  • 5. Page 5 of 6 same level of BHD370mn at the end of 1H2014 as compared to the figure recorded in 1H2013. Customer deposits grew from BHD530mn at the end of 2013 to BHD550mn at the end of the 2Q204 at an annualized growth rate of 9.5%. (GulfBase.com)  KHCB 2Q2014 net profit up 166.9% YoY – Khaleeji Commercial Bank (KHCB) recorded a net profit of BHD1.2mn reflecting an increase of 166.9% as compared to BHD0.45mn in 2Q2013, an increase of BHD0.865 from 1Q2014. The bank’s financial position remains strong with a liquid asset ratio of 27.2 % and a capital adequacy ratio of 24.2 %. (GulfBase.com)  Investcorp completes sale of SourceMedia – Investcorp has completed the sale of SourceMedia to Observer Capital. The sale of SourceMedia follows an active year for Investcorp’s corporate investment group, which deployed $609mn across five acquisitions in the fiscal year ending June 30, 2014. (GulfBase.com)  Al Baraka Bank posts 3.8% rise in 2Q2014 net profit – Bahrain-based Al Baraka Banking Group posted a 3.8% increase in 2Q2014 net income. The bank, which has operations in the Middle East, Asia and Africa, made a net attributable profit of $43.8mn in 2Q2014 as compared to $42.2mn in 2Q2013. Total assets stood at $22.1bn in 1H2014, up from $19.5bn a year earlier. (Reuters)
  • 6. Contacts Saugata Sarkar Abdullah Amin, CFA Shahan Keushgerian Head of Research Senior Research Analyst Senior Research Analyst Tel: (+974) 4476 6534 Tel: (+974) 4476 6569 Tel: (+974) 4476 6509 saugata.sarkar@qnbfs.com.qa abdullah.amin@qnbfs.com.qa shahan.keushgerian@qnbfs.com.qa Sahbi Kasraoui Ahmed Al-Khoudary QNB Financial Services SPC Manager – HNWI Head of Sales Trading – Institutional Contact Center: (+974) 4476 6666 Tel: (+974) 4476 6544 Tel: (+974) 4476 6548 PO Box 24025 sahbi.alkasraoui@qnbfs.com.qa ahmed.alkhoudary@qnbfs.com.qa Doha, Qatar DISCLAIMER: This publication has been prepared by QNB Financial Services SPC (“QNBFS”) a wholly-owned subsidiary of Qatar National Bank (“QNB”). QNBFS is regulated by the Qatar Financial Markets Authority and the Qatar Exchange; QNB is regulated by the Qatar Central Bank. This publication expresses the views and opinions of QNBFS at a given time only. It is not an offer, promotion or recommendation to buy or sell securities or other investments, nor is it intended to constitute legal, tax, accounting, or financial advice. We therefore strongly advise potential investors to seek independent professional advice before making any investment decision. Although the information in this report has been obtained from sources that QNBFS believes to be reliable, we have not independently verified such information and it may not be accurate or complete. While this publication has been prepared with the utmost degree of care by our analysts, QNBFS does not make any representations or warranties as to the accuracy and completeness of the information it may contain, and declines any liability in that respect. QNBFS reserves the right to amend the views and opinions expressed in this publication at any time. It may also express viewpoints or make investment decisions that differ significantly from, or even contradict, the views and opinions included in this report. COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS. Page 6 of 6 Rebased Performance Daily Index Performance Source: Bloomberg Source: Bloomberg Source: Bloomberg Source: Bloomberg 80.0 90.0 100.0 110.0 120.0 130.0 140.0 150.0 160.0 170.0 180.0 190.0 200.0 210.0 Jul-10 Jul-11 Jul-12 Jul-13 Jul-14 QE Index S&P Pan Arab S&P GCC 0.3% (0.0%) 0.1% (0.4%) (0.1%) 0.4% 0.1% (0.6%) (0.4%) (0.2%) 0.0% 0.2% 0.4% 0.6% SaudiArabia Qatar Kuwait Bahrain Oman AbuDhabi Dubai Asset/Currency Performance Close ($) 1D% WTD% YTD% Global Indices Performance Close 1D% WTD% YTD% Gold/Ounce 1,310.95 0.0 0.0 8.7 DJ Industrial 16,553.93 0.0 0.0 (0.1) Silver/Ounce 19.89 0.0 0.0 2.2 S&P 500 1,931.59 0.0 0.0 4.5 Crude Oil (Brent)/Barrel (FM Future) 105.02 0.0 0.0 (5.2) NASDAQ 100 4,370.90 0.0 0.0 4.7 Natural Gas (Henry Hub)/MMBtu 3.91 0.0 0.0 (9.9) STOXX 600 324.91 0.0 0.0 (1.0) LPG Propane (Arab Gulf)/Ton 102.50 0.0 0.0 (18.8) DAX 9,009.32 0.0 0.0 (5.7) LPG Butane (Arab Gulf)/Ton 118.63 0.0 0.0 (13.1) FTSE 100 6,567.36 0.0 0.0 (2.7) Euro 1.34 0.0 0.0 (2.4) CAC 40 4,147.81 0.0 0.0 (3.4) Yen 102.04 0.0 0.0 (3.1) Nikkei 14,778.37 0.0 0.0 (9.3) GBP 1.68 0.0 0.0 1.3 MSCI EM 1,045.51 0.0 0.0 4.3 CHF 1.10 0.0 0.0 (1.4) SHANGHAI SE Composite 2,194.43 0.0 0.0 3.7 AUD 0.93 0.0 0.0 4.0 HANG SENG 24,331.41 0.0 0.0 4.4 USD Index 81.39 0.0 0.0 1.7 BSE SENSEX 25,329.14 0.0 0.0 19.6 RUB 36.18 0.0 0.0 10.1 Bovespa 55,572.93 0.0 0.0 7.9 BRL 0.44 0.0 0.0 3.5 RTS 1,170.60 0.0 0.0 (18.9) 187.9 161.3 145.4