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LBS – LONDON
BUSINESS SCHOOL
BREAKFAST
24 April 2013
Dubai
Macro Numbers
Jan 2005-Mar 2013
AUGUST 2008
OCT 2011
Pre-2008
Jan 05-Aug 08 – 44 months
83%
Jan 07-Aug 08 – 20 months
46%
Jan 08-Aug 08 – 8
months 14%
22919 Sales Transactions
10645 Mortgages 46.44%
Post-2008
Aug 08-Oct11 – 40 months -35%
65606 Sales Transactions
20979 Mortgages 32%
Arab Spring Timeline
Post-Arab Spring
Oct 11- Mar 13 – 18 months 22%
Mar 12 – Mar 13 12 months 17%
25384 Sales Transactions
8064 Mortgages 32%
YTD 2013
6292 Sales Transactions
2359 Mortgages 37%
Mar12-Apr 13
22365 Sales Transactions
7190 Mortgages 32%
Crude Oil Price History vs Dubai Real
Estate Residential Price Index
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
December30,2005
March3,2006
May5,2006
July7,2006
September8,2006
November10,2006
January12,2007
March16,2007
May18,2007
July20,2007
September21,2007
November23,2007
January18,2008
March21,2008
May23,2008
July25,2008
September26,2008
November28,2008
January23,2009
March27,2009
May29,2009
July31,2009
October2,2009
December4,2009
February6,2010
April9,2010
June11,2010
August13,2010
October15,2010
December17,2010
February18,2011
April22,2011
June24,2011
August26,2011
October28,2011
December30,2011
March2,2012
May4,2012
July6,2012
September7,2012
November9,2012
January4,2013
March8,2013
AUGUST 2008
OCT 2011
Rental Clock
Where in Dubai?
Oct11-Mar13
Emirates Living Area Wide 27.3%
Jumeirah Lake Towers Area Wide 26.7%
Discovery Gardens Area Wide 25.5%
Dubai Marina Area Wide 22.2%
Business Bay Area Wide 21.9%
International City Area Wide 16.0%
Palm Jumeirah Area Wide 15.4%
Dubai Sports City Area Wide 5.1%
Mar12-Mar13
Jumeirah Lake Towers Area Wide 20.3%
Emirates Living Area Wide 20.1%
International City Area Wide 19.6%
Dubai Marina Area Wide 16.3%
Business Bay Area Wide 15.9%
Discovery Gardens Area Wide 13.7%
Palm Jumeirah Area Wide 11.8%
Dubai Sports City Area Wide 5.1%
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Presentation @ the LBS - London Business School Breakfast

  • 1. LBS – LONDON BUSINESS SCHOOL BREAKFAST 24 April 2013 Dubai
  • 3. Jan 2005-Mar 2013 AUGUST 2008 OCT 2011
  • 4. Pre-2008 Jan 05-Aug 08 – 44 months 83% Jan 07-Aug 08 – 20 months 46% Jan 08-Aug 08 – 8 months 14% 22919 Sales Transactions 10645 Mortgages 46.44%
  • 5. Post-2008 Aug 08-Oct11 – 40 months -35% 65606 Sales Transactions 20979 Mortgages 32%
  • 7. Post-Arab Spring Oct 11- Mar 13 – 18 months 22% Mar 12 – Mar 13 12 months 17% 25384 Sales Transactions 8064 Mortgages 32% YTD 2013 6292 Sales Transactions 2359 Mortgages 37% Mar12-Apr 13 22365 Sales Transactions 7190 Mortgages 32%
  • 8. Crude Oil Price History vs Dubai Real Estate Residential Price Index 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 December30,2005 March3,2006 May5,2006 July7,2006 September8,2006 November10,2006 January12,2007 March16,2007 May18,2007 July20,2007 September21,2007 November23,2007 January18,2008 March21,2008 May23,2008 July25,2008 September26,2008 November28,2008 January23,2009 March27,2009 May29,2009 July31,2009 October2,2009 December4,2009 February6,2010 April9,2010 June11,2010 August13,2010 October15,2010 December17,2010 February18,2011 April22,2011 June24,2011 August26,2011 October28,2011 December30,2011 March2,2012 May4,2012 July6,2012 September7,2012 November9,2012 January4,2013 March8,2013 AUGUST 2008 OCT 2011
  • 10. Where in Dubai? Oct11-Mar13 Emirates Living Area Wide 27.3% Jumeirah Lake Towers Area Wide 26.7% Discovery Gardens Area Wide 25.5% Dubai Marina Area Wide 22.2% Business Bay Area Wide 21.9% International City Area Wide 16.0% Palm Jumeirah Area Wide 15.4% Dubai Sports City Area Wide 5.1% Mar12-Mar13 Jumeirah Lake Towers Area Wide 20.3% Emirates Living Area Wide 20.1% International City Area Wide 19.6% Dubai Marina Area Wide 16.3% Business Bay Area Wide 15.9% Discovery Gardens Area Wide 13.7% Palm Jumeirah Area Wide 11.8% Dubai Sports City Area Wide 5.1%