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Water Management Challenges
Under Drought Conditions
Consensus Building and Awareness Workshop,
Iraq Drought Risk Management Project
Beirut, Lebanon                 Ralf Klingbeil
27 March 2012                   Regional Advisor Environment & Water
Iraq’s Perspective on Droughts?




Cornish, 2009. Australias Drought, www.slideshare.net/mrcornish/australias-drought , accessed 25 Mar 2012
  27 March 2012                           www.escwa.un.org                                          2
Outline
•   Impact of Drought
•   Definition and Classification of Drought
•   Drought Relation to Water
•   Challenges to Water Management
•   Drought Relation to Climate Change
•   Recommendations
•   Drought: A Management Issue ?



27 March 2012          www.escwa.un.org        3
Iraq – Displacement due to Drought




                                          IOM, July 2010
27 March 2012      www.escwa.un.org                4
Iraq – Water Needs 2008 - 2010




                                         IOM, July 2010
27 March 2012       www.escwa.un.org              5
Arab Countries’ Water Availability and Use




                                          www.carboun.com, 2011
27 March 2012          www.escwa.un.org                   6
Water – Overall Challenges
•   Status and Trends
•   Availability vs. Use and Demand
•   Renewable vs. Non-Renewable
•   Population Growth and Agriculture
•   Pollution – Reduction of Available Resources
•   Virtual Water
•   Water Imports and Transfers
•   Desalination
•   Transboundary Water and Aquifers
•   ... and Climate Change
27 March 2012            www.escwa.un.org          7
Water – Key Challenges for Iraq
• Increasing population and water needs across the Tigris and
  Euphrates River Basins;
• Conflicting and uncoordinated use of water across the Tigris
  and Euphrates River Basins among riparian countries;
• Increasing variability and intensity of the hydrological cycles
  with a special impact on droughts;
• Fast aging of a large portion of the water infrastructures across
  the country (dams, irrigation and drainage systems, etc);
• Severe land degradation due to poor land management and
  water quality;
• Poor practices in Water Resources Management
• Severe water sanitary issues especially in the Center-South of
  country
Cattarossi, A.., 2011. SWLRI. MED INGEGNERIA s.r.l., Pres. at donor coordination meeting, 23 Nov 2011
27 March 2012                          www.escwa.un.org                                         8
Euphrates: Quantities and Qualities




                Grey, D. & Blackmore, D., 2011. Pres. at donor coordination meeting, Sep 2011
27 March 2012                 www.escwa.un.org                                          9
Euphrates/Tigris: Salinity
Arid zone rivers: salinity increases downstream
• Storage construction over past 30 years reduced
  “dilution flows” reaching Iraq
• Large geological salt stores mobilised by
  irrigation development
• Storages with large surface area & high
  evaporation increasing river salinity levels in mid
  & lower Basin
• Irrigation drainage returns bring large salt load to
  river
                 Grey, D. & Blackmore, D., 2011. Pres. at donor coordination meeting, Sep 2011
27 March 2012                  www.escwa.un.org                                        10
Climate Change: Potential Impacts
• Coupled with excessive population growth and
  rising living standards,
  climate change will exacerbate water scarcity
  conditions across the Arab world.
• Persistent reduction of total annual precipitation
  coupled with rising temperatures will reduce
  water availability.
• Higher temperatures will influence water quality
  and may cause additional sanitation problems



27 March 2012        www.escwa.un.org                  15
Climate Change: Potential Impacts
•   Changes in water availability
     –   Increase system resilience through surface / underground storage and transfer capacity
     –   Shift form surface to underground storage where applicable to reduce evaporation losses
•   Urban drainage networks - new dimensions
     –   Sewage systems, storm runoff
•   Desalination - higher temperature in feed water may increase algae growth and risk
    of closure of plant intake
     –   Improve intake procedures
     –   Increase storage and transfer capacity
•   Infrastructure failures
     –   Higher flooding intensities, frequencies
     –   Higher temperatures,
•   Changes in hydraulic patterns and temperatures
     –   Loss of snowpack storage in Lebanon, Oman, etc.
•   Groundwater recharge changes, impacts on spring and river discharges
     –   Increase managed aquifer recharge schemes
     –   Better monitoring and scientific understanding of recharge mechanism for predictive planning
         of alternatives, before springs cease
•   Seawater level rise
     –   Increasing groundwater salinisation
27 March 2012                             www.escwa.un.org                                         16
Changes in RCM projections of seasonal
 precipitation (mm/season) across the region
             Mar to May 2070                                    Sep to Nov 2070




Hemming, D. et al., 2007. Environmental Stresses from Detailed Climate Model Simulations for the
Middle East and Gulf Regions. Defense and Security Implications of Climate Change – Gulf Region
27 March 2012                          www.escwa.un.org                                            17
Changes in RCM projections of seasonal
 precipitation (mm/season) across the region




Hemming, D. et al., 2007. Environmental Stresses from Detailed Climate Model Simulations for the
Middle East and Gulf Regions. Defense and Security Implications of Climate Change – Gulf Region
27 March 2012                          www.escwa.un.org                                            18
Change in Precipitation
                                          Hue shows change in mm/y.
                                          Saturation / intensity shows the
                                          change as percentage of 2005
                                          PPTN.




                                          Evans, J.P., 2009.
                                          21st Century
                                          Climate Change in the
                                          Middle East.
27 March 2012          www.escwa.un.org                                  19
Change in Length of Dry Season




                                         Evans, J.P., 2009.
                                         21st Century
                                         Climate Change in the
                                         Middle East.
27 March 2012         www.escwa.un.org                           20
Recommendations: Drought and Water
Water Management - No Regret Measures:
• Traditional knowledge, local scale interventions
   – Small, decentralised water retention facilities to sustain
     local livelihoods (e.g. water harvesting in Oman, Sudan)
   – Shifting from surface to groundwater use in periods before
     and during drought
• Unconventional approaches:
   – Subsurface water storage, i.e. managed aquifer recharge
   – More reuse of treated sewage in irrigation
• Reduce losses to avoid human made scarcity
   – Reduce and remediate quality deterioration (salinity,
     pollution)
   – Reduce network losses in irrigation (and in urban supplies)

27 March 2012             www.escwa.un.org                    21
Recommendations: Drought and Water
Coordination and Participation:
• Stakeholder mapping: Which government institutions are
  addressing which functions, reduce overlap and gaps.
• Participation of and close coordination between stakeholders
  in national drought monitoring and management body.
• Improve preparedness by clear split of tasks between
  stakeholders and periodic reporting back to national
  coordination body.

Monitoring of Precipitation, Storages vs. Long Term Averages:
• Setting up of national drought monitoring network for
  precipitation, surface and groundwater resources, ...
• Development of appropriate indicators for an early warning
  mechanism for upcoming drought situations at national and
  sub-national level.

27 March 2012            www.escwa.un.org                       22
Recommendations: Drought and Water
Resilience, Preparedness, Education at Local Level:
• Increase resilience of local population in potentially affected
  areas by extension services about more drought resisting
  corps and information on water rationing regulations.
• Increase preparedness for next drought by setting up
  contingency plans at national and sub-national level.

Priority Setting, Compensation Schemes:
• Develop and implement clear priority system for drinking
   water, before essential industries, before irrigated agriculture
   for times of drought.
• Develop compensations systems prior to an upcoming
   drought, esp. if water restrictions for agriculture are needed to
   prioritize for drinking water.
27 March 2012              www.escwa.un.org                         23
Recommendations: Drought and Water
Transboundary Challenges wrt Drought:
• Setup national coordination body for transboundary water
  issues.
• Ensure close coordination of national body for transboundary
  water with all relevant stakeholders / government institutions
  within Iraq.
• Ensure close coordination of national body for transboundary
  water with the respective institutions in the neighbouring
  countries to allow in cases of drought higher emergency
  release of water from upstream neighbours.
• Exchange visits to other countries in the region or countries in
  similar situations globally and learn from their experiences.



27 March 2012              www.escwa.un.org                     24
Three Levels of Scarcity




                                           WB, 2007
27 March 2012          www.escwa.un.org      25
Drought: A Management Issue ?
Experiences show
• Drought can be prevented
• Drought can be mitigated
• Hardships can be minimised
• Sufferings can be reduced

If … all institutions work together at all levels
• Drought does not need to become a Disaster
• Drought can be addressed as a Management
   Issue
27 March 2012         www.escwa.un.org              26
Water Management Challenges
Under Drought Conditions
Consensus Building and Awareness Workshop,
Iraq Drought Risk Management Project
Beirut, Lebanon                 Ralf Klingbeil
27 March 2012                   Regional Advisor Environment & Water

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R. Klingbeil, 2012. Water Management Challenges Under Drought Conditions

  • 1. Water Management Challenges Under Drought Conditions Consensus Building and Awareness Workshop, Iraq Drought Risk Management Project Beirut, Lebanon Ralf Klingbeil 27 March 2012 Regional Advisor Environment & Water
  • 2. Iraq’s Perspective on Droughts? Cornish, 2009. Australias Drought, www.slideshare.net/mrcornish/australias-drought , accessed 25 Mar 2012 27 March 2012 www.escwa.un.org 2
  • 3. Outline • Impact of Drought • Definition and Classification of Drought • Drought Relation to Water • Challenges to Water Management • Drought Relation to Climate Change • Recommendations • Drought: A Management Issue ? 27 March 2012 www.escwa.un.org 3
  • 4. Iraq – Displacement due to Drought IOM, July 2010 27 March 2012 www.escwa.un.org 4
  • 5. Iraq – Water Needs 2008 - 2010 IOM, July 2010 27 March 2012 www.escwa.un.org 5
  • 6. Arab Countries’ Water Availability and Use www.carboun.com, 2011 27 March 2012 www.escwa.un.org 6
  • 7. Water – Overall Challenges • Status and Trends • Availability vs. Use and Demand • Renewable vs. Non-Renewable • Population Growth and Agriculture • Pollution – Reduction of Available Resources • Virtual Water • Water Imports and Transfers • Desalination • Transboundary Water and Aquifers • ... and Climate Change 27 March 2012 www.escwa.un.org 7
  • 8. Water – Key Challenges for Iraq • Increasing population and water needs across the Tigris and Euphrates River Basins; • Conflicting and uncoordinated use of water across the Tigris and Euphrates River Basins among riparian countries; • Increasing variability and intensity of the hydrological cycles with a special impact on droughts; • Fast aging of a large portion of the water infrastructures across the country (dams, irrigation and drainage systems, etc); • Severe land degradation due to poor land management and water quality; • Poor practices in Water Resources Management • Severe water sanitary issues especially in the Center-South of country Cattarossi, A.., 2011. SWLRI. MED INGEGNERIA s.r.l., Pres. at donor coordination meeting, 23 Nov 2011 27 March 2012 www.escwa.un.org 8
  • 9. Euphrates: Quantities and Qualities Grey, D. & Blackmore, D., 2011. Pres. at donor coordination meeting, Sep 2011 27 March 2012 www.escwa.un.org 9
  • 10. Euphrates/Tigris: Salinity Arid zone rivers: salinity increases downstream • Storage construction over past 30 years reduced “dilution flows” reaching Iraq • Large geological salt stores mobilised by irrigation development • Storages with large surface area & high evaporation increasing river salinity levels in mid & lower Basin • Irrigation drainage returns bring large salt load to river Grey, D. & Blackmore, D., 2011. Pres. at donor coordination meeting, Sep 2011 27 March 2012 www.escwa.un.org 10
  • 11. Climate Change: Potential Impacts • Coupled with excessive population growth and rising living standards, climate change will exacerbate water scarcity conditions across the Arab world. • Persistent reduction of total annual precipitation coupled with rising temperatures will reduce water availability. • Higher temperatures will influence water quality and may cause additional sanitation problems 27 March 2012 www.escwa.un.org 15
  • 12. Climate Change: Potential Impacts • Changes in water availability – Increase system resilience through surface / underground storage and transfer capacity – Shift form surface to underground storage where applicable to reduce evaporation losses • Urban drainage networks - new dimensions – Sewage systems, storm runoff • Desalination - higher temperature in feed water may increase algae growth and risk of closure of plant intake – Improve intake procedures – Increase storage and transfer capacity • Infrastructure failures – Higher flooding intensities, frequencies – Higher temperatures, • Changes in hydraulic patterns and temperatures – Loss of snowpack storage in Lebanon, Oman, etc. • Groundwater recharge changes, impacts on spring and river discharges – Increase managed aquifer recharge schemes – Better monitoring and scientific understanding of recharge mechanism for predictive planning of alternatives, before springs cease • Seawater level rise – Increasing groundwater salinisation 27 March 2012 www.escwa.un.org 16
  • 13. Changes in RCM projections of seasonal precipitation (mm/season) across the region Mar to May 2070 Sep to Nov 2070 Hemming, D. et al., 2007. Environmental Stresses from Detailed Climate Model Simulations for the Middle East and Gulf Regions. Defense and Security Implications of Climate Change – Gulf Region 27 March 2012 www.escwa.un.org 17
  • 14. Changes in RCM projections of seasonal precipitation (mm/season) across the region Hemming, D. et al., 2007. Environmental Stresses from Detailed Climate Model Simulations for the Middle East and Gulf Regions. Defense and Security Implications of Climate Change – Gulf Region 27 March 2012 www.escwa.un.org 18
  • 15. Change in Precipitation Hue shows change in mm/y. Saturation / intensity shows the change as percentage of 2005 PPTN. Evans, J.P., 2009. 21st Century Climate Change in the Middle East. 27 March 2012 www.escwa.un.org 19
  • 16. Change in Length of Dry Season Evans, J.P., 2009. 21st Century Climate Change in the Middle East. 27 March 2012 www.escwa.un.org 20
  • 17. Recommendations: Drought and Water Water Management - No Regret Measures: • Traditional knowledge, local scale interventions – Small, decentralised water retention facilities to sustain local livelihoods (e.g. water harvesting in Oman, Sudan) – Shifting from surface to groundwater use in periods before and during drought • Unconventional approaches: – Subsurface water storage, i.e. managed aquifer recharge – More reuse of treated sewage in irrigation • Reduce losses to avoid human made scarcity – Reduce and remediate quality deterioration (salinity, pollution) – Reduce network losses in irrigation (and in urban supplies) 27 March 2012 www.escwa.un.org 21
  • 18. Recommendations: Drought and Water Coordination and Participation: • Stakeholder mapping: Which government institutions are addressing which functions, reduce overlap and gaps. • Participation of and close coordination between stakeholders in national drought monitoring and management body. • Improve preparedness by clear split of tasks between stakeholders and periodic reporting back to national coordination body. Monitoring of Precipitation, Storages vs. Long Term Averages: • Setting up of national drought monitoring network for precipitation, surface and groundwater resources, ... • Development of appropriate indicators for an early warning mechanism for upcoming drought situations at national and sub-national level. 27 March 2012 www.escwa.un.org 22
  • 19. Recommendations: Drought and Water Resilience, Preparedness, Education at Local Level: • Increase resilience of local population in potentially affected areas by extension services about more drought resisting corps and information on water rationing regulations. • Increase preparedness for next drought by setting up contingency plans at national and sub-national level. Priority Setting, Compensation Schemes: • Develop and implement clear priority system for drinking water, before essential industries, before irrigated agriculture for times of drought. • Develop compensations systems prior to an upcoming drought, esp. if water restrictions for agriculture are needed to prioritize for drinking water. 27 March 2012 www.escwa.un.org 23
  • 20. Recommendations: Drought and Water Transboundary Challenges wrt Drought: • Setup national coordination body for transboundary water issues. • Ensure close coordination of national body for transboundary water with all relevant stakeholders / government institutions within Iraq. • Ensure close coordination of national body for transboundary water with the respective institutions in the neighbouring countries to allow in cases of drought higher emergency release of water from upstream neighbours. • Exchange visits to other countries in the region or countries in similar situations globally and learn from their experiences. 27 March 2012 www.escwa.un.org 24
  • 21. Three Levels of Scarcity WB, 2007 27 March 2012 www.escwa.un.org 25
  • 22. Drought: A Management Issue ? Experiences show • Drought can be prevented • Drought can be mitigated • Hardships can be minimised • Sufferings can be reduced If … all institutions work together at all levels • Drought does not need to become a Disaster • Drought can be addressed as a Management Issue 27 March 2012 www.escwa.un.org 26
  • 23. Water Management Challenges Under Drought Conditions Consensus Building and Awareness Workshop, Iraq Drought Risk Management Project Beirut, Lebanon Ralf Klingbeil 27 March 2012 Regional Advisor Environment & Water