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L.O. aéro 05   8/05/00   10:02   Page 2




      Aeronautics
             for Europe




                                                 A Partnership
                                                 for Research and Technology
                                                 and European Growth




                         A Position Paper produced by the External Advisory Group for Aeronautics
                                Recommendations to the European Commission - April 2000
                                                       EUR 19318
L.O. aéro 05   8/05/00   10:02   Page 3




                                    This      Po s i t i o n     Pa p e r   has    been     produced     by      the
                                    External Advisory Group for Aeronautics set up in
                                    December 1998 to advise the European Commission.


                                    This Paper is entirely the responsibility of the External
                                    Advisory Group Members and is not represented
                                    as reflecting the views of the European Commission
                                    o r o f a n y n a t i o n a l g o v e r n m e n t . T h e Pa p e r h a s b e n -
                                    efited from the advice and views of many groups
                                    and      individuals           across       the      aeronautics   i n d u s t r y.




                                            Members of the External Advisory Group
                                                                       Mr Ulf Olsson
                                                                            (Chairman)

                                                                   Mr Angel-Luis Arias
                                                                        (Vice Chairman)

                                                                     Prof. Fred Abbink
                                                                    Mr Mike Goulette
                                                                      Mr Kurt Jensen
                                                                       Mr Jim Lawler
                                                                    Mr Eros Lojacono
                                                                   Mr François Lureau
                                                                  Mrs Utimia Madaleno
                                                                     Mr Peter Malanik
                                                                    Mr Claude Nyssen
                                                                 Prof. Kyriacos Papailiou
                                                                     Prof. Aviv Rosen
                                                                  Dr Joachim Szodruch
                                                                 Mr Jean-Marc Thomas
                                                                    Mr Trevor Truman
                                                                   Prof. Volker von Tein




                                                                     Published by the
                                                                   European Commission


                                                               LEGAL NOTICE
                                            Neither the European Commission nor any person acting
                                          on behalf of the Commission is responsible for the use which
                                                 might be made of the following information.


                                                   Luxembourg: Office for Official Publications
                                                      of the European Communities, 2000

                                                                     ISBN 92-828-8596-8

                                                               © European Communities, 2000

                                                                     Printed in Belgium
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                                                                                                                            Aeronautics For Europe
        Summary
        European aeronautics has succeeded in establishing         European Aeronautics faces three challenges:
        itself as the main competitor to the United States         • Meeting European social needs.
        and needs to maintain this position. To this end the       • Creating competitive products for the global market.
        Advisory Group believes that a long-term research          • Creating and applying new technology-based
        strategy and key objectives shared by all parties of        capabilities for future growth.
        the European air transport system are called for.
                                                                   The Advisory Group believes that shared long term
        The Advisory Group recognises the positive impact of
                                                                   goals for the global operational air transport system
        the "New Perspectives in Aeronautics" Key Action of
                                                                   in Europe would be useful to facilitate concerted
        the Fifth Framework Programme. It recommends
                                                                   actions among the parties involved to the benefit of
        both establishing mechanisms to focus and better
                                                                   Europe and its citizens.
        rationalise R&T throughout Europe, and preserving
        the continuity of successful activities towards the        The Advisory Group has a vision for the future of
        next Framework programme.                                  European Aeronautics that translates into research.
                                                                   It sets out ambitious aspirations for progress by 2020
        The world is changing, quickly and extensively
                                                                   that respond to the demands of European citizens,
        towards a knowledge society. These changes in indus-
                                                                   the needs of the market and the importance of taking
        trial, economic and social areas will shape our
                                                                   due care of the environment. It is based on 2 main
        future; they will impact on all European citizens.
                                                                   strands: “leadership of the European Industry in the
        Aeronautics is a knowledge intensive industry.             global market” and “European air mobility for sus-
        It is at the centre of change. The growth of aero-         tainable growth and quality of life”.
        nautics is partly a cause of progress. It also allows us
                                                                   To realise this vision the Paper proposes 3 measures:
        to improve the ways we do business and live our lives.
                                                                   • A leadership initiative by the Commissioner for
        It is an essential contributor to the social, economic
                                                                    Research & Technology which will forge a new
        and industrial development that will transform the
                                                                    partnership of consultation with European aero-
        face of Europe over the next 20 years.
                                                                    nautics stakeholders.
        Europe is a special region. It has a large popula-         • A process which will use this partnership to iden-
        tion, prosperous and educated, and some very                tify, and quantify when necessary, the major goals
        densely populated conurbations. It is highly industri-      for the next 20 years which will allow aeronautics
        alised, technically advanced and export-oriented. It        in 2020 to benefit from European aircraft which
        has a rich diversity of cultures and languages that         can meet the needs of both markets and citizens.
        call for increased mobility for its people.                • A development of the European Research Area
                                                                    that will allow the technologies needed to deliver
        In looking at European aeronautics it is important to
                                                                    these benefits to be created in a European context
        assess its present condition and the challenges that
                                                                    with greater efficiency and better focus at every
        lie ahead. Even if European aeronautics is highly
                                                                    level; Community, national, regional and enter-
        successful today it faces intense global competition
                                                                    prise.
        and new demands from community interests which
        require a strategic approach to the future.
L.O. aéro 05                   8/05/00   10:02   Page 2




      Aeronautics For Europe




                                                                                          -Market -
                                                                                  SocietyPolitical AimsPassen
                                                                                                             ge
                                                                                             Airlines          rs




                                                                  Manufacturing
                                                                    Industry                                          Airports

                                                                                          Aircraft

                                                    Defence


                                                                     Research Establishments                Air traffic
                                                                          & Universities                   Management




      2




                                                              The scope of this paper is aircraft in the civil air
                                                              transport system, for passenger and freight
                                                              transport, and for public and civil services, but
                                                              recognising that aircraft technologies have links
                                                              of a dual, civil/defence nature.


                                                              The paper takes a view of “Air Transport” as a system
                                                              in which all the elements work interactively.
L.O. aéro 05   8/05/00   10:02   Page 3




                                                                                Aeronautics For Europe
                    Contents                                                    3

                             Summary                                       1


                             The Scope                                     2


                             1. Europe in a Changing World                 4


                             2. Aeronautics at the Centre of Change        5


                             3. Europe – A Special Region                  6


                             4. How is European Aeronautics Doing?         7


                             5. The Challenges for Research & Technology   9


                             6. European Aeronautics for the 2020s –
                                The Advisory Group Vision                  12


                             Glossary                                      17
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                                                   1. Europe in a Changing World
      Aeronautics For Europe




                                                   A world of change
                                                   We live in a rapidly and extensively changing world. In
                                                   every direction we see the power of change in business,
                                                   lifestyle, communications, and politics.

   The world is                                    Markets that were until recently local have become

   changing                                        global. Even small suppliers now serve the needs of cus-
                                                   tomers around the world. No longer is it assumed that
   rapidly in many
                                                   the nationality of the customer, the means of delivery,
   ways ….                                         the supplier and the manufacturer will be the same.
                                                   Many of the goods we buy are made, grown, designed or
                                                   managed in a variety of regions.

                                                   Population, especially in the less developed world, con-
                                                   tinues to increase quickly. More people in more coun-                 European experience
                                                   tries depend upon resources from outside their own                    Europe is being transformed. The unification of
                                                   region. More pressure is being placed on the natural                  Germany and the return of the former Eastern Bloc
                                                   environment.                                                          states to a European identity will create a greatly
                                    500%                                                                                 enlarged Europe and further needs for mobility.
                                    450%
                                                                                                                         Industry and commerce in Europe is in rapid develop-
                                    400%
                                                                                                                         ment and restructuring, involving also the aeronautical
                                    350%
                                                                                                                         industry. The consolidation of large corporations and the
                                    300%
                                                                                                                         globalisation of their operations will have major effects
                                    250%             Passenger Route Kilometres
                                                                                              European GDP               on the patterns of European business.
                                    200%

                                    150%                                                                                 Internal European travel is already extensive but
                                    100%                                                                                 forecast to grow rapidly. New investment in both land
                                              5

                                                    7

                                                          9




                                                                       3

                                                                             5

                                                                                   7

                                                                                         9




                                                                                                        3

                                                                                                              5

                                                                                                                    7
                                                                  1




                                                                                                   1




                               (1974=100%)
                                             197

                                                   197

                                                         197

                                                               198

                                                                      198

                                                                            198

                                                                                  198

                                                                                        198

                                                                                                199

                                                                                                       199

                                                                                                             199

                                                                                                                   199




                                                                                                                         and air transport systems is an imperative. These
                                    Source: SNECMA Market Forecast 1999-2018, May 1999, ICAO.
                                                                                                                         infrastructure changes will be made in the European
                                                   The Information Revolution is transforming business                   context of different cultures and languages, different
                                                   everywhere. New business models are being created,                    political systems and within a diverse set of priorities
                                                   new routes to market, new ways of delivering value to                 and mechanisms.
                                                   customers which are independent of location.
  European strate-                                                                                                       Facing up to change
                                                   Rather than decreasing demand these changes sustain a
  gies for change                                                                                                        These extensive and rapid changes demand that for a
                                                   strong growth in air travel. Fares have been reduced and
  are needed that                                                                                                        sector like aeronautics there should be a strategy which
                                                   more people travel. Market demands have caused a third
  meet new needs                                                                                                         responds to new needs and drives the changes. New
                                                   of all freight by value to be carried by air – reaching new
                                                                                                                         technology will be needed, as will the means to apply it
  and exploit new                                  markets faster.
                                                                                                                         successfully and competitively to market and social
  opportunities.                                    Around the world awareness of the natural environment                needs. The priorities for change must be shared and
                                                   and the need to protect it grows steadily. Although avia-             used to influence the pattern of European development.
                                                   tion makes only a small impact on the environment, con-
                                                   certed action will be necessary to offset the effects of a            This paper addresses these issues for European
                                                   growing market.                                                       aeronautics and especially for aircraft technology.

      4
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     2. Aeronautics




                                                                                                                                                                           Aeronautics For Europe
            at the Centre of Change
     Aeronautics has caused many of the changes that we           remain at the focus but when we look to the future we
     have experienced. The availability of safe, reliable and     shall continue to look beyond aircraft, even aircraft of
     rapid air transport has stimulated new business possibil-    new configurations, to the system of air transport – opti-
     ities. It has provoked important developments in our         mised air fleets, the airports, traffic control, regulatory                                     Aeronautics is
     infrastructure, work patterns and lifestyle. It has con-     regimes etc – within which aircraft operate. The capac-
                                                                                                                                                                    essential to
     tributed massively to the economies of Europe and the        ity of our present air transport system is clearly under
     wealth of a number of its regions; it employs a huge         stress. As traffic increases we must make this system
                                                                                                                                                               economic growth
     workforce and, through exports, contributes strongly to      respond to world change and drive new changes to the                                            and industrial
     Europe’s ability to fund other changes and to develop        benefit of the European citizen which respect the social                                              change.
     the quality of life of its citizens.                         and environmental needs of our communities.

     Aeronautics has also enabled changes to happen.                          Flights per year
     Businesses can reach out to new customers world-wide.                                                                                      Canada
                                                                          2                                                                            USA
                                                                                                                    New Zealand               UK
     Just-in-time stock management is made possible by reli-
                                                                                                                               Australia
     able air freight operations. The globalisation of business           1                                                                           France
                                                                                 Malaysia      Saudi Arabia                                               Germany
                                                                                                                                  Netherlands
     depends on the existence of flexible, inexpensive air              0,5                         Greece
                                                                                                    Korea                                                     Japan
     transport to connect operations.                                                               Portugal                               Italy
                                                                           Tunisia     Mexico
                                                                           Taiwan       Cze South Africa
     As the new century unfolds we expect the continued                                 Brazil
                                                                        0,1        Turkey
     growth and industrialisation of Asia to continue. Those             Philippines Czechoslovakia
                                                                       0,05      Indonesia
     developments will depend extensively on aeronautics.                        Pakistan


     In the past progress in aeronautics has meant aircraft                     PR China
     development: the advent of the jet age, of supersonic               0,01 India         5,000              10,000         15,000               20,000       25,000
                                                                                                                GNP per capita $ US
     flight, of large twin-aisle airliners. Aircraft will still

                                                                  These are major challenges certainly. But they are also
                                                                  major opportunities. Aeronautics has been able to make
                                                         i        a strong contribution to the growth of Europe – it should
                                                                  continue to do so. It can be a continuing engine for eco-




                               &
                                                                  nomic development. It can continue to fund, through its                                                  5
     Aeronautics                                                  export successes, the creation of an air transport system
                                                                  in Europe which is world leading. It will contribute to
     A Changing Europe                                            business efficiency but also bring a range of benefits to
     • More than 1,000,000 jobs depend,                           people of all our nations – whether they are travellers or
       directly or indirectly, on aeronautics.                    not. Economic and employment benefits, improvements
     • Aviation in Europe employs 2 million people,               in the quality of life, enhancements to their businesses,                                    Europe’s aviation
       in manufacturing, operations, & airports .
                                                                  the opportunity to travel more economically.                                                  system must be
     • Every new landing slot at Frankfurt airport
       generates 1,500 jobs.                                                                                                                                  further developed
     • About 1,000 direct jobs are created                                                                                                                              to meet
       by every million passengers per year .
                                                                                                                                                               economic, social,
     • About 4,000 jobs in all are induced
       for every million passengers per year.                                                                                                                    environmental
     • European passenger traffic in 2000                                                                                                                     and public service
       will be close to 1 billion passengers.                                                                                                                             needs.
L.O. aéro 05                     8/05/00   10:05     Page 6




                                       3. Europe _ A Special Region
        Aeronautics For Europe




     Europe – Facing
     world-wide
                                           In this changing scene Europe has a unique mix of           The enlargement of the EU will increase both the
     competition                           opportunities and challenges in the field of aeronautics.   opportunities and the challenges. Our cultural her-
     with huge                             We have demonstrated unmatched skills in creating           itage gives us the benefits of diversity but also the
     advantages in                         world class teams within the diversity of our cultures,     challenges of language, of differing standards, and of

     talent, experi-                       We have established benchmarks for international col-       fragmented institutions
                                           laboration in complex projects. We have a huge base of
     ence and                                                                                          In this competitive world of aeronautics two eco-
                                           talent and of cultural variety. But Europe also faces a
     products.                             world of fierce competition, where the stakes are enor-
                                                                                                       nomic regions are dominant – Europe and the USA.
                                                                                                       Our greatest competitor, and largest export market,
                                           mous, where to lose means to lose entire businesses and
                                                                                                       now addresses the market with a federated system, a
                                           to lose their European presence.
                                                                                                       unified domestic market, with a set of strategic
 i                                                                                                     national objectives, and with the huge resources and
                                                                                                       capabilities of both its industry and its government
     The United States                                                                                 laboratories including NASA, the foremost aerospace
     • 87% of the world’s airliners are American built.                                                R&D agency in the world.

     • Public funding for aerospace in the US (for 1997)                                               In contrast Europe retains the legacy of its nation states,
       was three times that of the EU and all its member states combined.
                                                                                                       works with many national stakeholders and has yet to
     • Both in turnover and number of employees the size of the aerospace                              develop common objectives. As an example of its air
       industry of the USA is more than twice that of the EU combined.
                                                                                                       transport operations, Europe works under the burden of
     • The share of the aerospace sector in US exports is almost twice that in
       the EU.                                                                                         49 national Air Traffic Control Centres using 22 differ-
                                                                                                       ent operating systems.

                                           Many Europeans enjoy a high standard of living and          However, Europe can overcome these difficulties of
                                           want this to be further enhanced with improvements to       fragmentation when it wishes to do so. Industrial

        6                                  their quality of life including a better environment.       restructuring is now proceeding rapidly in Europe,
                                                                                                       bringing the numerous players in the different fields to a
                                           Europe enjoys the services of rapidly growing air traf-
                                                                                                       new stage of concentration. However, the research sys-
                                           fic into and within its regions. However, its citizens
                                                                                                       tem across the Union is lagging behind this momentum.
                                           experience daily the challenge of managing that rate
                                           of increase – noise, congestion, and delay are com-         Doing better in Europe is a necessity not an option.
                                           monplace. We have several large concentrations of
  … but                                    population with already high densities of air traffic –

  fragmented                               nearly every proposal to increase airport capacity
                                           meets fierce environmental resistance. Europe pres-                   Doing better
  in terms of
                                           ents a number of specific political , industrial and           in Europe means working
  culture,                                 organisational features which have to be considered.                together better.
  language and
  procedures.
L.O. aéro 05   8/05/00     10:05     Page 7




     4. How is European




                                                                                                                                         Aeronautics For Europe
           Aeronautics Doing?
     A Story of Success
     European Aeronautics is an outstanding success
     story (see box). Europe has developed products that         i
     have influenced global aeronautics operations. It has
     produced many world firsts.
                                                                     Some European Firsts
     European airspace copes with an unprecedented
                                                                      • Supersonic Airliner – Concorde.
     number of passengers. In the defence field European
                                                                      • Vertical Take-Off and Landing combat fighter – Harrier.
     aerospace products are used around the world for the
     protection and security of nations. The nations of               • All-weather automatic landing systems.
     Europe have an unrivalled ability to mount success-              • Fly-by-wire airliner – Airbus.
     ful international collaborative projects on the most
                                                                      • Digital auto-flight system – Airbus.
     advanced technology-based products, civil as well as
                                                                      • Helicopters with turbine engines - Eurocopter.
     in defence.
                                                                      • 3-Shaft engine – Rolls Royce.
     It has created, in Airbus Industrie, a world leading
                                                                      • Two man, “Glass cockpit”, wide-body airliner - Airbus.
     supplier, this year outselling the USA in large airlin-
     ers, and European world-class capabilities in its
     engine and equipment sectors.

     In research the European Union Framework                  Aeronautics has been able to support European eco-
     Programmes for aeronautics have grown in impor-           nomic growth while implementing dramatic reductions
     tance and improved in focus and delivery leading to       in noise and fuel consumption. Noise outside the airport
     the inclusion of aeronautics as a "Key Action" in the     confines is now similar to that of motorway traffic. Over
     5th Framework Programme. An important new                 the past 20 years aircraft fuel consumption per flight has
     approach was the introduction of large-scale integra-     been reduced by 30-40%.
                                                                                                                                               7
     tion projects. This Programme has had significant
     practical influence on the positioning of the national
     civil aeronautics programmes.
                                                                 i
                                                                          Technologies developed
                                                                          in aeronautics and now in general use
                                                                          • Aerodynamic and aero-acoustic shaping of cars.
                                                                          • Disc brakes for cars and trains and Anti-lock Braking
                                                                            Systems (ABS).
                                                                          • Software systems for displays. Computer techniques for
                                                                            assessing structural efficiency of buildings, cars,
                                                                            and equipment.
                                                                          • Composite materials including carbon fibre.
                                                                          • Materials for artificial limbs and for replacement joints.
                                                                          • Thermal imaging cameras for police and rescue work.
                                                                          • Advanced business processes for project management.
L.O. aéro 05                   8/05/00   10:05    Page 8




      Aeronautics For Europe




                                         Facing Strong Competition                                 American unified public funding for aeronautics far
                                         The market for aeronautical products is global –          surpasses Europe’s combined investment, which is
                                         every customer in the world can find competitive          itself fragmented around the nations of the EU.
                                         products vying for orders. The biggest players by a       Europe has no clear, coherent strategy for continued
                                         long way are Europe and the USA. Competition is           success. More rational funding for research and
                                         fierce between them.                                      technology must be seen as a key element of a
                                                                                                   European aeronautics policy.
                                         Both have a large and talented workforce. Both had
                                         many successes in the first century of aeronautics.
                                                                                                   Despite these factors Europe now competes head to
                                         But the USA has a strategy – a determination to
                                                                                                   head in large aircraft, in aero engines and in equipment.
                                         dominate in aerospace – and it signals this on every
                                         world stage. NASA has no parallel in Europe.
                                                                                                   Delivering a string of wider benefits
                                         Boeing, America’s major aerospace company, has a
                                                                                                   In addition to these economic successes European
                                         civil turnover nearly 3 times that of Airbus Industrie.
                                                                                                   aeronautics delivers a steady flow of technologies
      8                                  The US Administration has a record of sustained
                                                                                                   – developed in aerospace for high performance at high
                                         support to its aerospace industry.
                                                                                                   cost – but passed on to the wider economy for low cost
                                                                                                   applications (see box).
L.O. aéro 05    8/05/00        10:06   Page 9




     5. The Challenges for




                                                                                                                                                                        Aeronautics For Europe
           Research & Technology
        The European aeronautics industry is knowledge-based. It faces three key high-level challenges:

         Meeting the needs of an advanced society
         Creating competitive products for a global market
         Sustaining the flow of key technology

                                                                                                                                                                        9

     5.1 Meeting the Needs                                        But as traffic continues to increase strongly and even bet-
                                                                  ter noise performance is demanded, including reductions
     of an Advanced Society                                       in airframe noise, it will be a major challenge to meet the
                                                                  aspirations of these communities.

     Passengers
     If Europe is to service the needs of business for air pas-                                                            Air Fares (relative to 1970)
     senger travel, it must be able to look forward to a future
                                                                                                       110%
     in which rapid growth – doubling in 15 years, almost tre-
     bling by 2020 – is accompanied by even higher safety,                                             100%
     lower costs and greater convenience. Our long term
                                                                                                       90%
     aims must be to cope with vastly increased traffic whilst
                                                                    Air Fares




     achieving the goals of:                                                                           80%
     • Sustained safety standards and lower accident rates.
                                                                                                       70%
     • Comfortable, convenient and on-time passenger mobility.
     • Progressive reductions in real cost to passengers.                                              60%

     The challenge is to improve passenger and business                                                50%
                                                                                                                         5



                                                                                                                                  0



                                                                                                                                           5



                                                                                                                                                      0



                                                                                                                                                           5



                                                                                                                                                                  0
                                                                                                                 0
                                                                                                              197



                                                                                                                        197



                                                                                                                                198



                                                                                                                                         198



                                                                                                                                                  199



                                                                                                                                                          199



                                                                                                                                                                200




     appeal for air transport in Europe whilst absorbing a sus-
     tained and rapid growth in traffic.                                                                         Source ICAO



     The Wider Community
     Most people are not frequent air travellers. All of us
     share the aspiration that air transport growth should be
                                                                                                                 Heathrow - Population affected by noise
     safe and not create environmental damage and nui-
                                                                                                        200%
     sance.
                                                                         Percentage relative to 1974




                                                                                                        150%
     Any strategy must embrace the goals of safer, quieter air-
     craft that produce fewer emissions.                                                                100%


     • Noise                                                                                             50%

     The impact of noise on communities around airports has                                              0%
                                                                                                                                    0




                                                                                                                                                    0




                                                                                                                                                                    0
                                                                                                                 0




     been much reduced as a result of new technology applica-
                                                                                                              197




                                                                                                                                198




                                                                                                                                                 199




                                                                                                                                                                200




     tions. The example of Heathrow is typical – despite an
                                                                                                                       Aircraft flights
     80% increase in the number of flights since 1974 the                                                              Population affected by noise
     number of people disturbed by noise has dropped by 80%.                                             Source DETR
L.O. aéro 05                   8/05/00   10:07     Page 10




                                                                                                          5.2 Creating Competitive
      Aeronautics For Europe




                                                                                                          Products for Global Markets
                                         • Emissions
                                         Whilst noise affects a relatively small number of people         To create aircraft systems that will deliver a new genera-
                                         aircraft emissions can affect us all. Early jet airliners were   tion of benefits to society and to their operators around
                                         both noisy and dirty, leaving trails of smoky fuel in their      the world will mean a sustained evolution of design.
                                         wake. Their successors today are much improved, both             New aircraft, engines and equipment using new innova-
                                         quieter and cleaner. Today the impact of aircraft emis-          tive construction technologies must be ready for world
                                         sions is small: less than 3.5% of all man-made global CO2        markets.
                                         emission is accountable to aeronautics. However, the
                                                                                                          Winning will mean staying in the forefront of design –
                                         demand for air transport is growing strongly and threatens
                                                                                                          able to use old and new technologies in new ways.
                                         to outpace the rate at which the application of new tech-
                                                                                                          Responding to the leadership of others cannot achieve it.
                                         nology can deliver improvements. It represents a major
                                         technical challenge over the long term.                          Creating competitive products that will win in the fiercely
                                                                                                          competitive markets of tomorrow is not just about design
                                                       Hull losses per million flights                    concepts. It will require that these products are designed
                                                                                                          and built to the performance standards required and
                                         1st generation: 2nd generation:           3nd generation:
                                         B707            B727                      MD80                   competitive both in purchase price and in operating costs.
                                         DC8             B737-100-200              MD11
                                                         B747                      MD90                   This manufacturing system, exploiting the capabilities of
                                                         DC9                       B737-300/400/500
                                                         DC10                      B757/767               all the regions of Europe, must be optimised – not to
                                         10              A300B4                    A310/A300-600          restrict the activities of any region or company, but to
                                          9                                        A319/A320/A321
                                          8                                        A330/A340              ensure that overall air transport needs are met in the
                                          7
                                                                                   B777                   most efficient and cost effective way.
                                          6
                                          5                                   1st generation              Europe needs to be able to manufacture these products.
     10                                   4                                                               If we cannot do so, or do so inefficiently, we shall spend
                                                    2nd generation
                                          3                                    All aircraft
                                          2
                                                                                                          large amounts of money buying them from abroad, par-
                                          1          3nd generation                                       ticularly from the USA.
                                          0
                                              1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37

                                                                      Years of operation


                                         • Safety                                                                         Block Fuel per seat-mile
                                         New generations of aircraft are demonstrably and signifi-          Datum       A300

                                         cantly safer than older generations. However, with the
                                                                                                             -10%
                                         current growth of air transportation, the number of acci-
                                                                                                             -20%
                                                                                                                                        A310-300                    -37%
                                         dents risks to increase substantially. This represents a
                                                                                                                             A300-600
                                         major challenge for research and aviation operations in
                                                                                                             -30%
                                         order to achieve a quantum leap forward in safety.
                                                                                                                                                          A330
                                                                                                             -40%
                                                                                                                                    0




                                                                                                                                                      0




                                                                                                                                                                    0
                                                                                                                    0
                                                                                                                 197




                                                                                                                                198




                                                                                                                                                  199




                                                                                                                                                                 200




                                                                                                      i                          Certification Date



         • The European Aeronautics Industry directly employs more
           than 420,000 people (1998).

         • 80,000 firms supply the aeronautics industry in Europe.

         • Europe had a trade balance surplus of more than 9 billion euro
           from aerospace products.
L.O. aéro 05     8/05/00    10:07     Page 11




     5.3 Sustaining the Flow




                                                                                                                                         Aeronautics For Europe
                                                                   This premium on content means that not all research
     of Technology                                                 work can be widely shared. Firms need to generate com-
                                                                   petitive advantage. Nations want to sustain national
     Creating Value
                                                                   abilities.
     in the European Research Area
     There can be no success in aeronautics without an             But content considerations do not mean that no co-
     intensive research and development effort. The industry       operation is possible. Europe has outstanding abilities to
     spends an average of 16% of its turnover on R&D which         create collaborative programmes in research. These
     includes the substantial public contribution through          work well when the programme meets the collective
     EU, national and Research Establishment programmes.           aims of the group or combines excellence in a powerful
                                                                   co-operation.
     The strategy for aeronautics must emphasise its output –
     better services, meeting social and business needs,
                                                                   Management                                                           11
     creating competing products. This output will rely
                                                                   The European Research Area is a pluralist community –
     fundamentally on the creation and exploitation of
                                                                   firms, nations, academia and research institutes have
     new technology.
                                                                   private, shared, and collaborative research programmes.
     The existence of knowledgeable and well trained scien-        There is competition and co-operation. There is no con-
     tists, engineers and managers is the unquestionable pre-      sistent management structure.
     requisite for meeting these challenges. A joint effort by
                                                                   The aspiration for Europe, therefore, lies in creating a
     the states, the industry, research institutions and, of
                                                                   flexible set of mechanisms that respect the diversity of
     course, educational institutions is necessary to attract
                                                                   Europe but enable European strengths to be fully realised.
     talented people to work in aeronautics.

                                                                   We must use the centres of European excellence,
     Creating new technology-based capabilities has three
                                                                   whether in industry, academia or in institutions, to fur-
     main elements:
                                                                   ther European goals. Excellence will have many faces.
     •Focus
                                                                   Effective, market leading products and services will
     •Content
                                                                   require the best technical capabilities that Europe can
     •Management
                                                                   deliver. However, in order fully to unfold our strength
     Each of these has important implications for the              the European Research Area needs shared visibility, har-
     European Research Area, providing an important contri-        monisation and efficiency.
     bution to the European research potential                                                                                                                    i
     Focus
                                                                      European Aeronautics Research
     This paper is very much about focus – identifying the
     imperatives for the future, the key goals that must be           Area Background
     achieved.                                                        • EU Research Programmes leading up to a separate
                                                                        Key Action for aeronautics in the 5th Framework Programme.
     Focus can be shared. These proposals assert that by
     sharing a discussion with the stakeholders in the                • National aeronautics Research & Technology collaboration in GARTEUR.
     European air transport system we can achieve a better            • National Research Establishment co-operation in aeronautics in EREA.
     focus and derive better, clearer directions for future
                                                                      • Newly emerging national strategies for aeronautics research involving
     research programmes.                                               small enterprises and centres of excellence.

                                                                      • Combination of national capabilities and facilities such as European
     Content                                                            Transonic Wind Tunnel (ETW) and the German-Netherlands Subsonic
     History shows that solutions to challenging problems are           Wind Tunnel (DNW).
     not always predictable or similar. There are great prizes        • Eurocontrol research programme.
     for those who can generate exceptionally clever solu-
                                                                      • Airbus 3E's programme.
     tions – creating solutions that are effective and low cost.
                                                                      • Industry collaborating on long term research planning within IMG3.
L.O. aéro 05                   8/05/00   10:07     Page 12




                                         6. European
      Aeronautics For Europe




                                              Aeronautics for the 2020s –
                                         The Advisory Group Vision
                                         Demand for air travel increases rapidly – world-wide
                                         by about 5% annually. Between 2000 and 2020 more
                                         than 14,000 large new airliners, worth over €1,000
                                         billion, will have been delivered to create a world fleet
                                         of 20,000 airliners after old types are withdrawn.
  Two Great Prizes
                                         About 40% of worldwide air travel has a European
  to win:                                arrival or departure point.
  A great air trans-
                                         For Europe these expectations are both a huge
  port system and                        opportunity and a tremendous challenge.
  huge economic
                                         All of Europe has huge opportunities to benefit from
  gains.
                                         air transport and the aeronautics industry. These
                                         benefits are not only for those involved in it directly
                                         but for all of its citizens, in every nation or region,
                                         creating business prosperity, social exchange and            Europe and the rest of the world. This will increase air
                                         cohesion, jobs, and technology.                              traffic which will only be acceptable to society if…
                                                                                                     • Air traffic growth delivers what communities and trav-
                                                                                                      ellers need – safety, low noise nuisance, care for the
                                         6.1 Two Great Prizes to Win                                  environment, public service, low congestion, conven-
                                                                                                      ience. The advances that will deliver these will only be
                                         The prizes are enormous:
                                                                                                      affordable if …
                                         • An air transport system that will support European        • We create competitive aircraft and equipment that
                                          growth, attract and foster new business whilst meeting      sells around the world.
                                          the social needs of Europe for travel and the needs of
                                                                                                     But in a changing world these benefits will not flow auto-
                                          our environment and quality of life.
                                                                                                     matically to Europe, they will have to be fought for, seized,
                                         • An aeronautical industry that will provide the products   and exploited, and retained using skill, commitment and
                                          to go on winning at least half of a world market which     endurance. Unless we build on strength we cannot win
     12                                   will more than double by 2020. This will bring in          the prizes that exist. Unless we understand our vulnerabil-
                                          money, create jobs and sustain growth.                     ities today our tomorrow will belong to others.

                                                                                                     Achieving these goals needs a partnership of intent to be
                                         A Circle of Linked Goals
                                                                                                     forged between those who rely upon aeronautics and
                                         Linking these different perspectives demands that we
                                                                                                     those who provide aeronautics services.
                                         agree about European goals together because they
                                         depend on each other.

                                         A circle of goals:                                          6.2 A New Partnership
  Future aircraft
                                         • Creating competitive abilities for world-wide sales of    This new partnership envisages a wider consultation
  must shape and                          aircraft and equipment which will …                        at the much earlier research stage. This will create a
  respond to future                      • Deliver employment and economic growth and fit into …     shared view of the future and ensure that Research &
  needs.                                 • A first class Air Transport System that will enable all   Technology Development programmes are focused on
                                          kinds of business growth within Europe and between         stakeholder needs.
L.O. aéro 05    8/05/00     10:07     Page 13




                                                                                                                                             Aeronautics For Europe
     It will create a shared view of the needs of the whole air    would not be encouraged but hampered thereby.
     transport system. This will allow complementary, and          Nevertheless we recognise that many technologies in
     conflicting, needs to be considered together. For exam-       aeronautics are of a dual nature and it is beneficial that
     ple, consider the way in which new aircraft will fit to       this should continue to be encouraged and facilitated by
     new airports; how new aircraft capabilities can be            the policies and mechanisms that are put in place in
     matched to new operating procedures to deliver environ-       both areas.                                                               13
     mental improvements; how congestion will be relieved
     by new aircraft capabilities that work in a new air traffic
     control regime.                                               6.3 The Players
                                                                   • The Aeronautics Industry including the supply chain
     More than 30% of European public investment in civil
                                                                    and SMEs
     aeronautics research & technology is funded by the EU.
                                                                   • National Aeronautics Research Establishments
     Participation by national governments in the strategic
                                                                   • Civil Security and Public Services
     approach is also essential. National governments also
                                                                   • Airports
     have programmes, firms have their own programmes of
                                                                   • Airlines
     investment. All have an interest in making sure that what
                                                                   • The Air Traffic Control community
     we are doing today will deliver the air transport system
                                                                   • Universities
     that we need – and do so cost-effectively. In the final
                                                                   • Community interest groups
     analysis each stakeholder group must remain responsible
                                                                   • Public authorities (national and regional)
     for their own contributions to our future. None will
                                                                   • Regulators
     accept that this responsibility can be diluted, none will
     wish to be subservient to the control of others. But all
                                                                   All want to see an air transport system in Europe that
     may gain from being able to share a view of the future
                                                                   meets their various needs. These needs should influence
     which will allow them to play their role more effectively.
                                                                   the design of the future aircraft that will continue to
     This new shared and open understanding will present           form the core element of the system.
     many opportunities for those nations with more modest
     aeronautics capabilities and for SMEs by giving visibility
     to the directions of future development and providing
     signposts for the areas of interest and relevance.


     Boundaries
     This paper proposes that the air transport system can be
     looked at in a unified way. We do not recommend that
     this be combined with a consideration for land trans-
     port, or of space applications except insofar as these
     have a direct effect on the air transport system and the
     effectiveness of passenger and freight movement by air.

     The Advisory Group has considered the defence dimen-
                                                                     i           The Air Transport System
     sion. It is an area of unique sensitivity. The Advisory                     • operates from entering the airport to leaving the
     Group does not recommend a complete fusion of civil                           destination airport and includes all types of aircraft,
     and defence considerations on the grounds that progress                       both fixed and rotary wing, and the facilities that are
                                                                                   necessary between the two.
L.O. aéro 05                   8/05/00   10:07     Page 14




                                         6.4 The Advisory
      Aeronautics For Europe




                                         Group Vision
                                         The Value of a Vision
                                         We need a vision of the future to stimulate the whole
                                         range of activities which will together create a more
                                         effective air transport system for 2020. It has been
                                         described as “a dream with a deadline” – a time-based
                                         aspiration that stretches our imagination and challenges
                                         our abilities to achieve exceptional results.

                                         A vision is not a plan. There is as yet no coherent set of
                                         actions that will create this future. But the Vision is a
                                                                                                       6.5 Creating a process
                                         clear direction; like a lighthouse it leads us forward even
                                                                                                       Three steps to achievement
                                         though we have to cope with many conflicting tides and
                                                                                                       • Share the Vision among the stakeholders.
                                         currents on the way.
                                                                                                       • Create a process within which the priority goals for the
                                         The value of a single vision is that it gives coherence to     future can be mapped out.
                                         the actions of many groups. It does not dictate how each      • Establish mechanisms within the European Research
                                         must act, but for those who accept the final objective it       Area which will allow programmes to be constructed
                                         maintains a sense of direction.                                 which secure the objectives in the most effective man-
                                                                                                         ner.
                                         The Vision does not lead to a master plan that is rigidly
                                         controlled and inflexible. It allows the key goals that are   This Paper recommends that, under the leadership of
                                         steps towards the vision to be identified – the impera-       the Commissioner for Research & Technology, a High
                                         tives that will need to be achieved and the compromises       Level Group should be established. This would consist
                                         required to reach holistic optimal solutions.                 of CEO level people nominated on an ad personam
                                                                                                       basis, drawn from the stakeholder community. The High
                                         This Group recommends that the stakeholders in
                                                                                                       Level Group would have a clear and limited objective –
                                         European aeronautics should explore these goals
                                                                                                       it should be disbanded when this work is complete.
                                         together, sharing views on what the crucial intermediate
     14
                                         steps need to be, agreeing the key performance needs of       The High Level Group would oversee the process in
                                         the future systems. This does not mean that every aspect      order to explore and develop the major goals that should
                                         needs to be agreed – there will be areas of difference.       be the stepping stones to the Vision. These would be
                                         But it urges that we establish a new partnership to seek      described at the level of defined goals – not the detail of
                                         out those areas where we can agree and allow this to          how they might be achieved. The High Level Group
                                         condition how we each travel toward the Vision.               would be assisted by working groups examining separate
                                                                                                       areas of expertise. Working bodies already existing
                                         Examples of possible areas for exploration are
                                                                                                       should be utilised as far as possible.
                                         • The impact of new ATM systems to increase
                                          system capacity.                                             This work – to the timetable indicated on the next page
                                         • The scope for increasing airport capacity by innova-        – will be a precursor to the design of appropriate plans
                                          tive, and perhaps radical, new approaches.                   of research. These plans can then be designed with spe-
                                         • The competitive advantages of new aircraft concepts         cific long-term goals in mind and the most appropriate
                                          and their implication for the airlines.                      mechanism used or created to achieve these by the most
                                         • The implications for aircraft design and airline            effective means.
                                          operations of new approaches to passenger and
                                                                                                       For the aeronautics stakeholders the value of this work
                                          baggage systems at airports.
                                                                                                       will rest in having a set of shared and agreed goals which
                                         • The possibilities and implications for very quiet
                                                                                                       will allow research into new aircraft, engines, equipment
                                          operation of aircraft with respect to communities
                                                                                                       and Air Traffic Management to be guided by a unified
                                          living outside airports.
                                                                                                       sense of direction.
L.O. aéro 05    8/05/00     10:07    Page 15




                              The Advisory Group Vision




                                                                                                                                Aeronautics For Europe
                             THE AIR TRANSPORT SYSTEM IN EUROPE IN 2020


                      European Air Mobility
                      for Sustainable Growth
                      and Quality of Life
                      • Airports have increased their passen-
                        ger capacity to 3 times that of 2000.       Europe – A Leader in a
                      • Passengers experience delay free            Global Market
                        travel – in all weather.
                      • Passengers spend less time waiting          • European suppliers provide more
                        in airports than in 2000.                     than 50% of the world demand for
                                                                      aeronautics products – more than 4                        15
                      • No excessive aircraft noise or external       times the output of 2000.
                        risk affecting citizens in residential
                        areas.                                      • European companies succeed in all
                                                                      major sectors: aircraft, engines,
                      • Air travel generates less emissions           equipment, services.
                        impact than other forms of travel.
                      • The number of aircraft related fatali-
                        ties has fallen despite the growth in
                        travel.
                      • The same range of business and
                        entertainment services and travelling
                        comfort as passengers enjoy at home
                        or office.



                      A Coherent “European Research Area”
                      • Long term strategies for technology creation are pursued through a variety of
                        harmonised mechanisms – privately, in national programmes and in European
                        programmes.
                      • Research goals are shared across Europe.
                      • Europe uses its centres of excellence in industry, academia and in research insti-
                        tutes in a more efficient way.
                      • The mixture of co-ordination and competition is optimised.
                      • The mobility of researchers is increased.
                      • There is consistency across educational curricula that encourages pan-European
                        movement.
                      • Research exploits e-networks fully.




     An Opportunity for Leadership:                                 This needs not just mechanisms but leadership. It needs
     European Answers for European Needs                            leadership from politicians and industry, from regulators
     Europe has established itself through a century of aero-       and environmentalists, from operators and local or
     nautics. It has maintained a world leading level of            regional authorities. This innovative approach can be a
     expertise. This is challenged as never before. This paper      showcase for Europe. It can demonstrate that we can
     recommends an original model which differs from the            blend national and European activity, competition and
     American one, for Europe has distinct political struc-         collaboration, private and public funding, large nations
     tures, cultures and inclinations. This paper recommends        and small in generating and realising a shared vision for
     the innovative, flexible opportunity to demonstrate that       the future that stems not from centralist control but
     a European answer, building on our evident strengths,          from willing and effective co-operation.
     can be developed.
L.O. aéro 05                   8/05/00   10:07     Page 16




                                         6.6 A Timetable                                               After the 5th Framework
      Aeronautics For Europe




                                                                                                       Programme: the Next Stage
                                         for Action
                                                                                                       The 5th Framework Programme was a land-
                                         The Advisory Group believes that the priority action is to
                                                                                                       mark in the development of the application of
                                         create the process that will lead to better identification
                                                                                                       E.U. Framework Programmes to aeronautics.
                                         of goals. This paper is not intended to imply that any
                                         particular grouping of interests or funding approach will
                                         be best. However, it is clear that there should be a strong   • It introduced new concepts for structuring
                                                                                                         aeronautics research.
                                         and continuing investment by the EU that is focused on
                                         aeronautic, but the details should be considered in the       • It established innovatory types of large proj-
                                                                                                         ect that allow technologies to be integrated
                                         light of the process recommended here.
                                                                                                         and validated.
                                                                                                       • It substantially increased the scale of aero-
                                                                                                         nautics activity.
                                                                                                       • It applied new approaches to the focus and
                                 Stakeholders                     The Vision
                                                                                                         definition of projects.



                                                         Challenges to be overcome                     The measures recommended in this paper rep-
                                                                                                       resent a step forward in establishing additional
                                                                                                       mechanisms that will help to focus Research &
                                                             New technology
                                                                                                       Technology better throughout Europe. The
                                                                                EU - NATIONAL -        consultations envisaged will help to develop the
                                                 NEEDS                         REGIONAL - PRIVATE      next Framework Programme and will also influ-
                                                                                 PROGRAMMES
                                                                                                       ence other activities.



                                         Year 2000                                                     The industry expects that the 6th Framework
                                                                                                       Programme will also have a very important part
                                         The priorities for Year 2000 should be to:                    to play in conjunction with the other mecha-
                                         • Seize the leadership opportunity to make aeronautics        nisms by which Research & Technology
                                          in Europe a successful partnership between the EU,           Development is advanced in aeronautics.
     16
                                          the nations and the stakeholders.
                                         • Establish the Process of consultation and co-operation      In parallel with the consultation recom-
                                          in identifying high-level market and policy needs and        mended here the industry will further
                                          the main challenges to their realisation.                    develop its technology objectives and plan
                                                                                                       the projects that will be necessary to achieve
                                         • Create the mechanisms for this to be successful – the
                                                                                                       them. These plans will also be progressively
                                          creation of a High Level Group, and supporting teams.
                                                                                                       informed both by the measures outlined
                                         • Expand the support for this joint effort to those with a    here and by the evolution of the market and
                                          part to play in the successful expansion of aeronautics      by local and national discussions.
                                          in Europe for the benefit of all.

                                                                                                       The effective planning, execution and applica-
                                         First Results – The output from Year 2000                     tion of Research & Technology Development
                                         should establish:                                             will not, therefore, depend on a single sequen-
                                         • A shared vision of aeronautics for the year 2020            tial stream of activity but on our ability to fuse
                                          adopted and maintained by the principal stakeholders.        together a coincident variety of information,
                                                                                                       activities, capabilities and mechanisms into an
                                         • A shared view of the main challenges, and the princi-       effective whole.
                                          pal goals which will have to be met if this vision is to
                                          be enabled.

                                         These elements should then be presented to the relevant
                                         political authorities.
L.O. aéro 05   8/05/00      10:07   Page 17




                                                            Glossary
                A.T.C.                     Air Traffic Control – the systems by which aircraft are controlled for safety and operational
                                           purposes whilst in the air and in motion on the ground.
                A.T.M.                     Air Traffic Management
                Advisory Group             The External Advisory Group for Aeronautics established under Key Action 4 of the Growth
                                           Programme within the 5th Framework Programme.
                Aeronautics                Matters relating to the design, manufacturing, maintenance and operational functions of air-
                                           craft together with all subordinate systems, parts and materials.
                Air Transport System       The world of aviation services from the arrival of the passenger or freight at the airport to the
                                           exit from the destination airport including any type of aircraft and the facilities that are
                                           necessary between the departure and destination airports.
                Airbus 3E                  Airbus Collaborative research plan of Airbus Industrie partners for Energy,
                                           Efficiency and Environment.
                Aviation                   The totality of the system in which aircraft of all types operate – includes the airlines,
                                           airports, and ground support services, as well as aeronautics.
                EREA                       European Research Establishment Association.
                Europe                     Unless otherwise indicated refers to the European Union.
                GARTEUR                    Group for Aeronautical Research and Technology in Europe.
                IMG3                       Industrial Management Group of the industrial aeronautical sectors for airframe,
                                           engines and equipment.
                NASA                       National Aeronautics and Space Administration.
                Research & Development     All those technical activities which embrace Research and Technology Development as well
                                           as the Design, Development, Test and Certification activities related to specific products. R&D
                Research & Technology      The processes of preparing new technical capabilities which will be useful in the future but
                Development                which are not related to specifically identified products. R&TD

                SME                        Small or Medium-sized Enterprise.
                The Aeronautics Industry   All those enterprises which play a part in the design, development and
                                           manufacture of any product used in aeronautics.
L.O. aéro 05   8/05/00   10:01   Page 1




                                                     15
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Aeronautics for europe report

  • 1. L.O. aéro 05 8/05/00 10:02 Page 2 Aeronautics for Europe A Partnership for Research and Technology and European Growth A Position Paper produced by the External Advisory Group for Aeronautics Recommendations to the European Commission - April 2000 EUR 19318
  • 2. L.O. aéro 05 8/05/00 10:02 Page 3 This Po s i t i o n Pa p e r has been produced by the External Advisory Group for Aeronautics set up in December 1998 to advise the European Commission. This Paper is entirely the responsibility of the External Advisory Group Members and is not represented as reflecting the views of the European Commission o r o f a n y n a t i o n a l g o v e r n m e n t . T h e Pa p e r h a s b e n - efited from the advice and views of many groups and individuals across the aeronautics i n d u s t r y. Members of the External Advisory Group Mr Ulf Olsson (Chairman) Mr Angel-Luis Arias (Vice Chairman) Prof. Fred Abbink Mr Mike Goulette Mr Kurt Jensen Mr Jim Lawler Mr Eros Lojacono Mr François Lureau Mrs Utimia Madaleno Mr Peter Malanik Mr Claude Nyssen Prof. Kyriacos Papailiou Prof. Aviv Rosen Dr Joachim Szodruch Mr Jean-Marc Thomas Mr Trevor Truman Prof. Volker von Tein Published by the European Commission LEGAL NOTICE Neither the European Commission nor any person acting on behalf of the Commission is responsible for the use which might be made of the following information. Luxembourg: Office for Official Publications of the European Communities, 2000 ISBN 92-828-8596-8 © European Communities, 2000 Printed in Belgium
  • 3. L.O. aéro 05 8/05/00 10:02 Page 1 Aeronautics For Europe Summary European aeronautics has succeeded in establishing European Aeronautics faces three challenges: itself as the main competitor to the United States • Meeting European social needs. and needs to maintain this position. To this end the • Creating competitive products for the global market. Advisory Group believes that a long-term research • Creating and applying new technology-based strategy and key objectives shared by all parties of capabilities for future growth. the European air transport system are called for. The Advisory Group believes that shared long term The Advisory Group recognises the positive impact of goals for the global operational air transport system the "New Perspectives in Aeronautics" Key Action of in Europe would be useful to facilitate concerted the Fifth Framework Programme. It recommends actions among the parties involved to the benefit of both establishing mechanisms to focus and better Europe and its citizens. rationalise R&T throughout Europe, and preserving the continuity of successful activities towards the The Advisory Group has a vision for the future of next Framework programme. European Aeronautics that translates into research. It sets out ambitious aspirations for progress by 2020 The world is changing, quickly and extensively that respond to the demands of European citizens, towards a knowledge society. These changes in indus- the needs of the market and the importance of taking trial, economic and social areas will shape our due care of the environment. It is based on 2 main future; they will impact on all European citizens. strands: “leadership of the European Industry in the Aeronautics is a knowledge intensive industry. global market” and “European air mobility for sus- It is at the centre of change. The growth of aero- tainable growth and quality of life”. nautics is partly a cause of progress. It also allows us To realise this vision the Paper proposes 3 measures: to improve the ways we do business and live our lives. • A leadership initiative by the Commissioner for It is an essential contributor to the social, economic Research & Technology which will forge a new and industrial development that will transform the partnership of consultation with European aero- face of Europe over the next 20 years. nautics stakeholders. Europe is a special region. It has a large popula- • A process which will use this partnership to iden- tion, prosperous and educated, and some very tify, and quantify when necessary, the major goals densely populated conurbations. It is highly industri- for the next 20 years which will allow aeronautics alised, technically advanced and export-oriented. It in 2020 to benefit from European aircraft which has a rich diversity of cultures and languages that can meet the needs of both markets and citizens. call for increased mobility for its people. • A development of the European Research Area that will allow the technologies needed to deliver In looking at European aeronautics it is important to these benefits to be created in a European context assess its present condition and the challenges that with greater efficiency and better focus at every lie ahead. Even if European aeronautics is highly level; Community, national, regional and enter- successful today it faces intense global competition prise. and new demands from community interests which require a strategic approach to the future.
  • 4. L.O. aéro 05 8/05/00 10:02 Page 2 Aeronautics For Europe -Market - SocietyPolitical AimsPassen ge Airlines rs Manufacturing Industry Airports Aircraft Defence Research Establishments Air traffic & Universities Management 2 The scope of this paper is aircraft in the civil air transport system, for passenger and freight transport, and for public and civil services, but recognising that aircraft technologies have links of a dual, civil/defence nature. The paper takes a view of “Air Transport” as a system in which all the elements work interactively.
  • 5. L.O. aéro 05 8/05/00 10:02 Page 3 Aeronautics For Europe Contents 3 Summary 1 The Scope 2 1. Europe in a Changing World 4 2. Aeronautics at the Centre of Change 5 3. Europe – A Special Region 6 4. How is European Aeronautics Doing? 7 5. The Challenges for Research & Technology 9 6. European Aeronautics for the 2020s – The Advisory Group Vision 12 Glossary 17
  • 6. L.O. aéro 05 8/05/00 10:03 Page 4 1. Europe in a Changing World Aeronautics For Europe A world of change We live in a rapidly and extensively changing world. In every direction we see the power of change in business, lifestyle, communications, and politics. The world is Markets that were until recently local have become changing global. Even small suppliers now serve the needs of cus- tomers around the world. No longer is it assumed that rapidly in many the nationality of the customer, the means of delivery, ways …. the supplier and the manufacturer will be the same. Many of the goods we buy are made, grown, designed or managed in a variety of regions. Population, especially in the less developed world, con- tinues to increase quickly. More people in more coun- European experience tries depend upon resources from outside their own Europe is being transformed. The unification of region. More pressure is being placed on the natural Germany and the return of the former Eastern Bloc environment. states to a European identity will create a greatly 500% enlarged Europe and further needs for mobility. 450% Industry and commerce in Europe is in rapid develop- 400% ment and restructuring, involving also the aeronautical 350% industry. The consolidation of large corporations and the 300% globalisation of their operations will have major effects 250% Passenger Route Kilometres European GDP on the patterns of European business. 200% 150% Internal European travel is already extensive but 100% forecast to grow rapidly. New investment in both land 5 7 9 3 5 7 9 3 5 7 1 1 (1974=100%) 197 197 197 198 198 198 198 198 199 199 199 199 and air transport systems is an imperative. These Source: SNECMA Market Forecast 1999-2018, May 1999, ICAO. infrastructure changes will be made in the European The Information Revolution is transforming business context of different cultures and languages, different everywhere. New business models are being created, political systems and within a diverse set of priorities new routes to market, new ways of delivering value to and mechanisms. customers which are independent of location. European strate- Facing up to change Rather than decreasing demand these changes sustain a gies for change These extensive and rapid changes demand that for a strong growth in air travel. Fares have been reduced and are needed that sector like aeronautics there should be a strategy which more people travel. Market demands have caused a third meet new needs responds to new needs and drives the changes. New of all freight by value to be carried by air – reaching new technology will be needed, as will the means to apply it and exploit new markets faster. successfully and competitively to market and social opportunities. Around the world awareness of the natural environment needs. The priorities for change must be shared and and the need to protect it grows steadily. Although avia- used to influence the pattern of European development. tion makes only a small impact on the environment, con- certed action will be necessary to offset the effects of a This paper addresses these issues for European growing market. aeronautics and especially for aircraft technology. 4
  • 7. L.O. aéro 05 8/05/00 10:03 Page 5 2. Aeronautics Aeronautics For Europe at the Centre of Change Aeronautics has caused many of the changes that we remain at the focus but when we look to the future we have experienced. The availability of safe, reliable and shall continue to look beyond aircraft, even aircraft of rapid air transport has stimulated new business possibil- new configurations, to the system of air transport – opti- ities. It has provoked important developments in our mised air fleets, the airports, traffic control, regulatory Aeronautics is infrastructure, work patterns and lifestyle. It has con- regimes etc – within which aircraft operate. The capac- essential to tributed massively to the economies of Europe and the ity of our present air transport system is clearly under wealth of a number of its regions; it employs a huge stress. As traffic increases we must make this system economic growth workforce and, through exports, contributes strongly to respond to world change and drive new changes to the and industrial Europe’s ability to fund other changes and to develop benefit of the European citizen which respect the social change. the quality of life of its citizens. and environmental needs of our communities. Aeronautics has also enabled changes to happen. Flights per year Businesses can reach out to new customers world-wide. Canada 2 USA New Zealand UK Just-in-time stock management is made possible by reli- Australia able air freight operations. The globalisation of business 1 France Malaysia Saudi Arabia Germany Netherlands depends on the existence of flexible, inexpensive air 0,5 Greece Korea Japan transport to connect operations. Portugal Italy Tunisia Mexico Taiwan Cze South Africa As the new century unfolds we expect the continued Brazil 0,1 Turkey growth and industrialisation of Asia to continue. Those Philippines Czechoslovakia 0,05 Indonesia developments will depend extensively on aeronautics. Pakistan In the past progress in aeronautics has meant aircraft PR China development: the advent of the jet age, of supersonic 0,01 India 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 GNP per capita $ US flight, of large twin-aisle airliners. Aircraft will still These are major challenges certainly. But they are also major opportunities. Aeronautics has been able to make i a strong contribution to the growth of Europe – it should continue to do so. It can be a continuing engine for eco- & nomic development. It can continue to fund, through its 5 Aeronautics export successes, the creation of an air transport system in Europe which is world leading. It will contribute to A Changing Europe business efficiency but also bring a range of benefits to • More than 1,000,000 jobs depend, people of all our nations – whether they are travellers or directly or indirectly, on aeronautics. not. Economic and employment benefits, improvements • Aviation in Europe employs 2 million people, in the quality of life, enhancements to their businesses, Europe’s aviation in manufacturing, operations, & airports . the opportunity to travel more economically. system must be • Every new landing slot at Frankfurt airport generates 1,500 jobs. further developed • About 1,000 direct jobs are created to meet by every million passengers per year . economic, social, • About 4,000 jobs in all are induced for every million passengers per year. environmental • European passenger traffic in 2000 and public service will be close to 1 billion passengers. needs.
  • 8. L.O. aéro 05 8/05/00 10:05 Page 6 3. Europe _ A Special Region Aeronautics For Europe Europe – Facing world-wide In this changing scene Europe has a unique mix of The enlargement of the EU will increase both the competition opportunities and challenges in the field of aeronautics. opportunities and the challenges. Our cultural her- with huge We have demonstrated unmatched skills in creating itage gives us the benefits of diversity but also the advantages in world class teams within the diversity of our cultures, challenges of language, of differing standards, and of talent, experi- We have established benchmarks for international col- fragmented institutions laboration in complex projects. We have a huge base of ence and In this competitive world of aeronautics two eco- talent and of cultural variety. But Europe also faces a products. world of fierce competition, where the stakes are enor- nomic regions are dominant – Europe and the USA. Our greatest competitor, and largest export market, mous, where to lose means to lose entire businesses and now addresses the market with a federated system, a to lose their European presence. unified domestic market, with a set of strategic i national objectives, and with the huge resources and capabilities of both its industry and its government The United States laboratories including NASA, the foremost aerospace • 87% of the world’s airliners are American built. R&D agency in the world. • Public funding for aerospace in the US (for 1997) In contrast Europe retains the legacy of its nation states, was three times that of the EU and all its member states combined. works with many national stakeholders and has yet to • Both in turnover and number of employees the size of the aerospace develop common objectives. As an example of its air industry of the USA is more than twice that of the EU combined. transport operations, Europe works under the burden of • The share of the aerospace sector in US exports is almost twice that in the EU. 49 national Air Traffic Control Centres using 22 differ- ent operating systems. Many Europeans enjoy a high standard of living and However, Europe can overcome these difficulties of want this to be further enhanced with improvements to fragmentation when it wishes to do so. Industrial 6 their quality of life including a better environment. restructuring is now proceeding rapidly in Europe, bringing the numerous players in the different fields to a Europe enjoys the services of rapidly growing air traf- new stage of concentration. However, the research sys- fic into and within its regions. However, its citizens tem across the Union is lagging behind this momentum. experience daily the challenge of managing that rate of increase – noise, congestion, and delay are com- Doing better in Europe is a necessity not an option. monplace. We have several large concentrations of … but population with already high densities of air traffic – fragmented nearly every proposal to increase airport capacity meets fierce environmental resistance. Europe pres- Doing better in terms of ents a number of specific political , industrial and in Europe means working culture, organisational features which have to be considered. together better. language and procedures.
  • 9. L.O. aéro 05 8/05/00 10:05 Page 7 4. How is European Aeronautics For Europe Aeronautics Doing? A Story of Success European Aeronautics is an outstanding success story (see box). Europe has developed products that i have influenced global aeronautics operations. It has produced many world firsts. Some European Firsts European airspace copes with an unprecedented • Supersonic Airliner – Concorde. number of passengers. In the defence field European • Vertical Take-Off and Landing combat fighter – Harrier. aerospace products are used around the world for the protection and security of nations. The nations of • All-weather automatic landing systems. Europe have an unrivalled ability to mount success- • Fly-by-wire airliner – Airbus. ful international collaborative projects on the most • Digital auto-flight system – Airbus. advanced technology-based products, civil as well as • Helicopters with turbine engines - Eurocopter. in defence. • 3-Shaft engine – Rolls Royce. It has created, in Airbus Industrie, a world leading • Two man, “Glass cockpit”, wide-body airliner - Airbus. supplier, this year outselling the USA in large airlin- ers, and European world-class capabilities in its engine and equipment sectors. In research the European Union Framework Aeronautics has been able to support European eco- Programmes for aeronautics have grown in impor- nomic growth while implementing dramatic reductions tance and improved in focus and delivery leading to in noise and fuel consumption. Noise outside the airport the inclusion of aeronautics as a "Key Action" in the confines is now similar to that of motorway traffic. Over 5th Framework Programme. An important new the past 20 years aircraft fuel consumption per flight has approach was the introduction of large-scale integra- been reduced by 30-40%. 7 tion projects. This Programme has had significant practical influence on the positioning of the national civil aeronautics programmes. i Technologies developed in aeronautics and now in general use • Aerodynamic and aero-acoustic shaping of cars. • Disc brakes for cars and trains and Anti-lock Braking Systems (ABS). • Software systems for displays. Computer techniques for assessing structural efficiency of buildings, cars, and equipment. • Composite materials including carbon fibre. • Materials for artificial limbs and for replacement joints. • Thermal imaging cameras for police and rescue work. • Advanced business processes for project management.
  • 10. L.O. aéro 05 8/05/00 10:05 Page 8 Aeronautics For Europe Facing Strong Competition American unified public funding for aeronautics far The market for aeronautical products is global – surpasses Europe’s combined investment, which is every customer in the world can find competitive itself fragmented around the nations of the EU. products vying for orders. The biggest players by a Europe has no clear, coherent strategy for continued long way are Europe and the USA. Competition is success. More rational funding for research and fierce between them. technology must be seen as a key element of a European aeronautics policy. Both have a large and talented workforce. Both had many successes in the first century of aeronautics. Despite these factors Europe now competes head to But the USA has a strategy – a determination to head in large aircraft, in aero engines and in equipment. dominate in aerospace – and it signals this on every world stage. NASA has no parallel in Europe. Delivering a string of wider benefits Boeing, America’s major aerospace company, has a In addition to these economic successes European civil turnover nearly 3 times that of Airbus Industrie. aeronautics delivers a steady flow of technologies 8 The US Administration has a record of sustained – developed in aerospace for high performance at high support to its aerospace industry. cost – but passed on to the wider economy for low cost applications (see box).
  • 11. L.O. aéro 05 8/05/00 10:06 Page 9 5. The Challenges for Aeronautics For Europe Research & Technology The European aeronautics industry is knowledge-based. It faces three key high-level challenges: Meeting the needs of an advanced society Creating competitive products for a global market Sustaining the flow of key technology 9 5.1 Meeting the Needs But as traffic continues to increase strongly and even bet- ter noise performance is demanded, including reductions of an Advanced Society in airframe noise, it will be a major challenge to meet the aspirations of these communities. Passengers If Europe is to service the needs of business for air pas- Air Fares (relative to 1970) senger travel, it must be able to look forward to a future 110% in which rapid growth – doubling in 15 years, almost tre- bling by 2020 – is accompanied by even higher safety, 100% lower costs and greater convenience. Our long term 90% aims must be to cope with vastly increased traffic whilst Air Fares achieving the goals of: 80% • Sustained safety standards and lower accident rates. 70% • Comfortable, convenient and on-time passenger mobility. • Progressive reductions in real cost to passengers. 60% The challenge is to improve passenger and business 50% 5 0 5 0 5 0 0 197 197 198 198 199 199 200 appeal for air transport in Europe whilst absorbing a sus- tained and rapid growth in traffic. Source ICAO The Wider Community Most people are not frequent air travellers. All of us share the aspiration that air transport growth should be Heathrow - Population affected by noise safe and not create environmental damage and nui- 200% sance. Percentage relative to 1974 150% Any strategy must embrace the goals of safer, quieter air- craft that produce fewer emissions. 100% • Noise 50% The impact of noise on communities around airports has 0% 0 0 0 0 been much reduced as a result of new technology applica- 197 198 199 200 tions. The example of Heathrow is typical – despite an Aircraft flights 80% increase in the number of flights since 1974 the Population affected by noise number of people disturbed by noise has dropped by 80%. Source DETR
  • 12. L.O. aéro 05 8/05/00 10:07 Page 10 5.2 Creating Competitive Aeronautics For Europe Products for Global Markets • Emissions Whilst noise affects a relatively small number of people To create aircraft systems that will deliver a new genera- aircraft emissions can affect us all. Early jet airliners were tion of benefits to society and to their operators around both noisy and dirty, leaving trails of smoky fuel in their the world will mean a sustained evolution of design. wake. Their successors today are much improved, both New aircraft, engines and equipment using new innova- quieter and cleaner. Today the impact of aircraft emis- tive construction technologies must be ready for world sions is small: less than 3.5% of all man-made global CO2 markets. emission is accountable to aeronautics. However, the Winning will mean staying in the forefront of design – demand for air transport is growing strongly and threatens able to use old and new technologies in new ways. to outpace the rate at which the application of new tech- Responding to the leadership of others cannot achieve it. nology can deliver improvements. It represents a major technical challenge over the long term. Creating competitive products that will win in the fiercely competitive markets of tomorrow is not just about design Hull losses per million flights concepts. It will require that these products are designed and built to the performance standards required and 1st generation: 2nd generation: 3nd generation: B707 B727 MD80 competitive both in purchase price and in operating costs. DC8 B737-100-200 MD11 B747 MD90 This manufacturing system, exploiting the capabilities of DC9 B737-300/400/500 DC10 B757/767 all the regions of Europe, must be optimised – not to 10 A300B4 A310/A300-600 restrict the activities of any region or company, but to 9 A319/A320/A321 8 A330/A340 ensure that overall air transport needs are met in the 7 B777 most efficient and cost effective way. 6 5 1st generation Europe needs to be able to manufacture these products. 10 4 If we cannot do so, or do so inefficiently, we shall spend 2nd generation 3 All aircraft 2 large amounts of money buying them from abroad, par- 1 3nd generation ticularly from the USA. 0 1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 Years of operation • Safety Block Fuel per seat-mile New generations of aircraft are demonstrably and signifi- Datum A300 cantly safer than older generations. However, with the -10% current growth of air transportation, the number of acci- -20% A310-300 -37% dents risks to increase substantially. This represents a A300-600 major challenge for research and aviation operations in -30% order to achieve a quantum leap forward in safety. A330 -40% 0 0 0 0 197 198 199 200 i Certification Date • The European Aeronautics Industry directly employs more than 420,000 people (1998). • 80,000 firms supply the aeronautics industry in Europe. • Europe had a trade balance surplus of more than 9 billion euro from aerospace products.
  • 13. L.O. aéro 05 8/05/00 10:07 Page 11 5.3 Sustaining the Flow Aeronautics For Europe This premium on content means that not all research of Technology work can be widely shared. Firms need to generate com- petitive advantage. Nations want to sustain national Creating Value abilities. in the European Research Area There can be no success in aeronautics without an But content considerations do not mean that no co- intensive research and development effort. The industry operation is possible. Europe has outstanding abilities to spends an average of 16% of its turnover on R&D which create collaborative programmes in research. These includes the substantial public contribution through work well when the programme meets the collective EU, national and Research Establishment programmes. aims of the group or combines excellence in a powerful co-operation. The strategy for aeronautics must emphasise its output – better services, meeting social and business needs, Management 11 creating competing products. This output will rely The European Research Area is a pluralist community – fundamentally on the creation and exploitation of firms, nations, academia and research institutes have new technology. private, shared, and collaborative research programmes. The existence of knowledgeable and well trained scien- There is competition and co-operation. There is no con- tists, engineers and managers is the unquestionable pre- sistent management structure. requisite for meeting these challenges. A joint effort by The aspiration for Europe, therefore, lies in creating a the states, the industry, research institutions and, of flexible set of mechanisms that respect the diversity of course, educational institutions is necessary to attract Europe but enable European strengths to be fully realised. talented people to work in aeronautics. We must use the centres of European excellence, Creating new technology-based capabilities has three whether in industry, academia or in institutions, to fur- main elements: ther European goals. Excellence will have many faces. •Focus Effective, market leading products and services will •Content require the best technical capabilities that Europe can •Management deliver. However, in order fully to unfold our strength Each of these has important implications for the the European Research Area needs shared visibility, har- European Research Area, providing an important contri- monisation and efficiency. bution to the European research potential i Focus European Aeronautics Research This paper is very much about focus – identifying the imperatives for the future, the key goals that must be Area Background achieved. • EU Research Programmes leading up to a separate Key Action for aeronautics in the 5th Framework Programme. Focus can be shared. These proposals assert that by sharing a discussion with the stakeholders in the • National aeronautics Research & Technology collaboration in GARTEUR. European air transport system we can achieve a better • National Research Establishment co-operation in aeronautics in EREA. focus and derive better, clearer directions for future • Newly emerging national strategies for aeronautics research involving research programmes. small enterprises and centres of excellence. • Combination of national capabilities and facilities such as European Content Transonic Wind Tunnel (ETW) and the German-Netherlands Subsonic History shows that solutions to challenging problems are Wind Tunnel (DNW). not always predictable or similar. There are great prizes • Eurocontrol research programme. for those who can generate exceptionally clever solu- • Airbus 3E's programme. tions – creating solutions that are effective and low cost. • Industry collaborating on long term research planning within IMG3.
  • 14. L.O. aéro 05 8/05/00 10:07 Page 12 6. European Aeronautics For Europe Aeronautics for the 2020s – The Advisory Group Vision Demand for air travel increases rapidly – world-wide by about 5% annually. Between 2000 and 2020 more than 14,000 large new airliners, worth over €1,000 billion, will have been delivered to create a world fleet of 20,000 airliners after old types are withdrawn. Two Great Prizes About 40% of worldwide air travel has a European to win: arrival or departure point. A great air trans- For Europe these expectations are both a huge port system and opportunity and a tremendous challenge. huge economic All of Europe has huge opportunities to benefit from gains. air transport and the aeronautics industry. These benefits are not only for those involved in it directly but for all of its citizens, in every nation or region, creating business prosperity, social exchange and Europe and the rest of the world. This will increase air cohesion, jobs, and technology. traffic which will only be acceptable to society if… • Air traffic growth delivers what communities and trav- ellers need – safety, low noise nuisance, care for the 6.1 Two Great Prizes to Win environment, public service, low congestion, conven- ience. The advances that will deliver these will only be The prizes are enormous: affordable if … • An air transport system that will support European • We create competitive aircraft and equipment that growth, attract and foster new business whilst meeting sells around the world. the social needs of Europe for travel and the needs of But in a changing world these benefits will not flow auto- our environment and quality of life. matically to Europe, they will have to be fought for, seized, • An aeronautical industry that will provide the products and exploited, and retained using skill, commitment and to go on winning at least half of a world market which endurance. Unless we build on strength we cannot win 12 will more than double by 2020. This will bring in the prizes that exist. Unless we understand our vulnerabil- money, create jobs and sustain growth. ities today our tomorrow will belong to others. Achieving these goals needs a partnership of intent to be A Circle of Linked Goals forged between those who rely upon aeronautics and Linking these different perspectives demands that we those who provide aeronautics services. agree about European goals together because they depend on each other. A circle of goals: 6.2 A New Partnership Future aircraft • Creating competitive abilities for world-wide sales of This new partnership envisages a wider consultation must shape and aircraft and equipment which will … at the much earlier research stage. This will create a respond to future • Deliver employment and economic growth and fit into … shared view of the future and ensure that Research & needs. • A first class Air Transport System that will enable all Technology Development programmes are focused on kinds of business growth within Europe and between stakeholder needs.
  • 15. L.O. aéro 05 8/05/00 10:07 Page 13 Aeronautics For Europe It will create a shared view of the needs of the whole air would not be encouraged but hampered thereby. transport system. This will allow complementary, and Nevertheless we recognise that many technologies in conflicting, needs to be considered together. For exam- aeronautics are of a dual nature and it is beneficial that ple, consider the way in which new aircraft will fit to this should continue to be encouraged and facilitated by new airports; how new aircraft capabilities can be the policies and mechanisms that are put in place in matched to new operating procedures to deliver environ- both areas. 13 mental improvements; how congestion will be relieved by new aircraft capabilities that work in a new air traffic control regime. 6.3 The Players • The Aeronautics Industry including the supply chain More than 30% of European public investment in civil and SMEs aeronautics research & technology is funded by the EU. • National Aeronautics Research Establishments Participation by national governments in the strategic • Civil Security and Public Services approach is also essential. National governments also • Airports have programmes, firms have their own programmes of • Airlines investment. All have an interest in making sure that what • The Air Traffic Control community we are doing today will deliver the air transport system • Universities that we need – and do so cost-effectively. In the final • Community interest groups analysis each stakeholder group must remain responsible • Public authorities (national and regional) for their own contributions to our future. None will • Regulators accept that this responsibility can be diluted, none will wish to be subservient to the control of others. But all All want to see an air transport system in Europe that may gain from being able to share a view of the future meets their various needs. These needs should influence which will allow them to play their role more effectively. the design of the future aircraft that will continue to This new shared and open understanding will present form the core element of the system. many opportunities for those nations with more modest aeronautics capabilities and for SMEs by giving visibility to the directions of future development and providing signposts for the areas of interest and relevance. Boundaries This paper proposes that the air transport system can be looked at in a unified way. We do not recommend that this be combined with a consideration for land trans- port, or of space applications except insofar as these have a direct effect on the air transport system and the effectiveness of passenger and freight movement by air. The Advisory Group has considered the defence dimen- i The Air Transport System sion. It is an area of unique sensitivity. The Advisory • operates from entering the airport to leaving the Group does not recommend a complete fusion of civil destination airport and includes all types of aircraft, and defence considerations on the grounds that progress both fixed and rotary wing, and the facilities that are necessary between the two.
  • 16. L.O. aéro 05 8/05/00 10:07 Page 14 6.4 The Advisory Aeronautics For Europe Group Vision The Value of a Vision We need a vision of the future to stimulate the whole range of activities which will together create a more effective air transport system for 2020. It has been described as “a dream with a deadline” – a time-based aspiration that stretches our imagination and challenges our abilities to achieve exceptional results. A vision is not a plan. There is as yet no coherent set of actions that will create this future. But the Vision is a 6.5 Creating a process clear direction; like a lighthouse it leads us forward even Three steps to achievement though we have to cope with many conflicting tides and • Share the Vision among the stakeholders. currents on the way. • Create a process within which the priority goals for the The value of a single vision is that it gives coherence to future can be mapped out. the actions of many groups. It does not dictate how each • Establish mechanisms within the European Research must act, but for those who accept the final objective it Area which will allow programmes to be constructed maintains a sense of direction. which secure the objectives in the most effective man- ner. The Vision does not lead to a master plan that is rigidly controlled and inflexible. It allows the key goals that are This Paper recommends that, under the leadership of steps towards the vision to be identified – the impera- the Commissioner for Research & Technology, a High tives that will need to be achieved and the compromises Level Group should be established. This would consist required to reach holistic optimal solutions. of CEO level people nominated on an ad personam basis, drawn from the stakeholder community. The High This Group recommends that the stakeholders in Level Group would have a clear and limited objective – European aeronautics should explore these goals it should be disbanded when this work is complete. together, sharing views on what the crucial intermediate 14 steps need to be, agreeing the key performance needs of The High Level Group would oversee the process in the future systems. This does not mean that every aspect order to explore and develop the major goals that should needs to be agreed – there will be areas of difference. be the stepping stones to the Vision. These would be But it urges that we establish a new partnership to seek described at the level of defined goals – not the detail of out those areas where we can agree and allow this to how they might be achieved. The High Level Group condition how we each travel toward the Vision. would be assisted by working groups examining separate areas of expertise. Working bodies already existing Examples of possible areas for exploration are should be utilised as far as possible. • The impact of new ATM systems to increase system capacity. This work – to the timetable indicated on the next page • The scope for increasing airport capacity by innova- – will be a precursor to the design of appropriate plans tive, and perhaps radical, new approaches. of research. These plans can then be designed with spe- • The competitive advantages of new aircraft concepts cific long-term goals in mind and the most appropriate and their implication for the airlines. mechanism used or created to achieve these by the most • The implications for aircraft design and airline effective means. operations of new approaches to passenger and For the aeronautics stakeholders the value of this work baggage systems at airports. will rest in having a set of shared and agreed goals which • The possibilities and implications for very quiet will allow research into new aircraft, engines, equipment operation of aircraft with respect to communities and Air Traffic Management to be guided by a unified living outside airports. sense of direction.
  • 17. L.O. aéro 05 8/05/00 10:07 Page 15 The Advisory Group Vision Aeronautics For Europe THE AIR TRANSPORT SYSTEM IN EUROPE IN 2020 European Air Mobility for Sustainable Growth and Quality of Life • Airports have increased their passen- ger capacity to 3 times that of 2000. Europe – A Leader in a • Passengers experience delay free Global Market travel – in all weather. • Passengers spend less time waiting • European suppliers provide more in airports than in 2000. than 50% of the world demand for aeronautics products – more than 4 15 • No excessive aircraft noise or external times the output of 2000. risk affecting citizens in residential areas. • European companies succeed in all major sectors: aircraft, engines, • Air travel generates less emissions equipment, services. impact than other forms of travel. • The number of aircraft related fatali- ties has fallen despite the growth in travel. • The same range of business and entertainment services and travelling comfort as passengers enjoy at home or office. A Coherent “European Research Area” • Long term strategies for technology creation are pursued through a variety of harmonised mechanisms – privately, in national programmes and in European programmes. • Research goals are shared across Europe. • Europe uses its centres of excellence in industry, academia and in research insti- tutes in a more efficient way. • The mixture of co-ordination and competition is optimised. • The mobility of researchers is increased. • There is consistency across educational curricula that encourages pan-European movement. • Research exploits e-networks fully. An Opportunity for Leadership: This needs not just mechanisms but leadership. It needs European Answers for European Needs leadership from politicians and industry, from regulators Europe has established itself through a century of aero- and environmentalists, from operators and local or nautics. It has maintained a world leading level of regional authorities. This innovative approach can be a expertise. This is challenged as never before. This paper showcase for Europe. It can demonstrate that we can recommends an original model which differs from the blend national and European activity, competition and American one, for Europe has distinct political struc- collaboration, private and public funding, large nations tures, cultures and inclinations. This paper recommends and small in generating and realising a shared vision for the innovative, flexible opportunity to demonstrate that the future that stems not from centralist control but a European answer, building on our evident strengths, from willing and effective co-operation. can be developed.
  • 18. L.O. aéro 05 8/05/00 10:07 Page 16 6.6 A Timetable After the 5th Framework Aeronautics For Europe Programme: the Next Stage for Action The 5th Framework Programme was a land- The Advisory Group believes that the priority action is to mark in the development of the application of create the process that will lead to better identification E.U. Framework Programmes to aeronautics. of goals. This paper is not intended to imply that any particular grouping of interests or funding approach will be best. However, it is clear that there should be a strong • It introduced new concepts for structuring aeronautics research. and continuing investment by the EU that is focused on aeronautic, but the details should be considered in the • It established innovatory types of large proj- ect that allow technologies to be integrated light of the process recommended here. and validated. • It substantially increased the scale of aero- nautics activity. • It applied new approaches to the focus and Stakeholders The Vision definition of projects. Challenges to be overcome The measures recommended in this paper rep- resent a step forward in establishing additional mechanisms that will help to focus Research & New technology Technology better throughout Europe. The EU - NATIONAL - consultations envisaged will help to develop the NEEDS REGIONAL - PRIVATE next Framework Programme and will also influ- PROGRAMMES ence other activities. Year 2000 The industry expects that the 6th Framework Programme will also have a very important part The priorities for Year 2000 should be to: to play in conjunction with the other mecha- • Seize the leadership opportunity to make aeronautics nisms by which Research & Technology in Europe a successful partnership between the EU, Development is advanced in aeronautics. 16 the nations and the stakeholders. • Establish the Process of consultation and co-operation In parallel with the consultation recom- in identifying high-level market and policy needs and mended here the industry will further the main challenges to their realisation. develop its technology objectives and plan the projects that will be necessary to achieve • Create the mechanisms for this to be successful – the them. These plans will also be progressively creation of a High Level Group, and supporting teams. informed both by the measures outlined • Expand the support for this joint effort to those with a here and by the evolution of the market and part to play in the successful expansion of aeronautics by local and national discussions. in Europe for the benefit of all. The effective planning, execution and applica- First Results – The output from Year 2000 tion of Research & Technology Development should establish: will not, therefore, depend on a single sequen- • A shared vision of aeronautics for the year 2020 tial stream of activity but on our ability to fuse adopted and maintained by the principal stakeholders. together a coincident variety of information, activities, capabilities and mechanisms into an • A shared view of the main challenges, and the princi- effective whole. pal goals which will have to be met if this vision is to be enabled. These elements should then be presented to the relevant political authorities.
  • 19. L.O. aéro 05 8/05/00 10:07 Page 17 Glossary A.T.C. Air Traffic Control – the systems by which aircraft are controlled for safety and operational purposes whilst in the air and in motion on the ground. A.T.M. Air Traffic Management Advisory Group The External Advisory Group for Aeronautics established under Key Action 4 of the Growth Programme within the 5th Framework Programme. Aeronautics Matters relating to the design, manufacturing, maintenance and operational functions of air- craft together with all subordinate systems, parts and materials. Air Transport System The world of aviation services from the arrival of the passenger or freight at the airport to the exit from the destination airport including any type of aircraft and the facilities that are necessary between the departure and destination airports. Airbus 3E Airbus Collaborative research plan of Airbus Industrie partners for Energy, Efficiency and Environment. Aviation The totality of the system in which aircraft of all types operate – includes the airlines, airports, and ground support services, as well as aeronautics. EREA European Research Establishment Association. Europe Unless otherwise indicated refers to the European Union. GARTEUR Group for Aeronautical Research and Technology in Europe. IMG3 Industrial Management Group of the industrial aeronautical sectors for airframe, engines and equipment. NASA National Aeronautics and Space Administration. Research & Development All those technical activities which embrace Research and Technology Development as well as the Design, Development, Test and Certification activities related to specific products. R&D Research & Technology The processes of preparing new technical capabilities which will be useful in the future but Development which are not related to specifically identified products. R&TD SME Small or Medium-sized Enterprise. The Aeronautics Industry All those enterprises which play a part in the design, development and manufacture of any product used in aeronautics.
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