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Afren Plc Oil and Gas Valuation Report
Published on June 2009

                                                                                                            Report Summary

Afren Plc Oil and Gas Valuation Report


Summary


Afren Plc Company Valuation Report is the essential source for those interested in the investment outlook for Afren Plc. The report
provides exhaustive information on the areas of operations of the company as well as the market overview of the regions in which the
company operates. The reports also provides detailed financial outlook of the company for the next five years along with the key
financial and operational ratios. It also provides detailed asset by asset valuation of the company's oil and gas exploration blocks and
oil and gas fields.


Scope


- Provides detailed information and analysis of areas of operations of the company.
- Provides detailed information regarding production and reserves of the company.
- Provides detailed analysis of the share price performance of the company as well as its comparison with the market and the peer
group.
- Provides financial forecast for the company for the next five years.
- Provides asset by asset valuation (sum-of-parts) of the company.
- Provides peer-group analysis based on share performance, operational and financial parameters.


Reasons to buy


- Make investment decisions relating to the company on the basis of detailed data relating to the company's forecast performance.
- Value the company by understanding the key drivers of the company's performance, its oil and gas reserves and forecast
production.
- Use the information for strategy and planning, M and A identifications, and competitor analysis.




                                                                                                             Table of Content

1 Table of Content 2



1.1 List of Tables


5



1.2 List of Figures



Afren Plc Oil and Gas Valuation Report                                                                                          Page 1/6
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ReportLinker                                                                   and Market Statistics


6
2 Investment Overview 8
2.1 Encouraging Nigerian Economics to Drive the Growth 9
2.1.1 Okoro Setu 9
2.1.2 Ebok Field 10
2.1.3 OPL 907 and 917 11
2.1.4 Ogedeh Field (OML 90) 12
2.1.5 Ofa Field 13
2.2 Substantial Upside Through New Partnerships and Acquisition Activities 13
2.3 Exploring Acquisition Opportunities In Africa 17
3 Operations Overview 18
3.1 Shareholding Structure 19
3.2 Nigeria 20
3.2.1 Assets Overview 20
3.2.2 Production and Reserves 22
3.2.3 Exploration and Development 25
3.3 Côte d'Ivoire 27
3.3.1 Production and Reserves 27
3.3.2 Exploration and Development 28
3.4 Nigeria - Sao Tome & Principle Joint Development Zone (JDZ) 28
3.4.1 Production and Reserves 29
3.4.2 Exploration and Development 29
3.5 Congo (Brazzaville) 29
3.5.1 Production and Reserves 30
3.5.2 Exploration and Development 30
3.6 Gabon 31
3.6.1 Exploration and Development 32
3.7 Ghana 32
3.7.1 Exploration and Development 33
3.8 Summary of the Overall Assets 33
3.8.1 Outlook 34
3.9 Income Statement (2007-2013E) 35
3.10 Balance Sheet (2007-2013E) 36
3.11 Cash Flow Statement (2007-2013E) 37
4 Valuation 38
4.1 Sum-of-Parts Analysis 38
5 Peer Group Analysis 40
5.1 Share Price Performance 40
5.2 Operational and Financial Performance 41
6 Key Risks 44
6.1 Crude oil and natural gas prices 44
6.2 Political Instability 44
6.3 Competition 44
6.4 Reserves and Drilling operations 44
7 Market Scenario 45
7.1 Nigeria 45
7.2 Reserves and Production 45
7.3 Imports and Exports 45
7.4 Infrastructure 46
7.5 Regulations 46


Afren Plc Oil and Gas Valuation Report                                                                    Page 2/6
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7.6 Key Fiscal Regime 47
7.7 Cote D'Ivore 47
7.8 Reserves and Production 47
7.9 Import and Exports 48
7.10 Infrastructure 48
7.11 Regulations 48
7.12 Key Fiscal Regime 49
8 Appendix 50
8.1 Methodology 50
8.1.1 Coverage 50
8.1.2 Secondary Research 51
8.1.3 Primary Research 51
8.1.4 Forecasts 52
8.2 Key Economic Assumptions 54
8.3 Expert Panel Validation 54
8.4 Definitions 54
8.5 Unit Of Measure 55
8.6 Disclosure information 56
8.7 About GlobalData 56
8.8 Contact Us 56
8.9 Disclaimer 56


1.1 List of Tables



Table 1: Afren Plc, Okoro Setu Overview 9
Table 2: Afren Plc, Ebok Overview 11
Table 3: Afren Plc, Ogedeh Field Overview 12
Table 4: Afren Plc, Ofa Field Overview 13
Table 5: Afren Plc ' Nigeria Assets Updates 20
Table 6: Afren Plc ' Côte d'Ivoire Updates 28
Table 7: Afren Plc ' São Tomé & Príncipe Updates 28
Table 8: Afren Plc ' Congo Updates 30
Table 9: Afren Plc ' Gabon Updates 31
Table 10: Afren Plc ' Ghana Updates 32
Table 11: Afren Plc, Income Statement ($ Million), 2007- 2013E 35
Table 12: Afren Plc, Balance Sheet ($ Million), 2007-2013E 36
Table 13: Afren Plc, Cash Flow Statement ($ Million), 2007-2013E 37
Table 14: Afren Plc - Summary of Target Price ($/share), 2008 38
Table 15: Afren Plc ' Sum of Parts Valuation Methodology 39
Table 16: Afren Plc Vs Peer Group, Segment Valuation, 2008 41
Table 17: Crude Oil and Natural Gas Prices, 2009-2012 54


1.2 List of Figures



Figure 1: Afren Plc, Share Price Performance, January 2008 - June 2009 8
Figure 2: Afren Plc ' Ebok Field, Early Production System 10
Figure 3: Afren Plc and Other Operators Working Interest in OPL 907 Field 11
Figure 4: Afren Plc and Other Operators Working Interest in OPL 917 Field 12


Afren Plc Oil and Gas Valuation Report                                                                    Page 3/6
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Figure 5: Afren Plc, Block CI-11 Overview 14
Figure 6: Afren Plc and Other Companies Holdings in Block CI-11 14
Figure 7: Afren Plc Interconnected Pipeline Framework in Block CI-01 15
Figure 8: Afren Plc's Partnership in Keta Block in Ghana 16
Figure 9: Afren Plc's Keta Block Overview 16
Figure 10: Afren Plc's - Debt Maturity Structure, $ Million, 2009-2013 17
Figure 11: Afren Plc, Operational Overview 18
Figure 12: Afren Plc, Significant Shareholders 19
Figure 13: Afren Plc, Okoro Setu Field 22
Figure 14: Afren Plc, Ebok 4 Well Overview 22
Figure 15: Afren Plc, Ogedeh Field Overview 23
Figure 16: Afren Plc, Ofa Field Overview 24
Figure 17: Afren Plc, Eremor Field 25
Figure 18: Afren Plc, Côte d'Ivoire Overview 27
Figure 19: Afren Plc - JDZ Overview 29
Figure 20: Afren Plc - Congo Overview 30
Figure 21: Afren Plc ' Gabon Overview 31
Figure 22: Afren Plc ' Ghana Overview 32
Figure 23: Afren Plc ' Exploration, Production and Development of The Assets 33
Figure 24: Afren Plc Vs Peer Group, Relative Share Price Performance Index, June 2008 ' May 2009 40
Figure 25: Afren Plc Vs Peer Group, EV/2P Reserves (US$/boe), June 2008 42
Figure 26: Afren Plc Vs Peer Group, Total Oil & Gas Reserves (MMboe), 2008 42
Figure 27: Afren Plc Vs Peer Group, Total Oil & Gas Production (MMboe), 2008 43
Figure 28: GlobalData Methodology 50




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Afren Plc Oil and Gas Valuation Report

  • 1. Find Industry reports, Company profiles ReportLinker and Market Statistics >> Get this Report Now by email! Afren Plc Oil and Gas Valuation Report Published on June 2009 Report Summary Afren Plc Oil and Gas Valuation Report Summary Afren Plc Company Valuation Report is the essential source for those interested in the investment outlook for Afren Plc. The report provides exhaustive information on the areas of operations of the company as well as the market overview of the regions in which the company operates. The reports also provides detailed financial outlook of the company for the next five years along with the key financial and operational ratios. It also provides detailed asset by asset valuation of the company's oil and gas exploration blocks and oil and gas fields. Scope - Provides detailed information and analysis of areas of operations of the company. - Provides detailed information regarding production and reserves of the company. - Provides detailed analysis of the share price performance of the company as well as its comparison with the market and the peer group. - Provides financial forecast for the company for the next five years. - Provides asset by asset valuation (sum-of-parts) of the company. - Provides peer-group analysis based on share performance, operational and financial parameters. Reasons to buy - Make investment decisions relating to the company on the basis of detailed data relating to the company's forecast performance. - Value the company by understanding the key drivers of the company's performance, its oil and gas reserves and forecast production. - Use the information for strategy and planning, M and A identifications, and competitor analysis. Table of Content 1 Table of Content 2 1.1 List of Tables 5 1.2 List of Figures Afren Plc Oil and Gas Valuation Report Page 1/6
  • 2. Find Industry reports, Company profiles ReportLinker and Market Statistics 6 2 Investment Overview 8 2.1 Encouraging Nigerian Economics to Drive the Growth 9 2.1.1 Okoro Setu 9 2.1.2 Ebok Field 10 2.1.3 OPL 907 and 917 11 2.1.4 Ogedeh Field (OML 90) 12 2.1.5 Ofa Field 13 2.2 Substantial Upside Through New Partnerships and Acquisition Activities 13 2.3 Exploring Acquisition Opportunities In Africa 17 3 Operations Overview 18 3.1 Shareholding Structure 19 3.2 Nigeria 20 3.2.1 Assets Overview 20 3.2.2 Production and Reserves 22 3.2.3 Exploration and Development 25 3.3 Côte d'Ivoire 27 3.3.1 Production and Reserves 27 3.3.2 Exploration and Development 28 3.4 Nigeria - Sao Tome & Principle Joint Development Zone (JDZ) 28 3.4.1 Production and Reserves 29 3.4.2 Exploration and Development 29 3.5 Congo (Brazzaville) 29 3.5.1 Production and Reserves 30 3.5.2 Exploration and Development 30 3.6 Gabon 31 3.6.1 Exploration and Development 32 3.7 Ghana 32 3.7.1 Exploration and Development 33 3.8 Summary of the Overall Assets 33 3.8.1 Outlook 34 3.9 Income Statement (2007-2013E) 35 3.10 Balance Sheet (2007-2013E) 36 3.11 Cash Flow Statement (2007-2013E) 37 4 Valuation 38 4.1 Sum-of-Parts Analysis 38 5 Peer Group Analysis 40 5.1 Share Price Performance 40 5.2 Operational and Financial Performance 41 6 Key Risks 44 6.1 Crude oil and natural gas prices 44 6.2 Political Instability 44 6.3 Competition 44 6.4 Reserves and Drilling operations 44 7 Market Scenario 45 7.1 Nigeria 45 7.2 Reserves and Production 45 7.3 Imports and Exports 45 7.4 Infrastructure 46 7.5 Regulations 46 Afren Plc Oil and Gas Valuation Report Page 2/6
  • 3. Find Industry reports, Company profiles ReportLinker and Market Statistics 7.6 Key Fiscal Regime 47 7.7 Cote D'Ivore 47 7.8 Reserves and Production 47 7.9 Import and Exports 48 7.10 Infrastructure 48 7.11 Regulations 48 7.12 Key Fiscal Regime 49 8 Appendix 50 8.1 Methodology 50 8.1.1 Coverage 50 8.1.2 Secondary Research 51 8.1.3 Primary Research 51 8.1.4 Forecasts 52 8.2 Key Economic Assumptions 54 8.3 Expert Panel Validation 54 8.4 Definitions 54 8.5 Unit Of Measure 55 8.6 Disclosure information 56 8.7 About GlobalData 56 8.8 Contact Us 56 8.9 Disclaimer 56 1.1 List of Tables Table 1: Afren Plc, Okoro Setu Overview 9 Table 2: Afren Plc, Ebok Overview 11 Table 3: Afren Plc, Ogedeh Field Overview 12 Table 4: Afren Plc, Ofa Field Overview 13 Table 5: Afren Plc ' Nigeria Assets Updates 20 Table 6: Afren Plc ' Côte d'Ivoire Updates 28 Table 7: Afren Plc ' São Tomé & Príncipe Updates 28 Table 8: Afren Plc ' Congo Updates 30 Table 9: Afren Plc ' Gabon Updates 31 Table 10: Afren Plc ' Ghana Updates 32 Table 11: Afren Plc, Income Statement ($ Million), 2007- 2013E 35 Table 12: Afren Plc, Balance Sheet ($ Million), 2007-2013E 36 Table 13: Afren Plc, Cash Flow Statement ($ Million), 2007-2013E 37 Table 14: Afren Plc - Summary of Target Price ($/share), 2008 38 Table 15: Afren Plc ' Sum of Parts Valuation Methodology 39 Table 16: Afren Plc Vs Peer Group, Segment Valuation, 2008 41 Table 17: Crude Oil and Natural Gas Prices, 2009-2012 54 1.2 List of Figures Figure 1: Afren Plc, Share Price Performance, January 2008 - June 2009 8 Figure 2: Afren Plc ' Ebok Field, Early Production System 10 Figure 3: Afren Plc and Other Operators Working Interest in OPL 907 Field 11 Figure 4: Afren Plc and Other Operators Working Interest in OPL 917 Field 12 Afren Plc Oil and Gas Valuation Report Page 3/6
  • 4. Find Industry reports, Company profiles ReportLinker and Market Statistics Figure 5: Afren Plc, Block CI-11 Overview 14 Figure 6: Afren Plc and Other Companies Holdings in Block CI-11 14 Figure 7: Afren Plc Interconnected Pipeline Framework in Block CI-01 15 Figure 8: Afren Plc's Partnership in Keta Block in Ghana 16 Figure 9: Afren Plc's Keta Block Overview 16 Figure 10: Afren Plc's - Debt Maturity Structure, $ Million, 2009-2013 17 Figure 11: Afren Plc, Operational Overview 18 Figure 12: Afren Plc, Significant Shareholders 19 Figure 13: Afren Plc, Okoro Setu Field 22 Figure 14: Afren Plc, Ebok 4 Well Overview 22 Figure 15: Afren Plc, Ogedeh Field Overview 23 Figure 16: Afren Plc, Ofa Field Overview 24 Figure 17: Afren Plc, Eremor Field 25 Figure 18: Afren Plc, Côte d'Ivoire Overview 27 Figure 19: Afren Plc - JDZ Overview 29 Figure 20: Afren Plc - Congo Overview 30 Figure 21: Afren Plc ' Gabon Overview 31 Figure 22: Afren Plc ' Ghana Overview 32 Figure 23: Afren Plc ' Exploration, Production and Development of The Assets 33 Figure 24: Afren Plc Vs Peer Group, Relative Share Price Performance Index, June 2008 ' May 2009 40 Figure 25: Afren Plc Vs Peer Group, EV/2P Reserves (US$/boe), June 2008 42 Figure 26: Afren Plc Vs Peer Group, Total Oil & Gas Reserves (MMboe), 2008 42 Figure 27: Afren Plc Vs Peer Group, Total Oil & Gas Production (MMboe), 2008 43 Figure 28: GlobalData Methodology 50 Afren Plc Oil and Gas Valuation Report Page 4/6
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