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ARF: THE MAIN VEHICLE TO EAST
ASIA REGIONAL ORDER
Group 4
Maria Renata Hutagalung, Rio Budi Rahmanto
S. Sayoga Kadarisman, Edi Suharto, Sulaiman Syarif
Sesparlu 55
Pusat Pendidikan dan Pelatihan
Kementerian Luar Negeri RI
13 September 2016
Introduction & ProblemStatement
•East Asia region dynamic region 
2/5 world’s growth
•Challenges: tensions and unresolved
territorial disputes
•Problem: need for a regional order in
East Asia
•Objective: alternative to establish a
regional order
Past,Presentand Future Trends
• The Past
• After WW II  Newly Independent Countries
• South East Asia  ASEAN
• North East Asia  US Security umbrella
• The Present
• ASEAN, ASEAN+3, ASEAN Regional Forum (ARF)
& East Asia Summit
• Many unsettled conflicts and disputes
• The Future
• Manage conflicts and disputes
• Need regional order
1. East Asia Summit
• ASEAN+8 (18 countries)  US and Russia
• Pro: Shift focus to peace and security
• Con: Difficult maintain ASEAN Centrality
2. ASEAN Regional Forum
• ASEAN+17 (27 countries)
• Pro: Already focusing on peace and security
• Con: Large membership  harder consensus
3. ASEAN+3
• ASEAN + China, Japan and South Korea
• Pro: Already discussion on peace and security
• Con: A country might dominate & exclude other
players in the broader region
Policy Options
Proposed priority:
ASEAN Regional Forum (ARF) as the Main
Vehicle to Regional Order
Reasoning:
• More efficient using established mechanism
focusing on peace and security
• H. Kissinger: Asian order should include
outside power as an integral part of the
forum
Policy Recommendation
Conclusion
•There is a need for a regional order
•The ARF might be an efficient
mechanism to pursue the objective
•ARF with broader membership might
enable balancing player within
•Need to ensure peace and stability in
ASEAN, East Asia and beyond
Thank you

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ARF as a Vehicle to an East Asia Regional Order

  • 1. ARF: THE MAIN VEHICLE TO EAST ASIA REGIONAL ORDER Group 4 Maria Renata Hutagalung, Rio Budi Rahmanto S. Sayoga Kadarisman, Edi Suharto, Sulaiman Syarif Sesparlu 55 Pusat Pendidikan dan Pelatihan Kementerian Luar Negeri RI 13 September 2016
  • 2. Introduction & ProblemStatement •East Asia region dynamic region  2/5 world’s growth •Challenges: tensions and unresolved territorial disputes •Problem: need for a regional order in East Asia •Objective: alternative to establish a regional order
  • 3. Past,Presentand Future Trends • The Past • After WW II  Newly Independent Countries • South East Asia  ASEAN • North East Asia  US Security umbrella • The Present • ASEAN, ASEAN+3, ASEAN Regional Forum (ARF) & East Asia Summit • Many unsettled conflicts and disputes • The Future • Manage conflicts and disputes • Need regional order
  • 4. 1. East Asia Summit • ASEAN+8 (18 countries)  US and Russia • Pro: Shift focus to peace and security • Con: Difficult maintain ASEAN Centrality 2. ASEAN Regional Forum • ASEAN+17 (27 countries) • Pro: Already focusing on peace and security • Con: Large membership  harder consensus 3. ASEAN+3 • ASEAN + China, Japan and South Korea • Pro: Already discussion on peace and security • Con: A country might dominate & exclude other players in the broader region Policy Options
  • 5. Proposed priority: ASEAN Regional Forum (ARF) as the Main Vehicle to Regional Order Reasoning: • More efficient using established mechanism focusing on peace and security • H. Kissinger: Asian order should include outside power as an integral part of the forum Policy Recommendation
  • 6. Conclusion •There is a need for a regional order •The ARF might be an efficient mechanism to pursue the objective •ARF with broader membership might enable balancing player within •Need to ensure peace and stability in ASEAN, East Asia and beyond