1. Mobile Information Society
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2. Mobile devices, internet and broadband boosts GDP
growth substantially in emerging economies
Effects of Mobile Availability on GDP Growth
1.38 10% Point Increase in
1.5 Broadband Penetration
10% Point Increase in Mobile Increases GDP by 1.38% Points
Penetration Increases GDP by per Year
0.81% Points per Year 1.21
1.12
1.0 “Productivity isn’t everything, but in
the long run it is almost everything.
0.81
0.72 0.77 A country’s ability to improve its
standard of living over time depends
0.60 almost entirely on its ability to raise
Percentage points
its output per worker.”
0.5 0.43 Paul Krugman, The Age of
Diminishing Expectations (1994)
High-income economies
Low- and middle-income economies
Fixed Mobile Internet Broadband
Qiang, 2009, World Bank
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3. ‘Economic’ benefits of wireless communication in
emerging markets are substantial and broad based
Contribution of the Mobile Sector Towards GDP
8,00 % 7,4%
7,00 %
6,00 %
5,8%
3,60 %
5,00 %
4,7% End-user surplus
1,70 %
4,00 % 1,10 %
Indirect Impact from other
3,00 % 1,90 % Wireless sectors
1,60 %
1,70 %
Direct impact from operators
2,00 %
1,00 % 1,90 % 2,20 % 2,20 %
0,00 %
India China Philippines
Multiplier of ICT investment on
GDP output ~3.2-4.5 ~4.5 ~3.8
Penetration of unique
subscribers 28 49 60
McKinsey; ITU, 2008; EIU, 2008, Yankee Group Forecast 2007; IDC, 2007
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4. Mobile devices are the primary solution for
increasing ICT penetration in emerging economies
Mobile Subscriber Penetration Rate, Mobile Subscriber Penetration Rate,
Mature / Developed Economies Mature / Developed Economies
100 100
Subscriber Penetration (%)
Subscriber Penetration (%)
PC Penetration
80 80 Mobile Penetration
60 60
40 40
20 PC Penetration 20
Mobile Penetration
0 0
2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012
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5. Operators are investing heavily to deploy 3G networks
3G Capex for selected countries in Africa 3G Capex Growth 2010 – 2011
2010, 2011, Millions USD %
2010
• Highest 3G Capex
+54% growth
2011
44%
40%
+32%
22%
+28%
+31%
+80% 13%
9%
South Nigeria Egypt Algeria Morocco Africa Latin Asia Europe Japan
Africa America (excluding
% of Japan)
3% 4% 5% 7% 5% 6% 3% 5% 4% 5%
sales
Source: WI, Gartner
5 © Nokia 2011
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6. The path and steps to mobile enabled
information society
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7. Thank you!
Jussi Hinkkanen
VP, Government Relations and Business Environment
Middle East and Africa
jussi.hinkkanen@nokia.com
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