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Motivating Farmers to Move the Needle on
Nutrient Loss Reduction in
Ohio’s Old Woman Creek Watershed
through Pay-for-Performance Conservation
SWCS Annual Conference
Pittsburgh, PA
July 30th, 2019
Presenation Overview
• Concept of pay-for-performance (PFP)
conservation
• Tools and process
• Results - Old Woman Creek watershed
Lake Erie – Harmful Algal Blooms (HABs)
Current Approach:
“Pay-for-Practice” Conservation
• USDA spends >$5 Billion/Year on practices
• Outcomes are not quantified
• Approach does not motivate farmers to
solve problem
Landscape is Diverse:
Information is Essential
New Approach:
“Pay-for-Performance” Conservation
The Economic Justification
 Market failure
 Performance-based incentives can serve as a
“price” for pollution control
 Environmental performance becomes
incorporated into farm business planning
Work with Farmers to Help Develop
Appropriate Solutions
Steps:
• Identify actions for specific fields (scenarios)
• Estimate nutrient loss reductions and costs
• Provide information to farmers for decision-making
-$10
$0
$10
$20
$30
$40
$50
$60
$70
$80
$90
$100
Individual Farm-level P Reduction Actions
CostperPoundofPLossReduction
Manure/Fertilizer Management
Feed Management
Crop Rotation Changes
Tillage
Sediment Traps
Contouring
Buffers
Cover Crop
Highly Variable Cost-Effectiveness
“Model-at-the-farm,
Measure-at-the-watershed”
Quantification
in a Pay-for-Performance Program
• Need to quantify:
• Nutrient loss
• Full economic cost
• Cost-effectiveness
• Payments, profit/loss
Nutrient Loss Quantification
• Estimates of field-specific losses from
baseline and BMPs
• Methods for quantification:
– Simulation models (e.g. Nutrient Tracking
Tool (NTT))
– Simple index
– Proxy measures
For More on Quantifying Performance
Quantifying Cost
• Why do we need to estimate costs?
– Farmers deserve to know.
– We need to know the cost-effectiveness.
• We need a tool that lets the technician
easily produce field-specific cost
estimates.
BMP Cost Analysis Tool (BMP-CAT)
• Transparent spreadsheet-based tool
• Simple and quick for the technician
• Easy to fully describe change by
checking boxes
• BMP-CAT program calculates cost/acre
and cost/field
BMP Cost Analysis Tool (BMP-CAT)
• Calculate cost-effectiveness
• Paste in nutrient loss information
• BMP-CAT produces tables and graphs
for farmer decision-making
Provide Results to Each Farmer:
Loss Reductions
Provide Results to Each Farmer:
Payment, Cost, and Profit
Paying for Performance
Old Woman Creek Project:
• Project pays $35/lb P and $5/lb N
• Estimate baseline P losses very low
• Avg. cost/lb P loss reduction = $112
• N losses are much greater
• N loss reductions much less expensive
○ Avg. cost/lb N loss reduction ≈ $2
Results by Farm
Results by BMP
Results by BMP (per acre basis)
Farmer Sign-up Stats
• Farmers Contacted – 32(mailer)/11(phone call)
• Farms run through NTT -
– # of farms – 5.5
– # fields - 68
– # acres - 1680
– # scenarios run – about 100
• Farms Signed up
– # of farms - 3
– # fields – 20
– # acres – 766
$27,257
In Incentive Payments
Nitrogen Reduced
4,638 lbs
Phosphorus Reduced
116 lbs
Pay-for-Performance Conservation:
A How-To Guide
 Describes steps and
data needs
 Goals:
 Reduce transaction costs
 Create opportunities for
scale
 Funded by Great Lakes
Protection Fund
https://www.winrock.org/project/running-off-pollution-
paying-midwestern-farmers-to-improve-water-quality/
Contact Information
Jonathan R. Winsten
Email: jwinsten@winrock.org
Tel: (802) 343-3037
www.PFPconservation.com

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July 30-230-Jon Winsten

  • 1. Motivating Farmers to Move the Needle on Nutrient Loss Reduction in Ohio’s Old Woman Creek Watershed through Pay-for-Performance Conservation SWCS Annual Conference Pittsburgh, PA July 30th, 2019
  • 2. Presenation Overview • Concept of pay-for-performance (PFP) conservation • Tools and process • Results - Old Woman Creek watershed
  • 3. Lake Erie – Harmful Algal Blooms (HABs)
  • 4. Current Approach: “Pay-for-Practice” Conservation • USDA spends >$5 Billion/Year on practices • Outcomes are not quantified • Approach does not motivate farmers to solve problem
  • 7. The Economic Justification  Market failure  Performance-based incentives can serve as a “price” for pollution control  Environmental performance becomes incorporated into farm business planning
  • 8. Work with Farmers to Help Develop Appropriate Solutions Steps: • Identify actions for specific fields (scenarios) • Estimate nutrient loss reductions and costs • Provide information to farmers for decision-making
  • 9. -$10 $0 $10 $20 $30 $40 $50 $60 $70 $80 $90 $100 Individual Farm-level P Reduction Actions CostperPoundofPLossReduction Manure/Fertilizer Management Feed Management Crop Rotation Changes Tillage Sediment Traps Contouring Buffers Cover Crop Highly Variable Cost-Effectiveness
  • 11. Quantification in a Pay-for-Performance Program • Need to quantify: • Nutrient loss • Full economic cost • Cost-effectiveness • Payments, profit/loss
  • 12. Nutrient Loss Quantification • Estimates of field-specific losses from baseline and BMPs • Methods for quantification: – Simulation models (e.g. Nutrient Tracking Tool (NTT)) – Simple index – Proxy measures
  • 13. For More on Quantifying Performance
  • 14. Quantifying Cost • Why do we need to estimate costs? – Farmers deserve to know. – We need to know the cost-effectiveness. • We need a tool that lets the technician easily produce field-specific cost estimates.
  • 15. BMP Cost Analysis Tool (BMP-CAT) • Transparent spreadsheet-based tool • Simple and quick for the technician • Easy to fully describe change by checking boxes • BMP-CAT program calculates cost/acre and cost/field
  • 16. BMP Cost Analysis Tool (BMP-CAT) • Calculate cost-effectiveness • Paste in nutrient loss information • BMP-CAT produces tables and graphs for farmer decision-making
  • 17. Provide Results to Each Farmer: Loss Reductions
  • 18. Provide Results to Each Farmer: Payment, Cost, and Profit
  • 19. Paying for Performance Old Woman Creek Project: • Project pays $35/lb P and $5/lb N • Estimate baseline P losses very low • Avg. cost/lb P loss reduction = $112 • N losses are much greater • N loss reductions much less expensive ○ Avg. cost/lb N loss reduction ≈ $2
  • 22. Results by BMP (per acre basis)
  • 23. Farmer Sign-up Stats • Farmers Contacted – 32(mailer)/11(phone call) • Farms run through NTT - – # of farms – 5.5 – # fields - 68 – # acres - 1680 – # scenarios run – about 100 • Farms Signed up – # of farms - 3 – # fields – 20 – # acres – 766 $27,257 In Incentive Payments Nitrogen Reduced 4,638 lbs Phosphorus Reduced 116 lbs
  • 24. Pay-for-Performance Conservation: A How-To Guide  Describes steps and data needs  Goals:  Reduce transaction costs  Create opportunities for scale  Funded by Great Lakes Protection Fund https://www.winrock.org/project/running-off-pollution- paying-midwestern-farmers-to-improve-water-quality/
  • 25. Contact Information Jonathan R. Winsten Email: jwinsten@winrock.org Tel: (802) 343-3037 www.PFPconservation.com