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The above provides the local details in respect of the SMP-wide policy presented in the preceding sections of this Plan
document. These details must be read in the context of the wider-scales issues and policy implications, as reported therein.
Severn Estuary SMP2 Review – Final Report
1
LYDNEY TO GLOUCESTER
This Theme area contains the Policy Units GLO 1, GLO 2, GLO 3, GLO 4, GLO 5, GLO 6, GLO
7 and GLO 8.
It starts at the mouth of Lydney Harbour (east) and ends at the drain from Long Brook.
The Key Policy Drivers in this area are:
• International nature conservation sites – Severn Estuary SAC, SPA and Ramsar sites,
Walmore Common Ramsar site;
• Critical infrastructure – railway line, electricity transmission network, Blakeney sewage
treatment works, A48, A40.
The above provides the local details in respect of the SMP-wide policy presented in the preceding sections of this Plan
document. These details must be read in the context of the wider-scales issues and policy implications, as reported therein.
Severn Estuary SMP2 Review – Final Report
2
The above provides the local details in respect of the SMP-wide policy presented in the preceding sections of this Plan
document. These details must be read in the context of the wider-scales issues and policy implications, as reported therein.
Severn Estuary SMP2 Review – Final Report
3
Policy Unit: GLO 1 – Lydney Harbour to Brims Pill (west bank of the
Severn)
The above provides the local details in respect of the SMP-wide policy presented in the preceding sections of this Plan
document. These details must be read in the context of the wider-scales issues and policy implications, as reported therein.
Severn Estuary SMP2 Review – Final Report
4
Preferred Policies to Implement the Plan:
Epoch
Preferred
Policy
Comments
0 to 20
years
(2025)
NAI
The Short Term policy for this unit is No Active Intervention.
There are no built defences in this Policy Unit. There is limited flood and
erosion risk. This is expected to continue. NAI will allow the Lydney Cliff
(SSSI) to evolve naturally. This unit is influenced by both river-driven and
tidal processes.
The shoreline should be monitored to ensure there is no increased risk to
H&S under NAI, impact on the linked Policy Unit (GLO 2) or adversely affect
the CFMP policy - continue to manage flood risk at the current level (see
Section 3.4 on SMP2-CFMP interactions).
20 to 50
years
(2055)
NAI
The medium term policy for this unit is No Active Intervention.
There are no built defences in this Policy Unit. There is limited flood and
erosion risk. This is expected to continue. NAI will allow the Lydney Cliff
(SSSI) to evolve naturally. This unit is influenced by both river-driven and
tidal processes.
The shoreline should be monitored to ensure there is no increased risk to
H&S under NAI, impact on the linked Policy Unit (GLO 2) or adversely affect
the CFMP policy - continue to manage flood risk at the current level (see
Section 3.4 on SMP2-CFMP interactions).
50 to 100
years
(2105)
NAI
The long term policy for this unit is No Active Intervention.
There are no built defences in this Policy Unit. There is limited flood and
erosion risk. This is expected to continue. NAI will allow the Lydney Cliff
(SSSI) to evolve naturally. This unit is influenced by both river-driven and
tidal processes.
The railway line runs close to the shoreline around Wellhouse Bay and
Purton. There is also a water treatment facility in the area. Risks to this
infrastructure are considered to be low but the shoreline should be monitored
in this area to confirm this. Relocation of the water treatment facility could be
considered as and when it needs to be replaced / upgraded, if flooding or
erosion risks increase.
The shoreline should be monitored to ensure there is no increased risk to
H&S under NAI, impact on the linked Policy Unit (GLO 2) or adversely affect
the CFMP policy - continue to manage flood risk at the current level (see
Section 3.4 on SMP2-CFMP interactions).
The above provides the local details in respect of the SMP-wide policy presented in the preceding sections of this Plan
document. These details must be read in the context of the wider-scales issues and policy implications, as reported therein.
Severn Estuary SMP2 Review – Final Report
5
Economics
Policy
Unit
Existing
SMP1
Policy
Time Period
(epoch)
SMP2 Assessment
0-
20
20-
50
50-
100
Preferred Plan Present Value
Damages
Preferred Plan Present Value
Defence Costs
GLO1
Do
Nothing
/ HTL
NAI NAI NAI
Minimal
(GLO1-2 total)
£1m
(GLO1-2 total)
The preferred policy has no economic impact in this Policy Unit. The preferred policy is economically
viable for the linked Policy Units of GLO 1, and GLO 2. The costs of the preferred policy in the table above
relate to actions taken in the linked policy unit (GLO 2), not in GLO 1.
The above provides the local details in respect of the SMP-wide policy presented in the preceding sections of this Plan
document. These details must be read in the context of the wider-scales issues and policy implications, as reported therein.
Severn Estuary SMP2 Review – Final Report
6
Predicted Implication of the Preferred Plan for the GLO 1 Policy Unit
Time
Period
Management Activities
Property, Land Use and
Human Health
Nature Conservation –
including Earth
Heritage, Geology and
Biodiversity
Landscape Character
and Visual Amenity
Historic Environment
Amenity and
Recreational Use
0 – 20
years
The mudstone cliffs will
remain stable in this
period, and as a result
management activities
will be very limited.
Limited erosion and flood
risk will not impact on
existing property, land
use or human health.
A NAI policy will allow
natural processes to
dominate. There will be
continued exposure of
Lydney Cliffs SSSI.
Limited erosion and flood
risk will not impact on
existing landscape and
visual amenity
Limited erosion and flood
risk will not impact on the
historic environment
Limited erosion and flood
risk will not impact on the
amenity value of the land
or recreational use.
20 – 50
years
The mudstone cliffs will
undergo limited erosion
within this period, and as
a result management
activities will be very
limited.
Limited erosion and flood
risk will not impact on
existing property, land
use or human health.
A NAI policy will allow
habitats to roll back so
intertidal habitats and
features will be
maintained. However
there may be loss of
terrestrial habitats as
intertidal habitats roll
back. There will be
continued exposure of
Lydney Cliffs SSSI.
Limited erosion and flood
risk will not impact on
existing landscape and
visual amenity
Limited erosion and flood
risk will not impact on the
historic environment
Limited erosion and flood
risk will not impact on the
amenity value of the land
or recreational use.
50 – 100
years
The mudstone cliffs will
undergo limited erosion
within this period, and as
a result management
activities will be very
limited. Due to the close
proximity of the railway
line, should erosion due
to sea level rise increase,
erosion protection
measures should be
considered.
The railway and STW are
at risk from erosion in this
epoch.
A NAI policy will allow
habitats to roll back so
intertidal habitats and
features will be
maintained. However
there may be loss of
terrestrial habitats as
intertidal habitats roll
back. There will be
continued exposure of
Lydney Cliffs SSSI.
Limited erosion and flood
risk will not impact on
existing landscape and
visual amenity
Limited erosion and flood
risk will not impact on the
historic environment
Limited erosion and flood
risk will not impact on the
amenity value of the land
or recreational use.
The above provides the local details in respect of the SMP-wide policy presented in the preceding sections of this Plan
document. These details must be read in the context of the wider-scales issues and policy implications, as reported therein.
Severn Estuary SMP2 Review – Final Report
7
Policy Unit: GLO 2 – Brims Pill to Northington Farm (west bank of the
Severn)
The above provides the local details in respect of the SMP-wide policy presented in the preceding sections of this Plan
document. These details must be read in the context of the wider-scales issues and policy implications, as reported therein.
Severn Estuary SMP2 Review – Final Report
8
Preferred Policies to Implement the Plan:
Epoch
Preferred
Policy
Comments
0 to 20
years
(2025)
MR
The short term policy for this unit is Managed Realignment.
In the short term the existing defences will remain in place but are likely to
come to the end of their serviceable life in the next epoch. A new realigned
defence will enable new intertidal habitat to be created and manage the risk
of impacts from flooding and erosion to assets behind new defences. There
is an area of low laying ground backed by higher ground, along which a new
line of defence could be created. The position, size and materials of new
defences should be considered in detail to ensure MR does not impact on
the risk of flooding to developed areas, internal drainage or the linked Policy
Unit (GLO 1).
MR in this Policy Unit may allow short lengths of existing defence to be
maintained and a NAI policy along other undefended lengths to allow the
shoreline to evolve naturally. The precise location and type of defence
should be determined by the SEFRMS. This should also determine if the
existing defences can be allowed to erode naturally or should be breached.
Any defences allowed to erode should be monitored to ensure they do not
pose a risk to H&S. New, set back defences and other defences in the policy
unit should be maintained.
Land, nature conservation and historic environment features in front of the
new line of defences or in areas of NAI will be at increased risk of flooding
and erosion. Adaptation actions should be considered and implemented.
The habitat created in this policy unit will help compensate for areas lost
elsewhere in the estuary and help maintain/improve the condition of the
European protected sites.
MR does not guarantee funding to build or maintain new realigned defences.
20 to 50
years
(2055)
HTL
The medium Term policy for this unit is Hold The Line.
New, set back defences and other defences in the policy unit should be
maintained.
HTL does not guarantee funding to build or maintain current or future
defences or to counter sea level rise.
50 to 100
years
(2105)
HTL
The long term policy for this unit is Hold The Line.
This policy is most likely to involve maintaining the realigned defences.
HTL does not guarantee funding to build or maintain current or future
defences or to counter sea level rise.
The above provides the local details in respect of the SMP-wide policy presented in the preceding sections of this Plan
document. These details must be read in the context of the wider-scales issues and policy implications, as reported therein.
Severn Estuary SMP2 Review – Final Report
9
Economics
Policy
Unit
Existing
SMP1 Policy
Time Period
(epoch)
SMP2 Assessment
0-
20
20-
50
50-
100
Preferred Plan Present
Value Damages
Preferred Plan Present
Value Defence Costs
GLO2
HTL (or
Realignment)
MR HTL HTL
Minimal
(GLO1-2 total)
£1.4m
(GLO1-2 total)
The preferred policy is economically viable for the linked Policy Units of GLO 1, and GLO 2. The costs and
damages of the preferred policy in the table above relate to actions taken in all linked policy units.
The above provides the local details in respect of the SMP-wide policy presented in the preceding sections of this Plan
document. These details must be read in the context of the wider-scales issues and policy implications, as reported therein.
Severn Estuary SMP2 Review – Final Report
10
Predicted Implication of the Preferred Plan for the GLO 2 Policy Unit
Time
Period
Management
Activities
Property, Land Use and
Human Health
Nature Conservation –
including Earth Heritage,
Geology and Biodiversity
Landscape Character
and Visual Amenity
Historic Environment
Amenity and
Recreational Use
0 – 20
years
The existing defence
line will be maintained
until a new set back
defence is created.
The existing flood defences
will continue to reduce the
risk of impacts to properties
and land in this epoch. The
new realigned defence will
provide a more sustainable
defence, reducing the risk of
impacts to land and
properties. Properties and
land on the landward side of
the new defences will be at
risk of flooding and erosion
and will gradually become
intertidal habitat.
A MR policy will allow the
creation of approximately
153 Ha of additional intertidal
habitat. However there may
be loss of terrestrial habitats
as intertidal habitats roll
back. Works should take
account of possible
environmental impacts and
the need for an EIA.
The creation of additional
habitat will replace
agricultural land. As a
result the landscape will
alter.
Defences will manage
the risk of flooding on the
historic environment.
Historic assets in front of
realigned defences will
be at risk from
inundation. Impacts on
historic environment and
mitigation actions will
need to be considered in
determining realignment
of defences.
Some
recreational/amenity
areas may be
lost/altered as a result
of MR.
20 – 50
years
The new defence line
should be maintained.
The new defence line will be
maintained and continue to
reduce the risk of flooding to
properties and land.
A MR policy will allow the
creation of approximately
153 Ha of additional intertidal
habitat. However there may
be loss of terrestrial habitats
as intertidal habitats roll
back. Works should take
account of possible
environmental impacts and
the need for an EIA.
The intertidal area will
continue to evolve. As a
result the landscape will
alter.
Defences will manage
the risk of flooding on the
historic environment
Some
recreational/amenity
areas may be
lost/altered as a result
of MR and the
evolving intertidal
area.
50 – 100
years
The new defence line
should be maintained.
The new defence line will be
maintained and continue to
reduce the risk of flooding to
properties and land.
A MR policy will allow the
creation of approximately
153 Ha of additional intertidal
habitat. However there may
be loss of terrestrial habitats
as intertidal habitats roll
back. Works should take
account of possible
environmental impacts and
the need for an EIA.
The intertidal area will
continue to evolve. As a
result the landscape will
alter. In the longer term
sea level rise will result in
more frequent flooding of
undefended areas.
Defences will manage
the risk of flooding on the
historic environment
Some
recreational/amenity
areas may be
lost/altered as a result
of MR and the
evolving intertidal area
The above provides the local details in respect of the SMP-wide policy presented in the preceding sections of this Plan
document. These details must be read in the context of the wider-scales issues and policy implications, as reported therein.
Severn Estuary SMP2 Review – Final Report
11
Policy Unit: GLO 3 – Northington Farm to Newnham Church (west bank
of the Severn)
The above provides the local details in respect of the SMP-wide policy presented in the preceding sections of this Plan
document. These details must be read in the context of the wider-scales issues and policy implications, as reported therein.
Severn Estuary SMP2 Review – Final Report
12
Preferred Policies to Implement the Plan:
Epoch
Preferred
Policy
Comments
0 to 20
years
(2025)
NAI
The short term policy for this unit is No Active Intervention.
High ground and hard geology limit the risk from coastal flooding and
erosion.
20 to 50
years
(2055)
NAI
The medium term policy for this unit is No Active Intervention.
High ground and hard geology limit the risk from coastal flooding and
erosion.
50 to 100
years
(2105)
NAI
The long term policy for this unit is No Active Intervention.
High ground and hard geology limit the risk from coastal flooding and
erosion. Long term rates of erosion are unclear and should be monitored.
Economics
Policy
Unit
Existing
SMP1 Policy
Time Period
(epoch)
SMP2 Assessment
0-
20
20-
50
50-
100
Preferred Plan Present
Value Damages
Preferred Plan Present
Value Defence Costs
GLO3
Do Nothing /
HTL (or
Realignment)
NAI NAI NAI
£124m
(GLO3-5, SHAR3-7 total)
£23m
(GLO3-5, SHAR3-7 total)
The preferred policy has no economic impact within this Policy Unit. The preferred policy is economically
viable for the linked Policy Units of GLO 3, GLO 4, GLO 5, SHAR 3, SHAR 4, SHAR 5, SHAR 6 and SHAR
7. The costs of the preferred policy in the table above relate to actions taken in linked policy units, not in
GLO 3.
The above provides the local details in respect of the SMP-wide policy presented in the preceding sections of this Plan
document. These details must be read in the context of the wider-scales issues and policy implications, as reported therein.
Severn Estuary SMP2 Review – Final Report
13
Predicted Implication of the Preferred Plan for the GLO 3 Policy Unit
Time
Period
Management Activities
Property, Land Use and
Human Health
Nature Conservation –
including Earth
Heritage, Geology and
Biodiversity
Landscape Character
and Visual Amenity
Historic Environment
Amenity and
Recreational Use
0 – 20
years
The shoreline will remain
stable in this period, and
as a result management
activities will be very
limited.
Limited erosion and flood
risk will not impact on
existing property, land
use or human health.
A NAI policy will not
significantly impact on
nature conservation sites.
Limited erosion and flood
risk will not impact on
existing landscape and
visual amenity
Limited erosion and flood
risk will not impact on the
historic environment
Limited erosion and flood
risk will not impact on the
amenity value of the land
or recreational use.
20 – 50
years
The shoreline will remain
stable in this period, and
as a result management
activities will be very
limited.
Limited erosion and flood
risk will not impact on
existing property, land
use or human health.
A NAI policy will not
significantly impact on
nature conservation sites.
Limited erosion and flood
risk will not impact on
existing landscape and
visual amenity
Limited erosion and flood
risk will not impact on the
historic environment
Limited erosion and flood
risk will not impact on the
amenity value of the land
or recreational use.
50 – 100
years
The shoreline will
undergo limited erosion
within this period, and as
a result management
activities will be very
limited e.g. where railway
line passes very close to
the shoreline.
Limited erosion and flood
risk will not impact on
existing property, land
use or human health.
A NAI policy will not
significantly impact on
nature conservation sites.
Limited erosion and flood
risk will not impact on
existing landscape and
visual amenity
Limited erosion and flood
risk will not impact on the
historic environment
Limited erosion and flood
risk will not impact on the
amenity value of the land
or recreational use.
The above provides the local details in respect of the SMP-wide policy presented in the preceding sections of this Plan
document. These details must be read in the context of the wider-scales issues and policy implications, as reported therein.
Severn Estuary SMP2 Review – Final Report
14
Policy Unit: GLO 4 – Newnham Church to the farm north of Broadoak
(west bank of the Severn)
The above provides the local details in respect of the SMP-wide policy presented in the preceding sections of this Plan
document. These details must be read in the context of the wider-scales issues and policy implications, as reported therein.
Severn Estuary SMP2 Review – Final Report
15
Preferred Policies to Implement the Plan:
Epoch
Preferred
Policy
Comments
0 to 20
years
(2025)
HTL
The short term policy for this unit is Hold the Line.
High ground and hard geology limit the risk from coastal flooding and
erosion. There is a risk of some isolated flooding around Newnham where
assets are very close to the top of the cliff. In this epoch, HTL is likely to
involve only minimum management activities. HTL manages the risk of
impacts from flooding and erosion to Newnham.
HTL does not guarantee funding to build or maintain current or future
defences or to counter sea level rise.
20 to 50
years
(2055)
HTL
The medium term policy for this unit is Hold the Line.
Defences are likely to require repairs in this epoch and will need to be
replaced in this (or the next) epoch. The position, size and materials of new
defences should be considered in detail by the SEFRMS. HTL manages the
risk of impacts from flooding and erosion to Newnham.
HTL does not guarantee funding to build or maintain current or future
defences or to counter sea level rise.
50 to 100
years
(2105)
HTL
The long term policy for this unit is Hold the Line.
HTL recommends that defences are replaced in this (or the previous) epoch.
The position, size and materials of new defences should be considered in
detail by the SEFRMS. New defences should be maintained. HTL manages
the risk of impacts from flooding and erosion to Newnham.
HTL does not guarantee funding to build or maintain current or future
defences or to counter sea level rise.
Economics
Policy
Unit
Existing
SMP1
Policy
Time Period
(epoch)
SMP2 Assessment
0-
20
20-
50
50-
100
Preferred Plan Present Value
Damages
Preferred Plan Present Value
Defence Costs
GLO4 HTL HTL HTL HTL
£124m
(GLO3-5, SHAR3-7 total)
£23m
(GLO3-5, SHAR3-7 total)
The preferred policy is economically viable for this unit. The preferred policy is economically viable for the
linked Policy Units of GLO 3, GLO 4, GLO 5, SHAR 3, SHAR 4, SHAR 5, SHAR 6 and SHAR 7.
The above provides the local details in respect of the SMP-wide policy presented in the preceding sections of this Plan
document. These details must be read in the context of the wider-scales issues and policy implications, as reported therein.
Severn Estuary SMP2 Review – Final Report
16
Predicted Implication of the Preferred Plan for the GLO 4 Policy Unit
Time
Period
Management Activities
Property, Land Use and
Human Health
Nature Conservation –
including Earth
Heritage, Geology and
Biodiversity
Landscape Character and
Visual Amenity
Historic Environment
Amenity and
Recreational Use
0 – 20
years
The shoreline will remain
stable and constrained
flooding in this period will
result in minimal
management activities.
Limited erosion and flood
risk will not impact on
existing property, land
use or human health.
A HTL policy will not
significantly impact on
nature conservation sites.
Works should take
account of possible
environmental impacts
and the need for an EIA.
Limited erosion and flood
risk will not impact on
existing landscape and
visual amenity
Limited erosion and
flood risk will not impact
on the historic
environment
Limited erosion and flood
risk will not impact on the
amenity value of the land
or recreational use.
20 – 50
years
The current defences are
expected to come to the
end of their serviceable
life during this period,
requiring more active
management.
Reconstruction/replacem
ent may be required in
this epoch or the next.
Defences will manage the
risk of impacts from
flooding on property, land
use and human health.
Coastal squeeze may
occur which will result in
loss of intertidal habitats.
Works should take
account of possible
environmental impacts
and the need for an EIA.
Defences are likely to come
to the end of their
serviceable life and require
reconstruction in this (or the
next) epoch. Increased
height of defences or
change in defence
construction materials will
affect local landscape -
increasing presence in the
landscape and disrupting
views.
Defences will manage
the risk of impacts from
flooding on the historic
environment
Defences will protect the
amenity value of the land
or recreational use.
50 – 100
years
Reconstruction/replacem
ent of defences or
maintenance of new
defences (built in
previous epoch) will be
required. Monitoring of
shoreline erosion will be
needed.
Defences will manage the
risk of impacts from
flooding on property, land
use and human health.
Coastal squeeze may
occur which will result in
loss of intertidal habitats.
Works should take
account of possible
environmental impacts
and the need for an EIA.
Defences are likely to come
to the end of their
serviceable life and require
reconstruction in this (or the
previous) epoch. Increased
height of defences or
change in defence
construction materials will
affect local landscape -
increasing presence in the
landscape and disrupting
views.
Defences will manage
the risk of impacts from
flooding on the historic
environment
Defences will protect the
amenity value of the land
or recreational use.
The above provides the local details in respect of the SMP-wide policy presented in the preceding sections of this Plan
document. These details must be read in the context of the wider-scales issues and policy implications, as reported therein.
Severn Estuary SMP2 Review – Final Report
17
Policy Unit: GLO 5 – the farm to the north of Broadoak to Hill Farm,
Rodley (west bank of the Severn)
The above provides the local details in respect of the SMP-wide policy presented in the preceding sections of this Plan
document. These details must be read in the context of the wider-scales issues and policy implications, as reported therein.
Severn Estuary SMP2 Review – Final Report
18
Preferred Policies to Implement the Plan:
Epoch
Preferred
Policy
Comments
0 to 20
years
(2025)
HTL
The short term policy for this unit is Hold the Line.
The defences are expected to limit the risk of flooding in this epoch. HTL is
likely to involve minimum management activities along most of the shoreline.
Activities should focus on areas of risk where there existing defences are in
place.
HTL should aim to manage the Garden Cliff SSSI to enable natural
processes to continue here. HTL manages the risk of impacts from flooding
and erosion. NAI is not appropriate due to the low lying land in the area.
HTL does not guarantee funding to build or maintain current or future
defences or to counter sea level rise.
20 to 50
years
(2055)
HTL
The medium term policy for this unit is Hold the Line.
The existing defences will come to the end of their serviceable life in this
epoch. HTL recommends that defences are replaced in this epoch. HTL
manages the risk of impacts from flooding and erosion. NAI is not
appropriate due to the low lying land in the area.
Where there is a risk of flooding (in areas of low lying ground), the position,
size and materials of new defences should be considered in detail by the
SEFRMS. Actions to manage the risk of salt-water flooding to Westbury
Court Gardens should be considered.
HTL does not guarantee funding to build or maintain current or future
defences or to counter sea level rise.
50 to 100
years
(2105)
HTL
The long term policy for this unit is Hold the Line.
New defences should be maintained. HTL manages the risk of impacts from
flooding and erosion. NAI is not appropriate due to the low lying land in the
area.
HTL does not guarantee funding to build or maintain current or future
defences or to counter sea level rise.
Economics
Policy
Unit
Existing
SMP1
Policy
Time Period
(epoch)
SMP2 Assessment
0-
20
20-
50
50-
100
Preferred Plan Present Value
Damages
Preferred Plan Present Value
Defence Costs
GLO5
Do
Nothing
/ HTL
HTL HTL HTL
£124m
(GLO3-5, SHAR3-7 total)
£23m
(GLO3-5, SHAR3-7 total)
The preferred policy is economically viable for this unit. The preferred policy is economically viable for the
linked Policy Units of GLO 3, GLO 4, GLO 5, SHAR 3, SHAR 4, SHAR 5, SHAR 6 and SHAR 7.
The above provides the local details in respect of the SMP-wide policy presented in the preceding sections of this Plan
document. These details must be read in the context of the wider-scales issues and policy implications, as reported therein.
Severn Estuary SMP2 Review – Final Report
19
Predicted Implication of the Preferred Plan for the GLO 5 Policy Unit
Time
Period
Management Activities
Property, Land Use
and Human Health
Nature Conservation –
including Earth Heritage,
Geology and Biodiversity
Landscape Character
and Visual Amenity
Historic Environment
Amenity and
Recreational Use
0 – 20
years
The shoreline will remain
stable and constrained
flooding in this period will
result in minimal
management activities.
Limited erosion and flood
risk will not impact on
existing property, land
use or human health.
A HTL policy will not
significantly impact on
nature conservation sites.
Minimal intervention at
Garden Cliff, will allow the
continued exposure of the
geological asset. Works
should take account of
possible environmental
impacts and the need for
an EIA.
Limited erosion and flood
risk under a HTL policy
will not impact on existing
landscape and visual
amenity
Limited erosion and flood
risk under a HTL policy
will not impact on the
historic environment
Defences will manage the
risk of flooding on
amenity or recreational
value of the land. A HTL
policy will ensure the
viability of Westbury
Court Gardens.
20 – 50
years
The current defences will
have deteriorated in this
time frame and should be
replaced with
consideration given to
managing flood risk from
tide locked flap valves.
Defences will manage
the risk of impact on
existing property, land
use or human health.
Coastal squeeze may
occur which will result in
loss of intertidal habitats.
Minimal intervention at
Garden Cliff, will allow the
continued exposure of the
geological asset. Works
should take account of
possible environmental
impacts and the need for
an EIA.
Defences are likely to
come to the end of their
serviceable life and
require reconstruction in
this epoch. Increased
height of defences or
change in defence
construction materials
will affect local landscape
- increasing presence in
the landscape and
disrupting views.
Defences will manage the
risk of impacts from
flooding to the historic
environment
Defences will manage the
risk of flooding on
amenity or recreational
value of the land. A HTL
policy will ensure the
viability of Westbury
Court Gardens.
50 – 100
years
An on-going maintenance
programme should be
established including the
monitoring of shoreline
erosion as sea level rise
increases.
Defences will manage
the risk of impact on
existing property, land
use or human health.
Coastal squeeze may
occur which will result in
loss of intertidal habitats.
Minimal intervention at
Garden Cliff, will allow the
continued exposure of the
geological asset. Works
should take account of
possible environmental
impacts and the need for
an EIA.
Increased height of
defences or change in
defence construction
materials will affect local
landscape - increasing
presence in the
landscape and disrupting
views.
Defences will manage the
risk of impacts from
flooding to the historic
environment
Defences will manage the
risk of flooding on
amenity or recreational
value of the land. A HTL
policy will ensure the
viability of Westbury
Court Gardens.
The above provides the local details in respect of the SMP-wide policy presented in the preceding sections of this Plan
document. These details must be read in the context of the wider-scales issues and policy implications, as reported therein.
Severn Estuary SMP2 Review – Final Report
20
Policy Unit: GLO 6 - Hill Farm, Rodley to Goose Lane farm (west bank
of the Severn)
The above provides the local details in respect of the SMP-wide policy presented in the preceding sections of this Plan
document. These details must be read in the context of the wider-scales issues and policy implications, as reported therein.
Severn Estuary SMP2 Review – Final Report
21
Preferred Policies to Implement the Plan:
Epoch
Preferred
Policy
Comments
0 to 20
years
(2025)
NAI
The short term policy for this unit is No Active Intervention.
High ground and hard geology limit the risk from coastal flooding and
erosion.
20 to 50
years
(2055)
NAI
The medium term policy for this unit is No Active Intervention.
High ground and hard geology limit the risk from coastal flooding and
erosion.
50 to 100
years
(2105)
NAI
The long term policy for this unit is No Active Intervention.
High ground and hard geology limit the risk from coastal flooding and
erosion. Long term rates of erosion are unclear and should be monitored.
Economics
Policy
Unit
Existing
SMP1
Policy
Time Period
(epoch)
SMP2 Assessment
0-
20
20-
50
50-
100
Preferred Plan Present Value
Damages
Preferred Plan Present Value
Defence Costs
GLO6 HTL NAI NAI NAI
£24m
(GLO6-8, SHAR1-2 total)
£10m
(GLO6-8, SHAR1-2 total)
The preferred policy has no economic impact in this Policy Unit. The preferred policy is economically
viable for the linked Policy Units of GLO 6, GLO 7, GLO 8, SHAR 1, and SHAR 2, but the benefit-cost ratio
(BCR) is low. Where the BCR is low, schemes may be less likely to receive public funding and it may be
necessary to find funding from other sources. The costs of the preferred policy in the table above relate to
actions taken in linked policy units, not in GLO 6.
The above provides the local details in respect of the SMP-wide policy presented in the preceding sections of this Plan
document. These details must be read in the context of the wider-scales issues and policy implications, as reported therein.
Severn Estuary SMP2 Review – Final Report
22
Predicted Implication of the Preferred Plan for the GLO 6 Policy Unit
Time
Period
Management Activities
Property, Land Use and
Human Health
Nature Conservation –
including Earth
Heritage, Geology and
Biodiversity
Landscape Character
and Visual Amenity
Historic Environment
Amenity and
Recreational Use
0 – 20
years
The shoreline will remain
stable in this period, and
as a result management
activities will be very
limited.
Limited erosion and flood
risk will not impact on
existing property, land
use or human health.
A NAI policy will not
significantly impact on
nature conservation sites.
Limited erosion and flood
risk will not impact on
existing landscape and
visual amenity
Limited erosion and flood
risk will not impact on the
historic environment
Limited erosion and flood
risk will not impact on the
amenity value of the land
or recreational use.
20 – 50
years
The shoreline will remain
stable in this period, and
as a result management
activities will be very
limited.
Limited erosion and flood
risk will not impact on
existing property, land
use or human health.
Intertidal habitats
retained/ increased;
possible loss of habitats
behind existing defences.
Limited erosion and flood
risk will not impact on
existing landscape and
visual amenity
Limited erosion and flood
risk will not impact on the
historic environment
Limited erosion and flood
risk will not impact on the
amenity value of the land
or recreational use.
50 – 100
years
The shoreline will
undergo limited erosion
within this period, and as
a result management
activities will be very
limited. Due to the close
proximity of some
residential properties in
Bollow, should erosion
due to sea level rise
increase, erosion
protection measures
should be considered.
Limited erosion and flood
risk will not impact on
existing property, land
use or human health.
Intertidal habitats
retained/ increased;
possible loss of habitats
behind existing defences.
Limited erosion and flood
risk will not impact on
existing landscape and
visual amenity
Limited erosion and flood
risk will not impact on the
historic environment
Limited erosion and flood
risk will not impact on the
amenity value of the land
or recreational use.
The above provides the local details in respect of the SMP-wide policy presented in the preceding sections of this Plan
document. These details must be read in the context of the wider-scales issues and policy implications, as reported therein.
Severn Estuary SMP2 Review – Final Report
23
Policy Unit: GLO 7 – Goose Lane farm to Ley Road (west bank of the
Severn)
The above provides the local details in respect of the SMP-wide policy presented in the preceding sections of this Plan
document. These details must be read in the context of the wider-scales issues and policy implications, as reported therein.
Severn Estuary SMP2 Review – Final Report
24
Preferred Policies to Implement the Plan:
Epoch
Preferred
Policy
Comments
0 to 20
years
(2025)
HTL
The short term policy for this unit is Hold the Line.
The defences are expected to limit the risk of impacts from flooding in this
epoch. HTL will involve on-going maintenance activities.
HTL does not guarantee funding to build or maintain current or future
defences or to counter sea level rise.
20 to 50
years
(2055)
HTL
The Medium Term policy for this unit is Hold the Line.
The existing defences will come to the end of their serviceable life in this
epoch. HTL recommends that defences are replaced. A HTL policy will
manage the risk of impacts from flooding to Walmore Common (Ramsar site)
and other assets. The position, size and materials of new defences should
be considered in detail by the SEFRMS – in some areas high ground limits
the risk from coastal flooding.
HTL does not guarantee funding to build or maintain current or future
defences or to counter sea level rise.
50 to 100
years
(2105)
HTL
The Long Term policy for this unit is Hold the Line.
New defences should be maintained to limit the risk of impacts from flooding
in this epoch.
HTL does not guarantee funding to build or maintain current or future
defences or to counter sea level rise.
Economics
Policy
Unit
Existing
SMP1
Policy
Time Period
(epoch)
SMP2 Assessment
0-
20
20-
50
50-
100
Preferred Plan Present Value
Damages
Preferred Plan Present Value
Defence Costs
GLO7 HTL HTL HTL HTL
£24m
(GLO6-8, SHAR1-2 total)
£10m
(GLO6-8, SHAR1-2 total)
The preferred policy is economically viable for this unit. The preferred policy is economically viable for the
linked Policy Units of GLO 6, GLO 7, GLO 8, SHAR 1, and SHAR 2, but the benefit-cost ratio (BCR) is low.
Where the BCR is low, schemes may be less likely to receive public funding and it may be necessary to
find funding from other sources. The costs and damages of the preferred policy in the table above relate to
actions taken in all linked policy units.
The above provides the local details in respect of the SMP-wide policy presented in the preceding sections of this Plan
document. These details must be read in the context of the wider-scales issues and policy implications, as reported therein.
Severn Estuary SMP2 Review – Final Report
25
Predicted Implication of the Preferred Plan for the GLO 7 Policy Unit
Time
Period
Management Activities
Property, Land Use and
Human Health
Nature Conservation –
including Earth
Heritage, Geology and
Biodiversity
Landscape Character
and Visual Amenity
Historic Environment
Amenity and
Recreational Use
0 – 20
years
The shoreline will remain
stable and ongoing
maintenance of the
defence will ensure
limited flood risk
Defences will manage the
risk of impacts from
flooding on existing
property, land use or
human health.
A HTL policy will prevent
saline intrusion of the
Walmore Common
Ramsar site. Works
should take account of
possible environmental
impacts and the need for
an EIA.
Limited erosion and flood
risk under a HTL policy
will not impact on existing
landscape and visual
amenity.
Defences will manage the
risk of impacts from
flooding to the historic
environment
Defences will manage the
risk of flooding on the
amenity value of the land
or recreational use.
20 – 50
years
The current earth
embankment defences
will have deteriorated in
this time frame and
should be replaced.
Defences will manage the
risk of impacts from
flooding on existing
property, land use or
human health.
A HTL policy will prevent
saline intrusion of the
Walmore Common
Ramsar site. Works
should take account of
possible environmental
impacts and the need for
an EIA.
Defences are likely to
come to the end of their
serviceable life and
require reconstruction in
this epoch. Increased
height of defences or
change in defence
construction materials will
affect local landscape -
increasing presence in
the landscape and
disrupting views.
Defences will manage the
risk of impacts from
flooding to the historic
environment
Defences will manage the
risk of flooding on the
amenity value of the land
or recreational use.
50 – 100
years
An on-going maintenance
programme should be
established including the
monitoring of shoreline
erosion as sea level rise
increases.
Defences will manage the
risk of impacts from
flooding on existing
property, land use or
human health.
A HTL policy will prevent
saline intrusion of the
Walmore Common
Ramsar site. Works
should take account of
possible environmental
impacts and the need for
an EIA.
Increased height of
defences or change in
defence construction
materials will affect local
landscape - increasing
presence in the
landscape and disrupting
views.
Defences will manage the
risk of impacts from
flooding to the historic
environment
Defences will manage the
risk of flooding on the
amenity value of the land
or recreational use.
The above provides the local details in respect of the SMP-wide policy presented in the preceding sections of this Plan
document. These details must be read in the context of the wider-scales issues and policy implications, as reported therein.
Severn Estuary SMP2 Review – Final Report
26
Policy Unit: GLO 8 – Ley Road to the drain from Long Brook (west
bank of the Severn)
The above provides the local details in respect of the SMP-wide policy presented in the preceding sections of this Plan
document. These details must be read in the context of the wider-scales issues and policy implications, as reported therein.
Severn Estuary SMP2 Review – Final Report
27
Preferred Policies to Implement the Plan:
Epoch
Preferred
Policy
Comments
0 to 20
years
(2025)
HTL
The short term policy for this unit is Hold the Line.
The existing defences will come to the end of their serviceable life in this
epoch. HTL recommends that defences are replaced. The position, size
and materials of new defences should be considered in detail by the
SEFRMS – in some areas high ground limits the risk from coastal flooding.
HTL manages the risk of impacts from flooding and erosion.
HTL does not guarantee funding to build or maintain current or future
defences or to counter sea level rise.
20 to 50
years
(2055)
HTL
The medium term policy for this unit is Hold the Line.
New defences should be maintained. HTL manages the risk of impacts from
flooding and erosion.
HTL does not guarantee funding to build or maintain current or future
defences or to counter sea level rise.
50 to 100
years
(2105)
HTL
The long term policy for this unit is Hold the Line.
New defences should be maintained. HTL manages the risk of impacts from
flooding and erosion.
HTL does not guarantee funding to build or maintain current or future
defences or to counter sea level rise.
Economics
Policy
Unit
Existing
SMP1
Policy
Time Period
(epoch)
SMP2 Assessment
0-
20
20-
50
50-
100
Preferred Plan Present Value
Damages
Preferred Plan Present Value
Defence Costs
GLO8 HTL HTL HTL HTL
£24m
(GLO6-8, SHAR1-2 total)
£10m
(GLO6-8, SHAR1-2 total)
The preferred policy is economically viable for this unit. The preferred policy is economically viable for the
linked Policy Units of GLO 6, GLO 7, GLO 8, SHAR 1, and SHAR 2, but the benefit-cost ratio (BCR) is low.
Where the BCR is low, schemes may be less likely to receive public funding and it may be necessary to
find funding from other sources.
The above provides the local details in respect of the SMP-wide policy presented in the preceding sections of this Plan
document. These details must be read in the context of the wider-scales issues and policy implications, as reported therein.
Severn Estuary SMP2 Review – Final Report
28
Predicted Implication of the Preferred Plan for the GLO 8 Policy Unit
Time
Period
Management Activities
Property, Land Use and
Human Health
Nature Conservation –
including Earth
Heritage, Geology and
Biodiversity
Landscape Character
and Visual Amenity
Historic Environment
Amenity and
Recreational Use
0 – 20
years
The current defences are
likely to have deteriorated
in this time frame and
should be replaced (earth
embankment).
Defences will manage the
risk of flooding on existing
property, land use or
human health.
Limited erosion and flood
risk under a HTL policy
will not impact on existing
environmental sites.
Works should take
account of possible
environmental impacts
and the need for an EIA.
Increased height of
defences or change in
defence construction
materials will affect local
landscape - increasing
presence in the
landscape and disrupting
views.
Defences will manage the
risk of flooding on the
historic environment
Defences will manage the
risk of flooding on the
amenity value of the land
or recreational use.
20 – 50
years
An on-going maintenance
programme should be
established to ensure the
defences afford protection
to the assets at risk
Defences will manage the
risk of flooding on existing
property, land use or
human health.
Limited erosion and flood
risk under a HTL policy
will not impact on existing
environmental sites.
Works should take
account of possible
environmental impacts
and the need for an EIA.
Increased height of
defences or change in
defence construction
materials will affect local
landscape - increasing
presence in the
landscape and disrupting
views.
Defences will manage the
risk of flooding on the
historic environment
Defences will manage the
risk of flooding on the
amenity value of the land
or recreational use.
50 – 100
years
An on-going maintenance
programme should be
established including the
monitoring of shoreline
erosion as sea level rise
increases.
Defences will manage the
risk of flooding on existing
property, land use or
human health.
Limited erosion and flood
risk under a HTL policy
will not impact on existing
environmental sites.
Works should take
account of possible
environmental impacts
and the need for an EIA.
Increased height of
defences or change in
defence construction
materials will affect local
landscape - increasing
presence in the
landscape and disrupting
views.
Defences will manage the
risk of flooding on the
historic environment
Defences will manage the
risk of flooding on the
amenity value of the land
or recreational use.

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Smp2 part b policy statements lydney-glos only_final

  • 1. The above provides the local details in respect of the SMP-wide policy presented in the preceding sections of this Plan document. These details must be read in the context of the wider-scales issues and policy implications, as reported therein. Severn Estuary SMP2 Review – Final Report 1 LYDNEY TO GLOUCESTER This Theme area contains the Policy Units GLO 1, GLO 2, GLO 3, GLO 4, GLO 5, GLO 6, GLO 7 and GLO 8. It starts at the mouth of Lydney Harbour (east) and ends at the drain from Long Brook. The Key Policy Drivers in this area are: • International nature conservation sites – Severn Estuary SAC, SPA and Ramsar sites, Walmore Common Ramsar site; • Critical infrastructure – railway line, electricity transmission network, Blakeney sewage treatment works, A48, A40.
  • 2. The above provides the local details in respect of the SMP-wide policy presented in the preceding sections of this Plan document. These details must be read in the context of the wider-scales issues and policy implications, as reported therein. Severn Estuary SMP2 Review – Final Report 2
  • 3. The above provides the local details in respect of the SMP-wide policy presented in the preceding sections of this Plan document. These details must be read in the context of the wider-scales issues and policy implications, as reported therein. Severn Estuary SMP2 Review – Final Report 3 Policy Unit: GLO 1 – Lydney Harbour to Brims Pill (west bank of the Severn)
  • 4. The above provides the local details in respect of the SMP-wide policy presented in the preceding sections of this Plan document. These details must be read in the context of the wider-scales issues and policy implications, as reported therein. Severn Estuary SMP2 Review – Final Report 4 Preferred Policies to Implement the Plan: Epoch Preferred Policy Comments 0 to 20 years (2025) NAI The Short Term policy for this unit is No Active Intervention. There are no built defences in this Policy Unit. There is limited flood and erosion risk. This is expected to continue. NAI will allow the Lydney Cliff (SSSI) to evolve naturally. This unit is influenced by both river-driven and tidal processes. The shoreline should be monitored to ensure there is no increased risk to H&S under NAI, impact on the linked Policy Unit (GLO 2) or adversely affect the CFMP policy - continue to manage flood risk at the current level (see Section 3.4 on SMP2-CFMP interactions). 20 to 50 years (2055) NAI The medium term policy for this unit is No Active Intervention. There are no built defences in this Policy Unit. There is limited flood and erosion risk. This is expected to continue. NAI will allow the Lydney Cliff (SSSI) to evolve naturally. This unit is influenced by both river-driven and tidal processes. The shoreline should be monitored to ensure there is no increased risk to H&S under NAI, impact on the linked Policy Unit (GLO 2) or adversely affect the CFMP policy - continue to manage flood risk at the current level (see Section 3.4 on SMP2-CFMP interactions). 50 to 100 years (2105) NAI The long term policy for this unit is No Active Intervention. There are no built defences in this Policy Unit. There is limited flood and erosion risk. This is expected to continue. NAI will allow the Lydney Cliff (SSSI) to evolve naturally. This unit is influenced by both river-driven and tidal processes. The railway line runs close to the shoreline around Wellhouse Bay and Purton. There is also a water treatment facility in the area. Risks to this infrastructure are considered to be low but the shoreline should be monitored in this area to confirm this. Relocation of the water treatment facility could be considered as and when it needs to be replaced / upgraded, if flooding or erosion risks increase. The shoreline should be monitored to ensure there is no increased risk to H&S under NAI, impact on the linked Policy Unit (GLO 2) or adversely affect the CFMP policy - continue to manage flood risk at the current level (see Section 3.4 on SMP2-CFMP interactions).
  • 5. The above provides the local details in respect of the SMP-wide policy presented in the preceding sections of this Plan document. These details must be read in the context of the wider-scales issues and policy implications, as reported therein. Severn Estuary SMP2 Review – Final Report 5 Economics Policy Unit Existing SMP1 Policy Time Period (epoch) SMP2 Assessment 0- 20 20- 50 50- 100 Preferred Plan Present Value Damages Preferred Plan Present Value Defence Costs GLO1 Do Nothing / HTL NAI NAI NAI Minimal (GLO1-2 total) £1m (GLO1-2 total) The preferred policy has no economic impact in this Policy Unit. The preferred policy is economically viable for the linked Policy Units of GLO 1, and GLO 2. The costs of the preferred policy in the table above relate to actions taken in the linked policy unit (GLO 2), not in GLO 1.
  • 6. The above provides the local details in respect of the SMP-wide policy presented in the preceding sections of this Plan document. These details must be read in the context of the wider-scales issues and policy implications, as reported therein. Severn Estuary SMP2 Review – Final Report 6 Predicted Implication of the Preferred Plan for the GLO 1 Policy Unit Time Period Management Activities Property, Land Use and Human Health Nature Conservation – including Earth Heritage, Geology and Biodiversity Landscape Character and Visual Amenity Historic Environment Amenity and Recreational Use 0 – 20 years The mudstone cliffs will remain stable in this period, and as a result management activities will be very limited. Limited erosion and flood risk will not impact on existing property, land use or human health. A NAI policy will allow natural processes to dominate. There will be continued exposure of Lydney Cliffs SSSI. Limited erosion and flood risk will not impact on existing landscape and visual amenity Limited erosion and flood risk will not impact on the historic environment Limited erosion and flood risk will not impact on the amenity value of the land or recreational use. 20 – 50 years The mudstone cliffs will undergo limited erosion within this period, and as a result management activities will be very limited. Limited erosion and flood risk will not impact on existing property, land use or human health. A NAI policy will allow habitats to roll back so intertidal habitats and features will be maintained. However there may be loss of terrestrial habitats as intertidal habitats roll back. There will be continued exposure of Lydney Cliffs SSSI. Limited erosion and flood risk will not impact on existing landscape and visual amenity Limited erosion and flood risk will not impact on the historic environment Limited erosion and flood risk will not impact on the amenity value of the land or recreational use. 50 – 100 years The mudstone cliffs will undergo limited erosion within this period, and as a result management activities will be very limited. Due to the close proximity of the railway line, should erosion due to sea level rise increase, erosion protection measures should be considered. The railway and STW are at risk from erosion in this epoch. A NAI policy will allow habitats to roll back so intertidal habitats and features will be maintained. However there may be loss of terrestrial habitats as intertidal habitats roll back. There will be continued exposure of Lydney Cliffs SSSI. Limited erosion and flood risk will not impact on existing landscape and visual amenity Limited erosion and flood risk will not impact on the historic environment Limited erosion and flood risk will not impact on the amenity value of the land or recreational use.
  • 7. The above provides the local details in respect of the SMP-wide policy presented in the preceding sections of this Plan document. These details must be read in the context of the wider-scales issues and policy implications, as reported therein. Severn Estuary SMP2 Review – Final Report 7 Policy Unit: GLO 2 – Brims Pill to Northington Farm (west bank of the Severn)
  • 8. The above provides the local details in respect of the SMP-wide policy presented in the preceding sections of this Plan document. These details must be read in the context of the wider-scales issues and policy implications, as reported therein. Severn Estuary SMP2 Review – Final Report 8 Preferred Policies to Implement the Plan: Epoch Preferred Policy Comments 0 to 20 years (2025) MR The short term policy for this unit is Managed Realignment. In the short term the existing defences will remain in place but are likely to come to the end of their serviceable life in the next epoch. A new realigned defence will enable new intertidal habitat to be created and manage the risk of impacts from flooding and erosion to assets behind new defences. There is an area of low laying ground backed by higher ground, along which a new line of defence could be created. The position, size and materials of new defences should be considered in detail to ensure MR does not impact on the risk of flooding to developed areas, internal drainage or the linked Policy Unit (GLO 1). MR in this Policy Unit may allow short lengths of existing defence to be maintained and a NAI policy along other undefended lengths to allow the shoreline to evolve naturally. The precise location and type of defence should be determined by the SEFRMS. This should also determine if the existing defences can be allowed to erode naturally or should be breached. Any defences allowed to erode should be monitored to ensure they do not pose a risk to H&S. New, set back defences and other defences in the policy unit should be maintained. Land, nature conservation and historic environment features in front of the new line of defences or in areas of NAI will be at increased risk of flooding and erosion. Adaptation actions should be considered and implemented. The habitat created in this policy unit will help compensate for areas lost elsewhere in the estuary and help maintain/improve the condition of the European protected sites. MR does not guarantee funding to build or maintain new realigned defences. 20 to 50 years (2055) HTL The medium Term policy for this unit is Hold The Line. New, set back defences and other defences in the policy unit should be maintained. HTL does not guarantee funding to build or maintain current or future defences or to counter sea level rise. 50 to 100 years (2105) HTL The long term policy for this unit is Hold The Line. This policy is most likely to involve maintaining the realigned defences. HTL does not guarantee funding to build or maintain current or future defences or to counter sea level rise.
  • 9. The above provides the local details in respect of the SMP-wide policy presented in the preceding sections of this Plan document. These details must be read in the context of the wider-scales issues and policy implications, as reported therein. Severn Estuary SMP2 Review – Final Report 9 Economics Policy Unit Existing SMP1 Policy Time Period (epoch) SMP2 Assessment 0- 20 20- 50 50- 100 Preferred Plan Present Value Damages Preferred Plan Present Value Defence Costs GLO2 HTL (or Realignment) MR HTL HTL Minimal (GLO1-2 total) £1.4m (GLO1-2 total) The preferred policy is economically viable for the linked Policy Units of GLO 1, and GLO 2. The costs and damages of the preferred policy in the table above relate to actions taken in all linked policy units.
  • 10. The above provides the local details in respect of the SMP-wide policy presented in the preceding sections of this Plan document. These details must be read in the context of the wider-scales issues and policy implications, as reported therein. Severn Estuary SMP2 Review – Final Report 10 Predicted Implication of the Preferred Plan for the GLO 2 Policy Unit Time Period Management Activities Property, Land Use and Human Health Nature Conservation – including Earth Heritage, Geology and Biodiversity Landscape Character and Visual Amenity Historic Environment Amenity and Recreational Use 0 – 20 years The existing defence line will be maintained until a new set back defence is created. The existing flood defences will continue to reduce the risk of impacts to properties and land in this epoch. The new realigned defence will provide a more sustainable defence, reducing the risk of impacts to land and properties. Properties and land on the landward side of the new defences will be at risk of flooding and erosion and will gradually become intertidal habitat. A MR policy will allow the creation of approximately 153 Ha of additional intertidal habitat. However there may be loss of terrestrial habitats as intertidal habitats roll back. Works should take account of possible environmental impacts and the need for an EIA. The creation of additional habitat will replace agricultural land. As a result the landscape will alter. Defences will manage the risk of flooding on the historic environment. Historic assets in front of realigned defences will be at risk from inundation. Impacts on historic environment and mitigation actions will need to be considered in determining realignment of defences. Some recreational/amenity areas may be lost/altered as a result of MR. 20 – 50 years The new defence line should be maintained. The new defence line will be maintained and continue to reduce the risk of flooding to properties and land. A MR policy will allow the creation of approximately 153 Ha of additional intertidal habitat. However there may be loss of terrestrial habitats as intertidal habitats roll back. Works should take account of possible environmental impacts and the need for an EIA. The intertidal area will continue to evolve. As a result the landscape will alter. Defences will manage the risk of flooding on the historic environment Some recreational/amenity areas may be lost/altered as a result of MR and the evolving intertidal area. 50 – 100 years The new defence line should be maintained. The new defence line will be maintained and continue to reduce the risk of flooding to properties and land. A MR policy will allow the creation of approximately 153 Ha of additional intertidal habitat. However there may be loss of terrestrial habitats as intertidal habitats roll back. Works should take account of possible environmental impacts and the need for an EIA. The intertidal area will continue to evolve. As a result the landscape will alter. In the longer term sea level rise will result in more frequent flooding of undefended areas. Defences will manage the risk of flooding on the historic environment Some recreational/amenity areas may be lost/altered as a result of MR and the evolving intertidal area
  • 11. The above provides the local details in respect of the SMP-wide policy presented in the preceding sections of this Plan document. These details must be read in the context of the wider-scales issues and policy implications, as reported therein. Severn Estuary SMP2 Review – Final Report 11 Policy Unit: GLO 3 – Northington Farm to Newnham Church (west bank of the Severn)
  • 12. The above provides the local details in respect of the SMP-wide policy presented in the preceding sections of this Plan document. These details must be read in the context of the wider-scales issues and policy implications, as reported therein. Severn Estuary SMP2 Review – Final Report 12 Preferred Policies to Implement the Plan: Epoch Preferred Policy Comments 0 to 20 years (2025) NAI The short term policy for this unit is No Active Intervention. High ground and hard geology limit the risk from coastal flooding and erosion. 20 to 50 years (2055) NAI The medium term policy for this unit is No Active Intervention. High ground and hard geology limit the risk from coastal flooding and erosion. 50 to 100 years (2105) NAI The long term policy for this unit is No Active Intervention. High ground and hard geology limit the risk from coastal flooding and erosion. Long term rates of erosion are unclear and should be monitored. Economics Policy Unit Existing SMP1 Policy Time Period (epoch) SMP2 Assessment 0- 20 20- 50 50- 100 Preferred Plan Present Value Damages Preferred Plan Present Value Defence Costs GLO3 Do Nothing / HTL (or Realignment) NAI NAI NAI £124m (GLO3-5, SHAR3-7 total) £23m (GLO3-5, SHAR3-7 total) The preferred policy has no economic impact within this Policy Unit. The preferred policy is economically viable for the linked Policy Units of GLO 3, GLO 4, GLO 5, SHAR 3, SHAR 4, SHAR 5, SHAR 6 and SHAR 7. The costs of the preferred policy in the table above relate to actions taken in linked policy units, not in GLO 3.
  • 13. The above provides the local details in respect of the SMP-wide policy presented in the preceding sections of this Plan document. These details must be read in the context of the wider-scales issues and policy implications, as reported therein. Severn Estuary SMP2 Review – Final Report 13 Predicted Implication of the Preferred Plan for the GLO 3 Policy Unit Time Period Management Activities Property, Land Use and Human Health Nature Conservation – including Earth Heritage, Geology and Biodiversity Landscape Character and Visual Amenity Historic Environment Amenity and Recreational Use 0 – 20 years The shoreline will remain stable in this period, and as a result management activities will be very limited. Limited erosion and flood risk will not impact on existing property, land use or human health. A NAI policy will not significantly impact on nature conservation sites. Limited erosion and flood risk will not impact on existing landscape and visual amenity Limited erosion and flood risk will not impact on the historic environment Limited erosion and flood risk will not impact on the amenity value of the land or recreational use. 20 – 50 years The shoreline will remain stable in this period, and as a result management activities will be very limited. Limited erosion and flood risk will not impact on existing property, land use or human health. A NAI policy will not significantly impact on nature conservation sites. Limited erosion and flood risk will not impact on existing landscape and visual amenity Limited erosion and flood risk will not impact on the historic environment Limited erosion and flood risk will not impact on the amenity value of the land or recreational use. 50 – 100 years The shoreline will undergo limited erosion within this period, and as a result management activities will be very limited e.g. where railway line passes very close to the shoreline. Limited erosion and flood risk will not impact on existing property, land use or human health. A NAI policy will not significantly impact on nature conservation sites. Limited erosion and flood risk will not impact on existing landscape and visual amenity Limited erosion and flood risk will not impact on the historic environment Limited erosion and flood risk will not impact on the amenity value of the land or recreational use.
  • 14. The above provides the local details in respect of the SMP-wide policy presented in the preceding sections of this Plan document. These details must be read in the context of the wider-scales issues and policy implications, as reported therein. Severn Estuary SMP2 Review – Final Report 14 Policy Unit: GLO 4 – Newnham Church to the farm north of Broadoak (west bank of the Severn)
  • 15. The above provides the local details in respect of the SMP-wide policy presented in the preceding sections of this Plan document. These details must be read in the context of the wider-scales issues and policy implications, as reported therein. Severn Estuary SMP2 Review – Final Report 15 Preferred Policies to Implement the Plan: Epoch Preferred Policy Comments 0 to 20 years (2025) HTL The short term policy for this unit is Hold the Line. High ground and hard geology limit the risk from coastal flooding and erosion. There is a risk of some isolated flooding around Newnham where assets are very close to the top of the cliff. In this epoch, HTL is likely to involve only minimum management activities. HTL manages the risk of impacts from flooding and erosion to Newnham. HTL does not guarantee funding to build or maintain current or future defences or to counter sea level rise. 20 to 50 years (2055) HTL The medium term policy for this unit is Hold the Line. Defences are likely to require repairs in this epoch and will need to be replaced in this (or the next) epoch. The position, size and materials of new defences should be considered in detail by the SEFRMS. HTL manages the risk of impacts from flooding and erosion to Newnham. HTL does not guarantee funding to build or maintain current or future defences or to counter sea level rise. 50 to 100 years (2105) HTL The long term policy for this unit is Hold the Line. HTL recommends that defences are replaced in this (or the previous) epoch. The position, size and materials of new defences should be considered in detail by the SEFRMS. New defences should be maintained. HTL manages the risk of impacts from flooding and erosion to Newnham. HTL does not guarantee funding to build or maintain current or future defences or to counter sea level rise. Economics Policy Unit Existing SMP1 Policy Time Period (epoch) SMP2 Assessment 0- 20 20- 50 50- 100 Preferred Plan Present Value Damages Preferred Plan Present Value Defence Costs GLO4 HTL HTL HTL HTL £124m (GLO3-5, SHAR3-7 total) £23m (GLO3-5, SHAR3-7 total) The preferred policy is economically viable for this unit. The preferred policy is economically viable for the linked Policy Units of GLO 3, GLO 4, GLO 5, SHAR 3, SHAR 4, SHAR 5, SHAR 6 and SHAR 7.
  • 16. The above provides the local details in respect of the SMP-wide policy presented in the preceding sections of this Plan document. These details must be read in the context of the wider-scales issues and policy implications, as reported therein. Severn Estuary SMP2 Review – Final Report 16 Predicted Implication of the Preferred Plan for the GLO 4 Policy Unit Time Period Management Activities Property, Land Use and Human Health Nature Conservation – including Earth Heritage, Geology and Biodiversity Landscape Character and Visual Amenity Historic Environment Amenity and Recreational Use 0 – 20 years The shoreline will remain stable and constrained flooding in this period will result in minimal management activities. Limited erosion and flood risk will not impact on existing property, land use or human health. A HTL policy will not significantly impact on nature conservation sites. Works should take account of possible environmental impacts and the need for an EIA. Limited erosion and flood risk will not impact on existing landscape and visual amenity Limited erosion and flood risk will not impact on the historic environment Limited erosion and flood risk will not impact on the amenity value of the land or recreational use. 20 – 50 years The current defences are expected to come to the end of their serviceable life during this period, requiring more active management. Reconstruction/replacem ent may be required in this epoch or the next. Defences will manage the risk of impacts from flooding on property, land use and human health. Coastal squeeze may occur which will result in loss of intertidal habitats. Works should take account of possible environmental impacts and the need for an EIA. Defences are likely to come to the end of their serviceable life and require reconstruction in this (or the next) epoch. Increased height of defences or change in defence construction materials will affect local landscape - increasing presence in the landscape and disrupting views. Defences will manage the risk of impacts from flooding on the historic environment Defences will protect the amenity value of the land or recreational use. 50 – 100 years Reconstruction/replacem ent of defences or maintenance of new defences (built in previous epoch) will be required. Monitoring of shoreline erosion will be needed. Defences will manage the risk of impacts from flooding on property, land use and human health. Coastal squeeze may occur which will result in loss of intertidal habitats. Works should take account of possible environmental impacts and the need for an EIA. Defences are likely to come to the end of their serviceable life and require reconstruction in this (or the previous) epoch. Increased height of defences or change in defence construction materials will affect local landscape - increasing presence in the landscape and disrupting views. Defences will manage the risk of impacts from flooding on the historic environment Defences will protect the amenity value of the land or recreational use.
  • 17. The above provides the local details in respect of the SMP-wide policy presented in the preceding sections of this Plan document. These details must be read in the context of the wider-scales issues and policy implications, as reported therein. Severn Estuary SMP2 Review – Final Report 17 Policy Unit: GLO 5 – the farm to the north of Broadoak to Hill Farm, Rodley (west bank of the Severn)
  • 18. The above provides the local details in respect of the SMP-wide policy presented in the preceding sections of this Plan document. These details must be read in the context of the wider-scales issues and policy implications, as reported therein. Severn Estuary SMP2 Review – Final Report 18 Preferred Policies to Implement the Plan: Epoch Preferred Policy Comments 0 to 20 years (2025) HTL The short term policy for this unit is Hold the Line. The defences are expected to limit the risk of flooding in this epoch. HTL is likely to involve minimum management activities along most of the shoreline. Activities should focus on areas of risk where there existing defences are in place. HTL should aim to manage the Garden Cliff SSSI to enable natural processes to continue here. HTL manages the risk of impacts from flooding and erosion. NAI is not appropriate due to the low lying land in the area. HTL does not guarantee funding to build or maintain current or future defences or to counter sea level rise. 20 to 50 years (2055) HTL The medium term policy for this unit is Hold the Line. The existing defences will come to the end of their serviceable life in this epoch. HTL recommends that defences are replaced in this epoch. HTL manages the risk of impacts from flooding and erosion. NAI is not appropriate due to the low lying land in the area. Where there is a risk of flooding (in areas of low lying ground), the position, size and materials of new defences should be considered in detail by the SEFRMS. Actions to manage the risk of salt-water flooding to Westbury Court Gardens should be considered. HTL does not guarantee funding to build or maintain current or future defences or to counter sea level rise. 50 to 100 years (2105) HTL The long term policy for this unit is Hold the Line. New defences should be maintained. HTL manages the risk of impacts from flooding and erosion. NAI is not appropriate due to the low lying land in the area. HTL does not guarantee funding to build or maintain current or future defences or to counter sea level rise. Economics Policy Unit Existing SMP1 Policy Time Period (epoch) SMP2 Assessment 0- 20 20- 50 50- 100 Preferred Plan Present Value Damages Preferred Plan Present Value Defence Costs GLO5 Do Nothing / HTL HTL HTL HTL £124m (GLO3-5, SHAR3-7 total) £23m (GLO3-5, SHAR3-7 total) The preferred policy is economically viable for this unit. The preferred policy is economically viable for the linked Policy Units of GLO 3, GLO 4, GLO 5, SHAR 3, SHAR 4, SHAR 5, SHAR 6 and SHAR 7.
  • 19. The above provides the local details in respect of the SMP-wide policy presented in the preceding sections of this Plan document. These details must be read in the context of the wider-scales issues and policy implications, as reported therein. Severn Estuary SMP2 Review – Final Report 19 Predicted Implication of the Preferred Plan for the GLO 5 Policy Unit Time Period Management Activities Property, Land Use and Human Health Nature Conservation – including Earth Heritage, Geology and Biodiversity Landscape Character and Visual Amenity Historic Environment Amenity and Recreational Use 0 – 20 years The shoreline will remain stable and constrained flooding in this period will result in minimal management activities. Limited erosion and flood risk will not impact on existing property, land use or human health. A HTL policy will not significantly impact on nature conservation sites. Minimal intervention at Garden Cliff, will allow the continued exposure of the geological asset. Works should take account of possible environmental impacts and the need for an EIA. Limited erosion and flood risk under a HTL policy will not impact on existing landscape and visual amenity Limited erosion and flood risk under a HTL policy will not impact on the historic environment Defences will manage the risk of flooding on amenity or recreational value of the land. A HTL policy will ensure the viability of Westbury Court Gardens. 20 – 50 years The current defences will have deteriorated in this time frame and should be replaced with consideration given to managing flood risk from tide locked flap valves. Defences will manage the risk of impact on existing property, land use or human health. Coastal squeeze may occur which will result in loss of intertidal habitats. Minimal intervention at Garden Cliff, will allow the continued exposure of the geological asset. Works should take account of possible environmental impacts and the need for an EIA. Defences are likely to come to the end of their serviceable life and require reconstruction in this epoch. Increased height of defences or change in defence construction materials will affect local landscape - increasing presence in the landscape and disrupting views. Defences will manage the risk of impacts from flooding to the historic environment Defences will manage the risk of flooding on amenity or recreational value of the land. A HTL policy will ensure the viability of Westbury Court Gardens. 50 – 100 years An on-going maintenance programme should be established including the monitoring of shoreline erosion as sea level rise increases. Defences will manage the risk of impact on existing property, land use or human health. Coastal squeeze may occur which will result in loss of intertidal habitats. Minimal intervention at Garden Cliff, will allow the continued exposure of the geological asset. Works should take account of possible environmental impacts and the need for an EIA. Increased height of defences or change in defence construction materials will affect local landscape - increasing presence in the landscape and disrupting views. Defences will manage the risk of impacts from flooding to the historic environment Defences will manage the risk of flooding on amenity or recreational value of the land. A HTL policy will ensure the viability of Westbury Court Gardens.
  • 20. The above provides the local details in respect of the SMP-wide policy presented in the preceding sections of this Plan document. These details must be read in the context of the wider-scales issues and policy implications, as reported therein. Severn Estuary SMP2 Review – Final Report 20 Policy Unit: GLO 6 - Hill Farm, Rodley to Goose Lane farm (west bank of the Severn)
  • 21. The above provides the local details in respect of the SMP-wide policy presented in the preceding sections of this Plan document. These details must be read in the context of the wider-scales issues and policy implications, as reported therein. Severn Estuary SMP2 Review – Final Report 21 Preferred Policies to Implement the Plan: Epoch Preferred Policy Comments 0 to 20 years (2025) NAI The short term policy for this unit is No Active Intervention. High ground and hard geology limit the risk from coastal flooding and erosion. 20 to 50 years (2055) NAI The medium term policy for this unit is No Active Intervention. High ground and hard geology limit the risk from coastal flooding and erosion. 50 to 100 years (2105) NAI The long term policy for this unit is No Active Intervention. High ground and hard geology limit the risk from coastal flooding and erosion. Long term rates of erosion are unclear and should be monitored. Economics Policy Unit Existing SMP1 Policy Time Period (epoch) SMP2 Assessment 0- 20 20- 50 50- 100 Preferred Plan Present Value Damages Preferred Plan Present Value Defence Costs GLO6 HTL NAI NAI NAI £24m (GLO6-8, SHAR1-2 total) £10m (GLO6-8, SHAR1-2 total) The preferred policy has no economic impact in this Policy Unit. The preferred policy is economically viable for the linked Policy Units of GLO 6, GLO 7, GLO 8, SHAR 1, and SHAR 2, but the benefit-cost ratio (BCR) is low. Where the BCR is low, schemes may be less likely to receive public funding and it may be necessary to find funding from other sources. The costs of the preferred policy in the table above relate to actions taken in linked policy units, not in GLO 6.
  • 22. The above provides the local details in respect of the SMP-wide policy presented in the preceding sections of this Plan document. These details must be read in the context of the wider-scales issues and policy implications, as reported therein. Severn Estuary SMP2 Review – Final Report 22 Predicted Implication of the Preferred Plan for the GLO 6 Policy Unit Time Period Management Activities Property, Land Use and Human Health Nature Conservation – including Earth Heritage, Geology and Biodiversity Landscape Character and Visual Amenity Historic Environment Amenity and Recreational Use 0 – 20 years The shoreline will remain stable in this period, and as a result management activities will be very limited. Limited erosion and flood risk will not impact on existing property, land use or human health. A NAI policy will not significantly impact on nature conservation sites. Limited erosion and flood risk will not impact on existing landscape and visual amenity Limited erosion and flood risk will not impact on the historic environment Limited erosion and flood risk will not impact on the amenity value of the land or recreational use. 20 – 50 years The shoreline will remain stable in this period, and as a result management activities will be very limited. Limited erosion and flood risk will not impact on existing property, land use or human health. Intertidal habitats retained/ increased; possible loss of habitats behind existing defences. Limited erosion and flood risk will not impact on existing landscape and visual amenity Limited erosion and flood risk will not impact on the historic environment Limited erosion and flood risk will not impact on the amenity value of the land or recreational use. 50 – 100 years The shoreline will undergo limited erosion within this period, and as a result management activities will be very limited. Due to the close proximity of some residential properties in Bollow, should erosion due to sea level rise increase, erosion protection measures should be considered. Limited erosion and flood risk will not impact on existing property, land use or human health. Intertidal habitats retained/ increased; possible loss of habitats behind existing defences. Limited erosion and flood risk will not impact on existing landscape and visual amenity Limited erosion and flood risk will not impact on the historic environment Limited erosion and flood risk will not impact on the amenity value of the land or recreational use.
  • 23. The above provides the local details in respect of the SMP-wide policy presented in the preceding sections of this Plan document. These details must be read in the context of the wider-scales issues and policy implications, as reported therein. Severn Estuary SMP2 Review – Final Report 23 Policy Unit: GLO 7 – Goose Lane farm to Ley Road (west bank of the Severn)
  • 24. The above provides the local details in respect of the SMP-wide policy presented in the preceding sections of this Plan document. These details must be read in the context of the wider-scales issues and policy implications, as reported therein. Severn Estuary SMP2 Review – Final Report 24 Preferred Policies to Implement the Plan: Epoch Preferred Policy Comments 0 to 20 years (2025) HTL The short term policy for this unit is Hold the Line. The defences are expected to limit the risk of impacts from flooding in this epoch. HTL will involve on-going maintenance activities. HTL does not guarantee funding to build or maintain current or future defences or to counter sea level rise. 20 to 50 years (2055) HTL The Medium Term policy for this unit is Hold the Line. The existing defences will come to the end of their serviceable life in this epoch. HTL recommends that defences are replaced. A HTL policy will manage the risk of impacts from flooding to Walmore Common (Ramsar site) and other assets. The position, size and materials of new defences should be considered in detail by the SEFRMS – in some areas high ground limits the risk from coastal flooding. HTL does not guarantee funding to build or maintain current or future defences or to counter sea level rise. 50 to 100 years (2105) HTL The Long Term policy for this unit is Hold the Line. New defences should be maintained to limit the risk of impacts from flooding in this epoch. HTL does not guarantee funding to build or maintain current or future defences or to counter sea level rise. Economics Policy Unit Existing SMP1 Policy Time Period (epoch) SMP2 Assessment 0- 20 20- 50 50- 100 Preferred Plan Present Value Damages Preferred Plan Present Value Defence Costs GLO7 HTL HTL HTL HTL £24m (GLO6-8, SHAR1-2 total) £10m (GLO6-8, SHAR1-2 total) The preferred policy is economically viable for this unit. The preferred policy is economically viable for the linked Policy Units of GLO 6, GLO 7, GLO 8, SHAR 1, and SHAR 2, but the benefit-cost ratio (BCR) is low. Where the BCR is low, schemes may be less likely to receive public funding and it may be necessary to find funding from other sources. The costs and damages of the preferred policy in the table above relate to actions taken in all linked policy units.
  • 25. The above provides the local details in respect of the SMP-wide policy presented in the preceding sections of this Plan document. These details must be read in the context of the wider-scales issues and policy implications, as reported therein. Severn Estuary SMP2 Review – Final Report 25 Predicted Implication of the Preferred Plan for the GLO 7 Policy Unit Time Period Management Activities Property, Land Use and Human Health Nature Conservation – including Earth Heritage, Geology and Biodiversity Landscape Character and Visual Amenity Historic Environment Amenity and Recreational Use 0 – 20 years The shoreline will remain stable and ongoing maintenance of the defence will ensure limited flood risk Defences will manage the risk of impacts from flooding on existing property, land use or human health. A HTL policy will prevent saline intrusion of the Walmore Common Ramsar site. Works should take account of possible environmental impacts and the need for an EIA. Limited erosion and flood risk under a HTL policy will not impact on existing landscape and visual amenity. Defences will manage the risk of impacts from flooding to the historic environment Defences will manage the risk of flooding on the amenity value of the land or recreational use. 20 – 50 years The current earth embankment defences will have deteriorated in this time frame and should be replaced. Defences will manage the risk of impacts from flooding on existing property, land use or human health. A HTL policy will prevent saline intrusion of the Walmore Common Ramsar site. Works should take account of possible environmental impacts and the need for an EIA. Defences are likely to come to the end of their serviceable life and require reconstruction in this epoch. Increased height of defences or change in defence construction materials will affect local landscape - increasing presence in the landscape and disrupting views. Defences will manage the risk of impacts from flooding to the historic environment Defences will manage the risk of flooding on the amenity value of the land or recreational use. 50 – 100 years An on-going maintenance programme should be established including the monitoring of shoreline erosion as sea level rise increases. Defences will manage the risk of impacts from flooding on existing property, land use or human health. A HTL policy will prevent saline intrusion of the Walmore Common Ramsar site. Works should take account of possible environmental impacts and the need for an EIA. Increased height of defences or change in defence construction materials will affect local landscape - increasing presence in the landscape and disrupting views. Defences will manage the risk of impacts from flooding to the historic environment Defences will manage the risk of flooding on the amenity value of the land or recreational use.
  • 26. The above provides the local details in respect of the SMP-wide policy presented in the preceding sections of this Plan document. These details must be read in the context of the wider-scales issues and policy implications, as reported therein. Severn Estuary SMP2 Review – Final Report 26 Policy Unit: GLO 8 – Ley Road to the drain from Long Brook (west bank of the Severn)
  • 27. The above provides the local details in respect of the SMP-wide policy presented in the preceding sections of this Plan document. These details must be read in the context of the wider-scales issues and policy implications, as reported therein. Severn Estuary SMP2 Review – Final Report 27 Preferred Policies to Implement the Plan: Epoch Preferred Policy Comments 0 to 20 years (2025) HTL The short term policy for this unit is Hold the Line. The existing defences will come to the end of their serviceable life in this epoch. HTL recommends that defences are replaced. The position, size and materials of new defences should be considered in detail by the SEFRMS – in some areas high ground limits the risk from coastal flooding. HTL manages the risk of impacts from flooding and erosion. HTL does not guarantee funding to build or maintain current or future defences or to counter sea level rise. 20 to 50 years (2055) HTL The medium term policy for this unit is Hold the Line. New defences should be maintained. HTL manages the risk of impacts from flooding and erosion. HTL does not guarantee funding to build or maintain current or future defences or to counter sea level rise. 50 to 100 years (2105) HTL The long term policy for this unit is Hold the Line. New defences should be maintained. HTL manages the risk of impacts from flooding and erosion. HTL does not guarantee funding to build or maintain current or future defences or to counter sea level rise. Economics Policy Unit Existing SMP1 Policy Time Period (epoch) SMP2 Assessment 0- 20 20- 50 50- 100 Preferred Plan Present Value Damages Preferred Plan Present Value Defence Costs GLO8 HTL HTL HTL HTL £24m (GLO6-8, SHAR1-2 total) £10m (GLO6-8, SHAR1-2 total) The preferred policy is economically viable for this unit. The preferred policy is economically viable for the linked Policy Units of GLO 6, GLO 7, GLO 8, SHAR 1, and SHAR 2, but the benefit-cost ratio (BCR) is low. Where the BCR is low, schemes may be less likely to receive public funding and it may be necessary to find funding from other sources.
  • 28. The above provides the local details in respect of the SMP-wide policy presented in the preceding sections of this Plan document. These details must be read in the context of the wider-scales issues and policy implications, as reported therein. Severn Estuary SMP2 Review – Final Report 28 Predicted Implication of the Preferred Plan for the GLO 8 Policy Unit Time Period Management Activities Property, Land Use and Human Health Nature Conservation – including Earth Heritage, Geology and Biodiversity Landscape Character and Visual Amenity Historic Environment Amenity and Recreational Use 0 – 20 years The current defences are likely to have deteriorated in this time frame and should be replaced (earth embankment). Defences will manage the risk of flooding on existing property, land use or human health. Limited erosion and flood risk under a HTL policy will not impact on existing environmental sites. Works should take account of possible environmental impacts and the need for an EIA. Increased height of defences or change in defence construction materials will affect local landscape - increasing presence in the landscape and disrupting views. Defences will manage the risk of flooding on the historic environment Defences will manage the risk of flooding on the amenity value of the land or recreational use. 20 – 50 years An on-going maintenance programme should be established to ensure the defences afford protection to the assets at risk Defences will manage the risk of flooding on existing property, land use or human health. Limited erosion and flood risk under a HTL policy will not impact on existing environmental sites. Works should take account of possible environmental impacts and the need for an EIA. Increased height of defences or change in defence construction materials will affect local landscape - increasing presence in the landscape and disrupting views. Defences will manage the risk of flooding on the historic environment Defences will manage the risk of flooding on the amenity value of the land or recreational use. 50 – 100 years An on-going maintenance programme should be established including the monitoring of shoreline erosion as sea level rise increases. Defences will manage the risk of flooding on existing property, land use or human health. Limited erosion and flood risk under a HTL policy will not impact on existing environmental sites. Works should take account of possible environmental impacts and the need for an EIA. Increased height of defences or change in defence construction materials will affect local landscape - increasing presence in the landscape and disrupting views. Defences will manage the risk of flooding on the historic environment Defences will manage the risk of flooding on the amenity value of the land or recreational use.