Coronavirus Impact Assessment And Mitigation Strategies In Agriculture Sector Complete Deck

C RONAVIRUS
Impact Assessment and Mitigation Strategies in
AGRICULTURE SECTOR

Impact on Agricultural Businesses- Ability to
Repay Outstanding Loan Balance
› Agricultural Risk Assessment Matrix
› Agricultural Risk Priority Worksheet
› Implications on Business due to COVID-19
Business Impact Analysis
› Agricultural and Allied Activities Exempted from Lockdown
› Agricultural Industry Readiness Assessment checklist
Readiness Assessments
› Covid-19 Farm Contingency Plan
› Guidelines for farmers and farming sector during lockdown
period due to COVID-19
› Post-harvest, storage and Marketing of farm produce
Risk Management Plans
› Risk to Food Supply Chains: How to Respond ?
Business policies
Policy Management
› Strategic Management and Partnerships With Competitors for
survival policies
Business Continuity
› Survey result on the Majority of the Medium and Large Firms
› Rural Workers Lost Jobs During Coronavirus Lockdown:
Survey Results
Survey Questionnaire Results
RISKS
› Major Impact on Food Transport and Distribution
› Impact on Food Demand and Food Security
› Projected agriculture sector growth after COVID-19 outbreak
› COVID-19 Agricultures Income Impacts
› How lockdown affected the farmers in INDIA
Agriculture Sector Overview
› Safety Measures In Harvesting, Post-harvest Operations,
Storage and Marketing Of Produce
› Social distancing- Worker safety and Personal Protective
Equipment (PPE)
› Social Distancing- Workers Safety Guidelines
Disruption Due to Social Distancing
01
IMPACTS OF COVID-19 ON FARMING
› Impact of COVID-19 on Agricultural Field Workers
› Loss workers Productivity During COVID-19
› Risks on Productivity of Workers During The COVID-19
Pandemic
Plummeting Employee Productivity
02
› Food Supply Chain Under Strain
› Impact of Corona on Supply Side
› Impact of Corona on demand Side
› Exchange Rates- Impact on Exporters
› Urgent increases in food availability from smallholder farmer
food production
Stressed Supply Chains
03
› Recession: Economic Impact on Agriculture World
› Change In Rice and Wheat Export Prices
› Laying off some workers
› Impact on Seasonal Workers
› Foreign investors Pull out Investment
Recession, Unemployment and Investment Pull-back
04
› Causes on Global Economy Instability
› Agriculture Industry Feeling The Economic Instability
› Civil Unrest Due to COVID-19
Economic Instability and Civil Unrest
05
Table of Content for Coronavirus Impact Assessment and Mitigation
Strategies in Agriculture Sector
2

3
› Major Impact on Food Transport and Distribution
› Impact on Food Demand and Food Security
› Projected agriculture sector growth after COVID-19 outbreak
› COVID-19 Agricultures Income Impacts
› How lockdown affected the farmers in INDIA
Agriculture Sector Overview

COVID-19 affecting every stage of Food Supply Chain with major Impact
on Food Transport and Distribution
4
This slide covers impact of COVID -19 pandemic on agriculture sector all over the world causing global trade disturbance. It also covers measures to control outbreak.
Takeaways
Because of global trade unrest, farmers face
the agricultural insufficiency, such as seed ,
fertilizer and pesticides.
China is one of the top manufacturers
of fertilizers Global large
manufacturer and exporter.
The lockdown in China Global nitrogen activity
has been significantly affected.
Pandemics have infected spring field
planting including:
• Spring wheat, corn, sunflower, rye, canola,
and free field vegetables.
Travel
Restriction
Border
Closure
Social
Distancing
Food Production
(Crop, Livestock
& Fisheries)
Processing
Transport
& Distribution
Consumer
Market & Retailer
Measures to Control Pandemic
Food Supply Chain
COVID 19
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Impact on Food Demand and Food Security 5
This slide covers Impact On Food Demand And Food Security such as demand of food has affected due to reduction in income and purchasing capacity. It also covers the impact of school closure on
children’s who are dependent on school meal programs.
Nevertheless, the price of the goods depends on the nation and its pandemic
management strategy.
Price spikes may occur for highly priced items, as animal protein intake has been
drastically decreased due to the false view of animals as a source of viruses.
Food insecurity can result from declining international trade, disturbance in the food
supply chain and food production.
Panicked customers stock up the food which has in effect influenced the supply and
price of food.
Food insecurity created due to COVID-19 would adversely impact the population's
poorest and most vulnerable groups. Currently, 820 million people face extreme
hunger and 113 million face serious acute poverty.
10 million children depend on school meals to meet their food needs. But since
classrooms are closed and school meal services are discontinued, these children no
longer provide regular food meals, which may decrease their ability to deal with diseases.

Projected Agriculture Sector Growth After COVID-19 Outbreak 6
This slide covers agriculture sector growth scenarios after outbreak such as scenario 1 depicts that if covid-19 would end in Q1 of 2020 or scenario 2 if covid-19 would end in Q2 2020.
TAKEAWAYS
The agriculture sector will be hit
hardest by the
virus outbreak.
Two possible scenarios and its
impact on the country's
agriculture sector.
The coronavirus can be contained
in the second quarter of 2020, the
agriculture sector was projected
to increase
by 2.35 %.
In the other scenario, the
industry sector will grow at a
rate of 7.1 % and the services
sector will grow at
a rate of 6.47 %.
-1%
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
Q1 2020 Q2 2020 6M 2020 Q3 2020 9M 2020 Q4 2020 Full Year 2020
Growth
Rate
Scenario 1 (Covid - 19 ends in Q1 2020) Scenario 2 (Covid - 19 ends in Q2 2020)
This graph/chart is linked to excel, and changes automatically based on data. Just left click on it and select “Edit Data”.

COVID-19 Agricultures Income Impacts 7
This slide covers impact of coronavirus pandemic on agriculture income resulting drop in price of crops and live stock.
Takeaways
SOYBEANS
FAPRI lowers the benchmark price of soybean 2020-21 from $8.85 a bushel
to $8.27 a bushel. In February, USDA had estimated an average price of
$8.80 a bushel.
CORN
The FAPRI shifts corn from a $3.70 a truck load baseline price to a $3.35 a kilo
projection in 2020-21. USDA put the average corn price for the 2020-21 crop at
$3.60 a barrel in February — before the country is temporarily shut down.
WHEAT
FAPRI is also reducing the wheat prices from $4.84 a bushel to $4.58 for 2020-21.
In February, the USDA had set the all-wheat market for 2020-21 at $4.90 a barrel.
LIVESTOCK
The 2020 market price for five-area steers is expected to see a decrease of
$14.04 cwt to $108.06 cwt for livestock. Animals are expected to see a decline
of $4.83 to $48.33 on average. The milk prices are expected to go down from
$1.71 per cwt to $17.75 per cwt. It should be noticed that both of these livestock
sectors are experiencing greater decreases in quality than FAPRI's projected
annual estimate.
Crop Prices, 2020/21
Baseline CIVID
Corn ($/bu) 3.70 3.35
Soybeans ($/bu) 8.85 8.27
Wheat ($/bu) 4.48 4.58
Cotton (cents/Ib) 6.17 55.5
Livestock Prices, 2020
2019/20 2020/21
5 – area steers ($/cwt) 122.10 108.06
Barrows & gilts ($/cwt) 53.15 48.33
Wholesale broilers (ct/Ib) 89.25 81.23
All milk ($/cwt) 19.46 17.75

How Lockdown affected the Farmers in INDIA 8
This slide covers impact of coronavirus pandemic on agriculture sector such as transport barriers and lack of packing material, whole sale market description ana many more.
Wholesale market disruptions and
transportation hurdles have ravaged
the rural economy.
Business instability is a greater threat
for mango farmers than virus.
Almost 55% of the Alphonso (crop)
that grows in Maharashtra is sold in
the Mumbai, Pune and Kolhapur
wholesale markets, all of which are
now closed.
Farmers are cutting orchards, ploughing
flowering fields with roses, and selling
food at prices that are throwaway.
Due to transport barriers and lack of
packing material, 70% of the product
shipped to other states is stranded.

9
IMPACTS OF COVID-19 ON FARMING

Impacts Of Covid-19 On Farming 10
This slide covers impact of coronavirus outbreak in agriculture sector such as increased markets and farm prices, farmer’s health, supply chains slowdowns and shortage of workforce.
Markets and
Farm Prices
› Social gap guidelines, decreased driving,
crowd avoidance, closures and other safety
measures to limit COVID-19 spread.
› Consumers must make difficult decisions
over cooking, dining away from home and
spending overall. Dairy is a common aspect
of out-of-home dining, and food service
sales could be affected.
› This is likely to influence markets and
prices. In other countries there have also
been slowdowns at ports as ships wait to be
offloaded with U.S. dairy and other
farm goods.
Supply Chains
Slowdowns & Shortages
› Logistics are interrupted and attempts are
being taken to stop the propagation of the
virus, with several related industries
already affected.
› 'Panic buying' causes more fear.
› Virus will spread more broadly in the
agricultural state and problems with the
distribution and pick-up of farm goods as
workers-for example, milk truck drivers-sit
at home because of sickness or because
they care for family members or school-
age children.
› Slowdowns may also affect the flow and
supply of fertilizers, fuel and other inputs
as we head into spring. Concerns of
energy – power, natural gas, propane –
focused on supply of inputs or shortages
of jobs for services – power, natural gas,
propane – based on availability of inputs or
shortages of labor.
Farmers’
Health
› Farm operators are nearly 58 years old
– at least 10 years older than the other
farm workers, 26% are 65 years of age
and above.
› 11.7 % of our main farm operators are
75 years of age and older.
› COVID-19 has a significantly greater
degree of seriousness for people in
their 60s and beyond, suggesting that
CDC and state (and local) public
health authorities' prevention and
safety measures are important to our
growing community.
The Farm
Workforce
› If the rate of infection remains low , it is
highly likely that laborers will need to be out
of work , particularly with school closures
and/or workers who need to stay at home to
care for sick or senior citizens members of
their families.
› Fear of this occurrence and lack of
knowledge could also result in
higher absenteeism.

11
› Safety Measures In Harvesting, Post-harvest Operations, Storage
and Marketing Of Produce
› Social distancing- Worker safety and Personal Protective
Equipment (PPE)
› Social Distancing- Workers Safety Guidelines
Risk 1: Disruption Due to Social Distancing

Safety Measures In Harvesting, Post-Harvest Operations, Storage and
Marketing of Produce
12
This slide covers impact of COVID-19 outbreak causing Disruption in agriculture sector such as safety measures in harvesting, Post-harvest Operations, Storage And Marketing Of Produce.
Farmers are advised to avoid contagious spread of the Corona virus in agricultural activities
To follow the guidelines of:
› Manual field harvesting/ picking operations, conduct a 4-5-feet spaced strip
procedure assigning one stripe to one person.
› It would ensure ample balance between the labour involved.
› Both working people will use masks at appropriate times and ensure hand washing
for the store.
› Hold a healthy distance of 3-4 feet during rest, take meals, move stock at collection
point, load / unload.
› Stagger the field operations whenever possible to stop recruiting more staff on the
same day.
› Engage only safe individuals, if necessary and after fair investigation, to prevent the
admission of any suspect or potential carrier during field operations.

Social Distancing- Worker Safety and Personal Protective Equipment (PPE) 13
This slide covers impact of COVID-19 outbreak causing social distancing in agriculture sector. It also covers about the Worker safety and Personal Protective Equipment (PPE).
There is a lack of PPE and other safety equipment essential
to proper running of a farm and to healthy staff and livestock.
Because of the healthcare industry's current demands, N-95
respirator stocks are extremely limited (probably expected this
spring to treat dusty grain due to the sub-optimal harvest
conditions of last autumn).
There are also documented questions about the provision of
protective gloves which have now become widespread in dairy
operations as a way of preserving the quality of milk and
preserving animal and human health.
Social Distancing

Social Distancing- Workers Safety Guidelines 14
This slide covers guidelines for the agriculture industry to prevent spread of COVID-19 such as clean and sanitize, follow social distancing, bio security and many more .
Avoid crowded Places & close contact with others at Home and at Work
6
Employees who suffer a fever or
other symptoms COVID-19 aren't
allowed to work.
Hold a decent stock of paper products,
soap Then hand sanitizer to ensure good
sanitation of the hand Among staff.
Provide the right cough / sneeze
tissue etiquette And no-touch
receptacles to dispose of.
Social
Distancing
• Stalling crew start, break and lunch times could
also help to encourage social distancing.
• Try changing inventory flow during harvest to
retain inspection and sorting quality for fewer on
line workers.
Wash often
Clean
And Sanitize
• Increase washing and sanitization at the entire
farm and workplace, including steering wheels,
water tank spigots and farm machinery and tools.
• Add text here
Protect
Protective Equipment and
Cloth Face Coverings
• Migrant labour camp managers to provide
sanitized facial fabric coverings for workers to use
in camp living areas.
• Add text here
Disinfect
Biosecurity
On-farm visitors
• Restrict farm guests to those who required for
maintaining the project, e.g. DATCP dairy
hygienists and other government bodies. If
needed, talk to the counsellors and service
providers on the phone.
• To restrict communication between people, all
deliveries to the farm should be registered and
dropped in a box or another spot.
Caution

15
› Impact of COVID-19 on Agricultural Field Workers
› Loss workers Productivity During COVID-19
› Risks on Productivity of Workers During The COVID-19 Pandemic
Risk 2: Plummeting Employee Productivity

Impact Of COVID-19 on Agricultural Field Workers 16
This slide covers impact of COVID-19 outbreak on agricultural workers causing agricultural firms to cut off their workforce by more than a quarter.
Key Takeaways
Approximately 80 % of
agricultural firms have cut
their workforce by more
than a quarter.
Fear of catching virus as
Farm operators are nearly 58
years old – at least 10
years older than the other
farm workers, 26% are 65
years of age and above.
Non flexible work
arrangements demotivates
employee and causes
decrease in productivity.
Disruption in working on
fields due caused due to
Social Distancing
measures have been put
in place to control the
spread of COVID-19.
Add text here add text here
add text here add text here
-60%
-40%
-20%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
Conversion Growth or Decline Due to COVID - 19

Loss Workers Productivity During COVID-19 17
This slide has covers impact of risks associated with Employee Productivity during working from home and increase the risk of mental stress.
The focus on stress in the workers may be costly for employers , especially non-essential companies,
trying to automate the workflow in the midst of the pandemic
Average U.S. worker, has lost at least
two hours of productivity a day,
Costing at least $12,000 in missed
productivity a employee over a year
COVID-19-related stress is having
an impact on productivity
62% of workers we surveyed
reported losing at least one hour a
day in productivity due to COVID-
19 related stress,
32% losing more than two hours
per day

Risks on Productivity of Workers During The COVID-19 Pandemic 18
This slide has cover risk associated with Employee Productivity such as job security, personal health, stress and mental health, personal finance, childcare and home schooling.
5%
7%
8%
8%
9%
12%
13%
15%
17%
38%
57%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
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Add Text Here
Family Heath
Add Text Here
Add Text Here
Add Text Here
Add Text Here
Personal Finances
Chilldcare & Hiome Shooling
Personal Health
Job Security
RISKS
Agricultural firms have already
started to layoff employees to
stay open, while some
businesses are sending
employees on unpaid leaves.
Pay cuts of the employees. Stress levels at work are
through the roof.
Coronavirus crisis has become
a mental health crisis for
the employees.
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19
› Food Supply Chain Under Strain
› Impact of Corona on Supply Side
› Impact of Corona on demand Side
› Exchange Rates- Impact on Exporters
› Urgent increases in food availability from smallholder farmer
food production
Risk 3: Stressed Supply Chains

Food Supply Chain Under Strain 20
This slide covers the impact of COVID-19 on agricultural sector causing description in supply chain such as No supply stock like problems in food transport logistics.
01
A dynamic network
of relationships and
players is the food
supply chain:
suppliers, products,
distribution,
manufacturing
plants, storage, etc.
02
Virus distributions and
cases rise and block
downs there appear to
be endless ways of
monitoring and
straining the food chain
in the weeks and
months to come.
03
Staple supply chain
upstream is less
fragile as it is
capital intensive
than high value
supply chain.
04
No supply stock in
the case of
abundance but a
supply shock in
terms of food
transport logistics is
starting to occur.
Food Supply Chain

Impact of Corona on Supply Side 21
This slide covers the description of supply chain on suppliers side due to COVID-19 outbreak such as Less production, Lower freight rates, lower capacity use
Food supply chains disrupted.
Less production likely, but not yet noticeable
Lower freight rates, lower capacity use
Food supply chains to be disrupted as of April/May
Developing Nations / Africa: Elimination in labor-
intensive modes of production (agriculture)
No current significant effect on crop
production; overall global cereal prospects
are favorable by 2020
Disrupted food supply chains; blockages to transport routes that
are especially obstructive to fresh food supply chains and can
also contribute to elevated rates of food loss and waste
Labor shortages could disrupt food production and
processing, particularly for labor-intensive crops
Transport limitations and quarantine policies
likely to hinder farmers' access to markets for
inputs and exports, limit competitive ability and
refuse a point of sale for produce
More significant effects on the livestock sector;
rumors of reduced access to feeding stuffs and
reduced slaughterhouse capability (due to
logistical restrictions and labor shortages) in China

Impact of Corona on Demand Side 22
This slide covers the description of supply chain on Demand side due to COVID-19 outbreak such as Potential disproportionately greater decrease in meat consumption, demand for food is typically
inelastic and many more.
More variable support for food
demand in the poorest countries, and
lack of income-earning opportunities
may lead to contract consumption
The demand for food is typically inelastic
and would likely have a minimal impact
on overall consumption, while dietary
preferences that shift
Expect a change in buying modalities:
lower restaurant traffic, increased sales of
e-commerce (as observed in China), and
increased domestic consumption
Significant rise in demand at the
start of epidemic transmission
By may visits to food markets, aversion
behaviour (fear of contagion) may
worsen the impact on food consumption
Potential disproportionately greater
decrease in meat consumption (implication
from its highly infectious origins) and other
higher-value goods (probably triggering
price slumps)
Huge problem for countries
which rely on imports

Big Problem with Exchange Rates- Impact on Exporters 23
This slide covers the effect of coronavirus pandemic on exchange rate of agricultural good or products with different countries in respect to US dollars.
AMIS Countries Currency
Mar 2020
Average
Monthly
Change
Weekly
Change
Annual
Change
Argentina ARS 62.5 -2.1% -1.0% -51.4%
Australia AUD 1.6 -4.7% -9.4% -11.3%
Brazil BRL 4.8 -9.4% -7.5% -24.0%
Canada CAD 1.4 -3.4% -3.8% -2.8%
China CNY 7.0 0.3% -0.9% -3.9%
EU EUR 0.9 2.4% -2.8% 4.4%
India INR 73.8 -3.2% -11.5% -2.2%
Japan JPY 106.2 3.5% -2.8% 4.4%
Mexico MXN 21.1 -12.3% -10.6% -10.0%
Saudi Arabia SAR 3.8 0.0% 0.0% -0.1%
South Africa ZAR 16.1 -6.8% -4.6% -11.6%
UK GBP 0.8 -2.7% -8.1% -4.5%
Vietnam VND 23,211.2 0.1% -0.3% -0.1%
Add Text Here XXX 15.6 0.0% -0.3% 9.8%
Add Text Here XXX 14,507.7 -5.4% -5.1% -2.2%
Add Text Here XXX 399.9 -5.8% -11.5% -5.7%
Add Text Here XXX 1,205.6 -1.0% -4.5% -6.6%
Add Text Here XXX 306.0 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Add Text Here XXX 51.0 -0.4% -1.4% 2.9%
Add Text Here XXX 71.7 -11.8% -5.4% -10.1%
Add Text Here XXX 31.7 -1.2% -2.7% 0.1%
Add Text Here XXX 6.2 -2.7% -4.4% -14.2%
Add Text Here XXX 25.7 -4.6% -6.5% 4.5%
Export prices of higher quality agriculture products
in selected Asian suppliers
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
550
USD/MT
Thailand 100%B India 5% Vietnam 5% Pakistan 5%
*
AMIS* G20 Countries

Urgent Increases in Food Availability from Smallholder Farmer
Food Production
24
This slide covers the effect of coronavirus on smallholder farmers food production such as loss of profits, a loss of produce and an impact on agriculture next season many more.
Road Closures/Blockages & Checks
› Preventing smallholder farmers from selling or buying inputs;
› This leads to a loss of profits, a loss of produce and an impact on agriculture next season. Recorded losses in China, with a emphasis on fresh crops , animals, and
poultry (exceeded breeding period).
› Slowing down road closures / blockages, agriculture infrastructure, access to supplies, supply of commodities, and selling, contributing to reduction in revenue,
accumulation of farm produce.
› Smallholder famers that supply school meal schemes are affected by schools closure;
Change on consumption patterns and Consumer Behavior
› Staple foods and ready-to - eat foods that can be stored and strong
e-commerce growth too
› Meat consumption rose by 80%, canned beef by 60%, canned beans by
55% and tomato sauce by 22%.
› These trends result in difficulties in producing sales, loss of perishable
produce and loss of income. It also witnessed up to fivefold increase
in e-commerce
› Restriction on the movement of people may disrupt production: migrant
seasonal workers constitute 27% of the agricultural working hours
Provide Productivity-
Enhancing safety nets
Reduce post-harvest crop
losses & improve food stocks
along the value chain
Address basic energy
needs of smallholders
& rural households
Remove artificial constraints to
domestic trade throughout the
food chain in order to link
smallholder farmers to markets
01 03
02 04

25
› Recession: Economic Impact on Agriculture World
› Change in Rice and Wheat Export Prices
› Laying off some workers
› Impact on Seasonal Workers
› Foreign Investors Pull out Investment
Risk 4: Recession, Unemployment and
Investment Pull-back

Recession: Economic Impact on Agriculture World 26
This slide covers the economic impact on agricultural industry due to Covid-19 crisis could cause worldwide food shortages and a complete disruption of supply chain.
World agricultural prices show signs of a rise from the third
week of March 2020
Takeaways
The UN has cautioned that the Covid-19 crisis could cause
worldwide "food shortages."
The food supply chain is a complex web that involves
producers, consumers, agricultural and fishery inputs,
processing and storage, transportation and marketing, etc
Globally, the Food and Agriculture Organization expects
shifts in the supply of and demand for food
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
110
Precious Metals
Agriculturals
Industrial Metals
Energy
01-Jan 15-Jan 29-Jan 12-Feb 26-Feb 11-Mar 25-Mar
Global Commodity Price Indices

Recession in Agriculture Industry: Change in Rice and Wheat Export Prices
due to COVID-19
27
This slide covers the economic impact on agricultural industry due to Covid-19 crisis causing price rise in rice and milling wheat.
22.99%
17.89%
13.89%
*
-16%
-14%
-12%
-10%
-8%
-6%
-4%
-2%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
18%
20%
22%
24%
26%
28%
1 18 3 16 6 20 4 18 1 16 5 19 3 17 1 21 5 19 2 16 6 20 4 15 20 26
Apr-19 May-19 Jun19 Jul-19 Aug-19 Sep-19 Oct-19 Nov-19 Dec19 Jan-20 Feb-20 Mar-20
26-Mar-20
› Year-on-year change in the export
prices of rice and wheat, April 2019 to
March 2020.
› One reason for this rise has been the
stockpiling by households of rice and
wheat, and the restrictions imposed by
different countries on food exports.
› Vietnam, the world’s third largest rice
exporter, has stopped exports, which
may reduce the global rice exports
by 15 %.
› If India and Thailand too ban exports,
world rice prices may rise sharply.
Takeaways

Laying off Some Workers 28
This slide covers the foresee lay off of some workers temporary or permanently in past 6 months due to COVID-19 pandemic.
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
Overall Agriculture Micro Small Medium Large Add Text
Here
Add Text
Here
Number
of
workers
(in
thousands)
Temporary Permanent
› Approximately 80 % of
agricultural firms have cut
their workforce by more
than a quarter.
› Add text here
› Add text here
Takeaways
Size

Impact on Seasonal Workers in Agricultural Production due to COVID-19 29
This slide covers the impact of coronavirus on seasonal workers in agriculture production such as non regular and employed farm labour.
18%
17%
6%
12% 12%
10%
3%
15%
9% 9%
16%
5%
10%
4%
7%
5%
2% 2%
4%
3%
1% 1%
2%
5%
1%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
18%
20%
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
Italy
Spain
Romania
France
Greece
Germany
Poland
United
Kingdom
Hungary
Portugal
Netherland
Bulgaria
Belgium
Czech
Rep.
Sweden
Slovenia
Croatia
Ireland
Denmark
Slovakia
Lithuania
Latvia
Estonia
Luxermbourg
Malta
Share
non-regular,
Employed
labour
(%
of
AMU)
Agricultural
Win
1,000
Working
Units
(in
1,000
AMU)
Non-regular & Employeed farm-labour (in AWU)
Share of non-regular & Employeed farm labour (in %)
› Non-regular work, in particular in Italy , Spain, Romania, France and Greece, is relevant
› In Italy and Spain, the proportion of non-regular and employed labor, with nearly 20 % of units of labor. The EU average measured (excluding Austria
and Finland) is 9.0%. In this case, labor units are a typical unit which takes on a certain number of hours per day
› Agriculture, some of the development processes are highly dependent on seasonal employees.
› Production of vegetables , fruits, wine and permanent crops involves labor that is not just about harvesting.
Takeaways

Foreign Investors Pull out Investment 30
This slide covers risk of investment pull off in agriculture sector due to COVID-19 Increasing fears about the big economic slowdown.
International creditors have taken an additional USD 26 billion
from emerging Asian economies and over USD 16 billion from
India owing to the global coronavirus recession
Increasing fears about the Big Economic Slowdown in Asia,
said the independent Congressional Research Center in its new
study on COVID-19's world economic effect
More than 30 Million people have applied for state assistance in
Germany, France , the United Kingdom, Spain and Italy, while
statistics from the first quarter of 2020 reveals that the eurozone
economy has declined by 3.8 %, the highest quarterly downturn
since the 1995 series started.
In the first quarter of 2020, US provisional figures
revealed that GDP dropped by 4.8%

31
› Causes on Global Economy Instability
› Agriculture Industry Feeling The Economic Instability
› Civil Unrest Due to COVID-19
Risk 5: Economic Instability and Civil Unrest

Causes on Global Economy Instability 32
This slide covers the impact of COVID-19 causing global economic instability resulting in reduction in world economy up to one per cent in FY 2020.
The UN dept of
Economic and Social
Affairs (DESA) analysis
said the COVID-19
pandemic is interrupting
global supply chains as
well as international
commerce. With nearly
100 countries shutting
their national borders in
the last month
In some of these
countries millions of
workers face the
bleak possibility of
losing their jobs.
The global economy
could shrink by 0.9
per cent by 2020.
Government spending
in the G-7 countries
and China – global
growth in 2020 would
drop to 1.2%.
Oil price declines by
50 per cent compared
to our USD 61 per
barrel baseline.
Due to the coronavirus pandemic,…

Agriculture Industry Feeling the Economic Instability : The Impact of
COVID-19
33
This slide covers the impact of coronavirus causing economic instability in agricultural sector such as The affected labour force in agricultural farms, raw material supply and Demand-supply volatility.
› The affected labour force in agricultural farms, food & beverage production
& processing plants, and supply chain are analysed to face the risk of
supporting the COVID-19 outbreak, the communication of which may
occur during various coordination activities.
Workforce
› Globally, the food and beverage is expected to experience the differential effect of this rapid spread of COVID-19 on each point of the value
chain across the mediums of the affected industrial workforce, the availability of raw materials (agricultural goods, food ingredients,
intermediate food items), trade & logistics, uncertainty in demand and volatile customer demand for food services
› Production, distribution and inventory levels across the food & beverage spectrum should be affected
› Agricultural products, which form the main raw material for
subsequent stages in the food supply chain, may become a possible
source of food and beverage industry bottlenecks
Raw Material Supply: Agriculture
& Livestock Industries
› Australia, which imports the necessary agrochemicals and crop
defence products from China on a wide scale. China is home to a
significant number of large-scale manufacturers representing around
30–35% of global agrochemical production.
› While food and beverage manufacturers and processors are more
likely to be affected by the labour and raw material shortage required
in the production process
Demand-supply Volatility: Food Manufacturers,
Processors, Food Retail & Service Outlets
› For food stores, the challenge would be to address the possibility of
consumers having an irregular footing and, in contrast, also to assess
the possibility of stockpiling food & beverage products to ensure
continuity of consumer access to the products they intend to buy

Civil Unrest Due to Coronavirus Pandemic 34
This slide covers the causes of civil unrest during corona pandemic such as growth in consumer demand, food joints have experienced a dramatic reduction in customer footfall, Government can not
guarantee the security of workers and many more.
Consumer reluctance on the verge of growing
COVID-19 outbreak has led to major uncertainties
regarding consumer demand
Various posts and false rumors on
social media have inflicted fear
among consumers and influenced
their perception of a variety of food &
beverage products - particularly
products based on animals
Worldwide, food joints have
experienced a dramatic reduction in
customer footfall, thus directly
affecting food joints' revenues
Government initiatives to prevent mass
gatherings as a preventive measure to curb
the spread of coronavirus have also fueled
the trend in home dining among consumers
The Government can not
guarantee the security of
workers and the provision of
food, medicine and other
important products
Consumer’s
Uncertainties

35
› Agricultural Risk Assessment Matrix
› Agricultural Risk Priority Worksheet
› Implications on Business due to COVID-19
Business Impact Analysis

Impact on Agricultural Businesses- Ability to Repay Outstanding
Loan Balance
36
This slide covers the impact of COVID-19 outbreak on Agricultural Businesses ability to Repay Outstanding Loan Balance such as if it is severely reduced, moderately reduced or have no impact .
Add Text Here
on a sectoral level, high percentages
of agriculture businesses witnessed
a reduction in their ability to repay
outstanding debts due to COVID-19
outbreak compared to other sectors
Add Text Here
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
Agriculture Add Text Here Add Text Here Micro Small Medium Large Overall
Percentage
of
Businesses
Severely Reduced Moderately Reduced Increased No Impact
Takeaways
Size

Agricultural Risk Assessment Matrix 37
This slide covers the corona virus pandemic lockdowns impact analysis on the agricultural industry including sensitive zones in different scenario’s and risks .
Agricultural
Sensitivity Zone
Scenario Consequence Likelihood Risk Consequence Likelihood Risk
Very high
Agricultural
Sensitivity
COVID-19 Moderate Not likely Low Slight Extremely unlikely Very Low
Un Expected Rain Substantial Likely Moderate Moderate Very Unlikely Low
Add Text Here Severe Likely High Substantial Not Likely Moderate
Add Text Here Severe Very Likely Very High Severe Likely High
High Agricultural
Sensitivity
COVID-19 Moderate Not Likely Low Slight Extremely Unlikely Very Low
Labor not Available Moderate Likely Moderate Moderate Very Unlikely Low
Add Text Here Moderate Likely Moderate Substantial Not Likely Low
Add Text Here Severe Likely High Substantial Likely Moderate
Moderate
Agricultural
Sensitivity
COVID-19 Slight Very Unlikely Very low Slight Extremely Unlikely Very Low
Seasonal Workers not
Available
Moderate Not Likely Low Slight Extremely Unlikely Very Low
Add Text Here Substantial Likely Moderate Moderate Not Likely Low
Add Text Here Severe Likely High Severe Likely Moderate
Low Agricultural
Sensitivity
COVID-19 Slight Extremely Unlikely Very Low Slight Extremely Unlikely Very Low
Add Text Here Moderate Not Likely Low Slight Extremely Unlikely Very Low
Add Text Here Substantial Likely Moderate Moderate Not Likely Low
Add Text Here Substantial Likely High Moderate Likely Moderate
P
R
O
B
L
E
M
S
Without Mitigation With Mitigation
Farmers/operators
of agriculture
related enterprises
Transportation of
wheat and rice
Add Text Here
Add Text Here

Agricultural Risk Priority Worksheet 38
This slide covers the risk priority analysis on agricultural business based on potential severity of impact and high, low remote and occasional probability .
Negligible Moderate Considerable Critical Catastrophic
Drop in global wheat &
Rice Price
Unavailability of Labor
Difficulty
in Transportation
Add Text Here
Failure of
Farm Organization
Add Text Here
Add Text Here Very Low Wind
Add Text Here Red Zone Add Text Here
Potential Severity of Impact
Probability
Highly Probable
Probable
Occasional
Remote
Improbable

Implications for Business due to COVID-19 39
This slide covers the COVID-19 outbreak impact on agricultural businesses units such as shifting cultivation, commercial grain farming, live stock ranching and many more.
Process
Affected
Priority
Ranking
Impact
Category
Recovery Time
Objective
(RTO)
Recovery
Point
Objective
(RPO)
Qualitative
Impact
Recovery
Strategy
Time Needed
for Recovery
Severe Expenses
Bridge contact
surfaces are
sanitized until they
are handled
Pilot boarding
Tech
Moderate Legal Services
Minimal
Revenue
Loss
Employees
Customer
Service
Goodwill
Nomadic Herding
Livestock Ranching
Shifting Cultivation
Mediterranean Agriculture
Commercial Grain Farming
Intensive Subsistence Farming
Add Text Here
Add Text Here
Add Text Here
Add Text Here
Business Unit
(BU) Name

40
› Agricultural and Allied Activities Exempted from Lockdown
› Agricultural Industry Readiness Assessment checklist
Readiness Assessments

Agricultural and Allied Activities Exempted from Lockdown 41
This slide covers the necessary Agricultural and Allied activities that are exempted from lockdowns during this COVID-19 outbreak such as Agencies engaged in procurement of agriculture products and
many more.
Veterinary
Hospitals
Agencies engaged in
procurement of
agriculture products,
including MSP operations
Mandis’ operated by the
Agriculture Produce Market
Committee or as notified by
the State Government
Farming operations
by farmers and farm
workers in the field
Custom hiring centers (CHC)
related to farm machinery
Manufacturing and
packaging units of
Fertilizers, Pesticides
and Seeds
Intra and inter-state movement of
harvesting and sowing related
machines like combined
harvester and other agriculture/
horticulture implement

Agricultural Industry Readiness Assessment Checklist 42
This slide covers the Readiness Assessment checklist for Agricultural Industry such as trade-offs between the cost of risk and gains, Global stocks of food staples
And many more.
Expand and improve emergency food assistance and
social protection programs
Keep the food value chain alive by focusing on key
logistics bottlenecks
Evaluate trade-offs between the cost of risk and gains
that can be made
Global stocks of food staples
Address trade and tax policies to keep the global
trade open
Manage the macroeconomic ramifications
Add Text Here
Add Text Here
Give smallholder farmers support to both enhance their
productivity and market the food they produce, also
through e-commerce channels
375
400
425
450
475
500
525
2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20
Closing Stock (Right axis) Production (Left Axis)
Domestic Utilization (Left Axis)
-20
80
180
280
380
480
2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20
Rice Soybeans
800
880
960
1040
1120
1200
2010/112011/122012/132013/142014/152015/162016/172017/182018/192019/20
600
650
700
750
800
850
2010/112011/122012/132013/142014/152015/162016/172017/182018/192019/20
Maize Wheat

43
› Covid-19 Farm Contingency Plan
› Guidelines for farmers and farming sector during lockdown
period due to COVID-19
› Post-harvest, storage and Marketing of farm produce
Risk Management Plans

Covid-19 Farm Contingency Plan 44
This slide covers the COVID-19 outbreak contingency plan for the agricultural sector such as minimizing the exposures, improvement of the hygiene, cross training and many more.
Meeting with the organizational staff to explore potential situations, potential disturbance strategies
during planting and subsequent fieldwork
Minimize the Exposure of Outsiders
› Observe sufficient social intervals when someone has to go to the field or work on site.
› Onside cross-training of workers and personnel with respect to core roles and effective secure
use of machinery.
Improve Office Hygiene and make it part of your daily/weekly routine
› Disinfecting work surfaces, countertops, doorknobs, hand railings, tractor controls can make a difference.
› Make ready-to-use cleaning products include cleaning tools, bins, mops, brushes, and other materials readily available for cleaning break areas and store.
› Place disinfectant wipes and hand sanitizer on the equipment, in truck cabs and in high-traffic areas.
Stay in the house if you’re sick
› Farmers and their employees regularly work while sick.
› If anyone in the family is sick, they should isolate themselves as much as possible and not visit work areas.
Contingency plan copy for workers and farmers
› Neighbouring farmers who might share the money and/or work in an emergency?
› Who will manage for a couple of weeks if you or another key individual are unable to leave your house or are hospitalized?

Guidelines for Farmers and Farming Sector During Lockdown Period Due to
COVID-19
45
This slide covers the Guidelines For Farmers And Farming Sector During Lockdown Period Due To corona virus such as general instructions, harvesting threshing crops as well as standing field crops.
General Instructions
Famers should follow precautions and safety measures to be taken to prevent the disease spread.
Simple measures include social distancing, maintaining personal hygiene by washing of hands with soap,
wearing of face mask, protective clothing and cleaning of implements and machinery
Workers to follow safety measures and social distancing at each and every step in the entire process of
field operations
Harvesting & Threshing of Crops
In many northern states wheat harvesting is approaching through the combination
of harvesters.
They have been permitted to travel inside the State and within States.
Precautions & Security
Measures shall be ensured for workers engaged in the repair, maintenance and
harvesting operations.
Lentil, maize and chilli harvesting is ongoing and gram is rapidly approaching.
Add text here
Mustard is the second significant rabi crop, manual harvesting is ongoing and threshing
is needed anywhere it has already been harvested
Add text here
In summer pulses in rice fallows, whitefly management with proper safety
measures may be taken up to prevent yellow mosaic virus incidence
Standing Field Crops
In case of any unseasonal rain at harvesting stage in paddy, spray
5% salt solution to prevent seed germination
Add text here
Add text here

Post-harvest, Storage and Marketing of Farm Produce 46
This slide covers the guidelines in agricultural sector for Post-harvest, Storage And Marketing Of Farm Produce in coronavirus pandemic.
Wearing protective face masks can help against aerosols and dust while performing drying,
threshing, winnowing, cleaning, grading, sorting and packaging operations at farm level
Particulate matter to prevent respiratory problems
Ensure proper drying of harvested grains, millets, pulses at farm / home before storage
Do not reuse jute bags from previous seasons to prevent plague infestation. Apply
processed and dried gunnies in 5% neem solution after soaking.
Seed suppliers are allowed to convey supporting documentation to seed companies and to
follow precautions when payments are received.
Precautions to be taken for the direct marketing / supply of vegetables from farms such as
tomatoes, cauliflower, green leafy vegetables, cucumbers and other cucurbit

47
› Risk to Food Supply Chains: How to Respond ? Business policies
Policy Management

Risk to Food Supply Chains: How To Respond? Business policies 48
This slide covers the business policies for agricultural department such as Expand and improve emergency food assistance, Address new trade and tax policies and many more.
WHAT WE
SHOULD DO ?
Expand and improve emergency food
assistance & social protection programs
Give smallholder farmers support to both enhance their
productivity and market the food they produce, also through
e-commerce channels
Keep the food value chain alive by
focusing on key logistics bottlenecks
Address new trade and tax policies to
keep the global trade open
Manage the macroeconomic ramifications

49
› Strategic Management and Partnerships With Competitors for
survival policies
Business Continuity

Strategic Management and Partnerships with Competitors 50
This slide covers the business continuity plans for the agricultural business with competitors during the outbreak of COVID-19.
Develop Scenario analysis based on Epidemiological and macro-economic outlooks, which companies can use to communicate with staff on the
various trajectories enterprises
Support collaboration in the pre-competitive space
Accelerate nationwide agri-food digitalization plans focused on cross-sectoral dialogs between agencies responsible for the
infrastructure, trade and agriculture of the information and communications technologies (ICT).
Using the crisis as an impetus to improve the operational capability of local Agri-Enterprise organizations
Maintaining liquidity and cash flow to survive
Add Text Here

51
› Survey result on the Majority of the Medium and Large Firms
› Rural Workers Lost Jobs During Coronavirus Lockdown:
Survey Results
Survey Questionnaire Results

Survey result on the Majority of the Medium and Large Firms do not
Foresee Closure
52
This slide covers the survey results of Not Foresee Closure of the micro, small, medium and large size business causing large amount of unemployment.
1 – 3
Months
3 – 6
Months
More Than 6
Months
More Than
a year
Do not Foresee
Closure
Number of Business
Surveyed
Sector
Agriculture 12 31 7.2 19 30.7 20
Add Text Here 9.9 25.7 15 12.1 37.2 32
Add Text Here 23.9 18.7 7.4 10.8 39.2 95
Size
Micro 58 24.9 0 16 1.1 16
Small 27.7 25.1 13.9 9.8 23.5 59
Medium 8.3 19.1 5.3 10.4 56.8 44
Large 0 1.2 8.3 13 77.5 28
Months
The survey findings show that the
population has undergone the
biggest transformation of
agricultural enterprises.
Approximately 80 % of agricultural
firms have cut their workforce by
more than a quarter.
Results show that agricultural
demand is declining sharply.
Close to 71 % of surveyed
businesses in agriculture
reported severe decline.
Takeaways

Rural Workers Lost Jobs During Coronavirus Lockdown: Survey Results 53
This slide covers the survey results on rural workers who lost their job causing loss in their food consumption, debt increased, no money to buy essentials and those who are working are getting
very less wages.
70
80
Rural
Urban
› % of households which reported having consumed
less food during the lockdown than prior to it
Increase in Hunger
34
43
Rural
Urban
› % of respondents who took a loan to cover
personal expenses
Debt Rises
34
61
Rural
Urban
› % of households without money to buy even a week’s
worth of essentials
Essentials are Elusive
43
57
Rural
Urban
› % of wage workers whose salaries were reduced or
who did not receive their salaries during the lockdown
Fall in Wages
Takeaways
According COVID-19
Livelihoods Survey,
About 80% of urban workers lost their
jobs during the lockdown. The average
weekly earnings of those who were still
employed fell by 61%.

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