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Exter's Prophecy: A former
central banker shows how the
    financial crisis will end
     The Gold Symposium 2012
         Luna Park, Sydney
          By Dan Denning
The Original Oracle of Omaha
“For if human liberty is to survive in
America, we must win the battle to
restore honest money. There is no more
important challenge facing us than this
issue – the restoration of your freedom to
secure gold in exchange for the fruits of
your labours.”
The Roles and Requirements of
             a Reserve Currency
•   Medium of exchange
•   Store of value
•   Unit of account
•   Deep and liquid debt markets
•   Backed by a strong economy
•   Sustainable (moral) fiscal policy
•   Stable monetary policy and sound money
The Four Competitors
Chinese Steps Toward
    Internationalising the Remnimbi
• Dim Sum Bonds
• Currency swaps
• Iron ore contracts between FMG and steel
  producers denominated in RMB
• Off shore trading centres
• Bi-lateral trade conducted in RMB
Paths to a new world reserve currency

• Orderly
• Disorderly
• Non-existent
• More of the
  same
Turning Debt into Equity
• The Bank of England
• The Resolution Trust Corporation
• Debt must be extinguished: creditors
  prefer deflation, debtors and voters
  prefer inflation
• Look for Fed adaptation, not dollar
  capitulation
Extinguishing Debt Through Gold
• Gold as the ultimate
  Tier-1 capital in the
  banking system
• Revaluation of
  central bank gold
  reserves
• Gold-backed
  government bonds
The DNA of a liberal order
• Sound money
• Free markets (value discovered in
  exchange)
• The rule of law (right over might)
• Private property
• Low taxes
106 &207: Surveillance State 101
“If you wish to destroy a nation,
you must first corrupt its
currency. Thus must sound
money be the first bastion of a
society’s defence.”
       Adam Ferguson, When Money Dies: The
       Nightmare of the Weimar hyper-inflation
Thank you!

dan@portphillippublishing.com.au
   www.dailyreckoning.com.au

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Gold Investment Symposium 2012 - Dan Denning - The Daily Reckoning

  • 1. Exter's Prophecy: A former central banker shows how the financial crisis will end The Gold Symposium 2012 Luna Park, Sydney By Dan Denning
  • 2.
  • 3.
  • 4.
  • 5.
  • 6. The Original Oracle of Omaha “For if human liberty is to survive in America, we must win the battle to restore honest money. There is no more important challenge facing us than this issue – the restoration of your freedom to secure gold in exchange for the fruits of your labours.”
  • 7. The Roles and Requirements of a Reserve Currency • Medium of exchange • Store of value • Unit of account • Deep and liquid debt markets • Backed by a strong economy • Sustainable (moral) fiscal policy • Stable monetary policy and sound money
  • 9. Chinese Steps Toward Internationalising the Remnimbi • Dim Sum Bonds • Currency swaps • Iron ore contracts between FMG and steel producers denominated in RMB • Off shore trading centres • Bi-lateral trade conducted in RMB
  • 10. Paths to a new world reserve currency • Orderly • Disorderly • Non-existent • More of the same
  • 11.
  • 12.
  • 13.
  • 14. Turning Debt into Equity • The Bank of England • The Resolution Trust Corporation • Debt must be extinguished: creditors prefer deflation, debtors and voters prefer inflation • Look for Fed adaptation, not dollar capitulation
  • 15. Extinguishing Debt Through Gold • Gold as the ultimate Tier-1 capital in the banking system • Revaluation of central bank gold reserves • Gold-backed government bonds
  • 16. The DNA of a liberal order • Sound money • Free markets (value discovered in exchange) • The rule of law (right over might) • Private property • Low taxes
  • 18.
  • 19. “If you wish to destroy a nation, you must first corrupt its currency. Thus must sound money be the first bastion of a society’s defence.” Adam Ferguson, When Money Dies: The Nightmare of the Weimar hyper-inflation
  • 20.
  • 21. Thank you! dan@portphillippublishing.com.au www.dailyreckoning.com.au