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Southeast Queensland Peri-Urban Supersite

Influence of land use change on the catchment
water balance and nutrient cycle of subtropical
                 ecosystems
           2013 TERN National Symposium


 Martin Labadz 1     David Rowlings 1          Michelle Gane 1
                       Peter Grace 1
         1 HealthyEcosystems and Environmental Monitoring
             IFE, Queensland University of Technology
                        Brisbane, Australia


                     19 February 2013
Outline

  1   Background

  2   Project Aims

  3   Study Area

  4   Methods

  5   Results

  6   Overall Outcomes

                         Typical Landscape in the Samford Valley, QLD
Background    Project Aims     Study Area           Methods                 Results              Overall Outcomes



 Peri-Urbanisation

   • Southeast Queensland fastest
     growing region in Australia
   • Land use change
   • Alteration of catchment
     water balance                                        Cities
                                                                   Precipitation

                                                                                      Industry
   • More nutrient input into
                                            Agriculture
     ecosystems
                                                                      Runoff

   Consequences
   ⇒ Algal blooms
   ⇒ Increase in runoff and                                            Groundwater
   erosion
   ⇒ More polluted areas

                                                                                                             1 / 26
Background    Project Aims     Study Area           Methods                 Results              Overall Outcomes



 Peri-Urbanisation

   • Southeast Queensland fastest
     growing region in Australia
   • Land use change
   • Alteration of catchment
     water balance                                        Cities
                                                                   Precipitation

                                                                                      Industry
   • More nutrient input into
                                            Agriculture
     ecosystems
                                                                      Runoff

   Consequences
   ⇒ Algal blooms
   ⇒ Increase in runoff and                                            Groundwater
   erosion
   ⇒ More polluted areas

                                                                                                             1 / 26
Background            Project Aims   Study Area    Methods      Results     Overall Outcomes



 Project Aims

             1   Determine baseline conditions of the surface water:
                 Physico-chemical indicators and all inorganic and organic forms
                 of nitrogen (N) and phosphorus (P) at an undisturbed site
                 ⇒ Most studies in this area only focus on nitrate – limited
                 information on other inorganic and organic N and P forms
             2   Compare baseline conditions with physico-chemical properties
                 and nutrient concentrations in the surface water of a more
                 disturbed site.
                 ⇒ Shows the effect of urbanisation
             3   Develop a hydrological model for the catchment to simulate
                 effects of future land use changes on catchment water balance,
                 sediment and nutrient transport.


                                                                                        2 / 26
Background   Project Aims        Study Area                        Methods                       Results                Overall Outcomes



 Study Area – Catchment Location
                            152 0'0''E                            153 0'0''E                               154 0'0''E




                                                                                                                 N

                                  Bris
                                    ba
                                      ne
                                                                                      Bribie Island




                                         Ri
                                                                                                                           27 0'0''S




                                           ver
                                                                                    Moreton
                                                                                               Moreton Island
                                                                                     Bay
                                                              e
                                                        th Pin
                                                     Sou
                                Samford Valley
                                                                 BRISBANE                         North Stradbroke
                                                             r
                                                         ive                                            Island
                                                  er R

                                                                          iv   er
                                              Brem



                                                                 Lo n R                        South Stradbroke
                                                                   ga                                Island
                                                                                                                           28 0'0''S

                                         0          25                50                          100 Kilometres




                                                                                                                                       3 / 26
Background        Project Aims         Study Area                Methods      Results                Overall Outcomes



 Study Area – Catchment Location
                                  152 0'0''E                    153 0'0''E              154 0'0''E




Why Samford Valley?
                                                                                       N

                                        Bris
⇒ Easily accessible: only 30 km


                                          ba
                                            ne
from Brisbane                                                Bribie Island




                                               Ri
                                                                                                        27 0'0''S




                                                 ver
⇒ Established resources network at                         Moreton
                                                                       Moreton Island
                                                            Bay
SERF                                              e
                                            th Pin
⇒ Historically rural but:                Sou
                            Samford Valley
⇒ 50% increase in population                    BRISBANE                 North Stradbroke
                                              r
                                          ive                                   Island
                                                        er R
(1996 to 2006)                                      iv e
                                                         r
                                                    Brem



                                                               Lo n R        South Stradbroke
                                                                 ga                Island
                                                                                                        28 0'0''S

                                               0          25        50         100 Kilometres




                                                                                                                    3 / 26
Background     Project Aims        Study Area                  Methods                Results                Overall Outcomes



 Study Area – Catchment Location
                              152 0'0''E                      153 0'0''E                        154 0'0''E




Climate (subtropical)
                                                                                                      N

                                    Bris
• Mean min–max temperature


                                      ba
                                        ne
  range: 8 – 29 ◦ C                                                        Bribie Island




                                           Ri
                                                                                                                27 0'0''S




                                             ver
• Average annual rainfall:                                            Moreton
                                                                                    Moreton Island
                                                                       Bay
  1060 mm                                                       e
                                                          th Pin
                                                       Sou
• Average monthly rainfall: Samford Valley BRISBANE
                                              r                                        North Stradbroke
  highest (December):                     ive                                                Island
                                                    er R
                                                      r
  150 mm                                         iv e
                                                Brem



                                                             Lo n R                 South Stradbroke
  lowest (July):                                               ga                         Island
                                                                                                                28 0'0''S

  29 mm                          0       25     50                                     100 Kilometres




                                                                                                                            3 / 26
Background                      Project Aims                Study Area              Methods              Results             Overall Outcomes



 Topography
                   152°48'0"E                  152°50'0"E                   152°52'0"E                   152°54'0"E




                                                                                                                                ¯
                                                                                                    GH
                                                                                                    #
                                                                                                    *




                                                                                                                                        27°22'0"S
       27°22'0"S




                                                                  High: 425 m ASL

                                                                                             PS
                                                                  Low: 45 m ASL
                                                                                         #
                                                                                         *




                                                                                                                                        27°24'0"S
       27°24'0"S




                                                                                         0    0.5   1    2            3   4
                                                                                                                           Kilometres

                                                                                                                                                    4 / 26
Background   Project Aims         Study Area       Methods       Results      Overall Outcomes



 Study Approach – Sample Collection
                               Effects of Peri-
                               urbanisation on
                            Catchment Hydrology



                               Surface Water
                                 Sampling



             Physico-chemical
                                               Nutrients
               Parameters



                                                       Spatial and Climatic
                                Catchment               Information: Soil,
                             Hydrological Model        Land Use, Rainfall
                                                                etc.
                                                                                          5 / 26
Background    Project Aims   Study Area   Methods        Results       Overall Outcomes



 Surface Water


   Physico-chemistry
   • 2 sampling sites: Pumpshed and
     Glasshouse
   • Sampling started in January 2011
   • Instrument: YSI Sonde
   • Parameters: Temperature, specific
     conductivity, pH, temperature, DO
   • High-resolution 10-minute data
   • Automated recording to Campbell
     logger
                                               Sampling setup at the Pumpshed site

                                                                                   6 / 26
Background    Project Aims   Study Area   Methods        Results       Overall Outcomes



 Surface Water


   Physico-chemistry
   • 2 sampling sites: Pumpshed and
     Glasshouse
   • Sampling started in January 2011
   • Instrument: YSI Sonde
   • Parameters: Temperature, specific
     conductivity, pH, temperature, DO
   • High-resolution 10-minute data
   • Automated recording to Campbell
     logger
                                               Sampling setup at the Pumpshed site

                                                                                   6 / 26
Background    Project Aims   Study Area   Methods        Results       Overall Outcomes



 Surface Water


   Physico-chemistry
   • 2 sampling sites: Pumpshed and
     Glasshouse
   • Sampling started in January 2011
   • Instrument: YSI Sonde
   • Parameters: Temperature, specific
     conductivity, pH, temperature, DO
   • High-resolution 10-minute data
   • Automated recording to Campbell
     logger
                                               Sampling setup at the Pumpshed site

                                                                                   6 / 26
Background      Project Aims   Study Area      Methods        Results   Overall Outcomes



 Surface Water

       Creek Discharge
       • 2 sampling sites: Pumpshed and
         Glasshouse
       • Sampling started in January
         2011
       • Instrument: Sontek Argonaut
       • Parameters: Water level, flow
         velocity, creek discharge
         (m3 s−1 )
       • High-resolution 10-minute data
       • Automated recording to             Backup: Pressure sensor
         Campbell logger

                                                                                    7 / 26
Background          Project Aims    Study Area   Methods        Results         Overall Outcomes



 Surface Water

   Sampling
     • Sampling fortnightly from
       September 2011
       • Stormwater sampling with ISCO
             automated sampler

   Major Ions
   Cations: Na+ , K+ , Ca2+ , Mg2+
   Anions: Cl− , SO2−
                   4

   Nutrients
       • inorganic N (NO− , NH+ ), organic
                        3     4
             N, tot dissolved N, total N
                                                       Surface water sampling
       • PO3− , tot dissolved P, total P
           4
                                                                                            8 / 26
Background         Project Aims        Study Area         Methods           Results         Overall Outcomes



 Results – Physico-chemical Indicators


     Ranges of physico-chemical values measured at the Pumpshed and Glasshouse
                 sampling sites from January 2011 to January 2013a .

 Sample Site       Temperature       Sp. Conductivity          pH           Turbidity       Diss. Oxygen
                      (◦ C)               (µS)                               (NTU)b            (%Sat)
 Pumpshed       11.4–26.9 (19.8)1     111–799 (460)1     6.4–7.5 (7.2)1    0–616 (2.1)1     12–92 (77.1)2
 Glasshouse     11.1–27.8 (20.5)2     111–904 (480)2     6.1–7.9 (7.1)1    0–710 (4.3)2      6–92 (76.3)1
 a Median values in parantheses.
 b NTU=Nephelometric Turbidity Units

   Numbers in superscript show significance in differences between the two sampling sites.




                                                                                                        9 / 26
Background   Project Aims             Study Area                   Methods              Results    Overall Outcomes



 Results – Physico-chemical Indicators
                        Temperature                      Conductivity                    pH

                                                   800
                   25
                                                                             7.5
                                                   600




                                        µS cm -1
                   20
              °C


                                                                             7.0
                                                   400


                   15                              200                       6.5




                         Turbidity                       Diss. Oxygen              Location
                                                                                      Pumpshed
                600                                80                                 Glasshouse


                                                   60
                400
                                          %Sat
             NTU




                                                   40
                200
                                                   20

                   0

                                                                                                              10 / 26
Background                   Project Aims            Study Area             Methods             Results             Overall Outcomes



 Flow at Pumpshed

                        60                                                                                    0


                        50
                                                                                                              100
                        40
        Flow (m sec )




                                                                                                                    Rainfall (mm)
               3   -1




                        30                                                                                    200
          Blah




                        20
                                                                                                              300
                        10


                         0                                                                                    400
                        0


                                  1


                                            1


                                                  1


                                                           1


                                                                   2


                                                                             2


                                                                                      2


                                                                                                2


                                                                                                          3
                        01


                               01


                                        01


                                                01


                                                         01


                                                                  01


                                                                        01


                                                                                      01


                                                                                            01


                                                                                                     01
                   /2


                             /2


                                      /2


                                                /2


                                                       /2


                                                                  /2


                                                                       /2


                                                                                 /2


                                                                                           /2


                                                                                                    /2
               12


                             03


                                    06


                                             09


                                                     12


                                                              03


                                                                       06


                                                                               09


                                                                                           12


                                                                                                 03                                 11 / 26
Background                   Project Aims            Study Area             Methods             Results             Overall Outcomes



 Flow at Glasshouse

                        60                                                                                    0


                        50
                                                                                                              100
                        40
        Flow (m sec )




                                                                                                                    Rainfall (mm)
               3   -1




                        30                                                                                    200
          Blah




                        20
                                                                                                              300
                        10


                         0                                                                                    400
                        0


                                  1


                                            1


                                                  1


                                                           1


                                                                   2


                                                                             2


                                                                                      2


                                                                                                2


                                                                                                          3
                        01


                               01


                                        01


                                                01


                                                         01


                                                                  01


                                                                        01


                                                                                      01


                                                                                            01


                                                                                                     01
                   /2


                             /2


                                      /2


                                                /2


                                                       /2


                                                                  /2


                                                                       /2


                                                                                 /2


                                                                                           /2


                                                                                                    /2
               12


                             03


                                    06


                                             09


                                                     12


                                                              03


                                                                       06


                                                                               09


                                                                                           12


                                                                                                 03                                 12 / 26
Background        Project Aims   Study Area   Methods   Results   Overall Outcomes



 Typical Median Nutrient Concentration Ranges



      Australia
      0.1 and 1 mg N L−1 (Richmond estuary, NSW)
      0.009 to 0.16 mg N L−1 (Rous River catchment, NSW)
      0.01 to 0.2 mg P L−1 (Richmon estuary, NSW)

      Northern Hemisphere
      3.4 to 5.4 mg N L−1 (Spain, UK)
      0.02 and 0.78 mg P L−1 (Germany)




                                                                             13 / 26
Background          Project Aims         Study Area            Methods               Results          Overall Outcomes



 Nutrients

      Ranges of nutrient concentrations measured at the Pumpshed and Glasshouse
                sampling sites from September 2011 to January 2013a .

      Sample Site         NO− -N
                             3                   NH+ -N
                                                    4                       tot. diss. N           tot. N
                        (mg N L−1 )            (mg N L−1 )                 (mg N L−1 )           (mg N L−1 )
      Pumpshed       0.02–0.16 (0.02)1     0.004–0.09 (0.04)1         0.29–1.75 (0.7)1         0.32–1.75 (0.7)1
      Glasshouse     0.02–0.3 (0.05)2       0.01–0.16 (0.05)1        0.19–1.54 (0.76)1         0.38–1.6 (0.73)2


                         Sample Site       PO3−
                                              4             tot. diss. P         tot. P
                                         (mg P L−1 )       (mg P L−1 )         (mg P L−1 )
                         Pumpshed        <0.1 (DL)     <0.009 (DL)                <0.02
                         Glasshouse      <0.1 (DL)     <0.009 (DL)                <0.02
                         a Median values in parantheses.

                           Numbers in superscript show significance in differences
                           between the two sampling sites.


                                                                                                                  14 / 26
Background       Project Aims   Study Area   Methods   Results   Overall Outcomes



 Flood 2013




        Marcus recovers ISCO sampler.

                                                                            15 / 26
Background                        Project Aims            Study Area         Methods          Results       Overall Outcomes



 Total N

                        2.0
                                                                                 Pumpshed
                        1.8
                                                                                 Glasshouse             300
                                                                                 Rainfall
                        1.6

                        1.4




                                                                                                              Rainfall (mm)
                   -1




                        1.2                                                                             200
             mg N L




                        1.0

                        0.8
                                                                                                        100
                        0.6

                        0.4

                        0.2                                                                             0
                           2




                                                                         2




                                                                                                 3
                                                   2




                                                                                 3
                         O c t1




                                                                  De c 1




                                                                                                Fe b1
                                                 No v 1




                                                                                Ja n1




                                                                                                                              16 / 26
Background                 Project Aims            Study Area         Methods          Results       Overall Outcomes



 Total P

                    0.30
                                                                          Pumpshed
                    0.25                                                  Glasshouse             300
                                                                          Rainfall

                    0.20




                                                                                                        Rainfall (mm)
                    0.15
               -1




                                                                                                 200
         mg P L




                    0.10


                    0.05                                                                         100


                    0.00


                                                                                                 0
                        2




                                                                  2




                                                                                           3
                                            2




                                                                           3
                      O c t1




                                                           De c 1




                                                                                         Fe b1
                                          No v 1




                                                                          Ja n1




                                                                                                                        17 / 26
Background   Project Aims         Study Area     Methods        Results   Overall Outcomes



 Catchment Hydrological Model
                                               Spatial and Climatic
                        Catchment               Information: Soil,
                     Hydrological Model        Land Use, Rainfall
                                                        etc.

                     Find Most Sensitive
                         Parameters


                      Model Calibration



                               Model
                            Performance
                             Indicators



                       Calibrated Model           Model Validation

                                                                                     18 / 26
Background          Project Aims   Study Area    Methods     Results     Overall Outcomes



 What is a hydrological model?



      • Water balance driving force of catchment processes
      • Real data such as climatic data, soil properties and land use as input
      • Continuously measured stream flow
      • Model simulates stream flow, nutrient and sediment transport
      • Degree of uncertainty in results unknown
             ⇒ Calibration and validation of simulated parameters to reduce un-
             certainty




                                                                                    19 / 26
Background      Project Aims   Study Area    Methods      Results      Overall Outcomes



 Model Selection


      The SWAT model
      • Soil and Water Assessment Tool developed by USDA
      • Applied worldwide for most climatic zones
      • Frequently updated (currently SWAT 2012)
      • Physically-based, semi-distributed and highly parameterised
      • Accounts for spatial variations in physical catchment properties
      • Simulates interaction between physical and climatic parameters
      • Incorporates shallow groundwater systems
      • Simulates water balance, and nutrient and sediment transport
        (HRUs)



                                                                                  20 / 26
Background      Project Aims   Study Area    Methods      Results      Overall Outcomes



 Model Selection


      The SWAT model
      • Soil and Water Assessment Tool developed by USDA
      • Applied worldwide for most climatic zones
      • Frequently updated (currently SWAT 2012)
      • Physically-based, semi-distributed and highly parameterised
      • Accounts for spatial variations in physical catchment properties
      • Simulates interaction between physical and climatic parameters
      • Incorporates shallow groundwater systems
      • Simulates water balance, and nutrient and sediment transport
        (HRUs)



                                                                                  20 / 26
Background      Project Aims   Study Area    Methods      Results      Overall Outcomes



 Model Selection


      The SWAT model
      • Soil and Water Assessment Tool developed by USDA
      • Applied worldwide for most climatic zones
      • Frequently updated (currently SWAT 2012)
      • Physically-based, semi-distributed and highly parameterised
      • Accounts for spatial variations in physical catchment properties
      • Simulates interaction between physical and climatic parameters
      • Incorporates shallow groundwater systems
      • Simulates water balance, and nutrient and sediment transport
        (HRUs)



                                                                                  20 / 26
Background           Project Aims            Study Area        Methods       Results             Overall Outcomes



 Approach – Model Selection
                                                      Precipitation


                                                                            Irrigation

     Typical
     Depths                Evapotranspiration

                                                                                           Soil Profile
                     Su                                                                  Soil Moisture
    2m            Root    rfa
                  Zone        ce                                          Lateral Flow
                                                                                         Redistribution
                               Ru
                                   no




             Revaporation
                                     ff




   25 m
                                    Return Flow                              Percolation from Shallow/
                                                           Transmission
                                                                             Recharge to Deep Aquifer
               Shallow Aquifer                             Losses


                Deep Aquifer                                               After Neitsch et al. (2005)
                                                                                                            21 / 26
Background         Project Aims         Study Area            Methods                  Results          Overall Outcomes



 Model Input – Land Use
                      152°50'0"E                 152°52'0"E                      152°54'0"E



                                                                         GH
                                                                         #
                                                                         *
                                                                                                           ¯




                                                                                                                   27°22'0"S
       27°22'0"S




                            Grazing
                            Intensive animal production
                            Residential
                                                              PS
                            Nature conservation
                                                              #
                                                              *




                                                                                                                   27°24'0"S
       27°24'0"S




                                                              0    0.5       1     2             3   4
                                                                                                      Kilometres

                                                                                                                               22 / 26
Background         Project Aims    Study Area            Methods                  Results          Overall Outcomes



 Model Input – Subcatchments
                      152°50'0"E            152°52'0"E                      152°54'0"E



                                                                    GH
                                                                    #
                                                                    *
                                                                                                      ¯




                                                                                                              27°22'0"S
       27°22'0"S




                                                         PS
                                                         #
                                                         *




                                                                                                              27°24'0"S
       27°24'0"S




                                                         0    0.5       1     2             3   4
                                                                                                 Kilometres

                                                                                                                          23 / 26
Background         Project Aims    Study Area            Methods                  Results          Overall Outcomes



 Model Input – Subcatchments
                      152°50'0"E            152°52'0"E                      152°54'0"E



                                                                    GH
                                                                    #
                                                                    *
                                                                                                      ¯




                                                                                                              27°22'0"S
       27°22'0"S




Model setup
• 21 subcatchments
• Multiple numbers of HRUs
                                                         PS
                                                         #
                                                         *




                                                                                                              27°24'0"S
       27°24'0"S




                                                         0    0.5       1     2             3   4
                                                                                                 Kilometres

                                                                                                                          23 / 26
Background          Project Aims   Study Area   Methods      Results       Overall Outcomes



 Example Catchment Model


                                                                       95 PPU
                                                                       Observed streamflow
                                                                       Best simulation




                                   3
   After Calibration
             R2 : 0.96
             EF: 0.95
             p-factor: 0.92
             r-factor: 1.25



                                                 Coochin Creek Catchment


                                                                                      24 / 26
Background          Project Aims   Study Area                Methods                 Results                         Overall Outcomes



 Example Catchment Model

                                                                                                         95 PPU
                                                                                                         Observed streamflow
                                                                                                         Best simulation




                                   3
   After Validation
             R2 : 0.84
             EF: 0.83
             p-factor: 0.79
             r-factor: 0.78
                                         01/2009


                                                   04/2009


                                                              07/2009


                                                                        10/2009


                                                                                  01/2010


                                                                                               04/2010


                                                                                                           07/2010


                                                                                                                          10/2010


                                                                                                                                        01/2011
                                                               Coochin Creek Catchment


                                                                                                                                    25 / 26
Background          Project Aims    Study Area        Methods   Results   Overall Outcomes




      Preliminary Outcomes
        • Physico-chemical indicators and nutrient concentrations show
           minimal anthropogenic disturbance at both sampling sites.
             • Effect of peri-urbanisation visible:
               ⇒ Significantly higher physico-chemical indicators at the more
               disturbed site
               ⇒ Significantly higher total N at the more distrubed site
               ⇒ Organic N dominant form of N

      Future Work
        • Sensitivity analysis and calibration of SWAT model
             • Validation of the SWAT model
             • Simulation of future land use change scenarios on catchment
               hydrology, and nutrient and sediment transport

                                                                                     26 / 26
Background          Project Aims    Study Area        Methods   Results   Overall Outcomes




      Preliminary Outcomes
        • Physico-chemical indicators and nutrient concentrations show
           minimal anthropogenic disturbance at both sampling sites.
             • Effect of peri-urbanisation visible:
               ⇒ Significantly higher physico-chemical indicators at the more
               disturbed site
               ⇒ Significantly higher total N at the more distrubed site
               ⇒ Organic N dominant form of N

      Future Work
        • Sensitivity analysis and calibration of SWAT model
             • Validation of the SWAT model
             • Simulation of future land use change scenarios on catchment
               hydrology, and nutrient and sediment transport

                                                                                     26 / 26
Acknowledgements




Andy Steven and Geoff Carlin, CSIRO
– Logan/Albert subnode of the Southeast
Queensland Peri-Urban Supersite

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Martin Labadz_Influence of land use change on the catchment water balance and nutrient cycle of subtropical ecosystems

  • 1. Southeast Queensland Peri-Urban Supersite Influence of land use change on the catchment water balance and nutrient cycle of subtropical ecosystems 2013 TERN National Symposium Martin Labadz 1 David Rowlings 1 Michelle Gane 1 Peter Grace 1 1 HealthyEcosystems and Environmental Monitoring IFE, Queensland University of Technology Brisbane, Australia 19 February 2013
  • 2. Outline 1 Background 2 Project Aims 3 Study Area 4 Methods 5 Results 6 Overall Outcomes Typical Landscape in the Samford Valley, QLD
  • 3. Background Project Aims Study Area Methods Results Overall Outcomes Peri-Urbanisation • Southeast Queensland fastest growing region in Australia • Land use change • Alteration of catchment water balance Cities Precipitation Industry • More nutrient input into Agriculture ecosystems Runoff Consequences ⇒ Algal blooms ⇒ Increase in runoff and Groundwater erosion ⇒ More polluted areas 1 / 26
  • 4. Background Project Aims Study Area Methods Results Overall Outcomes Peri-Urbanisation • Southeast Queensland fastest growing region in Australia • Land use change • Alteration of catchment water balance Cities Precipitation Industry • More nutrient input into Agriculture ecosystems Runoff Consequences ⇒ Algal blooms ⇒ Increase in runoff and Groundwater erosion ⇒ More polluted areas 1 / 26
  • 5. Background Project Aims Study Area Methods Results Overall Outcomes Project Aims 1 Determine baseline conditions of the surface water: Physico-chemical indicators and all inorganic and organic forms of nitrogen (N) and phosphorus (P) at an undisturbed site ⇒ Most studies in this area only focus on nitrate – limited information on other inorganic and organic N and P forms 2 Compare baseline conditions with physico-chemical properties and nutrient concentrations in the surface water of a more disturbed site. ⇒ Shows the effect of urbanisation 3 Develop a hydrological model for the catchment to simulate effects of future land use changes on catchment water balance, sediment and nutrient transport. 2 / 26
  • 6. Background Project Aims Study Area Methods Results Overall Outcomes Study Area – Catchment Location 152 0'0''E 153 0'0''E 154 0'0''E N Bris ba ne Bribie Island Ri 27 0'0''S ver Moreton Moreton Island Bay e th Pin Sou Samford Valley BRISBANE North Stradbroke r ive Island er R iv er Brem Lo n R South Stradbroke ga Island 28 0'0''S 0 25 50 100 Kilometres 3 / 26
  • 7. Background Project Aims Study Area Methods Results Overall Outcomes Study Area – Catchment Location 152 0'0''E 153 0'0''E 154 0'0''E Why Samford Valley? N Bris ⇒ Easily accessible: only 30 km ba ne from Brisbane Bribie Island Ri 27 0'0''S ver ⇒ Established resources network at Moreton Moreton Island Bay SERF e th Pin ⇒ Historically rural but: Sou Samford Valley ⇒ 50% increase in population BRISBANE North Stradbroke r ive Island er R (1996 to 2006) iv e r Brem Lo n R South Stradbroke ga Island 28 0'0''S 0 25 50 100 Kilometres 3 / 26
  • 8. Background Project Aims Study Area Methods Results Overall Outcomes Study Area – Catchment Location 152 0'0''E 153 0'0''E 154 0'0''E Climate (subtropical) N Bris • Mean min–max temperature ba ne range: 8 – 29 ◦ C Bribie Island Ri 27 0'0''S ver • Average annual rainfall: Moreton Moreton Island Bay 1060 mm e th Pin Sou • Average monthly rainfall: Samford Valley BRISBANE r North Stradbroke highest (December): ive Island er R r 150 mm iv e Brem Lo n R South Stradbroke lowest (July): ga Island 28 0'0''S 29 mm 0 25 50 100 Kilometres 3 / 26
  • 9. Background Project Aims Study Area Methods Results Overall Outcomes Topography 152°48'0"E 152°50'0"E 152°52'0"E 152°54'0"E ¯ GH # * 27°22'0"S 27°22'0"S High: 425 m ASL PS Low: 45 m ASL # * 27°24'0"S 27°24'0"S 0 0.5 1 2 3 4 Kilometres 4 / 26
  • 10. Background Project Aims Study Area Methods Results Overall Outcomes Study Approach – Sample Collection Effects of Peri- urbanisation on Catchment Hydrology Surface Water Sampling Physico-chemical Nutrients Parameters Spatial and Climatic Catchment Information: Soil, Hydrological Model Land Use, Rainfall etc. 5 / 26
  • 11. Background Project Aims Study Area Methods Results Overall Outcomes Surface Water Physico-chemistry • 2 sampling sites: Pumpshed and Glasshouse • Sampling started in January 2011 • Instrument: YSI Sonde • Parameters: Temperature, specific conductivity, pH, temperature, DO • High-resolution 10-minute data • Automated recording to Campbell logger Sampling setup at the Pumpshed site 6 / 26
  • 12. Background Project Aims Study Area Methods Results Overall Outcomes Surface Water Physico-chemistry • 2 sampling sites: Pumpshed and Glasshouse • Sampling started in January 2011 • Instrument: YSI Sonde • Parameters: Temperature, specific conductivity, pH, temperature, DO • High-resolution 10-minute data • Automated recording to Campbell logger Sampling setup at the Pumpshed site 6 / 26
  • 13. Background Project Aims Study Area Methods Results Overall Outcomes Surface Water Physico-chemistry • 2 sampling sites: Pumpshed and Glasshouse • Sampling started in January 2011 • Instrument: YSI Sonde • Parameters: Temperature, specific conductivity, pH, temperature, DO • High-resolution 10-minute data • Automated recording to Campbell logger Sampling setup at the Pumpshed site 6 / 26
  • 14. Background Project Aims Study Area Methods Results Overall Outcomes Surface Water Creek Discharge • 2 sampling sites: Pumpshed and Glasshouse • Sampling started in January 2011 • Instrument: Sontek Argonaut • Parameters: Water level, flow velocity, creek discharge (m3 s−1 ) • High-resolution 10-minute data • Automated recording to Backup: Pressure sensor Campbell logger 7 / 26
  • 15. Background Project Aims Study Area Methods Results Overall Outcomes Surface Water Sampling • Sampling fortnightly from September 2011 • Stormwater sampling with ISCO automated sampler Major Ions Cations: Na+ , K+ , Ca2+ , Mg2+ Anions: Cl− , SO2− 4 Nutrients • inorganic N (NO− , NH+ ), organic 3 4 N, tot dissolved N, total N Surface water sampling • PO3− , tot dissolved P, total P 4 8 / 26
  • 16. Background Project Aims Study Area Methods Results Overall Outcomes Results – Physico-chemical Indicators Ranges of physico-chemical values measured at the Pumpshed and Glasshouse sampling sites from January 2011 to January 2013a . Sample Site Temperature Sp. Conductivity pH Turbidity Diss. Oxygen (◦ C) (µS) (NTU)b (%Sat) Pumpshed 11.4–26.9 (19.8)1 111–799 (460)1 6.4–7.5 (7.2)1 0–616 (2.1)1 12–92 (77.1)2 Glasshouse 11.1–27.8 (20.5)2 111–904 (480)2 6.1–7.9 (7.1)1 0–710 (4.3)2 6–92 (76.3)1 a Median values in parantheses. b NTU=Nephelometric Turbidity Units Numbers in superscript show significance in differences between the two sampling sites. 9 / 26
  • 17. Background Project Aims Study Area Methods Results Overall Outcomes Results – Physico-chemical Indicators Temperature Conductivity pH 800 25 7.5 600 µS cm -1 20 °C 7.0 400 15 200 6.5 Turbidity Diss. Oxygen Location Pumpshed 600 80 Glasshouse 60 400 %Sat NTU 40 200 20 0 10 / 26
  • 18. Background Project Aims Study Area Methods Results Overall Outcomes Flow at Pumpshed 60 0 50 100 40 Flow (m sec ) Rainfall (mm) 3 -1 30 200 Blah 20 300 10 0 400 0 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 3 01 01 01 01 01 01 01 01 01 01 /2 /2 /2 /2 /2 /2 /2 /2 /2 /2 12 03 06 09 12 03 06 09 12 03 11 / 26
  • 19. Background Project Aims Study Area Methods Results Overall Outcomes Flow at Glasshouse 60 0 50 100 40 Flow (m sec ) Rainfall (mm) 3 -1 30 200 Blah 20 300 10 0 400 0 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 3 01 01 01 01 01 01 01 01 01 01 /2 /2 /2 /2 /2 /2 /2 /2 /2 /2 12 03 06 09 12 03 06 09 12 03 12 / 26
  • 20. Background Project Aims Study Area Methods Results Overall Outcomes Typical Median Nutrient Concentration Ranges Australia 0.1 and 1 mg N L−1 (Richmond estuary, NSW) 0.009 to 0.16 mg N L−1 (Rous River catchment, NSW) 0.01 to 0.2 mg P L−1 (Richmon estuary, NSW) Northern Hemisphere 3.4 to 5.4 mg N L−1 (Spain, UK) 0.02 and 0.78 mg P L−1 (Germany) 13 / 26
  • 21. Background Project Aims Study Area Methods Results Overall Outcomes Nutrients Ranges of nutrient concentrations measured at the Pumpshed and Glasshouse sampling sites from September 2011 to January 2013a . Sample Site NO− -N 3 NH+ -N 4 tot. diss. N tot. N (mg N L−1 ) (mg N L−1 ) (mg N L−1 ) (mg N L−1 ) Pumpshed 0.02–0.16 (0.02)1 0.004–0.09 (0.04)1 0.29–1.75 (0.7)1 0.32–1.75 (0.7)1 Glasshouse 0.02–0.3 (0.05)2 0.01–0.16 (0.05)1 0.19–1.54 (0.76)1 0.38–1.6 (0.73)2 Sample Site PO3− 4 tot. diss. P tot. P (mg P L−1 ) (mg P L−1 ) (mg P L−1 ) Pumpshed <0.1 (DL) <0.009 (DL) <0.02 Glasshouse <0.1 (DL) <0.009 (DL) <0.02 a Median values in parantheses. Numbers in superscript show significance in differences between the two sampling sites. 14 / 26
  • 22. Background Project Aims Study Area Methods Results Overall Outcomes Flood 2013 Marcus recovers ISCO sampler. 15 / 26
  • 23. Background Project Aims Study Area Methods Results Overall Outcomes Total N 2.0 Pumpshed 1.8 Glasshouse 300 Rainfall 1.6 1.4 Rainfall (mm) -1 1.2 200 mg N L 1.0 0.8 100 0.6 0.4 0.2 0 2 2 3 2 3 O c t1 De c 1 Fe b1 No v 1 Ja n1 16 / 26
  • 24. Background Project Aims Study Area Methods Results Overall Outcomes Total P 0.30 Pumpshed 0.25 Glasshouse 300 Rainfall 0.20 Rainfall (mm) 0.15 -1 200 mg P L 0.10 0.05 100 0.00 0 2 2 3 2 3 O c t1 De c 1 Fe b1 No v 1 Ja n1 17 / 26
  • 25. Background Project Aims Study Area Methods Results Overall Outcomes Catchment Hydrological Model Spatial and Climatic Catchment Information: Soil, Hydrological Model Land Use, Rainfall etc. Find Most Sensitive Parameters Model Calibration Model Performance Indicators Calibrated Model Model Validation 18 / 26
  • 26. Background Project Aims Study Area Methods Results Overall Outcomes What is a hydrological model? • Water balance driving force of catchment processes • Real data such as climatic data, soil properties and land use as input • Continuously measured stream flow • Model simulates stream flow, nutrient and sediment transport • Degree of uncertainty in results unknown ⇒ Calibration and validation of simulated parameters to reduce un- certainty 19 / 26
  • 27. Background Project Aims Study Area Methods Results Overall Outcomes Model Selection The SWAT model • Soil and Water Assessment Tool developed by USDA • Applied worldwide for most climatic zones • Frequently updated (currently SWAT 2012) • Physically-based, semi-distributed and highly parameterised • Accounts for spatial variations in physical catchment properties • Simulates interaction between physical and climatic parameters • Incorporates shallow groundwater systems • Simulates water balance, and nutrient and sediment transport (HRUs) 20 / 26
  • 28. Background Project Aims Study Area Methods Results Overall Outcomes Model Selection The SWAT model • Soil and Water Assessment Tool developed by USDA • Applied worldwide for most climatic zones • Frequently updated (currently SWAT 2012) • Physically-based, semi-distributed and highly parameterised • Accounts for spatial variations in physical catchment properties • Simulates interaction between physical and climatic parameters • Incorporates shallow groundwater systems • Simulates water balance, and nutrient and sediment transport (HRUs) 20 / 26
  • 29. Background Project Aims Study Area Methods Results Overall Outcomes Model Selection The SWAT model • Soil and Water Assessment Tool developed by USDA • Applied worldwide for most climatic zones • Frequently updated (currently SWAT 2012) • Physically-based, semi-distributed and highly parameterised • Accounts for spatial variations in physical catchment properties • Simulates interaction between physical and climatic parameters • Incorporates shallow groundwater systems • Simulates water balance, and nutrient and sediment transport (HRUs) 20 / 26
  • 30. Background Project Aims Study Area Methods Results Overall Outcomes Approach – Model Selection Precipitation Irrigation Typical Depths Evapotranspiration Soil Profile Su Soil Moisture 2m Root rfa Zone ce Lateral Flow Redistribution Ru no Revaporation ff 25 m Return Flow Percolation from Shallow/ Transmission Recharge to Deep Aquifer Shallow Aquifer Losses Deep Aquifer After Neitsch et al. (2005) 21 / 26
  • 31. Background Project Aims Study Area Methods Results Overall Outcomes Model Input – Land Use 152°50'0"E 152°52'0"E 152°54'0"E GH # * ¯ 27°22'0"S 27°22'0"S Grazing Intensive animal production Residential PS Nature conservation # * 27°24'0"S 27°24'0"S 0 0.5 1 2 3 4 Kilometres 22 / 26
  • 32. Background Project Aims Study Area Methods Results Overall Outcomes Model Input – Subcatchments 152°50'0"E 152°52'0"E 152°54'0"E GH # * ¯ 27°22'0"S 27°22'0"S PS # * 27°24'0"S 27°24'0"S 0 0.5 1 2 3 4 Kilometres 23 / 26
  • 33. Background Project Aims Study Area Methods Results Overall Outcomes Model Input – Subcatchments 152°50'0"E 152°52'0"E 152°54'0"E GH # * ¯ 27°22'0"S 27°22'0"S Model setup • 21 subcatchments • Multiple numbers of HRUs PS # * 27°24'0"S 27°24'0"S 0 0.5 1 2 3 4 Kilometres 23 / 26
  • 34. Background Project Aims Study Area Methods Results Overall Outcomes Example Catchment Model 95 PPU Observed streamflow Best simulation 3 After Calibration R2 : 0.96 EF: 0.95 p-factor: 0.92 r-factor: 1.25 Coochin Creek Catchment 24 / 26
  • 35. Background Project Aims Study Area Methods Results Overall Outcomes Example Catchment Model 95 PPU Observed streamflow Best simulation 3 After Validation R2 : 0.84 EF: 0.83 p-factor: 0.79 r-factor: 0.78 01/2009 04/2009 07/2009 10/2009 01/2010 04/2010 07/2010 10/2010 01/2011 Coochin Creek Catchment 25 / 26
  • 36. Background Project Aims Study Area Methods Results Overall Outcomes Preliminary Outcomes • Physico-chemical indicators and nutrient concentrations show minimal anthropogenic disturbance at both sampling sites. • Effect of peri-urbanisation visible: ⇒ Significantly higher physico-chemical indicators at the more disturbed site ⇒ Significantly higher total N at the more distrubed site ⇒ Organic N dominant form of N Future Work • Sensitivity analysis and calibration of SWAT model • Validation of the SWAT model • Simulation of future land use change scenarios on catchment hydrology, and nutrient and sediment transport 26 / 26
  • 37. Background Project Aims Study Area Methods Results Overall Outcomes Preliminary Outcomes • Physico-chemical indicators and nutrient concentrations show minimal anthropogenic disturbance at both sampling sites. • Effect of peri-urbanisation visible: ⇒ Significantly higher physico-chemical indicators at the more disturbed site ⇒ Significantly higher total N at the more distrubed site ⇒ Organic N dominant form of N Future Work • Sensitivity analysis and calibration of SWAT model • Validation of the SWAT model • Simulation of future land use change scenarios on catchment hydrology, and nutrient and sediment transport 26 / 26
  • 38. Acknowledgements Andy Steven and Geoff Carlin, CSIRO – Logan/Albert subnode of the Southeast Queensland Peri-Urban Supersite