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DAILY ANALYSIS REPORT MAY 19 2022
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19 May 2022
Daily Analysis Report
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analysis@tpglobalfx.com
Asian Bulle n: Aussie strengthens sharply a er employment change data, Asian stock markets in red, gold trades flat at $1,815 mark
Key Headlines:
• New Zealand PPI input q/q stands at 3.6 pct vs 1.2 pct previous release.
• New Zealand PPI output q/q stands at 2.6 pct vs 1.5 pct previous release.
• Japan Core Machinery Orders stands at 7.1 pct vs -9.8 pct previous release.
• Japan Trade Balance stands at -1.62T vs -1.02T previous release.
• Australia Employment Change stands at 4.0K vs 17.9K previous release.
• Australia Unemployment Rate stands at 3.9 pct vs 4.0 pct previous release.
• U.S. stock index futures edged lower on Wednesday following a sharp rally in megacap growth stocks in the previous session that fizzled out on fears of aggressive monetary policy
ghtening and slowing economic growth – Reuters.
• A rebound in stocks ran out of steam on Wednesday as concerns about the economic growth outlook and rising infla on knocked sen ment, while a UK infla on reading of 9%
underlined just how much higher interest rates might be headed – Reuters.
• Nearly 700 more Ukrainian fighters surrendered at the Mariupol steelworks in the past 24 hours, Russia said, but leaders were reported to s ll be holed up inside, delaying the final
end of Europe's longest and bloodiest ba le for decades – Reuters.
• Finland and Sweden meanwhile formally applied to join NATO – Reuters.
• Peace nego a ons between Russia and Ukraine have stagnated, officials said, with both sides trading blame and Moscow indica ng a return to talks may be difficult – Reuters.
• Mozambique on Wednesday declared a polio outbreak a er the virus was detected in a child living in the northeastern Tete region, the first case of the poliovirus in the country in
almost three decades, the World Health Organisa on (WHO) said – Reuters.
• U.S. Health and Human Services Secretary Xavier Becerra tested posi ve for COVID-19 on Wednesday while on a trip to Berlin ahead of G7 mee ngs of health ministers, a
spokesperson said – Reuters.
• COVID-19 is on the rise again in the Americas as many countries have abandoned measures like masking and social distancing and many lag in vaccina on rates, the Pan American
Health Organiza on (PAHO) said on Wednesday – Reuters.
Key Economic Indicators Ahead:
• (0800 GMT/1330 IST) Euro Current Account, previous 20.8B, expected 20.3B.
• (1000 GMT/1530 IST) U.K. CBI Industrial order Expecta ons, previous 14, expected 11.
• (1230 GMT/1800 IST) Canada IPPI m/m, previous 4.0, expected 3.7.
• (1230 GMT/1800 IST) Canada NHPI, previous 1.2, expected 1.0.
• (1230 GMT/1800 IST) U.S. Philly Fed manufacturing Index, previous 17.6, expected 14.9.
• (1230 GMT/1900 IST) U.S. Unemployment Claims weekly, previous 203K, expected 200K.
• (1400 GMT/1930 IST) U.S. Exis ng Home Sales, previous 5.77M, expected 5.65M.
Economic Events Ahead:
• All Day – G7 Mee ngs Day – 02.
• (1130 GMT/1700 IST) ECB Monetary Policy Mee ng Accounts.
3. AUD / USD
BUY SELL
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Technical Summary
Trend Up Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Above MA
H 1
RSI (Period=26) Above RSI LEVEL 50
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
0.7022
R2 S2
0.7040
R3 S3
0.7076
R4
Commentary
S4
0.7099
Buy Above 0.7021
0.7050
0.6991
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 0.6992
0.6965
0.7015
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
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-
Time Frame: H1
AUD/USD: The Aussie strengthens sharply after Australia’s Employment Change data. The data
came with negative numbers even though Aussie rises sharply against major peers as
unemployment rate came down. Today pair made intraday high at $0.7016 and low at $0.6951 mark.
A day chart and H1 chart with triple EMA suggest down trend for the time being. A sustained close
above $0.7022 on H1 chart requires for the upside rally. Alternatively, a consistent close below
$0.6950 will check further supports.
0.6950
0.6926
0.6902
0.6872
MAY,
2022
4. BUY SELL
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Technical Summary H 1
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
1.0512
R2 S2
1.0555
R3 S3
1.0582
R4
Commentary
S4
1.0618
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-
Time Frame: H1
EUR/USD: The euro enjoys roller coaster movement ahead of ECB’s Monetary Policy Meeting
Accounts and trading around $1.0500 mark. The pair made intraday high at $1.0506 and low at
$1.0460 mark. Today triple EMA on a day chart is down and H1 chart suggests up trend for the time
being. A consistent close above $1.0512 on H1 chart requires for the upside rally. Alternatively, a
sustained close below $1.0470 on H1 chart will check further supports.
EUR / USD
1.0470
1.0428
1.0412
1.0398
Buy Above 1.0512
1.0540
1.0480
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 1.0470
1.0440
1.0498
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Trends Up Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Above MA
RSI (Period=26) Above RSI LEVEL 50
MAY,
2022
5. BUY SELL
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Technical Summary
H 1
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
1.2418
R2 S2
1.2438
R3 S3
1.2462
R4
Commentary
S4
1.2485
Buy Above 1.2405
1.2438
1.2371
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 1.2355
1.2315
1.2381
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
+1 7754 366 970
analysis@tpglobalfx.com
-
Time Frame: H1
GBP/USD: The sterling spiked down sharply in previous session after U.K.’s strong CPI results.
Today pair made intraday high at $1.2395 and low at $1.2334 mark. A day chart and H1 chart with
triple EMA suggest down trend for the time being. A sustained close above $1.2418 on H1 chart will
check key resistances.Alternatively, a consistent close below $1.2350 will check further supports.
USD
1.2350
1.2315
1.2300
1.2280
GBP/
Trends Up Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Above MA
RSI (Period=26) Above RSI LEVEL 50
MAY,
2022
6. BUY SELL
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Technical Summary
Trends Down Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Below MA
H 1
RSI (Period=26) Below RSI LEVEL 50
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
1.2850
R2 S2
1.2872
R3 S3
1.2899
R4
Commentary
S4
1.2918
Buy Above 1.2851
1.2880
1.2822
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 1.2802
1.2770
1.2830
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
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analysis@tpglobalfx.com
-
Time Frame: H1
USD/CAD: The CAD remained highly volatile after higher than expected inflation reading. Today the
pair made intraday high at 1.2891 and low at 1.2818 mark. Today a day chart is up and H1 chart with
triple EMA suggests down trend for the time being. A sustained close above 1.2850 on H1 chart
requires for the upside rally. Alternatively, a consistent close below 1.2802 on H1 chart will check key
supports too.
USD /CAD
1.2790
1.2754
1.2722
1.2701
MAY,
2022
7. BUY SELL
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Technical Summary
Trend Up Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Above MA
H 1
RSI (Period=26) Above RSI LEVEL 50
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
128.89
R2 S2
129.96
R3 S3
129.50
R4
Commentary
S4
129.78
Buy Above 128.92
129.30
128.55
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 128.40
128.10
128.75
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
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analysis@tpglobalfx.com
-
Time Frame: H1
USD/JPY: The Japanese yen falls during earlyAsian hours after mixed economic results and remains
well supported above 128.50 mark. The pair made intraday high at 128.86 and low at 127.89 mark.
The triple EMA on a day chart is up and H1 chart suggests down trend for the time being. A sustained
close above 128.89 on H1 chart requires for the upside rally. Alternatively, a consistent close below
127.92 on H1 chart will check further key supports.
USD /JPY
127.89
127.50
127.22
127.01
MAY,
2022
8. BUY SELL
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Technical Summary
Trend Down Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Below MA
H 1
RSI (Period=26) Below RSI LEVEL 50
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
1818
R2 S2
1824
R3 S3
1828
R4
Commentary
S4
1832
Buy Above 1818
1824
1812
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 1812
1806
1819
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
+1 7754 366 970
analysis@tpglobalfx.com
-
Time Frame: H1
XAU/USD (GOLD): Gold trades almost flat on Thursday and consolidates around $1,815 mark. Today
pair made intraday high at $1,817 and low at $1,813 mark. A day chart and H1 chart with triple EMA
suggest down trend for the time being. A sustained close above $1,818 on H1 chart requires for the
upside rally. Alternatively, a consistent close below $1,811 on H1 chart will test further supports. U.S.
Philly Fed Manufacturing Index data will remain in focus.
XAU [GOLD]
USD
/
1811
1806
1801
1794
MAY,
2022
9. Thank
you!
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