The document is a daily analysis report from TPGlobalFX providing an overview of economic data and trends in major currency pairs and commodities. Key points from Asian markets include a lower than expected Australia manufacturing index, higher than expected Japan manufacturing indexes, and higher South Korea trade balance. Upcoming economic data is listed from various countries along with analysis and trading recommendations for currency pairs and gold based on technical indicators. Major pairs such as AUD/USD, EUR/USD and GBP/USD are trending up while USD/JPY is trending down. Gold is trending up and supported above $1,890. Detailed technical analysis and trading signals are provided for several currency pairs and commodities on an hourly timeframe.
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Asian Bulle n: U.S. dollar falls no ceably against major peers ahead of final manufacturing PMI data; Asian stock markets in green; gold hovers around $1,890 mark
Asian Headlines:
• Australia AIG manufacturing index stands at 46.7 vs 49.3 previous release.
• Japan Tankan manufacturing index stands at -27 vs -34 previous release (expected -23).
• Japan Tankan non - manufacturing index stands at -12 vs -17 previous release (expected -9).
• Japan final manufacturing PMI stands at 47.7 vs 47.3 previous release (expected 47.3).
• South Korea trade balance stands at 8.88B vs 3.84B previous release.
• Singapore URA property index remains unchanged at 0.80 pct.
Economic Data Ahead:
• (0230 ET/0630 GMT) Swiss CPI, previous 0.0, expected 0.0.
• (0230 ET/0630 GMT) Swiss retail sales, previous 4.1, expected 4.5.
• (0315 ET/0715 GMT) Spain Manufacturing PMI, previous 49.9, expected 50.5.
• (0330 ET/0730 GMT) Swiss manufacturing PMI, previous 51.8, expected 53.4.
• (0345 ET/0745 GMT) Italy manufacturing PMI, previous 53.1, expected 53.6.
• (0350 ET/0750 GMT) France Final manufacturing PMI, previous 50.9, expected 50.9.
• (0355 ET/0755 GMT) German final manufacturing PMI, previous 56.6, expected 56.6.
• (0400 ET/0800 GMT) Euro final manufacturing PMI, previous 53.7, expected 53.7.
• (0400 ET/0800 GMT) Italy unemployment rate, previous 9.7, expected 10.2.
• (0430 ET/0830 GMT) U.K. final manufacturing PMI, previous 54.3, expected 54.3.
• (0500 ET/0900 GMT) Euro PPI, previous 0.6, expected 0.2.
• (0500 ET/0900 GMT) Euro unemployment rate, previous 7.9, expected 8.1.
• (0830 ET/1230 GMT) U.S. personal income, previous 0.4, expected -2.0.
• (0830 ET/1230 GMT) U.S. personal spending, previous 1.9, expected 0.7.
• (0930 ET/1330 GMT) Canada manufacturing PMI, previous 55.1.
• (0945 ET/1345 GMT) U.S. final manufacturing PMI, previous 53.5, expected 53.5.
• (1000 ET/1400 GMT) U.S. ISM manufacturing PMI, previous 56.0, expected 56.0.
Economic Events Ahead:
• (0620 ET/1020 GMT) U.K. MPC member Haldane’s speech.
• (1100 ET/1500 GMT) FOMC member Williams’s speech.
• (1500 ET/1900 GMT) FOMC member Bowman’s speech.
Major FX Pair Trend:
USD: The U.S. dollar index that tracks the greenback against a basket of other currencies inched down 0.19% to 93.71 points.
USD/JPY: The Japanese yen trades marginally lower despite strong manufacturing PMI data. A sustained close above 105.61 will take the parity higher towards key
resistance around 105.90, 106.22, 106.92, 107.48, 107.92, 108.22, 108.54, 109.20 and 109.72 mark respec vely. On the other side, a consistent close below 105.38 will
drag the parity down towards 104.92, 104.55, 104.20, 103.50 and 102.98 marks respec vely.
AUD/USD: The Aussie rises sharply against U.S. dollar despite lower than previous AIG manufacturing Index data. The pair made intraday high at $0.7183 and low at
$0.7154 marks. On the top side key resistances are seen at $0.7176, $0.7222, $0.7290, $0.7340, $0.7370, $0.7422, $0.7462 and $0.7502 mark respec vely. On the other
hand, a consistent close below $0.7160 will take the parity down towards key supports around $0.7120, $0.7090, $0.7068, $0.7002, $0.6969, $0.6922, $0.6861, $0.6833
and $0.6799 mark respec vely.
NZD/USD: The kiwi strengthens and remains well supported above $0.66 mark in opening hours. Pair made intraday high at $0.6633 and low at $0.6607 mark. Key
resistances are seen at $0.6630, $0.6667, $0.6749, $0.6789, $0.6824, $0.6867 and $0.6910 mark respec vely. Alterna vely, a consistent close below $0.6612 will drag
the parity down towards key supports around $0.6540, $0.6499, $0.6476, $0.6420, $0.6380, $0.6356, $0.6289, $0.6240 mark respec vely.
USD/INR: The Indian rupee trades almost flat and hovers around 73.50 mark. The pair made intraday high at 73.55 and low at 73.47 mark. A sustained close below 73.02
marks will drag the parity down towards 72.88, 72.65, 72.40 and 72.12 mark respec vely. On the top side key resistances are seen at 73.76, 74.10, 74.37, 74.70, 75.02,
75.20 and 75.39 marks respec vely.
EUR/USD: The euro moves in rigid boundaries ahead of manufacturing PMI data. The pair made intraday high at $1.1747 and low at $1.1716 mark. A sustained close
above $1.1742 tests key resistances at $1.1770, $1.1837, $1.1936, $1.1975, $1.2022, $1.2047, $1.2082 and $1.2120 mark respec vely. On the other side, a sustained
close below $1.1719 will target key supports around $1.1690, $1.1660, $1.1590, $1.1540 and $1.1526 marks respec vely.
GBP/USD: The pound trades marginally higher on Thursday and touches $1.2941 mark in early Asia. A sustained close above $1.2911 will drag the parity up towards
$1.2966, $1.3002, $1.3070 and $1.3102 mark respec vely. Key support levels are seen at $1.2854, $1.2822, $1.2752, $1.2723, $1.2675, $1.2632, $1.2602 and $1.2570
mark respec vely.
Commodity Trend:
XAU/USD (GOLD): Gold trades slightly up but remains well supported below $1,900 mark. Today pair made intraday high at $1,894 and low at $1,884 mark. A sustained
close above $1,897 requires for the upside rally. On the other side, consistent close below $1,885 will check key supports as well. Key support levels are seen around
$1,876, $1,862, $1,854, $1,849, $1,840, $1,822, $1,809 and $1,787 mark respec vely. Key resistances are seen at $1,899, $1,912, $1,922, $1,932, $1,940, $1,947, $1,957
and $1,972 marks respec vely.
XAG/USD (Silver): Silver starts a new day on posi ve note. Today pair made intraday high at $23.65 and low at $23.22 mark. A sustained close above $29.13 requires for
upside rally. Key support levels are seen at $22.77, $22.40, $22.12, $21.90, $21.68, $21.22, $20.50 and $20.02 marks respec vely. Key resistances are seen at $23.72,
$23.90, $24.17, $24.40, $24.76 and $25.53 marks respec vely.
3. AUD / USD
REPORTFROM:TPGLOBALFXOCTOBER,2020
Time Frame: H1
INDICATORS
Trends Up Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Above MA
H 1
RIS (Period=26) Above RIS LEVEL 50
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 0.71743 S1 0.71169
Buy Above 0.72142
0.72327
0.71296
0.71296
0.71061
0.72142
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Sell Below
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
R2 0.71920 S2 0.70992
R3 0.72207 S3 0.70705
R4 0.72671 S4 0.70241
Conclusion
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0.71456
4. EUR / USD
REPORTFROM:TPGLOBALFX
Time Frame: H1
INDICATORS
Trends Up Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Above MA
H 1
RIS (Period=26) Above RIS LEVEL 50
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 1.17464 S1 1.16926
Buy Above 1.17604
1.17889
1.16823
1.16823
1.16619
1.17604
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Sell Below
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
R2 1.17629 S2 1.16761
R3 1.17890 S3 1.16492
R4 1.18332 S4 1.16058
Conclusion
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1.17195
OCTOBER,2020
5. GBP / USD
REPORTFROM:TPGLOBALFX
Time Frame: H1
INDICATORS
Trends Up Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Above MA
H 1
RIS (Period=26) Above RIS LEVEL 50
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 1.29423 S1 1.28377
Buy Above 1.29641
1.29956
1.28583
1.28583
1.28166
1.29641
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Sell Below
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
R2 1.29745 S2 1.28055
R3 1.30268 S3 1.27532
R4 1.31113 S4 1.26687
Conclusion
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analysis@tpglobalfx.com
1.28900
OCTOBER,2020
6. USD /CAD
REPORTFROM:TPGLOBALFX
Time Frame: H1
INDICATORS H 1
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 1.33926 S1 1.33020
Buy Above 1.33633
1.33842
1.32670
1.32670
1.32382
1.33633
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Sell Below
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
R2 1.34207 S2 1.32739
R3 1.34660 S3 1.32286
R4 1.35394 S4 1.31552
Conclusion
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1.33473
Trend Down Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Below MA
RIS (Period=26) Below RIS LEVEL 50
OCTOBER,2020
7. USD /JPY
REPORTFROM:TPGLOBALFX
Time Frame: H1
INDICATORS H 1
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 105.698 S1 105.390
Buy Above 105.822
105.930
105.267
105.267
105.118
105.822
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Sell Below
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
R2 105.792 S2 105.296
R3 105.946 S3 105.142
R4 106.194 S4 104.894
Conclusion
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105.544
Trends Down Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Below MA
RIS (Period=26) Below RIS LEVEL 50
OCTOBER,2020
8. XAU / [GOLD]USD
REPORTFROM:TPGLOBALFX
Time Frame: H1
INDICATORS H 1
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 1897.56 S1 1881.60
Buy Above 1901.40
1906.67
1879.29
1879.29
1874.62
1901.40
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Sell Below
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
R2 1902.49 S2 1876.67
R3 1910.47 S3 1868.69
R4 S4 1855.78
Conclusion
+1 7754 366 970
analysis@tpglobalfx.com
1889.58
Trends Up Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Above MA
RIS (Period=26) Above RIS LEVEL 50
1923.38
OCTOBER,2020
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you!
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