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Workshop
CERI, UCD, Dublin
Wednesday 29th August 2018
Federico Perrotta, Tony Parry, Luis C. Neves,
Mohammad Mesgarpour, Emma Benbow & Helen Viner
A big data approach for
investigating the performance
of road infrastructure
Introduction
In UK, the road infrastructure is
the most extensive and valuable
asset (House of Commons, 2011):
 ~ 295,000 km;
 ~ £344 billion;
 ~ £4 million per year for
maintenance and repair.
“Ensuring a good state of the road infrastructure is critical for our economy and
society.” - European Parliament, 2014
“However, roads do not fall on the head of anyone.” - G. Tebaldi, 2013 -
and for this reason (?) we do not care much about performing
maintenance on roads.
Introduction
Due to underinvestment:
Which:
 Reduces safety
(increasing risk of
accidents);
 Increases vehicle repair
costs;
 Increases vehicle fuel
consumption (and thus
GHG emissions).
That is not sustainable!!!
Introduction
Do poor conditions of the road infrastructure really affect
vehicular fuel consumption?
How much?
5% ? £££(E. Beuving et al. 2004)
In consideration of large fleets or the whole daily traffic in
UK (or worldwide) that corresponds to millions.
Previous studies
 Experimental approach;
 Limited number of vehicles;
 Selected road segments;
 Under controlled conditions (e.g. const. speed);
 Do the results represent real driving?
?
Big Data
SAE J1939
HAPMS
First phase
 M18 (~ 80 km);
 260 trucks;
 1420 records;
 1 week in October 2016;
 Constant speed;
 56 measured variables.
 Data about trucks come from
Microlise Ltd;
 Data about road surface
conditions come from Highways
England (provided by TRL).
Initial results
FC = 62.42 + 0.00024 GVW + 14.84 g% – 0.57 s + 0.26 LPV10 + 0.87 SMTD
RMSE MAE R2
7.80 5.55 0.68
5 out of 56 variables selected
Using:
 p-values;
 Adjusted-R2;
 AIC
 and LASSO.
Second phase
 Data about trucks come from
Microlise Ltd;
 Data about road surface
conditions come from Highways
England (provided by TRL).
 M1 and M18 (~ 300 km);
 1110 trucks;
 14,281 records;
 2 weeks in October 2016;
 Constant speed;
 56 measured variables.
Machine learning
Model RMSE MAE R2
Linear reg. 6.02 4.42 0.76
ANN 4.88 3.46 0.85
14 out of 56 variables
are considered
Parametric analysis
 Fuel consumption increases
with GVW: reasonable but
not linear…
 Fuel consumption increases
with road gradient: but it
doesn’t if we go downhill…
 Fuel consumption increases
if the engine works at high
revolutions: that tells us
about the effect of driver
behaviour;
 Fuel consumption increases
with poor road conditions: in
line with what found by
previous studies but…
Conclusions
 Results show great potential for the Big Data approach to be used in Civil
Engineering applications;
 In the first phase of the study the impact of road surface characteristics on
vehicle fuel consumption has been estimated to be up to 4% which is in line
with results of previous studies and gave us confidence in the use of the
data available;
 In the second phase of the study it was seen that ANNs can outperform
traditional methods to estimate the impact of road surface characteristics on
vehicle fuel consumption reliably;
 The study shows also that machine learning techniques are not just black
boxes as there are methods to interpret this type of models which can give
sometimes more accurate results;
 Currently, we are in a third phase of the study in which validation of results
(for a wider range of vehicles, including weather conditions and analysis of a
road characteristics representative of the whole infrastructure in UK) will
improve applicability of the study.
The TRUSS ITN project (http://trussitn.eu) has received funding from the
European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under the
Marie Skłodowska-Curie grant agreement No. 642453
Thanks for your attention
Federico.Perrotta1@nottingham.ac.uk
Tony.Parry@nottingham.ac.uk
Luis.Neves@nottingham.ac.uk
For further information, please, do not hesitate to contact us directly:
Or visit: https://esr13truss.blogspot.com

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"A big data approach for investigating the performance of road infrastructure" presented at CERI2018 by Federico Perrotta

  • 2. Federico Perrotta, Tony Parry, Luis C. Neves, Mohammad Mesgarpour, Emma Benbow & Helen Viner A big data approach for investigating the performance of road infrastructure
  • 3. Introduction In UK, the road infrastructure is the most extensive and valuable asset (House of Commons, 2011):  ~ 295,000 km;  ~ £344 billion;  ~ £4 million per year for maintenance and repair. “Ensuring a good state of the road infrastructure is critical for our economy and society.” - European Parliament, 2014 “However, roads do not fall on the head of anyone.” - G. Tebaldi, 2013 - and for this reason (?) we do not care much about performing maintenance on roads.
  • 4. Introduction Due to underinvestment: Which:  Reduces safety (increasing risk of accidents);  Increases vehicle repair costs;  Increases vehicle fuel consumption (and thus GHG emissions). That is not sustainable!!!
  • 5. Introduction Do poor conditions of the road infrastructure really affect vehicular fuel consumption? How much? 5% ? £££(E. Beuving et al. 2004) In consideration of large fleets or the whole daily traffic in UK (or worldwide) that corresponds to millions.
  • 6. Previous studies  Experimental approach;  Limited number of vehicles;  Selected road segments;  Under controlled conditions (e.g. const. speed);  Do the results represent real driving? ?
  • 8. First phase  M18 (~ 80 km);  260 trucks;  1420 records;  1 week in October 2016;  Constant speed;  56 measured variables.  Data about trucks come from Microlise Ltd;  Data about road surface conditions come from Highways England (provided by TRL).
  • 9. Initial results FC = 62.42 + 0.00024 GVW + 14.84 g% – 0.57 s + 0.26 LPV10 + 0.87 SMTD RMSE MAE R2 7.80 5.55 0.68 5 out of 56 variables selected Using:  p-values;  Adjusted-R2;  AIC  and LASSO.
  • 10. Second phase  Data about trucks come from Microlise Ltd;  Data about road surface conditions come from Highways England (provided by TRL).  M1 and M18 (~ 300 km);  1110 trucks;  14,281 records;  2 weeks in October 2016;  Constant speed;  56 measured variables.
  • 11. Machine learning Model RMSE MAE R2 Linear reg. 6.02 4.42 0.76 ANN 4.88 3.46 0.85 14 out of 56 variables are considered
  • 12. Parametric analysis  Fuel consumption increases with GVW: reasonable but not linear…  Fuel consumption increases with road gradient: but it doesn’t if we go downhill…  Fuel consumption increases if the engine works at high revolutions: that tells us about the effect of driver behaviour;  Fuel consumption increases with poor road conditions: in line with what found by previous studies but…
  • 13. Conclusions  Results show great potential for the Big Data approach to be used in Civil Engineering applications;  In the first phase of the study the impact of road surface characteristics on vehicle fuel consumption has been estimated to be up to 4% which is in line with results of previous studies and gave us confidence in the use of the data available;  In the second phase of the study it was seen that ANNs can outperform traditional methods to estimate the impact of road surface characteristics on vehicle fuel consumption reliably;  The study shows also that machine learning techniques are not just black boxes as there are methods to interpret this type of models which can give sometimes more accurate results;  Currently, we are in a third phase of the study in which validation of results (for a wider range of vehicles, including weather conditions and analysis of a road characteristics representative of the whole infrastructure in UK) will improve applicability of the study.
  • 14. The TRUSS ITN project (http://trussitn.eu) has received funding from the European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under the Marie Skłodowska-Curie grant agreement No. 642453 Thanks for your attention Federico.Perrotta1@nottingham.ac.uk Tony.Parry@nottingham.ac.uk Luis.Neves@nottingham.ac.uk For further information, please, do not hesitate to contact us directly: Or visit: https://esr13truss.blogspot.com