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Sustaining the Solar Industry’s
     Tremendous Growth

             Andrea Luecke
     andrea.luecke@solarfound.org
      www.TheSolarFoundation.org
     NDN/New Policy Institute Panel
             June 27, 2011
PV Capacity Up 73% Since 2000!
                                                   Solar Electric Installations, 2000-2010
                      1,200


                      1,000
    Megawattas (MW)




                       800
                                                                                     CAGR: 73%
                       600                                                                                            CSP
                                                                                                                      PV
                       400


                       200                  CAGR: 82%


                         -
                              2000   2001   2002      2003    2004    2005    2006      2007     2008   2009   2010

   $6B Industry with 300%
   Revenue Growth in Four Years

Source: SEIA/GTM Research – U.S. Solar Market Insight 2010 Year in Review
Not Just in California Anymore…
          956 MW Installed in 2010 (PV & CSP)                                  2,593 MW Cumulative through 2010
                                                                                         (PV & CSP)
                   All Others: 14%
                                                                               North Carolina: All Others: 10%
                                                                     New Mexico:     2%
         Texas: 2%                                   California: 27%
                                                                         2%
 North Carolina:                                                    Pennsylvania:
       3%                                                               2%

                                                                         New York: 2%
New Mexico: 5%
                                                                     Arizona: 4%
  Pennsylvania:
                                                                    Colorado: 4%
      5%
                                                                                                                 California: 51%
                                                                         Florida: 6%
     Colorado: 6%
                                                       New Jersey: 14%

            Arizona: 6%                                                     Nevada: 6%

                       Nevada: 6%
                                      Florida: 12%
                                                                                        New Jersey:
                                                                                           11%




 Source: SEIA/GTM Research – U.S. Solar Market Insight 2010 Year in Review
Cost of Installing PV is Rapidly Decreasing


National Weighted                                                             SunShot Goal = $1/Watt
 Average System                                                               ($0.06 kWh) by 2020
   Prices 2010




  Source: SEIA/GTM Research – U.S. Solar Market Insight 2010 Year in Review
U.S. Solar Jobs Growing at 26%
               Estimated Jobs in Top 20 States as Percent of Total Solar Jobs




                                   Manufacturing Subsector Creating Jobs at 36%


Source: The Solar Foundation’s National Solar Jobs Census 2010
U.S. Net Exports Total $723m in 2009




Source: GTM Research, International Trade Commission
Playing Defense:
            Stabilize Market Conditions
• Political Attacks on Solar Programs (i.e. DOE Loan Guarantee
  Program, CA – Prop 23, PA – legislation to reduce RPS requirements, WI-
  legislation proposing to fulfill RPS from Canadian hydropower, PACE)
• Program Cancellation/Unplanned Incentive Reductions
  (i.e. AZ - Salt River Project & Arizona Public Service Co., CO – Xcel & Black Hills
  Energy, WI- WE Energies)
• Expiring/Sunsetting Incentives (i.e. 1603 Treasury Program, rebate
  programs in Ohio and Massachusetts)
• Program Maturity (i.e. CA – Commercial CSI programs reaching
  budgetary caps, PA – SREC capacities being reached)
Playing Defense:
   More Public Education is Needed
• Combat misperception that green jobs don’t exist
  through highest quality research
• Combat multi-million dollar misinformation campaigns
  through myth-busting workshops for local gov’ts
   – Example: ACCCE spends ~$40M/year on ads promoting “clean coal” and
     demoting renewables
   – Example: Oil and gas companies spent ~$154M on lobbying in 2009
     (which is 10x the amount spent on lobbying for renewables)
• Combat pay-for-play school curricula from coal, oil and
  gas companies with more balanced energy education
   – Example: ACF spent $300k to develop coal biased lesson plans in 2009
Thank You!




        Andrea Luecke
  Acting Executive Director
andrea.luecke@solarfound.org
www.TheSolarFoundation.org

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Sustaining the Solar Industry’s Tremendous Growth

  • 1. Sustaining the Solar Industry’s Tremendous Growth Andrea Luecke andrea.luecke@solarfound.org www.TheSolarFoundation.org NDN/New Policy Institute Panel June 27, 2011
  • 2. PV Capacity Up 73% Since 2000! Solar Electric Installations, 2000-2010 1,200 1,000 Megawattas (MW) 800 CAGR: 73% 600 CSP PV 400 200 CAGR: 82% - 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 $6B Industry with 300% Revenue Growth in Four Years Source: SEIA/GTM Research – U.S. Solar Market Insight 2010 Year in Review
  • 3. Not Just in California Anymore… 956 MW Installed in 2010 (PV & CSP) 2,593 MW Cumulative through 2010 (PV & CSP) All Others: 14% North Carolina: All Others: 10% New Mexico: 2% Texas: 2% California: 27% 2% North Carolina: Pennsylvania: 3% 2% New York: 2% New Mexico: 5% Arizona: 4% Pennsylvania: Colorado: 4% 5% California: 51% Florida: 6% Colorado: 6% New Jersey: 14% Arizona: 6% Nevada: 6% Nevada: 6% Florida: 12% New Jersey: 11% Source: SEIA/GTM Research – U.S. Solar Market Insight 2010 Year in Review
  • 4. Cost of Installing PV is Rapidly Decreasing National Weighted SunShot Goal = $1/Watt Average System ($0.06 kWh) by 2020 Prices 2010 Source: SEIA/GTM Research – U.S. Solar Market Insight 2010 Year in Review
  • 5. U.S. Solar Jobs Growing at 26% Estimated Jobs in Top 20 States as Percent of Total Solar Jobs Manufacturing Subsector Creating Jobs at 36% Source: The Solar Foundation’s National Solar Jobs Census 2010
  • 6. U.S. Net Exports Total $723m in 2009 Source: GTM Research, International Trade Commission
  • 7. Playing Defense: Stabilize Market Conditions • Political Attacks on Solar Programs (i.e. DOE Loan Guarantee Program, CA – Prop 23, PA – legislation to reduce RPS requirements, WI- legislation proposing to fulfill RPS from Canadian hydropower, PACE) • Program Cancellation/Unplanned Incentive Reductions (i.e. AZ - Salt River Project & Arizona Public Service Co., CO – Xcel & Black Hills Energy, WI- WE Energies) • Expiring/Sunsetting Incentives (i.e. 1603 Treasury Program, rebate programs in Ohio and Massachusetts) • Program Maturity (i.e. CA – Commercial CSI programs reaching budgetary caps, PA – SREC capacities being reached)
  • 8. Playing Defense: More Public Education is Needed • Combat misperception that green jobs don’t exist through highest quality research • Combat multi-million dollar misinformation campaigns through myth-busting workshops for local gov’ts – Example: ACCCE spends ~$40M/year on ads promoting “clean coal” and demoting renewables – Example: Oil and gas companies spent ~$154M on lobbying in 2009 (which is 10x the amount spent on lobbying for renewables) • Combat pay-for-play school curricula from coal, oil and gas companies with more balanced energy education – Example: ACF spent $300k to develop coal biased lesson plans in 2009
  • 9. Thank You! Andrea Luecke Acting Executive Director andrea.luecke@solarfound.org www.TheSolarFoundation.org