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“Are You Investor-Ready?”
Presented by Heath Naquin
Executive Director
OVPR UT Austin
April 23, 2015
WeWork Austin
SW I-Corps Node
Investment Readiness Level
Heath Naquin
Executive Director
Office of the Vice President For Research
Talking Head
• I-Corps Node
• SBIR Program Commercial Reviewer
• Start Up Experience
• International Start Up and Investment
Expertise
• MBA Faculty
• NSF I-Corps Certified Faculty
Startup Story
The Setting…
The Time…
The Idea…
The Concept…
• Provide Integrated Web Development Services
along with Distributed Hosting Solutions for
Small to Medium Enterprises
The Plan…
What Happened…
• Demo Sites
• Marketing Materials
• Pitches to Investors
• Strategy Sessions
• Built the Founding Team
• Built Partnerships
• Business Cards…Very Important
• Set up Pricing Structures
What Was Missing?
A Perfect Case Of..
6 Months Later..
And Then?
What They Found Out..
2 Years Later…
What Does This Tell Us??
The Start Up Killer??
Examples From the Field
Most Spectacular Failure of All Time?
The Concept?
The Problem
What Customers Wanted?
In Short
Great, but what about Investment
A Question
• What is the typical way investment happens?
How do Investors Currently Grade
Teams?
• Great Looking Product Demos – The
Frankenstein
• Compelling Power Point Slides
• A World Class Team
• In other words….
What’s Real in the Mix?
Implications for Start Ups
• Build a Team First
• Get Really Good at Pitching
• Build a Non Functional Demo
Getting Start Up Investment is…
• Confusing
• Fluid
• Non- Linear
• Frustrating
• A Secret
• All of the Above
How Many Deals a Year do Investors
See?
Typical Investment Funnel
30% losers | 40% ok deals | 20% winners | 10% homeruns
25,000 solicitations
5,000 discussions
1,500 meetings
100 partnership meetings
40 partnership proposals
25 investment proposals
Source: adapted from Ray Rothrock (Venrock)
15-20 deals closed
Primer on Investing
Three Forms of Financing for Your
Enterprise
• Revenue
• Debt
• Equity
• Also Grant
Types of Equity Financing
Financing Stage Period of
Fund in
Enterprise
Risk Perception Activity to be Financed
Seed Stage 7-10 Extremely High Support R&D to move concept
to product
Start-Up Capital - A 5-9 Very High Fund initial operations and
prototype development
Early Stage Capital – B 3-7 High Start commercial product and
marketing
Expansion Capital - C 3-5 Moderate to High Expand market and provide
working capital
Late Stage Capital 1-3 Moderate Market expansion, acquisition
and product development for
profit making companies
Who, what stage, how much
43
Pre-seed
Stage
Seed/Start-up
Stage
FUNDING
GAP
Early
Stage
Later
Stages
Founders’
Friends &
Family
Angel
Investors
Very few angel
deals done
above $1
million
Very few VC
deals done
below $4
million
Venture
Capitalists
$0 $250K $1.5 million $4 million $10 million
& up
Source: Adapted from Jamie Rhodes, Central Texas Angel Network, 2012
Available other Institutional Funds, ETF (Central Texas), etc.
How long it takes?
44
Find angels and
set up
meetings
Meet with
Angels
Negotiate
Terms
Due diligence/
Draft final
Documents
Total Time
1- 4 months 3 - 6 months 1 - 3 months 1 - 3 months 6 - 16
months
Source: Adapted from Jamie Rhodes, Central Texas Angel Network, 2012
Investors invest in people
• Investors prefer an “A Team” and “B Opportunity”
rather than “B Team” and “A Opportunity”
• What do they look at?
– Opportunity: Market Size (>$1B) and growth (>GDP%)
– Value proposition (tight to market pain)
– Competitive advantage & positioning
• Why they invest?
– Team: Managerial skills & Domain knowledge
“THE MORE YOU MINIMIZE THE RISK THE BETTER”
45
Grant Money
• SBIR/STTR Program in the US
• Focused on High Technology Ventures
• Phase 1: $100-150,000 over 6 months
• Phase 2: $300-$1M over two years
• 1B and 2b Supplements
• Non Dilutive in nature
Back to You
There Must Be More…
What Happens When Evidence Is
Present in a Pitch?
• Great Looking Product Demos – The
Frankenstein
• Compelling Power Point Slides
• A World Class Team
• In other words….
Startup Reality
We Have Done it All Wrong
What we used to believe
Startups are
smaller versions
of large companies
What we now know
Startups are NOT
smaller versions
of large companies
Startups = search
Companies = execute
SEARCH EXECUTE
What we used to believe
Strategy
Start with
Operation Plan &
Financial Model
Execute the Plan
Create Financial Statements
Make a 5-Year Forecast
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5
Revenue (Millions)
Revenue (Millions)
What We Now Know
Strategy
Helmuth von Moltke the Elder
NO Plan Survives First Contact..
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5
Revenue (Millions)
Revenue (Millions)
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5
Revenue (Millions)
Revenue (Millions)
…for startups
Planning comes
before the plan
Business Models
2
Who are your most
important customers?
What are their
archetypes?
What job do they want
you to get done for
them?
4
1
How will you
get, keep,
and grow
customers?
What customer
problems are you
helping to solve ?
What customer needs
are you satisfying?
3
Through which
channels (sales,
distribution, support)
do your customers
want to be reached?
5
How will you make
money?
What is revenue model?
What are pricing tactics?
6
Who are your Key
Partners?
Who are your key
suppliers?
What are you getting
from them…and giving
to them?
What Key Activities do
you require?
Manufacturing?
Software development?
Personal concierge
service? Etc.
7
9
What are most important
costs inherent in your
business model?
What is mix of fixed and
variable costs?
What Key Resources
do you require?
Financial? Physical?
Intellectual property?
Human resources?
8
What are key features
of your product/service
that match customer
problems/needs?
Business Model Canvas
Evidence Based Entrepreneurship
2
Who are your most
important customers?
What are their
archetypes?
What job do they want
you to get done for
them?
4
1
How will you
get, keep,
and grow
customers?
What customer
problems are you
helping to solve ?
What customer needs
are you satisfying?
3
Through which
channels (sales,
distribution, support)
do your customers
want to be reached?
5
How will you make
money?
What is revenue model?
What are pricing tactics?
6
Who are your Key
Partners?
Who are your key
suppliers?
What are you getting
from them…and giving
to them?
What Key Activities do
you require?
Manufacturing?
Software development?
Personal concierge
service? Etc.
7
9
What are most important
costs inherent in your
business model?
What is mix of fixed and
variable costs?
What Key Resources
do you require?
Financial? Physical?
Intellectual property?
Human resources?
8
What are key features
of your product/service
that match customer
problems/needs?
Iterate and Pivot
What does this mean for you?
• Investors are increasingly investing in models
of business
• The Business Model Canvas is evolving into
the standard tool for screening investment
opportunities in the investment community
• Business Plans are no longer being used as
effectively
Great, but What About Investment..
Almost There…
Who has been great at getting
technology into Use?
Enter TRL
Great, but What About Investment?
Enter the Investment Readiness Level
Mapping the Business Model Canvas
to Investment
• IRL tracks teams through their progression in
the Lean Start Up Methodology
• As teams develop insights and data around
their solutions they can be better positioned
for investment
Primary Benefit of Approach
So Who Cares About This?
What Can Start Ups Do to Build This
• Get Educated
– I-Corps Node is a place to Go
– Most major business assistance groups are moving
to the Business Model Canvas and Lean Start Up
Methods
– Read the Following:
• Start Up Owners Manual
• Business Model Generation
• Value Proposition Design
And….
Questions?
Contact Information
Heath Naquin
Executive Director
Office of the Vice President for Research
The University of Texas at Austin
hnaquin@austin.utexas.edu

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Are You Investor-Ready?

  • 1. “Are You Investor-Ready?” Presented by Heath Naquin Executive Director OVPR UT Austin April 23, 2015 WeWork Austin
  • 2.
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  • 9. SW I-Corps Node Investment Readiness Level Heath Naquin Executive Director Office of the Vice President For Research
  • 10. Talking Head • I-Corps Node • SBIR Program Commercial Reviewer • Start Up Experience • International Start Up and Investment Expertise • MBA Faculty • NSF I-Corps Certified Faculty
  • 15. The Concept… • Provide Integrated Web Development Services along with Distributed Hosting Solutions for Small to Medium Enterprises
  • 17. What Happened… • Demo Sites • Marketing Materials • Pitches to Investors • Strategy Sessions • Built the Founding Team • Built Partnerships • Business Cards…Very Important • Set up Pricing Structures
  • 24. What Does This Tell Us??
  • 25. The Start Up Killer??
  • 27. Most Spectacular Failure of All Time?
  • 32. Great, but what about Investment
  • 33. A Question • What is the typical way investment happens?
  • 34. How do Investors Currently Grade Teams? • Great Looking Product Demos – The Frankenstein • Compelling Power Point Slides • A World Class Team • In other words….
  • 35. What’s Real in the Mix?
  • 36. Implications for Start Ups • Build a Team First • Get Really Good at Pitching • Build a Non Functional Demo
  • 37. Getting Start Up Investment is… • Confusing • Fluid • Non- Linear • Frustrating • A Secret • All of the Above
  • 38. How Many Deals a Year do Investors See?
  • 39. Typical Investment Funnel 30% losers | 40% ok deals | 20% winners | 10% homeruns 25,000 solicitations 5,000 discussions 1,500 meetings 100 partnership meetings 40 partnership proposals 25 investment proposals Source: adapted from Ray Rothrock (Venrock) 15-20 deals closed
  • 41. Three Forms of Financing for Your Enterprise • Revenue • Debt • Equity • Also Grant
  • 42. Types of Equity Financing Financing Stage Period of Fund in Enterprise Risk Perception Activity to be Financed Seed Stage 7-10 Extremely High Support R&D to move concept to product Start-Up Capital - A 5-9 Very High Fund initial operations and prototype development Early Stage Capital – B 3-7 High Start commercial product and marketing Expansion Capital - C 3-5 Moderate to High Expand market and provide working capital Late Stage Capital 1-3 Moderate Market expansion, acquisition and product development for profit making companies
  • 43. Who, what stage, how much 43 Pre-seed Stage Seed/Start-up Stage FUNDING GAP Early Stage Later Stages Founders’ Friends & Family Angel Investors Very few angel deals done above $1 million Very few VC deals done below $4 million Venture Capitalists $0 $250K $1.5 million $4 million $10 million & up Source: Adapted from Jamie Rhodes, Central Texas Angel Network, 2012 Available other Institutional Funds, ETF (Central Texas), etc.
  • 44. How long it takes? 44 Find angels and set up meetings Meet with Angels Negotiate Terms Due diligence/ Draft final Documents Total Time 1- 4 months 3 - 6 months 1 - 3 months 1 - 3 months 6 - 16 months Source: Adapted from Jamie Rhodes, Central Texas Angel Network, 2012
  • 45. Investors invest in people • Investors prefer an “A Team” and “B Opportunity” rather than “B Team” and “A Opportunity” • What do they look at? – Opportunity: Market Size (>$1B) and growth (>GDP%) – Value proposition (tight to market pain) – Competitive advantage & positioning • Why they invest? – Team: Managerial skills & Domain knowledge “THE MORE YOU MINIMIZE THE RISK THE BETTER” 45
  • 46. Grant Money • SBIR/STTR Program in the US • Focused on High Technology Ventures • Phase 1: $100-150,000 over 6 months • Phase 2: $300-$1M over two years • 1B and 2b Supplements • Non Dilutive in nature
  • 48. There Must Be More…
  • 49. What Happens When Evidence Is Present in a Pitch? • Great Looking Product Demos – The Frankenstein • Compelling Power Point Slides • A World Class Team • In other words….
  • 51. We Have Done it All Wrong
  • 52. What we used to believe
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  • 55. What we now know
  • 56. Startups are NOT smaller versions of large companies
  • 59. What we used to believe Strategy
  • 60. Start with Operation Plan & Financial Model
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  • 64. Make a 5-Year Forecast 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Revenue (Millions) Revenue (Millions)
  • 65. What We Now Know Strategy
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  • 67. Helmuth von Moltke the Elder
  • 68. NO Plan Survives First Contact..
  • 69. 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Revenue (Millions) Revenue (Millions)
  • 70. 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Revenue (Millions) Revenue (Millions) …for startups
  • 73. 2 Who are your most important customers? What are their archetypes? What job do they want you to get done for them? 4 1 How will you get, keep, and grow customers? What customer problems are you helping to solve ? What customer needs are you satisfying? 3 Through which channels (sales, distribution, support) do your customers want to be reached? 5 How will you make money? What is revenue model? What are pricing tactics? 6 Who are your Key Partners? Who are your key suppliers? What are you getting from them…and giving to them? What Key Activities do you require? Manufacturing? Software development? Personal concierge service? Etc. 7 9 What are most important costs inherent in your business model? What is mix of fixed and variable costs? What Key Resources do you require? Financial? Physical? Intellectual property? Human resources? 8 What are key features of your product/service that match customer problems/needs? Business Model Canvas
  • 75. 2 Who are your most important customers? What are their archetypes? What job do they want you to get done for them? 4 1 How will you get, keep, and grow customers? What customer problems are you helping to solve ? What customer needs are you satisfying? 3 Through which channels (sales, distribution, support) do your customers want to be reached? 5 How will you make money? What is revenue model? What are pricing tactics? 6 Who are your Key Partners? Who are your key suppliers? What are you getting from them…and giving to them? What Key Activities do you require? Manufacturing? Software development? Personal concierge service? Etc. 7 9 What are most important costs inherent in your business model? What is mix of fixed and variable costs? What Key Resources do you require? Financial? Physical? Intellectual property? Human resources? 8 What are key features of your product/service that match customer problems/needs? Iterate and Pivot
  • 76. What does this mean for you? • Investors are increasingly investing in models of business • The Business Model Canvas is evolving into the standard tool for screening investment opportunities in the investment community • Business Plans are no longer being used as effectively
  • 77. Great, but What About Investment..
  • 79. Who has been great at getting technology into Use?
  • 81. Great, but What About Investment?
  • 82. Enter the Investment Readiness Level
  • 83. Mapping the Business Model Canvas to Investment • IRL tracks teams through their progression in the Lean Start Up Methodology • As teams develop insights and data around their solutions they can be better positioned for investment
  • 84. Primary Benefit of Approach
  • 85. So Who Cares About This?
  • 86. What Can Start Ups Do to Build This • Get Educated – I-Corps Node is a place to Go – Most major business assistance groups are moving to the Business Model Canvas and Lean Start Up Methods – Read the Following: • Start Up Owners Manual • Business Model Generation • Value Proposition Design
  • 89. Contact Information Heath Naquin Executive Director Office of the Vice President for Research The University of Texas at Austin hnaquin@austin.utexas.edu

Notas del editor

  1. Small Business Development Act of 1980 Focused on the launch and growth of small businesses through training and mentorship for 30+ years
  2. People would want to Get on the Line…
  3. ----- Meeting Notes (10/12/14 17:25) ----- Internet was a fad Marketing and new customers were key
  4. Distributed Services to Meet needs Customers in various demographics Angel Funding Acquisition by partner
  5. Iridium Communications (founded in in early '90s, raised $6BB, bankrupt in 2001) eToys.com (raised $220mm prior to 1999, IPO raised $166mm - $386MM total, market capitalization of $11b in 1999, bankrupt in March 2001) the standard by which all toy sites are judged… After a delay of 3.5 years and a budget overrun of 10 billion USD Healthcare.gov: The floor for spending on the Web site to date appears to be at least $170 million, with an upward potential of nearly $300 million.
  6. Iridium Communications (founded in in early '90s, raised $6BB, bankrupt in 2001)
  7. 77 satellites necessary to make system work 290 M to Build each one…that number works out to $22B Phones cost as much as (or more than) $1000 Per minute Cost of $15/Minute Now How Many customers would that be? How could a return be realized?
  8. Technology commercialization is all about successful execution. Is is important to have a great technology that captures market interest and a winning team that executes properly, but even so the failure rate is very high. That is precisely why the Quicklook process is important in the early stages of a technology, to capture the voice of the market and
  9. Let’s look at some statistics…
  10. Edisun-4 People, doing fund raising… GE-305,000 employees, Multiple Divisions, Assets in excess of $600 B
  11. Best one I ever read…not simply because I wrote it, but it’s the only one I’ve ever front to back!
  12. That’s not a forecast, that’s a $50M hockey stick!
  13. Osterwalder divides canvas in two: left side is Cost, Right side is Value.
  14. Evindence Based Entrepreneurship