Rising demand supply gap in energy and power sector in Southeast Asian countries to propel cross border energy trade in the region

1. Southeast Asia Energy Sector Outlook, 2020
M a r k e t I n t e l l i g e n c e . C o n s u l t i n g

2. H a l l i b u r t o n C o m p a n y
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I n d u s t r y B r i e f
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Energy demand in Southeast Asia is expected to increase consistently over the next five years, on account of
anticipated industrial growth, high GDP growth and increasing urbanization in Southeast Asian countries. During
2010-14, consumption of crude oil in Southeast Asia grew at 3.75%, while the production declined by 2.02%. A
similar trend was observed in the region’s natural gas scenario, with consumption growing at 1.71% and natural
gas production exhibiting a marginal growth of 0.44% during the same period. As a result of this widening gap in
production and consumption of natural gas and crude oil in Southeast Asia, cross border energy trading is
expected to offer huge opportunities for oil & gas producers as well as a viable solution for meeting the energy
requirements of the region. Moreover, cross border energy exchange between Southeast Asian countries would
bring down the costs associated with fuel transportation significantly.
According to “Southeast Asia Energy Sector Outlook, 2020”, a significant amount of energy generated in
Southeast Asia is lost due to Aggregate Technical and Commercial (AT&C) losses during transmission and
distribution of electricity. Consequently, governments are increasing their focus on improving and strengthening
distribution and transmission networks for narrowing power demand supply gap. Additionally, increasing efforts by
all regional governments to establish a favorable policy environment and eliminate trade barriers is expected to
play a vital role in facilitating cross border energy exchange among Southeast Asian countries over the next
decade. “Southeast Asia Energy Sector Outlook, 2020” discusses the following aspects of energy and power
market in Southeast Asia:
•South East Asian Countries Energy and Power Market Size& Forecast
•Segmental Analysis - Natural Gas, Crude Oil & Power
•Regional Analysis – Myanmar, Malaysia, Philippines, Indonesia, Brunei Darussalam, Thailand & Vietnam
•Country Specific Regulatory Overview of Energy and Power Sector
•Competitive Landscape

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Baseline Methodology
Our dedicated team of industry experts has comprehensively monitored and analyzed various aspects of the energy
sector in Southeast Asia. The team has analyzed various industry segments and speculated a positive future for the
industry. Our team of analysts has provided an analysis of the industry’s performance over the next five years. This
would enable our clients in planning their investment decisions and explore growth opportunities in energy sector in
Southeast Asia (Thailand, Indonesia, Malaysia, Brunei, Vietnam, Myanmar, the Philippines).
For our study, we have gathered information through primary research surveys with multiple respondents in
around 8 countries, followed by an exhaustive search of credible paid databases. Our team of experts has
evaluated all the collected information to depict a meaningful and clear picture of energy and power sectors in
Southeast Asian Countries.
In addition, while compiling the data, we have also validated all the collected information from multiple sources and
data warehouses in order to present the most accurate and precise information of the concerned industry. We have
also identified and analyzed the emerging trends, including important drivers and challenges that the industry is
currently confronting. We have also presented various forecasts for the industry based on our in-depth analysis of
market dynamics, prevalent trends, developments and growth opportunities.
Sources
EIA, FERC, BP Statistical Review 2014, Company Annual Reports

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1. Research Methodology
2. Analyst View
3. Southeast Asia Energy and Power Market Outlook
4. Southeast Asia Cross Border Energy Trade- Drivers and Challenges
5. Southeast Asia Inter-Regional Energy Trade- Existing and Proposed Projects
6. Myanmar (Burma)
6.1. Economic Overview
6.2. Energy Sector in Myanmar
6.2.1. Myanmar Primary Energy Mix
6.2.2. Myanmar Crude Oil, Natural Gas Plant Liquid (NGPL) and Other Liquids Production
6.2.3. Myanmar Total Refined Petroleum Products Consumption
6.2.4. Myanmar Total Refined Petroleum Products Imports
6.2.6. Myanmar Total Natural Gas Production
6.2.7. Myanmar Total Natural Gas Consumption
6.2.8. Myanmar Total Natural Gas Exports
6.3. Power Sector in Myanmar
6.3.1. Myanmar Power Generation Share
6.3.2. Myanmar Electricity Generation Capacity
6.3.3. New and Upcoming Power Generation Plants in Myanmar
6.3.4. Myanmar Power Consumption Share
6.3.5. Myanmar Power Production and Consumption
6.4. Regulatory Overview of Energy and Power Sector in Myanmar
6.5. Competitive Landscape in Myanmar
6.5.1. China National Petroleum Corporation (CNPC)
6.5.2. Total E&P Myanmar Ltd.
7. Malaysia
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7.1. Economic Overview
7.2. Energy Sector in Malaysia
7.2.1. Malaysia Primary Energy Mix
7.2.2. Malaysia Crude Oil, NGPL and Other Liquid Production
7.2.3. Malaysia Total Refined Petroleum Products Consumption
7.2.4. Malaysia Total Refined Petroleum Products Exports
7.2.5. Malaysia Crude Oil & Refined Petroleum Products Imports and Exports
7.2.6. Malaysia Total Natural Gas Production
7.2.7. Malaysia Total Natural Gas Consumption
7.2.8. Malaysia Total Natural Gas Exports
7.3. Power Sector in Malaysia
7.3.1. Malaysia Power Generation Share
7.3.2. Malaysia Power Consumption Share
7.3.3. Malaysia Power Production
7.3.4. Malaysia Power Consumption
7.3.5. Malaysia Power Imports and Exports
7.4. Regulatory Overview of Energy and Power Sector in Malaysia
7.5. Competitive Landscape in Malaysia
7.5.1. Petronas
7.5.2. Tenaga Nasional Berhad
8. Philippines
8.1. Economic Overview
8.2. Energy Sector in the Philippines
8.2.1. Philippines Primary Energy Mix
8.2.2. Philippines Total Oil Production
8.2.3. Philippines Total Refined Petroleum Products Consumption
8.2.4. Philippines Crude Oil & Refined Petroleum Products Imports
8.2.5. Philippines Crude Oil & Refined Petroleum Products Exports
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8.2.6. Philippines Total Natural Gas Production
8.2.7. Philippines Total Natural Gas Consumption
8.3. Power Sector in the Philippines
8.3.1. Philippines Power Production
8.3.2. Philippines Power Consumption
8.4. Regulatory Overview of Energy and Power Sector in the Philippines
8.5. Competitive Landscape in the Philippines
8.5.1. Meralco (Manila Electric Company)
8.5.2. Philippine National Oil Company Exploration Corporation
9. Indonesia
9.1. Economic Overview
9.2. Energy Sector in Indonesia
9.2.1. Indonesia Primary Energy Mix
9.2.2. Indonesia Total Oil Production
9.2.3. Indonesia Petroleum Consumption
9.2.4. Indonesia Crude Oil & Refined Petroleum Products Imports and Exports
9.2.5. Indonesia Total Natural Gas Production
9.2.6. Indonesia Total Natural Gas Consumption
9.2.7. Indonesia Total Natural Gas Exports
9.3. Power Sector in Indonesia
9.3.1. Indonesia Power Generation and Consumption
9.3.2. Indonesia Power Production
9.3.3. Indonesia Power Consumption
9.4. Regulatory Overview of Energy and Power Sector in Indonesia
9.5. Competitive Landscape in Indonesia
9.5.1. PT Perusahaan Listrik Negara (Persero)
9.5.2. PT PERTAMINA
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10. Brunei Darussalam
10.1. Economic Overview
10.2. Energy Sector in Brunei Darussalam
10.2.1. Brunei Darussalam Total Oil Production
10.2.2. Brunei Darussalam Total Refined Petroleum Products Consumption
10.2.3. Brunei Darussalam Refined Petroleum Products Imports and Crude Oil Exports
10.2.4. Brunei Darussalam Total Natural Gas Production
10.2.5. Brunei Darussalam Total Natural Gas Consumption
10.2.6. Brunei Darussalam LNG Exports
10.3. Power Sector in Brunei Darussalam
10.3.1. Brunei Darussalam Power Generation and Consumption
10.3.2. Brunei Darussalam Power Production
10.3.3. Brunei Darussalam Power Consumption
10.4. Regulatory Overview of Energy and Power Sector in Brunei Darussalam
10.5. Competitive Landscape in Brunei Darussalam
10.5.1. Brunei National Petroleum Company Sdn Bhd (Petroleum BRUNEI)
10.5.2. BSP Brunei
11. Thailand
11.1. Economic Overview
11.2. Energy Sector in Thailand
11.2.1. Thailand Primary Energy Mix
11.2.2. Thailand Total Oil Production
11.2.3. Thailand Total Refined Petroleum Products Consumption
11.2.4. Thailand Crude Oil & Refined Petroleum Products Imports
11.2.5. Thailand Total Natural Gas Production
11.2.6. Thailand Total Natural Gas Consumption
11.2.7. Thailand Total Natural Gas Imports
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11.3. Power Sector in Thailand
11.3.1. Thailand Power Production
11.3.2. Thailand Power Consumption
11.3.3. Thailand Power Imports and Exports
11.4. Regulatory Overview of Energy and Power Sector in Thailand
11.5. Competitive Landscape in Thailand
11.5.1. PTT Exploration and Production Public Company Limited
11.5.2. Spie Oil & Gas Services (Thailand) Ltd
12. Vietnam
12.1. Economic Overview
12.2. Energy Sector in Vietnam
12.2.1. Vietnam Total Oil Production
12.2.2. Vietnam Total Refined Petroleum Products Consumption
12.2.3. Vietnam Crude Oil & Total Refined Petroleum Products Exports
12.2.4. Vietnam Refined Petroleum Products Imports
12.2.5. Vietnam Total Natural Gas Production
12.2.6. Vietnam Total Natural Gas Consumption
12.3. Power Sector in Vietnam
12.3.1. Vietnam Power Production
12.3.2. Vietnam Power Consumption
12.3.3. Vietnam Power Exports and Net Imports
12.4. Regulatory Overview of Energy and Power Sector in Vietnam
12.5. Competitive Landscape in Vietnam
12.5.1. PETROVIETNAM Vietnam Oil and Gas Group
12.5.2. Vietnam Electricity Corporation
13. Disclaimer
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25.00%
25.00%
25.00%
25.00%
Commercial
Residential
Industrial
Streetlights
Meralco Revenue Share, By End User, 2013
50.00%
50.00%
Electricity Non Electricity
Meralco Revenue Share, By Activity, 2013 Meralco Shareholding Pattern, As on 31st December 2013
25.00%
25.00%
25.00%
25.00%
Beacon electric Asset Holdings, Inc.
JG Summit Holdings, Inc.
Others
First Philippine Holdings, Corp.
115
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Philippines Total Natural Gas Consumption, By Volume,
2010-2020F (Billion Cubic Meters)
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015E 2016F 2017F 2018F 2019F 2020F
17%
17%
17%
17%
17%
15%
Oil Geothermal
Coal Biomass
Philippines Primary Energy Generation Mix, 2013
10.00
20.00
30.00
40.00
50.00
60.00
70.00
80.00
90.00
100.00
110.00
15.00
30.00
45.00
60.00
75.00
90.00
105.00
120.00 135.00
150.00
165.00
Net Imports (Billion Kilowatt Hour) Exports (Billion Kilowatt Hour)
Malaysia Power Imports and Exports, By Volume, 2010-2020F (Billion Kilowatt hour)
Natural
Gas, 20%
Coal
, 20%
Hydroelec
tricity
20%
Petroleum
and other
liquids, 20
%
Biomass
and other
renewable
s , 20%
Malaysia Power Generation Share, By Source, 2012

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Report Name: Southeast Asia Energy Sector Outlook , 2020

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