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The Federation of
Finnish Technology
Industries
December 2013
The Technology Industry Is Comprised
of Five Sub-sectors
Electronics and
Electrotechnical Industry
ABB, Ensto, Murata Electronics, Nokia,
Nokia Siemens Networks, Planmeca,
Polar Electro, Suunto, Vacon, Vaisala...

Mechanical
Engineering
Abloy, Cargotec, Fiskars,
Glaston, Kone, Konecranes,
Metso, Normet, Oras, Patria,
Pemamek, Ponsse, Prima
Power, Stala, STX Finland,
Valtra, Wärtsilä...

Metals Industry
Boliden, Componenta, Kuusakoski,
Luvata, Norilsk Nickel, Outokumpu,
Outotec, Ovako, Rautaruukki,
Sacotec…

Information Technology
Affecto Finland, Basware, CGI,
Codebakers, Codenomicon,
Comptel, Digia, Efecte, Enfo,
F-Secure, Fujitsu Finland, IBM,
Knowit, Microsoft, Nixu, Tieto…

Consulting Engineering
A-insinöörit, Citec, Elomatic,
Etteplan, FCG, Finnmap, Granlund,
Neste Jacobs, Pöyry, Ramboll,
Sito, SWECO, Vahanen, WSP…
11.12.2013

2
The Technology Industry
in Finland
Electronics and
Electrotechnical Industry
• Data communications equipment,
instruments, electrical machinery
• Turnover (2012): 16.3 billion euros
• Personnel (30.9.2013): 46 000

Metals Industry
• Steel products, non-ferrous
metals, castings
• Turnover (2012): 10.2 billion euros
• Personnel (30.9.2013): 16 000

Information Technology

Mechanical Engineering
• Machinery, metal products,
vehicles
• Turnover (2012): 27.9 billion euros
• Personnel (30.9.2013): 129 100

• IT services, applications
and programming
• Turnover (2012): 7.5 billion euros
• Personnel (30.9.2013): 54 000

Consulting Engineering
• Expertise for construction
industry and infrastructure
• Turnover (2012): 5.2 billion euros
• Personnel (30.9.2013): 43 000
11.12.2013

3
The Technology Industry –
the Most Important Sector in Finland
• 55% of total Finnish exports.
• 80% of private-sector
R&D investment.
• Almost 290,000 employed
directly in the sector, 720,000
employed in total, equalling
about 30% of the entire Finnish
labour force.
• The Federation of Finnish
Technology Industries has
some 1,600 member
companies.

11.12.2013

4
Turnover of the Technology Industry in Finland
34
32
30
28
26
24
22
20
18
16
14
12
10
8
6
4
2
0

Billion euros,at current prices
Metals industry

Mechanical engineering

Electronics and electrotechnical
industry

Information technology

Consulting engineering

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

Source: Statistics Finland

2010

2011

2012

11.12.2013

5
Export of Technology Industry Goods from Finland
by Area in 2012
Total goods exports 26.5 billion euros*

Western Europe
12.0 billion €
45.2 %

North America
2.2 billion €
8.2 %

Central and Eastern Europe
5.3 billion €
20.2 %

the Middle East
0.6 billion €
2.3 %
South and Central America
1.5 billion €
5.5 %

Africa
0.8 billion €
3.0 %

Asia
4.1 billion €
15.6 %

*) In addition to goods exports the sector exports services worth about 12 billion euros.
Source: National Board of Customs, Statistics Finland
11.12.2013

6
Turnover of the Industry and Technology Industry
in Finland
150

2005 = 100

Change: 1-8, 2013 / 1-8, 2012, %

140

130

Industry

-4 %
120

110
Technology
industry

100

-6 %
90

80

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

Seasonally adjusted turnover index, latest information 8/2013.

Source: Statistics Finland

11.12.2013

7
Turnover of the Technology Industry in Finland
200

2005 = 100

Change: 1-8,2013 / 1-8,2012, %

190
180

Information technology

170

+13 %

160

Consulting engineering

150

+4 %

140
130

Mechanical engineering

120

-7 %

110

Metals industry

100

-7 %

90
80

Electronics and electrotechnical
industry

70
60

-14 %

50

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

Seasonally adjusted turnover index, latest information 8/2013. Share of total turnover in 2012: mechanical engineering 41 %, electronics
and electrotechnical industry 26 %, metals industry 14 %, information technology 11 %, consulting engineering 8 %.

Source: Statistics Finland

11.12.2013

8
Value of New Orders in the Technology Industry* in
Finland
12000
11000
10000
9000
8000
7000
6000
5000
4000
3000
2000
1000
0

Million euros, at current prices

Combined
Export
Domestic

2005

2006

2007

Change:
Export:
Domestic:
Combined:

2008

2009

2010

2011

III,2013 / III,2012
-30 %
+1 %
-24 %

2012

2013

III,2013 / II,2013
-24 %
-21 %
-23 %

*) Excluding metals industry.
Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent companies,
latest information July-September 2013
11.12.2013

9
Value of Order Books in the Technology Industry* in
Finland
Million euros, at current prices

24000
22000
20000
18000

Combined

16000

Export

14000
12000
10000

Domestic

8000
6000
4000
2000
0
2005

2006

2007

Change:
Export:
Domestic:
Combined:
*) Excluding metals industry.

2008

2009

2010

30.9.2013 / 30.9.2012
-12 %
-3 %
-10 %

2011

2012

2013

30.9.2013 / 30.6.2013
-10 %
-2 %
-8 %

Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent companies,
latest information 30.9.2013
11.12.2013

10
Change in Value of Order Books in the Technology
Industry in Finland Compared with a Year Earlier
200 %

Change by companies: 30.9.2013 / 30.9.2012

180 %
160 %
140 %
120 %
100 %
80 %
60 %
40 %
20 %

Median: 0 %

0%

Average: -10 %

-20 %
-40 %
-60 %
-80 %
-100 %

Companies in random order
Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s
respondent companies, latest information 30.9.2013

11.12.2013

11
Value of New Orders in the Electronics and
Electrotechnical Industry in Finland
7000
6500
6000
5500
5000
4500
4000
3500
3000
2500
2000
1500
1000
500
0

Million euros, at current prices

Combined
Export
Domestic

2005

2006

Change:
Export:
Domestic:
Combined:

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

III,2013 / III,2012
-51 %
-10 %
-48 %

2012

2013

III,2013 / II,2013
-42 %
-11 %
-39 %

Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent companies,
latest information July-September 2013
11.12.2013

12
Value of Order Books in the Electronics and
Electrotechnical Industry in Finland
8000
7500
7000
6500
6000
5500
5000
4500
4000
3500
3000
2500
2000
1500
1000
500
0

Million euros, at current prices

Combined

Export

Domestic

2005

2006

Change:
Export:
Domestic:
Combined:

2007

2008

2009

2010

30.9.2013 / 30.9.2012
-43 %
-18 %
-41 %

2011

2012

2013

30.9.2013 / 30.6.2013
-33 %
-10 %
-32 %

Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent companies,
latest information 30.9.2013
11.12.2013

13
Value of New Orders in the Mechanical Engineering in
Finland
5000

Million euros, at current prices

4500
4000
3500

Combined

3000
Export

2500
2000

Domestic

1500
1000
500
0

2005
Change:
Export:
Domestic:
Combined:

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

III,2013 / III,2012
+4 %
-8 %
+1 %

2012

2013

III,2013 / II,2013
0%
-26 %
-7 %

Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent companies,
latest information July-September 2013
11.12.2013

14
Value of Order Books in the Mechanical
Engineering in Finland
Million euros, at current prices
15000
14000
13000
12000
11000
10000
9000
8000
7000
6000
5000
4000
3000
2000
1000
0

Combined

Export

Domestic

2005
Change:
Export:
Domestic:
Combined:

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

30.9.2013 / 30.9.2012
+5 %
-5 %
+3 %

2011

2012

2013

30.9.2013 / 30.6.2013
+1 %
+1 %
+1 %

Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent companies,
latest information 30.9.2013
11.12.2013

15
Value of New Orders in the Consulting Engineering in
Finland
Million euros, at current prices

320
300
280
260
240
220
200
180
160
140
120
100
80
60
40
20
0

Combined
Export
Domestic

2005
Change:
Export:
Domestic:
Combined:

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

III,2013 / III,2012
-10 %
+9 %
+6 %

2011

2012

2013

III,2013 / II,2013
-23 %
-4 %
-7 %

Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent companies,
latest information July-September 2013
11.12.2013

16
Value of Order Books in the Consulting
Engineering in Finland
Million euros, at current prices
600
550

Combined

500
450
400

Export

350
300
250

Domestic

200
150
100
50
0

2005
Change:
Export:
Domestic:
Combined:

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

30.9.2013 / 30.9.2012
-3 %
+22 %
+16 %

2011

2012

2013

30.9.2013 / 30.6.2013
-13 %
-3 %
-5 %

Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent companies,
latest information 30.9.2013
11.12.2013

17
Value of New Orders in the Information
Technology in Finland
800
750
700
650
600
550
500
450
400
350
300
250
200
150
100
50
0

Million euros, at current prices

2005

2006

Change:
Combined:

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

III,2013 / III,2012
+29 %

2012

2013

III,2013 / II,2013
-18 %

Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent companies,
latest information July-September 2013
11.12.2013

18
Value of Order Books in the Information
Technology in Finland
Million euros, at current prices
2000
1800
1600
1400
1200
1000
800
600
400
200
0
2007
Change:
Combined:

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

30.9.2013 / 30.9.2012 30.9.2013 / 30.6.2013
-3 %
-2 %

Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent companies,
latest information 30.9.2013
11.12.2013

19
Personnel in the Technology Industry

Some 15 000 of
employees affected
by temporary or
part-time lay-offs

340 000
320 000
300 000
280 000
260 000
240 000
220 000
200 000
180 000
160 000
140 000
2008

2009
Personnel in Finland

2010

2011

2012

2013 (30.9.)

Personnel in subsidiaries abroad

Source: Statistics Finland, The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ labour force
survey
11.12.2013

20
Technology Industry Personnel in Finland
160 000
140 000
120 000
100 000
80 000
60 000
40 000
20 000
0
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
(30.9)
Metals industry

Mechanical engineering industry

Information technology

Electronics and Electrotechnical Industry

Consulting engineering

Source: Statistics Finland, The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ labour force survey
11.12.2013

21
Retirement of Technology Industry Personnel
9000

Individuals per year

8000
7000
6000
5000
Salaried employees

4000
3000
2000

Blue collar employees

1000
0
2000

2002

2004

2006

2008

2010

2012

2014

2016

2018

2020

2022

Number of individuals retired
Number of individuals retiring (estimation)
Source:, Wage inquiry of the Federation of Finnish Technology Industries, Finnish Centre for
Pensions, Statistics Finland
11.12.2013

22
Retirement of Technology Industry Blue Collar
Employees
3500

Individuals per year

3000
2500
2000
1500
1000
500
0
2000

2002

2004

2006

2008

2010

2012

2014

2016

2018

2020

2022

Mechanical engineering
Metals industry
Electronics and electrotechnical industry

Source: Wage inquiry of the Federation of Finnish Technology Industries, Finnish Centre for
11.12.2013
Pensions, Statistics Finland

23
Situational overview and outlook
•
•
•

•
•

•
•

- Finland is in the grip of structural change. Development remains
uneven between companies.
- Turnover in Finland in 2012 was some EUR 67 billion. Turnover in the
pre-crisis year 2008 was EUR 81 billion.
- The monetary value of new orders in July-September was 24 % lower
than in the corresponding period of 2012, and 23 % lower than at the
level of the preceding quarter.
- At the end of September, the value of order books was 10 % lower year
on year, and 8 % lower the value reported at the end of June.
- The turnover of technology industry companies could fall by as much
as 10 per cent year-on-year, being significantly lower than in the times
preceding the 2008 financial crises.
- Since 2008, personnel numbers in Finland have shrunk by 30,000
employees, totalling 288,000 at the end of September.
- Small and medium-sized enterprises in particular have reported weak
development in profitability.
11.12.2013

24
European recovery will
take time

11.12.2013

25
Industrial Production Volume
Industrial production volume in EU countries 10 %,
but in Finland 19 % lower since early 2008
110

2008=100

105
USA
100
95

EU28
countries

90
Japan
85
80

Finland

75
70
65

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

Seasonally adjusted volume index, latest information 9/2013 or 10/2013.
Source: Eurostat, Federal Reserve (USA), Statistics Bereau and Statistics Center
11.12.2013
(Japan)

26
Industrial Production Volume in EU Countries
125

2008=100

120

Poland
115

Estonia
110

Belgium
105

Austria
100

Germany
95

Sweden
90

Finland
85

Italy
80

Spain
75
70

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

Seasonally adjusted volume index, latest information 9/2013.
Source: Eurostat

2013

11.12.2013

27
The Share of Industry in GDP in Finland 1900-2012
35%

30%

25%

20%

15%

10%

5%

0%

Industry
Source: Statistics Finland

Industry + service sectors in the technology industry
11.12.2013

28
Breakdown of World Industrial Production
%
50
45
40

Asia

35
30

North America

25
20
15

Europe

10
5
0

1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010
Purchasing power parity adjusted shares.
Source: Maddison (Historical Statistics), IMF and ETLA

11.12.2013

29
Industrial Production Development by Year
320
China

300
280

Korea

260

India

240
Russia

220
200

Finland

180

Brazil

160
140

USA

2005=100

120

Euroarea

100

Japan

80
2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013e 2014e

Source: Consensus Economics
11.12.2013

30
Almost all Western Countries have Excessive
Public Debt
Public debt / GDP, %
210
200
190
180
170
160
150
140
130
120
110
100
90
80
70
60
50
40
30
20

Greece
Italy
Irland
Portugal
USA
Belgium
Germany
Spain
Finland
Sweden

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012e 2013e 2014e

Source: OECD, Economic Outlook, May 2013

11.12.2013

31
The Big Challenge for
Finland after 2008

11.12.2013

32
Finnish Exports up to EUR 20 – 30 Billion Short of
Annual Target Level
28
27
26
25
24
23
22
21
20
19
18
17
16
15
14
13
12
11
10

Export of goods and services by quarter, billion euros, at current prices

Exports needed to
avoid extra running
into debt in the
public sector

Exports, realized

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

Working day and seasonally adjusted index.
Latest information April-June 2013.
Source: Statistics Finland

2011

2012

2013

11.12.2013

33
Finnish Exports lagging Behind Competitors
230

Export of goods and services by quarter, billion euros, at current prices, index

220
210

Estonia

200
190

Poland

180

Chech
Republic
Germany

170
160

Netherlands

150
Belgium

140
130

Sweden

120

Finland

110
100

2005,I = 100

90
2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

Working day and seasonally adjusted index.
Latest information April-June 2013.
Source: Eurostat

2011

2012

2013

11.12.2013

34
Finland not attracting Companies’ Investment
Companies’ Fixed Investments in Different Countries
Indeksi, 2005=100
135

Germany

130
125

Switzerland

120

Sweden

115
110

USA

105

Belgium

100
95

Finland

90
2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012e

Source: OECD, Economic Outlook, May 2013

2013e

2014e

11.12.2013

35
Unit Labour Costs at the National Economy Level
(Including the Effective Exchange Rates)

120

2005,I =100

115

Finland’s cost
competitiveness
declines

110

105

Finland’s cost
competitiveness
improves

100

95

90

2005

2006

2007

Compared to Germany
Compared to the Netherlands

2008

2009

2010

Compared to Spain
Compared to Austria

2011

2012

2013

Compared to Italy
Compared to Finland

*) In the ECB Harmonised Competitiveness Index, the average effective exchange rate of each country
is calculated vis-à-vis 20 to 30 main trade partners, as well as the development of unit labour costs for
the total economy
Latest information II/2013.
36
11.12.2013
Source: European Central Bank
What should be done?
• Support the renewal of the industry
• Taxes should support growth and investment in Finland
• Support decision making in companies related to
compensation and working time
• No new European nor national burdens on companies,
which are deteriorating the competitiveness

11.12.2013

37
Long-Term Outlook and Challenges
• Global Structural Change Set to Continue Apace
– Industrial production and services will relocate to rapidly developing
economic areas
– Strong growth, large markets, cheap labour and increasing expertise will
increase the attractiveness of these regions.

• Competition over Skills and Raw Materials Set to Increase
– Due to an increase in retirement, the sector’s annual recruitment need in
Finland will rise considerably in the coming years.
– The availability of reasonably-priced energy also threatens to become an
investment bottleneck in Finland

• Combating Climate Change
– A challenge as costs are set to grow faster than in competitor countries
– An opportunity for new environmental and energy technologies
11.12.2013

38

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Finnish Technology Industry Dec 2013, statistics

  • 1. The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries December 2013
  • 2. The Technology Industry Is Comprised of Five Sub-sectors Electronics and Electrotechnical Industry ABB, Ensto, Murata Electronics, Nokia, Nokia Siemens Networks, Planmeca, Polar Electro, Suunto, Vacon, Vaisala... Mechanical Engineering Abloy, Cargotec, Fiskars, Glaston, Kone, Konecranes, Metso, Normet, Oras, Patria, Pemamek, Ponsse, Prima Power, Stala, STX Finland, Valtra, Wärtsilä... Metals Industry Boliden, Componenta, Kuusakoski, Luvata, Norilsk Nickel, Outokumpu, Outotec, Ovako, Rautaruukki, Sacotec… Information Technology Affecto Finland, Basware, CGI, Codebakers, Codenomicon, Comptel, Digia, Efecte, Enfo, F-Secure, Fujitsu Finland, IBM, Knowit, Microsoft, Nixu, Tieto… Consulting Engineering A-insinöörit, Citec, Elomatic, Etteplan, FCG, Finnmap, Granlund, Neste Jacobs, Pöyry, Ramboll, Sito, SWECO, Vahanen, WSP… 11.12.2013 2
  • 3. The Technology Industry in Finland Electronics and Electrotechnical Industry • Data communications equipment, instruments, electrical machinery • Turnover (2012): 16.3 billion euros • Personnel (30.9.2013): 46 000 Metals Industry • Steel products, non-ferrous metals, castings • Turnover (2012): 10.2 billion euros • Personnel (30.9.2013): 16 000 Information Technology Mechanical Engineering • Machinery, metal products, vehicles • Turnover (2012): 27.9 billion euros • Personnel (30.9.2013): 129 100 • IT services, applications and programming • Turnover (2012): 7.5 billion euros • Personnel (30.9.2013): 54 000 Consulting Engineering • Expertise for construction industry and infrastructure • Turnover (2012): 5.2 billion euros • Personnel (30.9.2013): 43 000 11.12.2013 3
  • 4. The Technology Industry – the Most Important Sector in Finland • 55% of total Finnish exports. • 80% of private-sector R&D investment. • Almost 290,000 employed directly in the sector, 720,000 employed in total, equalling about 30% of the entire Finnish labour force. • The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries has some 1,600 member companies. 11.12.2013 4
  • 5. Turnover of the Technology Industry in Finland 34 32 30 28 26 24 22 20 18 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 Billion euros,at current prices Metals industry Mechanical engineering Electronics and electrotechnical industry Information technology Consulting engineering 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Source: Statistics Finland 2010 2011 2012 11.12.2013 5
  • 6. Export of Technology Industry Goods from Finland by Area in 2012 Total goods exports 26.5 billion euros* Western Europe 12.0 billion € 45.2 % North America 2.2 billion € 8.2 % Central and Eastern Europe 5.3 billion € 20.2 % the Middle East 0.6 billion € 2.3 % South and Central America 1.5 billion € 5.5 % Africa 0.8 billion € 3.0 % Asia 4.1 billion € 15.6 % *) In addition to goods exports the sector exports services worth about 12 billion euros. Source: National Board of Customs, Statistics Finland 11.12.2013 6
  • 7. Turnover of the Industry and Technology Industry in Finland 150 2005 = 100 Change: 1-8, 2013 / 1-8, 2012, % 140 130 Industry -4 % 120 110 Technology industry 100 -6 % 90 80 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Seasonally adjusted turnover index, latest information 8/2013. Source: Statistics Finland 11.12.2013 7
  • 8. Turnover of the Technology Industry in Finland 200 2005 = 100 Change: 1-8,2013 / 1-8,2012, % 190 180 Information technology 170 +13 % 160 Consulting engineering 150 +4 % 140 130 Mechanical engineering 120 -7 % 110 Metals industry 100 -7 % 90 80 Electronics and electrotechnical industry 70 60 -14 % 50 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Seasonally adjusted turnover index, latest information 8/2013. Share of total turnover in 2012: mechanical engineering 41 %, electronics and electrotechnical industry 26 %, metals industry 14 %, information technology 11 %, consulting engineering 8 %. Source: Statistics Finland 11.12.2013 8
  • 9. Value of New Orders in the Technology Industry* in Finland 12000 11000 10000 9000 8000 7000 6000 5000 4000 3000 2000 1000 0 Million euros, at current prices Combined Export Domestic 2005 2006 2007 Change: Export: Domestic: Combined: 2008 2009 2010 2011 III,2013 / III,2012 -30 % +1 % -24 % 2012 2013 III,2013 / II,2013 -24 % -21 % -23 % *) Excluding metals industry. Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent companies, latest information July-September 2013 11.12.2013 9
  • 10. Value of Order Books in the Technology Industry* in Finland Million euros, at current prices 24000 22000 20000 18000 Combined 16000 Export 14000 12000 10000 Domestic 8000 6000 4000 2000 0 2005 2006 2007 Change: Export: Domestic: Combined: *) Excluding metals industry. 2008 2009 2010 30.9.2013 / 30.9.2012 -12 % -3 % -10 % 2011 2012 2013 30.9.2013 / 30.6.2013 -10 % -2 % -8 % Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent companies, latest information 30.9.2013 11.12.2013 10
  • 11. Change in Value of Order Books in the Technology Industry in Finland Compared with a Year Earlier 200 % Change by companies: 30.9.2013 / 30.9.2012 180 % 160 % 140 % 120 % 100 % 80 % 60 % 40 % 20 % Median: 0 % 0% Average: -10 % -20 % -40 % -60 % -80 % -100 % Companies in random order Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent companies, latest information 30.9.2013 11.12.2013 11
  • 12. Value of New Orders in the Electronics and Electrotechnical Industry in Finland 7000 6500 6000 5500 5000 4500 4000 3500 3000 2500 2000 1500 1000 500 0 Million euros, at current prices Combined Export Domestic 2005 2006 Change: Export: Domestic: Combined: 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 III,2013 / III,2012 -51 % -10 % -48 % 2012 2013 III,2013 / II,2013 -42 % -11 % -39 % Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent companies, latest information July-September 2013 11.12.2013 12
  • 13. Value of Order Books in the Electronics and Electrotechnical Industry in Finland 8000 7500 7000 6500 6000 5500 5000 4500 4000 3500 3000 2500 2000 1500 1000 500 0 Million euros, at current prices Combined Export Domestic 2005 2006 Change: Export: Domestic: Combined: 2007 2008 2009 2010 30.9.2013 / 30.9.2012 -43 % -18 % -41 % 2011 2012 2013 30.9.2013 / 30.6.2013 -33 % -10 % -32 % Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent companies, latest information 30.9.2013 11.12.2013 13
  • 14. Value of New Orders in the Mechanical Engineering in Finland 5000 Million euros, at current prices 4500 4000 3500 Combined 3000 Export 2500 2000 Domestic 1500 1000 500 0 2005 Change: Export: Domestic: Combined: 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 III,2013 / III,2012 +4 % -8 % +1 % 2012 2013 III,2013 / II,2013 0% -26 % -7 % Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent companies, latest information July-September 2013 11.12.2013 14
  • 15. Value of Order Books in the Mechanical Engineering in Finland Million euros, at current prices 15000 14000 13000 12000 11000 10000 9000 8000 7000 6000 5000 4000 3000 2000 1000 0 Combined Export Domestic 2005 Change: Export: Domestic: Combined: 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 30.9.2013 / 30.9.2012 +5 % -5 % +3 % 2011 2012 2013 30.9.2013 / 30.6.2013 +1 % +1 % +1 % Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent companies, latest information 30.9.2013 11.12.2013 15
  • 16. Value of New Orders in the Consulting Engineering in Finland Million euros, at current prices 320 300 280 260 240 220 200 180 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 Combined Export Domestic 2005 Change: Export: Domestic: Combined: 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 III,2013 / III,2012 -10 % +9 % +6 % 2011 2012 2013 III,2013 / II,2013 -23 % -4 % -7 % Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent companies, latest information July-September 2013 11.12.2013 16
  • 17. Value of Order Books in the Consulting Engineering in Finland Million euros, at current prices 600 550 Combined 500 450 400 Export 350 300 250 Domestic 200 150 100 50 0 2005 Change: Export: Domestic: Combined: 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 30.9.2013 / 30.9.2012 -3 % +22 % +16 % 2011 2012 2013 30.9.2013 / 30.6.2013 -13 % -3 % -5 % Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent companies, latest information 30.9.2013 11.12.2013 17
  • 18. Value of New Orders in the Information Technology in Finland 800 750 700 650 600 550 500 450 400 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 Million euros, at current prices 2005 2006 Change: Combined: 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 III,2013 / III,2012 +29 % 2012 2013 III,2013 / II,2013 -18 % Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent companies, latest information July-September 2013 11.12.2013 18
  • 19. Value of Order Books in the Information Technology in Finland Million euros, at current prices 2000 1800 1600 1400 1200 1000 800 600 400 200 0 2007 Change: Combined: 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 30.9.2013 / 30.9.2012 30.9.2013 / 30.6.2013 -3 % -2 % Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent companies, latest information 30.9.2013 11.12.2013 19
  • 20. Personnel in the Technology Industry Some 15 000 of employees affected by temporary or part-time lay-offs 340 000 320 000 300 000 280 000 260 000 240 000 220 000 200 000 180 000 160 000 140 000 2008 2009 Personnel in Finland 2010 2011 2012 2013 (30.9.) Personnel in subsidiaries abroad Source: Statistics Finland, The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ labour force survey 11.12.2013 20
  • 21. Technology Industry Personnel in Finland 160 000 140 000 120 000 100 000 80 000 60 000 40 000 20 000 0 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 (30.9) Metals industry Mechanical engineering industry Information technology Electronics and Electrotechnical Industry Consulting engineering Source: Statistics Finland, The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ labour force survey 11.12.2013 21
  • 22. Retirement of Technology Industry Personnel 9000 Individuals per year 8000 7000 6000 5000 Salaried employees 4000 3000 2000 Blue collar employees 1000 0 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 Number of individuals retired Number of individuals retiring (estimation) Source:, Wage inquiry of the Federation of Finnish Technology Industries, Finnish Centre for Pensions, Statistics Finland 11.12.2013 22
  • 23. Retirement of Technology Industry Blue Collar Employees 3500 Individuals per year 3000 2500 2000 1500 1000 500 0 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 Mechanical engineering Metals industry Electronics and electrotechnical industry Source: Wage inquiry of the Federation of Finnish Technology Industries, Finnish Centre for 11.12.2013 Pensions, Statistics Finland 23
  • 24. Situational overview and outlook • • • • • • • - Finland is in the grip of structural change. Development remains uneven between companies. - Turnover in Finland in 2012 was some EUR 67 billion. Turnover in the pre-crisis year 2008 was EUR 81 billion. - The monetary value of new orders in July-September was 24 % lower than in the corresponding period of 2012, and 23 % lower than at the level of the preceding quarter. - At the end of September, the value of order books was 10 % lower year on year, and 8 % lower the value reported at the end of June. - The turnover of technology industry companies could fall by as much as 10 per cent year-on-year, being significantly lower than in the times preceding the 2008 financial crises. - Since 2008, personnel numbers in Finland have shrunk by 30,000 employees, totalling 288,000 at the end of September. - Small and medium-sized enterprises in particular have reported weak development in profitability. 11.12.2013 24
  • 25. European recovery will take time 11.12.2013 25
  • 26. Industrial Production Volume Industrial production volume in EU countries 10 %, but in Finland 19 % lower since early 2008 110 2008=100 105 USA 100 95 EU28 countries 90 Japan 85 80 Finland 75 70 65 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Seasonally adjusted volume index, latest information 9/2013 or 10/2013. Source: Eurostat, Federal Reserve (USA), Statistics Bereau and Statistics Center 11.12.2013 (Japan) 26
  • 27. Industrial Production Volume in EU Countries 125 2008=100 120 Poland 115 Estonia 110 Belgium 105 Austria 100 Germany 95 Sweden 90 Finland 85 Italy 80 Spain 75 70 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Seasonally adjusted volume index, latest information 9/2013. Source: Eurostat 2013 11.12.2013 27
  • 28. The Share of Industry in GDP in Finland 1900-2012 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% Industry Source: Statistics Finland Industry + service sectors in the technology industry 11.12.2013 28
  • 29. Breakdown of World Industrial Production % 50 45 40 Asia 35 30 North America 25 20 15 Europe 10 5 0 1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 Purchasing power parity adjusted shares. Source: Maddison (Historical Statistics), IMF and ETLA 11.12.2013 29
  • 30. Industrial Production Development by Year 320 China 300 280 Korea 260 India 240 Russia 220 200 Finland 180 Brazil 160 140 USA 2005=100 120 Euroarea 100 Japan 80 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013e 2014e Source: Consensus Economics 11.12.2013 30
  • 31. Almost all Western Countries have Excessive Public Debt Public debt / GDP, % 210 200 190 180 170 160 150 140 130 120 110 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 Greece Italy Irland Portugal USA Belgium Germany Spain Finland Sweden 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012e 2013e 2014e Source: OECD, Economic Outlook, May 2013 11.12.2013 31
  • 32. The Big Challenge for Finland after 2008 11.12.2013 32
  • 33. Finnish Exports up to EUR 20 – 30 Billion Short of Annual Target Level 28 27 26 25 24 23 22 21 20 19 18 17 16 15 14 13 12 11 10 Export of goods and services by quarter, billion euros, at current prices Exports needed to avoid extra running into debt in the public sector Exports, realized 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Working day and seasonally adjusted index. Latest information April-June 2013. Source: Statistics Finland 2011 2012 2013 11.12.2013 33
  • 34. Finnish Exports lagging Behind Competitors 230 Export of goods and services by quarter, billion euros, at current prices, index 220 210 Estonia 200 190 Poland 180 Chech Republic Germany 170 160 Netherlands 150 Belgium 140 130 Sweden 120 Finland 110 100 2005,I = 100 90 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Working day and seasonally adjusted index. Latest information April-June 2013. Source: Eurostat 2011 2012 2013 11.12.2013 34
  • 35. Finland not attracting Companies’ Investment Companies’ Fixed Investments in Different Countries Indeksi, 2005=100 135 Germany 130 125 Switzerland 120 Sweden 115 110 USA 105 Belgium 100 95 Finland 90 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012e Source: OECD, Economic Outlook, May 2013 2013e 2014e 11.12.2013 35
  • 36. Unit Labour Costs at the National Economy Level (Including the Effective Exchange Rates) 120 2005,I =100 115 Finland’s cost competitiveness declines 110 105 Finland’s cost competitiveness improves 100 95 90 2005 2006 2007 Compared to Germany Compared to the Netherlands 2008 2009 2010 Compared to Spain Compared to Austria 2011 2012 2013 Compared to Italy Compared to Finland *) In the ECB Harmonised Competitiveness Index, the average effective exchange rate of each country is calculated vis-à-vis 20 to 30 main trade partners, as well as the development of unit labour costs for the total economy Latest information II/2013. 36 11.12.2013 Source: European Central Bank
  • 37. What should be done? • Support the renewal of the industry • Taxes should support growth and investment in Finland • Support decision making in companies related to compensation and working time • No new European nor national burdens on companies, which are deteriorating the competitiveness 11.12.2013 37
  • 38. Long-Term Outlook and Challenges • Global Structural Change Set to Continue Apace – Industrial production and services will relocate to rapidly developing economic areas – Strong growth, large markets, cheap labour and increasing expertise will increase the attractiveness of these regions. • Competition over Skills and Raw Materials Set to Increase – Due to an increase in retirement, the sector’s annual recruitment need in Finland will rise considerably in the coming years. – The availability of reasonably-priced energy also threatens to become an investment bottleneck in Finland • Combating Climate Change – A challenge as costs are set to grow faster than in competitor countries – An opportunity for new environmental and energy technologies 11.12.2013 38