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Cycle time
trumps scale
Big data as the
organizational nervous system
Photo by Echiner on Flickr. Used under a creative commons license. https://
www.flickr.com/photos/decadence/249922560
Big Data is the Third Age of computing
(Jim Stodgill of O’Reilly Radar said this.)
Computing
Automate
things
Networking
Interconnect
things
Big Data
Predict &
change things
Volume
(the “lots”)
Velocity
(the “fast”)
Variety
(the
“different”)
Pick
any
two
Big and varied,
but not fast.
Photo by cybrgrrl (http://www.flickr.com/photos/cybrgrl/1295482521/) on Flickr
Big and fast,
but not
varied.
BIG * FAST * VARIED = K
None of this is new.
Eventual
consistency
made social
networks
possible.
“End of Day Balance will only appear for dates previous to the last 2 business days.”
“Transactions from today are reflected in your balance, but may not be displayed on
this page if you recently updated your bankbook, if a paper statement was recently
issued, or if a transaction is backdated. These transactions will appear in your
history the following business day.”
Banks, too.
What’s new is
lim
K ➝ 0
Moore’s Law unlocked the triangle.
Big, fast, and varied got cheap.
This is about the unintended effects
of abundance.
Uses 75% less coal.
WTF?
Shouldn’t more efficiency mean
less consumption?
more consumption.
Efficiency means
lower costs means
new uses means
more demand means
This is about dramatically changing
economic fundamentals.
When you’re a startup
your goal is to find a sustainable,
repeatable business model.
When you’re a big company, your
goal is to perpetuate one.
How to perpetuate something.
Photo by Kamal Hamid. Used under a creative commons license. https://
www.flickr.com/photos/evergreenkamal/395448039
Traditionally, get to a scale others
can’t compete with.
(say Michael Porter and others.)
Daniel Craig
McCallum.
F500 lifespan history
Fortune 500
Life Expectancy
(http://csinvesting.org/2012/01/06/fortune-500-extinction/)
1950 2010...
75
years
15
years
Growth by
entering a new
business
Corporate
Strategy Board
95
% fail
99
% fail
Clay
Christensen
How’s that working out for you?
The innovation
problem isn’t new.
Picture by James Whatley on Flickr. Used under a Creative Commons license.
https://www.flickr.com/photos/whatleydude/6202872135
This is about embracing
the harsh light of data.
0
15
30
2007 2012
EVERY 4h EVERY 55m
Times a “heavy rotation” song is played daily
This is about designing interruptions
and producing outcomes.
“Design is the human
capacity to plan and
produce desired outcomes.”
- Bruce Mau
“The right information in
the right place just
changes your life.”
- Stewart Brand
http://theappslab.com/2012/08/14/some-light-testing-of-google-now/
Google Now, Siri, and Cortana are the
prosthetic brain of homo connectus.
Really?
Homo connectus?
Shark, jumped.
This is about avoiding the trap of the
local maximum.
YOU ARE
HERE
YOU ARE
HERE
LOCAL
MAXIMUM
OPTIMIZATION
OF CURRENT
METRICS
YOU ARE
HERE
GLOBAL
MAXIMUMINNOVATION
WITH NEW
RULES
YOU ARE
HERE
SHORT-TERM
INVESTORS
HATE GOING
DOWNHILL
This is about small batches.
3D printing.
Photo by Keith Kissel on Flickr. Used under a creative commons license. https://www.flickr.com/photos/kakissel/6165114664
http://www.flickr.com/photos/fdctsevilla/4052593758/
Cloud computing and shared services.
Social platforms.
Photo by Michael-Davis Burchat on Flickr. Used under a creative commons license. https://www.flickr.com/photos/curious_e/10473440064
Crowdfunding.
Digital
channels.
PhotobyGaryLerudeonFlickr.Usedunderacreativecommonslicense.
https://www.flickr.com/photos/garylerude/7511464618
What happens
when the prototype costs
what the product does?
This is about reducing
organizational cycle time.
Iteration wins.
This is about ninjas instead of
standing armies.
A standing army in times of peace
PhotofromtheStateRecordsofNewSouthWales.UsedunderaCreativeCommonslicense.
http://www.flickr.com/photos/state-records-nsw/4534071932/
Ninjas in times of uncertainty
PhotobyMarijndeVriesHoogerwerff.UsedunderaCreativeCommonslicense.
http://www.flickr.com/photos/artonice/2331656717
John Boyd
can shoot
you down.
The OODA loop.
Collect
data
Human exploration
Machine learning &
mining
Platforms
Infrastructure
Store
Ingest &
clean Share
Measure results
& create feedback
Business users & data modelers
Corporate governance & policy
Data scientists & analysts
Change
the
model?
In a small-batch, digital-channel
world, cycle time trumps scale.
And big data is about building the
central nervous system by which
organizations learn.
Art by the Flaming Lotus Girls. Used under a Creative Commons license. https://www.flickr.com/photos/sanfranannie/3993231378
www.tiltthewindmill.com
Alistair Croll
acroll@gmail.com
@acroll
Windmill by Eric Bennett on Flickr. Used under a Creative Commons license.
Thanks!

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