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State of Venture Capital
& Angel Markets 2016
STARTUP
CAPITAL VENTURES
What’s Going On In The US VC Cycle?
	
  	
  
	
  Page	
  2	
  
VCs
Invest In
Startups
Startups
Exit Via
M&A or
IPO
VCs
return
capital to
LPs
LPs
Invest In
VCs
Silicon Valley Honolulu
Significant Changes From Last Year &
Signs of Curves Ahead
•  Strong LP investment in VC
•  VCs investing more than at any time
since .com era
•  Signs valuations & $ will decline
•  California & software still dominate
•  Exit market off highs but still strong
•  Strongest angel market in 15 years
•  Angels investing differently than VC
Silicon Valley Honolulu
	
  	
  
	
  Page	
  3	
  
Agenda
LP Investments In VC
VC Investing Activity
Angel, Accelerator & Crowdfunding
Exit Activity
Conclusions
Silicon Valley Honolulu
	
  	
  
	
  Page	
  4	
  
VC Fundraising Market Is Healthy
	
  
	
  Page	
  5	
  
.com boom
& bust
Silicon Valley Honolulu
Source: Thomson Reuters / PwC / NVCA
Number Of VC Funds Raised Declined
But Still Robust
Silicon Valley Honolulu Page 6
Source: Thomson Reuters / PwC / NVCA
New Funds Represent Over 30%
Of Total Funded
Source: Thomson Reuters / NVCA
Silicon Valley Honolulu Page 7
• VC Returns Continue to Outperform
• Public MarketsVC Returns Continue To Exceed
Public Market Returns
Source: NVCA, Cambridge Associates
Silicon Valley Honolulu
	
  	
  
	
  Page	
  8	
  
Agenda
Silicon Valley Honolulu
	
  	
  
	
  Page	
  9	
  
LP Investments In VC
VC Investing Activity
Angel, Accelerator & Crowdfunding
Exit Activity
Conclusions
$59B Of Venture Capital Invested In 2015
Is Highest Since 2000
Silicon Valley Honolulu Page 10
Source: Thomson Reuters / PwC / NVCA
$7B Of Corporate VC Is Highest in 10 Yrs
Focused On Software & Biotech
Silicon Valley Honolulu Page 11
Source: PWC Moneytree Report
Number of US VC Deals Remains
Essentially Flat For 15 Years
Silicon Valley Honolulu Page 12
Source: Thomson Reuters / PwC / NVCA
Silicon Valley Dominates US VC With CA
Making Up Almost 60% of Total $
Silicon Valley Honolulu Page 13
Source: Thomson Reuters / PwC / NVCA
LA / Orange County
Software Is Eating The $ While Consumer
Products Bumped Up
Silicon Valley Honolulu Page 14
Source: Thomson Reuters / PwC / NVCA
Software Represents 40%
Of Deals With Biotech #2 at ~10%
Silicon Valley Honolulu Page 15
Source: Thomson Reuters / PwC / NVCA
Seed Stage Investment Continues To Be
Scarce
Silicon Valley Honolulu Page 16
Source: Thomson Reuters / PwC / NVCA
Deal Sizes Close To .com Highs...
Silicon Valley Honolulu Page 17
Source: Thomson Reuters / PwC / NVCA
* Driven by two billion $ deals and
several multi-hundred $ deals
Valuations (All Rounds Combined)
Dropped Significantly In Q4
Silicon Valley Honolulu Page 18
Source: Dow Jones VentureSource
Venture Investment Environment Is At
Highest Levels Since .com Era
However the comparison is unfair
•  Still just 50% of .com highs
•  Most funded companies have revenue and growth
•  Investing sectors are more tech. heavy (e.g.
software, cloud) vs. internet and media
•  Business models are more sophisticated AND
more capital-efficient
•  Cloud services (e.g. AWS) reduce capital needed
Silicon Valley Honolulu
	
  	
  
	
  Page	
  19	
  
Agenda
Silicon Valley Honolulu
	
  	
  
	
  Page	
  20	
  
LP Investments In VC
VC Investing Activity
Angel, Accelerator & Crowdfunding
Exit Activity
Conclusions
Technology Angel Funding Strong But
Disconnected From Venture
Angel funding at highest levels in years
•  $1.65B invested in 870 deals
Deal size and valuations strong but also falling
But disconnected from venture capital
•  Investing in different sectors than VC
•  Most active angel syndicates are outside major
VC markets
Silicon Valley Honolulu
	
  	
  
	
  Page	
  21	
  
Crowdfunding Industry Still Dominated By
Project & Lending Sectors
Project funding (e.g. Kickstarter: $2.2B funded to
date) and lending (e.g. Lending Club) dominate
Angel.co is largest equity funder at $160M in 2015
SEC unaccredited investor equity crowdfunding
regulations remain limiting
•  Remains nascent with no dominant platform yet
Silicon Valley Honolulu
	
  	
  
	
  Page	
  22	
  
Average Tech. Angel Round Size
At All Time High
Silicon Valley Honolulu Page 23
Source: ARI Halo Report
Tech. Angel Valuations At All Time High
(2013 Median Was $2.5M)
Silicon Valley Honolulu Page 24
Source: ARI Halo Report
Tech. Angel Dollars More Democratic Than
CA-Centric Venture Capital
Silicon Valley Honolulu Page 25
Source: ARI Halo Report
Angel Dollars Are Less Software & More
Healthcare Than VC
Silicon Valley Honolulu Page 26
Source: ARI Halo Report
Why Are Tech. Angels Investing
Differently Than Venture?
Many possibilities or combinations
•  Investing in concepts angels understand
•  Investing proportional to applicant pool
•  Consumer internet has lower entry barriers
•  Angels unaware of VC funding patterns
•  News making consumer IPOs (TWTR)
create observational bias
•  ?
Silicon Valley Honolulu
	
  	
  
	
  Page	
  27	
  
Agenda
LP Investments In VC
VC Investing Activity
Angel, Accelerator & Crowdfunding
Exit Activity
Conclusions
Silicon Valley Honolulu
	
  	
  
	
  Page	
  28	
  
Page 29
Venture M&A and IPO Markets
Activity Are Off Highs
Silicon Valley Honolulu
Source: Thomson Reuters / PwC / NVCA
Slowest M&A
market since 2009
VC-backed IPO and M&A Valuations
Are Also Down
Silicon Valley Honolulu Page 30
Source: Thomson Reuters / PwC / NVCA
FB acquisition of
WhatsApp for
$19.5BN
Agenda
LP Investments In VC
VC Investing Activity
Angel, Accelerator & Crowdfunding
Exit Activity
Conclusions
Silicon Valley Honolulu
	
  	
  
	
  Page	
  31	
  
VCs Invested
$59B In
Portfolio
~$90B In
Venture Exits
(IPO + M&A)
LPs
Invested
$20B In VCs
VCs Invested Far More In Startups Than
LPs Are Investing Back Into VC
Page	
  32	
  
Sources: NVCA, Thomson Reuters, Cambridge
Silicon Valley Honolulu
VC will decline unless LP investment into VC grows
Better Angel & VC Investing Synchronicity
Could Improve Angel Returns
Startups and angels are dependent upon
follow-on venture funding
Angel investing patterns do not appear to
influence VC investing patterns
VCs are focused on investing in active exit
markets
Silicon Valley Honolulu
	
  	
  
	
  Page	
  33	
  
www.startupcv.com
STARTUP
CAPITAL VENTURES

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State Of Venture Capital and Angel Markets 2016

  • 1. State of Venture Capital & Angel Markets 2016 STARTUP CAPITAL VENTURES
  • 2. What’s Going On In The US VC Cycle?      Page  2   VCs Invest In Startups Startups Exit Via M&A or IPO VCs return capital to LPs LPs Invest In VCs Silicon Valley Honolulu
  • 3. Significant Changes From Last Year & Signs of Curves Ahead •  Strong LP investment in VC •  VCs investing more than at any time since .com era •  Signs valuations & $ will decline •  California & software still dominate •  Exit market off highs but still strong •  Strongest angel market in 15 years •  Angels investing differently than VC Silicon Valley Honolulu      Page  3  
  • 4. Agenda LP Investments In VC VC Investing Activity Angel, Accelerator & Crowdfunding Exit Activity Conclusions Silicon Valley Honolulu      Page  4  
  • 5. VC Fundraising Market Is Healthy    Page  5   .com boom & bust Silicon Valley Honolulu Source: Thomson Reuters / PwC / NVCA
  • 6. Number Of VC Funds Raised Declined But Still Robust Silicon Valley Honolulu Page 6 Source: Thomson Reuters / PwC / NVCA
  • 7. New Funds Represent Over 30% Of Total Funded Source: Thomson Reuters / NVCA Silicon Valley Honolulu Page 7
  • 8. • VC Returns Continue to Outperform • Public MarketsVC Returns Continue To Exceed Public Market Returns Source: NVCA, Cambridge Associates Silicon Valley Honolulu      Page  8  
  • 9. Agenda Silicon Valley Honolulu      Page  9   LP Investments In VC VC Investing Activity Angel, Accelerator & Crowdfunding Exit Activity Conclusions
  • 10. $59B Of Venture Capital Invested In 2015 Is Highest Since 2000 Silicon Valley Honolulu Page 10 Source: Thomson Reuters / PwC / NVCA
  • 11. $7B Of Corporate VC Is Highest in 10 Yrs Focused On Software & Biotech Silicon Valley Honolulu Page 11 Source: PWC Moneytree Report
  • 12. Number of US VC Deals Remains Essentially Flat For 15 Years Silicon Valley Honolulu Page 12 Source: Thomson Reuters / PwC / NVCA
  • 13. Silicon Valley Dominates US VC With CA Making Up Almost 60% of Total $ Silicon Valley Honolulu Page 13 Source: Thomson Reuters / PwC / NVCA LA / Orange County
  • 14. Software Is Eating The $ While Consumer Products Bumped Up Silicon Valley Honolulu Page 14 Source: Thomson Reuters / PwC / NVCA
  • 15. Software Represents 40% Of Deals With Biotech #2 at ~10% Silicon Valley Honolulu Page 15 Source: Thomson Reuters / PwC / NVCA
  • 16. Seed Stage Investment Continues To Be Scarce Silicon Valley Honolulu Page 16 Source: Thomson Reuters / PwC / NVCA
  • 17. Deal Sizes Close To .com Highs... Silicon Valley Honolulu Page 17 Source: Thomson Reuters / PwC / NVCA * Driven by two billion $ deals and several multi-hundred $ deals
  • 18. Valuations (All Rounds Combined) Dropped Significantly In Q4 Silicon Valley Honolulu Page 18 Source: Dow Jones VentureSource
  • 19. Venture Investment Environment Is At Highest Levels Since .com Era However the comparison is unfair •  Still just 50% of .com highs •  Most funded companies have revenue and growth •  Investing sectors are more tech. heavy (e.g. software, cloud) vs. internet and media •  Business models are more sophisticated AND more capital-efficient •  Cloud services (e.g. AWS) reduce capital needed Silicon Valley Honolulu      Page  19  
  • 20. Agenda Silicon Valley Honolulu      Page  20   LP Investments In VC VC Investing Activity Angel, Accelerator & Crowdfunding Exit Activity Conclusions
  • 21. Technology Angel Funding Strong But Disconnected From Venture Angel funding at highest levels in years •  $1.65B invested in 870 deals Deal size and valuations strong but also falling But disconnected from venture capital •  Investing in different sectors than VC •  Most active angel syndicates are outside major VC markets Silicon Valley Honolulu      Page  21  
  • 22. Crowdfunding Industry Still Dominated By Project & Lending Sectors Project funding (e.g. Kickstarter: $2.2B funded to date) and lending (e.g. Lending Club) dominate Angel.co is largest equity funder at $160M in 2015 SEC unaccredited investor equity crowdfunding regulations remain limiting •  Remains nascent with no dominant platform yet Silicon Valley Honolulu      Page  22  
  • 23. Average Tech. Angel Round Size At All Time High Silicon Valley Honolulu Page 23 Source: ARI Halo Report
  • 24. Tech. Angel Valuations At All Time High (2013 Median Was $2.5M) Silicon Valley Honolulu Page 24 Source: ARI Halo Report
  • 25. Tech. Angel Dollars More Democratic Than CA-Centric Venture Capital Silicon Valley Honolulu Page 25 Source: ARI Halo Report
  • 26. Angel Dollars Are Less Software & More Healthcare Than VC Silicon Valley Honolulu Page 26 Source: ARI Halo Report
  • 27. Why Are Tech. Angels Investing Differently Than Venture? Many possibilities or combinations •  Investing in concepts angels understand •  Investing proportional to applicant pool •  Consumer internet has lower entry barriers •  Angels unaware of VC funding patterns •  News making consumer IPOs (TWTR) create observational bias •  ? Silicon Valley Honolulu      Page  27  
  • 28. Agenda LP Investments In VC VC Investing Activity Angel, Accelerator & Crowdfunding Exit Activity Conclusions Silicon Valley Honolulu      Page  28  
  • 29. Page 29 Venture M&A and IPO Markets Activity Are Off Highs Silicon Valley Honolulu Source: Thomson Reuters / PwC / NVCA Slowest M&A market since 2009
  • 30. VC-backed IPO and M&A Valuations Are Also Down Silicon Valley Honolulu Page 30 Source: Thomson Reuters / PwC / NVCA FB acquisition of WhatsApp for $19.5BN
  • 31. Agenda LP Investments In VC VC Investing Activity Angel, Accelerator & Crowdfunding Exit Activity Conclusions Silicon Valley Honolulu      Page  31  
  • 32. VCs Invested $59B In Portfolio ~$90B In Venture Exits (IPO + M&A) LPs Invested $20B In VCs VCs Invested Far More In Startups Than LPs Are Investing Back Into VC Page  32   Sources: NVCA, Thomson Reuters, Cambridge Silicon Valley Honolulu VC will decline unless LP investment into VC grows
  • 33. Better Angel & VC Investing Synchronicity Could Improve Angel Returns Startups and angels are dependent upon follow-on venture funding Angel investing patterns do not appear to influence VC investing patterns VCs are focused on investing in active exit markets Silicon Valley Honolulu      Page  33