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Q3 2012 Results




 November 29, 1
              2012
Forward looking statements
MATTERS DISCUSSED IN THIS DOCUMENT MAY CONSTITUTE FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS. THE PRIVATE SECURITIES LITIGATION REFORM
ACT OF 1995 PROVIDES SAFE HARBOR PROTECTIONS FOR FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS IN ORDER TO ENCOURAGE COMPANIES TO PROVIDE
PROSPECTIVE INFORMATION ABOUT THEIR BUSINESS. FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS INCLUDE STATEMENTS CONCERNING PLANS,
OBJECTIVES, GOALS, STRATEGIES, FUTURE EVENTS OR PERFORMANCE, AND UNDERLYING ASSUMPTIONS AND OTHER STATEMENTS, WHICH ARE
OTHER THAN STATEMENTS OF HISTORICAL FACTS.


FRONTLINE DESIRES TO TAKE ADVANTAGE OF THE SAFE HARBOR PROVISIONS OF THE PRIVATE SECURITIES LITIGATION REFORM ACT OF 1995
AND IS INCLUDING THIS CAUTIONARY STATEMENT IN CONNECTION WITH THIS SAFE HARBOR LEGISLATION. THE WORDS “BELIEVE,”
“ANTICIPATE,” “INTENDS,” “ESTIMATE,” “FORECAST,” “PROJECT,” “PLAN,” “POTENTIAL,” “WILL,” “MAY,” “SHOULD,” “EXPECT” “PENDING” AND
SIMILAR EXPRESSIONS IDENTIFY FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS.


THE FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS IN THIS DOCUMENT ARE BASED UPON VARIOUS ASSUMPTIONS, MANY OF WHICH ARE BASED, IN TURN,
UPON FURTHER ASSUMPTIONS, INCLUDING WITHOUT LIMITATION, MANAGEMENT'S EXAMINATION OF HISTORICAL OPERATING TRENDS, DATA
CONTAINED IN FRONTLINE’S RECORDS AND OTHER DATA AVAILABLE FROM THIRD PARTIES. ALTHOUGH FRONTLINE BELIEVES THAT THESE
ASSUMPTIONS WERE REASONABLE WHEN MADE, BECAUSE THESE ASSUMPTIONS ARE INHERENTLY SUBJECT TO SIGNIFICANT UNCERTAINTIES
AND CONTINGENCIES WHICH ARE DIFFICULT OR IMPOSSIBLE TO PREDICT AND ARE BEYOND FRONTLINE’S CONTROL, YOU CANNOT BE ASSURED
THAT FRONTLINE WILL ACHIEVE OR ACCOMPLISH THESE EXPECTATIONS, BELIEFS OR PROJECTIONS. FRONTLINE UNDERTAKES NO DUTY TO
UPDATE ANY FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENT TO CONFORM THE STATEMENT TO ACTUAL RESULTS OR CHANGES IN EXPECTATIONS.


IMPORTANT FACTORS THAT, IN FRONTLINE’S VIEW, COULD CAUSE ACTUAL RESULTS TO DIFFER MATERIALLY FROM THOSE DISCUSSED IN THE
FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS INCLUDE, WITHOUT LIMITATION: THE STRENGTH OF WORLD ECONOMIES AND CURRENCIES, GENERAL MARKET
CONDITIONS, INCLUDING FLUCTUATIONS IN CHARTERHIRE RATES AND VESSEL VALUES, CHANGES IN DEMAND IN THE TANKER MARKET,
INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO CHANGES IN OPEC'S PETROLEUM PRODUCTION LEVELS AND WORLD WIDE OIL CONSUMPTION AND STORAGE,
CHANGES IN FRONTLINE’S OPERATING EXPENSES, INCLUDING BUNKER PRICES, DRYDOCKING AND INSURANCE COSTS, THE MARKET FOR
FRONTLINE’S VESSELS, AVAILABILITY OF FINANCING AND REFINANCING, ABILITY TO COMPLY WITH COVENANTS IN SUCH FINANCING
ARRANGEMENTS, FAILURE OF COUNTERPARTIES TO FULLY PERFORM THEIR CONTRACTS WITH US, CHANGES IN GOVERNMENTAL RULES AND
REGULATIONS OR ACTIONS TAKEN BY REGULATORY AUTHORITIES, POTENTIAL LIABILITY FROM PENDING OR FUTURE LITIGATION, GENERAL
DOMESTIC AND INTERNATIONAL POLITICAL CONDITIONS, POTENTIAL DISRUPTION OF SHIPPING ROUTES DUE TO ACCIDENTS OR POLITICAL
EVENTS, VESSEL BREAKDOWNS, INSTANCES OF OFF-HIRE AND OTHER IMPORTANT FACTORS. FOR A MORE COMPLETE DISCUSSION OF THESE
AND OTHER RISKS AND UNCERTAINTIES ASSOCIATED WITH FRONTLINE’S BUSINESS, PLEASE REFER TO FRONTLINE’S FILINGS WITH THE
SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION, INCLUDING, BUT NOT LIMITED TO, ITS ANNUAL REPORT ON FORM 20-F.


THIS PRESENTATION IS NOT AN OFFER TO PURCHASE OR SELL, OR A SOLICITATION OF AN OFFER TO PURCHASE OR SELL, ANY SECURITIES OF
FRONTLINE.



                                                                                                                          2
Agenda


■ Third Quarter 2012 Highlights and
  Transactions
■ Financial Review

■ Newbuildings

■ Market Update

■ Outlook

■ Q & A




                                      3
Third Quarter 2012

Highlights and Transactions

■   Termination of long term charter party
    with SFL for OBO carriers
     ■   Front Climber terminated in October
     ■   Agreed to terminate Front Driver in
         November




■   Agreed with NAT that Frontline’s nine
    Suezmax vessels will leave the Orion Pool
     ■   Subsequently sold Frontline’s 50%
         ownership of Orion to NAT




                                                4
Third Quarter 2012

Financial Highlights
                                              50                                                                                 15
                                                                  -24        7

                                             -50        Q3        Q2         Q1          FY             Q3           Q2          Q1
                                                                                                                     -35
Q3 - 2012 results                                       -49      2012                                         2011
                                            -150
■   Net loss: $49m                                                                                     -166
■   Net loss per share: $0.63               -250


                                            -350
Nine months 2012 results
■   Net loss: $66.2m                        -450

■   Net loss per share: $0.85                                                                   -530
                                            -550
                                                   Net Income/loss ex sales ($million)        Sales profit/loss ($million)
                                           1.00
No dividend declared in Q3-2012                                -0.31       0.09                                       0.02   0.20 0.10
                                           0.00
                                                        Q3        Q2         Q1          FY             Q3          Q2           Q1
                                           -1.00     -0.63                                                       -0.45
Share price NYSE November 28 2012: $3.43                         2012                                         2011

                                           -2.00
    –   Market cap: $267m                                                                             -2.13
                                           -3.00

                                           -4.00

                                           -5.00

                                           -6.00
                                                                                              -6.80
                                           -7.00
                                                                 EPS ($)      Dividend per share reported ($)
                                                                                                                             5
Financial Review

Income Statement
          2011        2012 CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED INCOME STATEMENTS                        2012        2011
        Jul-Sept    Jul-Sept (in thousands of $)                                        Jan-Sept    Jan-Sept

        173,914    126,809 Total operating revenues                                     470,671     628,121
          3,787       3,288 Gain on sale of assets and amortization of deferred gains     19,373       4,984
         72,061      64,049 Voyage expenses and commission                               189,525     228,114
         (1,581)           - Profit share expense (income)                                     -         829
               -      9,904 Contingent rental expense                                     42,631            -
         45,378      36,600 Ship operating expenses                                      101,511     147,912
         16,740       8,880 Charter hire expenses                                         31,099      50,843
          9,871       8,338 Administrative expenses                                       24,701      26,489
        121,443            - Impairment loss on vessels                                   13,141     121,443
         49,603      28,301 Depreciation                                                  86,892     151,540
        313,515    156,072 Total operating expenses                                     489,500     727,170

      (135,814)    (25,975) Net operating gain (loss)                                       544     (94,065)

            251          40 Interest income                                                   90       3,929
        (32,522)    (23,551) Interest expense                                           (71,813)    (104,309)
          (111)         (92) Share of results from associated companies                      167        (411)
             21          79 Foreign currency exchange gain                                   100         171
          1,707         341 Other non-operating items                                      4,317       9,969
      (166,468)    (49,158) Net loss before taxes and noncontrolling interest           (66,595)   (184,716)
            (76)        (95) Taxes                                                         (257)        (183)
            388         236 Net loss (income) attributable to noncontrolling interest        664      (1,036)
      (166,156)    (49,017) Net loss attributable to Frontline Ltd.                     (66,188)   (185,935)


        $(2.13)     $(0.63) Basic loss per share ($)                                     $(0.85)     $(2.39)


                                                                                                                6
Financial Review

Income on time charter basis

                                           2012                                   2011
      $/day                  YTD      Q3          Q2       Q1       FY       Q3          Q2       Q1

      VLCC Spot DH           23 700   13 300      31 500   25 400   20 200   12 600      23 900   27 400
      VLCC w hole fleet      23 200   12 300      31 000   25 600   22 800   17 000      26 100   28 600


      Suezm ax Spot DH       15 500   10 500      16 200   19 500   12 600    7 800      14 500   16 000
      Suezmax w hole fleet   15 500   10 500      16 200   19 500   14 100    9 500      15 800   17 300
      Orion Suezmax pool     15 300   11 100      17 400   19 200   13 600    7 600      16 200   17 700


      OBO                    33 300   33 700      28 100   37 800   36 700   38 200      31 300   36 300




                                                                                                           7
Financial Review

   Ship operating expenses/Off-hire
                         Total fleet opex ($/day)                                                Number of vessels drydocked
13 000                                                                         10
                                                                                                              9
         11 800                                                                 9
12 000
                  11 100
                                                                                8
11 000                                                      10 800              7
                                                                     10 200
                                   9 900                                        6
10 000                                                                                     5
                                           9 200    9 300                       5
                           9 000                                                     4
 9 000
                                                                                4
                                                                                                                               3    3
 8 000                                                                          3
                                                                                                                                              2
 7 000
                                                                                2
                                                                                                                      1
                                                                                1
 6 000                                                                          0
          Q3       Q2       Q1       FY      Q4     Q3       Q2        Q1
                                                                                    Q3     Q2       Q1        FY      Q4    Q3     Q2        Q1
                  2012                              2011
                                                                                          2012                             2011

                                                                                                         Off hire (days)
                                                                              800
                                                                              700                           677
  Tentative drydock schedule/no. of vessels
                                                                              600
     –    Q4-2012: 1                                                          500
                                                                              400
                                                                              300
                                                                                                                                   211       221
                                                                              200   144   141                              159
                                                                                                                     86
                                                                              100                   41
                                                                               0
                                                                                    Q3    Q2        Q1       FY      Q4    Q3      Q2        Q1
                                                                                          2012                             2011
                                                                                                                                         8
Financial Review

Balance Sheet

   Balance sheet
   (in $ million)                                 2012      2012     2011
                                                Sept 30   June 30   Dec 31

   Cash                                            165       177      161
   Restricted cash                                  76        89      101
   Other Current assets                            149       176      149
   Long term assets:
   Vessels                                       1 222     1 252    1 334
   Newbuildings                                     20        14       13
   Other long term assets                           94        95       83
   Total assets                                  1 726     1 803    1 841

   Current liabilities                             191       194      167
   Long term liabilities                         1 387     1 412    1 460
   Noncontrolling interest                          12        12       12
   Frontline Ltd. stockholders' equity             136       185      201
   Total liabilities and stockholders' equity    1 726     1 803    1 841




                                                                             9
Financial Review

    Cash Cost Breakeven



                                 Estimated Cash cost breakeven rates
                                        for the remainder of 2012 ($/day)

                                       VLCC                    23,400
                                       Suezmax                 16,200
                                       OBO                     12,400




Comments to B/E rates:
–    Included in cash B/E rates are: BB hire, opex , interest expense and admin. costs.
–    B/E rates exclude vessels on short term TC-in, vessels on BB-out, capex. and ITCL vessels



                                                                                                 10
Newbuilding

    Newbuilding Overview
■     Total newbuilding program as of November 28:
        –   Two Suezmax tankers
        –   Remaining installments to be paid approx. $94.2m




                                                               11
Corporate Overview

Frontline Fleet

        Incl. vessels on commercial management & ITCL, excl. newbuildings


                                                  OBO 3    VLCC SH 2




                     Suezmax DH 15




                                                                                   VLCC DH 35




                                                                                                Total: 55
                                     As per end Q3-12   DH: Double Hull, SH: Single Hull                    12
Corporate Overview

 Frontline Fleet
                                                                               Q4 2012                             2013
                                                                                                        No. of
                                                                                           Av. Net                   Av. TC    Av. Net
                                                                 No. of        Av. TC                  vessels
                                                                                         TC/BB Rate                Coverage TC/BB Rate
                                                                vessels       Coverage                (per end
                                                                                           ($/day)                (whole year) ($/day)
                                                                                                        2013)
                  DH                                                  22           9%        39 700            20         8%      39 900
      VLCC
                  SH                                                      2
                  DH                                                      8                                  10
    Suezmax       OBO                                                     3       74 %       64 400           2        91 %      63 900
                  Newbuildings                                            2
                  VLCC DH                                                 6       67 %                        6        53 %
      ITCL
                  Suezmax DH                                              3      100 %                        3       100 %


                  VLCC DH                                                 7                                   8
    Com Mgt
                  Suezmax DH                                              4                                   4


Total Fleet (ex. Newbuildings)                                        55                                     53


Total Fleet (ex. Newbuildings, ITCL, SH BB coverage, Com Mgt)         33          12 %       52 100          32        11 %      52 500


Total Fleet (ex. Newbuildings, ITCL incl. SH BB coverage, Com Mgt)    46           9%                        44         8%


- The average TC coverage percentage is based on estimated total trading days
- TC-in vessels are assumed redelivered upon contract expiration




                                                                                                                                13
Market Update

          Earnings & Market Factors
                                                                                                                  Q3 – Average Market earnings / Marex
          100 000
                                                          VLCC                                                ■   VLCC                    : -$3,750/day (Q2: $22,750/day)
                                                                                                              ■   Suezmax                 : $9,500/day (Q2: 18,000/day)
           80 000




           60 000                                                                                                 The Market:
$ / day




                                                                                                              ■   Reduced crude oil imports to China
           40 000                                                                                             ■   VLCC fleet increased by seven vessels and Suezmax fleet
                                                                                                                  increased by four vessels during the quarter
           20 000                                                                                             ■   Negative sentiment in the market
                                                                                                              ■   Lack of westbound VLCC cargoes
               0
                    Jan   Feb   Mar   Apr   May     June         July    Aug       Sept     Oct   Nov   Dec   ■   IEA expected Q4 global oil demand has been reduced to
                                      Q3          2011           2012          Ave 2008 - 2012
                                                                                                                  90.1 mb/d, reflecting persistent weakness in Europe
          100 000
                                                    SUEZMAX
                                                                                                              ■   OPEC crude exports fell to a nine month low at the end of
           90 000
                                                                                                                  Q3.
           80 000                                                                                             ■   Global refinery throughputs averaged 75.9 mb/d in Q3, as
                                                                                                                  recovering Chinese runs and strong OECD margins, notably
           70 000
                                                                                                                  in Europe offset US hurricane outages. A seasonal dip is
           60 000                                                                                                 expected to leave refinery runs at an average of 75.5 mb/d
$ / day




           50 000                                                                                                 in Q4
           40 000

           30 000

           20 000

           10 000

               0
                    Jan   Feb   Mar   Apr   May     June         July    Aug      Sept      Oct   Nov   Dec

                                       Q3          2011           2012          Ave 2008 - 2012



                                                                                                                                                                     14
                                                                                                                    Source: MAREX, IEA, Clarksons
Market Update

VLCC Fleet
                                   Fleet                                                      Slippage
                                                                                             11 vessels ytd
Current Fleet                622       Orderbook                       88
DH Fleet                     600       Delivered 2012                  43
SH (DS, DB, SS) Fleet         22       Estimated deliveries 2012       58


                        Current fleet & Orderbook                                       Delivery Schedule




                                                                                                              15
                                                           Source: Fearnleys November 2012
Market Update

Suezmax Fleet
                                   Fleet                                                    Slippage
Current Fleet               466      Orderbook                                63           14 vessels ytd
DH Fleet                    457      Delivered 2012                           44
SH (DS, DB, SS) Fleet         9      Estimated deliveries 2012                50


                        Current fleet & Orderbook                                     Delivery Schedule




                                                                                                        16
                                                         Source: Fearnleys November 2012
M USD




                                                               50
                                                                    60
                                                                           70
                                                                                  80
                                                                                          90
                                                                                                100
                                                                                                           110
                                                                                                                  120
                                                                                                                                 130
                                                                                                                                       140
                                                                                                                                                      150
                                                                                                                                                            160
                                                                                                                                                                       170
                                                                                                                                                                             180
                                                     2006-02

                                                     2006-07

                                                     2006-12




                                       VLCC NB
                                                     2007-05
                                                                                                                                                                                                     Rates
                                                                                                                                                                                                             Market Update




                                                     2007-10

                                                     2008-03

                                                     2008-08

                                                     2009-01




                                       SMAX NB
                                                     2009-06

                                                     2009-11

                                                     2010-04

                                                     2010-09
                                                                                                                                                                                       NEWBUILDING




                                                     2011-02

                                                     2011-07

                                                     2011-12

                                                     2012-05

                                                     2012-10




                                                                                                $ / DAY
                                                                                       30 000
                                                                                                      40 000
                                                                                                                        50 000
                                                                                                                                                                              80 000




                                                           10 000
                                                                         20 000
                                                                                                                                             60 000
                                                                                                                                                              70 000




                                                 0
                                    Apr-05
                                    Sep-05
                                    Feb-06




Source: Clarksons
                                     Jul-06
                                    Dec-06
                                    May-07
                    3Y TC VLCC      Oct-07
                                    Mar-08
                                    Aug-08
                                    Jan-09
                                    Jun-09
                                    Nov-09
                                                                                                                                                                                       TC MARKET




                                    Apr-10
                                    Sep-10
                    3Y TC SUEZMAX




                                    Feb-11
                                     Jul-11
                                    Dec-11
                                    May-12
               17




                                    Oct-12
Market Update

    Outlook
    General                                                      Frontline
■   Increase in tonnage miles as Motiva have restarted       ■   Restructuring of the fleet continues, older non-core vessels
    their Port Arthur refinery importing from AG to Caribs       sold and one TC vessel will be redelivered in December
■   10 second hand VLCC sold to non regular trading          ■   Continued outperformance of peers in the VLCC segment
    buyers                                                       (why not let us run your VLCCs!) –suezmax segment was
                                                                 disappointing
■   Vessels still slow speeding reducing available tonnage
                                                             ■   Frontline will continue to remain cautious and focus its
■   Big owners controlling the available tonnage in tight
                                                                 resources on the present activities until a clearer sign of
    windows
                                                                 recovery can be seen in the tanker market
■   Consensus is that the recent rate spike could be short
    lived and that recovery in the crude tanker market
    could take some time




                                                                                                                      18
                                                                 Source: Various
Q   uestions?




                19

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Frontline Q3 2012 results presentation

  • 1. Q3 2012 Results November 29, 1 2012
  • 2. Forward looking statements MATTERS DISCUSSED IN THIS DOCUMENT MAY CONSTITUTE FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS. THE PRIVATE SECURITIES LITIGATION REFORM ACT OF 1995 PROVIDES SAFE HARBOR PROTECTIONS FOR FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS IN ORDER TO ENCOURAGE COMPANIES TO PROVIDE PROSPECTIVE INFORMATION ABOUT THEIR BUSINESS. FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS INCLUDE STATEMENTS CONCERNING PLANS, OBJECTIVES, GOALS, STRATEGIES, FUTURE EVENTS OR PERFORMANCE, AND UNDERLYING ASSUMPTIONS AND OTHER STATEMENTS, WHICH ARE OTHER THAN STATEMENTS OF HISTORICAL FACTS. FRONTLINE DESIRES TO TAKE ADVANTAGE OF THE SAFE HARBOR PROVISIONS OF THE PRIVATE SECURITIES LITIGATION REFORM ACT OF 1995 AND IS INCLUDING THIS CAUTIONARY STATEMENT IN CONNECTION WITH THIS SAFE HARBOR LEGISLATION. THE WORDS “BELIEVE,” “ANTICIPATE,” “INTENDS,” “ESTIMATE,” “FORECAST,” “PROJECT,” “PLAN,” “POTENTIAL,” “WILL,” “MAY,” “SHOULD,” “EXPECT” “PENDING” AND SIMILAR EXPRESSIONS IDENTIFY FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS. THE FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS IN THIS DOCUMENT ARE BASED UPON VARIOUS ASSUMPTIONS, MANY OF WHICH ARE BASED, IN TURN, UPON FURTHER ASSUMPTIONS, INCLUDING WITHOUT LIMITATION, MANAGEMENT'S EXAMINATION OF HISTORICAL OPERATING TRENDS, DATA CONTAINED IN FRONTLINE’S RECORDS AND OTHER DATA AVAILABLE FROM THIRD PARTIES. ALTHOUGH FRONTLINE BELIEVES THAT THESE ASSUMPTIONS WERE REASONABLE WHEN MADE, BECAUSE THESE ASSUMPTIONS ARE INHERENTLY SUBJECT TO SIGNIFICANT UNCERTAINTIES AND CONTINGENCIES WHICH ARE DIFFICULT OR IMPOSSIBLE TO PREDICT AND ARE BEYOND FRONTLINE’S CONTROL, YOU CANNOT BE ASSURED THAT FRONTLINE WILL ACHIEVE OR ACCOMPLISH THESE EXPECTATIONS, BELIEFS OR PROJECTIONS. FRONTLINE UNDERTAKES NO DUTY TO UPDATE ANY FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENT TO CONFORM THE STATEMENT TO ACTUAL RESULTS OR CHANGES IN EXPECTATIONS. IMPORTANT FACTORS THAT, IN FRONTLINE’S VIEW, COULD CAUSE ACTUAL RESULTS TO DIFFER MATERIALLY FROM THOSE DISCUSSED IN THE FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS INCLUDE, WITHOUT LIMITATION: THE STRENGTH OF WORLD ECONOMIES AND CURRENCIES, GENERAL MARKET CONDITIONS, INCLUDING FLUCTUATIONS IN CHARTERHIRE RATES AND VESSEL VALUES, CHANGES IN DEMAND IN THE TANKER MARKET, INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO CHANGES IN OPEC'S PETROLEUM PRODUCTION LEVELS AND WORLD WIDE OIL CONSUMPTION AND STORAGE, CHANGES IN FRONTLINE’S OPERATING EXPENSES, INCLUDING BUNKER PRICES, DRYDOCKING AND INSURANCE COSTS, THE MARKET FOR FRONTLINE’S VESSELS, AVAILABILITY OF FINANCING AND REFINANCING, ABILITY TO COMPLY WITH COVENANTS IN SUCH FINANCING ARRANGEMENTS, FAILURE OF COUNTERPARTIES TO FULLY PERFORM THEIR CONTRACTS WITH US, CHANGES IN GOVERNMENTAL RULES AND REGULATIONS OR ACTIONS TAKEN BY REGULATORY AUTHORITIES, POTENTIAL LIABILITY FROM PENDING OR FUTURE LITIGATION, GENERAL DOMESTIC AND INTERNATIONAL POLITICAL CONDITIONS, POTENTIAL DISRUPTION OF SHIPPING ROUTES DUE TO ACCIDENTS OR POLITICAL EVENTS, VESSEL BREAKDOWNS, INSTANCES OF OFF-HIRE AND OTHER IMPORTANT FACTORS. FOR A MORE COMPLETE DISCUSSION OF THESE AND OTHER RISKS AND UNCERTAINTIES ASSOCIATED WITH FRONTLINE’S BUSINESS, PLEASE REFER TO FRONTLINE’S FILINGS WITH THE SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION, INCLUDING, BUT NOT LIMITED TO, ITS ANNUAL REPORT ON FORM 20-F. THIS PRESENTATION IS NOT AN OFFER TO PURCHASE OR SELL, OR A SOLICITATION OF AN OFFER TO PURCHASE OR SELL, ANY SECURITIES OF FRONTLINE. 2
  • 3. Agenda ■ Third Quarter 2012 Highlights and Transactions ■ Financial Review ■ Newbuildings ■ Market Update ■ Outlook ■ Q & A 3
  • 4. Third Quarter 2012 Highlights and Transactions ■ Termination of long term charter party with SFL for OBO carriers ■ Front Climber terminated in October ■ Agreed to terminate Front Driver in November ■ Agreed with NAT that Frontline’s nine Suezmax vessels will leave the Orion Pool ■ Subsequently sold Frontline’s 50% ownership of Orion to NAT 4
  • 5. Third Quarter 2012 Financial Highlights 50 15 -24 7 -50 Q3 Q2 Q1 FY Q3 Q2 Q1 -35 Q3 - 2012 results -49 2012 2011 -150 ■ Net loss: $49m -166 ■ Net loss per share: $0.63 -250 -350 Nine months 2012 results ■ Net loss: $66.2m -450 ■ Net loss per share: $0.85 -530 -550 Net Income/loss ex sales ($million) Sales profit/loss ($million) 1.00 No dividend declared in Q3-2012 -0.31 0.09 0.02 0.20 0.10 0.00 Q3 Q2 Q1 FY Q3 Q2 Q1 -1.00 -0.63 -0.45 Share price NYSE November 28 2012: $3.43 2012 2011 -2.00 – Market cap: $267m -2.13 -3.00 -4.00 -5.00 -6.00 -6.80 -7.00 EPS ($) Dividend per share reported ($) 5
  • 6. Financial Review Income Statement 2011 2012 CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED INCOME STATEMENTS 2012 2011 Jul-Sept Jul-Sept (in thousands of $) Jan-Sept Jan-Sept 173,914 126,809 Total operating revenues 470,671 628,121 3,787 3,288 Gain on sale of assets and amortization of deferred gains 19,373 4,984 72,061 64,049 Voyage expenses and commission 189,525 228,114 (1,581) - Profit share expense (income) - 829 - 9,904 Contingent rental expense 42,631 - 45,378 36,600 Ship operating expenses 101,511 147,912 16,740 8,880 Charter hire expenses 31,099 50,843 9,871 8,338 Administrative expenses 24,701 26,489 121,443 - Impairment loss on vessels 13,141 121,443 49,603 28,301 Depreciation 86,892 151,540 313,515 156,072 Total operating expenses 489,500 727,170 (135,814) (25,975) Net operating gain (loss) 544 (94,065) 251 40 Interest income 90 3,929 (32,522) (23,551) Interest expense (71,813) (104,309) (111) (92) Share of results from associated companies 167 (411) 21 79 Foreign currency exchange gain 100 171 1,707 341 Other non-operating items 4,317 9,969 (166,468) (49,158) Net loss before taxes and noncontrolling interest (66,595) (184,716) (76) (95) Taxes (257) (183) 388 236 Net loss (income) attributable to noncontrolling interest 664 (1,036) (166,156) (49,017) Net loss attributable to Frontline Ltd. (66,188) (185,935) $(2.13) $(0.63) Basic loss per share ($) $(0.85) $(2.39) 6
  • 7. Financial Review Income on time charter basis 2012 2011 $/day YTD Q3 Q2 Q1 FY Q3 Q2 Q1 VLCC Spot DH 23 700 13 300 31 500 25 400 20 200 12 600 23 900 27 400 VLCC w hole fleet 23 200 12 300 31 000 25 600 22 800 17 000 26 100 28 600 Suezm ax Spot DH 15 500 10 500 16 200 19 500 12 600 7 800 14 500 16 000 Suezmax w hole fleet 15 500 10 500 16 200 19 500 14 100 9 500 15 800 17 300 Orion Suezmax pool 15 300 11 100 17 400 19 200 13 600 7 600 16 200 17 700 OBO 33 300 33 700 28 100 37 800 36 700 38 200 31 300 36 300 7
  • 8. Financial Review Ship operating expenses/Off-hire Total fleet opex ($/day) Number of vessels drydocked 13 000 10 9 11 800 9 12 000 11 100 8 11 000 10 800 7 10 200 9 900 6 10 000 5 9 200 9 300 5 9 000 4 9 000 4 3 3 8 000 3 2 7 000 2 1 1 6 000 0 Q3 Q2 Q1 FY Q4 Q3 Q2 Q1 Q3 Q2 Q1 FY Q4 Q3 Q2 Q1 2012 2011 2012 2011 Off hire (days) 800 700 677  Tentative drydock schedule/no. of vessels 600 – Q4-2012: 1 500 400 300 211 221 200 144 141 159 86 100 41 0 Q3 Q2 Q1 FY Q4 Q3 Q2 Q1 2012 2011 8
  • 9. Financial Review Balance Sheet Balance sheet (in $ million) 2012 2012 2011 Sept 30 June 30 Dec 31 Cash 165 177 161 Restricted cash 76 89 101 Other Current assets 149 176 149 Long term assets: Vessels 1 222 1 252 1 334 Newbuildings 20 14 13 Other long term assets 94 95 83 Total assets 1 726 1 803 1 841 Current liabilities 191 194 167 Long term liabilities 1 387 1 412 1 460 Noncontrolling interest 12 12 12 Frontline Ltd. stockholders' equity 136 185 201 Total liabilities and stockholders' equity 1 726 1 803 1 841 9
  • 10. Financial Review Cash Cost Breakeven Estimated Cash cost breakeven rates for the remainder of 2012 ($/day) VLCC 23,400 Suezmax 16,200 OBO 12,400 Comments to B/E rates: – Included in cash B/E rates are: BB hire, opex , interest expense and admin. costs. – B/E rates exclude vessels on short term TC-in, vessels on BB-out, capex. and ITCL vessels 10
  • 11. Newbuilding Newbuilding Overview ■ Total newbuilding program as of November 28: – Two Suezmax tankers – Remaining installments to be paid approx. $94.2m 11
  • 12. Corporate Overview Frontline Fleet Incl. vessels on commercial management & ITCL, excl. newbuildings OBO 3 VLCC SH 2 Suezmax DH 15 VLCC DH 35 Total: 55 As per end Q3-12 DH: Double Hull, SH: Single Hull 12
  • 13. Corporate Overview Frontline Fleet Q4 2012 2013 No. of Av. Net Av. TC Av. Net No. of Av. TC vessels TC/BB Rate Coverage TC/BB Rate vessels Coverage (per end ($/day) (whole year) ($/day) 2013) DH 22 9% 39 700 20 8% 39 900 VLCC SH 2 DH 8 10 Suezmax OBO 3 74 % 64 400 2 91 % 63 900 Newbuildings 2 VLCC DH 6 67 % 6 53 % ITCL Suezmax DH 3 100 % 3 100 % VLCC DH 7 8 Com Mgt Suezmax DH 4 4 Total Fleet (ex. Newbuildings) 55 53 Total Fleet (ex. Newbuildings, ITCL, SH BB coverage, Com Mgt) 33 12 % 52 100 32 11 % 52 500 Total Fleet (ex. Newbuildings, ITCL incl. SH BB coverage, Com Mgt) 46 9% 44 8% - The average TC coverage percentage is based on estimated total trading days - TC-in vessels are assumed redelivered upon contract expiration 13
  • 14. Market Update Earnings & Market Factors Q3 – Average Market earnings / Marex 100 000 VLCC ■ VLCC : -$3,750/day (Q2: $22,750/day) ■ Suezmax : $9,500/day (Q2: 18,000/day) 80 000 60 000 The Market: $ / day ■ Reduced crude oil imports to China 40 000 ■ VLCC fleet increased by seven vessels and Suezmax fleet increased by four vessels during the quarter 20 000 ■ Negative sentiment in the market ■ Lack of westbound VLCC cargoes 0 Jan Feb Mar Apr May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec ■ IEA expected Q4 global oil demand has been reduced to Q3 2011 2012 Ave 2008 - 2012 90.1 mb/d, reflecting persistent weakness in Europe 100 000 SUEZMAX ■ OPEC crude exports fell to a nine month low at the end of 90 000 Q3. 80 000 ■ Global refinery throughputs averaged 75.9 mb/d in Q3, as recovering Chinese runs and strong OECD margins, notably 70 000 in Europe offset US hurricane outages. A seasonal dip is 60 000 expected to leave refinery runs at an average of 75.5 mb/d $ / day 50 000 in Q4 40 000 30 000 20 000 10 000 0 Jan Feb Mar Apr May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec Q3 2011 2012 Ave 2008 - 2012 14 Source: MAREX, IEA, Clarksons
  • 15. Market Update VLCC Fleet Fleet Slippage 11 vessels ytd Current Fleet 622 Orderbook 88 DH Fleet 600 Delivered 2012 43 SH (DS, DB, SS) Fleet 22 Estimated deliveries 2012 58 Current fleet & Orderbook Delivery Schedule 15 Source: Fearnleys November 2012
  • 16. Market Update Suezmax Fleet Fleet Slippage Current Fleet 466 Orderbook 63 14 vessels ytd DH Fleet 457 Delivered 2012 44 SH (DS, DB, SS) Fleet 9 Estimated deliveries 2012 50 Current fleet & Orderbook Delivery Schedule 16 Source: Fearnleys November 2012
  • 17. M USD 50 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 130 140 150 160 170 180 2006-02 2006-07 2006-12 VLCC NB 2007-05 Rates Market Update 2007-10 2008-03 2008-08 2009-01 SMAX NB 2009-06 2009-11 2010-04 2010-09 NEWBUILDING 2011-02 2011-07 2011-12 2012-05 2012-10 $ / DAY 30 000 40 000 50 000 80 000 10 000 20 000 60 000 70 000 0 Apr-05 Sep-05 Feb-06 Source: Clarksons Jul-06 Dec-06 May-07 3Y TC VLCC Oct-07 Mar-08 Aug-08 Jan-09 Jun-09 Nov-09 TC MARKET Apr-10 Sep-10 3Y TC SUEZMAX Feb-11 Jul-11 Dec-11 May-12 17 Oct-12
  • 18. Market Update Outlook General Frontline ■ Increase in tonnage miles as Motiva have restarted ■ Restructuring of the fleet continues, older non-core vessels their Port Arthur refinery importing from AG to Caribs sold and one TC vessel will be redelivered in December ■ 10 second hand VLCC sold to non regular trading ■ Continued outperformance of peers in the VLCC segment buyers (why not let us run your VLCCs!) –suezmax segment was disappointing ■ Vessels still slow speeding reducing available tonnage ■ Frontline will continue to remain cautious and focus its ■ Big owners controlling the available tonnage in tight resources on the present activities until a clearer sign of windows recovery can be seen in the tanker market ■ Consensus is that the recent rate spike could be short lived and that recovery in the crude tanker market could take some time 18 Source: Various
  • 19. Q uestions? 19