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Complexity in Action:
The U.S. Navy’s Learning System
Trent Hone
@Honer_CUT
Trent Hone | @Honer_CUT excella.com | @excellaco
Trent Hone | @Honer_CUT excella.com | @excellaco
In the early years of the 20th century
the U.S. Navy developed
a sophisticated learning system
that led to repeated doctrinal innovations
How was this done?
The U.S. Navy’s Learning System
Trent Hone | @Honer_CUT excella.com | @excellaco
DOCTRINE
What is doctrine anyway?
Trent Hone | @Honer_CUT excella.com | @excellaco
Trent Hone | @Honer_CUT excella.com | @excellaco
Doctrine
“... universially applicable approaches
regardless of context.” – Simon Wardley
“… acts as an enabling constraint
allowing… decisions under conditions of
extreme uncertainty.” – Will Evans
“… promotes effective coordinated action in
battle through mutual understanding.” –
U.S. Navy Manual, 1938
Trent Hone | @Honer_CUT excella.com | @excellaco
The Beginning:
Initial Experiments
with Doctrine
Trent Hone | @Honer_CUT excella.com | @excellaco
Trent Hone | @Honer_CUT excella.com | @excellacoTrent Hone | @Honer_CUT excella.com | @excellaco
Approaches to Strategy
Trent Hone | @Honer_CUT excella.com | @excellaco
Alfred T. Mahan
Naval Strategy as art
Contextual
interpretation
Fundamental
principles
Collaborative
Trent Hone | @Honer_CUT excella.com | @excellaco
Trent Hone | @Honer_CUT excella.com | @excellaco
Contextual Learning
Trent Hone | @Honer_CUT excella.com | @excellaco
Trent Hone | @Honer_CUT excella.com | @excellaco
New Opportunities
Trent Hone | @Honer_CUT excella.com | @excellaco
Trent Hone | @Honer_CUT excella.com | @excellaco
William S. Sims
Trent Hone | @Honer_CUT excella.com | @excellaco
First real
doctrine
Emerged
through
collaborative
“conference
method”
Trent Hone | @Honer_CUT excella.com | @excellaco
Doctrine Validated: 1917-1918
Trent Hone | @Honer_CUT excella.com | @excellaco
Interwar Structures
for Learning
Trent Hone | @Honer_CUT excella.com | @excellaco
Trent Hone | @Honer_CUT excella.com | @excellaco
The “Planning” System
Chief of Naval
Operations
Fleet
Command
Naval War
College
General
Board
Trent Hone | @Honer_CUT excella.com | @excellaco
Trent Hone | @Honer_CUT excella.com | @excellaco
Annual Cycles of Exercises
Trent Hone | @Honer_CUT excella.com | @excellaco
Trent Hone | @Honer_CUT excella.com | @excellaco
Fleet Problems
Trent Hone | @Honer_CUT excella.com | @excellaco
Trent Hone | @Honer_CUT excella.com | @excellaco
New Doctrinal Approaches
Trent Hone | @Honer_CUT excella.com | @excellaco
Trent Hone | @Honer_CUT excella.com | @excellaco
New Doctrinal Approaches
Trent Hone | @Honer_CUT excella.com | @excellaco
Trent Hone | @Honer_CUT excella.com | @excellaco
Tactical Heuristics
Trent Hone | @Honer_CUT excella.com | @excellaco
Aggressive Action to Seize the Initiative
Attack Effectively First (Long Range
Gunnery, Carrier Strikes)
Decentralized Decision-Making
(and Doctrinal Development)
Trent Hone | @Honer_CUT excella.com | @excellaco
By 1941…
Trent Hone | @Honer_CUT excella.com | @excellaco
Learning system is well-established
Doctrine presents a diverse set of options
Trent Hone | @Honer_CUT excella.com | @excellaco
1941
Trent Hone | @Honer_CUT excella.com | @excellaco
Pearl Harbor: Battle Fleet Crippled
Doctrine is Fractal:
Aggressive Action to Seize the Initiative
Tactical Heuristic Employed Operationally
Trent Hone | @Honer_CUT excella.com | @excellaco
1942-1943
Trent Hone | @Honer_CUT excella.com | @excellaco
Decentralized Doctrinal Development Fails
Trent Hone | @Honer_CUT excella.com | @excellaco
1942-1943
Trent Hone | @Honer_CUT excella.com | @excellaco
Heuristics Prove Effective
Trent Hone | @Honer_CUT excella.com | @excellaco
1942-1943
Trent Hone | @Honer_CUT excella.com | @excellaco
Safe-to-Fail Experimentation – New Approaches
Trent Hone | @Honer_CUT excella.com | @excellaco
November 1943
Trent Hone | @Honer_CUT excella.com | @excellaco
Central Pacific Offensive Begins
Enabled by:
Combat Information Center (CIC)
PAC-10
Transition to Loosely Connected Collection
of Mutually Reinforcing Carrier Task Forces
Trent Hone | @Honer_CUT excella.com | @excellaco
1944: New Paradigm
Trent Hone | @Honer_CUT excella.com | @excellaco
Summary
Trent Hone | @Honer_CUT excella.com | @excellaco
Trent Hone | @Honer_CUT excella.com | @excellaco
Constraints
Trent Hone | @Honer_CUT excella.com | @excellaco
Trent Hone | @Honer_CUT excella.com | @excellaco
Safe-to-Fail Experimentation
Trent Hone | @Honer_CUT excella.com | @excellaco
Trent Hone | @Honer_CUT excella.com | @excellaco
Psychological Safety
Trent Hone | @Honer_CUT excella.com | @excellaco
Trent Hone | @Honer_CUT excella.com | @excellaco
Thank You
Trent Hone | @Honer_CUT excella.com | @excellaco

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Complexity in Action: Learning in the US Navy, 1905-1945 - Lean Agile Scotland 2016

  • 1. Complexity in Action: The U.S. Navy’s Learning System Trent Hone @Honer_CUT Trent Hone | @Honer_CUT excella.com | @excellaco
  • 2. Trent Hone | @Honer_CUT excella.com | @excellaco In the early years of the 20th century the U.S. Navy developed a sophisticated learning system that led to repeated doctrinal innovations How was this done? The U.S. Navy’s Learning System Trent Hone | @Honer_CUT excella.com | @excellaco
  • 3. DOCTRINE What is doctrine anyway? Trent Hone | @Honer_CUT excella.com | @excellaco
  • 4. Trent Hone | @Honer_CUT excella.com | @excellaco Doctrine “... universially applicable approaches regardless of context.” – Simon Wardley “… acts as an enabling constraint allowing… decisions under conditions of extreme uncertainty.” – Will Evans “… promotes effective coordinated action in battle through mutual understanding.” – U.S. Navy Manual, 1938 Trent Hone | @Honer_CUT excella.com | @excellaco
  • 5. The Beginning: Initial Experiments with Doctrine Trent Hone | @Honer_CUT excella.com | @excellaco
  • 6. Trent Hone | @Honer_CUT excella.com | @excellacoTrent Hone | @Honer_CUT excella.com | @excellaco Approaches to Strategy
  • 7. Trent Hone | @Honer_CUT excella.com | @excellaco Alfred T. Mahan Naval Strategy as art Contextual interpretation Fundamental principles Collaborative Trent Hone | @Honer_CUT excella.com | @excellaco
  • 8. Trent Hone | @Honer_CUT excella.com | @excellaco Contextual Learning Trent Hone | @Honer_CUT excella.com | @excellaco
  • 9. Trent Hone | @Honer_CUT excella.com | @excellaco New Opportunities Trent Hone | @Honer_CUT excella.com | @excellaco
  • 10. Trent Hone | @Honer_CUT excella.com | @excellaco William S. Sims Trent Hone | @Honer_CUT excella.com | @excellaco First real doctrine Emerged through collaborative “conference method”
  • 11. Trent Hone | @Honer_CUT excella.com | @excellaco Doctrine Validated: 1917-1918 Trent Hone | @Honer_CUT excella.com | @excellaco
  • 12. Interwar Structures for Learning Trent Hone | @Honer_CUT excella.com | @excellaco
  • 13. Trent Hone | @Honer_CUT excella.com | @excellaco The “Planning” System Chief of Naval Operations Fleet Command Naval War College General Board Trent Hone | @Honer_CUT excella.com | @excellaco
  • 14. Trent Hone | @Honer_CUT excella.com | @excellaco Annual Cycles of Exercises Trent Hone | @Honer_CUT excella.com | @excellaco
  • 15. Trent Hone | @Honer_CUT excella.com | @excellaco Fleet Problems Trent Hone | @Honer_CUT excella.com | @excellaco
  • 16. Trent Hone | @Honer_CUT excella.com | @excellaco New Doctrinal Approaches Trent Hone | @Honer_CUT excella.com | @excellaco
  • 17. Trent Hone | @Honer_CUT excella.com | @excellaco New Doctrinal Approaches Trent Hone | @Honer_CUT excella.com | @excellaco
  • 18. Trent Hone | @Honer_CUT excella.com | @excellaco Tactical Heuristics Trent Hone | @Honer_CUT excella.com | @excellaco Aggressive Action to Seize the Initiative Attack Effectively First (Long Range Gunnery, Carrier Strikes) Decentralized Decision-Making (and Doctrinal Development)
  • 19. Trent Hone | @Honer_CUT excella.com | @excellaco By 1941… Trent Hone | @Honer_CUT excella.com | @excellaco Learning system is well-established Doctrine presents a diverse set of options
  • 20. Trent Hone | @Honer_CUT excella.com | @excellaco 1941 Trent Hone | @Honer_CUT excella.com | @excellaco Pearl Harbor: Battle Fleet Crippled Doctrine is Fractal: Aggressive Action to Seize the Initiative Tactical Heuristic Employed Operationally
  • 21. Trent Hone | @Honer_CUT excella.com | @excellaco 1942-1943 Trent Hone | @Honer_CUT excella.com | @excellaco Decentralized Doctrinal Development Fails
  • 22. Trent Hone | @Honer_CUT excella.com | @excellaco 1942-1943 Trent Hone | @Honer_CUT excella.com | @excellaco Heuristics Prove Effective
  • 23. Trent Hone | @Honer_CUT excella.com | @excellaco 1942-1943 Trent Hone | @Honer_CUT excella.com | @excellaco Safe-to-Fail Experimentation – New Approaches
  • 24. Trent Hone | @Honer_CUT excella.com | @excellaco November 1943 Trent Hone | @Honer_CUT excella.com | @excellaco Central Pacific Offensive Begins Enabled by: Combat Information Center (CIC) PAC-10 Transition to Loosely Connected Collection of Mutually Reinforcing Carrier Task Forces
  • 25. Trent Hone | @Honer_CUT excella.com | @excellaco 1944: New Paradigm Trent Hone | @Honer_CUT excella.com | @excellaco
  • 26. Summary Trent Hone | @Honer_CUT excella.com | @excellaco
  • 27. Trent Hone | @Honer_CUT excella.com | @excellaco Constraints Trent Hone | @Honer_CUT excella.com | @excellaco
  • 28. Trent Hone | @Honer_CUT excella.com | @excellaco Safe-to-Fail Experimentation Trent Hone | @Honer_CUT excella.com | @excellaco
  • 29. Trent Hone | @Honer_CUT excella.com | @excellaco Psychological Safety Trent Hone | @Honer_CUT excella.com | @excellaco
  • 30. Trent Hone | @Honer_CUT excella.com | @excellaco Thank You Trent Hone | @Honer_CUT excella.com | @excellaco

Notas del editor

  1. We tend to think this stuff is NEW. It's not... Cruiser HOUSTON
  2. We’ve been offered several definitions… Mine is virtually identical to Will’s. Why is this important, because it promotes concerted action
  3. Most influential early president of Naval War College
  4. Learning in Conference Naval War College Experience-based learning
  5. Flusser 1909
  6. Sims becomes commander of the Flotilla in 1913 Created “safe space” for collaboratively developing doctrine Repeatedly bested the larger ships in mock combat
  7. Destroyers
  8. No predominant role… our typical view of military hierarcy does not hold Community of Need
  9. Nevada and Oklahoma Exercises within the Fleet CONSTRAINTS
  10. Fleet Problems triggered problem solving Feedback loops – Conferences shared lessons
  11. New ways to formulate and conceptualize doctrine Principles are gone… Hueristics in their place Shared framework for decision-making...
  12. New ways to formulate and conceptualize doctrine Principles are gone… Hueristics in their place Shared framework for decision-making...
  13. New ways to formulate and conceptualize doctrine Principles are gone… Hueristics in their place Shared framework for decision-making...
  14. First offensive raids are in January (Wake) but aborted February strike in the Marshalls and attempt on Rabaul March – Wake and New Guinea April – Japanese Mainland May – Coral Sea June – Midway
  15. Fleet is reconfigured New doctrinal methods in place
  16. The cycle of Fleet Problems acted as a constraint Fostered self-organization within the Fleet Leading to new approaches
  17. Every ship was different These experiments were safe-to-fail Conducted at low levels, parallel, Exploited from above when they worked out DD FARENHOLT
  18. Nimitz… cite his willingness to share details with more junior commanders (like Wylie)
  19. ENTERPRISE