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Mitigating vulnerabilities and promoting sustainable
 Office of Legal and Procurement Support
  growth: Sequencing, cost-efficiency and fiscal
 UNDP, NY
          sustainability of social protection.
            Tunisia Case Study


                                          M. Sadok Elamri
                                             Program Specialist
                              Environment, Energy and Sustainable Development
                                                 UNDP Tunisia
                                            Tel : (216) 71 903 586
                                           Sadok.el-amri@undp.org
Scope of Presentation

Introduction
The contributory system
The non contributory system
Challenges and recommandations



                                 2
Introduction
Total population : 10.674 Millions (2011).
Population growth rate : 1.29% (NSI 2010)
Poverty rate (based on national poverty line):
Absolute poverty rate : 4.6 % ; Poverty rate : 15,3 %.
Unemployment :
     National : 18,9 %; inter-regional range : 9-32 %.
     Youth unemployment : 42 %
     university graduates : 30.5%
GDP/Capita (PPP) : $ 8940 (WB, 2011)
HDI : 0.698 (2011); Ranked 94/187
Regional and social disparities : poverty, unemployment,
access to education and health services,…

                                                         3
Introduction
      No nationally agreed definition of social protection!
      Concretely 2 main pillars :
  -   Contributory system: insurance / social security.
  -   Non contributory system : social assistance


                         Social Protection System


          Contributory pillar                               Non contributory pillar

                                                                 PNAFN -                AMAL
                                                                             General
         Retirement             Heath System    Medical         Assistanc    Compen
                                                                                       Program
                                                                                          for
                                                                                                       Other
                                                                                                       social
          System                : CNAM (One    assistance       e to needy    sation   unemplo       protectio
                                  Common         (1987)
                                                                               Fund     yment            n
                                                                 families     (1970)    (2011)
  CNRPS            CNSS            System)
                                                                   (1987)
                                                                                                     programs
(for public     (For private
 sector) -     sector) - 1960
   1976
                                                                                                 4
1/ The contributory system :
     Insurance / social security

1.1 The pension regime (Retirement system):

3 branches:
  Elderly benefit
  Disability benefit
  Survivors’ benefit

2 pension funds:
   •CNRPS   : for public sector employees
   •CNSS : for private sector employees
Based on different legislation between private and public
  sector : retirment age, contributive rate.
                                                            5
1/ The contributory system :
     Insurance / social security
1.1 The pension regime (Retirement system):
• Benefits for a long while from favorable demographic
  evolution (notably due to the family planning program
  introduced in early sixties).
• But ,Tunisia finished its demographic transition and is
  actually facing demographic trends of an ageing
  population : increase in life expectancy (70.3 in 1990; 74.7 in
  2010), increase of the part of over 60 population, decreased
  in fertility rate.
• Important impacts on the “PAY AS YOU GO” retirement
  system (intergenerational transfers) and on elders related
  health services expenditures (increase of incidence of chronic
  diseases).
• Dependency ratio (number of contributors for one retiree) falls
  from 16.6 in 1980 to 4.5 in 2010.
• Demographic change and high unemployment are
  creating important financial deficit which will be completely
  unsustainable if no reform in undertaken quickly.
                                                              6
1/ The contributory system :
     Insurance / social security

1.1 The pension regime (Retirement system):
  Different regimes managed by CNSS.
  Progressevly integrated new categories of
  beefeciairies. Recently new regime created for
  domestic workers.
  High global coverage (73.7%). Low caverage of
  agricultural sector employees (12%)
  But, 60 % of retires receive a pension amount
  under the minimum wage. Only 35% of elderly
  declare receiving pensions.

                                                   7
1/ The contributory system :
      Insurance / social security
1.2 The health insurance system (CNAM):
    Recently established (2007) unifying public and private
    sector health insurance systems
    No client satisfaction survey / cost effectiveness
    evaluation yet
    Weaknesses :
-   long reimbursement delays,
-   low annual maximum reimbursement amount (128$ vs
    an average of 22$ per medical visit).
-   Positive consolidated balance result of CNAM regime.
-   But, health insurance regime continuously in deficit,
    compensated by positive results of «the work accidents
    and occupational diseases » regime.
                                                          8
2/ The non contributory :
  social assistance system

Social transfers increasing in recent years (17.1
% of GDP in 2006; 18.4 % of GDP in 2010)-
Ministry of social affairs.
Tunisian authorities attempted to alleviate
poverty through 3 types of safety net programs:
  i) Food subsidies (cereals, vegetal oil, fuel,…);
  ii) direct transfer in kind and cash targeted to the
  needy (elderly, handicapped, schoolchildren and
  needy families);
  iii) “active labor market” and “public works” programs
  (short term jobs for unskilled workers, in both urban
  and rural areas, wages below the minimum wage,
  locating predominantly poor areas ).                  9
2/ The non contributory :
   social assistance system
2.1 The program for Need families (PNAFN)
 Created in 1986. To address negative effects of potential
 economic chocks due to Structural Adjustment Program.
 Most important “social transfer program”.
 Targeted Group : Poor families, Poor aged people, Poor
 handicapped persons.
 Benefits : Fixed Cash transfer (monthly $ 61 + $6/ children) .
 Demand for social assistance significally increased after
 January 14th revolution : 185 000 families in 2010; 235 000 in
 2012.
 Recent assessment (WB):
  - highly politicized quota based program.
  - Covers only 17.3 % of poor's.
  - Cost efficiency : each $ used reduces poverty by 0.12 to 0.23.
                                                                 10
2/ The non contributory :
   social assistance system

2.1 The program for Need families (PNAFN)
 PNAFN beneficiaries benefit also from Free medical
 assistance (AMG1 Card).
 But required regional/local/decentralized health
 infrastructure is insufficient. Sick people bear additional
 costs of transportation and risk delayed to access to
 emergency services.
 50.7 % of women in rural areas declare having limited
 access to health centers due to remoteness.




                                                          11
2/ The non contributory :
     social assistance system
2.2 The General Compensation Fund (GCF)
  Created in 1970
  Benefits : Subsidies for selected products (cereals, sugar, vegetal oil,
  fuel,.…).
  Important and increasing pressure on state budget resources (1.4 %
  of GDP in 2007; 1.87 % of GDP in 2011).
  No targeted groups. Inefficient targeting needy families. Benefits more
  for high and middle income households……
2.3 AMAL (hope in Arabic) program for the unemployed
  Introduced in 2011. Covers 50000 young university graduates.
  Benefits : Cash transfer ($ 123) + professional training to enhance
  employability.
  First descriptive report : only 3.6 % succeeded to find a job.;
  Side effects : reluctance of some beneficiairies to accepts $180-250
  paid job.
                                                                     12
2/ The non contributory :
           social assistance system
 Other social and development programs, indirectly linked to social protection, focusing on
 improving standard of living. Definition of social protection programs ??
 Overlapping ? Cumulative benefits ?
           Name                Date of           Targeted group                      Actions
                               creation
  Assistance to unmarried        1993            Unmarried mother                  Cash transfer
  mother with no resources

   Public works programs        1995        Short term jobs for unskilled          Cash for work
                                                      workers
    Regional program for        1973      Groups with low revenue in rural   Infrastructure improve and
development (Rural and urban                      and urban area                     job creation
                                1984
          areas)
                                1992
   National program for         1986      Low and Middle-income groups        Create decent housing
  eliminating rudimentary
                                                                                   Grant / loans
          housing
  National Solidarity Fund      1993      Groups with low revenue in rural   Infrastructure improve and
                                                 and urban area                      job creation
    ………………….                                                                                       13
Challenges and recommandations

No reliable cost efficiency studies undertaken. Authotiritan
regime tried to control data and was reluctant to any
evaluation (social protection = cost of social peace !).
Social protection system challenged by demography,
poverty, unemployment , January 14th Social uprising,…
Strong institutional capacity and well developed basic
administrative tools.
But clear problems of technical design and
fragmentation.
Assistance and active labor market programs managed by
different ministries operating with little coordination.
                                                          14
Challenges and recommandations

Necessity to move gradually to a :
•   system view of social protection (definition, clear vision,…),
    to exploit positive interactions, improve efficiency and
    effectiveness, respond to different population groups..
•   More harmonization/ integration of social assistance transfers
    and more coordination/interaction with other relevant
    programs (Service continuum ).
•   Develop basic tools : beneficiaries identification systems and
    registries, targeting schemes, M$E arrangements (entry point for
    more systemic reform to improve program design and expand
    coverage).
    New initiative : creation of social protection programs
    e-platform with great challenges : (social protection
    definition? reluctance to share information,..)
    Revolutionary process : opportunity and challenge.
                                                                15
Thank you for your attention.
                       M. Sadok Elamri
                        Program Specialist
         Environment, Energy and Sustainable Development
                           UNDP Tunisia
                       Tel : (216) 71 903 586
                      Sadok.el-amri@undp.org




Photo from manifestations for Tunisian revolution.         16

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Country Presentation Tunisia

  • 1. Mitigating vulnerabilities and promoting sustainable Office of Legal and Procurement Support growth: Sequencing, cost-efficiency and fiscal UNDP, NY sustainability of social protection. Tunisia Case Study M. Sadok Elamri Program Specialist Environment, Energy and Sustainable Development UNDP Tunisia Tel : (216) 71 903 586 Sadok.el-amri@undp.org
  • 2. Scope of Presentation Introduction The contributory system The non contributory system Challenges and recommandations 2
  • 3. Introduction Total population : 10.674 Millions (2011). Population growth rate : 1.29% (NSI 2010) Poverty rate (based on national poverty line): Absolute poverty rate : 4.6 % ; Poverty rate : 15,3 %. Unemployment : National : 18,9 %; inter-regional range : 9-32 %. Youth unemployment : 42 % university graduates : 30.5% GDP/Capita (PPP) : $ 8940 (WB, 2011) HDI : 0.698 (2011); Ranked 94/187 Regional and social disparities : poverty, unemployment, access to education and health services,… 3
  • 4. Introduction No nationally agreed definition of social protection! Concretely 2 main pillars : - Contributory system: insurance / social security. - Non contributory system : social assistance Social Protection System Contributory pillar Non contributory pillar PNAFN - AMAL General Retirement Heath System Medical Assistanc Compen Program for Other social System : CNAM (One assistance e to needy sation unemplo protectio Common (1987) Fund yment n families (1970) (2011) CNRPS CNSS System) (1987) programs (for public (For private sector) - sector) - 1960 1976 4
  • 5. 1/ The contributory system : Insurance / social security 1.1 The pension regime (Retirement system): 3 branches: Elderly benefit Disability benefit Survivors’ benefit 2 pension funds: •CNRPS : for public sector employees •CNSS : for private sector employees Based on different legislation between private and public sector : retirment age, contributive rate. 5
  • 6. 1/ The contributory system : Insurance / social security 1.1 The pension regime (Retirement system): • Benefits for a long while from favorable demographic evolution (notably due to the family planning program introduced in early sixties). • But ,Tunisia finished its demographic transition and is actually facing demographic trends of an ageing population : increase in life expectancy (70.3 in 1990; 74.7 in 2010), increase of the part of over 60 population, decreased in fertility rate. • Important impacts on the “PAY AS YOU GO” retirement system (intergenerational transfers) and on elders related health services expenditures (increase of incidence of chronic diseases). • Dependency ratio (number of contributors for one retiree) falls from 16.6 in 1980 to 4.5 in 2010. • Demographic change and high unemployment are creating important financial deficit which will be completely unsustainable if no reform in undertaken quickly. 6
  • 7. 1/ The contributory system : Insurance / social security 1.1 The pension regime (Retirement system): Different regimes managed by CNSS. Progressevly integrated new categories of beefeciairies. Recently new regime created for domestic workers. High global coverage (73.7%). Low caverage of agricultural sector employees (12%) But, 60 % of retires receive a pension amount under the minimum wage. Only 35% of elderly declare receiving pensions. 7
  • 8. 1/ The contributory system : Insurance / social security 1.2 The health insurance system (CNAM): Recently established (2007) unifying public and private sector health insurance systems No client satisfaction survey / cost effectiveness evaluation yet Weaknesses : - long reimbursement delays, - low annual maximum reimbursement amount (128$ vs an average of 22$ per medical visit). - Positive consolidated balance result of CNAM regime. - But, health insurance regime continuously in deficit, compensated by positive results of «the work accidents and occupational diseases » regime. 8
  • 9. 2/ The non contributory : social assistance system Social transfers increasing in recent years (17.1 % of GDP in 2006; 18.4 % of GDP in 2010)- Ministry of social affairs. Tunisian authorities attempted to alleviate poverty through 3 types of safety net programs: i) Food subsidies (cereals, vegetal oil, fuel,…); ii) direct transfer in kind and cash targeted to the needy (elderly, handicapped, schoolchildren and needy families); iii) “active labor market” and “public works” programs (short term jobs for unskilled workers, in both urban and rural areas, wages below the minimum wage, locating predominantly poor areas ). 9
  • 10. 2/ The non contributory : social assistance system 2.1 The program for Need families (PNAFN) Created in 1986. To address negative effects of potential economic chocks due to Structural Adjustment Program. Most important “social transfer program”. Targeted Group : Poor families, Poor aged people, Poor handicapped persons. Benefits : Fixed Cash transfer (monthly $ 61 + $6/ children) . Demand for social assistance significally increased after January 14th revolution : 185 000 families in 2010; 235 000 in 2012. Recent assessment (WB): - highly politicized quota based program. - Covers only 17.3 % of poor's. - Cost efficiency : each $ used reduces poverty by 0.12 to 0.23. 10
  • 11. 2/ The non contributory : social assistance system 2.1 The program for Need families (PNAFN) PNAFN beneficiaries benefit also from Free medical assistance (AMG1 Card). But required regional/local/decentralized health infrastructure is insufficient. Sick people bear additional costs of transportation and risk delayed to access to emergency services. 50.7 % of women in rural areas declare having limited access to health centers due to remoteness. 11
  • 12. 2/ The non contributory : social assistance system 2.2 The General Compensation Fund (GCF) Created in 1970 Benefits : Subsidies for selected products (cereals, sugar, vegetal oil, fuel,.…). Important and increasing pressure on state budget resources (1.4 % of GDP in 2007; 1.87 % of GDP in 2011). No targeted groups. Inefficient targeting needy families. Benefits more for high and middle income households…… 2.3 AMAL (hope in Arabic) program for the unemployed Introduced in 2011. Covers 50000 young university graduates. Benefits : Cash transfer ($ 123) + professional training to enhance employability. First descriptive report : only 3.6 % succeeded to find a job.; Side effects : reluctance of some beneficiairies to accepts $180-250 paid job. 12
  • 13. 2/ The non contributory : social assistance system Other social and development programs, indirectly linked to social protection, focusing on improving standard of living. Definition of social protection programs ?? Overlapping ? Cumulative benefits ? Name Date of Targeted group Actions creation Assistance to unmarried 1993 Unmarried mother Cash transfer mother with no resources Public works programs 1995 Short term jobs for unskilled Cash for work workers Regional program for 1973 Groups with low revenue in rural Infrastructure improve and development (Rural and urban and urban area job creation 1984 areas) 1992 National program for 1986 Low and Middle-income groups Create decent housing eliminating rudimentary Grant / loans housing National Solidarity Fund 1993 Groups with low revenue in rural Infrastructure improve and and urban area job creation …………………. 13
  • 14. Challenges and recommandations No reliable cost efficiency studies undertaken. Authotiritan regime tried to control data and was reluctant to any evaluation (social protection = cost of social peace !). Social protection system challenged by demography, poverty, unemployment , January 14th Social uprising,… Strong institutional capacity and well developed basic administrative tools. But clear problems of technical design and fragmentation. Assistance and active labor market programs managed by different ministries operating with little coordination. 14
  • 15. Challenges and recommandations Necessity to move gradually to a : • system view of social protection (definition, clear vision,…), to exploit positive interactions, improve efficiency and effectiveness, respond to different population groups.. • More harmonization/ integration of social assistance transfers and more coordination/interaction with other relevant programs (Service continuum ). • Develop basic tools : beneficiaries identification systems and registries, targeting schemes, M$E arrangements (entry point for more systemic reform to improve program design and expand coverage). New initiative : creation of social protection programs e-platform with great challenges : (social protection definition? reluctance to share information,..) Revolutionary process : opportunity and challenge. 15
  • 16. Thank you for your attention. M. Sadok Elamri Program Specialist Environment, Energy and Sustainable Development UNDP Tunisia Tel : (216) 71 903 586 Sadok.el-amri@undp.org Photo from manifestations for Tunisian revolution. 16