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Agriculture Sector Analysis:
       Critical Issues
Agriculture Sector
Five subsectors:
Major crops, Minor crops, Livestock,
Fisheries, Forestry.
Share in agriculture's contribution to
GDP (%)
                  1981/82 2002/03 2007/08
Major crops        51.87      40.64      34.51
Minor crops        17.22      15.90      11.01
Livestock          26.23       38.9      51.19
Fisheries           3.53       3.48      2.20
Forestry            1.02       1.13      1.15
Major Issues
•   Land Holdings
•   Cropping Pattern
•   Input Availability
•   Production, Yield and Procurement
•   Agriculture Pricing Policy
•   Agriculture Taxation
•   Agriculture Finance
•   Agriculture and WTO
Land Utilization, 1947-2008(m hectares, with a total area of 79.61 m
hectares)
                              Not                   Area sown      Total
               Reported available for total area more than cropped
Year a            area    cultivation cultivated       once        area
1947/8           46.70       20.82       20.78          0.95        11.6
1960-1965        50.52       18.94       21.20          1.68        15.1
1965-1970        52.98       19.10       21.90          1.99        16.3
1970-1975        53.53       20.50       22.13           2.5        17.0
1975-1980        54.27       20.62       19.84           3.3        18.4
1980-1985        56.29       21.29       20.32          4.09        19.7
1985-1990        57.87       23.97       20.78          4.79        20.5
1990-1995        58.04       24.49       21.17           5.7        21.9
1995-2000        59.12       24.51       21.90          6.37        22.8
2002/03          59.45       24.36       22.13          6.71        22.2
2007/08          57.25       22.70       22.03          7.92        23.5
Area under major crops, 1950-2008 (000 hectares)
                                                              Percentage
                                       Sugar                    of total
Year a          Wheat       Rice       cane        Cotton    cropped area
1950-1955       4,154.0      947.0      245.6      1275.8          -
1955-1960       4,736.6     1,078.8     365.4      1,393.2         -
1960-1965       4,896.2     1,214.2     447.6      1,375.4       52.59
1965-1970       5,591.8     1,426.6     559.0      1,635.6       56.58
1970-1975       6,017.4     1,514.6     597.6      1,860.2       58.62
1975-1980       6,272.0     1,797.6     747.0      1,916.4       58.20
1980-1985       7,174.4     1,984.2     859.8      2,177.7       61.96
1985-1990       7,418.2     1,986.6     833.0      2,459.6       62.26
1990-1995       8,058.6     2,099.0     927.4      2,758.0       63.32
1995-2000       8,306.6     2,333.8    1,029.8     3,002.4       66.21
2002/3          8,069.0     2,226.0    1,086.0     2,796.0       64.51
2007/08         8,414.0     2,515.0    1,241.0     3,054.0       65.08
Table 5.4
Production of major crops, 1950-2008 (000 tonnes)


     Year a        Wheat        Rice        Sugar cane   Cotton (000 bales)
1950-1955          3,235.8      837.2         7,192.6             -
1955-1960          3,677.6      909.6         10318.6             -
1960-1965          4,016.4     1,107.8       14,247.8         1,995.8
1965-1970          5,175.6     1,512.6        20718.0         2,625.0
1970-1975          7,145.6     1,929.2       17,402.80        3,705.0
1975-1980          8,765.0     2,778.2        26743.0         3,094.0
1980-1985         11,330.6     3,292.8       32,651.60        4,926.6
1985-1990         12,947.2     3,232.2        31973.4         7,632.6
1990-1995         15,724.0     3,412.0        40901.6         9,648.4
1995-2000         18,238.0     4,487.0       48,371.0         9,837.0
2002/03           19,235.0     4,478.0       52,049.0         10,211.0
2007/08            21,749       5,563         63,920          11,655
Yield of major agriculture crops, 1950-2008(kg/hectare)


Year a                Wheat         Rice       Sugar cane   Maize     Gram    Cotton
1950-1955             776.6         878.4       29,180.0       -        -      212
1955-1960             782.2         846.8        28240.0       -        -      212
1960-1965             831.8         929.6       33,580.0       -        -      254
1965-1970             977.0        1,507.6       37840.0       -        -      289
1970-1975            1,251.0       1,549.0      35,508.0    1,160.0   544.0    346
1975-1980            1,454.0       1,569.0       37038.0    1,249.0   486.0    284
1980-1985            1,596.0       1,684.0      37,460.0    1,267.0   476.0    343
1985-1990            1,773.0       1,600.0      39,574.0    1,339.0   514.0    544
1990-1995            1,950.0       1,623.0      44,000.0    1,407.0   452.0    594
1995-2000            2,194.0       1,919.0      46,887.0    1,657.0   614.0    557
2002/03              2,384.0       2,012.0      47,927.0    1,812.0   615.0    621
2007/08                2585         2212          51507      3264     796      649
Area irrigated by different sources, 1950-2007 (m hectares
Year a             Canals      Tubewells     Others          Total
1950-1955            7.77         0.03         1.81           9.42
1955-1960            8.64         0.09         1.51          10.25
1960-1965            9.03         0.39         1.63          11.05
1965-1970            8.92         1.02         2.31          12.25
1970-1975            9.24         2.27         1.22          12.72
1975-1980           10.29         2.82         1.08          14.18
1980-1985           11.42         3.07         0.96          15.53
1985-1990           11.48         3.88         0.82          16.18
1990-1993           12.05         4.29         0.56          16.90
2001/02             14.05         3.48         0.51          18.04
2006/07             14.58         3.88         3.16          19.62
Per Capita Availability of Main Food Items,
1986-2002
Year       Wheat Rice         Meat      Milk
           112.11 20.22 12.15          56.86
1986/7      (100) (100) (100)          (100)
           115.18 16.36 13.90          60.93
1990/1      (103)     (81)    (114)    (107)
           122.46 10.55 16.51          66.07
1994/5      (109)     (52)    (136)    (116)
           131.45 20.78 14.23          82.40
1999/00     (177) (103) (117)          (145)
           118.51 13.97 14.45          83.14
2001/2      (106)     (69)    (119)    (146)
Agriculture credit disbursed in Pakistan by agencies, 1955-2002 (Rs
m)


                                     Co-     Commercial
Year a       ZTBLb     Taccavic   operatives   banks       Totald
1955-1960      7.4       12.3       32.0          -         51.6
1960-1965     40.3       15.9       72.1          -         128.3
1965-1970     89.6       11.9       59.1          -         160.7
1970-1975     230.4      21.8       72.5       297.7        503.5
1975-1980     546.0      13.9       241.8     1,192.7      1,994.3
1980-1985    2,446.8      8.5      1,332.4    2,981.2      6,768.7
1985-1990    7,422.5     17.5      2,221.9    4,899.2     14,566.1
1990-1995    8,375.4       -       2,788.1    3,827.1     15,023.2
1995-2000   19,795.0       -       4,710.0    6,426.0     30,933.0
2002/3      29,108.0       -       5,273.0    17,486.0    52,446.0
2007-08      39,561       --        3,936      65,125     138,597
Agriculture credit disbursed advanced by ZTBL, 1980-2002 (Rs m)


Year      Pakistan   Punjab      Sindh     NWFP Balochistan
1980/1     1,058.97  741.21      257.05    45.21   15.50
1990/1     8,218.39 5,624.59    1679.00    722.59 490.80
1994/5    14,399.60 10,014.78   3048.68    712.95 623.20
2001/2    28,848.40 21,123.32   5864.90   1367.38 492.84
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Agriculture Sector Analysis - Critical Issues

  • 2. Agriculture Sector Five subsectors: Major crops, Minor crops, Livestock, Fisheries, Forestry. Share in agriculture's contribution to GDP (%) 1981/82 2002/03 2007/08 Major crops 51.87 40.64 34.51 Minor crops 17.22 15.90 11.01 Livestock 26.23 38.9 51.19 Fisheries 3.53 3.48 2.20 Forestry 1.02 1.13 1.15
  • 3. Major Issues • Land Holdings • Cropping Pattern • Input Availability • Production, Yield and Procurement • Agriculture Pricing Policy • Agriculture Taxation • Agriculture Finance • Agriculture and WTO
  • 4. Land Utilization, 1947-2008(m hectares, with a total area of 79.61 m hectares) Not Area sown Total Reported available for total area more than cropped Year a area cultivation cultivated once area 1947/8 46.70 20.82 20.78 0.95 11.6 1960-1965 50.52 18.94 21.20 1.68 15.1 1965-1970 52.98 19.10 21.90 1.99 16.3 1970-1975 53.53 20.50 22.13 2.5 17.0 1975-1980 54.27 20.62 19.84 3.3 18.4 1980-1985 56.29 21.29 20.32 4.09 19.7 1985-1990 57.87 23.97 20.78 4.79 20.5 1990-1995 58.04 24.49 21.17 5.7 21.9 1995-2000 59.12 24.51 21.90 6.37 22.8 2002/03 59.45 24.36 22.13 6.71 22.2 2007/08 57.25 22.70 22.03 7.92 23.5
  • 5. Area under major crops, 1950-2008 (000 hectares) Percentage Sugar of total Year a Wheat Rice cane Cotton cropped area 1950-1955 4,154.0 947.0 245.6 1275.8 - 1955-1960 4,736.6 1,078.8 365.4 1,393.2 - 1960-1965 4,896.2 1,214.2 447.6 1,375.4 52.59 1965-1970 5,591.8 1,426.6 559.0 1,635.6 56.58 1970-1975 6,017.4 1,514.6 597.6 1,860.2 58.62 1975-1980 6,272.0 1,797.6 747.0 1,916.4 58.20 1980-1985 7,174.4 1,984.2 859.8 2,177.7 61.96 1985-1990 7,418.2 1,986.6 833.0 2,459.6 62.26 1990-1995 8,058.6 2,099.0 927.4 2,758.0 63.32 1995-2000 8,306.6 2,333.8 1,029.8 3,002.4 66.21 2002/3 8,069.0 2,226.0 1,086.0 2,796.0 64.51 2007/08 8,414.0 2,515.0 1,241.0 3,054.0 65.08
  • 6. Table 5.4 Production of major crops, 1950-2008 (000 tonnes) Year a Wheat Rice Sugar cane Cotton (000 bales) 1950-1955 3,235.8 837.2 7,192.6 - 1955-1960 3,677.6 909.6 10318.6 - 1960-1965 4,016.4 1,107.8 14,247.8 1,995.8 1965-1970 5,175.6 1,512.6 20718.0 2,625.0 1970-1975 7,145.6 1,929.2 17,402.80 3,705.0 1975-1980 8,765.0 2,778.2 26743.0 3,094.0 1980-1985 11,330.6 3,292.8 32,651.60 4,926.6 1985-1990 12,947.2 3,232.2 31973.4 7,632.6 1990-1995 15,724.0 3,412.0 40901.6 9,648.4 1995-2000 18,238.0 4,487.0 48,371.0 9,837.0 2002/03 19,235.0 4,478.0 52,049.0 10,211.0 2007/08 21,749 5,563 63,920 11,655
  • 7. Yield of major agriculture crops, 1950-2008(kg/hectare) Year a Wheat Rice Sugar cane Maize Gram Cotton 1950-1955 776.6 878.4 29,180.0 - - 212 1955-1960 782.2 846.8 28240.0 - - 212 1960-1965 831.8 929.6 33,580.0 - - 254 1965-1970 977.0 1,507.6 37840.0 - - 289 1970-1975 1,251.0 1,549.0 35,508.0 1,160.0 544.0 346 1975-1980 1,454.0 1,569.0 37038.0 1,249.0 486.0 284 1980-1985 1,596.0 1,684.0 37,460.0 1,267.0 476.0 343 1985-1990 1,773.0 1,600.0 39,574.0 1,339.0 514.0 544 1990-1995 1,950.0 1,623.0 44,000.0 1,407.0 452.0 594 1995-2000 2,194.0 1,919.0 46,887.0 1,657.0 614.0 557 2002/03 2,384.0 2,012.0 47,927.0 1,812.0 615.0 621 2007/08 2585 2212 51507 3264 796 649
  • 8. Area irrigated by different sources, 1950-2007 (m hectares Year a Canals Tubewells Others Total 1950-1955 7.77 0.03 1.81 9.42 1955-1960 8.64 0.09 1.51 10.25 1960-1965 9.03 0.39 1.63 11.05 1965-1970 8.92 1.02 2.31 12.25 1970-1975 9.24 2.27 1.22 12.72 1975-1980 10.29 2.82 1.08 14.18 1980-1985 11.42 3.07 0.96 15.53 1985-1990 11.48 3.88 0.82 16.18 1990-1993 12.05 4.29 0.56 16.90 2001/02 14.05 3.48 0.51 18.04 2006/07 14.58 3.88 3.16 19.62
  • 9. Per Capita Availability of Main Food Items, 1986-2002 Year Wheat Rice Meat Milk 112.11 20.22 12.15 56.86 1986/7 (100) (100) (100) (100) 115.18 16.36 13.90 60.93 1990/1 (103) (81) (114) (107) 122.46 10.55 16.51 66.07 1994/5 (109) (52) (136) (116) 131.45 20.78 14.23 82.40 1999/00 (177) (103) (117) (145) 118.51 13.97 14.45 83.14 2001/2 (106) (69) (119) (146)
  • 10. Agriculture credit disbursed in Pakistan by agencies, 1955-2002 (Rs m) Co- Commercial Year a ZTBLb Taccavic operatives banks Totald 1955-1960 7.4 12.3 32.0 - 51.6 1960-1965 40.3 15.9 72.1 - 128.3 1965-1970 89.6 11.9 59.1 - 160.7 1970-1975 230.4 21.8 72.5 297.7 503.5 1975-1980 546.0 13.9 241.8 1,192.7 1,994.3 1980-1985 2,446.8 8.5 1,332.4 2,981.2 6,768.7 1985-1990 7,422.5 17.5 2,221.9 4,899.2 14,566.1 1990-1995 8,375.4 - 2,788.1 3,827.1 15,023.2 1995-2000 19,795.0 - 4,710.0 6,426.0 30,933.0 2002/3 29,108.0 - 5,273.0 17,486.0 52,446.0 2007-08 39,561 -- 3,936 65,125 138,597
  • 11. Agriculture credit disbursed advanced by ZTBL, 1980-2002 (Rs m) Year Pakistan Punjab Sindh NWFP Balochistan 1980/1 1,058.97 741.21 257.05 45.21 15.50 1990/1 8,218.39 5,624.59 1679.00 722.59 490.80 1994/5 14,399.60 10,014.78 3048.68 712.95 623.20 2001/2 28,848.40 21,123.32 5864.90 1367.38 492.84
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