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MAGAZINE PUBLISHERS’ TRANSFORMATION: 
THE TIME TO ACT IS NOW! 
PERSPECTIVE JANUARY 2014 
Demetrio Di Martino, Charles Monteux, Mark Weston
Magazine publishers’ transformation: 
the time to act is now! 
Published by 
Value Partners Management Consulting Spa 
via Vespri Siciliani 9 
20146 Milan, Italy 
January 2014 
Written by: 
Demetrio Di Martino, Charles Monteux, 
Mark Weston 
If you would like more information 
on the issues raised in the report please contact: 
charles.monteux@valuepartners.com 
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please write to: 
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Copyright 
© Value Partners Management Consulting Spa 
All rights reserved
PERSPECTIVE MAGAZINE PUBLISHERS’ TRANSFORMATION 
INTRODUCTION 5 
MIGRATION FROM PRINT TO DIGITAL ADVERTISING 7 
LIMITED SPACE FOR PUBLISHERS IN DIGITAL ADVERTISING 11 
EVOLVING BUSINESS MODELS TO RECOVER ‘LOST’ 15 
ADVERTISING REVENUES 
CONCLUSIONS 19 
AUTHORS 20 
CONTENTS
4 – 5 
How print publishers 
can succeed in regaining ‘lost’ advertising revenues
PERSPECTIVE MAGAZINE PUBLISHERS’ TRANSFORMATION 
INTRODUCTION 
THIS WHITE PAPER PRESENTS THE RESULTS OF SEVERAL STUDIES 
CONDUCTED BY VALUE PARTNERS INTO THE IMPACT OF DIGITAL 
DEVELOPMENTS ON MAGAZINE PUBLISHING BUSINESS MODELS. 
MORE SPECIFICALLY, OUR ANALYSIS FOCUSES ON UNDERSTANDING 
THE DIFFERENT APPROACHES THAT HAVE BEEN ADOPTED BY 
LEADING PUBLISHERS IN ORDER TO COMPENSATE FOR DECREASING 
ADVERTISING REVENUES. 
IN RECENT YEARS, THE GLOBAL ADVERTISING MARKET HAS 
GROWN AT A SLOWER RATE THAN GDP, WITH A MOVEMENT AWAY 
FROM TRADITIONAL AND MORE EXPENSIVE PRINTED ADVERTS TO 
CHEAPER DIGITAL FORMATS. WHILST DIFFERENT MARKET DYNAMICS 
EXIST WITHIN MATURE AND DEVELOPING MARKETS, THIS TREND HAS 
BEEN SEEN IN BOTH ALIKE AND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FURTHER 
WITH THE INCREASING PENETRATION OF BROADBAND, 
AND THE RISING POPULARITY OF SMARTPHONES AND TABLETS. 
WHILST SOME OPPORTUNITIES FOR PUBLISHERS DO APPEAR TO 
EXIST WITHIN ONLINE ADVERTISING, THESE ARE OFTEN NOT ABLE 
TO FULLY COMPENSATE FOR THE DECLINE IN THEIR TRADITIONAL 
REVENUE STREAMS. THIS IS DUE, IN PART, TO THE ESTABLISHMENT 
OF GLOBAL ONLINE PLAYERS WHO HAVE COME TO DOMINATE 
THE DIGITAL ADVERTISING MARKET WITH A SCALE AND EXPERTISE 
THAT TRADITIONAL PUBLISHERS CANNOT EASILY COMPETE 
WITH. FURTHERMORE, EVEN THE REMAINING ADDRESSABLE 
OPPORTUNITIES FOR PUBLISHERS ARE NARROWING 
AS A CONSEQUENCE OF MORE TARGETED OFFERINGS BROUGHT 
BY SOCIAL MEDIA AND AD-NETWORKS. 
WITHIN THIS CONTEXT, PRINT PUBLISHERS HAVE THUS HAD TO 
ADAPT THEIR TRADITIONAL BUSINESS MODELS IN ORDER TO 
COMPETE EFFECTIVELY. THIS PERSPECTIVE LOOKS TO INVESTIGATE 
HOW SOME OF THE LEADING PLAYERS HAVE GONE ABOUT THIS.
EXHIBIT 1 
Globally, advertising has grown less than world GDP 
Total advertising expenditures, global, USD in billions 
EXHIBIT 2 
Digital advertising has been the key growth driver, reaching ~18% of the total market 
Total advertising expenditures, global, USD in billions 
Note: (1) Traditional media: TV, radio, newspaper, magazine, etc. 
Source: JPMorgan, Media, “AdStats: Fact Book on Advertising Expenditures”, May 2012; ZenithOptimedia, March 2012; Value Partners analysis 
0.86% 
0.81% 
0.74% 
0.73% 
0.71% 
1% 
0.70% 
5% 
ADVERTISING 
GDP 
2007 
2008 
2009 
2010 
2011 
2012 
464 
463 
418 
445 
461 
498 
39% 
27% 
-12pp 
TRADITIONAL MEDIA (1) 
DIGITAL MEDIA 
% OF PRINT ADS SPENT (NEWSPAPERS AND MAGAZINES) 
VARIANCE 2007-2012 
ADVERTISING / GDP 
CAGR 2007-2012 
2007 
2012 
91% 
82% 
9% 464 
18% 498100% 
+9pp 
-9pp 
6 – 7
PERSPECTIVE MAGAZINE PUBLISHERS’ TRANSFORMATION 
Over the last five years, the total value 
spent on advertising globally has not 
kept pace with world GDP growth. This 
trend reflects a more cautious alloca-tion 
of companies’ budgets and cuts in 
‘discretionary’ or ‘non-core’ spending 
following the financial crisis. As a result, 
the advertising industry accounted for 
only 0.70% of world GDP in 2012, down 
from 0.86% in 2007 (Exhibit 1). 
In addition to these cut-backs, 
the divergence between advertising 
revenue and GDP growth has also 
been driven by the steady growth 
of lower-priced digital advertisements. 
These have doubled as a percentage 
of publicity spend between 2007 and 
2012, rising from 9% to 18 (Exhibit 2). 
This trend has been intensified by the 
rapid uptake of smartphones and tab-lets, 
and the corresponding migration 
away from traditional media consump-tion 
to its digital counterpart. 
These new devices, together with more 
powerful analytics tools, have afforded 
marketers more interactive and engag-ing 
platforms from which to target 
consumers, as well as new performance-based 
revenue models, which further 
strengthen the digital advertising 
proposition. 
The migration to digital advertising has 
predominantly come at the expense 
of printed adverts (i.e. newspapers 
and magazines), with the percentage 
of overall advertising revenues from 
these sources decreasing from 39% 
to 27% between 2007 and 2012. 
This ‘shift of power’ in favor of digital 
platforms has occurred in both develop-ing 
and mature markets alike though 
to differing degrees, with traditional 
advertising continuing to grow in 
developing markets but contracting in 
mature markets (Exhibit 3). 
MIGRATION FROM PRINT 
TO DIGITAL ADVERTISING
2007 
2007 
2012 
2012 
TRADITIONAL MEDIA (1) 
DIGITAL MEDIA 
Note: (1) Traditional media: TV, radio, newspaper, magazine, etc 
Source: OECD Broadband statistics, Fixed Broadband Subscriptions, June 2012; IMF World Economic Outlook, 2012; 
eMarketer, B2C E-commerce sales, 2012; JPMorgan, Media, “AdStats: Fact Book on Advertising Expenditures”, May 2012; 
ZenithOptimedia, March 2012; Value Partners analysis 
EXHIBIT 3 
Migration to digital has occurred unevenly between developing and mature markets 
Total advertising expenditures, global, USD in billions 
EXHIBIT 4 
Digital advertising growth at the expense of print, fueled by broadband and e-commerce 
BROADBAND PENETRATION (ENABLER) 
PRINT ADVERTISING (SUBSTITUTION EFFECT) 
E-COMMERCE MATURITY (CATALYZER) 
0% 
0% 
5% 
500 
10% 
5% 
0 
0% 
0% 
1000 
20% 
10% 
1500 
30% 
15% 
2000 
40% 
20% 
2500 
50% 
25% 
30% 
35% 
40% 
45% 
10% 
UK 
UK 
2007 
2008 
2009 
2010 
2011 
2012 
GERMANY 
GERMANY 
USA 
USA 
ITALY 
ITALY 
BRAZIL 
BRAZIL 
FRANCE 
FRANCE 
ARGENTINA 
ARGENTINA 
10% 
10% 
20% 
FIXED BB PENETRATION 
US$ / CAPITA 
% PRINT ADVERTISING 
% ADVERTISING DIGITAL 
% ADVERTISING DIGITAL 
% ADVERTISING DIGITAL 
20% 
15% 
30% 
30% 
40% 
40% 
20% 79385126373 
DEVELOPING MARKETS 
LATIN AMERICA, AFRICA, ASIA/PACIFIC AND MIDDLE EAST (EXCLUDING JAPAN, SOUTH KOREA, CHINA AND AUSTRALIA) 
MATURE MARKETS 
NORTH AMERICA, EUROPE, JAPAN AND KOREA 
10% 
-1 % 
32% 
13% 
20% 
5% 
10% 
8% 
87% 
80% 
95% 
90% 
15% 
-3% 
CAGR 2007-2012 
8 – 9 
R2 = 0.81 
R2 = 0.95 
R2 = -1
PERSPECTIVE MAGAZINE PUBLISHERS’ TRANSFORMATION 
Changes in broadband penetration 
and e-commerce maturity are two key 
factors that help to explain this ongoing 
substitution and the different dynamics 
that have emerged globally. 
More specifically, broadband penetra-tion 
has played an ‘enabler role’ within 
this migration, whilst e-commerce matu-rity 
has helped catalyse the advertising 
shift, reflecting the recurrent, ‘trans-actional’ 
nature of online advertising 
(Exhibit 4). 
Source: JPMorgan, Media, “AdStats: Fact Book on Advertising Expenditures”, May 2012 (ZenithOptimedia, March 2012); Value Partners analysis 
Within the markets analyzed, we have 
observed an interesting ‘polarization’ 
effect of advertising media. 
TV and internet-based advertising have 
managed to establish themselves as 
‘stronger’ media platforms compared 
to printed media that has become 
increasingly ‘stuck in the middle’. 
However, it should also be noted that 
newspapers and magazines have 
not been affected in the same way 
across each of the markets in question 
(Exhibit 5). 
EXHIBIT 5 
Across the different markets, newspapers and magazines have not been affected 
in the same way by digital developments 
Total advertising expenditures by ad type, selected countries, USD in billions 
UK USA BRAZIL 
2007 2012 2007 2012 2007 2012 
TV NEWSPAPER MAGAZINES INTERNET RADIO OTHER 
ITALY 
2007 2012 
19.7 18.9 177.7 159.7 10.5 17.2 
68% 
38% 
27% 
64% 
33% 
27% 
12% 
16% 
20% 
17% 
28% 
31% 
7% 
11% 
7% 
9% 
14% 
12% 
6% 
19% 
34% 
3% 
19% 8% 
4% 
4% 10% 
4% 
4% 12% 
3% 
8% 5% 
3% 
8% 4% 
11.8 8.3 
58% 
45% 
15% 
16% 
10% 
12% 
7% 
3% 
7% 
5% 
3% 
19%
Source: JPMorgan, Media, “AdStats: Fact Book on Advertising Expenditures”, May 2012; ZenithOptimedia, March 2012; ZenithOptimedia, Advertising Expenditure Forecasts, December 2010; IAB UK; Value Partners analysis 
EXHIBIT 6 
Global, well established pure online players are narrowing the space left to publishers 
in the digital market 
Digital advertising expenditures by ad type, selected countries 
USA 
UK 
COMPETITIVE DYNAMICS 
ACTING SPACE FOR PUBLISHERS 
IN THE DIGITAL MARKET 
% MOBILE 
CLASSIFIEDS 
BANNERS 
ONLINE VIDEOS AND RICH MEDIA 
SOCIAL MEDIA 
SEARCH 
44% 
56% 
45% 
60% 
2% 
0% 
0% 
11% 
5% 
9% 
13% 
3% 
27% 
25% 
20% 
15% 
18% 
19% 
11% 
17% 
2006 
2005 
2012 
2012 
0 % 
9% 
0 % 
10 % 
54 % 
44 % 
44 % 
35 % 
• Rise of pure online players 
• Reduction of prices, increasing competition 
• Strengthening of YouTube 
• Dominated by Facebook 
• Dominated by Google 
10 – 11
PERSPECTIVE MAGAZINE PUBLISHERS’ TRANSFORMATION 
Whilst it is clear that there has been 
a noticeable shift from print to digital, 
an important question to ask is whether 
traditional publishers are able to com-mand 
a significant portion of this new 
form of advertising. The results of our 
research illustrate that, despite there 
being some opportunities for traditional 
publishers, late entrants are likely 
to face many challenges when entering 
the online advertising market. 
Historically, the online advertising 
market has been divided into three main 
categories: search, display and clas-sifieds, 
with a further sub-division of 
display advertising into banners, social 
media and videos. 
The Google supremacy in ‘search’ ap-pears 
to limit the potential addressable 
opportunities for publishers to display 
and classified ads, however, even the 
share of these opportunities has been 
narrowing due to the rise of pure online 
players. As a result, in mature markets 
such as the UK, the portion of online 
advertising revenues addressable to 
publishers has fallen from 44% in 2005 
to 35% in 2012. If publishers were to 
have kept the same share of a few years 
ago, their potential addressable mar-ket 
would have been around a quarter 
larger (Exhibit 6). 
Previously, the online display advertis-ing 
market possessed a well-defined 
structure that was relatively consistent 
between countries. High traffic sites – 
such as Yahoo, MSN and AOL – 
resided at the top of the ‘web pyramid’, 
accounting for more than 75% of total 
page impressions. These players were 
able to sell advertising space based 
on a value proposition of both ‘scale’ 
and ‘reach’. The layer below this was 
occupied by more ‘targeted’ sites, 
including magazine websites, which 
accounted for approximately 15% of ad 
inventory. These ‘targeted’ sites were 
able to differentiate their proposition 
from ‘high traffic’ ones through contex-tualized 
adverts and more segmented 
audiences that helped to command 
higher CPM prices. Finally, the millions 
of ‘long tail’ websites sitting at the 
bottom of the web pyramid accounted 
for roughly 10% of total page impres-sions. 
These websites offered a low cost 
inventory, typically offloaded through 
ad-networks and, together with the 
remnant inventory from other players, 
represented approximately 20% of total 
online advertising revenues (Exhibit 7). 
However, there have been some signifi-cant 
developments within online display 
advertising that have greatly altered 
these pre-existing dynamics. 
Firstly, the establishment of companies 
such as Facebook and Twitter, as well 
as more niche social media players, has 
brought a highly targeted advertising 
inventory to the market that previously 
did not exist. 
LIMITED SPACE FOR 
PUBLISHERS IN DIGITAL 
ADVERTISING
12 – 13 
Source: Value Partners analysis 
EXHIBIT 7 
Display advertising can be segregated by premium and remnant inventory 
Online display publishers and inventory — example of market structure 
PROPERTIES 
AD-INVENTORY 
SELLING PROPOSITION 
CAPTURED VALUE 
LARGEST 
WEBSITES 
LARGE, 
TARGETED 
WEBSITES 
‘LONG TAIL’ 
Top 
~5 sites 
75% of page impressions (PI) 
• Scale & reach 
~80% of revenues 
~50 sites 
~15% of PI 
• Audience targeting & reach 
• Differentiation base on context and content 
Millions of sites 
10% 
of PI 
• Low-cost 
~20% of revenues 
EXHIBIT 8 
Recently, development of social media and ad-networks have threatened 
the positioning of targeted websites 
Online display publishers and inventory – ongoing trends 
INDUSTRY TRENDS 
IMPLICATIONS 
PREMIUM INVENTORY 
PREMIUM INVENTORY 
REMNANT INVENTORY 
REMNANT INVENTORY 
LARGEST 
WEBSITES 
LARGE, 
TARGETED 
WEBSITES 
‘LONG TAIL’ 
Increased inventory supply driven by social media 
Price pressure on remnant inventory 
Facebook provides highly targeted inventory 
Positioning threat by Facebook’s targeted inventory and ad-networks 
Improved targeting technologies expected to enable 
‘targeted remnant’ 
Improved ROI may offset price pressure deriving 
from increased supply 
INVENTORY 
1 
1 
2 
2 
3 
3
PERSPECTIVE MAGAZINE PUBLISHERS’ TRANSFORMATION 
This has not only put a downward pres-sure 
on CPM prices for remnant inven-tory 
- which is now much more abun-dant 
- but has also enabled social media 
companies to target higher-price CPM 
opportunities. Secondly, ad-networks 
and ad-exchanges have invested heavily 
in analytical capabilities in order to pro-vide 
a more targeted approach for their 
inventories, and hence justify higher 
prices. As a result, the element 
of differentiation that ‘targeted’ web-sites 
previously held, such as those 
of magazine publishers, has become 
severely threatened (Exhibit 8). 
The high level of competition 
within the 
online video advertising market also 
appears to provide limited opportunities 
for publishers. Specialized players, such 
as YouTube and Vimeo, are strengthen-ing 
their position in this high growth 
sector (to the detriment of publishers). 
This challenge is becoming increasingly 
significant for publishers within mature 
markets such as the US, where video con-tent 
advertising has grown to reach 13% 
of total online advertising spend in 2012. 
Significant disruption has also occurred 
within classified advertising. In the UK 
market for instance, companies such 
as Craigslist, Gumtree and eBay have 
been able to exploit the significant op-portunities 
offered by digital technolo-gy, 
including the wide geographic reach 
of adverts and the almost negligible 
marginal cost for additional adverts. 
Users are also able to search online 
adverts using their own keywords 
or desired properties in a way that had 
not previously been possible. 
This has further differentiated the digital 
value proposition (vs. printed) and helps 
explain the resulting movement toward 
online classifieds. For online classifieds, 
we have seen that scale plays a crucial 
role in success, with both buyers and 
sellers benefitting from the ‘network ef-fect’ 
of a busy marketplace. Interestingly, 
we have observed that it has often been 
the case that a single dominant player 
(approximately 2-5 times the size of their 
nearest competitor) has emerged within 
property, automotive and general online 
classifieds. On the other hand, it appears 
that a number of large players can more 
happily co-exist within employment 
advertising due to its more specialised 
nature. Nevertheless, it has seldom been 
the case that the emerging winner in any 
category has been a traditional publisher 
(Exhibit 9). 
The next section examines how, in re-sponse 
to these new market dynamics, 
publishers have adapted their business 
models by expanding their position-ing 
in the online market, increasing the 
scale and the coverage of their tradi-tional 
operations and venturing into 
new diversified businesses that are less 
reliant on advertising.
AUTOMOTIVE EMPLOYMENT 
EXHIBIT 9 
Within online classifieds scale plays a crucial role 
PROFITABILITY VS. MARKET POSITION 
EXAMPLES FROM THE CLASSIFIED WEBSITES OF SCHIBSTED GROUP * 
RANKING 
2011, TOP CLASSIFIED WEBSITES, BY UNIQUE VISITORS 
GENERAL PROPERTIES 
5-30% 
0% 
30-50% 
50-70% 
100% 
1x 
EBITDA 
SIZE VS. 2ND PLAYER 
3-5x 8-10x 
• Size matters: 
- Network effect – buyers and sellers attracted 
to busiest marketplaces 
- Allows the basic listing charging 
• Established leaders can achieve very attractive 
EBITDA margins of 50% to 70% 
• In consolidated markets, the verticals general, 
automotive and properties have a sole leader... 
• ...2 to 5 times bigger than the closer competitor... 
• ...opposite to employment, where specialists 
websites can coexist irrespective of the level 
of market development 
Source: *Schibsted Media Group, Quarterly Results Q3 2011, p.13; Google DoubleClick Ad Planner, Company websites, Company reports, 
World Bank, Value Partners analysis 
EBAY.CO.UK 
AUTOTRADER 
REED 
RIGHTMOVE 
FINDAPROPERTY 
GUMTREE 
PARKERS 
TOTAL JOBS 
ZOOPLA 
34 % 
7.5 % 
3 % 
9 % 
9 % 
1.5 % 
2.5 % 
4 % 
4 % 
UNIQUE VISITORS AS % OF TOTAL POPULATION 
14 – 15
PERSPECTIVE MAGAZINE PUBLISHERS’ TRANSFORMATION 
The ongoing digitization of content 
has long been considered a threat 
to the established media, and particular-ly 
to print publishers. For many, the loss 
of revenues within the physical space 
has not been matched by the increase 
in revenues online, calling into question 
the sustainability of existing business 
models and putting pressure on publish-ers 
to react. 
Despite these challenges, some pub-lishers 
in mature markets have found 
success in their diversification strate-gies. 
Interestingly, due to the ‘time-lag’ 
between mature and emerging markets, 
these successes can offer important 
insights to help inform the future strate-gies 
of players in developing markets. 
Below, we illustrate some examples 
that aim to provide a more tangible 
grasp of the initiatives that can be pur-sued 
by publishers. 
In Germany, Axel Springer, Europe’s 
largest publisher, was more than able 
to offset ‘lost’ revenues by means 
of a ‘digitally focused’ business strategy. 
The company has achieved this through 
its expansion within the online publish-ing 
value chain, entering, among others, 
the online classifieds and ad-network 
businesses. Through this strategy, Axel 
Springer managed to grow revenues 
by around 28% between 2007 and 
2012, with the contribution from digital 
sources rising from about 8% to 35%. 
Another example comes from the 
RBA Media Group, a leading Spanish 
magazine publisher that has focused 
on growing its traditional publishing 
business by means of an expansion 
strategy. Through this strategy, RBA 
has managed to consolidate its position 
in both the Italian and Portuguese 
markets, aided in part by the 2007 
acquisition of the Portuguese arm 
of Hachette Filipacchi which gave 
the group access to leading titles such 
as ‘Elle’ and ‘Ragazza’. 
During this period, RBA has also con-sistently 
invested in reinforcing its port-folio 
through acquisitions of new titles 
and joint ventures with other publishers. 
As a result, RBA managed to increase 
revenues by roughly 15% in the 5 year 
period to 2011. 
EVOLVING BUSINESS 
MODELS TO RECOVER ‘LOST’ 
ADVERTISING REVENUES
Exhibit 10 
The recovery of revenues occurs in three “development axes” 
Source: Value Partners analysis 
GROWTH 
IN SCALE 
• Ad-sales network 
• Ad-exchange 
• Digital marketing agency 
• Online presence 
(e-magazine, website) 
• Audience profiling 
• Multi-platform advertising 
• Online classifieds 
EXPANSION IN DIGITAL PUBLISHING 
DEVELOPMENT 
OF NEW BUSINESSES 
SERVICES 
ADJACENT BUSINESSES 
DIGITAL PUBLISHING 
BRAND EXTENSION 
NEW BUSINESSES 
PORTFOLIO OF TITLES 
GEOGRAPHY 
• Licensing of products, 
services and events 
•E-commerce 
•Games 
•Social media 
• Internationalization 
• Regionalization 
• Launch / acquisition 
of new titles 
16 – 17
PERSPECTIVE MAGAZINE PUBLISHERS’ TRANSFORMATION 
However, some publishers have opted 
for more radical shifts away from their 
traditional activities. Hubert Burda 
Media, a major German magazine pub-lisher, 
has heavily diversified its business 
through new ventures that leverage its 
brand strength and audience knowl-edge. 
More specifically, Burda has suc-ceeded 
in creating service ecosystems 
that draw on their deep understanding 
of its end-users and the development 
of ‘audience communities’. 
In the technology segment, for exam-ple, 
Burda has utilized its IT magazine 
to create: a) a website where users can 
download software; b) a mobile app 
to compare gadgets prices; c) an online 
shop to buy computer related items 
and d) a network of physical computer 
stores. Similarly, it has also created ‘au-dience 
communities’ for the travel and 
business segments. As a result, printed 
magazines now represent only a small 
portion of Burda’s revenues that have 
grown 30% in the last five years to 2012. 
Based on the findings of our assign-ments 
within the publishing sector, we 
have identified three main ‘development 
axes’ that may enable the recovery of 
‘lost’ revenues for magazine publishers 
(Exhibit 10): 
1. Expansion in digital publishing: 
this axis encapsulates publishers’ 
attempts to enlarge their scope 
of activities along the online publish-ing 
value chain. Initiatives range from 
enriching the advertising inventory 
by means of detailed audience profil-ing 
and multi-platform advertising, 
to expanding to high potential adja-cent 
businesses such as online clas-sifieds 
or entering into the services 
business of ad-networks, ad-exchang-es 
and even marketing agencies. 
2. Growth in scale: this axis encap-sulates 
investments aimed at con-solidating 
the traditional publishing 
business through increased scale. 
Initiatives are likely to include port-folio 
growth through the acquisition 
of other complementary titles and 
geographic expansion. 
3. Development of new businesses: 
this axis encapsulates publishers’ 
moves into new business areas. 
Whilst these new areas may be 
considered distant from a publishers’ 
traditional revenue sources, some 
of these opportunities will likely lev-erage 
publishers’ existing assets such 
as audience understanding 
and brand recognition and ‘reach’. 
Brand-extension arrangements, such 
as brand licensing and e-commerce 
are amongst these activities.
18 – 19 
Our analysis of leading players’ performance indicates that publishers will likely need to invest in more than one ‘development axis’ to be successful in their revenue diversification strategies. The adoption of initiatives within a single axis may, at best, off-set their decreased advertising print revenues but is unlikely to enable publishers to grow their top line. 
It is also important to note that one of the key critical success factors of these diversification strategies is the strong alignment with the publisher’s overall company vision. 
For instance, Axel Springer’s focus on the ‘expansion in digital publishing axis’ is part of a concerted company aspiration ‘to become the leading digital publisher’. This can be seen through their investments in ad-networks (4 acquisitions covering 10 countries since 2007) as well as in classified portals, which are currently valued at approximately $1.25.bn. Furthermore, Axel Springer has recently acquired a 24-hour news broadcaster – N24 channel – with the objective of supplying video content to its digital platforms. 
Similarly, the CEO of Bauer Media Group declared that: ‘Bauer is print and Bauer shall remain print’, an idea that has been supported by its recent investments 
to help grow their magazine portfolio and expand internationally. 
Between 2010 and 2012, Bauer doubled 
the number of titles it published 
and invested in a range of additional markets, including the UK, Australia, New Zealand and Poland. 
As a result of this strategy, and of the complementary advances in the other ‘development axis’, Bauer was able 
to not only offset the ‘losses from print’ but also grow its top line in about 15% between 2006 and 2012. 
Finally, in an interview with the Business of Fashion blog, the International 
chairman and CEO for Condé Nast recently declared ‘our business can 
no longer be defined strictly as publishing, but takes the form of brand management’. As such, in addition to a well thought through (and cautious) digitalization of its portfolio, Condé Nast 
has ventured into business opportunities away from traditional publishing. 
Through brand extension arrangements, it has launched themed-bars, coffee shops, night clubs and even a fashion college in London. As a result, at the end of 2011, non-publishing business was already representing 10% of Condé Nast group revenues.
PERSPECTIVE MAGAZINE PUBLISHERS’ TRANSFORMATION 
CONCLUSIONS 
Digital developments have had 
significant effects upon print magazine 
publishers, requiring them to signifi-cantly 
alter their business and operating 
models and to pursue new diversifica-tion 
strategies. 
This adaptation has been particularly 
challenging for publishers due to the 
intense competition and dynamism 
of the digital world compared to the 
traditional publishing industry. 
This ongoing digital migration has also 
presented further challenges as it has 
spurred publishers to enter new, some-times 
completely different, businesses 
where they may have no previous 
experience. 
From a corporate strategy perspective, 
in order to succeed in this environment, 
it is crucial that publishers develop a 
clear roadmap that defines the intensity 
and timing of investments in each 
of the ‘development axes’. 
It is also fundamental that they have a 
holistic view of their business portfolio, 
ensuring resources are correctly allocat-ed 
and synergies are properly captured, 
as well as dedicating adequate focus to 
new initiatives. 
From an operational perspective, 
organizations need to be prepared 
to act upon new business development 
opportunities and the resulting 
intensification of M&A and post-merger 
integration activities. 
In addition, it is important that publish-ers 
adopt new commercial approaches 
to sales that better reflect their 
multi-channel offering. A more holistic 
cross-channel approach helps increase 
value for advertisers and thus enables 
publishers to demand correspondingly 
higher fees. 
They should also look to add further 
value to their advertising proposition 
through effective analytics capabilities. 
The ‘mining’ of relevant data would 
help publishers to better profile their 
end users and build more engaged 
audiences, both of which advertisers 
find very valuable. 
Whilst the ongoing digital transforma-tion 
of the publishing industry may 
provide significant challenges for 
traditional publishers, we believe that 
attractive and feasible opportuni-ties 
do still exist. We also believe that 
important insights from more mature 
markets, such as those presented within 
this perspective, can be used to inform 
publishers’ strategies within develop-ing 
markets. However, time is of the 
essence, and in light of the rapidly 
changing digital landscape, publishers 
must be sure to act now.
20 – 21 
AUTHORS 
MARK WESTON 
Business Analyst, London Office 
mark.weston@valuepartners.com 
DEMETRIO DI MARTINO 
Partner, Singapore Office 
demetrio.dimartino@valuepartners.com 
CHARLES MONTEUX 
Senior Engagement Manager, São Paulo Office 
charles.monteux@valuepartners.com
PERSPECTIVE MAGAZINE PUBLISHERS’ TRANSFORMATION 
In mature markets, many 
publishers have found success 
in their diversification strategies 
which can offer important 
insights to help inform 
the future strategies of players 
in developing markets
22 – 23 
ABOUT 
VALUE PARTNERS 
Value Partners is a global management consulting firm that works 
with multinational corporations 
and high-potential entrepreneurial 
businesses to identify and pursue 
value enhancement initiatives across 
innovation, international expansion, 
and operational effectiveness. 
Founded in Milan in 1993, Value 
Partners’ rapid growth testifies 
to the value it has created for clients over time. Today it draws on 25 partners and 280 professionals from 23 nations, working out of offices 
in Milan, London, Istanbul, 
São Paulo, Buenos Aires, Beijing, Shanghai, Hong Kong, Singapore and Dubai. 
Value Partners has built a portfolio 
of more than 350 international 
clients from the original 10 in 1993 
with a worldwide revenue mix. 
Value Partners combines methodological approaches and analytical 
frameworks with hands-on attitude 
and practical industry experience 
developed in an executive capacity 
within each sector: telecommunications, new media, financial services, 
energy, manufacturing and hi-tech. 
In 2007 Value Partners acquired 
Spectrum Strategy Consultants 
– a leading UK company specialized in publishing, broadcasting, entertainment, IPTV and mobile – thus further strengthening its international presence. 
Today Value Partners is a leading 
advisor in the telecom, media 
and technology sectors worldwide. 
For more information on the issues 
raised in this note please contact 
the authors. 
For more information on the issues raised in this note please contact 
the authors. 
Find all the contact details on 
valuepartners.com 
Milan 
London 
Istanbul 
São Paulo 
Buenos Aires 
Beijing 
Shanghai 
Hong Kong 
Singapore 
Dubai
PERSPECTIVE MAGAZINE PUBLISHERS’ TRANSFORMATION
Copyright © Value Partners 
Management Consulting Spa 
All rights reserved

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Magazine Publishers' Transformation: The Time to Act is Now!

  • 1. MAGAZINE PUBLISHERS’ TRANSFORMATION: THE TIME TO ACT IS NOW! PERSPECTIVE JANUARY 2014 Demetrio Di Martino, Charles Monteux, Mark Weston
  • 2. Magazine publishers’ transformation: the time to act is now! Published by Value Partners Management Consulting Spa via Vespri Siciliani 9 20146 Milan, Italy January 2014 Written by: Demetrio Di Martino, Charles Monteux, Mark Weston If you would like more information on the issues raised in the report please contact: charles.monteux@valuepartners.com If you would like to subscribe or to be removed from our mailing list please write to: subscription@valuepartners.com valuepartners.com Copyright © Value Partners Management Consulting Spa All rights reserved
  • 3. PERSPECTIVE MAGAZINE PUBLISHERS’ TRANSFORMATION INTRODUCTION 5 MIGRATION FROM PRINT TO DIGITAL ADVERTISING 7 LIMITED SPACE FOR PUBLISHERS IN DIGITAL ADVERTISING 11 EVOLVING BUSINESS MODELS TO RECOVER ‘LOST’ 15 ADVERTISING REVENUES CONCLUSIONS 19 AUTHORS 20 CONTENTS
  • 4. 4 – 5 How print publishers can succeed in regaining ‘lost’ advertising revenues
  • 5. PERSPECTIVE MAGAZINE PUBLISHERS’ TRANSFORMATION INTRODUCTION THIS WHITE PAPER PRESENTS THE RESULTS OF SEVERAL STUDIES CONDUCTED BY VALUE PARTNERS INTO THE IMPACT OF DIGITAL DEVELOPMENTS ON MAGAZINE PUBLISHING BUSINESS MODELS. MORE SPECIFICALLY, OUR ANALYSIS FOCUSES ON UNDERSTANDING THE DIFFERENT APPROACHES THAT HAVE BEEN ADOPTED BY LEADING PUBLISHERS IN ORDER TO COMPENSATE FOR DECREASING ADVERTISING REVENUES. IN RECENT YEARS, THE GLOBAL ADVERTISING MARKET HAS GROWN AT A SLOWER RATE THAN GDP, WITH A MOVEMENT AWAY FROM TRADITIONAL AND MORE EXPENSIVE PRINTED ADVERTS TO CHEAPER DIGITAL FORMATS. WHILST DIFFERENT MARKET DYNAMICS EXIST WITHIN MATURE AND DEVELOPING MARKETS, THIS TREND HAS BEEN SEEN IN BOTH ALIKE AND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FURTHER WITH THE INCREASING PENETRATION OF BROADBAND, AND THE RISING POPULARITY OF SMARTPHONES AND TABLETS. WHILST SOME OPPORTUNITIES FOR PUBLISHERS DO APPEAR TO EXIST WITHIN ONLINE ADVERTISING, THESE ARE OFTEN NOT ABLE TO FULLY COMPENSATE FOR THE DECLINE IN THEIR TRADITIONAL REVENUE STREAMS. THIS IS DUE, IN PART, TO THE ESTABLISHMENT OF GLOBAL ONLINE PLAYERS WHO HAVE COME TO DOMINATE THE DIGITAL ADVERTISING MARKET WITH A SCALE AND EXPERTISE THAT TRADITIONAL PUBLISHERS CANNOT EASILY COMPETE WITH. FURTHERMORE, EVEN THE REMAINING ADDRESSABLE OPPORTUNITIES FOR PUBLISHERS ARE NARROWING AS A CONSEQUENCE OF MORE TARGETED OFFERINGS BROUGHT BY SOCIAL MEDIA AND AD-NETWORKS. WITHIN THIS CONTEXT, PRINT PUBLISHERS HAVE THUS HAD TO ADAPT THEIR TRADITIONAL BUSINESS MODELS IN ORDER TO COMPETE EFFECTIVELY. THIS PERSPECTIVE LOOKS TO INVESTIGATE HOW SOME OF THE LEADING PLAYERS HAVE GONE ABOUT THIS.
  • 6. EXHIBIT 1 Globally, advertising has grown less than world GDP Total advertising expenditures, global, USD in billions EXHIBIT 2 Digital advertising has been the key growth driver, reaching ~18% of the total market Total advertising expenditures, global, USD in billions Note: (1) Traditional media: TV, radio, newspaper, magazine, etc. Source: JPMorgan, Media, “AdStats: Fact Book on Advertising Expenditures”, May 2012; ZenithOptimedia, March 2012; Value Partners analysis 0.86% 0.81% 0.74% 0.73% 0.71% 1% 0.70% 5% ADVERTISING GDP 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 464 463 418 445 461 498 39% 27% -12pp TRADITIONAL MEDIA (1) DIGITAL MEDIA % OF PRINT ADS SPENT (NEWSPAPERS AND MAGAZINES) VARIANCE 2007-2012 ADVERTISING / GDP CAGR 2007-2012 2007 2012 91% 82% 9% 464 18% 498100% +9pp -9pp 6 – 7
  • 7. PERSPECTIVE MAGAZINE PUBLISHERS’ TRANSFORMATION Over the last five years, the total value spent on advertising globally has not kept pace with world GDP growth. This trend reflects a more cautious alloca-tion of companies’ budgets and cuts in ‘discretionary’ or ‘non-core’ spending following the financial crisis. As a result, the advertising industry accounted for only 0.70% of world GDP in 2012, down from 0.86% in 2007 (Exhibit 1). In addition to these cut-backs, the divergence between advertising revenue and GDP growth has also been driven by the steady growth of lower-priced digital advertisements. These have doubled as a percentage of publicity spend between 2007 and 2012, rising from 9% to 18 (Exhibit 2). This trend has been intensified by the rapid uptake of smartphones and tab-lets, and the corresponding migration away from traditional media consump-tion to its digital counterpart. These new devices, together with more powerful analytics tools, have afforded marketers more interactive and engag-ing platforms from which to target consumers, as well as new performance-based revenue models, which further strengthen the digital advertising proposition. The migration to digital advertising has predominantly come at the expense of printed adverts (i.e. newspapers and magazines), with the percentage of overall advertising revenues from these sources decreasing from 39% to 27% between 2007 and 2012. This ‘shift of power’ in favor of digital platforms has occurred in both develop-ing and mature markets alike though to differing degrees, with traditional advertising continuing to grow in developing markets but contracting in mature markets (Exhibit 3). MIGRATION FROM PRINT TO DIGITAL ADVERTISING
  • 8. 2007 2007 2012 2012 TRADITIONAL MEDIA (1) DIGITAL MEDIA Note: (1) Traditional media: TV, radio, newspaper, magazine, etc Source: OECD Broadband statistics, Fixed Broadband Subscriptions, June 2012; IMF World Economic Outlook, 2012; eMarketer, B2C E-commerce sales, 2012; JPMorgan, Media, “AdStats: Fact Book on Advertising Expenditures”, May 2012; ZenithOptimedia, March 2012; Value Partners analysis EXHIBIT 3 Migration to digital has occurred unevenly between developing and mature markets Total advertising expenditures, global, USD in billions EXHIBIT 4 Digital advertising growth at the expense of print, fueled by broadband and e-commerce BROADBAND PENETRATION (ENABLER) PRINT ADVERTISING (SUBSTITUTION EFFECT) E-COMMERCE MATURITY (CATALYZER) 0% 0% 5% 500 10% 5% 0 0% 0% 1000 20% 10% 1500 30% 15% 2000 40% 20% 2500 50% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 10% UK UK 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 GERMANY GERMANY USA USA ITALY ITALY BRAZIL BRAZIL FRANCE FRANCE ARGENTINA ARGENTINA 10% 10% 20% FIXED BB PENETRATION US$ / CAPITA % PRINT ADVERTISING % ADVERTISING DIGITAL % ADVERTISING DIGITAL % ADVERTISING DIGITAL 20% 15% 30% 30% 40% 40% 20% 79385126373 DEVELOPING MARKETS LATIN AMERICA, AFRICA, ASIA/PACIFIC AND MIDDLE EAST (EXCLUDING JAPAN, SOUTH KOREA, CHINA AND AUSTRALIA) MATURE MARKETS NORTH AMERICA, EUROPE, JAPAN AND KOREA 10% -1 % 32% 13% 20% 5% 10% 8% 87% 80% 95% 90% 15% -3% CAGR 2007-2012 8 – 9 R2 = 0.81 R2 = 0.95 R2 = -1
  • 9. PERSPECTIVE MAGAZINE PUBLISHERS’ TRANSFORMATION Changes in broadband penetration and e-commerce maturity are two key factors that help to explain this ongoing substitution and the different dynamics that have emerged globally. More specifically, broadband penetra-tion has played an ‘enabler role’ within this migration, whilst e-commerce matu-rity has helped catalyse the advertising shift, reflecting the recurrent, ‘trans-actional’ nature of online advertising (Exhibit 4). Source: JPMorgan, Media, “AdStats: Fact Book on Advertising Expenditures”, May 2012 (ZenithOptimedia, March 2012); Value Partners analysis Within the markets analyzed, we have observed an interesting ‘polarization’ effect of advertising media. TV and internet-based advertising have managed to establish themselves as ‘stronger’ media platforms compared to printed media that has become increasingly ‘stuck in the middle’. However, it should also be noted that newspapers and magazines have not been affected in the same way across each of the markets in question (Exhibit 5). EXHIBIT 5 Across the different markets, newspapers and magazines have not been affected in the same way by digital developments Total advertising expenditures by ad type, selected countries, USD in billions UK USA BRAZIL 2007 2012 2007 2012 2007 2012 TV NEWSPAPER MAGAZINES INTERNET RADIO OTHER ITALY 2007 2012 19.7 18.9 177.7 159.7 10.5 17.2 68% 38% 27% 64% 33% 27% 12% 16% 20% 17% 28% 31% 7% 11% 7% 9% 14% 12% 6% 19% 34% 3% 19% 8% 4% 4% 10% 4% 4% 12% 3% 8% 5% 3% 8% 4% 11.8 8.3 58% 45% 15% 16% 10% 12% 7% 3% 7% 5% 3% 19%
  • 10. Source: JPMorgan, Media, “AdStats: Fact Book on Advertising Expenditures”, May 2012; ZenithOptimedia, March 2012; ZenithOptimedia, Advertising Expenditure Forecasts, December 2010; IAB UK; Value Partners analysis EXHIBIT 6 Global, well established pure online players are narrowing the space left to publishers in the digital market Digital advertising expenditures by ad type, selected countries USA UK COMPETITIVE DYNAMICS ACTING SPACE FOR PUBLISHERS IN THE DIGITAL MARKET % MOBILE CLASSIFIEDS BANNERS ONLINE VIDEOS AND RICH MEDIA SOCIAL MEDIA SEARCH 44% 56% 45% 60% 2% 0% 0% 11% 5% 9% 13% 3% 27% 25% 20% 15% 18% 19% 11% 17% 2006 2005 2012 2012 0 % 9% 0 % 10 % 54 % 44 % 44 % 35 % • Rise of pure online players • Reduction of prices, increasing competition • Strengthening of YouTube • Dominated by Facebook • Dominated by Google 10 – 11
  • 11. PERSPECTIVE MAGAZINE PUBLISHERS’ TRANSFORMATION Whilst it is clear that there has been a noticeable shift from print to digital, an important question to ask is whether traditional publishers are able to com-mand a significant portion of this new form of advertising. The results of our research illustrate that, despite there being some opportunities for traditional publishers, late entrants are likely to face many challenges when entering the online advertising market. Historically, the online advertising market has been divided into three main categories: search, display and clas-sifieds, with a further sub-division of display advertising into banners, social media and videos. The Google supremacy in ‘search’ ap-pears to limit the potential addressable opportunities for publishers to display and classified ads, however, even the share of these opportunities has been narrowing due to the rise of pure online players. As a result, in mature markets such as the UK, the portion of online advertising revenues addressable to publishers has fallen from 44% in 2005 to 35% in 2012. If publishers were to have kept the same share of a few years ago, their potential addressable mar-ket would have been around a quarter larger (Exhibit 6). Previously, the online display advertis-ing market possessed a well-defined structure that was relatively consistent between countries. High traffic sites – such as Yahoo, MSN and AOL – resided at the top of the ‘web pyramid’, accounting for more than 75% of total page impressions. These players were able to sell advertising space based on a value proposition of both ‘scale’ and ‘reach’. The layer below this was occupied by more ‘targeted’ sites, including magazine websites, which accounted for approximately 15% of ad inventory. These ‘targeted’ sites were able to differentiate their proposition from ‘high traffic’ ones through contex-tualized adverts and more segmented audiences that helped to command higher CPM prices. Finally, the millions of ‘long tail’ websites sitting at the bottom of the web pyramid accounted for roughly 10% of total page impres-sions. These websites offered a low cost inventory, typically offloaded through ad-networks and, together with the remnant inventory from other players, represented approximately 20% of total online advertising revenues (Exhibit 7). However, there have been some signifi-cant developments within online display advertising that have greatly altered these pre-existing dynamics. Firstly, the establishment of companies such as Facebook and Twitter, as well as more niche social media players, has brought a highly targeted advertising inventory to the market that previously did not exist. LIMITED SPACE FOR PUBLISHERS IN DIGITAL ADVERTISING
  • 12. 12 – 13 Source: Value Partners analysis EXHIBIT 7 Display advertising can be segregated by premium and remnant inventory Online display publishers and inventory — example of market structure PROPERTIES AD-INVENTORY SELLING PROPOSITION CAPTURED VALUE LARGEST WEBSITES LARGE, TARGETED WEBSITES ‘LONG TAIL’ Top ~5 sites 75% of page impressions (PI) • Scale & reach ~80% of revenues ~50 sites ~15% of PI • Audience targeting & reach • Differentiation base on context and content Millions of sites 10% of PI • Low-cost ~20% of revenues EXHIBIT 8 Recently, development of social media and ad-networks have threatened the positioning of targeted websites Online display publishers and inventory – ongoing trends INDUSTRY TRENDS IMPLICATIONS PREMIUM INVENTORY PREMIUM INVENTORY REMNANT INVENTORY REMNANT INVENTORY LARGEST WEBSITES LARGE, TARGETED WEBSITES ‘LONG TAIL’ Increased inventory supply driven by social media Price pressure on remnant inventory Facebook provides highly targeted inventory Positioning threat by Facebook’s targeted inventory and ad-networks Improved targeting technologies expected to enable ‘targeted remnant’ Improved ROI may offset price pressure deriving from increased supply INVENTORY 1 1 2 2 3 3
  • 13. PERSPECTIVE MAGAZINE PUBLISHERS’ TRANSFORMATION This has not only put a downward pres-sure on CPM prices for remnant inven-tory - which is now much more abun-dant - but has also enabled social media companies to target higher-price CPM opportunities. Secondly, ad-networks and ad-exchanges have invested heavily in analytical capabilities in order to pro-vide a more targeted approach for their inventories, and hence justify higher prices. As a result, the element of differentiation that ‘targeted’ web-sites previously held, such as those of magazine publishers, has become severely threatened (Exhibit 8). The high level of competition within the online video advertising market also appears to provide limited opportunities for publishers. Specialized players, such as YouTube and Vimeo, are strengthen-ing their position in this high growth sector (to the detriment of publishers). This challenge is becoming increasingly significant for publishers within mature markets such as the US, where video con-tent advertising has grown to reach 13% of total online advertising spend in 2012. Significant disruption has also occurred within classified advertising. In the UK market for instance, companies such as Craigslist, Gumtree and eBay have been able to exploit the significant op-portunities offered by digital technolo-gy, including the wide geographic reach of adverts and the almost negligible marginal cost for additional adverts. Users are also able to search online adverts using their own keywords or desired properties in a way that had not previously been possible. This has further differentiated the digital value proposition (vs. printed) and helps explain the resulting movement toward online classifieds. For online classifieds, we have seen that scale plays a crucial role in success, with both buyers and sellers benefitting from the ‘network ef-fect’ of a busy marketplace. Interestingly, we have observed that it has often been the case that a single dominant player (approximately 2-5 times the size of their nearest competitor) has emerged within property, automotive and general online classifieds. On the other hand, it appears that a number of large players can more happily co-exist within employment advertising due to its more specialised nature. Nevertheless, it has seldom been the case that the emerging winner in any category has been a traditional publisher (Exhibit 9). The next section examines how, in re-sponse to these new market dynamics, publishers have adapted their business models by expanding their position-ing in the online market, increasing the scale and the coverage of their tradi-tional operations and venturing into new diversified businesses that are less reliant on advertising.
  • 14. AUTOMOTIVE EMPLOYMENT EXHIBIT 9 Within online classifieds scale plays a crucial role PROFITABILITY VS. MARKET POSITION EXAMPLES FROM THE CLASSIFIED WEBSITES OF SCHIBSTED GROUP * RANKING 2011, TOP CLASSIFIED WEBSITES, BY UNIQUE VISITORS GENERAL PROPERTIES 5-30% 0% 30-50% 50-70% 100% 1x EBITDA SIZE VS. 2ND PLAYER 3-5x 8-10x • Size matters: - Network effect – buyers and sellers attracted to busiest marketplaces - Allows the basic listing charging • Established leaders can achieve very attractive EBITDA margins of 50% to 70% • In consolidated markets, the verticals general, automotive and properties have a sole leader... • ...2 to 5 times bigger than the closer competitor... • ...opposite to employment, where specialists websites can coexist irrespective of the level of market development Source: *Schibsted Media Group, Quarterly Results Q3 2011, p.13; Google DoubleClick Ad Planner, Company websites, Company reports, World Bank, Value Partners analysis EBAY.CO.UK AUTOTRADER REED RIGHTMOVE FINDAPROPERTY GUMTREE PARKERS TOTAL JOBS ZOOPLA 34 % 7.5 % 3 % 9 % 9 % 1.5 % 2.5 % 4 % 4 % UNIQUE VISITORS AS % OF TOTAL POPULATION 14 – 15
  • 15. PERSPECTIVE MAGAZINE PUBLISHERS’ TRANSFORMATION The ongoing digitization of content has long been considered a threat to the established media, and particular-ly to print publishers. For many, the loss of revenues within the physical space has not been matched by the increase in revenues online, calling into question the sustainability of existing business models and putting pressure on publish-ers to react. Despite these challenges, some pub-lishers in mature markets have found success in their diversification strate-gies. Interestingly, due to the ‘time-lag’ between mature and emerging markets, these successes can offer important insights to help inform the future strate-gies of players in developing markets. Below, we illustrate some examples that aim to provide a more tangible grasp of the initiatives that can be pur-sued by publishers. In Germany, Axel Springer, Europe’s largest publisher, was more than able to offset ‘lost’ revenues by means of a ‘digitally focused’ business strategy. The company has achieved this through its expansion within the online publish-ing value chain, entering, among others, the online classifieds and ad-network businesses. Through this strategy, Axel Springer managed to grow revenues by around 28% between 2007 and 2012, with the contribution from digital sources rising from about 8% to 35%. Another example comes from the RBA Media Group, a leading Spanish magazine publisher that has focused on growing its traditional publishing business by means of an expansion strategy. Through this strategy, RBA has managed to consolidate its position in both the Italian and Portuguese markets, aided in part by the 2007 acquisition of the Portuguese arm of Hachette Filipacchi which gave the group access to leading titles such as ‘Elle’ and ‘Ragazza’. During this period, RBA has also con-sistently invested in reinforcing its port-folio through acquisitions of new titles and joint ventures with other publishers. As a result, RBA managed to increase revenues by roughly 15% in the 5 year period to 2011. EVOLVING BUSINESS MODELS TO RECOVER ‘LOST’ ADVERTISING REVENUES
  • 16. Exhibit 10 The recovery of revenues occurs in three “development axes” Source: Value Partners analysis GROWTH IN SCALE • Ad-sales network • Ad-exchange • Digital marketing agency • Online presence (e-magazine, website) • Audience profiling • Multi-platform advertising • Online classifieds EXPANSION IN DIGITAL PUBLISHING DEVELOPMENT OF NEW BUSINESSES SERVICES ADJACENT BUSINESSES DIGITAL PUBLISHING BRAND EXTENSION NEW BUSINESSES PORTFOLIO OF TITLES GEOGRAPHY • Licensing of products, services and events •E-commerce •Games •Social media • Internationalization • Regionalization • Launch / acquisition of new titles 16 – 17
  • 17. PERSPECTIVE MAGAZINE PUBLISHERS’ TRANSFORMATION However, some publishers have opted for more radical shifts away from their traditional activities. Hubert Burda Media, a major German magazine pub-lisher, has heavily diversified its business through new ventures that leverage its brand strength and audience knowl-edge. More specifically, Burda has suc-ceeded in creating service ecosystems that draw on their deep understanding of its end-users and the development of ‘audience communities’. In the technology segment, for exam-ple, Burda has utilized its IT magazine to create: a) a website where users can download software; b) a mobile app to compare gadgets prices; c) an online shop to buy computer related items and d) a network of physical computer stores. Similarly, it has also created ‘au-dience communities’ for the travel and business segments. As a result, printed magazines now represent only a small portion of Burda’s revenues that have grown 30% in the last five years to 2012. Based on the findings of our assign-ments within the publishing sector, we have identified three main ‘development axes’ that may enable the recovery of ‘lost’ revenues for magazine publishers (Exhibit 10): 1. Expansion in digital publishing: this axis encapsulates publishers’ attempts to enlarge their scope of activities along the online publish-ing value chain. Initiatives range from enriching the advertising inventory by means of detailed audience profil-ing and multi-platform advertising, to expanding to high potential adja-cent businesses such as online clas-sifieds or entering into the services business of ad-networks, ad-exchang-es and even marketing agencies. 2. Growth in scale: this axis encap-sulates investments aimed at con-solidating the traditional publishing business through increased scale. Initiatives are likely to include port-folio growth through the acquisition of other complementary titles and geographic expansion. 3. Development of new businesses: this axis encapsulates publishers’ moves into new business areas. Whilst these new areas may be considered distant from a publishers’ traditional revenue sources, some of these opportunities will likely lev-erage publishers’ existing assets such as audience understanding and brand recognition and ‘reach’. Brand-extension arrangements, such as brand licensing and e-commerce are amongst these activities.
  • 18. 18 – 19 Our analysis of leading players’ performance indicates that publishers will likely need to invest in more than one ‘development axis’ to be successful in their revenue diversification strategies. The adoption of initiatives within a single axis may, at best, off-set their decreased advertising print revenues but is unlikely to enable publishers to grow their top line. It is also important to note that one of the key critical success factors of these diversification strategies is the strong alignment with the publisher’s overall company vision. For instance, Axel Springer’s focus on the ‘expansion in digital publishing axis’ is part of a concerted company aspiration ‘to become the leading digital publisher’. This can be seen through their investments in ad-networks (4 acquisitions covering 10 countries since 2007) as well as in classified portals, which are currently valued at approximately $1.25.bn. Furthermore, Axel Springer has recently acquired a 24-hour news broadcaster – N24 channel – with the objective of supplying video content to its digital platforms. Similarly, the CEO of Bauer Media Group declared that: ‘Bauer is print and Bauer shall remain print’, an idea that has been supported by its recent investments to help grow their magazine portfolio and expand internationally. Between 2010 and 2012, Bauer doubled the number of titles it published and invested in a range of additional markets, including the UK, Australia, New Zealand and Poland. As a result of this strategy, and of the complementary advances in the other ‘development axis’, Bauer was able to not only offset the ‘losses from print’ but also grow its top line in about 15% between 2006 and 2012. Finally, in an interview with the Business of Fashion blog, the International chairman and CEO for Condé Nast recently declared ‘our business can no longer be defined strictly as publishing, but takes the form of brand management’. As such, in addition to a well thought through (and cautious) digitalization of its portfolio, Condé Nast has ventured into business opportunities away from traditional publishing. Through brand extension arrangements, it has launched themed-bars, coffee shops, night clubs and even a fashion college in London. As a result, at the end of 2011, non-publishing business was already representing 10% of Condé Nast group revenues.
  • 19. PERSPECTIVE MAGAZINE PUBLISHERS’ TRANSFORMATION CONCLUSIONS Digital developments have had significant effects upon print magazine publishers, requiring them to signifi-cantly alter their business and operating models and to pursue new diversifica-tion strategies. This adaptation has been particularly challenging for publishers due to the intense competition and dynamism of the digital world compared to the traditional publishing industry. This ongoing digital migration has also presented further challenges as it has spurred publishers to enter new, some-times completely different, businesses where they may have no previous experience. From a corporate strategy perspective, in order to succeed in this environment, it is crucial that publishers develop a clear roadmap that defines the intensity and timing of investments in each of the ‘development axes’. It is also fundamental that they have a holistic view of their business portfolio, ensuring resources are correctly allocat-ed and synergies are properly captured, as well as dedicating adequate focus to new initiatives. From an operational perspective, organizations need to be prepared to act upon new business development opportunities and the resulting intensification of M&A and post-merger integration activities. In addition, it is important that publish-ers adopt new commercial approaches to sales that better reflect their multi-channel offering. A more holistic cross-channel approach helps increase value for advertisers and thus enables publishers to demand correspondingly higher fees. They should also look to add further value to their advertising proposition through effective analytics capabilities. The ‘mining’ of relevant data would help publishers to better profile their end users and build more engaged audiences, both of which advertisers find very valuable. Whilst the ongoing digital transforma-tion of the publishing industry may provide significant challenges for traditional publishers, we believe that attractive and feasible opportuni-ties do still exist. We also believe that important insights from more mature markets, such as those presented within this perspective, can be used to inform publishers’ strategies within develop-ing markets. However, time is of the essence, and in light of the rapidly changing digital landscape, publishers must be sure to act now.
  • 20. 20 – 21 AUTHORS MARK WESTON Business Analyst, London Office mark.weston@valuepartners.com DEMETRIO DI MARTINO Partner, Singapore Office demetrio.dimartino@valuepartners.com CHARLES MONTEUX Senior Engagement Manager, São Paulo Office charles.monteux@valuepartners.com
  • 21. PERSPECTIVE MAGAZINE PUBLISHERS’ TRANSFORMATION In mature markets, many publishers have found success in their diversification strategies which can offer important insights to help inform the future strategies of players in developing markets
  • 22. 22 – 23 ABOUT VALUE PARTNERS Value Partners is a global management consulting firm that works with multinational corporations and high-potential entrepreneurial businesses to identify and pursue value enhancement initiatives across innovation, international expansion, and operational effectiveness. Founded in Milan in 1993, Value Partners’ rapid growth testifies to the value it has created for clients over time. Today it draws on 25 partners and 280 professionals from 23 nations, working out of offices in Milan, London, Istanbul, São Paulo, Buenos Aires, Beijing, Shanghai, Hong Kong, Singapore and Dubai. Value Partners has built a portfolio of more than 350 international clients from the original 10 in 1993 with a worldwide revenue mix. Value Partners combines methodological approaches and analytical frameworks with hands-on attitude and practical industry experience developed in an executive capacity within each sector: telecommunications, new media, financial services, energy, manufacturing and hi-tech. In 2007 Value Partners acquired Spectrum Strategy Consultants – a leading UK company specialized in publishing, broadcasting, entertainment, IPTV and mobile – thus further strengthening its international presence. Today Value Partners is a leading advisor in the telecom, media and technology sectors worldwide. For more information on the issues raised in this note please contact the authors. For more information on the issues raised in this note please contact the authors. Find all the contact details on valuepartners.com Milan London Istanbul São Paulo Buenos Aires Beijing Shanghai Hong Kong Singapore Dubai
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