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Precision oncology ncabr kibbe oct 2017
1. Precision Oncology and the
Changing Role of Cancer
Informatics
Warren A. Kibbe, Ph.D.
Professor, Biostats & Bioinformatics
Chief Data Officer, Duke Cancer Institute
warren.kibbe@duke.edu
@wakibbe
2. Outline
• Cancer is a Grand Challenge
• Bioinformatics and Genomics in
cancer
• Precision Oncology / Precision
Medicine
3. Personal & Professional Background
• PhD in Chemistry at Caltech, Postdoc in
molecular genetics of RAS
• Cancer research for 20+ years - cancer
informatics, data science, healthcare
• Faculty in the Feinberg School of Medicine
at Northwestern for 15+ years
• Director NCI CBIIT 2013-2017; Acting NCI
Deputy Director 2016-2017
• Lost three grandparents to cancer
4. (10,000+ patient tumors and increasing)
Courtesy of P. Kuhn (USC)
2006-2015:
A Decade of Illuminating the
Underlying Causes of Primary
Untreated Tumors Omics
Characterization
Cancer is a grand challenge
• Deep biological understanding
• Advances in scientific methods
• Advances in instrumentation
• Advances in technology
• Data and computation
• Mathematical models
Cancer Research and Care generate
detailed data that is critical to
create a learning health system for cancer
Requires:
6. This change has been driven by improved technology - sequencing, imaging,
nanotech, drug developing, computing and the availability of data about
patient response to therapy
8. Health vs Disease
• What is ’normal’?
• Systematic and measurement error
• Biological heterogeneity
• Population Health
9. Team Science is critical
Clinical Trials
Biostatists
Bioinformatics
Clinical Care
Clinical Research
EHRs, Imaging, Lab Systems
Data Science
Analytics and Visualization
Open Data enhances collaboration and team science!
10. Terms/Vocabulary
• Single Nucleotide Polymorphisms –
SNPs
– Variation in a single base of DNA. In
germline human DNA, more than 50M
SNPs have been identified
– Identified and analyzed using
sequencing or array-based methods
13. Genomics
• Trying to measure changes in:
– Copy number (CNV)
– Point mutations (SNP)
– Insertions/deletions
– Methylation
• With either sequencing or arrays
21. Precision Medicine
• Data driven prevention, screening,
treatment, survivorship decisions based
on your information
• -omics, imaging, phenotyping
• Sophisticated analysis of changes in the
genome, proteome, transcriptome,
epigenome, and evaluating those
changes for diagnosis and prediction of
response on outcomes
27. How do we solve problems in Cancer
• Support and incentives for team science,
collaboration
• We need FAIR, open data
• Support open source, open science
• Support for rapid innovation
29. Machine Learning
• Large data sets, particularly
population-based with a well-
annotated comparator set, are ideal
• Machine Learning and Deep Learning
on image features is feasible,
accurate, reproducible and scalable
33. Expert Systems vs Machine Learning
• In 1945, the British philosopher Gilbert
Ryle identified two kinds of knowledge—
factual, propositional knowledge that can
be ordered into rules—“knowing that.”
versus implicit, experiential, skill-based—
“knowing how.”
• Machine Learning is based on ‘learning
how’. Expert systems, or rule based
machines, are based on ‘knowing that’.
34. Human Cognition
Three kinds of learning:
• Learning that – rule-based knowledge
• Learning how – experiential knowledge
• Learning why – integrative, explanatory
knowledge
35. Machine Learning, AI
• Machine Learning
• Deep Learning
• Cognitive Computing
• Neuromorphic Computing
• Assistive Devices
36. Real World Evidence
• Needs big data!
• Needs population representation
• Need epidemiologists and
statisticians to understand the
potential biases in representation
• EHRs, NLP, Machine Learning can
power real world evidence learning
• Critical for a Learning Health
System
37. Genomics is the beginning of
precision medicine, not the end!
38. Biology and Medicine are now
data intensive enterprises
Scale is rapidly changing
Technology, data, computing and
IT are pervasive in the lab, the
clinic, in the home, and across the
population
+ve –ve protein expression levels, ALK- Anaplastic lymphoma kinase, Squamous is a cell type (epidermoid),
A more detailed look at Lung Cancer and our understanding of the classification of the disease
We now have tools to let us both understand social determinants of health and build ‘early warning systems’ to identify people who are have acute medical issues
The scale of genomics, population science and data science is dramatically changing!
But people can make effective decisions on the same number of factors…
How can we use machine learning and other techniques to reduce cognitive overload?